net profit of dkk 799 million and roe of 13.1 % · at the beginning of 2017, spar nord forecast...

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Net profit of DKK 799 million and ROE of 13.1 % Presentation of Spar Nord’s financial results for Q1-Q3 2017

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Page 1: Net profit of DKK 799 million and ROE of 13.1 % · At the beginning of 2017, Spar Nord forecast core earnings before impairment of around DKK 1.1-1.2 billion, and after Q2 this forecast

Net profit of DKK 799 million and ROE of 13.1 %

Presentation of Spar Nord’s financial results for Q1-Q3 2017

Page 2: Net profit of DKK 799 million and ROE of 13.1 % · At the beginning of 2017, Spar Nord forecast core earnings before impairment of around DKK 1.1-1.2 billion, and after Q2 this forecast

Net profit of DKK 799 million and ROE of 13.1 %● Recovery in macroeconomic conditions leads to higher investments and increasing demand for financing

● Low interest rate environment and tough competition continue to put pressure on Net interest income

● Highly satisfactory net fee income driven by mortgage distribution and transaction banking

● Market-value adjustments negatively impacted by Q3 write-down on BEC

● Cost growth of 4 % - primarily driven by strategic initiatives (IT-projects, branch refurbishment etc.)

● DKK 51 million net reversal of loan losses – markedly better than expected

● Following BEC write-down, we forecast core earnings before impairment of around DKK 1,200 against the previous

forecast of around DKK 1,250. Full-year impairment charges are now expected to be around DKK 0 and thus, we

maintain guidance for our full-year PTP

2

Page 3: Net profit of DKK 799 million and ROE of 13.1 % · At the beginning of 2017, Spar Nord forecast core earnings before impairment of around DKK 1.1-1.2 billion, and after Q2 this forecast

Key points from the income statement

3

SPAR NORD BANK Realized Realized Realized RealizedDKKm YTD 2017 YTD 2016 Index Q3 2017 Q2 2017 IndexNet interest income 1,173 1,226 96 388 393 99Net fees, charges and commissions 837 778 108 264 279 95Market-value adjustments 303 329 92 18 121 14Other income 64 51 125 19 21 90Core income 2,377 2,384 100 688 814 85Staff costs 850 835 102 247 318 78Operating expenses etc. 561 519 108 186 185 101Costs 1,411 1,354 104 434 502 86Core earnings before impairment 966 1,031 94 255 312 82Impairments of loans and advances, etc. -51 188 -27 -42 -10 414Profit before tax 1,017 843 121 297 322 92Tax 218 153 143 73 64 114Profit 799 690 116 224 258 87

Page 4: Net profit of DKK 799 million and ROE of 13.1 % · At the beginning of 2017, Spar Nord forecast core earnings before impairment of around DKK 1.1-1.2 billion, and after Q2 this forecast

Low-interest rate environment and tough competition put pressure on NII

● Net interest income declined by 4 % (y/y) and came to

DKK 1,173 million

● Bank and leasing lending is up by DKK 1.5 billion (4 %)

year-to-date● Households: DKK 0.4 billion

● Corporates: DKK 1.1 billion

● Interest income from bond portfolio was DKK 31 million

lower than in the same period last year

● NII has been stable for 4 quarters

● Positive Q3 one-off of DKK 10 million related to a

previously impaired commitment (Q2: DKK 9 million)

4

Net interest income and volume

35.1 35.1 35.8 36.4 36.6

0

250

500

750

Q32016

Q42016

Q12017

Q22017

Q32017

Net interest income Lending, banking and leasing activities

DKKm

Page 5: Net profit of DKK 799 million and ROE of 13.1 % · At the beginning of 2017, Spar Nord forecast core earnings before impairment of around DKK 1.1-1.2 billion, and after Q2 this forecast

Continued pressure on interest margin

5

Margin trend

● In Q3 2017, the total interest margin was 30 basis points lower than in Q4 2016

● Lending margin has declined by 34 basis points year-to-date – 10 basis points from Q2 to Q3

● In the same period, deposit margin has been lowered by 8 basis points – not much more to come for

0.29 0.27 0.26 0.22 0.22 0.13 0.11 0.09 0.085.03 4.92 4.78 4.71 4.69 4.66 4.47 4.42 4.32

4.74 4.66 4.51 4.50 4.47 4.53 4.36 4.33 4.23

Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17

Interest rate (Deposits) Interest rate (Loans) Interest margin

Pct.

Page 6: Net profit of DKK 799 million and ROE of 13.1 % · At the beginning of 2017, Spar Nord forecast core earnings before impairment of around DKK 1.1-1.2 billion, and after Q2 this forecast

6

Net fee income

Strong trend in net fee income driven by mortgage distribution and transaction banking

● Net income from fees, charges and commissions

amounted to DKK 837 million – up DKK 59 million (8

%) on Q1-Q3 last year

● Income from mortgage-distribution grew by 15 %

driven by both volume growth and price hikes

● Strong growth in other fees driven by transaction

banking, insurance distribution etc.

● Small decline in fee income related to securities

trading and asset management - partially

attributable to MiFID II 0

200

400

600

800

1,000

YTD 16 YTD 17

DKKm YTD 16/YTD 17: 8 %

Page 7: Net profit of DKK 799 million and ROE of 13.1 % · At the beginning of 2017, Spar Nord forecast core earnings before impairment of around DKK 1.1-1.2 billion, and after Q2 this forecast

Strong trend in net fee income driven by mortgage distribution and transaction banking

7

Other feesSecurities trading and asset management

Mortgage Other loan transaction fees

Note: Change of IT provider in Q2 2016 has lead to changes in classification impacting ”other loan transaction fees” and ”other fees”

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Q316

Q416

Q117

Q217

Q317

YTD16

YTD17

Y/Y: 15 %DKKm

Q316

Q416

Q117

Q217

Q317

YTD16

YTD17

Y/Y: -4 %

Q316

Q416

Q117

Q217

Q317

YTD16

YTD17

Y/Y: 32 %

Q316

Q416

Q117

Q217

Q317

YTD16

YTD17

Y/Y: -17 %

Page 8: Net profit of DKK 799 million and ROE of 13.1 % · At the beginning of 2017, Spar Nord forecast core earnings before impairment of around DKK 1.1-1.2 billion, and after Q2 this forecast

Market value adjustments negatively impacted by write-down on BEC● Market value adjustments amounted to DKK 303 million –

down 8 % Q1-Q3 last year

● Market value adjustments on shares and bonds was

sustained at a satisfactory level

● Market value adjustments on strategic shareholdings in the

financial sector declined by DKK 46 million (y/y)● Positive adjustments on DLR Kredit, BankInvest, Erhvervsinvest II K/S and

PRAS

● DKK 54 million negative adjustment on shareholding in BEC following write-down on development assets

● Market value adjustments and dividends declined from DKK

121 million in Q2 to DKK 18 million in Q3● Negative trend in sector shares – mainly driven by BEC write-down

● Lower market value adjustments on bonds

8

Market value adjustments and dividends

0

50

100

150

200

Q32016

Q42016

Q12017

Q22017

Q32017

DKKm

DKKm YTD2017 YTD 2016 ChangeMarket-valued adjustments in Trading, Financial Markets & The International Division 208 205 3

Tangible assets 70 91 -22Currency trade and -agio 25 33 -8Total 303 329 -27

Page 9: Net profit of DKK 799 million and ROE of 13.1 % · At the beginning of 2017, Spar Nord forecast core earnings before impairment of around DKK 1.1-1.2 billion, and after Q2 this forecast

9

Costs and C/I Ratio

Breakdown on types

● Total costs and expenses amounted to DKK 1,411 million which is

DKK 57 million (4 %) higher than in Q1-Q3 last year.

● Wages and salaries grew by DKK 2 % (y/y) ● collective agreements,

● Lack of last year’s positive one-offs

● Other operating expenses grew by 10 % (y/y) ● Strategic IT-projects both in Spar Nord and on BEC

● Roll-out of new branch concept

● Increased marketing efforts

● Staff and branches● At the end of Q3, Spar Nord employs 1,557 FTE – 9 more than 12 months ago

● Spar Nord now consists of 51 branches – 15 fewer than 12 months ago

Costs and expenses influenced by strategic initiatives

0.57 0.59

0.00

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

YTD2016

YTD2017

DKKm

Costs(DKKm) YTD2017 YTD 2016 ChangeStaff costs 850 835 15Operating expenses 515 468 47Depreciation 46 51 -5Costs 1,411 1,354 57

Operating expenses(DKKm) YTD2017 YTD 2016 ChangeStaff-related expenses 29 27 3Travel expenses 12 11 1Marketing costs 79 65 15IT expenses 252 239 13Cost of premises 76 61 14Other administrative expenses 68 66 2Operating expenses 515 468 47

Page 10: Net profit of DKK 799 million and ROE of 13.1 % · At the beginning of 2017, Spar Nord forecast core earnings before impairment of around DKK 1.1-1.2 billion, and after Q2 this forecast

Substantial net reversal of loan losses

● Loan impairment charges was an income of DKK 51

million, which compares to an expense of DKK 188

million in Q1-Q3 last year

● Incl. management estimates of DKK 150m (DKK 85m

related to households and DKK 65m related to

agriculture and corporates), profit impact was:● Households: DKK 58 million

● Corporates excl. agriculture: DKK -100 million

● Agriculture: DKK -9 million

● Explanations behind positive development● Continued improvement of macro conditions

● Better outlook for agriculture

● Lower inflow of new impairment exposures and substantial growth in income from exposures previously written off

● Generally strong credit quality – confirmed by FSA in Q210

Loan impairment and impairment percentage

0.4 0.4 0.0 -0.1-0.7

-50

0

50

100

150

200

Q32016

Q42016

Q12017

Q22017

Q32017

DKKmPct.

Page 11: Net profit of DKK 799 million and ROE of 13.1 % · At the beginning of 2017, Spar Nord forecast core earnings before impairment of around DKK 1.1-1.2 billion, and after Q2 this forecast

Business volume growing 4 % to DKK 239 billion● Positive trend in credit distribution to both households and corporates● Bank and leasing lending is up by DKK 1.5 billion (4 %) and volume of distributed mortgage loans is up by DKK 3.1 (2 %) YTD

● Bank deposits have grown by DKK 1.6 billion (4 %) and pooled schemes by DKK 0.7 billion (5 %) year-to-date

● Customers’ AuM is up by DKK 2.7 billion (4 %) year-to-date

11

Bank lending Mortgage Guarantees Deposits Pooled schemes Investment AUM

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17

Q3 16/Q3 17: 4 %DKKb

Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17

Q3 16/Q3 17: -1 %

Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17

Q3 16/Q3 17: 2 %

Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17

Q3 16/Q3 17: 6 %

Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17

Q3 16/Q3 17: 6 %

Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17

Q3 16/Q3 17: 10 %

Page 12: Net profit of DKK 799 million and ROE of 13.1 % · At the beginning of 2017, Spar Nord forecast core earnings before impairment of around DKK 1.1-1.2 billion, and after Q2 this forecast

Solid capital position – but also issues to be addressed

● At the end of Q3, CET 1 ratio was 14.2 % and the total capital

ratio 17.9 %

● The total capital ratio of 17.9 should be viewed relative to the

individual solvency need of 9.1 % and the 1.3 % combined

buffer requirement

● Excess capital coverage of 7.5 percentage points or DKK 3.7 billion

● In Q3 we have resumed the practice of consolidating our profits

for the year-to-date

● We still expect to be met with MREL demands on the same level

as SIFI banks

● Expected impact of IFRS 9: 2-3 % of equity

● Strategic considerations of switching to IRB methods – further on

this topic in our Q4 report12

Pct. Q32017 2016 2015 2014

Core tier 1 ratio 14.2 14.0 14.4 13.0Hybrid capital 1.7 1.8 0.8 0.9Deductions in hybrid capital -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.6Tier 1 ratio 15.8 15.6 14.9 13.3Subordinated debt 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3Deductions in own funds -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.6Total capital ratio 17.9 17.7 17.0 15.0

0

5

10

15

20

2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD 17Total capital ratio

Core tier 1 ratio

Pct.

400

700

400 450

0

300

600

900

1,200

1,500

2017 2018 2019 2020 2020->

Hybrid capitalSubordinated loan capital

DKKm

Page 13: Net profit of DKK 799 million and ROE of 13.1 % · At the beginning of 2017, Spar Nord forecast core earnings before impairment of around DKK 1.1-1.2 billion, and after Q2 this forecast

Strategic liquidity remains very comfortable

13

Strategic liquidity Loan to deposit ratio

DKKb YTD2017 2016 2015Deposits, banking activities 48.1 46.5 44.4Seniorfunding 0.0 0.0 0.0Core capital and sub. capital 9.9 9.7 9.0Stable long term funding 58.0 56.2 53.4Loans, banking and leasing activities 36.6 35.1 33.9Maturity < 1 year 0.4 0.4 0.0Liquidity target 21.0 20.7 19.5

111 107

8578 72 69 71 75

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD 17

Pct.

Page 14: Net profit of DKK 799 million and ROE of 13.1 % · At the beginning of 2017, Spar Nord forecast core earnings before impairment of around DKK 1.1-1.2 billion, and after Q2 this forecast

Guidance for 2017

● At the beginning of 2017, Spar Nord forecast core earnings before impairment of around DKK 1.1-

1.2 billion, and after Q2 this forecast was upgraded to around DKK 1,250 million

● At the beginning of the year, loan impairments were expected to be “lower than in 2016”, but

after Q2 this forecast was revised to “substantially lower than in 2016”

● Based on developments in Q3 and due to the write-down relating to BC, Spar Nord forecasts

core earnings before impairment of around DKK 1,200 million. Full-year impairment charges are

now expected to be around DKK 0, and thus Spar Nord maintains its full-year guidance for pre-

tax profit

14

Page 15: Net profit of DKK 799 million and ROE of 13.1 % · At the beginning of 2017, Spar Nord forecast core earnings before impairment of around DKK 1.1-1.2 billion, and after Q2 this forecast

Contact us atTelephone: +45 96 34 40 10

Mail: [email protected]

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Telephone: +45 96 34 40 11

Mail: [email protected]

Ole Madsen, IR Lasse Nyby, CEO