nevada polling - | orlando political observer (orlando...

Nevada Polling

Executive Summary

Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 926 registered voters in Nevada (382 Democratic caucus voters). The poll was

conducted from August 14th through the 16th and has a margin of error of 3.2% (5.0% for the Democratic caucus question). The survey was conducted using

interactive voice responses and an online panel of cell phone users. The results are weighted by the voting demographics. The poll was paid for by GMI.

3) If the Nevada 2020 Democratic Presidential Caucus were held today, who would you vote for?

Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407-242-1870

Race Age group Gender

African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Female Male

Q3: Democratic Primary Amy Klobuchar 0.6% 0.0% 2.7% 0.0% 2.8% 8.4% 2.1% 0.0% 1.5% 1.7% 3.1%

Andrew Yang 4.2% 14.6% 4.3% 0.0% 0.7% 7.5% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0% 2.2% 2.6%

Bernie Sanders 18.7% 11.8% 12.5% 21.4% 6.9% 24.2% 10.4% 7.4% 4.9% 13.2% 6.6%

Beto O’Rourke 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%

Bill de Blasio 5.5% 0.0% 1.6% 0.0% 0.9% 0.0% 3.7% 1.4% 0.7% 1.7% 1.4%

Cory Booker 0.5% 0.0% 2.4% 0.0% 4.0% 3.0% 3.7% 2.5% 2.9% 1.1% 5.2%

Elizabeth Warren 4.6% 2.5% 9.9% 10.9% 20.3% 5.8% 9.7% 29.1% 10.7% 10.7% 20.6%

Jay Inslee 0.0% 0.0% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0%

Joe Biden 21.5% 19.0% 18.6% 39.9% 27.7% 15.6% 10.3% 25.1% 44.3% 29.4% 19.8%

John Delaney 3.6% 0.0% 2.8% 0.0% 0.5% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 0.2% 2.7%

Julian Castro 5.0% 0.0% 1.8% 0.0% 0.3% 1.8% 2.5% 0.0% 1.0% 0.7% 1.9%

Kamala Harris 18.7% 9.0% 5.6% 1.8% 7.6% 0.0% 13.9% 9.4% 7.5% 7.7% 9.5%

Kirsten Gillibrand 2.8% 0.0% 2.8% 0.0% 0.8% 2.3% 2.1% 1.6% 0.0% 2.6% 0.0%

Marianne Williamson 0.0% 0.0% 2.2% 7.7% 0.8% 0.0% 1.2% 2.3% 0.4% 1.8% 0.3%

Michael Bennett 3.6% 0.0% 4.4% 0.0% 0.5% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 1.4% 1.6% 1.7%

Pete Buttigieg 0.0% 0.0% 1.5% 9.3% 7.3% 0.0% 6.4% 6.4% 4.9% 4.8% 5.1%

Steve Bullock 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 1.5% 1.4% 0.0% 2.6% 0.4% 0.6% 1.7%

Tim Ryan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 1.6%

Tom Steyer 3.4% 11.8% 1.8% 0.0% 8.3% 8.7% 6.0% 4.9% 6.5% 5.4% 7.2%

Tulsi Gabbard 0.0% 14.6% 5.6% 0.0% 0.6% 0.0% 5.6% 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 2.5%

Uncertain 7.2% 16.7% 16.2% 1.6% 6.9% 4.5% 14.8% 6.4% 9.0% 11.1% 6.5%

4) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of President Trump’s job performance?



Q4: TRUMPPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 16.7% 18.0% 15.2% 17.8% 9.1% 20.3% 15.1% 6.5% 7.4% 12.6% 10.8%

Somewhat Disapprove 10.3% 9.1% 6.8% 6.8% 8.8% 19.0% 9.6% 4.8% 3.0% 7.9% 9.0%

Strongly Approve 31.7% 43.1% 47.4% 50.7% 39.1% 25.5% 39.1% 45.4% 49.2% 41.9% 39.5%

Strongly Disapprove 41.0% 25.5% 29.9% 24.7% 38.8% 32.2% 32.6% 40.3% 38.3% 34.2% 38.1%

Uncertain 0.3% 4.3% 0.7% 0.0% 4.2% 3.0% 3.6% 3.0% 2.0% 3.4% 2.5%

5) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Speaker Pelosi’s job performance?



Q5: PELOSIPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 17.4% 36.3% 16.2% 20.7% 27.0% 30.2% 26.1% 24.0% 16.4% 20.3% 28.3%




Uncertain 8.3% 10.3% 10.6% 7.0% 3.1% 14.6% 6.0% 1.7% 2.5% 9.6% 1.0%

6) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Governor Sisolak’s job performance?



Q6: SISOLAKPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 38.2% 42.1% 30.2% 14.1% 32.9% 32.5% 31.5% 33.8% 31.2% 31.9% 32.8%




Uncertain 10.2% 5.2% 6.9% 8.7% 12.6% 23.3% 13.2% 3.8% 7.2% 11.1% 10.5%

7) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Cortez Masto’s job performance?



Q7: CORTEZPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 18.7% 31.5% 27.1% 17.9% 25.2% 34.6% 21.4% 25.1% 21.3% 25.2% 24.5%




Uncertain 13.7% 5.7% 8.8% 14.0% 14.2% 11.2% 18.9% 8.9% 11.1% 14.2% 11.3%

8) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Jackie Rosen’s job performance?



Q8: ROSENPERFORMANCE2 Somewhat Approve 22.8% 37.5% 21.0% 10.1% 27.9% 29.9% 27.2% 25.0% 20.7% 26.2% 25.1%




Uncertain 12.0% 5.2% 9.2% 14.8% 12.4% 11.1% 15.2% 9.6% 9.7% 14.4% 8.6%

9) Assuming you had to vote today for President, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Marianne Williamson?



Q9: WILLIAMSONVSTRUMP Donald Trump 36.4% 38.2% 51.6% 59.6% 48.4% 30.1% 47.0% 54.9% 55.0% 47.6% 48.6%

Marianne Williamson 53.5% 42.7% 38.3% 26.3% 39.2% 58.3% 40.3% 33.9% 32.1% 38.3% 41.4%

Uncertain 10.2% 19.1% 10.1% 14.1% 12.4% 11.6% 12.7% 11.2% 12.9% 14.0% 10.0%

10) Assuming you had to vote today for President, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Cory Booker?



Q10: BOOKERVSTRUMP Cory Booker 63.8% 32.1% 38.2% 27.3% 45.1% 64.3% 39.3% 41.9% 36.7% 45.0% 43.0%

Donald Trump 30.5% 43.5% 51.5% 59.5% 45.4% 22.3% 46.6% 52.6% 55.1% 45.0% 46.8%

Uncertain 5.6% 24.4% 10.3% 13.3% 9.5% 13.4% 14.1% 5.5% 8.2% 10.0% 10.1%

11) Assuming you had to vote today for President, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Bernie Sanders?



Q11: TRUMPVSSANDERS Bernie Sanders 62.9% 36.8% 45.5% 36.1% 47.1% 72.7% 46.0% 40.7% 37.0% 46.9% 47.7%

Donald Trump 27.0% 44.1% 48.6% 53.4% 45.1% 20.5% 41.4% 54.4% 54.8% 43.8% 45.3%

Uncertain 10.1% 19.1% 5.9% 10.5% 7.8% 6.8% 12.6% 4.9% 8.2% 9.3% 7.1%

12) Assuming you had to vote today for President, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Joe Biden?



Q12: TRUMPVSBIDEN Donald Trump 36.7% 35.1% 36.9% 41.0% 46.1% 16.1% 43.3% 54.7% 47.6% 36.4% 49.8%

Joe Biden 54.6% 45.8% 49.2% 45.4% 49.1% 71.4% 43.8% 44.2% 45.6% 56.3% 41.6%

Uncertain 8.7% 19.1% 13.9% 13.5% 4.8% 12.5% 13.0% 1.1% 6.8% 7.2% 8.6%

13) Assuming you had to vote today for President, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Elizabeth Warren?



Q13: TRUMPVSWARREN Donald Trump 32.3% 30.1% 50.6% 57.2% 47.7% 23.9% 45.6% 55.0% 55.1% 47.4% 45.7%

Elizabeth Warren 62.3% 50.8% 41.1% 27.7% 46.7% 67.8% 44.5% 40.7% 38.4% 44.2% 48.5%

Uncertain 5.4% 19.1% 8.2% 15.1% 5.7% 8.2% 9.9% 4.2% 6.5% 8.4% 5.8%

14) Assuming you had to vote today for President, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Pete Buttigieg?



Q14: TRUMPVSBUTTIGIEG Donald Trump 23.5% 50.0% 48.8% 58.6% 47.7% 17.9% 46.8% 56.5% 55.2% 46.4% 46.4%

Pete Buttigieg 65.6% 30.8% 37.2% 26.8% 41.3% 53.7% 41.9% 37.5% 36.6% 42.4% 40.6%

Uncertain 10.9% 19.1% 14.0% 14.6% 11.0% 28.4% 11.3% 5.9% 8.2% 11.2% 13.0%

15) Assuming you had to vote today for President, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Kamala Harris?



Q15: TRUMPVSHARRIS Donald Trump 27.9% 32.7% 52.5% 58.1% 44.2% 21.6% 40.8% 54.3% 55.2% 45.3% 43.8%

Kamala Harris 56.3% 44.4% 39.7% 27.6% 46.0% 62.7% 42.9% 40.4% 38.6% 45.0% 44.5%

Uncertain 15.8% 22.8% 7.8% 14.3% 9.7% 15.7% 16.3% 5.3% 6.2% 9.6% 11.8%

16) Do you think Congress should begin the process to impeach President Trump, which could lead to his removal from office, or do you think

Congress should not begin the process?



Q16: IMPEACHTRUMP Do not impeach 42.2% 55.7% 58.2% 66.3% 55.4% 33.2% 56.3% 60.7% 64.9% 57.3% 53.2%

Impeach 57.8% 44.3% 41.8% 33.7% 44.6% 66.8% 43.7% 39.3% 35.1% 42.7% 46.8%

17) Do you believe President Donald Trump is a racist?



Q17: RACISTTRUMP No 26.5% 44.8% 51.0% 52.9% 45.1% 22.7% 41.9% 53.4% 55.8% 44.8% 45.0%

Uncertain 5.2% 16.8% 3.4% 14.3% 5.3% 9.2% 7.1% 3.7% 4.2% 4.2% 7.5%

Yes 68.3% 38.5% 45.6% 32.8% 49.6% 68.0% 51.0% 42.9% 40.0% 50.9% 47.5%

The following questions are for demographic purposes:

1) Are you registered to vote in Nevada?

2) What is your party affiliation?

18) What is your political ideology?

19) Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?

20) What race do you identify yourself as?

21) Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?

22) What is the highest level of education you have completed?

23) How old are you?

24) What is your gender?

nevada polling - | orlando political observer (orlando...

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