nbc-wsj september "agenda poll" small sample + large moe = agenda poll

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  • 7/23/2019 NBC-WSJ September "Agenda Poll" Small Sample + Large MoE = Agenda Poll

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #15398 -- page 1September 2015 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Interviews: 1,000 Adults, including 350 respondents with a cell phone only and Date: September 20-24, 201544 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline.

    Study #15398NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Please note: all result s are shown as percentages un less otherwise stated.

    The margin of error for 1,000 interviews among Adults i s 3.10%

    The margin of error for 230 interviews among Republican Primary Voters i s 6.46%

    The margin of error for 256 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is 6.13%

    Unless otherwise noted by a +, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.

    Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are?(IF REFUSED, ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST)

    18-24 ...................................................... 1025-29 ...................................................... 830-34 ...................................................... 1335-39 ...................................................... 740-44 ...................................................... 945-49 ...................................................... 750-54 ...................................................... 855-59 ...................................................... 960-64 ...................................................... 1165-69 ...................................................... 6

    70-74 ...................................................... 575 and over ............................................ 6Not sure/refused ................................... 1

    Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanicor Spanish-speaking background?

    Yes, Hispanic ........................................... 11No, not Hispanic ....................................... 89Not sure/refused ..................................... -

    Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else?

    White ......................................................... 74Black ......................................................... 12

    Asian ......................................................... 3Other ......................................................... 4Hispanic (VOL) ........................................ 5Not sure/refused ...................................... 2

    48 Male52 Female

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #15398 -- page 2September 2015 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Q3 Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (STATE)]?

    Registered ................................... 83Not registered .............................. 16

    Not sure ..................................... 1

    Q4 All in all, do you think that things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel thatthings are off on the wrong track?1

    High Lo

    9/15 7/15 6/15 4/15 3/15 1/15 12/14 11/14 9/0110/20/0

    Headed in the right direction ... 30 28 31 28 32 31 27 25 72 1Off on the wrong track ............. 62 65 61 62 60 59 64 65 11 7Mixed (VOL) .......................... 5 4 4 6 5 5 6 6 11 7Not sure ................................ 3 3 4 4 3 5 3 4 6 3

    10/30-11/1/14+

    10/8-12/14+ 9/14+ 8/14 6/14 4/14 3/14 1/14

    27 25 23 22 25 27 26 2863 65 67 71 63 63 65 63

    6 6 6 5 7 6 5 54 4 4 2 5 4 4 4

    12/1310/25-28/13

    10/7-9/13 9/13 7/13 6/13 4/13 2/13 1/13

    29 22 14 30 29 32 31 32 3564 70 78 62 61 59 61 59 575 4 4 5 6 6 5 6 42 4 4 3 4 3 3 3 4

    12/12 10/12+9/26-

    30/12+9/12-

    16/12+ 8/12+ 7/12+ 6/12 5/12 4/12 3/141 41 40 39 32 32 31 33 33 353 53 53 55 61 60 61 58 59 5

    3 4 5 4 4 5 5 5 6 53 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 2 4

    1/12 12/11 11/11 10/11 8/11 7/11 6/11 5/11 4/11 1/30 22 19 17 19 25 29 36 28 361 69 73 74 73 67 62 50 63 55 6 5 5 5 5 6 10 6 54 3 3 4 3 3 3 4 3 4

    12/10 11/1010/28-30/10+

    10/14-18/10+ 9/10

    8/26-30/10

    8/5-9/10 6/10

    5/6-11/10 3/

    28 32 31 32 32 30 32 29 34 363 58 60 59 59 61 58 62 56 56 6 5 6 5 6 6 5 6 53 4 4 3 4 3 4 4 4 3

    1/23-25/10

    1/10-14/10 12/09 10/09 9/09 7/09 6/09 4/09 2/09 1/0

    32 34 33 36 39 39 42 43 41 258 54 55 52 48 49 46 43 44 57 10 10 9 10 9 9 10 9 93 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 6 6

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.1

    The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #15398 -- page 3September 2015 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Q5 In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

    High Low

    9/15 7/15 6/15 4/15 3/15 1/15 12/14 11/1410/30-

    11/1/14+ 4/09 9/14+Approve ....... 47 45 48 48 46 46 45 44 42 61 40Disapprove .. 47 50 48 47 50 48 50 50 52 30 54

    Not sure ..... 6 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 6 9 6

    10/8-12/14+ 9/14+ 8/14 6/14 4/14 3/14 1/14 12/13

    10/25-28/13

    42 40 40 41 44 41 43 43 4252 54 54 53 50 54 51 54 516 6 6 6 6 5 6 3 7

    10/7-9/13 9/13 8/13 7/13 6/13 4/13 2/13 1/13 12/12 10/12+47 45 44 45 48 47 50 52 53 4948 50 48 50 47 48 45 44 43 485 5 8 5 5 5 5 4 4 3

    9/26-

    30/12+

    9/12-

    16/12+ 8/12+ 7/12+ 6/12 5/12 4/12 3/12 1/12 12/1149 50 48 49 47 48 49 50 48 4648 48 49 48 48 46 46 45 46 483 2 3 3 5 6 5 5 6 6

    11/11 10/11 8/11 7/11 6/11 5/11 4/11 2/11 1/11 12/1044 44 44 47 49 52 49 48 53 4551 51 51 48 46 41 45 46 41 485 5 5 5 5 7 6 6 6 7

    11/1010/28-30/10+

    10/14-18/10+ 9/10

    8/26-30/10

    8/5-9/10 6/10

    5/20-23/10

    5/6-11/10 3/10

    47 45 47 46 45 47 45 48 50 4847 50 49 49 49 48 48 45 44 476 5 4 5 6 5 7 7 6 5

    1/23-25/10

    1/10-14/10 12/09 10/09 9/09 8/09 7/09 6/09 4/09 2/09

    50 48 47 51 51 51 53 56 61 6044 43 46 42 41 40 40 34 30 266 9 7 7 8 9 7 10 9 14

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #15398 -- page 4September 2015 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Q6 Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups and organizations, and I'd like you torate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or verynegative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (AFTER THE FIRST TEN ITEMS, READ:) And,

    just a few more. (RANDOMIZE EXCEPT BARACK OBAMA)

    Very

    Positive

    Somewhat

    Positive Neutral

    Somewhat

    Negative

    Very

    Negative

    Don't KnowName/

    Not SureBarack Obama September 2015 .......................... 28 18 14 11 29 -July 2015 ...................................... 24 20 13 14 29 -June 2015 .................................... 25 20 13 14 27 1

    April 2015 ..................................... 26 21 13 13 27 -March 2015 .................................. 24 20 12 14 29 1January 2015 ............................... 24 21 13 12 29 1December 2014 ........................... 24 21 10 13 31 1November 2014 ........................... 24 21 11 11 32 1Oct. 30 Nov. 1, 2014+ ............... 23 20 12 13 32 -October 8-12, 2014+ .................... 21 22 11 12 34 -September 2014+ ........................ 22 20 11 13 33 1

    August 2014 ................................. 22 18 13 14 33 -June 2014 .................................... 20 21 13 14 31 1

    April 2014 ..................................... 24 20 15 13 28 -March 2014 .................................. 21 20 15 14 30 -January 2014 ............................... 23 19 13 14 30 1December 2013 ........................... 22 20 11 13 33 1October 25-28, 2013 .................... 24 17 13 13 32 1October 7-9, 2013 ........................ 26 21 11 11 30 1May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... 28 19 13 12 28 -

    April 2013 ..................................... 30 17 10 15 27 1January 2013 ............................... 31 21 11 11 26 -December 2012 ........................... 37 16 9 14 24 -October 2012+ ............................. 34 15 8 12 31 -September 26-30, 2012+ ............. 37 15 6 11 31 -

    August 2012+ ............................... 31 17 8 13 30 1July 2012+ ................................... 33 16 8 11 32 -June 2012 .................................... 29 19 14 11 27 -

    January 2012 ............................... 28 22 10 14 25 1August 2011 ................................. 24 20 12 14 30 -April 2011 ..................................... 28 22 14 13 23 -January 2011 ............................... 29 23 15 14 18 1December 2010 ........................... 25 23 14 14 24 -November 2010 ........................... 28 21 12 13 26 -October 28-30, 2010+ .................. 29 18 12 15 27 -June 2010 .................................... 27 20 13 15 25 -May 20-23, 2010 .......................... 28 19 15 14 24 -March 2010 .................................. 31 19 11 14 24 1January 23-25, 2010 .................... 29 23 14 14 20 -December 2009 ........................... 29 21 13 15 22 -October 2009 ............................... 36 20 11 12 21 -February 2009 .............................. 47 21 12 9 10 1January 2009 ............................... 43 23 17 8 6 3

    Barack ObamaHighFebruary 2009 ............... ................. .... 47 21 12 9 10 1

    Presidential Term LowAugust 2014 ........................................ 22 18 13 14 33 -

    All-time Obama LowOctober 28-30, 2006+ ......................... 14 17 18 5 6 40

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    1The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #15398 -- page 5September 2015 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Q6 (cont'd)

    VeryPositive

    SomewhatPositive Neutral

    SomewhatNegative

    VeryNegative

    Don'tKnowName/

    Not SureThe Democratic Party September 2015 ........................... 16 25 23 16 19 1July 2015 ...................................... 13 25 22 18 20 2

    April 2015 ..................................... 12 26 24 17 19 2January 2015 ............................... 9 26 24 18 20 3December 2014 ............................ 12 25 22 17 22 2November 2014 ............................ 12 26 20 20 21 1Oct. 30 Nov. 1, 2014+ ............... 12 24 19 20 23 2October 8-12, 2014+ .................... 12 25 20 20 23 1September 2014+......................... 11 25 22 20 22 -June 2014 .................................... 13 25 21 18 22 1

    April 2014 ..................................... 13 23 24 19 18 3March 2014 .................................. 14 21 25 18 20 2January 2014 ............................... 10 27 22 20 20 1December 2013 ............................ 10 26 19 20 24 1October 25-28, 2013 .................... 15 22 21 18 22 2October 7-9, 2013 ........................ 14 25 18 20 20 3September 2013 ........................... 13 27 22 20 18 -

    May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... 14 25 22 19 18 2February 2013 .............................. 18 23 22 17 19 1January 2013 ............................... 17 27 17 19 19 1December 2012 ............................ 21 23 19 16 19 2October 2012+ ............................. 21 21 17 17 23 1September 26-30, 2012+ ............. 21 21 17 17 22 2

    August 2012+ ............................... 19 23 16 17 23 2July 2012+ .................................... 17 23 20 17 23 -June 2012 .................................... 14 23 25 18 19 1May 2012 ..................................... 17 22 19 21 19 1

    April 2012 ..................................... 15 24 21 19 19 1March 2012 .................................. 15 23 24 18 18 2January 2012 ............................... 15 23 23 21 18 -December 2011 ............................ 9 23 25 23 19 1November 2011 ............................ 15 25 22 18 19 1

    October 2011 ............................... 12 25 19 20 22 2August 2011 ................................. 11 22 21 19 25 2June 2011 .................................... 13 25 21 19 20 2May 2011 ..................................... 15 26 22 18 17 2

    April 2011 ..................................... 12 26 22 18 21 1January 2011 ............................... 15 24 25 19 16 1December 2010 ............................ 9 28 20 18 23 2November 2010 ............................ 14 26 18 18 23 1October 28-30, 2010+ .................. 16 23 17 19 23 2October 14-18, 2010+ .................. 14 24 16 19 26 1September 2010 ........................... 15 22 20 20 22 1

    August 26-30, 2010 ...................... 11 25 19 19 24 2August 5-9, 2010 .......................... 11 22 22 18 26 1May 20-23, 2010 .......................... 15 26 18 18 22 1May 6-11, 2010 ............................ 11 26 19 18 24 2March 2010 .................................. 9 28 19 19 24 1January 10-14, 2010 .................... 11 27 20 18 23 1December 2009 ............................ 10 25 19 19 26 1

    HighJanuary 2000 ............................... 20 30 23 15 10 2

    LowJuly 2006 ...................................... 7 25 27 22 17 2

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.1The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #15398 -- page 6September 2015 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Q6 (cont'd)Very

    PositiveSomewhat

    Positive NeutralSomewhatNegative

    VeryNegative

    Don't KnowName/

    Not SureThe Republ ican Party

    1

    September 2015 .......................... 8 21 24 21 24 2July 2015 ..................................... 7 21 26 22 22 2

    April 2015 .................................... 8 22 26 20 23 1

    January 2015 ............................... 6 19 27 23 23 2December 2014 ........................... 7 23 24 22 23 1November 2014 ........................... 9 23 23 18 25 2Oct. 30 Nov. 1, 2014+............... 7 22 23 23 24 1October 8-12, 2014+.................... 6 21 21 25 25 2September 2014+ ........................ 9 22 26 20 21 2June 2014 .................................... 6 23 24 22 23 2

    April 2014 .................................... 6 19 29 22 22 2March 2014.................................. 7 20 27 21 24 1January 2014 ............................... 5 19 28 22 25 1December 2013 ........................... 6 20 22 26 25 1October 25-28, 2013 .................... 6 16 24 23 30 1October 7-9, 2013........................ 7 17 21 24 29 2September 2013 .......................... 7 21 27 23 21 1May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... 8 24 26 18 23 1

    February 2013 ............................. 8 21 24 20 26 1January 2013 ............................... 6 20 24 24 25 1December 2012 ........................... 9 21 23 18 27 2October 2012+ ............................. 15 21 20 18 25 1September 26-30, 2012+ ............. 14 24 18 18 25 1

    August 2012+ .............................. 12 24 18 16 29 1July 2012+ .................................... 11 23 22 18 25 1May 2012 ...................................... 9 23 23 19 24 2

    April 2012 ..................................... 11 22 23 19 24 1March 2012................................... 8 24 23 19 24 2January 2012 ................................ 8 23 24 19 25 1December 2011 ............................ 6 21 23 23 25 2November 2011 ............................ 9 21 23 18 26 3October 2011 ................................ 11 22 21 18 26 2

    August 2011 ................................. 8 24 21 23 23 1

    May 2011 ...................................... 8 24 22 21 23 2April 2011 ..................................... 7 24 24 22 22 1January 2011 ................................ 7 27 24 21 19 2December 2010 .......................... 11 27 23 17 20 2November 2010 .......................... 11 23 24 20 19 3October 28-30, 2010+................... 12 22 24 18 23 1October 14-18, 2010+................... 8 23 25 19 23 2September 2010 ........................... 8 23 25 21 22 1

    August 26-30, 2010 ...................... 7 23 25 22 21 2August 5-9, 2010 .......................... 6 18 28 24 22 2June 2010 ..................................... 6 24 26 23 19 2May 20-23, 2010 ........................... 10 23 26 21 19 1March 2010................................... 6 25 24 20 23 2January 23-25, 2010 ..................... 7 25 27 18 20 3January 10-14, 2010 ..................... 7 23 27 24 18 1December 2009 ........................... 5 23 27 24 19 2June 2009 .................................... 6 19 29 23 21 2

    April 2009 .................................... 7 22 25 22 22 2February 2009 .............................. 7 19 24 25 22 3

    HighDecember 2001 ............................ 21 36 18 13 9 3

    LowOctober 25-28, 2013 .................... 6 16 24 23 30 1

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    1The historical trend data for this i tem does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #15398 -- page 7September 2015 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Q6 (cont'd)Very

    PositiveSomewhat

    Positive NeutralSomewhatNegative

    VeryNegative

    Don't KnowName/

    Not SureJeb BushSeptember 2015 .......................... 4 20 31 19 20 6July 2015 ..................................... 3 23 26 22 18 8June 2015 ................................... 6 21 29 16 20 8

    April 2015 .................................... 5 18 32 19 17 9March 2015 ................................. 4 19 34 20 14 9January 2015 .............................. 5 14 36 16 16 13November 2014 ........................... 6 20 27 18 15 14September 2014+........................ 5 17 32 18 12 16

    April 2014 .................................... 4 17 32 18 14 15May 30-June 2, 2013................... 9 17 33 11 12 18

    Hillary ClintonSeptember 2015 ........................... 14 25 13 13 34 1July 2015 ...................................... 15 22 14 15 33 1June 2015 .................................... 21 23 15 11 29 1

    April 2015 ..................................... 19 23 14 10 32 2March 2015 .................................. 21 23 19 13 23 1January 2015 ............................... 20 25 17 14 23 1

    November 2014 ............................ 24 19 16 15 25 1September 2014+......................... 21 22 16 15 26 -June 2014 .................................... 23 21 18 14 23 1

    April 2014 ..................................... 23 25 19 11 21 1March 2014 .................................. 23 21 20 12 22 2September 2013 ........................... 26 25 17 12 19 1May 30-June 2, 2013.................... 29 20 18 13 18 2

    April 2013 ..................................... 32 24 14 14 15 1January 2013 ............................... 34 22 19 12 13 -December 2012 ............................ 34 24 14 16 12 -November 2011 ............................ 33 22 22 12 10 1May 2011 ..................................... 26 29 23 12 9 1

    April 2011 ..................................... 29 27 21 11 11 1December 2010 ............................ 26 28 18 11 16 1January 10-14, 2010 ................... 25 27 22 13 12 1

    July 2009 ...................................... 26 27 15 15 16 1February 2009 .............................. 32 27 18 11 11 1January 2009 ............................... 27 29 14 15 14 1December 2008 ............................ 27 26 20 14 12 1September 2008+......................... 23 24 15 17 20 1

    August 2008+ ............................... 17 25 16 18 23 1June 2008+ .................................. 18 28 14 17 22 1

    April 2008+ ................................... 20 22 14 19 25 -March 24-25, 2008+ ..................... 17 20 15 21 27 -March 7-10, 2008+ ....................... 22 23 11 14 29 1January 2008 ............................... 24 23 11 11 30 1June 2007 .................................... 18 24 15 16 26 1March 2007 .................................. 16 23 17 15 28 1December 2006 ............................ 21 22 17 12 26 2

    April 2006 ..................................... 19 19 19 13 28 2December 2004 ............................ 24 21 14 11 29 1July 2003 ...................................... 16 21 20 13 27 3March 2001 .................................. 16 19 15 18 31 1January 2001 ............................... 27 22 13 12 24 2

    HighFebruary 2009 .............................. 32 27 18 11 11 1

    LowMarch 2001 .................................. 16 19 15 18 31 1

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.1The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #15398 -- page 8September 2015 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Q6 (cont'd)Very

    PositiveSomewhat

    Positive NeutralSomewhatNegative

    VeryNegative

    Don't KnowName/

    Not SureDonald TrumpSeptember 2015 .......................... 8 17 16 14 44 1July 2015 ..................................... 10 16 16 13 43 2February 2011 ............................. 9 17 40 18 11 5

    May 2004+ ................................... 9 17 38 14 15 7December 1999 ........................... 4 12 28 24 25 7October 1999 ............................... 3 11 25 23 32 6July 1990 ..................................... 3 11 28 25 24 9

    Bernie SandersSeptember 2015 .......................... 15 17 23 9 13 23July 2015 ..................................... 10 14 20 10 9 37June 2015 .................................... 8 8 22 6 7 49

    Ben CarsonSeptember 2015 .......................... 13 16 23 11 10 27November 2014 ........................... 10 7 18 4 3 58

    Carly Fiorina

    September 2015 .......................... 8 19 22 10 10 31June 2015 .................................... 4 11 14 7 6 58

    The Black Lives MatterMovementSeptember 2015 .......................... 18 14 21 13 16 18

    Joe BidenSeptember 2015 .......................... 15 25 25 14 14 7June 2015 .................................... 16 24 24 16 15 5November 2014 ........................... 13 22 22 17 21 5June 2014 .................................... 11 21 25 15 21 7July 2013 ..................................... 17 21 21 15 20 6January 2013 ............................... 20 21 17 16 21 5December 2012 ........................... 21 18 18 15 23 5

    October 2012+ ............................. 21 19 15 13 29 3September 26-30, 2012+ ............. 18 19 19 14 24 6

    August 2012+ .............................. 15 21 20 14 26 4July 2012+ ................................... 15 20 23 14 23 5May 2012 ..................................... 15 20 21 16 21 7December 2010 ........................... 10 24 25 15 18 8

    August 26-30, 2010 ..................... 13 21 21 15 20 9January 10-14, 2010 .................... 15 23 25 15 14 8July 2009 ..................................... 13 25 20 17 19 6January 2009 ............................... 20 27 22 12 9 10December 2008 ........................... 20 25 25 12 11 7October 17-20, 2008+ .................. 28 23 19 12 14 4October 4-5, 2008+ ...................... 21 22 24 12 15 6September 19-22, 2008+ ............. 17 20 25 13 16 9September 6-8, 2008+ ................. 18 22 23 13 12 12September 2007 .......................... 4 13 26 11 11 35December 2006 ........................... 3 14 23 10 6 44June 2004+ .................................. 5 11 25 6 4 49

    Planned ParenthoodSeptember 2015 .......................... 28 19 18 9 22 4July 2015 ..................................... 26 19 20 8 22 5

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #15398 -- page 9September 2015 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES BY D/S (POSITIVE NEGATIVE)TOTAL

    POSITIVETOTAL

    NEGATIVED/S

    Planned Parenthood .............................. 47 31 16

    Joe Biden ............................................... 40 28 12

    Bernie Sanders ...................................... 32 22 10

    Ben Carson ............................................ 29 21 8Carly Fiorina ........................................... 27 20 7

    Barack Obama ....................................... 46 40 6

    The Democratic Party ............................ 41 35 6The Black Lives Matter Movement ......... 32 29 3Hillary Clinton ......................................... 39 47 -8

    Jeb Bush ................................................ 24 39 -15

    The Republican Party ............................. 29 45 -16Donald Trump ........................................ 25 58 -33

    Q7 Is there something that upsets you enough that, if you could, you would carry a protest sign for a day?

    9/15 8/14

    Yes .................................................. 55 57No ................................................... 43 41Not sure ........................................ 2 2

    (IF Q7:1, THEN ASK)Q7a What would you want your protest sign to say?**

    SEE VERBATIM RESPONSES ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #15398 -- page 10September 2015 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Even though it is a long w ay off, I'd like to ask you some questions about the November 2016 elections.Q8 Please tell me how interested you are in next years elections, using a scale from one to ten, on which a

    "ten" means that you are very interested in next years elections and a "one" means that you are not at allinterested. You may choose any number from one to ten. (IF "NOT SURE," RECORD AS "DK.")

    9/15+ 4/15+10, very interested ......... 56 53

    9 .................................... 8 78 .................................... 13 157 .................................... 9 86 .................................... 3 45 .................................... 5 74 .................................... 1 13 .................................... 1 12 .................................... 1 21, not at all interested .... 2 2Cannot rate.................. 1 -

    10/12+9/26-

    30/12+9/12-

    16/12+ 8/12+ 7/12+ 6/12+ 5/12+ 4/12+ 3/12+ 1/12+69 65 64 62 62 60 62 61 48 578 8 8 6 6 8 7 6 11 10

    9 10 12 13 11 12 12 12 14 114 5 6 6 7 7 6 7 9 72 3 2 3 4 3 4 3 5 35 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 6- - 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 2- 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 21 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 12 2 1 2 3 1 1 2 2 1- - - - - - - - 1 -

    10/4-5/08+

    9/19-22/08+

    9/6-8/08+ 8/08+ 7/08+ 6/08+ 4/08+ 3/08+ 1/08+ 12/07+ 11/07+

    72 70 69 65 64 67 65 67 66 65 627 8 10 8 8 7 9 8 10 8 9

    10 9 10 11 12 11 11 10 10 12 114 5 3 5 5 5 4 5 4 5 61 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 33 3 2 3 4 4 3 3 4 4 51 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1- 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1- - 1 1 - - - - - - -2 1 1 3 2 2 2 2 1 2 2- - - - - - - 1 - - -

    10/04+ 9/04+ 8/04+74 71 638 7 109 9 123 5 62 2 22 4 4- 1 11 - -- - 11 1 1- - -

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #15398 -- page 11September 2015 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Q9 Do you think it would be better for the country to have (ROTATE) a Democrat or a Republican as the nextpresident?

    9/15+ 7/15+ 6/15+ 4/15+ 12/14+ 2/88 5/87 3/87 1/87Democrat...................................... 38 37 39 40 38 36 37 41 35Republican .................................... 38 39 36 39 40 39 31 36 32Makes No Difference (VOL)......... 7 9 7 7 9 14 20 9 21

    Neither/Some other party (VOL) .. 8 7 7 5 6 n/a n/a n/a n/aNot sure ........................................ 9 8 10 9 7 11 12 14 12

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    Q10 In thinking about the next president that we'll be electing, which of the following two statements comescloser to your point of view? (IF "BOTH," ASK:) I understand that you feel that they are both important, but ifyou had to choose the ONE statement that comes closer to your point of view, which would you choose?

    Statement A:This is a time to have a president who will focus on progress and help move America forward.

    Statement B: This is a time to have a president who will focus on protecting what has made America great.

    9/15+

    9/19-

    22/08+ 8/08+ 6/08+ 3/08+ 11/07+Statement A/focus on progress/moving forward ............... 60 63 60 59 57 50Statement B/focus on protecting what has made

    America great .................................................................... 38 33 35 37 39 46Not sure ........................................................................... 2 4 5 4 4 4

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    Q11 Now, here are two statements that might describe how you feel. Please listen to both and then tell me whichONE best describes how you feel. (ROTATE :1 and :2)

    I feel angry because our political system seems to only be working for the insiders with money and power,like those on Wall Street or in Washington, rather than it working to help everyday people get ahead.

    I feel anxious and uncertain because the economy still feels rocky and unpredictable so I worry about payingmy bills, day to day living costs, and whether I can count on my own situation being stable.

    Or, if neither one is right for you, just say so.

    Angry ............................................. 44Anxious and uncertain ................... 28Neither ........................................... 20Both (VOL) .................................. 8Not sure ....................................... -

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #15398 -- page 12September 2015 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Moving onQ12 Now, if there were a presidential primary election in your state, would you vote in the Democratic primary,

    the Republican primary, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November 2016?

    9/15+ 7/15+ 6/15+ 4/15+ 3/15+Vote in Democratic Primary .................................. 31 30 30 32 30Vote in Republican Primary .................................. 28 30 28 29 25

    Wait until the general election ............................... 38 39 38 35 40Do not plan to vote at all (VOL) .......................... - - 1 1 2Not sure ............................................................... 3 1 3 3 3

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    Q13-Q15 ASKED OF DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLYQ13 Next, Im going to mention a number of people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in

    2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for theDemocratic nomination president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZELIST)

    THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YESYes, Could See

    Self Supporting

    No, Could Not See

    Self Supporting

    Dont Know

    Name

    Not

    SureHillary Clinton September 2015^^ .............. 76 21 - 3June 2015^^ ........................ 92 8 - -March 2015^^ ..................... 86 13 - 1

    Joe BidenSeptember 2015^^ .............. 73 22 2 3June 2015^^ ........................ 65 33 1 1March 2015^^ ..................... 54 40 3 2

    Bernie SandersSeptember 2015^^ .............. 62 24 10 4June 2015^^ ........................ 40 32 23 5March 2015^^ ..................... 21 21 54 4

    Martin OMalleySeptember 2015^^ .............. 10 39 49 2June 2015^^ ........................ 12 28 58 2March 2015^^ ..................... 11 20 67 2

    Jim WebbSeptember 2015^^ .............. 7 36 55 2June 2015^^ ........................ 15 31 52 2March 2015^^ ..................... 15 24 57 4

    Lincoln ChafeeSeptember 2015^^ .............. 6 37 56 1June 2015^^ ........................ 6 30 62 2

    ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

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    Q14 And, thinking about people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2016. If the nextDemocratic primary for president were being held today, which oneof the following candidates would youfavor? (READ LIST. RANDOMIZE. IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLYONE ANSWER.) ^^

    FIRST CHOICE (WITH JOE BIDEN)THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

    Hillary Clinton ............................................ 42Bernie Sanders ......................................... 35Joe Biden .................................................. 17Jim Webb .................................................. 1Martin OMalley ......................................... -Lincoln Chafee .......................................... -Other (VOL) ........................................... -None (VOL) ............................................ 1Not sure ................................................. 4

    ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registeredvoters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

    (IF BIDEN, THEN ASK:) And, if Joe Biden decides not to seek the Democratic nomination for president in2016, which candidate would you favor? (READ :1-5)

    RECALCULATED FIRST CHOICE (WITHOUT JOE BIDEN)THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

    9/15^^ 7/15^^ 6/15^^Hillary Clinton............................................ 53 59 75Bernie Sanders ......................................... 38 25 15Jim Webb .................................................. 1 3 4Martin OMalley ......................................... 1 3 2Lincoln Chafee .......................................... - 1 -Other (VOL) ........................................... 1 1 1None (VOL) ............................................ 2 4 2Not sure ................................................. 4 4 1

    ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would votein the Democratic Primary

    Q15 Now, if your choice in the Democratic primary came down to a candidate who will make compromises togain consensus on legislation to get things done, or a candidate who will stick to their positions even if thismeans not being able to gain consensus on legislation, which candidate would you be more likely tosupport? ^

    Will make compromises ..................................... 60Will stick to their positions .................................. 35Depends (VOL) ................................................ 3Neither (VOL) ................................................... -Not sure............................................................ 2

    ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voterswho say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

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    Q16-Q20 ASKED OF REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLYQ16 Next, Im going to mention a number of people who might seek the Republican nomination for president in

    2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person forthe Republican nomination president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (AFTER THEFIRST TEN ITEMS, READ:) And, just a few more. (RANDOMIZE LIST)

    THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES

    Yes, Could SeeSelf Supporting No, Could Not SeeSelf Supporting Dont KnowName NotSureBen CarsonSeptember 2015^ ............... 69 23 6 2July 2015^ .......................... 49 27 21 3June 2015^ ......................... 50 21 27 2

    April 2015^ .......................... 39 22 36 3March 2015^ ....................... 41 18 38 3

    Marco RubioSeptember 2015^ ............... 63 27 9 1July 2015^ .......................... 62 29 7 2June 2015^ ......................... 74 15 8 3

    April 2015^ .......................... 74 15 9 2March 2015^ ....................... 56 26 14 4

    Carly Fiorina

    September 2015^ ............... 61 28 10 1July 2015^ .......................... 33 31 34 2June 2015^ ......................... 31 29 38 2

    April 2015^ .......................... 17 25 52 6March 2015^ ....................... 18 25 54 3

    Jeb BushSeptember 2015^ ............... 55 43 1 1July 2015^ .......................... 57 40 1 2June 2015^ ......................... 75 22 2 1

    April 2015^ .......................... 70 27 1 2March 2015^ ....................... 49 42 4 5

    Mike HuckabeeSeptember 2015^ ............... 47 46 5 2July 2015^ .......................... 52 43 3 2June 2015^ ......................... 65 32 1 2

    April 2015^ .......................... 52 39 5 4March 2015^ ....................... 52 40 3 5

    Donald TrumpSeptember 2015^ ............... 47 52 - 1July 2015^ .......................... 47 49 - 4June 2015^ ......................... 32 66 - 2March 2015^ ....................... 23 74 1 2

    Ted CruzSeptember 2015^ ............... 45 44 8 3July 2015^ .......................... 52 38 7 3June 2015^ ......................... 51 31 14 4

    April 2015^ .......................... 57 28 12 3March 2015^ ....................... 40 38 18 4

    Chris ChristieSeptember 2015^ ............... 42 51 6 1July 2015^ .......................... 37 55 5 3June 2015^ ......................... 36 55 6 3

    April 2015^ .......................... 38 50 9 3March 2015^ ....................... 32 57 7 4

    Rand PaulSeptember 2015^ ............... 35 58 5 2July 2015^ .......................... 44 48 5 3June 2015^ ......................... 49 45 5 1

    April 2015^ .......................... 59 32 6 3March 2015^ ....................... 49 40 8 3

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

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    THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YESQ16(contd) Yes, Could See

    Self SupportingNo, Could Not See

    Self SupportingDont Know

    NameNotSure

    John KasichSeptember 2015^ ............... 34 44 20 2July 2015^ .......................... 30 31 36 3June 2015^ ......................... 25 30 42 3

    Rick SantorumSeptember 2015^ ............... 33 56 10 1July 2015^ .......................... 37 46 11 6June 2015^ ......................... 49 40 10 1March 2015^ ....................... 40 40 16 4

    Bobby JindalSeptember 2015^ ............... 27 49 23 1July 2015^ .......................... 34 38 26 2June 2015^ ......................... 36 28 34 2March 2015^ ....................... 36 25 36 3

    Lindsey GrahamSeptember 2015^ ............... 16 67 16 1July 2015^ .......................... 14 67 16 3June 2015^ ......................... 27 49 19 5March 2015^ ....................... 20 51 24 5

    George PatakiSeptember 2015^ ............... 12 64 22 2July 2015^ .......................... 10 55 31 4June 2015^ ......................... 13 44 37 6

    Jim GilmoreSeptember 2015^ ............... 3 48 48 1July 2015^ .......................... 2 33 62 3

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

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    Q17 And, if a Republican primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidateswould you favor (RANDOMIZE) Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, John Kasich, MikeHuckabee, Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, Donald Trump, or Carly Fiorina, or would you vote for one of the othercandidates that were mentioned in the previous question? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do youlean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) (IF CHOICE, THEN ASK:) And, which of the following candidateswould be your second choice (RANDOMIZE REMAINING LIST FROM :1-10) or would your second choice beone of the other candidates that were mentioned in the previous question? (IF PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED

    CANDIDATE FOR FIRST OR SECOND CHOICE IN Q17, THEN ASK:) Which one of the followingcandidates would you favor -- (RANDOMIZE) Lindsey Graham, Rick Santorum, George Pataki, BobbyJindal, or Jim Gilmore?

    FIRST CHOICETHIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

    9/15^ 7/15^ 6/15^ 4/15^Donald Trump ......................... 21 19 1 NABen Carson ............................. 20 10 11 7Marco Rubio............................ 11 5 14 18Carly Fiorina ............................ 11 - 2 1Jeb Bush ................................. 7 14 22 23John Kasich ............................ 6 3 1 NATed Cruz ................................. 5 9 4 11Rand Paul ............................... 3 6 7 11

    Chris Christie .......................... 3 3 4 5Mike Huckabee ....................... 2 6 9 5Rick Santorum ........................ 1 1 - NABobby Jindal ........................... 1 1 - NALindsey Graham ...................... - - 1 NAGeorge Pataki ......................... - - - NAJim Gilmore ............................. - - NA NAScott Walker............................ NA 15 17 14Rick Perry ............................... NA 3 5 2Other (VOL) ......................... 1 - - -None (VOL) .......................... 2 1 1 -Not sure ............................... 6 4 1 3

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who saythey would vote in the Republican Primary

    SECOND CHOICETHIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

    9/15^ 7/15^ 6/15^ 4/15^Carly Fiorina ............................ 17 2 1 2Ben Carson ............................. 15 11 8 4Marco Rubio............................ 15 11 20 23Jeb Bush ................................. 11 16 18 14Donald Trump ......................... 10 11 3 NATed Cruz ................................. 6 8 7 7Mike Huckabee ....................... 5 5 9 10Rand Paul ............................... 3 5 9 9Chris Christie .......................... 3 6 6 9John Kasich ............................ 2 1 - NA

    Rick Santorum ........................ 1 1 - NALindsey Graham ...................... - - - NAGeorge Pataki ......................... - - - NABobby Jindal ........................... - 3 - NAJim Gilmore ............................. - - NA NAScott Walker............................ NA 9 7 13Rick Perry ............................... NA 4 5 5Other (VOL) ......................... - - - -None (VOL) .......................... 1 1 - -Not sure ............................... 2 1 3 1

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who saythey would vote in the Republican Primary

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    COMBINED CHOICETHIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

    9/15^ 7/15^ 6/15^ 4/15^Ben Carson ............................. 35 21 19 11Donald Trump ......................... 31 30 4 NACarly Fiorina ............................ 28 2 3 3Marco Rubio............................ 26 16 34 41Jeb Bush ................................. 19 30 40 37Ted Cruz ................................. 11 17 11 18John Kasich ............................ 8 4 1 NAMike Huckabee ....................... 8 11 18 15Rand Paul ............................... 6 11 16 20Chris Christie .......................... 5 9 10 14Rick Santorum ........................ 3 2 - NABobby Jindal ........................... 1 4 - NALindsey Graham ...................... - - 1 NAGeorge Pataki ......................... - - - NAJim Gilmore ............................. - - NA NAScott Walker............................ NA 24 24 27Rick Perry ............................... NA 7 10 7Other (VOL) ......................... - - - -None (VOL) .......................... 3 2 1 -

    Not sure ............................... 7 5 4 4

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who saythey would vote in the Republican Primary

    Q18 Now, if your choice in the Republican primary came down to a candidate who will make compromises togain consensus on legislation to get things done, or a candidate who will stick to their positions even if thismeans not being able to gain consensus on legislation, which candidate would you be more likely tosupport?^

    Will make compromises ..................................... 48Will stick to their positions .................................. 49Depends (VOL) ................................................ 1Neither (VOL) ................................................... -

    Not sure............................................................ 2^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voterswho say they would vote in the Republican Primary

    Q19 Now, thinking about Republican leaders in Congress such as (ROTATE) Speaker of the House, JohnBoehner and Leader Mitch McConnell in the U.S. Senate...would you say you are (ROTATE) satisfied ordissatisfied with their ability to achieve Republican legislative goals and priorities? (IF CHOICE, THEN ASK)

    And are you very or just somewhat (satisfied/dissatisfied)?^

    Very satisfied ...................................................... 2Somewhat satisfied ............................................ 21Somewhat dissatisfied ........................................ 28Very dissatisfied ................................................. 44

    Not sure ............................................................ 5^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voterswho say they would vote in the Republican Primary

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    Q20 And, yes or no, do you want (ROTATE) John Boehner and Mitch McConnell removed immediately from theirleadership position to be replaced by other Republican members of the House and Senate or is this an issueyou dont have an opinion about at this time?^

    Yes, remove them .............................................. 36No, do not remove them ..................................... 18No opinion .......................................................... 45

    Boehner, not McConnell (VOL) ........................ 1McConnell, not Boehner (VOL) ........................ -

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voterswho say they would vote in the Republican Primary

    Now, thinking again about the 2016 general election for presidentQ21-Q28A RANDOMIZED AMONG REG VOTERS (Q3:1)Q21-Q23,Q28 And, if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) [GOP CANDIDATE NAME]were

    the Republican candidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would youvote?+

    Q219/15+

    6/15+

    4/15+

    Jeb Bush .............................................. 44 40 43Hillary Clinton ....................................... 45 48 49Depends (VOL) ................................. - - -Neither/other (VOL) .......................... 8 8 5Not sure ............................................ 3 4 3

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    Q22Donald Trump ..................................... 39Hillary Clinton ...................................... 49Depends (VOL) ................................ -Neither/other (VOL) .......................... 10Not sure ............................................ 2

    + Results shown reflect responses amongregistered voters.

    Q23Ben Carson ......................................... 46Hillary Clinton ...................................... 45Depends (VOL) ................................ -Neither/other (VOL) .......................... 6Not sure ............................................ 3

    + Results shown reflect responses amongregistered voters.

    Q28Carly Fiorina ....................................... 45Hillary Clinton ..................................... 44Depends (VOL) ................................ -Neither/other (VOL) ......................... 7Not sure ........................................... 4

    + Results shown reflect responses amongregistered voters.

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    Q24-Q27 And, if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) [GOP CANDIDATE NAME]werethe Republican candidate and Joe Biden were the Democratic candidate, for whom would youvote?+

    Q249/15+

    4/15+

    Jeb Bush .................................................. 40 48

    Joe Biden ................................................. 48 40Depends (VOL) ..................................... 1 -Neither/other (VOL) .............................. 8 8Not sure ................................................ 3 4

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    Q25Donald Trump...................................... 35Joe Biden ............................................ 56Depends (VOL) ................................ -Neither/other (VOL) .......................... 7Not sure ............................................ -

    + Results shown reflect responses among registeredvoters.

    Q26Ben Carson .......................................... 41Joe Biden ............................................. 49Depends (VOL) ................................. -Neither/other (VOL) .......................... 5Not sure ............................................ 5

    + Results shown reflect responses among registeredvoters.

    Q27

    Carly Fiorina ........................................ 41Joe Biden ............................................. 47Depends (VOL) ................................. -Neither/other (VOL) .......................... 8Not sure ............................................ 4

    + Results shown reflect responses among registeredvoters.

    Q28a And, if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republicancandidate and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?1+

    Donald Trump ...................................... 36Bernie Sanders .................................... 52

    Depends (VOL) ................................. -Neither/other (VOL) .......................... 8Not sure ............................................ 4Question asked only 9/21-24/15 of 620 registered

    voters.+ Results shown reflect responses amongregistered voters.

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    Q29 Now, I would like to read you a list of trends in American society today. For each one I read, please tell mewhether you consider this to be a step in the right direction, something that wont make any difference, or isit a step in the wrong direction?

    THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE WHO SAY STEP IN RIGHT DIRECTION

    Step InRightDirection

    Not MakeAnyDifference

    Step InWrongDirection

    NotSure

    The increasing use of technology like smart phones andsocial media to communicate and stay in touch withpeople.September 2015 ................................................................... 60 20 19 1

    Legislation that protects the rights o f gays and lesbians September 2015 ................................................................... 59 17 23 1

    More international trade agreementsSeptember 2015** ................................................................. 51 19 24 6December 1997 .................................................................... 55 13 22 10

    An increase in the number of legal immigrants September 2015 ................................................................... 48 23 27 2

    Relaxing laws against the use of marijuanaSeptember 2015 ................................................................... 47 20 30 3

    The development of what some call the gig economywhich includes companies like Uber and AirbnbSeptember 2015* ................................................................. 38 30 12 20

    More restrictive laws on abortionSeptember 2015 ................................................................... 36 16 45 3December 1997 .................................................................... 37 16 41 6

    Racial and ethnic minorities increasing as a percentage

    of the US populationSeptember 2015 ................................................................... 35 47 14 4

    The more active involvement of religious groups inpoliticsSeptember 2015 ................................................................... 24 19 54 3December 1997 .................................................................... 32 17 47 4

    * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

    1997 COMPARATIVE DATAStep InRight

    Direction

    Not MakeAny

    Difference

    Step InWrong

    DirectionNotSure

    Legislation that protects gay and lesbian lifestyles December 1997 .................................................................... 35 22 38 5

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    And, moving on

    Q30 Would you favor or oppose totally eliminating federal funding to Planned Parenthood for family planningand preventative health services? (IF FAVOR/OPPOSE, THEN ASK) And, would you strongly or somewhat(favor/oppose) this?

    Strongly favor....................................... 22Somewhat favor ................................... 13

    Somewhat oppose .............................. 17Strongly oppose ................................... 44Not sure ............................................ 4

    Q30a WAS ASKED ONLY OF THOSE WHO FAVOR ELIMINATING FUNDING (Q30:1-2)Q30a Would you favor or oppose shutting down the federal government to block federal funding for Planned

    Parenthood for family planning and preventative health services, or is this an issue you dont have anopinion about at this time? (IF FAVOR/OPPOSE, THEN ASK) And, would you strongly or somewhat(favor/oppose) this?

    Strongly favor....................................... 6Somewhat favor ................................... 3Somewhat oppose .............................. 4Strongly oppose ................................... 7

    Not sure ............................................ 15Oppose/Not sure on Q30 ................... 65

    Q31 Have you seen, read, or heard the news coverage about secretly-taped videos that show employees ofPlanned Parenthood talking about the use of fetal tissue and organs in scientific research from pregnancieswhich had been terminated at their facilities? (IF YES:) And, have you seen, read, or heard a lot or just someabout this?

    Total Yes 65 Yes, a lot ........................................... 29Yes, some ......................................... 36

    No ....................................................... 33Not sure ............................................ 2

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    Now, switching topicsQ32 As you may know, under our constitution and current laws, all children born in the United States are

    automatically granted citizenship. Do you think we should continue to grant citizenship to all children born inthe U.S. or do you think this should be changed so children of illegal immigrants are not automaticallygranted citizenship?

    All Adults

    9/155/20-23/10

    Continue to grant automatic citizenship ..................... 53 49Change/not automatic citizenship .............................. 42 46

    Not sure ................................................................... 5 5

    Hispanic/Latino

    9/155/20-23/10

    Continue to grant automatic citizenship ..................... 76 79Change/not automatic citizenship .............................. 21 18

    Not sure ................................................................... 3 3

    And, sw itching topicsQ33 Millions of Syrian refugees have fled their homes since the outbreak of civil war there and many are seeking

    to live in other countries including Europe and the United States. The Obama administration isrecommending the United States take in at least ten thousand (10,000) Syrian refugees over the next year.Do you think the United States should (ROTATE) -- take in more refugees from Syria, take in fewer refugeesfrom Syria -- this is about the right amount, or should the United States take no Syrian refugees at all?*

    Take more ........................................... 21Take fewer ........................................... 17Right amount ....................................... 35Take none at all ................................... 24Not sure ............................................ 3

    * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

    And, changing topics againQ34 On the issue of abortion, would you say you are more likely to vote for (ROTATE) -- a right to life candidate,

    a pro-choice candidate -- or would it not make much difference on how you might vote?

    9/15 10/12+ 3/05+Right to life candidate ................................... 25 28 32Pro-choice candidate .................................... 40 40 35Would not make much difference ................. 33 31 29Not sure ........................................................ 2 1 4+ Results shown reflect responses among registeredvoters.

    And thinking about you

    Q35 When you think about your own financial situation, looking ahead to the next year or so, do you feelconfident and optimistic or worried and uncertain?

    9/151

    9/19-22/08+ 6/08+

    Confident and optimistic.................... 53 34 35Worried and uncertain....................... 45 58 55In between (VOL) ............................ 1 7 9Not sure .......................................... 1 1 1Question asked only 9/21-24/15 of 748 adults.

    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

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    Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.

    QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November2012 election for president? (IF YES, ASK:) For whom did you voteBarack Obama, Mitt Romney, orsomeone else?+

    Voted for Barack Obama ............................... 44

    Voted for Mitt Romney ................................... 32Voted for someone else ................................. 9Not sure ......................................................... 2No, Did Not Vote ............................................ 13

    Not sure ....................................................... -+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

    QF2 Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do?(RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-at-home mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work?

    Currently Employed Professional, manager ............................ 27

    White-collar worker ................................. 17

    Blue-collar worker ................................... 17Farmer, rancher ...................................... -

    Not Currently Employed Student .................................................... 4

    Stay at home mom/dad ........................... 6Retired .................................................... 24Unemployed, looking for work ................. 4Other ....................................................... -Not sure ................................................ 1

    QF3 What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.)

    Grade school ........................................................... -Some high school .................................................... 5

    High school graduate ............................................... 23Some college, no degree ......................................... 17Vocational training/School ...................................... 22-year college degree .............................................. 114-year college/bachelor's degree ............................. 24Some postgraduate work, no degree ....................... 22-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree ......... 12Doctoral/law degree ................................................. 4Not sure/refused .................................................... -

    QF4 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or somethingelse? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican)or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONGDEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to theRepublican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF"NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.")

    Strong Democrat ............................. 21Not very strong Democrat ............... 11Independent/lean Democrat ............ 10Strictly Independent ......................... 15Independent/lean Republican .......... 13Not very strong Republican ............. 9Strong Republican ........................... 13Other (VOL) ................................... 5Not sure ......................................... 3

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    QF5 Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, orconservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very(liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)?

    Very liberal ......................................................... 13

    Somewhat liberal ............................................... 18Moderate ............................................................ 35Somewhat conservative ..................................... 19Very conservative .............................................. 13Not sure ........................................................... 2

    (READ QF5a-f ONLY IF Q12:2 - REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS)And, On a scale from one to ten where ten represents a description that is perfect for you and one a description thatis totally wrong for you, how well do each of the following describe you? You can, of course, use any numberbetween one and ten. __ __ (RECORD EXACT NUMBER 1-10, USE 99 FOR DK/REF)

    To what extent do you regard yourself as...(RANDOMIZE)

    THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY %8-10 AMONG REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

    8-10 4-7 1-3 Refused MeanA supporter of the tradi tionaldefinition of marriage as beingbetween one man and one womanSeptember 2015^ ............................... 69 18 13 - 8.0

    A supporter of the Right-to-Li femovementSeptember 2015^ ............................... 59 28 12 1 7.5

    Someone who enjoys l istening toconservative talk radioSeptember 2015^ ............................... 33 34 31 2 5.5

    A supporter of the Tea Party

    MovementSeptember 2015^ ............................... 24 51 22 3 5.5

    A Li bertar ianSeptember 2015^ ............................... 13 35 47 5 3.8

    ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

    QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR"NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member?

    Labor union member ........................................ 13Union household .............................................. 7Non-union household ....................................... 79

    Not sure .......................................................... 1

    QF7 If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year,would the total be less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousanddollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars andforty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousanddollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousanddollars, or would the total be more than that?

    Less than $10,000 ............................................... 4Between $10,000 and $20,000............................ 8

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    HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #15398 -- page 25September 2015 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

    Between $20,000 and $30,000............................ 9Between $30,000 and $40,000............................ 9Between $40,000 and $50,000............................ 8Between $50,000 and $75,000............................ 15Between $75,000 and $100,000.......................... 15More than $100,000 ............................................ 24Not sure/refused ................................................. 8