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2016 - 2017 Market Trends NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana Point, California

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Page 1: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

2016 - 2017Market Trends

NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting

Dana Point, California

Page 2: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

Unprecedented consolidation is creating mega-brands

2017 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS

INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND

CONFIDENTIAL

Current Conditions

Consolidation

Page 3: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

Current Conditions

ConsolidationSales staff-to-hotel ratios are unmanageable. Brand sales teams simply cannot know their own properties anymore.

2017 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS

INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND

CONFIDENTIAL

30 Brands in 100+

countries with 5,700 hotels

12 Brands in 100 territories

and countries with

5,000 hotels

19 Brands in 95

countries, with

4,100 hotels

Page 4: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

Current Conditions

ConsolidationOur model works best for both the Meeting Professional and the Member hotels.

2017 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS

INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND

CONFIDENTIAL

1 brand in 61 countries

with over 250 hotels

Global Sales Ratio 4:1

Page 5: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

Loews Atlanta HotelATLANTA, GEORGIA

Market Trends: Buyer Insight

Page 6: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

Market Update Focus on Upper – Upscale & Luxury Hotels Market Specifically

2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS

INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND

CONFIDENTIAL

Market Update

Sources

Moody’s Economic Analytics

PKF Hospitality Research

Smith Travel Research

(STR)

ALHISurveyResults

Market Trends

Buyer & Seller Trends

Page 7: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

Trailing Market Trends

2016 Buyers Trends & Demand ResultsNumber of Programs Booked vs. Last Year

2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS

INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND

CONFIDENTIAL

42%

51%

7%

Same Number Programs vs. This Time Last Year

Less Programsvs. This Time Last Year

More Programs vs. This Time Last Year

Page 8: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS

INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND

CONFIDENTIAL

Trailing Market Trends

2016 Buyers Trends & Demand Results

18%6-10%

15%>10%

67%1-5%

34%Same66%

Yes

Did BQT. / F&B Spend Increase? (Per Group R/N Comparison)

Page 9: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

Number of Expected Programs to be Booked in 2017 vs. 2016

2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS

INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND

CONFIDENTIAL

Future Market Trends

2017 Buyers Trends & Demand Indicators

INCREASED SAME LESS

Will Expect Less

50%45%

5%

Will Increase# of Meetings

Same# of Meetings

TIMING: 65% Will be Held the Same as 201631% Will Book Earlier7% Will Have a Short Time Frame to Book

Page 10: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

2017 Outlook on Booking Environment

2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS

INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND

CONFIDENTIAL

Future Market Trends

2017 Buyers Trends & Demand Indicators

80%

7%

13%

Buyer’s Market

Seller’s Market

NeutralMarket

Page 11: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

2017 Outlook on Incentive Travel Programs

2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS

INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND

CONFIDENTIAL

Future Market Trends

2017 Buyers Trends & Demand Indicators

76%

22%

2%

More in 2017

Less in 2017

Same as 2016

Page 12: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

ISLAND HOTEL NEWPORT BEACHNEWPORT BEACH, CALIFORNIA

Market Trends: HoteliersRepresentative of Upper – Upscale & Luxury M.I.C.E. Market

Page 13: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

2016 Hotels YE Performance Update

2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS

INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND

CONFIDENTIAL

Trailing Market Trends

2016 Hoteliers Trends & Performance

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

Occupancy ADR $

Most + 1 - 5 %

81% Same or

Greater to LY

(23% Same)

94% Same or

Greater to LY

( 5% Same)

Page 14: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS

INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND

CONFIDENTIAL

2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY

2018: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY for 2017

Source: Associated Luxury Hotels International Survey, October 2016

Future Market Trends

2017 + 2018 Hoteliers Trends

69%

31%

Same or More R/N

Less R/N

84%

16%

Same or More R/N

Less R/N

Page 15: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

Hoteliers Perspective on Market Conditions

2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS

INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND

CONFIDENTIAL

64%

8%

28%

Neutral

Sellers Say:

Future Market Trends

Hoteliers Market Indicators

Sellers

Buyers

Buyers Say:

80%

7%

13%

Seller’s Market

Buyer’s Market

NeutralMarket

Page 16: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

The Cloister at Sea IslandSEA ISLAND, GEORGIA

Market Trends: Industry Data

Page 17: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

• Occupancy – UP 3.5% Above Long Running Average of 70%

• ADR – UP 4.0% vs. Past 4 Quarters

• RevPar – Same vs. Past 4 Quarters

• Supply – UP 3.2% vs. 2.2% LY; Under 2.08% Long Running Average

• Demand – UP at 2.4% ; to Long Term Average

2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS

INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND

CONFIDENTIAL

Future Market Trends – National Market: Short Term

Hotels Snapshot on 2017

Page 18: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS

INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND

CONFIDENTIAL

Market Trends : Industry Data

U.S. Supply Change - Luxury Hotels

Long Run Average 4.

Source:CBRE Hotels’ America’s Research - Hotel

Horizons® Custom Forecast March - May 2017

Edition.

Page 19: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS

INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND

CONFIDENTIAL

Market Trends : Industry Trends for Luxury Hotels

Luxury Hotels – Future Forecast

Long Run

Average2014 2015 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F

Supply 4.4% 1.1% 0.5% 2.2% 3.2% 3.7% 4.1% 4.1%

Demand 4.9% 2.0% 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 3.4% 2.8% 4.7%

Occupancy 70.0% 74.9% 75.3% 74.9% 74.3% 74.1% 73.2% 73.6%

ADR 3.9% 5.3% 4.7% 1.9% 3.3% 3.5% 2.9% 2.9%

RevPAR 4.6% 6.2% 5.5% 1.5% 2.5% 3.2% 1.7% 3.4%

Record

Source:CBRE Hotels’ America’s Research - Hotel

Horizons® Custom Forecast March - May 2017

Edition.

Page 20: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

Château ÉlanBRASELTON (ATLANTA), GEORGIA

Navigating The Market

Page 21: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

Navigate “Market” Conditions with GSO

• M.I.C.E. Inventory Compression Remains Strong

• Likely continue through 2020

• Demand for M&I Continues to Grow

• More programs from corporate & association

• Growing at a compounded pace to supply

• Booking Programs Earlier

• Consider marketing conditions/forecasts

• Laws of supply & demand

• Tailor RFP’s accentuating business value / priorities

• Communicate Flexibility with RFP

• Prioritize meeting space requirements

• Consider alternate ALHI locations for Luxury on Sale value

• Prioritize concessions “wish list” requirements2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS

INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND

CONFIDENTIAL

Page 22: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

Streamsong ResortSTREAMSONG, FLORIDA

ALHI News

Page 23: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

LA Cantera Resort & SpaSAN ANTONIO, TEXAS

ALHI GlanceReliable GSO for over 30 years: Corporate & Association MICE Specialist

Exclusive "Invite-Only Portfolio

Worldwide:

GSO dues funded & authorized by Member: Contractually providing

cost-free, best value GSO sales service

14818

106

in the U.S.Caribbean, Bahamas Bermuda & MexicoHotels throughout EMEA& APAC

250+ Hotels & Resorts Plus, Alliance Members for M&I

23100

Luxury Cruise ShipsDestination DMC’s Worldwide

Page 24: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

ALHI’s Passion to Serve

• Global Sales Organization since 1986 with over

70 Sales Professionals in 21 offices

• A commitment to dedicated sales for our

prestigious Members and our valued customers

• Experienced and knowledgeable guidance for

site-specific solutions

• Save time and money with personalized one-

call access and sales support

2017 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS

INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND

CONFIDENTIAL

Page 25: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

• 24 independent luxury-level meeting & incentive

focused hotels and resorts outside of North America

• Destinations include Maldives, Buenos Aires, London,

Dublin, Rome, Hong Kong and more!

• ALHI’s GLA now offers over 100 Meeting & Incentive

properties in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Africa and

South America

2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS

INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND

CONFIDENTIAL

ALHI News

Worldhotels

Grand Hotel de la Minerve

Rome, Italy

Harbour Grand Kowloon

Hong Kong, China

Duin & Kruidberg Country Estate

Santpoort, Netherlands

Royal Garden Hotel

London, England

Page 26: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

Our Members

The Resort Collection

2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS

INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND

CONFIDENTIAL

ALHI News

Over 250 Options Including: Newest Member Destinations

Seattle, WA

Destin, FL

Orlando, FL

Atlanta, GA

Cape Neddick,

ME

Atlantic City,

NJ

Farmington,

PA

Washington, DC

Memphis, TN

Page 27: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

London,

England

Birmingham,

England

Our Members

The Resort Collection

2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS

INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND

CONFIDENTIAL

ALHI News

Over 250 Options Including: Newest Member Destinations

Scottsdale, AZ Carlsbad, CA

Louisville, KY San Juan, PRAmelia Island,

FL

Dublin, Ireland

Fish Camp, CA

Page 28: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

Kuala Lumpur,

Malaysia

Our Members

The Resort Collection

2016 ASSOCIATED LUXURY HOTELS

INTERNATIONAL – PROPRIETARY AND

CONFIDENTIAL

ALHI News

Over 250 Options Including: Newest Member Destinations

Havana,

Cuba

Alexandria,

Scotland

Page 29: NAW AEC Summer Association Executives Council Meeting Dana ... · INTERNATIONAL –PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL 2017: Pre-sold Group Business vs. STLY 2018: Pre-sold Group Business

Thank You