negotiations for the joint regulation of the lake maggiore ...€¦ · milano, 14 dicembre 2011...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011
Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber,
Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico di Milano
Negotiations for the joint regulation of
the Lake Maggiore – Lake Lugano system:
aims, procedure and state of advancement.
Attività 2.1.4. Individuazione di una politica di regolazione integrata e condivisa
![Page 2: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
The VerbaCe water system VERBAno (Maggiore) - CEresio (Lugano )
Diga della Miorina
Diga di Ponte Tresa
![Page 3: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
VerbaCe Project When:
2010-2012
Goal:
Identify an integrated and
shared policy for the
management of both lakes,
taking care of climate
change.
Start from previous studies:
- Progetto Verbano-INTERREG-II
- Progetto Ceresio
Take into account possible
synergies between the two
lakes
Diga della Miorina
Diga di Ponte Tresa
![Page 4: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
![Page 5: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
VERBANO-Interreg II When:
1996-1999
Goal:
Explore possible regulation policies for Verbano
Conclusions
Modify the lake outlet
Design a new regulation dam, such that regulation is possible even during floods
Miorina dam
Ponte Tresa dam
![Page 6: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
AIPO study
A preliminary design of a new dam.
![Page 7: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Stage-discharge functions of the new dam
Max release
present dam
Max release
new dam
Min release
present dam
Min release
new dam (sector closed)
![Page 8: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
![Page 9: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Regulation policies
![Page 10: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Regulation policy: presently dis-joined regulation
hVer
rMio
hCer
rPT
V
C
rMio
Ponte Tresa release
Miorina release
Verbano Ceresio
![Page 11: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Regulation policy: joined regulation
V
C
hVer
hCer
rMio
hVer
hCer
rPT
Ponte Tresa release
Miorina release
VerbaCe
![Page 12: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
V
C
Ponte Tresa release
Miorina release
VerbaCe
hVer
hCer
rPT
Regulation policy: joined regulation
![Page 13: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
hVer
hCer
rPT
rPT = mt(hCer)
Best
compromise
policy
Regulation policy: joined regulation
![Page 14: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
hVer
hCer
rPT
0,5
rPT = mt(hCer)
Regulation policy: joined regulation
![Page 15: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
rPT
hVer -0,5 1,5
rPT = f(hCer)
Range of hVer levels within which Ceresio regulation is
independent upon Verbano conditions so that the best
compromise policy can be adopted for Ceresio.
Regulation policy: joined regulation
![Page 16: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
rPT
hVer -0,5 1,5
rPT = mt(hCer)
rPT = m2t(hVer , hCer) rPT = m1
t(hVer , hCer)
?? ??
Once the best
compromise
has been
identified
Design joined
regulation
![Page 17: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Pavia fears
What can we do?
A first-of-all negotiations
![Page 18: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Stage-discharge functions of the new dam
Max release
present dam
Max release
new dam
Min release
present dam
Min release
new dam (sector closed)
![Page 19: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Regulation space
To-day regulation
space
Max release
present dam
Max release
new dam
Min release
present dam
Min release
new dam (sector closed)
![Page 20: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Regulation space
New dam regulation space Max release
present dam
Max release
new dam
Min release
present dam
Min release
new dam (sector closed)
![Page 21: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
Regulation space
Low releases:
potentially dangerous for lake floods.
SUGGESTION disregard them! Max release
present dam
Max release
new dam
Min release
present dam
Min release
new dam (sector closed)
![Page 22: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Regulation space
Very high releases:
potentially dangerous for Pavia.
SUGGESTION disregard them!
Max release
present dam
Max release
new dam
Min release
present dam
Min release
new dam (sector closed)
![Page 23: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
Regulation space
Proposed and accepted
regulation space
Max release
present dam
Max release
new dam
Min release
present dam
Min release
new dam (sector closed)
![Page 24: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
Max rilascio
attuale
Max rilascio
nuovo
sbarramento (settori aperti)
Min rilascio
attuale
Min rilascio
nuovo sbar.
(settori
chiusi e
ventole
chiuse fino a
1,50 m) Proposed and accepted
regulation space
Regulation space
?
How to choose the limit
flow?
![Page 25: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
Min release
present dam
Min release
new dam (sector closed)
Max release rule
it must be decreasing with
increasing Po flow
Max release
present dam
Max release
new dam
![Page 26: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
![Page 27: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
ICT T
ools
yes
Final (political) decision
reasonable alternatives
2. Conceptualisation
3. Designing Alternatives
4. Estimating effects
Sta
keholders
1. Reconnaissance
5. Evaluation
no Mitigation, and compensation, Agreement?
PIP procedure
Participatory and Integrated Planning procedure
6. Comparison or negotiation
Problem formulation Setting the goal and identifying the
constraints
Designing alternatives/options
Selecting the best compromise alternative
How to choose?
![Page 28: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
The actions
present dam
new dam
dis-joined
joined
dis-joined
joined
Set a dmv Set a dam
dmv
Set a policy
Futu
re
clim
ate
Pre
sent
clim
ate
Set a
climate
![Page 29: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
Gerarchia di progetto
Dott. Massimiliano Foglia
Dipartimento del Territorio
Repubblica e Cantone Ticino
![Page 31: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
Ambiente Ceresio
Avifauna/nidificazione dello Svasso Maggiore
Percentuale di uova deposte Mortalità uova per decremento livello
![Page 33: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
Ambiente Ceresio
![Page 34: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
Criteria hierarchy
107 indicators all toghether
![Page 35: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
Setting the model
V
C
Villoresi
Antiche utenze
Pavia
Est-Sesia
Po
Ticino
Tresa
![Page 36: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
An example: the Ticino river
Isola S.
Antonio
Pavia
Piacenza
Porto della
Torre
The MIKE 11 model used in Fews by
Protezione Civile Lombardia:
It describes
the Ticino river from Porto
Torre to the Po junction;
the Po: from Isola S. Antonio
to Piacenza.
Too big a model for policy design: an
emulator has to be identify for that scope.
The original model will be used in the
evaluation phase.
![Page 37: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
Irri
gat
ion
def
icit
Floods
structural
normative
actions indicators
flooded area
...
max flood
14 days deficit
... regulatory (policy)
alternatives
A1
...
A2
...
An
Designing alternatives
Experts
J1
J2
Pareto
Optimisation
A
C B Ir
rig
atio
n d
efic
it
Floods
Dominated
alternative
Dominating
alternative Pareto frontier
![Page 38: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
![Page 39: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/39.jpg)
0.15 0.07 0.01 0.85 0.16 downstr. envir.
hydropower
irrigation
upstr.envir.
lake flood
0.70 0.80 0.66 0.15 0.83
0.59 0.75 0.86 0.00 0.61
0.48 0.16 0.14 0.67 0.26
0.66 0.70 0.55 0.22 0.12
A54 … A4 A2 A1 A0
Alternatives
Ind
exes
Value matrix
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
upstr.envir. downstr. envir. hydropower irrigation lake flood
ut
il
it
y
A0 A0 A0
Pareto Race
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
upstr.envir. downstr. envir. hydropower irrigation lake flood
ut
il
it
y
A0 A0 A26
excessive loss in irrigation
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
upstr.envir. downstr. envir. hydropower irrigation lake flood
ut
il
it
y
A0 A36 A26
going on ...
reasonable alternative
A0 no actions 0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
upstr.envir. downstr. envir. hydropower irrigation lake flood
uti
lity
A0 A36 A34
![Page 40: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
![Page 41: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)
![Page 42: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/42.jpg)
rPT
hVer -0,5 1,5
rPT = mt(hCer)
rPT = m2t(hVer , hCer) rPT = m1
t(hVer , hCer)
?? ??
Once the best
compromise
has been
identified
Design joined
regulation
![Page 43: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/43.jpg)
Negotations for the whole system
![Page 44: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/44.jpg)
Evaluation the impact of Climate Change
4
Regional climate scenario
Impact on hydrology
Climate model
Emission scenario
Local climate scenario
Impact on water
related interests Management policy
From PRUDENCE project [prudence.dmi.dk]
ES : A2
GCM : HadAM3H
RCM : RACMO
Quantile Method
HBV
Reservoir, channel, …
models
Hydropower revenue
Irrigation deficit
8 policies optimal
under historical climate
![Page 45: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/45.jpg)
Evaluation the impact of Climate Change on the management indicators! Adaptive policy design
![Page 46: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/46.jpg)
Model uncertainty
Uncertainty over 1961-1990
Uncertainty over 2071-2100
![Page 47: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/47.jpg)
Future is not stationary
2071-2080
2081-2090
2091-2100
1961-1970
1971-1980
1981-1990
![Page 48: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/48.jpg)
Thanks for attention
http://baobab.elet.polimi.it/verbace
![Page 49: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/49.jpg)
Spazio di regolazione
New dam regulation space
Max release
present dam
Max release
new dam
Min release
present dam
Min release
new dam (sector closed)
![Page 50: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/50.jpg)
Regola di massimo rilascio
qPo = 5000 m3/sec
caso 1
Regola di
massimo
rilascio
In sede di progetto esecutivo:
1) lo sbancamento e lo sbarramento dovranno essere
progettati in modo da poter riprodurre la scala di massimo
rilascio attuale per tutti i valori di portata considerati.
2) si dovrà anche definire la massima rapidità di manovra
dei settori per mantenere le onde prodotte a monte e valle
entro limiti accettabili.
Max release
present dam
Max release
new dam
Min release
present dam
Min release
new dam (sector closed)
![Page 51: Negotiations for the joint regulation of the Lake Maggiore ...€¦ · Milano, 14 Dicembre 2011 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa, Enrico Weber, Daniela Anghileri, Marco Micotti DEI – Politecnico](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050422/5f90fcebe4cf242e6c5ff0d0/html5/thumbnails/51.jpg)
Regola di massimo rilascio
qPo = 8000 m3/sec
caso 2
Max release
present dam
Max release
new dam
Min release
present dam
Min release
new dam (sector closed)