network virtualization: opportunity or threat?: marcus weldon, bell labs president and...

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COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Marcus Weldon NETWORK VIRTUALIZATION: OPPORTUNITY OR THREAT?

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Many telecommunications analysts are trying to model the impact of Network Virtualization on our markets. Will virtualization cannibalize traditional hardware markets? What will it do to margins? Who is set to win or lose? How fast will it evolve? Marcus outlines some of the issues and ways the market will evolve.

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Page 1: Network Virtualization: Opportunity or Threat?: Marcus Weldon, Bell Labs President and Alcatel-Lucent CTO

COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

Marcus Weldon

NETWORK VIRTUALIZATION: OPPORTUNITY OR THREAT?

Page 2: Network Virtualization: Opportunity or Threat?: Marcus Weldon, Bell Labs President and Alcatel-Lucent CTO

CAPACITY & PROXIMITY

DEVICES & DEMANDS

CONVERGE & CONNECT SCALE & STREAM

VELOCITY & SIMPLICITY

Page 3: Network Virtualization: Opportunity or Threat?: Marcus Weldon, Bell Labs President and Alcatel-Lucent CTO

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COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

10€ / USER DEVICE 1€ / MACHINE

1 DEVICE / USER 10 DEVICES / USER

DEVICES & DEMANDS

Page 4: Network Virtualization: Opportunity or Threat?: Marcus Weldon, Bell Labs President and Alcatel-Lucent CTO

100× LOWER COST BIT

1 BIG CELL / NODE

100× MORE BYTES

10 SMALL CELLS / NODES

CAPACITY & PROXIMITY

Page 5: Network Virtualization: Opportunity or Threat?: Marcus Weldon, Bell Labs President and Alcatel-Lucent CTO

10 SEPARATE DOMAINS

100 CLOSED NETWORKS

1 CONVERGED NETWORK

1 OPEN NETWORK

CONVERGE & CONNECT

Page 6: Network Virtualization: Opportunity or Threat?: Marcus Weldon, Bell Labs President and Alcatel-Lucent CTO

1 SYSTEM / SERVICE

1B APPS DOWNLOADED

10M SERVERS / SERVICE

1B CLOUD SERVICES DELIVERED

SCALE & STREAM

Page 7: Network Virtualization: Opportunity or Threat?: Marcus Weldon, Bell Labs President and Alcatel-Lucent CTO

1 SERVICE / DECADE

100 OSS SYSTEMS

1 SERVICE / DAY

1 CLOUD OSS

VELOCITY & SIMPLICITY

Page 8: Network Virtualization: Opportunity or Threat?: Marcus Weldon, Bell Labs President and Alcatel-Lucent CTO

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COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

YEARS AFTER INTRODUCTION

CUMULATIVE UNITS

1.5B TABLETS (2017)

2B WEARABLES (2018)

6.5B M2M CONNECTIONS (2017)

6.5M CLOUD SERVERS (2015)

0.5B SDN INVESTMENT (2013)

Page 9: Network Virtualization: Opportunity or Threat?: Marcus Weldon, Bell Labs President and Alcatel-Lucent CTO

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COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

NETWORK OPERATORS

Assets: Ultra-broadband Access

New Services: Limited and Closed

E/R: Increasing Network spend, flat revenue

Innovation Speed: Years

WEB OPERATORS

Assets: Massive global compute and storage

New Services: Limited but Open APIs to Web

E/R: Increasing DC spend, growing revenue

Innovation Speed: Days

IP TECHNOLOGIES IT TECHNOLOGIES

Page 10: Network Virtualization: Opportunity or Threat?: Marcus Weldon, Bell Labs President and Alcatel-Lucent CTO

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COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

NETWORK 1.0 NETWORK 2.0

VIRTUALIZED IT PLATFORMS

+ SDN1.0

DEDICATED PLATFORM

+ NETWORKS

WEB/IT DC

INTERNET

TELCO DC

MANY ACCESS

NETWORKS

INTERNET

WEB/IT DC

TELCO IT DC

UBB IP ACCESS NETWORK

DISTRIBUTED TELCO IT DC

VIRTUALIZED IT PLATFORMS

+ SDN2.0

VIRTUALIZED AND FEDERATED

IP NETWORKS

Page 11: Network Virtualization: Opportunity or Threat?: Marcus Weldon, Bell Labs President and Alcatel-Lucent CTO

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COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

NUMBER OF PROCESSORS

SPEEDUP

0

20

1

VIRTUALIZATION IS THE ANSWER

AMDAHL’S LAW OF PARALLEL PROCESSING

65536

VIRTUALIZATION

Page 12: Network Virtualization: Opportunity or Threat?: Marcus Weldon, Bell Labs President and Alcatel-Lucent CTO

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COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

COST GAIN

CORE ROUTERS & ETHERNET

SWITCHES

FFTx, RF, COHERENT OPTICAL

EDGE ROUTERS

RADIO ACCESS

NETWORK

PACKET GATEWAYS

MEDIA GATEWAYS

MEDIA SERVER AND CDN CPE

NETWORK APPLIANCES

NETWORK APPS

ANALYTICS PLATFORMS

CHARGING APPLICATIONS

NFV / SDN CONTROL

OSS/BSS

EMS / NMS

MORE LESS

LOW

HIGH

DYNAMIC CONTROL

GAIN

CONTROL PLANE FUNCTIONS

THREAT

OPPORTUNITY

THREAT OPPORTUNITY

Page 13: Network Virtualization: Opportunity or Threat?: Marcus Weldon, Bell Labs President and Alcatel-Lucent CTO

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COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

ULTRA- BROADBAND ACCESS

CLOUD DYNAMIC

PROGRAMMABLE NETWORK

SDN BUSINESSES

HOMES

CONSUMERS

vNF vNF vNF vNF

CLOUD OPTIMIZED

ROUTING

CLOUD OPTIMIZED PLATFORM

Page 14: Network Virtualization: Opportunity or Threat?: Marcus Weldon, Bell Labs President and Alcatel-Lucent CTO

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