new technology and efficiency enhancements

18
Adjusting Expectations in Today’s Global Energy Market

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Page 1: New Technology and Efficiency Enhancements

Adjusting Expectations in Today’s Global Energy Market

Page 2: New Technology and Efficiency Enhancements

2 This document is proprietary and confidential. No part of this document may be disclosed in any manner to a third party without the prior written consent of WB Services, LLC.

Page 3: New Technology and Efficiency Enhancements

This document is proprietary and confidential. No part of this document may be disclosed in any manner to a third party without the prior written consent of WB Services, LLC. 3

U.S. Motor Gasoline Consumption by year

Page 4: New Technology and Efficiency Enhancements

U.S. Exports of Fuel Ethanol (Thousand Barrels)

This document is proprietary and confidential. No part of this document may be disclosed in any manner to a third party without the prior written consent of WB Services, LLC. 4

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2010 324 519 1,153 973 414 387 603 707 929 834 930 1,717

2011 1,364 1,425 2,003 2,865 1,743 1,604 3,036 1,246 2,525 2,895 3,634 4,117

2012 1,819 1,785 1,992 1,775 1,397 1,410 1,519 1,206 1,191 1,284 965 1,313

2013 1,518 1,017 1,312 967 952 796 830 1,182 1,299 1,206 2,134 1,525

2014 2,054 1,605 2,139 1,585 1,263 1,431 1,600 1,292 1,354

Page 5: New Technology and Efficiency Enhancements

Corn

Market Trends

DowNatural Gas ($ per MM Btu)Oil - WTI Crude

5

1996 2005 2014

Page 6: New Technology and Efficiency Enhancements

Crude Oil in the United States

This document is proprietary and confidential. No part of this document may be disclosed in any manner to a third party without the prior written consent of WB Services, LLC. 6

2013 2014

Daily Consumption *source: eia.gov

18.96 mm barrels/day

18.91*mm barrels/day

*estimated

Daily Production *source: eia.gov

7.46 mm barrels/day

8.57* mm barrels/day

*estimated

Price $100/barrel $69/barrel

Peaked in 1970 at ~10mm barrels/day

Page 7: New Technology and Efficiency Enhancements

Crude Oil in the United States

This document is proprietary and confidential. No part of this document may be disclosed in any manner to a third party without the prior written consent of WB Services, LLC. 7

Page 8: New Technology and Efficiency Enhancements

This document is proprietary and confidential. No part of this document may be disclosed in any manner to a third party without the prior written consent of WB Services, LLC. 8

Page 9: New Technology and Efficiency Enhancements

A Perfect Storm • Reduced demand for crude oil • Increased crude

production/improved technology

• Strong U.S. Dollar

This document is proprietary and confidential. No part of this document may be disclosed in any manner to a third party without the prior written consent of WB Services, LLC. 9

• Declining rig count • Drilling and

completion costs make shale reserves dependent on high crude prices

• Shale reservoir development become marginal at low crude prices

Page 10: New Technology and Efficiency Enhancements

This document is proprietary and confidential. No part of this document may be disclosed in any manner to a third party without the prior written consent of WB Services, LLC. 10

Page 11: New Technology and Efficiency Enhancements

Solidify Competitive Position

This document is proprietary and confidential. No part of this document may be disclosed in any manner to a third party without the prior written consent of WB Services, LLC. 11

• Be proactive vs. reactive • Engage in long-term vision • Maintain and repair aging valuable assets • Lessons learned: focus on liquidity

• Work together to broaden biofuels industry

• Research & development • Industry collaboration

• Trade association (i.e. Prime the Pump) • Technology partners

• Focus on carbon intensity in decision making • California-driven today • Increased relevancy in the future

Page 12: New Technology and Efficiency Enhancements

This document is proprietary and confidential. No part of this document may be disclosed in any manner to a third party without the prior written consent of WB Services, LLC. 12

Page 13: New Technology and Efficiency Enhancements

This document is proprietary and confidential. No part of this document may be disclosed in any manner to a third party without the prior written consent of WB Services, LLC. 13

Page 14: New Technology and Efficiency Enhancements

Broadening the Industry • Corn oil to renewable

diesel • Renewable diesel to jet fuel • Cellulosic component • Ethanol as a “building

block” • Ethanol to jet fuel • Ethanol to aromatics

• CO2 to Gold

This document is proprietary and confidential. No part of this document may be disclosed in any manner to a third party without the prior written consent of WB Services, LLC. 14

Ultimately, facilities will move toward a true biorefinery model where each plant manufactures products specific to its geographic location, market, plant enhancement, or other synergy.

Page 15: New Technology and Efficiency Enhancements

Maturing Industry • Many plants with little or no debt • Plant consolidation vs. independent • Many plants with strong equity positions • Uncertain policy environment • Aging plants will require increased focus on

maintenance and repair • Shifting philosophy to product diversification • How to best deploy capital

This document is proprietary and confidential. No part of this document may be disclosed in any manner to a third party without the prior written consent of WB Services, LLC. 15

Page 16: New Technology and Efficiency Enhancements

Evaluating Plant Improvements

This document is proprietary and confidential. No part of this document may be disclosed in any manner to a third party without the prior written consent of WB Services, LLC. 16

Net Present Value Analysis vs. Simple Payback The difference between the present value of cash inflows and the present value of cash outflows. Discount Rate: %

Life of Project: years

Initial Cost:

Cash Flow: per year (Assumption of equal cash flow for years 2-10)

7

15

$1,200,000

$508,320

Net Present Value: $2,370,735.32

PV of Expected Cash Flows: $3,570,735.32

Calculate

Page 17: New Technology and Efficiency Enhancements

Maximizing Revenue • Plant optimization • Plant technology • Corn oil production • Corn oil to a higher

value motor fuel

This document is proprietary and confidential. No part of this document may be disclosed in any manner to a third party without the prior written consent of WB Services, LLC. 17

Current focus of WB Services Two bolt on technologies for generating higher revenue co-products from corn oil: biodiesel and renewable diesel.

Page 18: New Technology and Efficiency Enhancements

Contact Us

316.772.9084

[email protected]

www.wbservicesllc.com

18 This document is proprietary and confidential. No part of this document may be disclosed in any manner to a third party without the prior written consent of WB Services, LLC.

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@WBservicesllc