network virtualization: opportunity or threat?: marcus weldon, bell labs president and...
DESCRIPTION
Many telecommunications analysts are trying to model the impact of Network Virtualization on our markets. Will virtualization cannibalize traditional hardware markets? What will it do to margins? Who is set to win or lose? How fast will it evolve? Marcus outlines some of the issues and ways the market will evolve.TRANSCRIPT
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Marcus Weldon
NETWORK VIRTUALIZATION: OPPORTUNITY OR THREAT?
CAPACITY & PROXIMITY
DEVICES & DEMANDS
CONVERGE & CONNECT SCALE & STREAM
VELOCITY & SIMPLICITY
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10€ / USER DEVICE 1€ / MACHINE
1 DEVICE / USER 10 DEVICES / USER
DEVICES & DEMANDS
100× LOWER COST BIT
1 BIG CELL / NODE
100× MORE BYTES
10 SMALL CELLS / NODES
CAPACITY & PROXIMITY
10 SEPARATE DOMAINS
100 CLOSED NETWORKS
1 CONVERGED NETWORK
1 OPEN NETWORK
CONVERGE & CONNECT
1 SYSTEM / SERVICE
1B APPS DOWNLOADED
10M SERVERS / SERVICE
1B CLOUD SERVICES DELIVERED
SCALE & STREAM
1 SERVICE / DECADE
100 OSS SYSTEMS
1 SERVICE / DAY
1 CLOUD OSS
VELOCITY & SIMPLICITY
8
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0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
YEARS AFTER INTRODUCTION
CUMULATIVE UNITS
1.5B TABLETS (2017)
2B WEARABLES (2018)
6.5B M2M CONNECTIONS (2017)
6.5M CLOUD SERVERS (2015)
0.5B SDN INVESTMENT (2013)
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NETWORK OPERATORS
Assets: Ultra-broadband Access
New Services: Limited and Closed
E/R: Increasing Network spend, flat revenue
Innovation Speed: Years
WEB OPERATORS
Assets: Massive global compute and storage
New Services: Limited but Open APIs to Web
E/R: Increasing DC spend, growing revenue
Innovation Speed: Days
IP TECHNOLOGIES IT TECHNOLOGIES
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NETWORK 1.0 NETWORK 2.0
VIRTUALIZED IT PLATFORMS
+ SDN1.0
DEDICATED PLATFORM
+ NETWORKS
WEB/IT DC
INTERNET
TELCO DC
MANY ACCESS
NETWORKS
INTERNET
WEB/IT DC
TELCO IT DC
UBB IP ACCESS NETWORK
DISTRIBUTED TELCO IT DC
VIRTUALIZED IT PLATFORMS
+ SDN2.0
VIRTUALIZED AND FEDERATED
IP NETWORKS
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NUMBER OF PROCESSORS
SPEEDUP
0
20
1
VIRTUALIZATION IS THE ANSWER
AMDAHL’S LAW OF PARALLEL PROCESSING
65536
VIRTUALIZATION
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COST GAIN
CORE ROUTERS & ETHERNET
SWITCHES
FFTx, RF, COHERENT OPTICAL
EDGE ROUTERS
RADIO ACCESS
NETWORK
PACKET GATEWAYS
MEDIA GATEWAYS
MEDIA SERVER AND CDN CPE
NETWORK APPLIANCES
NETWORK APPS
ANALYTICS PLATFORMS
CHARGING APPLICATIONS
NFV / SDN CONTROL
OSS/BSS
EMS / NMS
MORE LESS
LOW
HIGH
DYNAMIC CONTROL
GAIN
CONTROL PLANE FUNCTIONS
THREAT
OPPORTUNITY
THREAT OPPORTUNITY
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ULTRA- BROADBAND ACCESS
CLOUD DYNAMIC
PROGRAMMABLE NETWORK
SDN BUSINESSES
HOMES
CONSUMERS
vNF vNF vNF vNF
CLOUD OPTIMIZED
ROUTING
CLOUD OPTIMIZED PLATFORM
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