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Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser What – if Anything – Will Cause the Current Market to Improve and When? www.KaiserResearch.com

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Page 1: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition2013 Annual General Meeting

Reno, USA

October 15, 2013

Presented by John Kaiser

What – if Anything – Will Cause the

Current Market to Improve and When?

www.KaiserResearch.com

Page 2: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

Overview

• How bad is the resource sector equity market?

• Why is 2013 different from 1980 and why does $1,300

gold not feel good?

• Is there another way to view gold that does not entail

apocalyptic outcomes and which promises higher

real gold prices? (the Prosperity-Anxiety Narrative)

• What can trigger a sustainable real price uptrend that

has Wall Street on board?

• What makes Nevada special and why will it become

the focus for a modern day gold rush?

Page 3: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 4: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

$255 billion

Page 5: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

Nevada contributed $2.3 billion via Long Canyon

Page 6: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

During their last fiscal year the TSXV resource juniors burned $250 million per month in overhead. Financing is now raising less than $200 million per month.

Page 7: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 8: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 9: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

40 juniors of which 14 have less than $200,000 WC & owe $21 million, 24 have more than $200,000 WC totaling $66 million, & 2 have $91 million (Midway & Pilot)

Page 10: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

If it looks like a bubble, and starts to quack like a bubble, how it can it not be a bubble?

Wall Street target: $900-$1,000

Page 11: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 12: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 13: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 14: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 15: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 16: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 17: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

$2,000+ Dreamland

New UG Discovery Hurdle

New OP Discovery Hurdle

Page 18: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

Prosperity-Anxiety narrative as an alternative to conventional “apocalyptic” gold bug narrative.

Page 19: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 20: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 21: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 22: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 23: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 24: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 25: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 26: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

China’s offshore oil ambitions can be solved by Japanese style imperialism. Although the

US Defense has a Pivot to Asia underway, how sympathetic are American taxpayers going

to be if China acts to secure the shipping channels that are its lifeblood?

Page 27: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 28: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 29: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 30: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 31: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 32: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

What will be the trigger that sends gold higher in real price terms on a sustainable basis that gets Wall Street onside?

Page 33: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 34: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 35: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 36: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 37: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

In Q2 2009 China reported a 76% increase in official gold holdings to 34 million oz. Since then it has not updated, but China has produced 45 million oz, all likely bought by the central bank. An update today would put China at 79 million oz. Production in 2012 was 12 million ounces. At this rate it would take 15 years to catch up the US gold holdings. A market moving shocker would be news that a large part of the physical gold imported by China was also bought by the central bank rather than Mrs Wang.

Page 38: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 39: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 40: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 41: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

Location of

Getchell

Gold “Trend”

Total: 56,000,000 oz gold

1993-2011 Production: 10,663,020 ounces gold

2011 Global Resource: 6,219,600 ounces gold

Total: 16,882,620 ounces gold

1938-2011 Production: 5,195,175 ounces gold

2011 Global Resource: 29,774,175 ounces gold

Total: 34,969,350 ounces gold

Battle Mtn – Eureka

Gold “Trend”

Source: NGE presentation

Page 42: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

Au in Ground Water

Additional drill targets are suggested

by other areas reporting high Au in

ground water that were not associated

with known mineralization at the time.

Au ranges from 1 – 140ppt

where associated with known

mineralization

Contamination

from Tailings

1995 US Bureau of Mines hydrogeochemistry case study by David Grimes

Source: NGE presentation

Page 43: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

Relay Zone where

displacement is

transferred from one

fault to the other.

Aftershocks and gold-

depositing fluid flow

were focused along

these ‘transfer faults’.

Midway

fault

system

projected

beneath

coverPrimary Fault

(South)

Primary Fault

(North)

Au in Ground Water

Midway fault

system

based on

range-front

mapping

Area of

potential

new

discoveries

yet to be

reported by

Barrick and

Newmont

Source: NGE presentation

Page 44: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

Source: John Muntean et al

Page 45: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

Southeast Cortez “Trend” along which Barrick has found Red Hill & Goldrush, but beyond which McEwen et al have spent more than $60 million with disappointing results.

Southwest Grass Valley “Trend” along which “ignorant juniors” have staked claims and spent little. In 2012 staked 70:30 by McEwen/NGE based on 15 km gold-in-groundwater anomaly. A game changer for Nevada?

Pediment Deposit

Cortez Hills Deposit – 1.4 million oz produced 2011 Looking South September 2006

Page 46: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser
Page 47: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

Map showing

Regional Gravity

Geophysics (areas

of shallow bedrock

orange/brown,

blue shows areas

of deep bedrock)

and the Rock

Types exposed in

the Mountain

Ranges.

Grass Valley

Designated

Property

McEwen Mining

Gold Bar / Tonkin

Springs

Area of anomalous Au, As, Sb &

Tl in upwelling groundwater to

be in-filled with additional

ground water samples

Major Fault Zone inferred

from detailed gravity and

seismic geophysics

Axes of regional folds

in upper plate rocks

A A’

1 mi

2.456

1.6 km

Page 48: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

Ground Water

Chemistry SamplingProgress to Date

0 40 miles / 64km

Ground

Water

Sample

Collected

by NGE

Legacy

Ground

Water

Sample

Compiled

by NGE

Is there another 300 million oz to be found on ground not owned by Newmont & Barrick?

Page 49: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

A return to global prosperity growth will lead to a rebalancing of economic and military power that will be disruptive for many things we take for granted. Rising prosperity gives the new contenders the means to accumulate physical gold, and induces anxiety among the rest that encourages gold ownership. This 10-15 year transition will drive higher real gold prices.

Page 50: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

As other nations start to push back against cost dumping in their backyards, is it perhaps strategically prudent for the biggest economy to reconsider its own backyard in a quest for self-sufficiency before it is no longer the biggest economy?

Page 51: Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General ... · Nevada Mineral Exploration Coalition 2013 Annual General Meeting Reno, USA October 15, 2013 Presented by John Kaiser

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