new topics in revenue management
DESCRIPTION
Revenue management presentation by Steven Small of AMLI.TRANSCRIPT
Yield Optimization Strategies
April 24, 2008
CIO – AMLI Residential (www.amli.com) RentWizard – Sold to RealPage in 2003 RentCheque – 2nd generation implementation
CEO – Yield Dynamics, Inc. YieldWizard – “A NEW GENERATION OF SOFTWARE FOR EQUIPMENT
RENTAL YIELD MAXIMIZATION”
CEO – Yield Technologies, Inc. (www.yieldco.com) RevenueRaptor – Revenue optimization framework
Steve Small
PRESENTER BACKGROUND
Agenda
The Business Opportunity
Statistical Concepts
Yield Optimization at AMLI
Revenue Management is Real MoneyRevenue Management is Real Money
RegionAMLI
Properties NCREIF Index
Rolling 1 Year NOI Return Variance
Houston 6.40% 5.72% 0.68%
Austin 6.02% 5.48% 0.54%
Dallas 6.24% 5.51% 0.73%
Atlanta 6.21% 5.45% 0.77%
Chicago 5.84% 5.20% 0.64%
Denver 5.80% 5.03% 0.78%
Kansas 6.55% 6.17% 0.38%
Southern California 5.17% 4.47% 0.71%
New Jersey 6.40% 5.35% 1.05%
Seattle 6.06% 5.02% 1.04%
Florida 5.10% 4.80% 0.30%
Total Portfolio 6.01% 5.21% 0.79%
AMLI’s property data is computed using the NCREIF formulas, summarized by market and compared against the lowest meaningful index
Simple compounded rate of the most recent four quarters is used for comparison
Data in the chart to the right is for 2Q06 through 1Q07
AMLI vs. NCREIF – Annual NOI Growth
Wachovia REIT Performance
Revenue Management is Real MoneyRevenue Management is Real Money
Global Perspective
Revenue Management is more than a pricing system.
It’s about finding incremental opportunities.
People and process first; Technology second.
Key aspects: Install business transparency. Feedback business results and metrics in real-time. Make it easy to for customers to do business with you. Invest in your Internet presence. Take a disciplined statistical approach to capital investment
and pricing.
KEY ASPECTS
Transforming the Enterprise
Is it Actionable?
Is it understandable to the organization?
Can everyone participate?
Yield Optimization is about actionable ways to improve marketing, product mix, customers, and business processes.
YIELD OPTIMIZATION
Agenda
The Business Opportunity
Statistical Concepts
Yield Optimization at AMLI
Improved revenue on operations
Find the optimal price at which you can maintain target utilization…
It is instructive to understand elasticity of the conversion ratio for demand. Elasticity measures the responsiveness of quantity demanded to a change in price, with all other factors held constant.
ELASTICITY
Computing price elasticity of demand (Sensitivity)
E d p ercentage change in q uantity d em and ed
p ercentage change in p r ice
% .Q
8 5 1 0 0
1 0 0
1 5
1 0 00 1 5 o r 1 5 %
%$ 2. $ 2 .
$ 2 .
$ 0.
$ 2 .P
2 0 0 0
0 0
2 0
0 010%
%
%.
Q
P
1 5 %
1 0 %1 5 0
Interpreting the value of elasticity
Response to Price Changes
Responsive
Unresponsive
Proportional
Value of
Elasticity
Ed > 1
Ed < 1
Ed = 1
Demand Elasticity
Elastic
Inelastic
Unitary elastic
Magnitudes of Change
%QD > %P
%QD < %P
%QD = %PType of
Elasticity
Elastic
Inelastic
Substitutes Available
Many
Few
The main determinant of demand elasticity is the availability of substitutes
ELASTIC or INELASTIC
Factors affecting the price elasticity of demand
Availability of substitutes: the more possible substitutes, the greater the elasticity.
Degree of necessity or luxury: luxury products tend to have greater elasticity.
Proportion of the purchaser's budget consumed by the item: products that consume a large portion of the purchaser's budget tend to have greater elasticity.
Time period considered: elasticity tends to be greater over the long run because consumers have more time to adjust their behavior.
Permanent or temporary price change: a one-day sale will elicit a different response than a permanent price decrease.
Predicting changes in total revenue
Along the elastic range of the demand curve, an increase in price leads to a decrease in total revenue.
This graph shows the relationship between elasticity along a linear demand curve and total revenue. Note the following:
Along the inelastic range, an increase in price leads to an increase in total revenue.
Revenue is maximized when Ed=1.
Agenda
The Business Opportunity
Statistical Concepts
Yield Optimization at AMLI
Consistent Message and Processes
“HUGO” - OUR HEGDEHOG
Tier Report
PORTFOLIO AT A GLANCE
Performance Dashboards
If you don’t measure it, You will no be able to effectively manage it
Instills competition with peer team members
Focuses attention on Key Performance Indicators that you want to affect
MONITOR ORGANIZATION IN REAL TIME
Key Performance Indicators
DASHBOARDS
Measures Individual Performance
DASHBOARDS
KPIs Presented “Over Time”
STORE DASHBOARD
Market Survey
PROPERTY OVERVIEW
Leasing, Marketing & Servicing
Real-Time Internet Unit Pricing & Availability
On-Line Leasing
AMLITrak
PhoneTrak
The New AMLI.com
BE MORE CONNECTED
Real Time on AMLI.com
UNIT PRICING & AVAILABILITY
Pricing Matrix
DELIVERY OF MULTIPLE LEASE TERM PRICING
AMLI is a Leader
AMLI IS 3X THE RENT.COM AVERAGE (2006)
REIT Performance metrics (YTD 2006)
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
Lead to Lease Conversion – weighted average per property
AMLITrak
CRM LEAD FOLLOW-UP SYSTEM
Prospects
RECORDED IN DBMS & EMAILED TO COMMUNITY
Responses
COACHED & RECORDED
Follow-up Reminder
IS QUEUED
Another Follow-up Reminder
BY EMAIL TO COMMUNITY STAFF
Creates an e-mail Response
ALSO COACHED
Also Creates a Future Reminder
IF PROSPECT LEASES ELSEWHERE
AMLI PhoneTrak
CAPTURES CALLER DATA AND PROVIDES UNIT AVAILABILITY
AMLI PhoneTrak
CAPTURES CALLER DATA AND PROVIDES UNIT AVAILABILITY
AMLI PhoneTrak
Is a Virtual Call Center
AMLI Community Sales Staff Knows Product and Customers Better
Measures Call Follow-up and Responsiveness
Captures Better Customer Traffic and Demographics Data
BENEFITS
AMLI PhoneTrak
TOOL FOR COMMUNITY STAFFING DECISIONS
AMLIPhoneTrak
TRACKS CALLS GOING TO ANSWERING SERVICE
Revenue Management
Revenue Management Is giving the right customer the right product at the right time for the right price
Goal is to maximize rental revenues through the proper balance of occupancy and rental rates
AMLI Residential
RENT CHEQUE
Comparison to Other Industries
REVENUE MANAGEMENT
Airline Hotel Apartment Rentals
Relatively fixed capacityHard to add extra seat to a plane or extra planes to a
route
Hard to build extra hotel room quickly
Hard to build extra apartments quickly
Perishable inventoryYesterdays empty seat
cannot be re-sold today, it has no value
Yesterdays empty hotel room cannot be re-sold today, it
has no value
If an apartment goes empty for a day, that day's value is
lost forever
Advanced ReservationsMost people book flights well
before the day of travel
Most people book hotel rooms well before the day of
travel
Nobody signs a lease and moves in the same day!
Time variable demandSummers are busier, holiday
times are peak times
Resorts are busy in the summer, conference hotels
busy during the week..
People prefer to move in at the start of the month.
Summer is preferd over winter
Appropriate cost & Pricing Structure
Marginal cost (fuel, food and overhead) is very low
compared to fix cost (the airplane lease)
The cost of cleaning a room (marginal cost) is very small compared to the total cost
structure
There is virtually no marginal cost in the apartment industry
Segmentable marketsBusiness travel is shorter
notice, generally weekdays only
Corporate travelers vs. Leisure travelers
Corporate housing vs. new family rentals vs. lease
renewals
ExamplesConcept
Replaces Traditional “Market Rent and Concessions” Approach
Simplifies Pricing for the Customer and the Leasing Staff
Easy to Implement, Manage & Measure
“Gross Potential Rent” is a meaningless number
Revenue Management
NET EFFECTIVE RENT PRICING
Revenue Mgmt Roadmap
TRANSITION PLAN
Concept Previously Transition End State
Pricing Frequency "When we got around to it" 2 or 3 times a weekDaily, or as required (after each
new transaction?)
Separate logic cases
Information pulled from disparate reports
64 256 and beyond
Information Delivery
"Pull" "Push" Integrated / Automatic
Ownership No forced ownership Opt in Opt Out
Prices Generated New leases only New leases only New and Renewal
ComplianceManual checking, time
consumingManual checking, time
consuming
Sophisticated compliance validation and exception
reporting
Fees & Other Income
No Fee focus, (admin, app.. Etc) No Fee focus, (admin, app.. Etc)Automated auditing and
compliance management of all fees and other income
Revenue Opportunity
NET EFFECTIVE VS. CONCESSION BURN-OFF
$900
$950
$1,000
$1,050
$1,100
$1,150
$1,200
Market Rent
Weekly
Monthly
Bi Monthly
Revenue Opportunity
MAXIMUM CAPTURE VS. FREQUENCY
100.00%
99.72%
98.67%
97.75%
97%
98%
99%
100%
Daily Weekly Monthly Bi-Monthly
Actual Pricing
EXAMPLE OF “PUSH” REPORTING
Metrics
A LITTLE OF THE MATH INVOLVED
Occupancy Change
0
30
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tto
NrNuVrVu
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Adjusted Availability
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UTt
tUTBTt
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NrNuVrVu
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Traffic Index
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Traffic
Outcomes
64 UNIQUE SOLUTIONS
Traffic Index
Adjusted AvailabilityOccupancy Change
Lease
s
Seasonality
Seasonal lease expirations adjustment
Anatomy of a Lease
OPTIMIZING EACH LEASE FOR MAXIMUM REVENUE
Front loaded vacancy
Turn cost amortization
Pricing Matrix
DELIVERY OF MULTIPLE LEASE TERM PRICING
Steve Small – AMLI Residential (www.amli.com) [email protected] or [email protected] 312-283-4900
AMLI Residential
CONTACT INFORMATION