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GENESIS ENERGY LIMITED New Zealand Petroleum Conference 2018 March 2018 Paul Ruediger – Finance & Commercial Manger, Generation & Wholesale Investment Forum - Kupe

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Page 1: New Zealand Petroleum Conference 2018 - Microsoft... · 5/4/2018  · —only integrated energy management company in New Zealand 9 KEY INFORMATION Revenue: NZ$2.0 billion EBITDAF

G E N E S I S E N E R G Y L I M I T E D

New Zealand Petroleum Conference 2018

March 2018

Paul Ruediger – Finance & Commercial Manger, Generation & Wholesale

Investment Forum - Kupe

Page 2: New Zealand Petroleum Conference 2018 - Microsoft... · 5/4/2018  · —only integrated energy management company in New Zealand 9 KEY INFORMATION Revenue: NZ$2.0 billion EBITDAF

Agenda

Kupe fundamentals

Genesis portfolio fit

2

Page 3: New Zealand Petroleum Conference 2018 - Microsoft... · 5/4/2018  · —only integrated energy management company in New Zealand 9 KEY INFORMATION Revenue: NZ$2.0 billion EBITDAF

Development history— discovered in 1986, explored through to FID in 2006, with first gas produced 2009

Page 4: New Zealand Petroleum Conference 2018 - Microsoft... · 5/4/2018  · —only integrated energy management company in New Zealand 9 KEY INFORMATION Revenue: NZ$2.0 billion EBITDAF

The Kupe interest— current day Joint Venture arrangements

• Genesis has a 46% interest in the Kupe oil and gas JV having acquired the NZOG 15% with effect from 1 January 2017:

• Other partners are Beach Energy 50% (operator) and NZ Oil and Gas 4%

• Genesis receives 46% of the gas offtake (and purchases the balance from the other JV partners – first right to all gas). It also receives a 46% share of the light crude oil and LPG output

• Gas excess to requirements is sold onto the wholesale market or bilateral deals are negotiated with a number of counterparties including some of New Zealand's major businesses.

• The Kupe investment provides Genesis with diversified earnings largely unaffected by the New Zealand electricity market

Origin Energy50%

Genesis31%

NZOG15%

Mitsui4%

Beach Energy50%Genesis

46%

NZOG4%

2009

2018

Page 5: New Zealand Petroleum Conference 2018 - Microsoft... · 5/4/2018  · —only integrated energy management company in New Zealand 9 KEY INFORMATION Revenue: NZ$2.0 billion EBITDAF

Kupe offshore production— one of three offshore producing gas fields in Taranaki

• The Kupe oil and gas field is located 3 km beneath the seabed, 30 km off the coast of South Taranaki

• The wellhead platform sits over the field in 35m of water

• Platform connected to the onshore production station by a 30 km pipeline and a 160mm diameter umbilical utility cable

• The platform sits over three production wells and has two main parts:

• 51m tall jacket sitting on seafloor• 37m high topsides above the jacket

• The platform can accommodate up to 6 wells (3 unused well slots) and is unmanned as processing is done onshore

Page 6: New Zealand Petroleum Conference 2018 - Microsoft... · 5/4/2018  · —only integrated energy management company in New Zealand 9 KEY INFORMATION Revenue: NZ$2.0 billion EBITDAF

Kupe onshore production— plant availability consistently above 97% target

• Condensate and LPG separated out

• Treatment to remove contaminants

• Residual gas is compressed and exported through a 11.7 km sales gas pipeline to the national grid

• Covering over 7.6 hectares of land, the production station includes:• more than 56 km of piping• 120 km of electrical cable• 8 x LPG storage bullets – 300 tonne capacity each• 2 x 9,500 bbl condensate storage tanks• administration and control buildings• five truck loading bays for LPG and light crude• three flare systems for releasing gasses to depressurise plant• a laboratory and wetlands

Wellhead platform

Gas dehydration

Gas fractionation

CO2 removal

LPG Fractionation

LPG Storage

OmataTank Farm

Produced water

Condensate stabilisation

Condensate storage

Slugcatcher

Sales gas compression

Sales gas metering

Page 7: New Zealand Petroleum Conference 2018 - Microsoft... · 5/4/2018  · —only integrated energy management company in New Zealand 9 KEY INFORMATION Revenue: NZ$2.0 billion EBITDAF

Kupe tank farm and export facilities— approx. 1.3 mbbl oil produced and exported each year

• The tank farm and export pipeline is located 70 km from the Kupe Production Station alongside Port Taranaki

• Light crude is trucked from the production station and stored at the tank farm until ready to be pumped to Port Taranaki and loaded into oil tankers

• Tank farm includes:

• 2 x 85,000 bbl light crude oil storage tanks and associated hot water system and mixers

• 2 truck unloading bays

• 3.6 km export pipeline to the Port of Taranaki tanker terminal

Page 8: New Zealand Petroleum Conference 2018 - Microsoft... · 5/4/2018  · —only integrated energy management company in New Zealand 9 KEY INFORMATION Revenue: NZ$2.0 billion EBITDAF

Taranaki oil and gas fields— geographical context

Page 9: New Zealand Petroleum Conference 2018 - Microsoft... · 5/4/2018  · —only integrated energy management company in New Zealand 9 KEY INFORMATION Revenue: NZ$2.0 billion EBITDAF

Genesis portfolio fit— only integrated energy management company in New Zealand

9

KEY INFORMATION

Revenue: NZ$2.0 billion

EBITDAF Guidance (FY18): NZ$350-360 million

Dividend Yield: 6.7%

Share Price: NZ$2.40

Market Capitalisation: NZ$2.4 billion

Average Daily Turnover: 750,000 shares

Credit Rating: BBB+ (Standard & Poors)

Genesis Energy is a large, fully integrated energy management company. It is New Zealand’s largest energy retailer, generates electricity from a diverse portfolio of thermal and renewable assets located throughout the country, and has an interest in the Kupe oil and gas field offshore of Taranaki.

,

Page 10: New Zealand Petroleum Conference 2018 - Microsoft... · 5/4/2018  · —only integrated energy management company in New Zealand 9 KEY INFORMATION Revenue: NZ$2.0 billion EBITDAF

10FY1710

10

Page 11: New Zealand Petroleum Conference 2018 - Microsoft... · 5/4/2018  · —only integrated energy management company in New Zealand 9 KEY INFORMATION Revenue: NZ$2.0 billion EBITDAF

11

OptimiseTo improve short term return

InvestFor long-term value creation

InnovateFor medium term growth

REIMAGINING ENERGYto put control in our customers’ hands

Deliver operational excellence and value

optimisation

Increase value share of residential

category

Targeted growth in business category

Grow LPG category Build energy services

Insights and AnalysisFoundation investments in technology & digital

Embed data-driven decisions

Ways of working

Core Strategic Initiatives

Enabling Initiatives

Business strategy— five key strategic initiatives underpin our transformation

Page 12: New Zealand Petroleum Conference 2018 - Microsoft... · 5/4/2018  · —only integrated energy management company in New Zealand 9 KEY INFORMATION Revenue: NZ$2.0 billion EBITDAF

FY17 EBITDAF Operationalexcellence

Residentialvalue share

Businesscategorygrowth

Grow LPGcategory

Energyservices

Kupe Core growth OriginalFY21 EBITDAF

target

Nova Energyretail LPGbusiness

Revised FY21EBITDAF

target

$333m

$5m -$8m

$9m -$14m$5m -$8m

$6m -$10m $2m -$3m

$13m -$17m$12m -$17m

$15m -$20m

$385m -$410m

$400m -$430m

12

NOTES1. Several initiatives are interdependent. As an example, energy services capability will contribute towards residential value share2. All ranges are net of operational investment required to achieve target outcomes3. Represents acquired EBITDAF in the acquisition of the Nova Energy retail LPG business not in original FY21 target. $4-6 million of synergies from the acquisition will be reflected in the

“grow LPG category”4. Core growth represents partial benefit from the rolling off of the take or pay gas contracts and natural growth in wholesale prices over time

4

3

Financial strategy: FY21 target— target to deliver $400 - $430 million by FY21

Page 13: New Zealand Petroleum Conference 2018 - Microsoft... · 5/4/2018  · —only integrated energy management company in New Zealand 9 KEY INFORMATION Revenue: NZ$2.0 billion EBITDAF

DIVIDEND & PAYOUT HISTORY

13

Investor Strategy— continued growth in dividends with a 8.6% gross yield1 and outperformance of TSR relative to peers

2017 TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Genesis Peer Index NZX50

29.2%

25.1%

22.0%

2017 closing share price: $2.52

1. Gross yield based on closing share price as at 29 December 2017.

• FY17 16.6c of dividends declared up 1.2% representing a cash yield of 6.7%. Dividend policy to grow in real terms over time with 3.8% growth delivered in past three years against inflation of 2.5%

• TSR target of top quartile, translating to ~14%, with a focus on dividend yield plus growth

• TSR has exceeded market by 7.2% and peer index by 4.1% in past 12 months

114130

160 164 166

73%80% 81% 81% 84%

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FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017%

of

Free

Cas

h F

low

Tota

l Div

iden

ds

Paid

($

mill

ion

s)

Total dividends paid Total Dividend Paid as % of FCF

Page 14: New Zealand Petroleum Conference 2018 - Microsoft... · 5/4/2018  · —only integrated energy management company in New Zealand 9 KEY INFORMATION Revenue: NZ$2.0 billion EBITDAF

14

EBITDAF BY SEGMENT

• HY18 EBITDAF $200 million, up 28%, FY18 guidance of $350 - $360 million

• NPAT down 24% to $28 million, due to fair value movements, underlying earnings up 14% to $43 million

Kupe contribution & outlook— a diverse portfolio delivering consistent earnings over time

83 87 103 11058

169201 194 176

106

10794 80 84

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FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 HY18

$ MILLIONS

Customer Generation & Wholesale Kupe Corporate

EBITDAF up $24 million (75%) to $56 million

Gas sales 6.1PJ up 61%Oil sales 241kbbl up 64%LPG sales 22.7kt up 96%

Kupe HY18 financial performance• Impact of 15% additional stake and strong production

levels to support thermal plant

Kupe Outlook• Brent crude up 20% in 2017 with consensus outlook for

2018 in the range of US$59 to $62/bbl• LPG supply/demand balance tightening with a possible

move to net import early 2020’s• Phase II Development – approx. $90m FY20-22

Page 15: New Zealand Petroleum Conference 2018 - Microsoft... · 5/4/2018  · —only integrated energy management company in New Zealand 9 KEY INFORMATION Revenue: NZ$2.0 billion EBITDAF

• Company strategy

• Deliver operational excellence and value optimization K

• Increase value share of residential category

• Grow business 2 business & LPG categories K

• Build energy services

• Financial strategy

• Deliver EBITDAF of $400 - $430 million by FY21 K

• Investor strategy

• Deliver yield plus growth, target top quartile TSR (~14%) K

15

Genesis Energy — our purpose is to reimagine energy, to put control in our customers’ hands

K identifies Kupe contribution

Page 16: New Zealand Petroleum Conference 2018 - Microsoft... · 5/4/2018  · —only integrated energy management company in New Zealand 9 KEY INFORMATION Revenue: NZ$2.0 billion EBITDAF