Natural Resources & EnvironmentThematic Thrust

FANRPAN Partners’ Meeting

13 June 2011Pretoria, South Africa

Current Condition=Change

Current Condition=Change

CNRM-CM3 CSIRO-MK3

ECHAM5 MIROC3.2

Predicted Changes in annual precipitation for Sub-Saharan Africa: from 2000 to 2050

(Source: IFPRI estimates)

Opportunities for Intervention

National Adaptation Programmes of Action (NAPAs)•ranked priority adaptation activities and projects•focus on urgent and immediate needs

Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Action Plans (NAMAs)•nationally appropriate mitigation action by a developing country party•human intervention to reduce sources/enhance sinks of greenhouse gases

Progress on NAPAs in southern Africa

To date, 30 African countries have developed NAPAs. Of these, 8 are in southern AfricaDRCMadagascarMozambiqueLesothoMalawiSouth Africa (National Climate Change Response Strategy)TanzaniaZambia

African countries with NAMAs under Copenhagen Accord

Challenge Program on Water & Food

(CPWF)

Limpopo Basin Development Challenge

Background

• CPWF: on-going initiative of the CGIAR System• 6 Trans-boundary Basins: Nile, Limpopo & Volta• FANRPAN Phase I: Led Limpopo Basin Focal Project• Leading Coordination and Change project in Phase II• Multi-disciplinary research, across scales for mutual

learning from reflection• Focus on generating relevant research for impact around

a basin challenge

Limpopo Basin Development Challenge

To improve integrated management of rainwater to

improve smallholder productivity and livelihoods

and reduce risk

Limpopo Basin Southern Africa

L2, L4: Mabalane

LBDC Projects & Partners

L1. Model for testing appropriateness of

interventions across conditions in the basin and region

L2. Guidelines for assessing and rehabilitating

small water infrastructure

L3. Innovation platforms for linking smallholder

farmers to markets and information

L4. Governance models that improve access to

water and land for rural populations

L5. Relevant and timely research to inform decision makers

in the face of changing conditions

In partnership with:

Regional linkages with: LIMCOM, NEPAD, SADC

•The LBDC addresses CAADP Pillars I and IV related to

water and land management and agricultural research

LBDC Projects & Partners

• 3rd International Forum for Water & Food,

November 14-18, 2011, St George Hotel, Pretoria.

Researchers, decision makers, next users and end users

from the Andes, Ganges, Limpopo, Mekong, Nile &

Volta Basins.

Global Reflection & Learning

Thank you

Policy

Analysis

Crop Production Models

Climate Models

Cost Benefit models

Advocacy

Analysis

Climate Change

Livelihoods Analysis

What has FANRPAN done with Climate Change?

Africa-Wide Civil Society Climate

Change Initiative for Policy Dialogues

(ACCID)

Objectives of ACCID

To mobilise space for civil society to speak with one voice in climate change negotiations

Link adaptation and mitigation agenda

To equip CSOs with research-based evidence in mitigation and adaptation to climate change

Ensure that funds generated from carbon trade and other financial instruments for funding climate adaptation programmes benefit the poor and help Africa towards the attainment of the MDGs.

Building Climate Change Resilience in Africa’s Agricultural Research Programs

Establish database of climate change and agriculture stakeholders & a repository of climate change information

Currently servicing 8,000 contact database

Providing support and training of journalists on food security and climate change issues

Providing electronic news bulletin on climate resilience

With support from

Part of "Strategies for Adapting to Climate Change in Rural Sub-Saharan Africa: Targeting the Most Vulnerable“ funded

by BMZ

Assessing the Vulnerability of Agricultureto Climate Change in southern Africa

To assess vulnerability of regional agriculture to climate change with emphasis on the poor

Objectives

Strengthening Evidence-Based Climate Change Adaptation Policies

(SECCAP) for Agriculture

SECCAP Objectives

1. Generate solid scientific understanding;

2. Integrate downscaled climate scenarios with crop growth and adaptation models, with district-wide household vulnerability information;

3. Determine socio-economic feasibility of cropping recommendations;

4. Develop appropriate policy recommendations;

5. Provide research evidence to inform policy processes;

6. Transfer knowledge generated to decision & policy makers and local communities;

1. Strengthened scientific, expertise & local knowledge;

2. Strengthened partnership & networking on adaptation

research;

3. Feasibility ranking of cropping options (climate, cost

benefit and policy);

4. Knowledge generated on household vulnerability for

cropping adaptation for Lesotho, Malawi & Swaziland;

5. NAPAs developed/revised/implemented on the basis

of new evidence.

Expected outcomes

Country Institution logo Partners Role

Lesotho

National University

of Lesotho

Selection and registration of MSc and BSc

students to participate in the project Domestication and hosting of the FANRPAN

livelihood database Collate crop production, livelihood and cost

benefit data from FAO statistics, national central statistics and the FANRPAN livelihood databases

Supervision of BSc undergraduate students to collate data

Malawi

University of

Malawi

Swaziland University of

Swaziland

South Africa

University of Cape

Town

Generate downscaled climate data for one selected district in each of the three project countries

Use DSSAT crop model to simulate growth of selected staples (maize, rice, cassava, sorghum, millet, groundnuts and wheat) by 2030 and 2050 in the selected districts

University of

Venda

Avail research outputs from the post-graduate students employed by World Vision and supported by FANRPAN

Project partners and Roles

USA

International Food Policy

Research Institute

Use the IMPACT model to examine alternative futures for food supply, demand, trade, prices and food security

Zimbabwe Development Data

Facilitate the domestication of livelihood databases at university and community levels

Train three (policy analysts/socio economists) post graduate students on how to analyse existing household livelihood databases

Malawi Swaziland Lesotho

World Vision International

Avail to the project, existing livelihood databases from Lesotho and Swaziland

Dissemination of evidence generated by the project and localising CAADP processes at community level using local structures, the ADPs in Lesotho, Malawi and Swaziland.

Project partners and Roles

Conservation Agriculture

Advocating for improved policies for CA in southern Africa

Thank You