naw aec summer association executives council meeting dana ... · international –proprietary and...
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2016 - 2017Market Trends
NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting
Dana Point, California
Unprecedented consolidation is creating mega-brands
2017 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS
INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND
CONFIDENTIAL
Current Conditions
Consolidation
Current Conditions
ConsolidationSales staff-to-hotel ratios are unmanageable. Brand sales teams simply cannot know their own properties anymore.
2017 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS
INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND
CONFIDENTIAL
30 Brands in 100+
countries with 5,700 hotels
12 Brands in 100 territories
and countries with
5,000 hotels
19 Brands in 95
countries, with
4,100 hotels
Current Conditions
ConsolidationOur model works best for both the Meeting Professional and the Member hotels.
2017 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS
INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND
CONFIDENTIAL
1 brand in 61 countries
with over 250 hotels
Global Sales Ratio 4:1
Loews Atlanta HotelATLANTA, GEORGIA
Market Trends: Buyer Insight
Market Update Focus on Upper – Upscale & Luxury Hotels Market Specifically
2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS
INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND
CONFIDENTIAL
Market Update
Sources
Moody’s Economic Analytics
PKF Hospitality Research
Smith Travel Research
(STR)
ALHISurveyResults
Market Trends
Buyer & Seller Trends
Trailing Market Trends
2016 Buyers Trends & Demand ResultsNumber of Programs Booked vs. Last Year
2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS
INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND
CONFIDENTIAL
42%
51%
7%
Same Number Programs vs. This Time Last Year
Less Programsvs. This Time Last Year
More Programs vs. This Time Last Year
2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS
INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND
CONFIDENTIAL
Trailing Market Trends
2016 Buyers Trends & Demand Results
18%6-10%
15%>10%
67%1-5%
34%Same66%
Yes
Did BQT. / F&B Spend Increase? (Per Group R/N Comparison)
Number of Expected Programs to be Booked in 2017 vs. 2016
2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS
INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND
CONFIDENTIAL
Future Market Trends
2017 Buyers Trends & Demand Indicators
INCREASED SAME LESS
Will Expect Less
50%45%
5%
Will Increase# of Meetings
Same# of Meetings
TIMING: 65% Will be Held the Same as 201631% Will Book Earlier7% Will Have a Short Time Frame to Book
2017 Outlook on Booking Environment
2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS
INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND
CONFIDENTIAL
Future Market Trends
2017 Buyers Trends & Demand Indicators
80%
7%
13%
Buyer’s Market
Seller’s Market
NeutralMarket
2017 Outlook on Incentive Travel Programs
2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS
INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND
CONFIDENTIAL
Future Market Trends
2017 Buyers Trends & Demand Indicators
76%
22%
2%
More in 2017
Less in 2017
Same as 2016
ISLAND HOTEL NEWPORT BEACHNEWPORT BEACH, CALIFORNIA
Market Trends: HoteliersRepresentative of Upper – Upscale & Luxury M.I.C.E. Market
2016 Hotels YE Performance Update
2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS
INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND
CONFIDENTIAL
Trailing Market Trends
2016 Hoteliers Trends & Performance
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Occupancy ADR $
Most + 1 - 5 %
81% Same or
Greater to LY
(23% Same)
94% Same or
Greater to LY
( 5% Same)
2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS
INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND
CONFIDENTIAL
2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY
2018: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY for 2017
Source: Associated Luxury Hotels International Survey, October 2016
Future Market Trends
2017 + 2018 Hoteliers Trends
69%
31%
Same or More R/N
Less R/N
84%
16%
Same or More R/N
Less R/N
Hoteliers Perspective on Market Conditions
2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS
INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND
CONFIDENTIAL
64%
8%
28%
Neutral
Sellers Say:
Future Market Trends
Hoteliers Market Indicators
Sellers
Buyers
Buyers Say:
80%
7%
13%
Seller’s Market
Buyer’s Market
NeutralMarket
The Cloister at Sea IslandSEA ISLAND, GEORGIA
Market Trends: Industry Data
• Occupancy – UP 3.5% Above Long Running Average of 70%
• ADR – UP 4.0% vs. Past 4 Quarters
• RevPar – Same vs. Past 4 Quarters
• Supply – UP 3.2% vs. 2.2% LY; Under 2.08% Long Running Average
• Demand – UP at 2.4% ; to Long Term Average
2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS
INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND
CONFIDENTIAL
Future Market Trends – National Market: Short Term
Hotels Snapshot on 2017
2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS
INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND
CONFIDENTIAL
Market Trends : Industry Data
U.S. Supply Change - Luxury Hotels
Long Run Average 4.
Source:CBRE Hotels’ America’s Research - Hotel
Horizons® Custom Forecast March - May 2017
Edition.
2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS
INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND
CONFIDENTIAL
Market Trends : Industry Trends for Luxury Hotels
Luxury Hotels – Future Forecast
Long Run
Average2014 2015 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F
Supply 4.4% 1.1% 0.5% 2.2% 3.2% 3.7% 4.1% 4.1%
Demand 4.9% 2.0% 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 3.4% 2.8% 4.7%
Occupancy 70.0% 74.9% 75.3% 74.9% 74.3% 74.1% 73.2% 73.6%
ADR 3.9% 5.3% 4.7% 1.9% 3.3% 3.5% 2.9% 2.9%
RevPAR 4.6% 6.2% 5.5% 1.5% 2.5% 3.2% 1.7% 3.4%
Record
Source:CBRE Hotels’ America’s Research - Hotel
Horizons® Custom Forecast March - May 2017
Edition.
Château ÉlanBRASELTON (ATLANTA), GEORGIA
Navigating The Market
Navigate “Market” Conditions with GSO
• M.I.C.E. Inventory Compression Remains Strong
• Likely continue through 2020
• Demand for M&I Continues to Grow
• More programs from corporate & association
• Growing at a compounded pace to supply
• Booking Programs Earlier
• Consider marketing conditions/forecasts
• Laws of supply & demand
• Tailor RFP’s accentuating business value / priorities
• Communicate Flexibility with RFP
• Prioritize meeting space requirements
• Consider alternate ALHI locations for Luxury on Sale value
• Prioritize concessions “wish list” requirements2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS
INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND
CONFIDENTIAL
Streamsong ResortSTREAMSONG, FLORIDA
ALHI News
LA Cantera Resort & SpaSAN ANTONIO, TEXAS
ALHI GlanceReliable GSO for over 30 years: Corporate & Association MICE Specialist
Exclusive "Invite-Only Portfolio
Worldwide:
GSO dues funded & authorized by Member: Contractually providing
cost-free, best value GSO sales service
14818
106
in the U.S.Caribbean, Bahamas Bermuda & MexicoHotels throughout EMEA& APAC
250+ Hotels & Resorts Plus, Alliance Members for M&I
23100
Luxury Cruise ShipsDestination DMC’s Worldwide
ALHI’s Passion to Serve
• Global Sales Organization since 1986 with over
70 Sales Professionals in 21 offices
• A commitment to dedicated sales for our
prestigious Members and our valued customers
• Experienced and knowledgeable guidance for
site-specific solutions
• Save time and money with personalized one-
call access and sales support
2017 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS
INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND
CONFIDENTIAL
• 24 independent luxury-level meeting & incentive
focused hotels and resorts outside of North America
• Destinations include Maldives, Buenos Aires, London,
Dublin, Rome, Hong Kong and more!
• ALHI’s GLA now offers over 100 Meeting & Incentive
properties in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Africa and
South America
2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS
INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND
CONFIDENTIAL
ALHI News
Worldhotels
Grand Hotel de la Minerve
Rome, Italy
Harbour Grand Kowloon
Hong Kong, China
Duin & Kruidberg Country Estate
Santpoort, Netherlands
Royal Garden Hotel
London, England
Our Members
The Resort Collection
2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS
INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND
CONFIDENTIAL
ALHI News
Over 250 Options Including: Newest Member Destinations
Seattle, WA
Destin, FL
Orlando, FL
Atlanta, GA
Cape Neddick,
ME
Atlantic City,
NJ
Farmington,
PA
Washington, DC
Memphis, TN
London,
England
Birmingham,
England
Our Members
The Resort Collection
2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS
INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND
CONFIDENTIAL
ALHI News
Over 250 Options Including: Newest Member Destinations
Scottsdale, AZ Carlsbad, CA
Louisville, KY San Juan, PRAmelia Island,
FL
Dublin, Ireland
Fish Camp, CA
Kuala Lumpur,
Malaysia
Our Members
The Resort Collection
2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS
INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND
CONFIDENTIAL
ALHI News
Over 250 Options Including: Newest Member Destinations
Havana,
Cuba
Alexandria,
Scotland
Thank You