nccas socio-economic impact assessment · 2018-11-12 · intervention 2: develop a risk, early...

NCCAS Socio-Economic Impact Assessment

Stakeholder discussion

Climate Change and Air Quality

Structure of the workshop

14:00-14:20 Session 1: Setting the context

14:20-14:30 Questions for clarity

14:30-15:30 Session 2: Discussions

1st set of interventions discussion

2nd set of interventions discussion

15:30-16:00 Open floor: closing remarks

SESSION 1: SETTING THE CONTEXT

BACKGROUND TO NCCAS

• Serves as South Africa’s National Adaptation Plan as setout in Goal one of South Africa’s NDC

• Considers the various implications of climate change

• Physical, social, environmental and economic context

• Defined by nine strategic interventions

• Aim:To address and encourage climate changeadaptation through

Implementation support

Capacity building

Promoting information sharing

Cross-sectoral integration

Strategic policy development

NATIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION STRATEGY (NCCAS)CONTEXT

• Aligns with National Climate Change Response White Paper;

• 2018 Global Risk Report highlights climate risks and the failure to respond effectively to climate

change as among the top global risks;

• South Africa is a signatory to the Paris Agreement and is required to compile a set of Nationally

Determined Contributions (NDCs) that outline the country’s plans to reduce GHG emissions and

adapt to climate change;

• The Disaster Management Amendment Act, No 16 of 2015, is a critical piece of legislation that

directly responds to climate change adaptation.

• Directed at government, non-governmental entities including the private sector, the research

community and civil society;

• Divided up into a set of strategic objectives, strategic interventions and strategic outcomes with

associated actions;

Strategic

Objective 1: Build

climate resilience

and adaptive

capacity to

respond to

climate change

risk and vulnerability

Intervention 1: Reduce

human, economic,

environment, physical and

ecological infrastructure

vulnerability and build

adaptive capacity

Intervention 2: Develop a

risk, early warning,

vulnerability and

adaptation monitoring

system for key climate

vulnerable sectors and

geographic areas

Outcome 1.1: Increased resilience and adaptive capacity

achieved in human, economic, environment, physical and

ecological infrastructure vulnerability

Outcome 2.1: An early warning and monitoring system for key

climate vulnerable sectors and geographic areas developed

and implemented

STRATEGIC FOCUS

Strategic

Objective 2:

Promote the

integration of

climate change

adaptation

response into

development

objectives, policy,

planning and

implementation

Intervention 3: Develop

vulnerability and resilience

methodology framework

that integrates biophysical

and socio-economic

aspects of vulnerability

and resilience

Intervention 4: Facilitate

mainstreaming of

adaptation responses into

sectoral planning and

implementation

Outcome 3.1: An adaptation vulnerability and resilience

framework developed and implemented across 100% of key

adaptation sectors

Outcome 4.1: An effective adaptation planning that covers at

least 80% of the South African sectors identified in the NCCAS

Outcome 4.2: Achieve a 100% coverage of climate change

considerations in sectoral operational plans

STRATEGIC FOCUS

Strategic

Objective 3:

Improve

understanding of

climate change

impacts and

capacity to

respond to these

impacts

Intervention 5: Promote

research application,

technology development,

transfer and adoption to

support planning and

implementation

Intervention 6: Build the

necessary capacity and

awareness for climate

change response.

Outcome 5.1: Increased research output and technology

uptake to support planning and implementation

Outcome 6.1: Capacity building and awareness for climate

change response enhanced

STRATEGIC FOCUS

Strategic

Objective 4:

Ensure resources

and systems are

in place to enable

implementation of

climate changes responses

Intervention 7: Establish

effective governance &

legislative processes to

integrate climate change in development planning

Intervention 8: Enable

substantial flows of climate

change adaptation finance

from various sources

Intervention 9: Develop

and implement an M&E

system that tracks

implementation of

adaptation actions and

their effectiveness

Outcome 7.1: Adaptation governance defined and legislated

through the Climate Change Act once approved by parliament

Outcome 7.2: Institutional support structures for climate

change adaptation strengthened

Outcome 7.3: Enhanced public-private-civil society

collaboration and stewardship

Outcome 8.1: Adequate financial resources of national

adaptation priorities from national fiscus and international

sources

Outcome 9.1: A national M&E system developed and

implemented

STRATEGIC FOCUS

Socio Economic Impact Assessment

Theory of Change• Rate of temperature change in Africa more than twice

the global estimates

• South Africa is faced with: • Increased variability in rainfall

• Numerous developmental challenges

• Climate change (CC) adaptation must consider: • Local response for local impact of CC

• Integrated approach to addressing CC effectively

• Co-benefits and opportunities that could contribute to other developmental challenges.

• In this regard, the NCCAS aims to:

Transition to a climate resilient South Africa, which will follow a sustainable development path guided by anticipation and recovery from a changing climate and environment to achieve our

development aspirations.

Purpose of the study• NCCAS is being developed and is due for

approval

• SEIA required for strategy approval

• Objective of the study: Comprehensive analysis of costs and economic

implications of the 9 strategic interventions for:

Job creations and/or loss

Financial costs and/or gains

Production increase and/or decrease

Non-monetary impacts such as health, educationneeds and environmental sustainability Step 5: Project Closure

Step 4: Final Report Formulation

Step 3: Socio-economic Impact Analysis

Step 2: Stakeholder Engagement

Step 1: Literature Review and Reference Framework

Development

Economic Inclusion (Employment

Creation and Equity)

1. Education

2. Health

3. Safety

4. Economy

5. Skills

6. Infrastructure

7. Rural Development

8. Human Settlements

9. Local Government

10. Environment

11. International

12. Public Service

13. Social Protection

14. Nation Building

Environmental Sustainability

Economic Growth and Investment

Security (Safety, Food, Financial, etc.)

Social Cohesion

Mai

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rior

itie

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PME

SEIA

S G

uide

lines

)

Med

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Fra

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ork

2014

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9

Nat

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030

SEIA model and approach

Questions for clarity?

Session 2: Discussions

Form of discussionsSession One: Intervention 1-4

Session One:

Break into 4

groups

Session Two:

Break into 5

groups

Key questions to be discussed

1. Behavioural

changes?

2. Costs to

government?

3. Costs to

others?

4. Risks?

5. Benefits?

6. Oppose or

support?

Intervention 1

Reduce human,

economic,

environment, physical

and ecological

infrastructure


adaptive capacity

Intervention 2

Develop a risk, early

warning, vulnerability

and adaptation

monitoring system for

key climate vulnerable

sectors and geographic

areas

Intervention 3

Develop vulnerability

and resilience

methodology

framework that

integrates biophysical

and socio-economic


and resilience

Intervention 4

Facilitate

mainstreaming of

adaptation responses

into sectoral planning

and implementation

Intervention 5

Promote research

application, technology

development, transfer

and adoption to


implementation

Intervention 6

Build the necessary

capacity and


change response.

Intervention 7

Establish effective

governance &

legislative processes

to integrate climate

change in development

planning

Intervention 9

Develop and

implement an M&E

system that tracks

implementation of


their effectiveness

Intervention 8

Enable substantial

flows of climate

change adaptation

finance from various

sources

Intervention 4Intervention 4Intervention 1 Intervention 2 Intervention 3

Intervention 5 Intervention 6 Intervention 7 Intervention 8 Intervention 9

9 Strategic Interventions

Intervention 1

Reduce human,

economic, environment, physical and ecological

infrastructure vulnerability and build

adaptive capacity

Intervention 2


warning, vulnerability and adaptation monitoring system for key climate vulnerable sectors and

geographic areas

Intervention 3

Develop vulnerability and

resilience methodology framework that

integrates biophysical and socio-economic


and resilience

Intervention 4

Facilitate mainstreaming of adaptation responses

into sectoral planning and implementation


Intervention 5

Promote research

application, technology development, transfer

and adoption to support planning and

implementation

Intervention 6

Build the necessary

capacity and awareness for climate change

response.

Intervention 7

Establish effective

governance &




planning

Intervention 9

Develop and

implement an M&E

system that tracks

implementation of


their effectiveness

Intervention 8

Enable substantial

flows of climate

change adaptation


sources


Session Two: Intervention 5-9

NCCAS strategic interventionsIntervention 1

Reduce human,

economic,


and ecological

infrastructure


adaptive capacity

Intervention 2



and adaptation



sectors and geographic

areas

Intervention 3


and resilience

methodology

framework that


and socio-economic


and resilience

Intervention 4

Facilitate

mainstreaming of



and implementation

Intervention 5

Promote research



and adoption to


implementation

Intervention 6

Build the necessary

capacity and


change response.

Intervention 7

Establish effective

governance &




planning

Intervention 9

Develop and

implement an M&E

system that tracks

implementation of


their effectiveness

Intervention 8

Enable substantial

flows of climate

change adaptation


sources



1st set of interventions discussion

Split into four groups

Intervention 2



and adaptation



sectors and

geographic areas

Intervention 2 Intervention 3


and resilience

methodology

framework that


and socio-economic


and resilience

Intervention 3 Intervention 4

Facilitate

mainstreaming of



and implementation

Intervention 4Intervention 4Intervention 1

Reduce human,

economic,


and ecological

infrastructure


adaptive capacity

Intervention 1

Question 1: Behavioural changes• Which groups need to change their

behaviour?

• What behaviour needs to be changed?

• What needs to be done to achieve this change in behaviour?

Question 2: Costs to government• Are there any costs to government

associated with the change in behaviour?

• What will these costs be associated with?

Question 3: Costs to others• Which other groups will bear the

costs associated with the change in behaviour?


Question 4: Risks• What risks will these groups

face?

• How can these risks be

mitigated?

Question 5: Benefits• Which groups will benefit from

the proposed intervention?

• How will these groups benefit?

Question 6: Oppose or support• Which group do you represent?

• As a representative of that group, do you oppose/support the proposed intervention?

• Why do you oppose/support?

• What amendments do you propose?

2nd set of interventions discussion

Split into five groups

Intervention 5

Promote research



and adoption to


implementation

Intervention 6

Build the necessary

capacity and


change response.

Intervention 7

Establish effective

governance &



change in

development planning

Intervention 9

Develop and

implement an M&E

system that tracks

implementation of


their effectiveness

Intervention 8

Enable substantial

flows of climate

change adaptation


sources


Question 1: Behavioural changes• Which groups need to change their

behaviour?

• What behaviour needs to be changed?

• What needs to be done to achieve this change in behaviour?

Question 2: Costs to government• Are there any costs to government

associated with the change in behaviour?


Question 3: Costs to others• Which other groups will bear the

costs associated with the change in behaviour?


Question 4: Risks• What risks will these groups

face?

• How can these risks be

mitigated?

Question 5: Benefits• Which groups will benefit from

the proposed intervention?

• How will these groups benefit?

Question 6: Oppose or support• Which group do you represent?

• As a representative of that group, do you oppose/support the proposed intervention?

• Why do you oppose/support?

• What amendments do you propose?

Group discussions summary

Benefits?

Costs to others?

Risks?

Behavioural changes? Costs to government?

Support or oppose?

Closing remarks

nccas socio-economic impact assessment · 2018-11-12 · intervention 2: develop a risk, early...

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