new wave of terror in asia

New Wave of Terrorism in Asia Pacific

Stephen P. CutlerPresident/CEO, OGCCorp

Professional Criminologists Association of the Philippines, IncPCAP MINDANAO WIDE CONVENTION

Zamboanga City14 DEC 2011

We will discuss

We Focus on The Philippines

PCAP, Zamboanga City, 14 DEC 2011

We tend to focus on:• ASG• NPA• MILF• MNLF• BIFF• Pentagon Gang


What in the world is going on?


National Sovereignty

Today we have: •respect for sovereignty, •the associated norm of

non-intervention, and •the formal equality of states.

BUT:

how does status as a failed, quasi-functioning, orfunctioning state affect “respect”

How does Criminology affect this?

The Issue? Our students?


Evolving GroupsAdaptations

Adversaries are human beingsSentient, Thinking,

Focused on Mission AND Surviving – as a group

The structure of arms and narcotics transactions is

increasingly variable, flexible, and multinational, as are the

relations between terrorist and transnational crime groups.Source: THE NEXUS AMONG TERRORISTS, NARCOTICSTRAFFICKERS, WEAPONS PROLIFERATORS, ANDORGANIZED CRIME NETWORKS IN WESTERN EUROPEA Study Prepared by the Federal Research Division,Library of CongressDecember 2002Authors: Glenn E. Curtis and Tara Karacan

Money

Funding from NarcoticsIPRRobberies/extortion/kidnap

“Of 43 foreign terrorist organizations, 19 are linked to the global

drug trade.”According to Michael Braun, Chief of Operations, US DEA

At “SOUTH2008” Conference 12/2008

“25 per cent of terrorism is being funded by the money generated by trafficking of

narcotic drugs.”

MK Sharma, zonal director, Indian Narcotics Control Bureau,

Jammu and KashmirQuoted at conference at Univ of Jammu

2008

A Global Pandemic Finds Millions Swarming Across The Border


Mass Migration Issues


China’s Growing Civil Unrest


China’s Growing Problems


China’s Growing Problems• More than three-quarters of the

surface water flowing through China’s urban areas is considered unsuitable for drinking or fishing. (Source: Turner, Jennifer L., “In Deep Water: Ecological Destruction of China’s Water Resources,” 2007. Original source: Chao Shengyu, “Underground Water in 90% of Chinese Cities Polluted,” Xinhua News, 2005.)

• About 4.05 million hectares, or 7.4% of the nation’s irrigated lands, are irrigated with polluted water; two-thirds of this land is in northern China. (Source: World Bank, “Addressing China’s Water Scarcity: Recommendations for Selected Water Resource Management Issues,” 2009.)


China’s Growing Problems


PAKISTAN’S COLLAPSE


Pakistan’s Collapse Leads To A Hunt For Its Nuclear Weapons


“Narcotics money, in fact, is the main source for Pakistan

in funding terrorists.”

MK Sharma, zonal director, Indian Narcotics Control Bureau,

Jammu and KashmirQuoted at conference at Univ of Jammu

2008

GEOGRAPHIC CHOKE POINTS


Map of Major Heroin Production Regions



Strait of Malacca Why “The Straits” are important



Strait of Hormuz 40 percent of all traded crude oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz


The Golden Crescent Region



Best Response? Who they are:


Dealing With A Major Cyber attack


Trends/Emerging Threats• Threats to Key Critical Infrastructure

• SCADA Systems• Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition• A search engine that indexes servers and other internet devices is

helping hackers to find industrial control systems that are vulnerable to tampering

• Greater use of Cyberspace by the bad guys• Compromise of Sensitive But Unclassified (SBU) Networks• Use of this bandwidth to facilitate criminal activity• A search engine that indexes servers and other internet

devices is helping hackers to find industrial control systems that are vulnerable to tampering


Growing Trends

•Virus/Worm Payloads Used to Facilitate Intrusion/Fraud Schemes

•Mercenary Distributed Denial Of Service Attacks

•Extortion Schemes Fueled by DDOS and Intrusion

•Spamming used to spread malicious payloads, phish, and pay using adware/malware, spyware

•Identity Theft Underpins Most Computer Crime

•Overall increase in sophistication by a geographically diverse criminal element


How does a “botnet” work?


Hyundai Capital's data leaked through servers in Philippines, Brazil: police

• SEOUL, April 10 (Yonhap) -- Police said Sunday that a hacker likely used servers in the Philippines and Brazil to steal private customer data from Hyundai Capital, an affiliate of South Korea's top automaker, in a case that leaked personal information of as many as 420,000 customers.

• Hyundai Capital, a financial unit of Hyundai Motor Group, was blackmailed last week by an unknown hacker demanding money in return for not releasing private data of its customers, including confidential financial information of some individuals. Police authorities at the Seoul Metropolitan Police Agency said the hacker gained access to Hyundai Capital's data from servers located in the Philippines and Brazil.

• http://english.yonhapnews.co.kr/national/2011/04/10/38/0302000000AEN20110410002651320F.HTML• accessed11APR2011


http://english.yonhapnews.co.kr/national/2011/04/10/38/0302000000AEN20110410002651320F.HTML

Iraq, And A Power Vacuum?


Major cities are leveled by black-market nukes.


Other threats?


Hezbollah, Hamas, al-Qaida,

and Latin American drug organizations all are present

today in West Africa

According to Michael Braun, Chief of Operations, US DEA

At “SOUTH2008” Conference 12/2008

One country’s problem:Mexico’s northern region

alone is on target to record 5,000 deaths this

year from narcotics-related violence.


Countries and Production

Colombia = Coca/CocaineAfghanistan = Opium

Burma/Laos/Thailand = OpiumPhilippines = Meth/Shabu


"The results show clear correlations between insurgency and illicit drug-

related activities. While this is not new, Afghanistan seems to be the most

obvious case in the world of how drug cultivation, refining and trafficking fund

political violence, and vice versa."

Afghanistan: Opium Winter Rapid Assessment Survey

, United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC), 5 March 2007

http://www.reliefweb.int/rw/rwb.nsf/db900SID/RMOI-6Z225M?OpenDocument

http://www.reliefweb.int/rw/rwb.nsf/db900SID/RMOI-6Z225M?OpenDocument

The life of a terrorist was not ruled by politics or ideology,

but by economics.

Findings of Economist Loretta Napoleoni, as summarized at

“globalguerrilas” website

Other threats?


Do you still have any hope?


What do we do?“You have to show them,

in both counterinsurgency and counternarcotics, that you are the ones running the show.”

(Sergio Jaramillo Caro)PCAP, Zamboanga City, 14 DEC 2011

“As citizens begin to feel secure and have trust in the government, they turn away

from the insurgents and cartels and begin to assist the

government.”

Sergio Jaramillo Caro, Vice Minister of Defense, Colombia

At South2008 Conference

How does Criminology affect this?

The Issue? Our students?


What are we doing today to prepare for tomorrow?

• How do we modify, if at all, the current topics of instruction?

• How do we modify, if at all, the current methods of instruction?– How do we teach?

• Current methods of setting curriculum?• How do we forecast what we WILL need?• How do YOU get your ideas published?


Questions?

Thank you!

Stephen P. CutlerPresident/CEO, OGCCorp

Professional Criminologists Association of the Philippines, incPCAP Mindanao Wide Convention

14DEC2011

new wave of terror in asia

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