nevada cd02 special election survey

8/6/2019 Nevada CD02 Special Election Survey

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August 17, 2011MEMORANDUM

TO: INTERESTED PARTIESFR: DAVID FLAHERTY

MAGELLAN DATA AND MAPPING STRATEGIESRE: NEVADA CD02 SPECIAL ELECTION SURVEY TOPLINE RESULTS___________________________________________________________________________________________Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies are pleased to present the topline results of a

656N autodial survey of likely general election voters in Nevadas SecondCongressional District. The interviews were conducted August 15 th and August 16 th ,2011. This survey has a margin of error of +/ 3.82% at the 95 percent confidenceinterval. The survey results were weighted based upon past general election voterturnout demographics.

T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter?

Republican.................................................................................... 48%Democrat ...................................................................................... 38%Independent ................................................................................ 14%

T2. How likely are you to vote in the September special election for Congress?

Extremely Likely ........................................................................ 88%Very Likely ...................................................................................... 7%Somewhat Likely .......................................................................... 5%


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Magellan ID# NVCD02081511 Nevada CD02 Special Election Survey Topline Results Page 2 of 4Field Dates: 8/15/118/16/11, MoE +/ 3.82%, 656n

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies| 1685 Boxelder St. Ste 300 | Louisville, CO 80027

www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 8618585

Thinking now about people active in Nevada politics..

T3. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Kate Marshall?

Favorable ...................................................................................... 33%

Unfavorable ................................................................................. 43%No Opinion ................................................................................... 16%

Name ID ......................................................................................... 92%Hard Name ID ............................................................................. 76%Never Heard Of .............................................................................. 8%

T4. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mark Amodei?

Favorable ...................................................................................... 38%Unfavorable ................................................................................. 36%No Opinion ................................................................................... 19%

Name ID ......................................................................................... 93%Hard Name ID ............................................................................. 74%Never Heard Of .............................................................................. 7%

T5. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

Approve ......................................................................................... 32%Disapprove ................................................................................... 63%

Unsure/No Opinion ..................................................................... 5%

T6. If the election for Congress was being held today, for whom would you vote if thecandidates were Kate Marshall, Democrat, Mark Amodei, Republican, TimothyFasano, Independent American, or Helmuth Lehmann, Independent?

Mark Amodei .............................................................................. 48%Kate Marshall .............................................................................. 35%Timothy Fasano ............................................................................ 4%Helmuth Lehmann ....................................................................... 2%Undecided ..................................................................................... 11%

Definitely Mark Amodei ......................................................... 37%Probably Mark Amodei ........................................................... 11%

Definitely Kate Marshall ......................................................... 30%Probably Kate Marshall ............................................................. 5%


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T7. If the election for Congress was being held today, for whom would you vote if thecandidates were Kate Marshall, Democrat, or Mark Amodei, Republican?

Mark Amodei .............................................................................. 51%Kate Marshall .............................................................................. 36%

Undecided ..................................................................................... 13%

Definitely Mark Amodei ......................................................... 38%Probably Mark Amodei ........................................................... 13%

Definitely Kate Marshall ......................................................... 30%Probably Kate Marshall ............................................................. 6%

T8. Generally speaking, do you consider yourself to be conservative, moderate orliberal on fiscal issues, such as taxes and government spending?

Conservative ................................................................................ 55%Moderate ....................................................................................... 32%Liberal ............................................................................................ 11%Unsure/No Opinion ..................................................................... 2%

T9. Generally speaking, do you consider yourself to be conservative, moderate orliberal on social issues, such as same sex marriage and abortion?

Conservative ................................................................................ 43%Moderate ....................................................................................... 32%

Liberal ............................................................................................ 22%Unsure/No Opinion ..................................................................... 3%

T10. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman?

Female ............................................................................................ 53%Male ................................................................................................. 47%

T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you?

1834.................................................................................................. 8%3544............................................................................................... 12%4554............................................................................................... 20%5564............................................................................................... 26%65+ ................................................................................................... 34%


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T12. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, Press2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 4if you are another ethnic group.

White .............................................................................................. 86%

Hispanic or Latino ........................................................................ 6%Another ethnic group ................................................................. 5%Black or African American ....................................................... 3%

nevada cd02 special election survey

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