new mexico covid-19 mortality update · 2020. 12. 21. · new mexico covid-19 mortality update...
TRANSCRIPT
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NEW MEXICO COVID-19 MORTALITY UPDATE December 21st 2020
All data reported here exclude cases who live out-of-state.
Total Deaths Deaths in the Last 14 Days
2,180 264
SECTION 1: DEATH COUNTS
Daily Number of Deaths and 7-day Moving Average
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
3/2
3
3/3
0
4/6
4/1
3
4/2
0
4/2
7
5/4
5/1
1
5/1
8
5/2
5
6/1
6/8
6/1
5
6/2
2
6/2
9
7/6
7/1
3
7/2
0
7/2
7
8/3
8/1
0
8/1
7
8/2
4
8/3
1
9/7
9/1
4
9/2
1
9/2
8
10
/5
10
/12
10
/19
10
/26
11
/2
11
/9
11
/16
11
/23
11
/30
12
/7
12
/14
Dai
ly N
um
ber
of
Dea
ths
Daily Deaths 7 per. Mov. Avg. (Daily Deaths)
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2
Number of Deaths Each Week
39
19
34
53
7165 61
4451
3037 33
21 2429
3746
53
35 3525 23
168
15 15 16 1923
55
85
143
176
159166
182
204
60
0
50
100
150
200
250
Wee
kly
Nu
mb
er o
f D
eath
s
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Number of Deaths Each Week by Long- and Short-term Care Facility Residence
0
50
100
150
200
250
3/2
3-3
/29
3/3
0-4
/5
4/6
-4/1
2
4/1
3-4
/19
4/2
0-4
/26
4/2
7-5
/3
5/4
-5/1
0
5/1
1-5
/17
5/1
8-5
/24
5/2
5-5
/31
6/1
-6/7
6/8
-6/1
4
6/1
5-6
/21
6/2
2-6
/28
6/2
9-7
/5
7/6
-7/1
2
7/1
3-7
/19
7/2
0-7
/26
7/2
7-8
/2
8/3
-8/9
8/1
0-8
/16
8/1
7-8
/23
8/2
4-8
/30
8/3
1-9
/6
9/7
-9/1
3
9/1
4-9
/20
9/2
1-9
/27
9/2
8-1
0/4
10
/5-1
0/1
1
10
/12
-10
/18
10
/19
-10
/25
10
/26
-11
/1
11
/2-1
1/8
11
/9/1
1/1
5
11
/16
-11
/22
11
/23
-11
/29
11
/30
-12
/6
12
/7-1
2/1
3
12
/14
-12
/20
Wee
kly
Nu
mb
er o
f D
eath
s
Not Long-term or Short-term Care Long-term or Short-term Care Facility (28% of deaths)
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Number of Deaths by Age Group Each Month
Age Group (years) March April May June July August September October November December
(partial) Total
0-4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5-17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1
18-34 0 4 9 4 4 7 6 6 11 9 60
35-64 1 33 70 47 54 38 18 44 165 112 582
65+ 5 109 179 76 117 81 41 121 507 301 1537
Total 6 146 258 127 175 126 65 171 684 422 2180
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
M A R C H A P R I L M A Y J U N E J U L Y A U G U S T S E P T E M B E R O C T O B E R N O V E M B E R D E C E M B E R( P A R T I A L )
NU
MB
ER O
F D
EATH
S
0-4 5-17 18-34 35-64 65+
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5
Number of Deaths by Gender Each Month
Gender March April May June July August September October November December
(partial) Total
Male 3 79 137 73 100 67 39 89 389 248 1224
Female 3 67 121 54 75 59 26 82 295 174 956
Total 6 146 258 127 175 126 65 171 684 422 2180
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
M A R C H A P R I L M A Y J U N E J U L Y A U G U S T S E P T E M B E R O C T O B E R N O V E M B E R D E C E M B E R( P A R T I A L )
NU
MB
ER O
F D
EATH
S
Male Female
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Number of Deaths by Race/Ethnicity Each Month
Race/Ethnicity March April May June July August September October November December
(partial) Total
American Indian/ Alaska Native
0 74 162 82 69 41 17 27 128 91 691
Asian/Pacific Islander 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 3 5 4 16 Black/African American
0 2 1 0 4 2 1 5 9 8 32
Hispanic or Latino 2 22 40 22 62 48 30 87 312 158 783
White 3 48 55 22 40 35 15 48 214 117 597
Unknown 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 16 44 61
Total 6 146 258 127 175 126 65 171 684 422 2180
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
M A R C H A P R I L M A Y J U N E J U L Y A U G U S T S E P T E M B E R O C T O B E R N O V E M B E R D E C E M B E R( P A R T I A L )
NU
MB
ER O
F D
EATH
S
American Indian/ Alaska Native Asian/Pacific Islander Black/African American
Hispanic or Latino White
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Percentage of Deaths by Race/Ethnicity and Age Group
13%
0%6% 6%
2%
33%
19%
19%23%
11%
23%
38%31% 26%
18%
31%
44% 44% 45%
70%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
AIAN(n=691)
Asian/PI(n=16)
Black/AfAm(n=32)
Hispanic(n=783)
White(n=597)
Perc
enta
ge o
f D
eath
s
Race/Ethnicity
75+
65-74
45-64
18-44
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8
Number of deaths by New Mexico County of residence each month
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
M A R C H A P R I L M A Y J U N E J U L Y A U G U S T S E P T E M B E R O C T O B E R N O V E M B E R D E C E M B E R( P A R T I A L )
NU
MB
ER O
F D
EATH
S
Bernalillo Dona Ana San Juan Sandoval Chaves McKinley Lea Taos Valencia
Eddy Santa Fe Cibola Luna Socorro Otero Curry Rio Arriba Roosevelt
Sierra Colfax Grant Lincoln Quay Union Harding San Miguel Catron
Guadalupe Torrance De Baca Hidalgo Los Alamos Mora
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Number of deaths by New Mexico County of residence each month - continued
County of Residence
March April May June July August September October November December
(partial) Total
Bernalillo 4 35 43 12 40 35 15 43 160 98 485 Dona Ana 0 1 3 7 21 20 8 35 121 44 260 San Juan 0 57 75 38 16 8 3 4 40 33 274 Sandoval 1 14 12 3 10 3 0 7 38 29 117 Chaves 0 1 2 0 3 0 6 7 31 27 77 McKinley 0 27 106 48 51 21 9 3 30 29 324 Lea 0 0 0 0 7 11 8 8 27 15 76 Taos 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 1 27 5 37 Valencia 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 3 26 21 53 Eddy 1 0 0 0 4 1 8 14 25 9 62 Santa Fe 0 2 2 0 0 1 2 11 25 17 60 Cibola 0 3 4 9 3 3 0 2 23 11 58 Luna 0 1 0 2 0 2 2 5 19 7 38 Socorro 0 2 3 0 1 0 0 8 15 11 40 Otero 0 0 4 3 4 2 0 1 14 7 35 Curry 0 0 0 0 3 3 1 7 13 12 39 Rio Arriba 0 0 1 0 4 9 1 0 11 9 35 Roosevelt 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 7 7 3 21 Sierra 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 7 19 28 Colfax 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 11 Grant 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 3 2 9 Lincoln 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 3 3 1 10 Quay 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 1 6 Union 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 2 7 Harding 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 6 San Miguel 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 3 Catron 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 Guadalupe 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 3 Torrance 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 De Baca 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Hidalgo 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Mora 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total 6 146 258 127 175 126 65 171 684 422 2180
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Number of Deaths by Underlying Conditions Each Month
Underlying Conditions Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
(partial) Total
Hypertension 0 16 31 37 99 58 32 87 350 120 830
Diabetes 2 36 80 54 82 48 26 62 280 96 766
Cardio-vascular Disease 1 55 98 45 72 39 23 66 222 74 695
Chronic Lung Disease 2 33 58 18 45 24 16 30 135 43 404
Chronic Kidney Disease 1 14 32 17 33 20 13 37 160 67 394
Obesity 0 8 18 16 29 21 7 16 109 43 267
Chronic Liver Disease 0 5 8 15 13 13 11 20 43 14 142
Immuno-compromised 0 6 17 6 8 5 3 8 18 12 83
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
M A R C H A P R I L M A Y J U N E J U L Y A U G U S T S E P T E M B E R O C T O B E R N O V E M B E R D E C E M B E R( P A R T I A L )
NU
MB
ER O
F D
EATH
S
Cardio-vascular Disease Diabetes Hypertension Chronic Lung Disease
Chronic Kidney Disease Obesity Chronic Liver Disease Immuno-compromised
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Percentage of Deaths by Underlying Condition by Age Group
1% 1% 1% 2% 1%
9% 8%2%
23%
30%
18%22%
28%
51% 54%
33%
76%82%
77%71%
40% 38%
65%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Hypertension(n=919)
Diabetes(n=837)
CardiovascularDisease(n=760)
Chronic Lung Disease(n=446)
Chronic KidneyDisease(n=435)
Obesity(n=291)
Chronic Liver Disease(n=156)
Immunocompromised(n=94)
Perc
enta
ge
65+
35-64
18-34
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Number and percent of deaths by Test Result and Cause of Death on the Death Certificate
Positive COVID-19 Test Result*
COVID-19 Cause/Contributor of Death on Death Certificate Number of Deaths Percent
Yes Yes 1721 78.9%
Yes No 62 2.8%
Yes Pending 367 16.8%
No Yes 30 1.4%
Total 2180 100.0% * Positive RT-PCR or Rapid Test
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Number and percent of deaths by underlying cause of death on the death certificate
Underlying Cause Number of Deaths* Percent
COVID-19 1351 91.6%
Cardiovascular Disease 37 2.5%
Other 28 1.9%
Alzheimer's or Dementia 21 1.4%
Cancer 14 0.9%
Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis 11 0.7%
Chronic lower respiratory disease 4 0.3%
Chronic Kidney Disease 3 0.2%
Diabetes 3 0.2%
Influenza & pneumonia 3 0.2%
Total 1475 100.0%
*Excludes 705 (32%) deaths which have not yet been coded by the National Center for Health Statistics.
COVID-1991.6%
Cardiovascular Disease2.5%
Other1.9%
Alzheimer's or Dementia1.4%
Cancer0.9%
Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis
0.7%
Chronic lower respiratory disease
0.3%Chronic Kidney Disease
0.2%
Diabetes0.2%
Influenza & pneumonia0.2%
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SECTION 2: MORTALITY RATES
Mortality Rate per 100,000 Population by Age Group
0.0 0.312.5
76.1
405.9
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
0-4 5-17 18-34 35-64 65+
Dea
ths
per
10
0,0
00
po
pu
lati
on
-
15
Age-adjusted Mortality Rate per 100,000 Population by Gender
103.3
66.3
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Male Female
Dea
ths
per
10
0,0
00
po
pu
lati
on
-
16
Age-adjusted Mortality rate per 100,000 Population by Race/Ethnicity
Age-adjusted Mortality rate among AI/AN by Month of 1st Positive Test
401.9
42.3
77.1 81.1
40.1
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
AI/AN Asian/PI Black/AfAm Hispanic White
Dea
ths
per
10
0,0
00
po
pu
lati
on
3.2
84.2 85.6
38.530.1
12.99.0
34.1
85.1
17.9
0
20
40
60
80
100
March April May June July August September October November December(partial)
Dea
ths
per
10
0,0
00
po
pu
lati
on
-
17
Age-adjusted Mortality Rate per 100,000 Population by New Mexico County
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18
Age-adjusted Mortality Rate per 100,000 Population by County (last 14 days)
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19
SECTION 3: CASE FATALITY RATES
Case Fatality Rate by Age Group
0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
1.1%
9.9%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
0-4 5-17 18-34 35-64 65+
Per
cen
tage
of
case
s re
sult
ing
in d
eath
-
20
Case Fatality Rate by Age Group and Month of 1st Positive Test
0%0%0%
3%
13%
0%0%1%
4%
31%
0%0%1%
4%
21%
0%0%0%2%
16%
0%0%0%1%
16%
0%0%0%2%
11%
0%0%0%1%
13%
0%0%0%1%
12%
0%0%0%1%
9%
0%0%0%0%
3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
0-4
5-1
7
18
-34
35
-64
65
+
0-4
5-1
7
18
-34
35
-64
65
+
0-4
5-1
7
18
-34
35
-64
65
+
0-4
5-1
7
18
-34
35
-64
65
+
0-4
5-1
7
18
-34
35
-64
65
+
0-4
5-1
7
18
-34
35
-64
65
+
0-4
5-1
7
18
-34
35
-64
65
+
0-4
5-1
7
18
-34
35
-64
65
+
0-4
5-1
7
18
-34
35
-64
65
+
0-4
5-1
7
18
-34
35
-64
65
+
March April May June July August September October November December
Per
cen
tage
of
case
s re
sult
ing
in d
eath
-
21
Age-adjusted* Case Fatality Rate by Gender
*Age-adjusted case fatality rates are adjusted to the current distribution of U.S. COVID-19 cases. https://www.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/index. html#demographics
3.2%
2.0%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
Male Female
Per
cen
tage
of
case
s re
sult
ing
in d
eath
https://www.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/index.html
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22
Age-adjusted* Case Fatality Rate by Race/Ethnicity
Age-adjusted* Case Fatality Rate Among AI/AN, by Month of 1st Positive Test
4.4%
2.0%
3.2%
2.8%2.5%
0%
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
3%
4%
4%
5%
5%
AI/AN Asian/PI Black/AfAm Hispanic White
Per
cen
tage
of
case
s re
sult
ing
in d
eath
5.3%
6.9%
6.2%
5.2% 5.3%
6.4%
5.1%
4.0%3.4%
1.2%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
March April May June July August September October November December(partial)
Per
cen
tage
of
case
s re
sult
ing
in d
eath
-
23
Case Fatality Rate by Race/Ethnicity and Age Group
0-9 10-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80-89 90+
AI/AN 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 1.3% 1.8% 3.6% 7.3% 16.5% 24.4% 40.2%
Hispanic 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 1.2% 4.2% 11.8% 22.4% 30.8%
White 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 1.3% 2.5% 9.7% 22.2% 28.6%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
Per
cen
tage
of
case
s re
sult
ing
in d
eath
Age Group (Years)
AI/AN
Hispanic
White
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24
Age-adjusted* Case Fatality Rate by Race/Ethnicity and Gender
Age-adjusted* Case Fatality Rate Among AI/AN, by Month of 1st Positive Test and Gender
6.0%
3.4%
1.9% 1.8%
3.0%3.4% 3.5%
2.2%
3.1%
2.1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female
AI/AN Asian/PI Black/AfAm Hispanic White
Per
cen
tage
of
case
s re
sult
ing
in d
eath
11.3%
2.1%
10.2%
4.7%
8.1%
4.7%5.1%
5.7%
7.0%
4.0%
10.4%
4.2%
6.5%
4.2%
5.8%
2.4%
4.4%
2.8%2.0%
0.7%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female
March April May June July August September October November December(partial)
Per
cen
tage
of
Cas
es R
esu
ltin
g in
Dea
th
-
25
Age-adjusted* Case Fatality Rate by Gender, Underlying Conditions, and Hospitalization Status
3.5%2.1%
0.2% 0.1%0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Male Female Male Female
Pre-existing Conditions No Pre-existing Conditions
Per
cen
tage
of
case
s re
sult
ing
in d
eath
Not Hospitalized
25.9%
18.7%
4.3%2.3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Male Female Male Female
Pre-existing Conditions No Pre-existing Conditions
Hospitalized
*Age-adjusted case fatality rates are adjusted to the current distribution of U.S. COVID-19 cases. https://www.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/index.html#demographics
https://www.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/index.html
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26
Data Sources
• COVID-19 data: New Mexico Electronic Disease Surveillance System (NM-EDSS), Infectious Disease Epidemiology Bureau, Epidemiology
and Response Division, New Mexico Department of Health.
• Mortality data: Bureau of Vital Records and Health Statistics, Epidemiology and Response Division, New Mexico Department of Health.
• Population Estimates: University of New Mexico, Geospatial and Population Studies (GPS) Program.
• Age-adjustment: US 2000 Standard Population Weights for mortality rates. US COVID-19 cases for case fatality rates.
Data Notes
• The data reported in this weekly update may not match the daily numbers that are reported in the New Mexico Department of
Health (NMDOH) press releases and/or the NMDOH COVID-19 data dashboard. This may be due to variation in the date and time of
data extraction from NM-EDSS, corrections after quality assurance review, and differences in the exclusion criteria.
• New Mexico Electronic Disease Surveillance System (NM-EDSS). Disease incidence data are derived from reports of notifiable
infectious diseases. NMDOH relies on health care providers, laboratories, hospitals, clinics, institutions and individuals to report
suspected and confirmed notifiable infectious diseases in accordance with New Mexico Administrative Code 7.4.3.13. Under-reporting
can occur due to of lack of awareness about reporting requirements or lack of compliance with those requirements. Not all cases of
infectious diseases can be detected for various reasons including lack of access to health care services, lack of laboratory testing or
concerns about confidentiality. Specific and standardized national case definitions are used to classify disease reports by case status.
• New Mexico COVID-19 Related Deaths. Following the standardized surveillance case definition published by the Council of State and
Territorial Epidemiologists, COVID-19 related deaths in NM include 1) deaths of confirmed cases, which have a documented positive RT-
PCR test or rapid test for SARS-CoV-2; and 2) deaths based on vital records criteria in the absence of confirmatory laboratory evidence,
which is a death certificate that lists COVID-19 disease or SARS-CoV-2 as a cause of death or a significant condition contributing to
death. Death certificates may list multiple causes of death, with one single cause identified as the underlying cause of death defined as
the condition that began the chain of events that ultimately led to the person’s death. Death certificates may also list significant
conditions contributing to death, defined as a condition or circumstance that contributed to the cause of death but did not result in the
underlying cause nor participated in the causal pathway to the final or immediate cause of death. NM only includes natural deaths, and
excludes intentional and unintentional injury deaths among confirmed cases.
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27
• New Mexico Population Estimates. All population estimates apply to July 1 of 2019. Estimates include decimal fractions. The sum of
population subgroup estimates may not exactly equal the overall state population estimate due to rounding error. Population estimates
for previous years are occasionally revised as new information becomes available. When publishing trend data, always be sure that your
rates for earlier years match current rates on NM-IBIS that have been calculated with the most up-to-date population estimates.
• Race/ethnicity. Race and ethnicity are reported as a single variable, race/ethnicity, according to the selection of the case. Any case who
is Hispanic is in the Hispanic category and all other races are non-Hispanic.
• Mortality rate per 100,000 population. A basic measure of disease-specific hospitalization frequency is a rate, which takes into account
the number of deaths and the population size. It is helpful in making public health decisions for a given population, relative to another
population regardless of size.
• Age-adjusted mortality or case fatality rate per 100,000 population. The age-distribution of a population (the number of people in
particular age categories) can change over time and can be different in different geographic areas. The use of age-adjusted rates permits
a valid comparison among populations. It ensures that the differences in deaths from one population to another are not due to
differences in the age distribution of the populations being compared.