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Page 1: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Neste

Capital Markets Day14 September 2016

London

Page 2: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Agenda

12:30 Creating the next wave of profitable growth Matti Lievonen, CEO

13:00 Baltic Sea champion Matti Lehmus, EVP, Oil Products

13:40 Break

14:00 Global renewables growth Kaisa Hietala, EVP, Renewable

Products

14:40 Strong financials enabling the next wave of

growth

Jyrki Mäki-Kala, CFO

15:00 Concluding remarks Matti Lievonen, CEO

15:05 Break

15:15 Breakout sessions

16:30 Cocktails

14 September 2016 2Capital Markets Day

Page 3: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

3

Speakers

Matti Lievonen

(born 1958)

President & CEO, Chair of the Neste Executive Board

B.Sc. (Eng.), eMBA.

President & CEO since 2008.

Joined the company in 2008. Served as President of the Fine and Speciality Papers Division at UPM-

Kymmene Corporation, and in a number of other senior positions at UPM (1986–2008), and prior to

that at ABB. Member of UPM-Kymmene’s Executive Board 2002–2008. Chair of the Board of Nynas

AB. Vice Chair of the Board of the Chemical Industry Federation of Finland. Member of the Board of

SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and

Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency Supply Agency. Member of the Supervisory

Board of The Finnish Fair Corporation.

Jyrki Mäki-Kala

(born 1961)

Chief Financial Officer

M.Sc. (Econ.)

Member of the Neste Executive Board since 2013.

Joined the company in 2013. Responsible for the Group’s financial management, investor relations,

and risk management. Chair of the Board of Directors of Neste Jacobs. Served in various business and

corporate financial positions at Kemira (2005–2013). Previously worked for Finnish Chemicals.

14 September 2016 Capital Markets Day

Page 4: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

4

Speakers

Matti Lehmus

(born 1974)

Executive Vice President, Oil Products

M.Sc. (Eng.), eMBA.

Member of the Neste Executive Board since 2009.

Joined the company in 1997. Responsible for the Oil Products business area. Previously served as

Executive Vice President of the Oil Products and Renewables business area (2011–2014), Executive

Vice President of the Oil Products business area (2009–2010), Vice President of the Base Oils

business in the Specialty Products Division (2007–2009), Vice President of Oil Refining Business

Development (2007) and Gasoline Exports and Trading Manager (2004–2007) in the Oil Refining

Division. Chair of the Board of the Finnish Petroleum & Biofuels Association.

Kaisa Hietala

(born 1971)

Executive Vice President, Renewable Products

M.Sc.(Physics), Finland and M.Sc.(Env.Sc.), UK

Member of the Neste Executive Board since 2014.

Joined the company in 1998. Responsible for the Renewable Products business area. Served in

several positions at Neste, most recently as Vice President of the Renewable Fuels business

(2011–2014), Vice President of Supply in Singapore (2009–2011), Commercial Director in

Singapore (2008), and Feedstock Manager in the Renewable Fuels Business operations (2006-

2008). Member of the Board of Kemira Oyj.

14 September 2016 Capital Markets Day

Page 5: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

5

Speakers

Panu Kopra

(born 1972)

Executive Vice President, Oil Retail

BBA, MBA

Member of the Neste Executive Board since 2016.

Joined the company in 1996. Responsible for Oil Retail Business Area in Finland, Baltic Rim and in

Russia. Previously served as Vice President in Oil Retail Sales in Finland and Baltic Rim (2014-

2015), Vice President in Oil Retail Russia and Baltic Rim (2010-2014), General Manager in St.

Petersburg Russia (2009), Business Development Manager in Renewable Products (2007-2008),

Sales Director (2006), General Manager in Latvia (2003-2005) and in several other positions in the

company.

Tuomas Hyyryläinen

(born 1977)

Senior Vice President, Emerging Businesses Unit

M.Sc. (Econ.)

Member of the Neste Executive Board since 2012.

Joined the company in 2012. Responsible for emerging businesses. Previously served as Senior

Vice President, Strategy and New Ventures. Served as Vice President for Strategy at F-Secure and

served in various strategy- and business development-related positions at Nokia. Member of the

Board of Directors of Nynas AB.

14 September 2016 Capital Markets Day

Page 6: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Disclaimer

The following information contains, or may be deemed to contain, “forward-looking statements”. These

statements relate to future events or our future financial performance, including, but not limited to,

strategic plans, potential growth, planned operational changes, expected capital expenditures, future

cash sources and requirements, liquidity and cost savings that involve known and unknown risks,

uncertainties and other factors that may cause Neste Corporation’s or its businesses’ actual results,

levels of activity, performance or achievements to be materially different from those expressed or

implied by any forward-looking statements. In some cases, such forward-looking statements can be

identified by terminology such as “may,” “will,” “could,” “would,” “should,” “expect,” “plan,” “anticipate,”

“intend,” “believe,” “estimate,” “predict,” “potential,” or “continue,” or the negative of those terms or other

comparable terminology. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties

because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future.

Future results may vary from the results expressed in, or implied by, the following forward-looking

statements, possibly to a material degree. All forward-looking statements made in this presentation are

based on information presently available to management and Neste Corporation assumes no obligation

to update any forward-looking statements. Nothing in this presentation constitutes investment advice

and this presentation shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any

securities or otherwise to engage in any investment activity.

14 September 2016 6Capital Markets Day

Page 7: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Creating the

next wave of

profitable growth

Matti Lievonen, President & CEO

Page 8: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Clear strategic objectives

Baltic Sea

champion

Global

renewables

growth

814 September 2016 Capital Markets Day

Page 9: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

On track with our promises

14 September 2016 9

Focusing on

strategyEnhancing

competitivenessCreating growth

Outsourcing non-core assets:

• Power plant joint venture

project progressing

• Outsourced hydrogen unit

ready for start-up

• One Refinery concept

including Porvoo SDA unit

investment and Naantali

reconfiguration

• Competence development

• Reduced production costs

• Improved availability of

refineries

• Improved safety

• Renewable Products’ EBIT

growth target 100 MEUR

achieved

• Renewable diesel capacity

2.6 Mton/a reached

• Progress and new openings

in biochemicals

• Bio-LPG unit under

construction in Rotterdam

Capital Markets Day

Page 10: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Strategy implementation visible in

financial performance

14 September 2016 10

Comparable EBIT, MEUR

0

200

400

600

800

1000

2012 2013 2014 2015 H1/2016 (rolling12 months) *

* Including H1/2015 BTC impact approx. +65 MEUR

Capital Markets Day

Page 11: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Transformation visible in EBIT

composition

14 September 2016 11

Comparable EBIT, MEUR

-200 0 200 400 600

Oil Retail

Renewables

Oil Products

-200 0 200 400 600

2012 2015

Capital Markets Day

Page 12: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Outperforming the peers

14 September 2016 12

*Peer group: ERG, Hellenic Petroleum, Lotos, MOL, Motor Oil Hellas, PKN Orlen, Saras, Tesoro, Tupras, Valero Energy

Relative share price

peer group* index average

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16

Neste

Peer group

+ 288%

+ 22%

Capital Markets Day

Page 13: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

14 September 2016 13

Current supporting trends

Oil product

supply and

demand

balanced mid-

term

Paris

agreement

confirms global

commitment to

tackle climate

change

Regulators in

core markets

raising GHG

reduction and

biofuels targets

Oil demand

growth

continues

Urals-Brent

price spread

widened

Decarbonization

of global

economy

Capital Markets Day

Page 14: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

14 September 2016 14

Challenges to be addressed

Increasing

product imports

to Europe

Rising

biomandates

impacting oil

product

demand longer

term

Refining

overcapacity in

Europe

Emerging

alternative

technologies

Capital Markets Day

Page 15: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

14 September 2016 15

Strategy delivery based on capabilities

Commercial

excellence

Innovation and

renewal

Operational

discipline and

excellence

New market

opening

Capital Markets Day

Page 16: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Baltic Sea champion

16

Benchmark in

asset quality and

operational

excellence

Differentiation

through unique

customer driven

offering

Leader in low carbon solutions in the Baltic Sea markets

14 September 2016 Capital Markets Day

Strong

financials

Page 17: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

17Capital Markets Day

Expanding to new

markets and

drop-in solutions

14 September 2016

Creating the next wave of profitable growth

Global renewables growth

Strong waste and

residue feedstock

position globally

New capacity

increase program

Page 18: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Consistent cash allocation strategy

Optimizing

leverage

Paying out

favorable

dividends

Investing in

growth and

productivity

14 September 2016 18Capital Markets Day

Page 19: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Payout from comparable net profit, % Dividends paid, MEUR

54%

34%

41%

35%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

2012 2013 2014 2015

19

97

167 166

256

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2012 2013 2014 2015

€0.38

per

share

€0.65

per

share

Dividend policy upgradedAt least 40% of the comparable net profit

€0.65

per

share

14 September 2016

€1.00

per

share

Capital Markets Day

New policy: at least 40%

Page 20: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

43.2%

30.0%

37.9%

29.4%

25.2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

2012 2013 2014 2015 H1/2016

5.0%

11.8%

10.1%

16.3%

19.1%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

2012 2013 2014 2015 H1/2016*

ROACE, % (rolling 12 months)

2014 September 2016

Target: over 15%

* including approx. 1.3% -unit BTC impact from H1/2015

Target: 25-50%

Leverage, %

Capital Markets Day

Financial targets unchanged

Page 21: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Clear strategic objectives

Baltic Sea

champion

Global

renewables

growth

2114 September 2016 Capital Markets Day

Page 22: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Baltic Sea champion

Matti Lehmus, EVP, Oil Products

Page 23: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Baltic Sea champion

23

Benchmark in

asset quality and

operational

excellence

Differentiation

through unique

customer driven

offering

Leader in low carbon solutions in the Baltic Sea markets

14 September 2016 Capital Markets Day

Strong

financials

Page 24: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Delivering on targets

2414 September 2016 Capital Markets Day

• Successful Porvoo utilization

maximization

• Production cost improvement

to 3.8 USD/bbl in H1/2016

• Return on marketing

investment improved

• Strategic refinery investments

on track for mid-2017

completion

• Outsourcing projects on track

• New retail stations opened

• Wholesale sales volume

increased by 5%

• Number of retail customers

grown by more than 10%

• Launching of new products and

solutions

• Renewal of retail backcourt

concept

Unique customer

offeringAsset

development

Operational

performance

improvement

Page 25: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

25

Oil market dynamics normalizing after

exceptional 2015

Solid demand growth for

both gasoline and diesel

More balanced crude

supply/demand

European refining margin

environment closer to long

term average

Strong product supply

growth

14 September 2016 Capital Markets Day

Page 26: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Solid product demand growth in 2016 driven

by both gasoline and diesel

Source: WoodMackenzie

14 September 2016 Capital Markets Day 26

0

200

400

600

800

2013 2014 2015 2016

kbpd

+1.9%

+2.9%

+1.3%

Global gasoline annual demand growth

+2.4%

Global middle distillates annual demand growth

0

200

400

600

800

2013 2014 2015 2016

kbpd

+1.2%+1.3%

+0.9%

+1.9%

Page 27: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Supply and demand growth outlook balanced –

demand growth and utilization rates in focus

Source: WoodMackenzie, PIRA, KCB, OPEC, EIA, IEA

Global supply demand balance OECD petroleum product inventories

14 September 2016 Capital Markets Day 27

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2015 2016 2017

Product demand change, range of estimates

Product demand change

Refining capacity change + non refinery supply change

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2014 2015 2016

Mbblkbpd

Page 28: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

REB differential has widened in 2016 as supply

growth continues

28

REB differential vs Brent REB export volume via Baltic Sea

Note: Urals Rotterdam vs Brent dtd, 2016 = 1-8/16 Note: 2016 estimate based on assumption that H2 will be in line with H1

14 September 2016 Capital Markets Day

-3.00

-2.50

-2.00

-1.50

-1.00

-0.50

0.00

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

2013 2014 2015 2016

kton

USD/bbl

Page 29: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Neste reference margin closer to long term

average after exceptional 2015

29

0

2

4

6

8

10

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Neste reference margin

Reference margin averages

2011 USD 4.4/bbl

2012 USD 7.4/bbl

2013 USD 4.8/bbl

2014 USD 4.7/bbl

2015 USD 7.7/bbl

1-8/2016 USD 4.8/bbl

Neste reference margin, USD/bbl

14 September 2016 Capital Markets Day

Page 30: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Biofuels demand growing in Baltic Sea market

30

Baltic Sea overall demand forecast

(incl. biofuels) in 2016-2021

41 41

10 9

0

10

20

30

40

50

60+/-0%

50

Mton

2021

50

2016

Middle distillatesGasoline

0

1

2

3

4

5

>4

2016

>2

>10%/a

2021

Mton

Biofuels

Baltic Sea biofuel demand forecast 2016-2021

Baltic Sea includes: Finland, Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Poland, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania

14 September 2016 Capital Markets Day

Page 31: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Strong position in Baltic Sea market

3114 September 2016 Capital Markets Day

• High quality assets in production

and logistics

• Combined offering of oil

products and renewables

• Logistical competitive advantage

in both feedstock and products

• Strong retail position in selected

five focus markets

Page 32: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Differentiating ourselves in the market

14 September 2016 Capital Markets Day 32

Unique

customer

offering

Premium products

Tailormade solutions based

on cross-business offering

Customer service design

Digitalization

Focus on

customer

experience

Improved

customer

satisfaction

and loyalty

Page 33: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Additional margin growth through selected

strategic initiatives

14 September 2016 Capital Markets Day 33

Operational

performance

improvement

Asset

development

Systematic reliability and safety improvement

Cost control

One Refinery strategic investment program

Productivity investments with short payback

Disciplined baseload maintenance

Page 34: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Increasing our annual additional margin target

from USD 5.0 to 5.5/bbl

14 September 2016 Capital Markets Day 34

0

5

10

15

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Neste reference margin Additional margin

Total refining margin, USD/bbl Additional margin, USD/bbl

0

5

10

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Additional margin

Page 35: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Reliability improvement on track to improve

operational availability and utilization

3514 September 2016 Capital Markets Day

Reliability improvement program

• Increasing operational availability by

decreasing unplanned shutdowns

• Enabling higher utilization rate

• Porvoo utilization (excl. major

turnaround) 2014-: 88%

• Porvoo utilization H1/2016: 92%

• Enabling feedstock and product

optimization and production cost

control

Porvoo capacity utilization 2014-16, %

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2014 2015 2016

Page 36: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Maintain competitive production

cost level

Production cost control to support competitiveness

Production costs

Porvoo and Naantali refineries, USD/bbl

4.64.3

5.1

4.6

5 54.8

3.4

3.8

0

2

4

6

H1/12 H2/12 H1/13 H2/13 H1/14 H2/14 H1/15 H2/15 H1/16

3614 September 2016 Capital Markets Day

• Optimized maintenance costs via

high operational availability

• Systematic utility cost optimization

and energy efficiency improvement

Page 37: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Asset development program to complete current wave

of development by mid-2017

37

2015-17

One Refinery program• Increased fuel oil to distillates conversion

• Improved feedstock flexibility

• Naantali production cost reduction

• CAPEX 260 MEUR, payback < 4 years

Optimized baseload capex• Selected outsourcings

Long term asset development

• Productivity investments with short pay back

• Feedstock flexibility optimization

• Disciplined baseload maintenance capex

VGO +400 kt/a

Porvoo feed pretreatment (SDA)

Porvoo Production Line 4

VGO import -350 kt/a

Middle distillate +100 kt/a

HFO -300 kt/a

Naantali

reconfiguration

14 September 2016 Capital Markets Day

Page 38: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

One Refinery program targets upgraded

14 September 2016 Capital Markets Day 38

Product mix improvementFeedstock flexibility improvement

65 %75 %

27 %23 %

8 %2 %

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Before After

VGO

Others

Urals

8 % 5 %

50 % 53%

31 % 31 %

11 % 11%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Before After

Others

Gasoline

Middledistillates

Fuel oil

Page 39: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Baltic Sea champion

39

Benchmark in

asset quality and

operational

excellence

Differentiation

through unique

customer driven

offering

Leader in low carbon solutions in the Baltic Sea markets

14 September 2016 Capital Markets Day

Strong

financials

Page 40: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Global renewables

growthKaisa Hietala, EVP, Renewable Products

Page 41: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Delivering on targets

14 September 2016 41Capital Markets Day

• Waste and residue

share around 80%

• Capability to use 100%

waste and residue

feedstock

Feedstock

flexibilityProductivity

growth

• Capacity of 2.6 million

ton/a achieved

• Production costs reduced

• Bio-LPG investment

progressing in Rotterdam

Product value

maximization

• Sales of high blend

expanded in US and EU

• Renewable Jet Fuel in use

at Oslo airport

• Partnership with IKEA on

bioplastics

Additional 100 MEUR EBIT increase achieved

Page 42: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Global climate targets supporting long

term demand for renewables

42Capital Markets Day

EUROPE

Regulation up to 2020

• 10% overall target firmly in place -

current biofuel blending level

estimated to be 6%

Longer term outlook

• EU committed to 40% GHG

reduction and 27% renewable

energy target by 2030

• Transport to be EU’s largest GHG

sector by 2030 European

Strategy for low Emission Mobility

by European Commision

US

Regulation up to 2018

• EPA has confirmed 5% annual

biomass-based diesel demand

growth until 2017 and proposes

similar increase for 2018

• Reintroduction of BTC for 2017 open

Longer term outlook

• Federal RFS renewable fuel targets

firmly in place until 2022

• California targets 10% carbon

reduction with LCFS program by

2020, and 40% overall GHG

reduction by 2030

14 September 2016

Page 43: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

14 September 2016 43Capital Markets Day

Need for decarbonization extends

from road transport to other sectors

Heavy duty road transport

0.7

Aviation 0.3

Chemicals 0.6

Light duty road transport 1.3

Other industry0.8

Residential 0.4

Other transport0.3

Power 0.3

Renewables most

competitive

Global oil demand (billion tons) and competitiveness of renewables relative to other solutions

Renewables among

other solutions

Page 44: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Road transport market growing for

high quality biofuels

14 September 2016 44

• European mandates continue to

drive demand towards 20 Mton of

biofuel in diesel pool by 2021

• US mandates translate into almost

doubling current demand up to 10

Mton by 2021

• More stringent GHG reduction

targets and blending limitations for

conventional biofuels support

doubling of drop-in biofuels such as

Renewable Diesel demand

Bio-/renewable diesel demand, Mton/a

Source: Neste analysis based on EIA, 2016; Platts, 2016; IEA, 2015; Promotum, 2015

Capital Markets Day

0

10

20

30

40

50

2016 2021

Europe North America Rest of world

Page 45: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Aviation industry committed to carbon

neutral growth

Capital Markets Day 4514 September 2016

• Jet fuel market expected to grow

by 100 Mton within next 10 years

• Aviation industry has committed

to carbon neutral growth from

2020 onward

• Carbon reduction measures

include aircraft technology,

operational improvements,

carbon off-set mechanisms, and

renewable fuels

“Our objective towards 2020 is to reduce

our CO2 emissions by 20 % compared to

2011”

“Our goal is to reduce aircraft emissions

by 30% from a 2005 baseline by 2020

and to obtain 30% of jet fuel from

alternative fuels by 2030”

“We're working towards a carbon-neutral

growth beginning in 2020, and a 50

percent reduction in airline CO2

emissions by 2050 relative to 2005

baseline levels”

Page 46: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Leading brands responding to increasing

demand for sustainable solutions

Capital Markets Day 4614 September 2016

• Four-fold increase in plastics

demand from 2014 to 2050

• Plastics’ share of carbon

emissions increasing significantly

from current 1% to 15% by 2050

• Brand owners with highest

exposure have reacted and

committed to going green

• Drop-in solutions and ability to

use current assets and

infrastructure only cost effective

solution

“Our vision is to achieve completely

CO2- free vehicle production”

“By 2020, all plastic material used in our

home furnishing products will be 100%

renewable and/or recycled”

“We aim to reduce our greenhouse gas

emissions per metric ton of sales

product by 40% by 2020, compared with

baseline 2002 (excluding oil and gas

production)”

Page 47: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

14 September 2016 47Capital Markets Day

Global HVO capacity in 2016, Mton

New HVO capacity emerging as expected

Europe

• ENI’s Venice refinery conversion done and Gela refinery

conversion announced

• Total’s La Mede refinery conversion ongoing

Competitors’ capacity estimated to increase by

1.2 Mton/a by 2021

United States

• Diamond Green Diesel announced plans to expand current

capacity by 2018

• AltAir Fuels production started

Competitors’ capacity estimated to increase by

0.3 Mton/a by 2021

2.6

1.5

0

1

2

3

4

5

Neste Other

Page 48: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Improved reference margin calculation to be

introduced for 2017

Capital Markets Day 4814 September 2016

Current margin model New margin model

Share of sales volume (EU) x

(FAME-CPO) +

Share of sales volume (North

America) x (SME-SBO)

FAME = FAME RED Seasonal

CPO = Crude Palm Oil Bursa Malaysia 3rd month +

USD 70/ton freight to NWE

SME = Gulf Coast SME mid-price

SBO = CBOT Soybean oil 1st month

70% of sales volume (EU) x

(FAME-CPO) +

30% of sales volume (NA) x

(SME-CPO + LCFS x 2)

FAME = FAME RED Seasonal

CPO = Crude Palm Oil Bursa Malaysia 3rd month +

USD 70/ton freight to NWE

SME = Gulf Coast SME mid-price

LCFS = California Low Carbon Fuel Credit price

Page 49: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

European market review

Capital Markets Day 49

* Including $70/ton freight

• EU market margin volatility has

increased after 2014

• Main drivers for FAME price are

rapeseed oil price and supply-

demand balance

• Overcapacity in FAME continues

• Palm oil market normalizing after

El Nino weather phenomenon and

CPO price remains strongly linked

to other vegetable oils

14 September 2016

0

100

200

300

400

2014 2015 2016

FAME vs. Palm oil* price differential, USD/ton

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

2014 2015 2016

FAME CPO

FAME and Palm oil* prices, USD/ton

Page 50: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

North American market review

Capital Markets Day 50

• North American margins

continue volatile

• SME price improvement in

2016 driven by BTC and

increasing mandates

• US market has become

attractive for SME imports

• Improved clarity on LCFS

regulation has revived market

activity

14 September 2016

0

200

400

2014 2015 2016

SME vs. Palm oil price differential, USD/ton

LCFS credit price, USD/ton

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

2014 2015 2016

Page 51: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

51Capital Markets Day

Expanding to new

markets and

drop-in solutions

14 September 2016

Creating the next wave of profitable growth

Global renewables growth

Strong waste and

residue feedstock

position globally

New capacity

increase program

Page 52: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Neste’s high blend renewable

diesel goes global

Capital Markets Day 52

• Currently we sell over 10% of

Renewable Diesel as high blend fuel for

end use

• New European fuel standard for

paraffinic diesel approved in 2016

enabling sale and use of high blend

Renewable Diesel across EU

• We will introduce branded high blend

renewable diesel in our selected key

markets for both B2B and B2C

customers

14 September 2016

Page 53: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

14 September 2016 Capital Markets Day 53

Making outside road traffic applications

significant part of our renewables business

20% of sales volume by 2020

Page 54: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Renewable solution for aviation industry

Capital Markets Day 54

• We target to establish Neste

Renewable Jet Fuel

availability in selected major

airports in EU and US by 2021

• We offer solution to reduce

carbon emissions and to

ensure future legitimacy of

aviation growth

• In EU and US carbon neutral

growth in aviation translates to

>10 Mton annual renewable

jet fuel demand

14 September 2016

Page 55: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Neste and IKEA partnership

Capital Markets Day 55

• Our partnership with IKEA

includes production of plastics

utilizing Neste’s renewable

solutions in polymer production

• Fossil feedstock in existing

production processes replaced

with Neste’s renewable

products

• Target to produce proof of

concept in 2017 to address the

growing market for bio-based

products

14 September 2016

Page 56: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

New capacity increase program

Capital Markets Day 56

• Europe and North America

remain as key markets for

our renewable products

• Our ambition is to increase

renewable products capacity

further to maintain global

market leadership in drop-in

solutions

• We are exploring different

options for the new capacity

increase program

• More information in Q1/2017

14 September 2016

Page 57: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

14 September 2016 Capital Markets Day 57

Capacity increase program enables

further value chain development

Widened

feedstock

flexibility

Integrated to

global

optimization

Expanded

product family

Tailor-made unit

size

Page 58: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Strong waste and residue feedstock player

Capital Markets Day 5814 September 2016

• We intend to develop our global

waste and residue position

further by

• Expanding commercial

operations to all continents

• Joining forces with partners

across the value chain

• Further investing in

capability to process lower

quality raw materials

Commercial

expansion

R&D and

investments

Partnerships

across value

chain

W&R

feedstock

player

Page 59: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

59Capital Markets Day

Expanding to new

markets and

drop-in solutions

14 September 2016

Global renewables growth

Global renewables growth continues

Strong waste and

residue feedstock

position globally

New capacity

increase program

Page 60: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Strong financials

enabling the next

wave of growthJyrki Mäki-Kala, CFO

Page 61: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Step change in financial performance

340

1089

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2012 H1/2016*

61

Comparable EBIT, MEUR

5.0

19.1

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

2012 H1/2016*

ROACE, %

0.38

1.00

0.00

0.40

0.80

1.20

2012 2015

Dividend per share, EUR

634 652

0

200

400

600

800

2012 2015

Net working capital, MEUR

43.2

25.2

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

2012 H1/2016

Leverage, %

* Rolling 12 months includes H1/2015 impact on EBIT and FCF approx. 65 MEUR and ROACE +1.3%-unit

260

969

0

200

400

600

800

1000

2012 H1/2016*

Free cash flow, MEUR

Capital Markets Day14 September 2016

Page 62: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

43.2%

30.0%

37.9%

29.4%

25.2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

2012 2013 2014 2015 H1/2016

5.0%

11.7%

10.1%

16.3%

19.1%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

2012 2013 2014 2015 H1/2016*

ROACE, %

62

Financial targets reached

14 September 2016

Target: over 15%

* including approx. 1.3% -unit BTC impact from H1/2015

Target: 25-50%

Leverage, %

Capital Markets Day

* Rolling 12 months

Page 63: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Solid profitability in various market conditions

63

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2012 2013 2014 2015 H1/2016

Comparable EBIT*, MEUR

0

5

10

15

20

25

2012 2013 2014 2015 H1/2016

Comparable RONA*, %

* Rolling 12 months

14 September 2016

Oil Products

Capital Markets Day

Page 64: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Established business with solid profitability

-100

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2012 2013 2014 2015 H1/2016*

Comparable RONA*, %Comparable EBIT*, MEUR

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2012 2013 2014 2015 H1/2016*

6414 September 2016

Renewable Products

Capital Markets Day

* Rolling 12 months

* Includes H1/2015 impact on EBIT approx. 65 MEUR and RONA +3.6%-unit

Page 65: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

High returns on light assets

65

0

20

40

60

80

100

2012 2013 2014 2015 H1/2016

Comparable EBIT*, MEUR

0

10

20

30

40

50

2012 2013 2014 2015 H1/2016

Comparable RONA*, %

14 September 2016

Oil Retail

Capital Markets Day

* Rolling 12 months

Page 66: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Key topics on CFO’s agenda

66

Strong

balance sheet

Focused

performance

management

Solid free

cash flow

14 September 2016

• Productivity and

strategic capex

• Continuous fixed

costs management

• Continuous process

development

• Net working capital

management

• Optimal debt

structure

• Asset restructuring

Capital Markets Day

Page 67: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Strong EBITDA providing basis for solid cash flow

67

Comparable EBIT and EBITDA*, MEUR

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

2012 2013 2014 2015 H1/2016*

ComparableEBIT

ComparableEBITDA

14 September 2016 Capital Markets Day

* Rolling 12 months

* Including H1/2015 impact approx. +65 MEUR

Page 68: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Investments focusing on growth and productivity

68

Cash-out capex, MEUR

Maintenance

Growth and productivity

Turnarounds

Estimate

14 September 2016 Capital Markets Day

Page 69: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Net working capital always in focus

6914 September 2016 Capital Markets Day

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

2012 2013 2014 June 2015 Dec 2015 June 2016

NWC, MEUR

Page 70: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Strong free cash flow generation

7014 September 2016

-200

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

2012 2013 2014 2015 H1/2016*

* Rolling 12 months

Free cash flow, MEUR

Capital Markets Day

Page 71: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Strong liquidity position

14 September 2016 71

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021+

Maturity profile, MEUR

* as of 30 June 2016

• Total liquidity 2,729 MEUR*

• Cash 679 MEUR

• Unused credit facilities 1,650

MEUR

• Current interest rate 3.5%*, to

decrease clearly during the next

4 quarters

• No financial covenants in

Group’s existing loan

agreements

Capital Markets Day

Page 72: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Foreign owners have majority of free float

14 September 2016 72

10

15

20

25

30

Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 Jan15 Jan16

Share of foreign owners, %

50.1 %

28.7 %

11.3 %

9.9 %State of Finland*

Foreign owners

Finnish institutions

Finnishhouseholds

Ownership structure as of August 31, 2016

* State plans to reduce ownership to 33.4% over time

Capital Markets Day

Page 73: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Payout from comparable net profit, % Dividends paid, MEUR

54%

34%

41%

35%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

2012 2013 2014 2015

73

97

167 166

256

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2012 2013 2014 2015

€0.38

per

share

€0.65

per

share

Dividend policy upgradedAt least 40% of the comparable net profit

€0.65

per

share

14 September 2016

€1.00

per

share

Capital Markets Day

New policy: at least 40%

Page 74: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

7414 September 2016

Favorable

dividend

distribution

Growth

Strong financials as an enabler

Capital Markets Day

Page 75: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Concluding

remarks

Page 76: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Clear strategic objectives

Baltic Sea

champion

Global

renewables

growth

7614 September 2016 Capital Markets Day

Page 77: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Baltic Sea champion

77

Benchmark in

asset quality and

operational

excellence

Differentiation

through unique

customer driven

offering

Leader in low carbon solutions in the Baltic Sea markets

14 September 2016

Strong

financials

Capital Markets Day

Page 78: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

78Capital Markets Day

Expanding to new

markets and

drop-in solutions

14 September 2016

Creating the next wave of profitable growth

Global renewables growth

Strong waste and

residue feedstock

position globally

New capacity

increase program

Page 79: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Consistent cash allocation strategy

Optimizing

leverage

Paying out

favorable

dividends –

policy revised

from 33% to 40%

Investing in

growth and

productivity

14 September 2016 79Capital Markets Day

Page 80: Neste Capital Markets Day - appspot.com...SSAB AB. Chair of the Supervisory Board of Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company and Member of the Advisory Board of National Emergency

Abbreviations

14 September 2016 80

B2B Business to business

B2C Business to consumers

BBL Barrel

BTC Blender's Tax Credit in the US

CAPEX Capital expenditure

CBOT Chicago Board of Trade

CPO Crude Palm Oil

EPA US Environmental Protection Agency

FAME Fatty Acid Methyl Ester, biodiesel

GHG Greenhouse gas

HVO Hydrotreated vegetable oil

KBPD Thousand barrels per day

KTPA Thousand tons per year

LCFS Low Carbon Fuel Standard in California

LPG Liquefied petroleum gas

NA North America

NWC Net working capital

RFS Renewable Fuel Standard in the US

REB Russian Export Blend crude

ROACE Return on average capital employed after tax

RONA Return on net assets

SBO Soybean Oil

SDA Solvent deasphalting unit

SME Soybean Methyl Ester, biodiesel

VGO Vacuum gasoil

Capital Markets Day