new developments in machine learning - prof. dr. max welling
TRANSCRIPT
The Revenge of the Helmholtz Machines
Advances in Machine LearningMax Welling
Overview
Deep Learning
Causality
Reinforcement Learning
Privacy
Examples AI
Conclusion
DeepDream
From Computer Science to Deep Learning
Computer ScienceData Science
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
Deep Learning
3econometry, mathematics
Explosive Growth
Moore's LawBig DataDeep Learning
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Types of LearningSupervised learningLearning from labeled dataUnsupervised learningLearning from unlabeled dataReinforcement learningLearning from interactions and rewards from the world.
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Important New ML Developments6Deep Learning:powerful supervised predictors for high sampling rate signals.examples: speech recognition, image analysis.
Causal discovery:prediciting causal relations between variables from observational data.examples: predictive maintenance, genomics
Reinforcement learning:learning from interacting with the worldexamples: robotics, search engines, alphaGO
Privacy preserving machine learning:learning from data such the privacy of individuals is guaranteed.examples: patient records, customer intelligence data
Deep Learning
GPUs
Databillions of parameters7
Convolutional Neural Nets
Visual Object Classification
Annual "Image Net Challenge"human performance9
CNN in Action10
(Andreiy Karpathy's blog)
Example in Healthcare:Detection, segmentation, classification
Quality Control
criticalminor12Detect, segment and classify steel defects
Deep Learning & Art13
Gatys, Ecker, Bethge (arXiv 2015)Extract style form paining and render a photo in that style
Fooling Neural Networks20
This is bad news when you need to make life or death decisions
Know when you don't know: uncertainty quantification!
Interpretation & Visualization
L. Zintgraf, T. Cohen & Welling 2016
HIV induced dimentia predictionpenguin predictionHow do we explain a prediction to a human? how do we anaylize an accident made by a self-driving car?How do we explain the diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease from an deep net?
Caption Generation
(Andrej Karpathy & Li Fei-Fei @ Stanford)Upload a pictureAlgorithm synthesises caption
Causality
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Example:Insurance fees for black cars are higherMental disabilities in babies cause difficults births...
Challenge: discovering causal relations without interventions
Predictive Maintenance"Predictive maintenance" : Predict if and when a part will fail.To fix the problem: predict what is the cause of the failure.
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Interacting with the World
Recommenders
The Argument For Private DataData is becoming increasingly important as the "oil of our economy".The Googles and Facebooks are becoming "data-oligarchies" Private data in the hands of a few large corporations can be dangerous
How can we democratize data, so everyone can benefit from it?How can we make sure data science is privacy preserving?
Re-Identifying Anonymized Data
MIT graduate student Latanya Sweeney was able to re-identify Massachusetts Governor William Weld using some simple tactics and a voter list.
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Re-Identifying Anonymized DataA five-digit zip code, date of birth, and gender are sufficient to identify an individual uniquely about 87% of the time.
NameZipcodeAgeSexAlice4767729FBob4798365MCarol4767722FDan4753223MEllen4678943F
Voter registration data
QIDSAZipcodeAgeSexDisease4767729FOvarian Cancer4760222FOvarian Cancer4767827MProstate Cancer4790543MFlu4790952FHeart Disease4790647MHeart Disease
IDNameAliceBettyCharlesDavidEmilyFred
Microdata(Table by Vitaly Shmatikov)29
Differential PrivacyDifferential privacy guarantees that any answer to a query will be only slightly different for any individual if his/her data is in or out of the database
Cynthia Dwork
DP adds just the right amount of noise to a query to obfuscate private information.
Machine Translation
(Microsoft)31Understand speechtranslate languagesynthesize speech
Transport
32In 10 years nobody will need a driver's license.In 10 years we will not need any (physical) shops anymore.
Expert Systems
Natural Language UnderstandingDigital customer service assistent (Q&A)Digital doctors (AskADoctor)Digital lawyers Digital priestDigital professor ?
Machine Learning
33Information from InternetBusiness value: expensive employer is replaced by cheap AI system
Customer Intelligence
Google SearchGoogle ChromeGoogle+ Google MapsGoogle MailGoogle Now.Google PicasaGoogle Health?Google Car ?
User Profile (Mark Zuckerberg: "theory of mind")
34DATA
Conclusions35Big Data, Big Brother?
smart cityprofiling
autonomous weaponsLet's use Data & AI Responsibly!