nba injury prediction
TRANSCRIPT
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MOTIVATION● Warriors’ offensive rating with Steph Curry: 119.1 ● Warriors’ offensive rating without Steph Curry: 105.3
105.3 = not good!
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MOTIVATION● Increased awareness of player health.
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PROCESS● Collected data by web scraping.
Data
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PROCESS● Used a three week aggregation moving window.
Predict if an injury will occur in the next 3 games
Aggregate box score statistics in the three weeks leading up to the prediction
Time
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RESULTS
Winner!AUC = 0.549
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INSIGHTS● Important features to the model.
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INSIGHTS● Important features to the model.
![Page 9: NBA Injury Prediction](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022030309/58f1932c1a28ab52048b45b9/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
INSIGHTS● Important features to the model.
![Page 10: NBA Injury Prediction](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022030309/58f1932c1a28ab52048b45b9/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
INSIGHTS● Speed: slower running speed might signal an injury.
● Distance: greater distance ran might also signal an injury.
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FUTURE WORK● Investigate hustle stats.
○ Ex: charges drawn, loose balls recovered.
○ Diving head-first into the stands = higher injury risk!
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