nature view farms go or no go decision
TRANSCRIPT
Barry Landers - CEO
Jim Wagner - CFO
Christine Walker – Vice president of marketing
Walter Bellini – Vice President of sales
Jack Gotlieb - Vice President of operations
Kelly Riley – Assistant Marketing Director
Natural ingredients and organic
Longer shelf life
Milk used is from cows untreated with rGBH
Smooth, creamy texture without the artificial thickeners
Reported a revenue of $ 13 million in 1999.
Strong relationships with leading
natural foods retailers, including the chains Whole Foods ($1.57 billion revenues in 1999) and Wild Oats ($721 million revenues
Dollar share
8 oz
32 oz
Childrens Multipacks
others
$100,000
$13 million
$20 million
To increase Natureview revenues by over 50%by the end of 2001
by the end of 2001
1999
1989
VC firm needed to cash its equity
Need to increase revenues to have good validation during accusation
Natureview management had to find another investor or position itself for acquisition, and increasing revenues was critical in order to attain the highest possible valuation for the company
Need an action plan to reach its target of $20 million by the end of 2001.
The organic foods market, worth $6.5 billion in 1999,
was predicted to grow to $13.3 billion in 2003.
In the previous 5 years, yogurt sales through
supermarkets had grown an average of 3% per year, while sales through natural food stores had grown
20% per year.
Yogurt Sales
Supermarket
Naturalfoods
Organic Products sales
Supermarket
NaturalFoods
Small HeathFood Stores
58% expressed that they would buy more organic product if it were less expensive.
Type Dollar share Dollar sales change vs Prior year
8-oz. 74 +3%
Children Multipack 9 +12.5%
32-oz. 8 +2%
others 9 NC
Brokers fee was 4% of manufacturer sales.
The typical distributor margin in this channel was 15%, and the
typical retailer margin was 27%.
A supermarket would charge $0.74 for the same cup of yogurt priced
at $0.88 in a natural foods store.
The slotting fee averaged $10,000 per SKU per retail chain.
Slotting fee and participation in regular trade
promotions—both uncommon practices in
the natural foods channel
Advertising cost of $ 8,000 on average
The yogurt section in a natural foods store was smaller (4’ wide by 6’ high) than that in a supermarket (8’ wide by 6’ high).
58% expressed that they would buy more organic
product if it were less expensive
Nature view should follow PUSH Strategy to attract more customers to increase its market share.
The typical natural foods wholesaler margin was 7%, the distributor margin was 9%, and the retailer margin was 35%
The retail price of the 8-oz. cup was $0.88.
Good relationships with market chain.
Horizon Organic and Brown Cow are competitors
How much revenue will it generate? Can it
reach its target of $ 20 million
Does it have resources for action plan?
Does Natureview is capable of withholding the
demands of market How does the selected option effect the current
marketing channel of Nature view
Option 1• Expand into 2
super market regions
• 6 SKU’s of 8 oz
Option 2• Expand
nationally
• 4 SKU’s of 32 oz size
Option 3• Stay in
natural foods channel
• 2SKU’s of children multipack
Anticipated Incremental Retail Unit Sales are 35 million units
They produce a revenue of 35*0.74 = $ 25.9 million
1.5% share in supermarket yogurt sales after 0ne year
.
Risks associated
Requires quarterly trade promotions and a meaningful marketing budget.
Crossed target revenues of $20 million
Heavy marketing budget
Stiff competition
Channel conflict will arise
Unpreparedness of marketing department
Advertising(TV, Radio,Print etc.,) $ 2,400,000/year
SG&A $ 320,000
SG&A for additional staff (sales) $ 200,000
Slotting Fees $ 1,200,000( 20 chains)
For additional marketing staff $ 120,000
Broker’s commissions $ 434,000
Total $ 4,674,000
Anticipated incremental retail unit sales in 2001
are 5.5 million*2.70 = $14.5 million
Risks
People might not enter the brand with 32 oz size box.
Sales team might not be able to reach national wide distribution within 12 months.
Launching of Bright visa and private label organic visa
$14+$14=$28 millionReached target revenues
Needs less money for marketing than option 1
32 oz market is growing very slowly at +2%
Marketing expenses $ 120,000
SG&A $ 160,000
Total $ 280,000
1.8 million units are anticipated to be sold in next year.
Anticipated revenues for 2001 are
1.8*3.35 = $6.03 million through Natural Foods
channel.
Marketing expenses were estimated to be $250,000
Gross profitability of the line would be 37.6%.
Just reached target revenues
$ 6.03 +$ 14 million=$ 20 million (approximately)
The natural foods channel was growing almost
seven times faster than the
supermarket channel
0% 5% 10% 15%
8 oz
32 oz
Multi pack
growth projected
growth projected
0
5000000
10000000
15000000
20000000
25000000
30000000
35000000
40000000
45000000
Option 1 Option 2 Option 3
Sales Incremental(units)
Total sales Projection(in$)
Required investment(in$ )
Option 3 would be best
Reaches our 20 million Target
Does not need much investment compared to option 1 and option 2
Unpreparedness of marketing department to handle demands of super market channel
Less Risky
Potential Channel Conflict
Brokers are not favorable for the go Decision
After investment is secured we can revisit our retail options later.
Gives us enough time to prepare for launch into super market channel in future
Created byMohan Krishna Meruva,
NIT Jamshedpur as a part of Marketing management
internship under Prof. Sameer Mathur IIM Lucknow