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NEW JERSEY DIVISION OF INVESTMENT Director’s Report November 18, 2015 State Investment Council Meeting The mission of the New Jersey Division of Investment is to achieve the best possible return at an acceptable level of risk using the highest fiduciary standards.” Agenda Item 5a

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Page 1: New Jersey Division of Investment...U.S. FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO – AS OF OCTOBER 31 ST 2015 For the fiscal year to date, the US Fixed Income portfolio returned 0.41% versus the Benchmark

NEW JERSEY DIVISION OF INVESTMENT

Director’s ReportNovember 18, 2015 State Investment Council Meeting

“The mission of the New Jersey Division of Investment is to achieve the best possible return at an acceptable level of risk using the highest fiduciary

standards.”

Agenda Item 5a

Page 2: New Jersey Division of Investment...U.S. FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO – AS OF OCTOBER 31 ST 2015 For the fiscal year to date, the US Fixed Income portfolio returned 0.41% versus the Benchmark

2Source: Barclays Capital and Bloomberg

Calendar Year 2014 Equity Market Returns Calendar Year 2014 U.S. Treasury Yields

2

Fiscal Year 2016 Equity Market Returns Fiscal Year 2016 U.S. Treasury Yields

Capital Markets Update (through October 31, 2015)

October 31, 2015 MTD % FYTD % CYTD % 1 Yr % 3 Yrs % 5 Yrs % 10 Yrs %

Domestic S&P 500 8.44 1.45 2.70 5.19 16.19 14.32 7.85 1

Equity Russell 2000 5.63 (6.95) (2.53) 0.34 13.91 12.07 7.45 2

International MSCI EAFE 7.82 (3.22) 2.13 (0.07) 8.02 4.81 4.05 3

Equity MSCI EMF 7.13 (12.04) (9.44) (14.53) (2.87) (2.79) 5.7 4

Barclays Agg 0.02 1.25 1.14 1.96 1.70 3.03 4.72 5

Barclays HY 2.75 (2.24) 0.23 (1.94) 4.14 6.18 7.62 6

Barclays US Tips 0.25 (0.90) (0.55) (1.42) (1.87) 2.06 4.18 7

Commodity Bloomberg (0.45) (14.86) (16.20) (25.74) (15.08) (9.90) (6.24) 8

Real Estate Bloomberg REIT 6.57 8.16 1.96 5.79 11.75 12.20 7.43 9

Bond

3.12

2.35

1.65

0.65 0.73

2.92

1.52

2.14

Page 3: New Jersey Division of Investment...U.S. FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO – AS OF OCTOBER 31 ST 2015 For the fiscal year to date, the US Fixed Income portfolio returned 0.41% versus the Benchmark

425

450

475

500

6/30/2015 7/15/2015 7/30/2015 8/14/2015 8/29/2015 9/13/2015 9/28/2015 10/13/2015 10/28/2015

S&P 1500

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

6/30/2015 7/15/2015 7/30/2015 8/14/2015 8/29/2015 9/13/2015 9/28/2015 10/13/2015 10/28/2015

VIX

3Source: Barclays Capital and Bloomberg

Calendar Year 2014 Equity Market Returns Calendar Year 2014 U.S. Treasury Yields

3

S&P 1500 and VIX FYTD thru Oct 31, 2015

Select Capital Market Returns

Capital Markets Have Been Volatile During Fiscal Year To Date 2016

US stocks lost 11% in 6 trading days

US stocks gained 11% in less than five weeks

Volatility increased three-fold in 5 trading days

July 20, 2015 - Aug 25, 2015

Aug 25, 2015 - Oct 31, 2015

June 30, 2015 - Oct 31, 2015

ACWI -11.40 8.00 -2.35S&P 1500 -11.84 11.23 0.90EAFE -9.21 3.71 -3.22Emerging Markets -15.51 7.90 -12.04China (Shanghai Exchange) -29.00 17.97 -21.80U.S. Treasuries 1.44 0.14 1.53Crude Oil -23.68 15.83 -25.48Volatility (VIX) 194.04 -58.16 -17.33

Page 4: New Jersey Division of Investment...U.S. FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO – AS OF OCTOBER 31 ST 2015 For the fiscal year to date, the US Fixed Income portfolio returned 0.41% versus the Benchmark

4

*Benchmark return not available for 20 and 25-Year period

*

3.45

(1.70)

1.97 2.35

8.63 8.11

6.64

7.67

8.80

3.59

(1.07)

0.89 1.07

7.53

6.87

5.65

(0.15) (0.63)

1.08 1.28 1.10 1.23

0.98

(4.00)

(2.00)

-

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

1 Month FYTD CYTD 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year 10 Year 20 Year 25 Year

Total Fund ex Police and Fire Performance as of October 31, 2015

Total Fund ex Police and Fire Benchmark* Difference

*

Page 5: New Jersey Division of Investment...U.S. FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO – AS OF OCTOBER 31 ST 2015 For the fiscal year to date, the US Fixed Income portfolio returned 0.41% versus the Benchmark

RISK MITIGATION LIQUIDITY INCOME REAL

RETURNGLOBAL GROWTH TOTAL FUND

ASSET ALLOCATION

Mkt Value ( in millions) $3,563 $5,090 14,644 $5,516 $44,323 $73,484

Mkt Value ( in %) 4.85% 6.93% 19.93% 7.51% 60.32% 100.00%

Target (%) 5.00% 8.00% 21.75% 7.75% 57.50%

Difference -0.15% -1.07% -1.82% -0.24% 2.82%

L/T Range 0-10% 2-15% 15-40 3-12% 45-65%

PERFORMANCEOne Month Fiscal Year to

DateCalendar Year

to DateTrailing 12

MonthsTrailing Three

YearsTrailing Four

Years

Risk Mitigation -0.22% -0.68% 0.59% 1.34% 3.48% 2.73%Benchmark 0.26% 1.03% 2.56% 3.07% 3.09% 3.08%

Liquidity 0.07% 0.21% 0.77% 0.33% -0.94% 1.07%Benchmark -0.01% 0.10% 0.16% 0.23% -0.74% 0.42%

Income -0.08% -0.46% 1.50% 1.76% 4.48% 6.07%Benchmark 0.77% -1.34% -0.36% -0.83% 2.06% 4.13%

Real Return 0.78% -0.65% 5.48% 6.16% 7.87% 7.74%Benchmark -0.03% 1.31% 0.45% 0.40% 6.70% 6.90%

Global Growth 5.77% -2.75% 1.89% 2.33% 11.93% 11.49%Benchmark 5.98% -1.75% 1.16% 1.59% 11.15% 10.45%

Total Fund 3.45% -1.70% 1.97% 2.35% 8.63% 8.94%Benchmark 3.59% -1.07% 0.89% 1.07% 7.53% 7.81%

Asset Allocation and Performance as of October 31, 2015*5

* Based on preliminary values

Page 6: New Jersey Division of Investment...U.S. FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO – AS OF OCTOBER 31 ST 2015 For the fiscal year to date, the US Fixed Income portfolio returned 0.41% versus the Benchmark

Pension Fund Attribution vs. Benchmark Fiscal Year through October 31st, 2015

6

Allocation Effect indicates the effect of asset allocation bets, i.e. overweights or underweights vs. the target allocations

Performance by Asset ClassFiscal Year to Date through October 31st, 2015

(1.70)

(0.68)

0.21

(0.46)

(0.65)

(2.75)

(1.07)

1.03

0.10

(1.34)

1.31

(1.75)

(3.00) (2.00) (1.00) - 1.00 2.00

Total Fund ex P&F

Risk Mitigation

Liquidity

Income

Real Return

Global Growth

Portfolio Benchmark

The Pension Fund underperformed the Policy

Benchmark by (63) bps Allocation Effect, 16

Other, 8

Global Growth, -86

Real Return, -9

Income, 12

Liquidity , 2

Risk Mitigation, -6

-100 -75 -50 -25 0 25 50 75 100 125

Contributionto Pension FundExcess Return ByAsset Class

Basis Points

Page 7: New Jersey Division of Investment...U.S. FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO – AS OF OCTOBER 31 ST 2015 For the fiscal year to date, the US Fixed Income portfolio returned 0.41% versus the Benchmark

U.S. FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO – AS OF OCTOBER 31ST 2015

For the fiscal year to date, the US Fixed Income portfolioreturned 0.41% versus the Benchmark return of 0.33%.Favorable relative returns were attributable to outperformancewithin the High Yield (HY) sector, as the HY portfoliooutperformed its benchmark by 97 basis points. Within HY,favorable returns were primarily driven by sector selection.Specifically, the portfolio’s below benchmark allocation to theworst performing sectors in HY (Basic Industry and Energy)added value. Outperformance within HY was partly offset bythe Fund’s underweight allocation to US Treasuries. Fiscalyear to date, Treasuries have outperformed IG and HYcorporate bonds as five, ten and thirty-year bond yieldsdeclined 13, 21 and 20 basis points, respectively.

Source: State Street and FactSet

Portfolio Sector Attribution – Weights and Performance

7

Page 8: New Jersey Division of Investment...U.S. FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO – AS OF OCTOBER 31 ST 2015 For the fiscal year to date, the US Fixed Income portfolio returned 0.41% versus the Benchmark

U.S. Equity Portfolio – As of October 31ST 2015Fiscal year through October 30th, the US Equity Portfolio returned -1.18% versus theBenchmark return of 0.90%. Widespread equity market losses and a sharp rise involatility characterized this time period, which included the S&P 500 experiencing theworst quarterly return in 4 years. Investor sentiment veered toward decreasing exposureto the riskier equity market for the safety of bonds or to take positions in stocksperceived to have safer attributes. Stocks that were heavily impacted included marketperformance leaders, interest-rate related (sensitive to the uncertainty about FederalReserve rate policy), those trading at expensive valuations (e.g. Health Care), andoil/commodity related (sensitive to economic slowdown in China). The majority of thenegative impact to the Portfolio came from positions which were particularly hit hard inthe market sell-offs, including widely-held Technology, Financials, Health Care, Mediaand commodity-related Industrial stocks.

Portfolio Return:

-1.18% Benchmark Return:

+0.90% Excess Return:

-2.08%Portfolio Sector Attribution FYTD% - Breakdown of Excess Return:

Source: State Street, Factset

Returns %

0.06 0.02

0.18

-0.00 -0.03

0.00 0.01 0.03 0.01

-0.04

-0.47

-0.22-0.07

-0.31 -0.28

-0.45-0.31

-0.09-0.01

-0.08

(0.60)

(0.40)

(0.20)

0.00

0.20

0.40%

Con Disc Staples Energy Fin. HC Indus. Tech Mat. Tel. Utils

Allocation Effect Selection Effect

15.49

8.93

5.15

16.8214.94

10.72

21.10

3.311.33 2.20

13.19

9.086.71

17.19

14.10

10.73

20.39

3.322.15 3.13

0

5

10

15

20

25

Con Disc Staples Energy Fin. HC Indus. Tech Mat. Tel. Utils

Sector Ending Weights %

US Equity Portfolio S&P 1500

0.722.72

-9.86

-2.24

-5.85

-3.14

4.18

-8.82

-0.90

4.264.37 5.30

-8.74

-0.53

-4.03

1.04

5.87

-6.24

-0.15

7.09

-12-10

-8-6-4-202468

ConDisc

Staples Energy Fin. HC Indus. Tech Mat. Tel. Utils

Sector Performance %

US Equity Portfolio S&P 1500

-1.18

1.673.57

15.92

0.902.48

5.00

16.16

-5

0

5

10

15

20

FYTD CYTD 1Yr 3Yr

US EquityPortfolio

S&P 1500Benchmark

8

Page 9: New Jersey Division of Investment...U.S. FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO – AS OF OCTOBER 31 ST 2015 For the fiscal year to date, the US Fixed Income portfolio returned 0.41% versus the Benchmark

Non-US Developed Markets Equity Portfolio – As of October 31ST 2015 In USDFor the fiscal year through October 30th, the Non-US Developed Markets EquityPortfolio returned -3.89% versus the Benchmark return of -3.86%. Global marketsexperienced significant volatility as concerns over weaker China economic growth, asurprise yuan devaluation, and uncertainty over a U.S. Federal Reserve rate hikeovershadowed the positive impact from the progress in resolving the Greek crisis.While October saw markets rallying from the sell-off that occurred in September,fueled in part by a delay in Fed action and renewed prospects of further QE from Japanand the ECB, the investing environment remained difficult. The Portfolio benefittedfrom the underweight allocation to Canada, which reflects a strategic move tounderweight Energy and resulted in an underweight to this country due to its oil pricesensitivity. The move to mitigate the impact of oil exposure in the Portfolio through theEnergy underweight allowed this sector to be the largest positive contributor to SectorAllocation Effect. The strategic move to underweight the allocation to Financials andfavorable positioning in certain ETFs also added value. Performance detractors werethe underweight allocation to Staples and stock selection in Japan.

Portfolio Sector Attribution FYTD% - Breakdown of Excess Return: Portfolio Return:

-3.89% Benchmark Return:

-3.86% Excess Return:

-0.03%

Portfolio Country Attribution FYTD% - Breakdown of Excess Return:Portfolio Return:

-3.89% Benchmark Return:

-3.86% Excess Return:

-0.03%

Returns %

Source: State Street, Factset

%

Top 3 best and 3 worst contributors to return from investment decisions regarding Country Allocation

0.05 0.050.03

-0.03 -0.03

-0.12-0.14-0.12-0.10-0.08-0.06-0.04-0.020.000.020.040.060.08

Spain France Netherlands Canada Australia Japan

Sele

ctio

n Ef

fect

%

Top 3 best and 3 worst contributorsto return from investment decisionsregarding Stock Selection

0.13

0.090.07

-0.01 -0.02

-0.05-0.06-0.04-0.020.000.020.040.060.080.100.120.14

Canada UnitedStates(ETFs)

Australia NewZealand

South Africa France

Allo

catio

n Ef

fect

%

-0.01

-0.23

0.16 0.12

-0.02

0.01

-0.01 -0.01

0.08

-0.01 -0.00

0.110.06

-0.02-0.08

--0.09

-0.05 -0.04 -0.05 -0.03

0.02

-0.30-0.20-0.10

--0.100.20

Con Disc Staples Energy Financials Funds Health Care Industrials Technology Materials Telecom Utilities

Allocation Effect Selection Effect

-3.89

0.63

-1.18

7.70

-3.86

0.38

-1.50

7.15

-6.00

-4.00

-2.00

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

FYTD CYTD 1Yr 3Yr

Non-USDevelopedMarkets EquityPortfolioEAFE + Canada exProhibitedBenchmark

9

Page 10: New Jersey Division of Investment...U.S. FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO – AS OF OCTOBER 31 ST 2015 For the fiscal year to date, the US Fixed Income portfolio returned 0.41% versus the Benchmark

Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio – As of October 31ST 2015 In USDFor the fiscal year through October 30th, the Emerging Markets Equity portfolioreturned -12.22% versus the Benchmark return of -11.84%. The summer monthswere particularly challenging for the Emerging Markets as weaker China economicdata, an unexpected Chinese currency devaluation, falling oil prices, anduncertainty about U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate policy, caused significantdeclines to occur in these markets. While the Emerging Markets staged a reboundfrom the 2015 low of August 24th (the MSCI EM Index rose 10% between then andOctober 30th), and participated in the global markets rally in October (the EMIndex was up 7%), the difficulties of the September quarter dominatedperformance. For those three months, the EM Index fell 17.8%. In thisenvironment, the EM Equity Portfolio modestly underperformed (38bps) in partto the underweight to Korea, a market that outperformed the benchmark, andstock selection in Materials. This was partially offset by the underweight to Chinaand Brazil, two of the worst performing EM countries during this time period, andthe underweight allocation to and stock selection in Financials.

Portfolio Sector Attribution FYTD% - Breakdown of Excess Return: Portfolio Return:

-12.22% Benchmark Return:

-11.84 % Excess Return:

-0.38%

Portfolio Country Attribution FYTD% - Breakdown of Excess Return: Portfolio Return:

-12.22% Benchmark Return:

--11.84% Excess

Return:-0.38%

Source: State Street, Factset

%

0.310.24

0.06

-0.11 -0.15

-0.52-0.60

-0.50

-0.40

-0.30

-0.20

-0.10

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

China Brazil Malaysia Argentina India Korea

Allo

catio

n Ef

fect

%

Top 3 best and 3 worst contributorsto return from investment decisions regarding Country Allocation

0.32

0.150.12

-0.21 -0.23 -0.23-0.30

-0.20

-0.10

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

Taiwan Malaysia Russia India Brazil Qatar

Sele

ctio

n Ef

fect

%

Top 3 best and 3 worst contributorsto return from investment decisions regarding Stock Selection

-0.10 -0.08

0.180.36

0.01

-0.13

0.04

-0.26

0.090.01

-0.09

0.10

-0.22

0.18--

-0.18

0.02

-0.19

-0.40

0.03

-0.60-0.40-0.20

--0.200.40

Con Disc Staples Energy Financials Funds Health Care Industrials Technology Materials Telecom

Allocation Effect Selection Effect

-12.22-11.19

-16.59

-3.63

-11.84

-9.39

-14.10

-2.47

-18.00-16.00-14.00-12.00-10.00

-8.00-6.00-4.00-2.000.00

FYTD CYTD 1Yr 3Yr

Emerging MarketsEquity Portfolio

EM Benchmark exProhibited

Returns %

10

Page 11: New Jersey Division of Investment...U.S. FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO – AS OF OCTOBER 31 ST 2015 For the fiscal year to date, the US Fixed Income portfolio returned 0.41% versus the Benchmark

Real Estate Allocation Review11

Since the start of FY13, Private Real Estate has been one of the best performing asset classes in New Jersey’s portfolio, returning 12.7% annualized. Over this period, the portfolio has produced over $750 million of net cash flow back to the Fund. While the positive net cash flow and high returns show that private real estate managers have taken advantage of the recent environment to exit investments, it has created a challenge for the Division in growing the Real Estate portfolio. Over this same period, the Division has sought to increase the allocation to Real Estate from 4.5% at the start of FY13 to the current target of 6.1%.

$(200)

$-

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

(mill

ion)

Private Real Estate Portfolio Cumulative Net Cash Flow

0.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

7.00%

Jun-1

2

Aug-1

2

Oct-1

2

Dec-1

2

Feb-

13

Apr-1

3

Jun-1

3

Aug-1

3

Oct-1

3

Dec-1

3

Feb-

14

Apr-1

4

Jun-1

4

Aug-1

4

Oct-1

4

Dec-1

4

Feb-

15

Apr-1

5

Jun-1

5

Aug-1

5

Oct-1

5

NJ Real Estate Allocation

Private RE % Public RE %

The Division has used the cash flow received from the Private Real Estate portfolio to build internally managed public REIT portfolios as a means to add Real Estate Exposure. Since the start of FY13, the internal REIT portfolios have grown from approximately $100 million to nearly $900 million today.

Page 12: New Jersey Division of Investment...U.S. FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO – AS OF OCTOBER 31 ST 2015 For the fiscal year to date, the US Fixed Income portfolio returned 0.41% versus the Benchmark

Real Estate Allocation12

Since the start of FY13, public REITs have grown from less than 4% of the Real Estate allocation to 20% today.

The decision to grow the public REIT portfolios has been beneficial to returns as the portfolios have kept pace with Private Real Estate and outperformed the Total Fund return since the start of FY13.

0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%40.0%50.0%60.0%70.0%80.0%90.0%

100.0%

Jun-1

2

Aug-1

2

Oct-1

2

Dec-1

2

Feb-

13

Apr-1

3

Jun-1

3

Aug-1

3

Oct-1

3

Dec-1

3

Feb-

14

Apr-1

4

Jun-1

4

Aug-1

4

Oct-1

4

Dec-1

4

Feb-

15

Apr-1

5

Jun-1

5

Aug-1

5

Oct-1

5

New Jersey Real Estate Portfolio

Private RE % Public RE %

0.80.1

13.0

15.314.2

12.7

6.5

3.52.5

3.4

11.713.1

5.9 5.4

2.1

5.9

13.412.5

3.5

1.7 2.0 2.4

8.6 9.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

1 Month FYTD CYTD 1 Year 3 Year Since 6/30/12

%

Returns

Private RE Global REIT Core REIT Total Fund Ex P&F Mortgage

Page 13: New Jersey Division of Investment...U.S. FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO – AS OF OCTOBER 31 ST 2015 For the fiscal year to date, the US Fixed Income portfolio returned 0.41% versus the Benchmark

13

In 3Q 2015 the Private Equity portfolio had its largest quarterly distribution amount and positive net cash flow since the inception of the program at $680 million and $387 million, respectively. The largest distribution in the quarter was related to the sale of Par Pharmaceuticals by TPG. The Division, which had exposure to Par through both TPG VI and a co-investment, received cash distributions of $83 million. Including stock received as part of the transaction, Par has generated a gross multiple of 6.8x and an IRR of 95%. Since the start of FY 13, the private equity portfolio has generated over $1.8 billion of net distributions.

-600,000,000

-400,000,000

-200,000,000

0

200,000,000

400,000,000

600,000,000

800,000,000

Private Equity Cash Flows Since Inception

Contributions Distributions Net CF

Private Equity Portfolio Cash Flows

Page 14: New Jersey Division of Investment...U.S. FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO – AS OF OCTOBER 31 ST 2015 For the fiscal year to date, the US Fixed Income portfolio returned 0.41% versus the Benchmark

Alternative Investment Notifications

Purpose of Notification: The Division is notifying the SIC of this transaction under its Modification Procedures.

14Blackstone Tactical Opportunities Fund – A (RE) L.P. – This investment was presented to the Council at its January meeting. Staff intended for the investment to include both “core” and “non-core” investments, however, in the SIC materials Staff indicated that the investment would be characterized as a “core” real estate investment. Therefore, the legal documents, which were finalized in October, were drafted to allow the Fund manager to invest in either type of investment.

Knight TAO, L.P. – This Fund was established in 2014 as a separate account that invests alongside other parallel funds in various credit opportunities. In July 2015, the manager of the Fund proposed a number of amendments to the Fund, as well as each of the other parallel funds, that would, among other things, protect existing partners from dilution, more accurately measure actively invested capital for purposes of calculating the management fee, and to facilitate borrowing by the Fund. The proposedchanges do not affect the management fee percentage, carry or hurdle rate, but the change in timing may have the effect of altering the total amount of management fees paid over the investment period. Given the overall net benefit to the Pension Fund, the Division consented to the amendment, which took effect in October.

Stone Milliner Macro Fund, L.P. – A proposed investment in this Fund was presented to the Council at its July meeting. At that meeting, Staff noted that it would be working with representatives of the Division of Law and outside counsel to negotiate legaldocuments governing the investment. During the course of these negotiations, it became clear that the Fund was unwilling or unable to provide all of the legal documents required by the Division. After a number of conversations with senior officers at the Fund, it was decided by both parties in September to discontinue the negotiations.

Page 15: New Jersey Division of Investment...U.S. FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO – AS OF OCTOBER 31 ST 2015 For the fiscal year to date, the US Fixed Income portfolio returned 0.41% versus the Benchmark

Appendix

15

Page 16: New Jersey Division of Investment...U.S. FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO – AS OF OCTOBER 31 ST 2015 For the fiscal year to date, the US Fixed Income portfolio returned 0.41% versus the Benchmark

NJDOI Updates (9/1/15 through 10/31/15)US Equity• The domestic equity portfolio had net sales of $88 million for the period (there were additional net sales of

approximately $100 million in the first few days of November as part of a sale program which began October 31)• In early September following the market sell-off, opportunistically added to positions that were attractively valued, i.e.

information technology and consumer discretionary• Overweight relative to its FY16 target increased form 246 bps to approximately 400 bps due to market appreciation and

some well timed buysInternational Equity • The Developed Markets portfolio was a net buyer of approximately $712 million, reflecting the move to increase

exposure to the developed markets, especially Europe. The Developed Markets Portfolio moved from 164 bps underweight to 18 bps underweight relative to the FY16 target allocation

• The Emerging Markets portfolio was a net seller of approximately $482 million, defensively moving the allocation to 202 bps underweight relative to the FY16 target.

• Two Euro and two Yen currency futures contracts were rolled forward. The Developed Markets portfolio continues to have approximately 20% of Yen and Euro exposure hedged

Fixed Income• Net sales of approximately $1,226 million of investment grade bonds for the period

• Net sales of $1,108 million in corporates and net sales of $118 million of Treasuries and TIPS• Within Investment Grade Credit, moved from 119 bps overweight relative to the FY16 target at the start of the fiscal

year to essentially in line with the target as of 10/31/15• Short Term Cash Equivalent exposures was maintained at 80 bps. Portfolio currently has a YTW of 1.4%• In late August, with HY valuations declining, the Fund tactically added more than $50M to the internal HY Portfolio to

take advantage of more attractive yields. By October 31, portfolio sales of $50M provided a net gain of more than $1 million since August

• Duration stands at 5.2 years (ex cash) vs benchmark duration of 6.5 years. When factoring in cash, duration stands at 4.6 years

Real Estate • The Division added $30 million of exposure through REITs (+$200 million added since the start of the fiscal year)

16

Page 17: New Jersey Division of Investment...U.S. FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO – AS OF OCTOBER 31 ST 2015 For the fiscal year to date, the US Fixed Income portfolio returned 0.41% versus the Benchmark

Asset Allocation with Hedges as of October 31, 201517

1 Current assets do not include receivables of $363 million related to Real Estate secondary sale Based on preliminary values

Line# Asset ClassCurrent Assets ($ in millions) Current Allocation

FY 2016 Target

Over/Under Weight 2016

Target

Long Term

Target Range

1 RISK MITIGATION 3,563 4.85% 5.00% -0.15% 0-10%2 Absolute Return HFs 3,563 4.85% 5.00% -0.15% 0-10%3 LIQUIDITY 5,090 6.93% 8.00% -1.07% 2-15%4 Cash Eqv/Short Term 2,588 3.52% 5.00% -1.48% 0-15%5 TIPS 1,593 2.17% 1.50% 0.67% 0-10%6 US Treasuries 909 1.24% 1.50% -0.26% 0-10%7 INCOME 14,644 19.93% 21.75% -1.82% 15-40%8 Investment Grade Credit 5,863 7.98% 8.00% -0.02% 5-20%9 High Yield 1,700 2.31% 2.00% 0.31% 0-8%

10 Global Diversified Credit 2,595 3.53% 5.00% -1.47% 0-7%11 Credit-Oriented HFs 2,536 3.45% 3.75% -0.30% 0-6%12 Debt-Related PE 665 0.91% 1.00% -0.09% 0-4%13 Debt Related Real Estate 405 0.55% 0.80% -0.25% 0-4%14 P&F Mortgage 880 1.20% 1.20% 0.00% --15 REAL RETURN 5,516 7.51% 7.75% -0.24% 3-12%16 Commodities 528 0.72% 0.50% 0.22% 0-3%17 Private Real Assets 1,283 1.75% 2.00% -0.25% 0-7%18 Equity Related Real Estate 1 3,706 5.04% 5.25% -0.21% 2-9%19 GLOBAL GROWTH 44,323 60.32% 57.50% 2.82% 45-65%20 US Equity 22,086 30.06% 26.00% 4.06% 15-35%21 Non-US Dev Market Eq 9,601 13.07% 13.25% -0.18% 8-20%22 Emerging Market Eq 3,294 4.48% 6.50% -2.02% 5-15%23 Buyouts/Venture Cap 6,483 8.82% 8.00% 0.82% 4-12%24 Equity-Oriented HFs 2,859 3.89% 3.75% 0.14% 0-8%25 OPPORTUNISTIC PE 212 0.29%26 OTHER 136 0.19%

Page 18: New Jersey Division of Investment...U.S. FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO – AS OF OCTOBER 31 ST 2015 For the fiscal year to date, the US Fixed Income portfolio returned 0.41% versus the Benchmark

18

(0.68)

1.03

(0.80) (0.60) (0.40) (0.20)

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20

Portfolio Benchmark

Risk Mitigation FYTD Performance as of October 31, 2015

Portfolio Benchmark

0.21 0.29

1.39

(0.85)

0.10 0.01

1.39

(0.91)

(1.50)

(1.00)

(0.50)

-

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

Liquidity Cash Treasuries TIPS

Liquidity FYTD Performance as of October 31, 2015

Portfolio Benchmark

Returns as of October 31, 2015 1 Month FYTD CYTD 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year Cash Equivalents 0.12 0.29 0.79 0.92 0.89 1.24

91 day treasury bill (0.01) 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.05

Difference 0.13 0.28 0.78 0.91 0.85 1.19

US Treasuries (0.52) 1.39 2.28 2.53 1.36 (0.99)

Custom Benchmark (0.37) 1.39 1.42 2.39 3.55 0.95

Difference (0.15) (0.01) 0.86 0.14 (2.19) (1.94)

TIPS 0.11 (0.85) 0.03 (1.59) (0.65) (2.88)

Custom Tips Benchmark 0.31 (0.91) (0.79) (1.50) 1.67 (3.40)

Difference (0.21) 0.06 0.81 (0.09) (2.31) 0.52

Total Liquidity 0.07 0.21 0.77 0.33 0.13 (0.94)

Benchmark (0.01) 0.10 0.16 0.23 2.17 (0.74)

Difference 0.08 0.11 0.61 0.10 (2.04) (0.20)

Returns as of October 31, 2015 1 Month FYTD CYTD 1 Year 2 Year 3 YearAbsolute Return Hedge Funds (0.22) (0.68) 0.59 1.34 3.48 3.32

T-Bill + 300 BP 0.26 1.03 2.56 3.07 3.08 3.09

Difference (0.49) (1.71) (1.96) (1.72) 0.39 0.23

Total Risk Mitigation (0.22) (0.68) 0.59 1.34 3.48 3.32

T-Bill + 300 BP 0.26 1.03 2.56 3.07 3.08 3.09

Difference (0.49) (1.71) (1.96) (1.72) 0.39 0.23

Page 19: New Jersey Division of Investment...U.S. FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO – AS OF OCTOBER 31 ST 2015 For the fiscal year to date, the US Fixed Income portfolio returned 0.41% versus the Benchmark

19

(0.46)

0.94

(1.31) (1.43)

(2.58)

(0.12)

(0.50)

(1.34)

1.00

(2.24) (2.24)

(4.86)

0.44

(1.33)

(6.00)

(5.00)

(4.00)

(3.00)

(2.00)

(1.00)

-

1.00

2.00

Income FYTD Performance as of October 31, 2015

Portfolio Benchmark*Reported on a 1 month lag

Returns as of October 31, 2015 1 Month FYTD CYTD 1 Year 2 Year 3 YearHigh Grade 0.03 0.94 1.38 1.82 4.20 1.86

Custom IGC Benchmark 0.47 1.00 0.21 0.90 2.86 0.74

Difference (0.44) (0.07) 1.17 0.92 1.34 1.12

Public High Yield 2.75 (1.31) 1.66 (0.54) 2.94 4.97

Barclays Corp High Yield (Daily) 2.75 (2.24) 0.23 (1.94) 1.87 4.15

Difference (0.00) 0.93 1.43 1.41 1.08 0.82

Global Diversified Credit (1.03) (1.43) 1.49 3.08 8.97 11.87

Barclays Corp High Yield (Daily) 2.75 (2.24) 0.23 (1.94) 1.87 4.15

Difference (3.78) 0.82 1.27 5.02 7.11 7.72

Credit-Oriented Hedge Funds (1.32) (2.58) (0.53) (1.31) 3.61 7.39

Custom Benchmark (1.76) (4.86) (3.41) (5.05) 1.11 4.82

Difference 0.44 2.29 2.88 3.74 2.50 2.57

Debt-Related Private Equity (0.17) (0.12) 8.32 10.75 10.88 15.15

BarCap Corp HY (1 Qtr lag) + 300 bps (0.31) 0.44 3.47 3.42 7.37 9.13

Difference 0.14 (0.56) 4.85 7.33 3.51 6.02

Real Estate-Debt 0.58 (0.50) 6.09 7.20 10.28

Barclays CMBS 2.0 Baa + 100 (Qtr lag) 1.75 (1.33) 6.51 7.11 11.73

Difference (1.18) 0.82 (0.42) 0.09 (1.45)

Total Income (0.08) (0.46) 1.50 1.76 5.07 4.48

Benchmark 0.77 (1.34) (0.36) (0.83) 2.75 2.06

Difference (0.85) 0.88 1.86 2.59 2.32 2.42

Page 20: New Jersey Division of Investment...U.S. FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO – AS OF OCTOBER 31 ST 2015 For the fiscal year to date, the US Fixed Income portfolio returned 0.41% versus the Benchmark

20

(0.65)

(11.39)

1.78

(2.41)

1.31

(14.85)

3.58

(0.35)

(20.00)

(15.00)

(10.00)

(5.00)

-

5.00

Real Return Commodities Real Estate Private RealAssets

Real Return FYTD Performance as of October 31, 2015

Portfolio Benchmark

(2.75)

(1.18)

(3.89)

(12.23)

(7.30)

1.32

(1.75)

0.90

(3.86)

(11.84)

(6.94)

3.77

(14.00)

(12.00)

(10.00)

(8.00)

(6.00)

(4.00)

(2.00)

-

2.00

4.00

6.00

GlobalGrowth

US Equity Non USDeveloped

Equity

EmergingMarkets

EquityHedgeFunds

BuyoutsVentureCapital

Global Growth FYTD Performance as of October 31, 2015

Portfolio Benchmark

Returns as of October 31, 2015 1 Month FYTD CYTD 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year Private Real Assets (1.74) (2.41) (3.44) (2.90)

CA Energy Upst & Royalties & PE Lagged Daily - (0.35) (15.52) (15.98)

Difference (1.74) (2.06) 12.08 13.08

Commodities (2.07) (11.39) (15.89) (20.90)

Bloomberg Commodity Index Total Return (0.45) (14.85) (16.18) (25.72)

Difference (1.62) 3.46 0.29 4.82

Real Return Real Estate 2.09 1.78 13.45 16.37 16.70 15.72

Real Estate Index - 3.58 10.08 13.39 12.56 12.40

Difference 2.09 (1.80) 3.37 2.98 4.14 3.31

Total Real Return 0.78 (0.65) 5.48 6.16 8.48 7.87

Benchmark (0.03) 1.31 0.45 0.40 6.03 6.70

Difference 0.81 (1.96) 5.04 5.76 2.45 1.17

Returns as of October 31, 2015 1 Month FYTD CYTD 1 Year 2 Year 3 YearDomestic Equity 8.25 (1.18) 1.67 3.57 9.93 15.92

S&P 1500 Super Composite (Daily) 8.14 0.90 2.48 5.00 10.61 16.16

Difference 0.11 (2.08) (0.82) (1.43) (0.68) (0.24)

Non-US Dev Market Eq 7.42 (3.89) 0.63 (1.18) (0.30) 7.70

NJDI ex Iran& Sudan EAFE + Canada 7.50 (3.86) 0.38 (1.50) (0.86) 7.15

Difference (0.08) (0.03) 0.25 0.32 0.56 0.55

Emerging Market Eq 6.05 (12.23) (11.20) (16.59) (8.07) (3.63)

NJDI Iran + Sudan Free EM Index 7.05 (11.84) (9.39) (14.10) (6.89) (2.47)

Difference (1.00) (0.40) (1.81) (2.49) (1.18) (1.16)

Total Equity Oriented Hedge Funds (4.96) (7.30) (2.18) (0.32) 4.36 8.07

Custom Benchmark (2.48) (6.94) (1.86) (1.40) 2.73 6.52

Difference (2.48) (0.37) (0.32) 1.08 1.63 1.55

Buyouts-Venture Capital 0.42 1.32 15.81 19.03 22.15 20.08

Cambridge Associates PE 1 Qtr Lag - 3.77 7.38 8.88 15.34 15.87

Difference 0.42 (2.45) 8.43 10.15 6.81 4.21

Total Global Growth 5.77 (2.75) 1.89 2.33 6.92 11.93 Benchmark 5.98 (1.75) 1.16 1.59 6.22 11.15

Difference (0.21) (1.00) 0.73 0.74 0.70 0.78