nationaltrackingpoll#200325 march06-08,2020 ......en 2 ( 11 ) 5( 24) 12 ( 57 ) 77( 350) 3( 13 ) 454...

National Tracking Poll #200325March 06-08, 2020

Crosstabulation Results

Methodology:This poll was conducted between March 6-March 8, 2020 among a national sample of 1992 Regis-tered Voters. The interviews were conducted online and the data were weighted to approximate atarget sample of Registered Voters based on age, educational attainment, gender, race, and region.Results from the full survey have a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

Table Index

1 Table P1: Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in theright direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? . . . . . . . . . . 9

2 Table Q172: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? . 13

3 Table Q172NET:Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? 17

4 Table P3: Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on yourmind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? . . . . . . . 21

5 Table POL1: How likely is it that you will vote in the 2020 presidential primary or caucus inyour state? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26

6 Table POL2: Now, thinking about the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state,would you vote in the Democratic primary or caucus, the Republican primary or caucus, orare you not likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30

7 Table POL3: Do you think the Republican party should nominate Donald Trump as theparty’s candidate for president in 2020, or do you think the Republican party should nom-inate a different candidate for president in 2020? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34

8 Table POL4: If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you de nitely vote tore-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someoneelse or de nitely vote for someone else? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37

9 Table POL5: If the election for U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which one of thefollowing candidates are you most likely to vote for? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41

10 Table POL6_1: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Former NewYork CIty Mayor Michael Bloomberg dropping out of the Democratic presidential race andendorsing former Vice President Joe Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45

11 Table POL6_2: Howmuch have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Sen. ElizabethWarren (D-Mass.) dropping out of the Democratic presidential race . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49

12 Table POL6_3: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? The FederalReserve making an emergency measure to cut interest rates by 0.5% . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53

13 Table POL6_4: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Congresspassing roughly $8 billion in emergency spending for the response to coronavirus . . . . . . . 57

14 Table POL6_5: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? A shooting atthe Miller Coors factor in Milwaukee, Wis., that left 6 dead including the gunman . . . . . . 61

15 Table POL7_1: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The economy 65

16 Table POL7_2: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Jobs . . . . . 69

17 Table POL7_3: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Health care . 73

2

National Tracking Poll #200325, March, 2020

18 Table POL7_4: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Immigration . 77

19 Table POL7_5: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The environment 81

20 Table POL7_6: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Energy . . . . 85

21 Table POL7_7: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Education . . 89

22 Table POL7_8: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? National security 93

23 Table POL7_9: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Sexual harass-ment and misconduct in the workplace . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97

24 Table POL7_10: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Gun policy . 101

25 Table POL7_11: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? ProtectingMedicare and Social Security . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105

26 Table POL7_12: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Trade policy 109

27 Table POL7_13: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Foreign policy 113

28 Table POL8_1: Regardless of who you plan to vote for, which candidate would be best for…The future of the country . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117

29 Table POL8_2: Regardless of who you plan to vote for, which candidate would be best for…The future for the Democratic Party . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121

30 Table POL8_3: Regardless of who you plan to vote for, which candidate would be best for…Beating Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 125

31 Table POL8_4: Regardless of who you plan to vote for, which candidate would be best for…Debating Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 129

32 Table POL8_5: Regardless of who you plan to vote for, which candidate would be best for…Motivating young voters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 133

33 Table POL8_6: Regardless of who you plan to vote for, which candidate would be best for…Motivating voters of color . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137

34 Table POL8_7: Regardless of who you plan to vote for, which candidate would be best for…Motivating new voters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141

35 Table POL8_8: Regardless of who you plan to vote for, which candidate would be best for…Solving America’s biggest problems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 145

36 Table POL8_9: Regardless of who you plan to vote for, which candidate would be best for…Leadership during a crisis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149

37 Table POL8_10: Regardless of who you plan to vote for, which candidate would be best for…Uniting the country . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153

3

Morning Consult

38 Table POL9_1: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidateto win against President Trump in the 2020 general election if they are… A female candidate 157

39 Table POL9_2: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidateto win against President Trump in the 2020 general election if they are… A male candidate . 161

40 Table POL9_3: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidateto win against President Trump in the 2020 general election if they are… A white candidate . 165

41 Table POL9_4: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidateto win against President Trump in the 2020 general election if they are… A candidate of color 169

42 Table POL9_5: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidateto win against President Trump in the 2020 general election if they are…A candidate youngerthan 50 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 173

43 Table POL9_6: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidateto win against President Trump in the 2020 general election if they are… A candidate olderthan 70 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 177

44 Table POL9_7: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidateto win against President Trump in the 2020 general election if they are… A businessperson . 181

45 Table POL9_8: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidate towin against President Trump in the 2020 general election if they are…A gay or lesbian candidate185

46 Table POL9_9: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidateto win against President Trump in the 2020 general election if they are… A moderate candidate189

47 Table POL9_10: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidateto win against President Trump in the 2020 general election if they are… A socialist candidate 193

48 Table POL9_11: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidateto win against President Trump in the 2020 general election if they are…Ademocratic socialistcandidate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 197

49 Table POL9_12: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidateto win against President Trump in the 2020 general election if they are… A liberal candidate 201

50 Table POL10: Without any additional research, which of the following candidates do youbelieve is the oldest? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 205

51 Table POL11_1: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the followingmake youmore or less likely to support a candidate, or would it make no difference either way?The candidate supported or executed policies that lead to higher incarceration rates . . . . . 209

52 Table POL11_2: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the followingmake youmore or less likely to support a candidate, or would it make no difference either way?The candidate had supported the Iraq War . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 213

4


53 Table POL11_3: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the followingmake youmore or less likely to support a candidate, or would it make no difference either way?The candidate had a history of mistreating women . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 217

54 Table POL11_4: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the followingmake youmore or less likely to support a candidate, or would it make no difference either way?The candidate had mishandled allegations of sexual assault . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 221

55 Table POL11_5: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the followingmake youmore or less likely to support a candidate, or would it make no difference either way?The candidate had taken donations fromWall Street . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 225

56 Table POL11_6: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the followingmake youmore or less likely to support a candidate, or would it make no difference either way?The candidate considered opposing President Obama in 2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 229

57 Table POL11_7: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the followingmake youmore or less likely to support a candidate, or would it make no difference either way?The candidate had a history of embracing authoritarian socialist movements . . . . . . . . . 233

58 Table POL11_8: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the followingmake youmore or less likely to support a candidate, or would it make no difference either way?The candidate had a history of changing positions on policy and political issues . . . . . . . . 237

59 Table POL11_9: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the followingmake you more or less likely to support a candidate, or would it make no difference eitherway? The candidate supported a Medicare-for-all health system, where all Americans wouldget their health insurance from the government, over preserving and improving the AffordableCare Act. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 241

60 Table POL11_10: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the followingmake youmore or less likely to support a candidate, or would it make no difference either way?The candidate supported policies that took a hard line against illegal immigration . . . . . . 245

61 Table POL11_11: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the followingmake youmore or less likely to support a candidate, or would it make no difference either way?The candidate supported more immigrants coming into the country . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 249

62 Table POL11_12: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the followingmake youmore or less likely to support a candidate, or would it make no difference either way?The candidate supported getting rid of Immigration and Customs Enforcement, also known asICE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 253

63 Table POL11_13: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the followingmake youmore or less likely to support a candidate, or would it make no difference either way?The candidate supports the Second Amendment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 257

64 Table POL11_14: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the followingmake youmore or less likely to support a candidate, or would it make no difference either way?The candidate supports stricter gun control . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 261

5

Morning Consult

65 Table POL12_1: Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? Because the countryhas become so divided, it’s important that we have a leader who unites us instead of one whorepresents my preferred policy positions and values. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 265

66 Table POL12_2: Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? Because the stakesare so high, I’d rather have a leader whose policy positions and values exactly match my own,even if that means the country is more divided. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 269

67 Table POL13_1: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, doyou believe each of the following candidates received toomuchmedia coverage, too little mediacoverage, or the right amount of media coverage? Joe Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 273

68 Table POL13_2: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, doyou believe each of the following candidates received toomuchmedia coverage, too little mediacoverage, or the right amount of media coverage? Tulsi Gabbard . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 277

69 Table POL13_3: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, doyou believe each of the following candidates received toomuchmedia coverage, too little mediacoverage, or the right amount of media coverage? Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 281

70 Table POL13_4: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, doyou believe each of the following candidates received toomuchmedia coverage, too little mediacoverage, or the right amount of media coverage? Elizabeth Warren . . . . . . . . . . . . . 285

71 Table POL13_5: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, doyou believe each of the following candidates received toomuchmedia coverage, too little mediacoverage, or the right amount of media coverage? Michael Bloomberg . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289

72 Table POL13_6: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, doyou believe each of the following candidates received toomuchmedia coverage, too little mediacoverage, or the right amount of media coverage? Amy Klobuchar . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 293

73 Table POL13_7: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, doyou believe each of the following candidates received toomuchmedia coverage, too little mediacoverage, or the right amount of media coverage? Pete Buttigieg . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 297

74 Table POL13_8: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, doyou believe each of the following candidates received toomuchmedia coverage, too little mediacoverage, or the right amount of media coverage? Tom Steyer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 301

75 Table POL13_9: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, doyou believe each of the following candidates received toomuchmedia coverage, too little mediacoverage, or the right amount of media coverage? Deval Patrick . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 305

76 Table POL13_10: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, doyou believe each of the following candidates received toomuchmedia coverage, too little mediacoverage, or the right amount of media coverage? Andrew Yang . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 309

77 Table POL13_11: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, doyou believe each of the following candidates received toomuchmedia coverage, too little mediacoverage, or the right amount of media coverage? Michael Bennet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 313

6


78 Table POL13_12: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, doyou believe each of the following candidates received toomuchmedia coverage, too little mediacoverage, or the right amount of media coverage? John Delaney . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 317

79 Table POL13_13: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, doyou believe each of the following candidates received toomuchmedia coverage, too little mediacoverage, or the right amount of media coverage? Cory Booker . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 321

80 Table POL13_14: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, doyou believe each of the following candidates received toomuchmedia coverage, too little mediacoverage, or the right amount of media coverage? Marianne Williamson . . . . . . . . . . . 325

81 Table POL13_15: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, doyou believe each of the following candidates received toomuchmedia coverage, too little mediacoverage, or the right amount of media coverage? Julian Castro . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 329

82 Table POL14_1: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each ofthe following was… Joe Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 333

83 Table POL14_2: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each ofthe following was… Tulsi Gabbard . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 337

84 Table POL14_3: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each ofthe following was… Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 341

85 Table POL14_4: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each ofthe following was… Elizabeth Warren . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 345

86 Table POL14_5: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each ofthe following was…Michael Bloomberg . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 349

87 Table POL14_6: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each ofthe following was… Amy Klobuchar . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 353

88 Table POL14_7: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each ofthe following was… Pete Buttigieg . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 357

89 Table POL14_8: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each ofthe following was… Tom Steyer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 361

90 Table POL14_9: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each ofthe following was… Deval Patrick . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 365

91 Table POL14_10: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each ofthe following was… Andrew Yang . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 369

92 Table POL14_11: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each ofthe following was…Michael Bennet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 373

93 Table POL14_12: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each ofthe following was… John Delaney . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 377

7

Morning Consult

94 Table POL14_13: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each ofthe following was… Cory Booker . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 381

95 Table POL14_14: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each ofthe following was…Marianne Williamson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 385

96 Table POL14_15: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each ofthe following was… Julian Castro . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 389

97 Table POLx_1: Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a longlist, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer foreach name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, SomewhatFavorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard ofthe person, but do not have an opinion, please mark ’Heard Of, No Opinion.’ If you have notheard of the person, please mark ’Never Heard Of.’Mitch McConnell . . . . . . . . . . . . . 393

98 Table POLx_2: Favorability for Nancy Pelosi . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 397

99 Table POLx_3: Favorability for Charles Schumer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 401

100 Table POLx_4: Favorability for Mike Pence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 405

101 Table POLx_5: Favorability for Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 409

102 Table POLx_6: Favorability for Republicans in Congress . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 413

103 Table POLx_7: Favorability for Democrats in Congress . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 417

104 Table POLx_9: Favorability for Kevin McCarthy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 421

105 Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 425

8


9

Table P1

Crosstabulation Results by Respondent Demographics

Table P1: Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off onthe wrong track?

Demographic Right Direction Wrong Track Total N

Registered Voters 43% (850) 57% (1142) 1992Gender: Male 48% (449) 52% (484) 932Gender: Female 38% (402) 62% (658) 1060Age: 18-29 39% (128) 61% (204) 332Age: 30-44 39% (181) 61% (290) 471Age: 45-54 45% (144) 55% (175) 319Age: 55-64 48% (194) 52% (212) 406Age: 65+ 43% (202) 57% (262) 463Generation Z: 18-22 43% (57) 57% (76) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 38% (182) 62% (302) 484Generation X: Age 39-54 43% (216) 57% (290) 506Boomers: Age 55-73 45% (340) 55% (414) 753PID: Dem (no lean) 13% (103) 87% (661) 764PID: Ind (no lean) 36% (196) 64% (353) 549PID: Rep (no lean) 81% (552) 19% (128) 679PID/Gender: DemMen 17% (54) 83% (255) 309PID/Gender: DemWomen 11% (49) 89% (406) 454PID/Gender: Ind Men 41% (120) 59% (173) 293PID/Gender: Ind Women 30% (76) 70% (180) 256PID/Gender: Rep Men 83% (275) 17% (56) 330PID/Gender: Rep Women 79% (277) 21% (72) 349Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 13% (75) 87% (488) 562Ideo: Moderate (4) 35% (180) 65% (336) 516Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 72% (534) 28% (204) 738Educ: < College 45% (566) 55% (687) 1253Educ: Bachelors degree 38% (181) 62% (291) 471Educ: Post-grad 39% (104) 61% (164) 268

Continued on next page

10

Morning ConsultTable P1



Registered Voters 43% (850) 57% (1142) 1992Income: Under 50k 41% (424) 59% (609) 1033Income: 50k-100k 44% (293) 56% (367) 660Income: 100k+ 45% (133) 55% (165) 298Ethnicity: White 47% (752) 53% (860) 1611Ethnicity: Hispanic 44% (86) 56% (107) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 22% (55) 78% (198) 253Ethnicity: Other 34% (44) 66% (84) 128All Christian 50% (491) 50% (484) 975All Non-Christian 33% (31) 67% (63) 94Atheist 14% (13) 86% (76) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 38% (316) 62% (518) 834Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 40% (46) 60% (69) 114Evangelical 54% (303) 46% (262) 566Non-Evangelical 44% (323) 56% (413) 736Community: Urban 35% (159) 65% (298) 457Community: Suburban 43% (424) 57% (559) 983Community: Rural 48% (267) 52% (284) 551Employ: Private Sector 41% (298) 59% (421) 718Employ: Government 42% (51) 58% (70) 122Employ: Self-Employed 44% (66) 56% (82) 148Employ: Homemaker 43% (55) 57% (73) 129Employ: Retired 47% (228) 53% (258) 486Employ: Unemployed 47% (82) 53% (92) 174Employ: Other 33% (43) 67% (85) 128Military HH: Yes 48% (174) 52% (190) 364Military HH: No 42% (676) 58% (952) 1628RD/WT: Right Direction 100% (850) — (0) 850RD/WT: Wrong Track — (0) 100% (1142) 1142Trump Job Approve 83% (732) 17% (145) 877Trump Job Disapprove 9% (93) 91% (956) 1049



11

Table P1



Registered Voters 43% (850) 57% (1142) 1992Trump Job Strongly Approve 91% (476) 9% (47) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 72% (256) 28% (99) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 22% (53) 78% (184) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 5% (39) 95% (772) 811Favorable of Trump 84% (728) 16% (139) 867Unfavorable of Trump 9% (89) 91% (951) 1039Very Favorable of Trump 91% (491) 9% (48) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 72% (237) 28% (92) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 24% (46) 76% (144) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 5% (43) 95% (807) 850#1 Issue: Economy 51% (249) 49% (239) 489#1 Issue: Security 70% (250) 30% (105) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 26% (99) 74% (288) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 38% (129) 62% (210) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 34% (25) 66% (50) 75#1 Issue: Education 34% (39) 66% (77) 116#1 Issue: Energy 19% (21) 81% (92) 113#1 Issue: Other 32% (37) 68% (81) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 15% (125) 85% (685) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 80% (545) 20% (134) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 28% (22) 72% (56) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 12% (87) 88% (629) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 80% (574) 20% (144) 7182016 Vote: Other 26% (41) 74% (113) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 37% (148) 63% (251) 400Voted in 2014: Yes 45% (615) 55% (758) 1372Voted in 2014: No 38% (236) 62% (384) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 20% (163) 80% (668) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 76% (421) 24% (136) 5572012 Vote: Other 58% (45) 42% (33) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 43% (220) 57% (294) 514


12




Registered Voters 43% (850) 57% (1142) 19924-Region: Northeast 42% (150) 58% (205) 3554-Region: Midwest 42% (193) 58% (265) 4584-Region: South 46% (343) 54% (401) 7444-Region: West 38% (164) 62% (271) 435Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 13% (117) 87% (804) 922Party: Republican/Leans Republican 80% (644) 20% (166) 810Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 14% (126) 86% (782) 908Vote in Republican primary or caucus 83% (563) 17% (118) 681Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 40% (33) 60% (50) 83Don’t know / No opinion 40% (64) 60% (94) 158Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.

https://morningconsultintelligence.com


13

Table Q172

Table Q172: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

DemographicStronglyApprove

SomewhatApprove

SomewhatDisapprove

StronglyDisapprove

Don’t Know /No Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 26% (523) 18% (355) 12% (238) 41% (811) 3% (66) 1992Gender: Male 29% (274) 19% (175) 12% (111) 36% (338) 4% (34) 932Gender: Female 23% (249) 17% (179) 12% (126) 45% (473) 3% (32) 1060Age: 18-29 17% (55) 15% (51) 12% (40) 47% (155) 9% (31) 332Age: 30-44 19% (89) 20% (96) 17% (80) 40% (189) 4% (18) 471Age: 45-54 31% (99) 19% (61) 9% (30) 37% (119) 3% (11) 319Age: 55-64 34% (136) 21% (85) 9% (37) 36% (145) 1% (3) 406Age: 65+ 31% (144) 13% (62) 11% (51) 44% (203) 1% (3) 463Generation Z: 18-22 14% (19) 13% (17) 14% (18) 44% (59) 15% (20) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 17% (82) 21% (100) 14% (66) 43% (210) 5% (25) 484Generation X: Age 39-54 28% (142) 18% (91) 13% (66) 38% (194) 3% (14) 506Boomers: Age 55-73 33% (245) 17% (126) 10% (77) 40% (301) 1% (5) 753PID: Dem (no lean) 3% (21) 6% (49) 13% (101) 75% (574) 2% (19) 764PID: Ind (no lean) 17% (95) 21% (115) 19% (102) 36% (198) 7% (40) 549PID: Rep (no lean) 60% (406) 28% (191) 5% (35) 6% (40) 1% (7) 679PID/Gender: DemMen 3% (11) 8% (25) 14% (44) 73% (224) 2% (5) 309PID/Gender: DemWomen 2% (11) 5% (24) 12% (57) 77% (350) 3% (13) 454PID/Gender: Ind Men 20% (59) 23% (66) 17% (49) 33% (96) 8% (23) 293PID/Gender: Ind Women 14% (36) 19% (48) 21% (53) 40% (102) 6% (16) 256PID/Gender: Rep Men 62% (205) 25% (84) 5% (18) 6% (18) 1% (5) 330PID/Gender: Rep Women 58% (201) 31% (107) 5% (17) 6% (21) 1% (2) 349Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 5% (29) 6% (36) 9% (52) 77% (434) 2% (11) 562Ideo: Moderate (4) 15% (77) 19% (98) 22% (111) 43% (220) 2% (10) 516Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 53% (390) 25% (181) 8% (59) 14% (101) 1% (7) 738Educ: < College 29% (362) 17% (219) 11% (142) 38% (476) 4% (55) 1253Educ: Bachelors degree 23% (110) 17% (82) 12% (59) 45% (214) 1% (7) 471Educ: Post-grad 19% (51) 20% (54) 14% (37) 45% (121) 2% (5) 268Income: Under 50k 26% (268) 17% (171) 10% (101) 43% (448) 4% (46) 1033Income: 50k-100k 27% (182) 18% (120) 14% (95) 38% (250) 2% (13) 660Income: 100k+ 25% (73) 21% (63) 14% (42) 38% (113) 2% (7) 298Ethnicity: White 30% (490) 19% (314) 12% (189) 36% (584) 2% (33) 1611Ethnicity: Hispanic 23% (44) 15% (29) 15% (29) 43% (83) 4% (8) 193


14

Morning ConsultTable Q172



SomewhatApprove

SomewhatDisapprove

StronglyDisapprove


Registered Voters 26% (523) 18% (355) 12% (238) 41% (811) 3% (66) 1992Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 6% (15) 8% (20) 12% (30) 64% (162) 10% (25) 253Ethnicity: Other 14% (17) 16% (20) 14% (18) 51% (65) 6% (8) 128All Christian 33% (320) 20% (199) 11% (108) 34% (334) 1% (14) 975All Non-Christian 14% (13) 12% (12) 16% (15) 56% (53) 1% (1) 94Atheist 7% (6) 11% (10) 5% (4) 76% (67) 1% (1) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 22% (184) 16% (134) 13% (110) 43% (357) 6% (50) 834Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 16% (18) 20% (23) 15% (17) 47% (54) 1% (1) 114Evangelical 39% (221) 19% (109) 11% (62) 27% (154) 3% (20) 566Non-Evangelical 26% (192) 19% (137) 11% (83) 42% (309) 2% (14) 736Community: Urban 20% (92) 14% (62) 10% (47) 51% (233) 5% (23) 457Community: Suburban 26% (251) 19% (184) 12% (123) 40% (397) 3% (27) 983Community: Rural 33% (179) 20% (108) 12% (67) 33% (181) 3% (16) 551Employ: Private Sector 24% (175) 20% (144) 12% (90) 41% (292) 2% (17) 718Employ: Government 21% (26) 21% (26) 12% (14) 42% (51) 4% (5) 122Employ: Self-Employed 35% (52) 13% (19) 10% (14) 40% (60) 2% (3) 148Employ: Homemaker 22% (28) 28% (35) 14% (18) 34% (43) 3% (4) 129Employ: Retired 34% (166) 14% (69) 9% (44) 42% (204) 1% (3) 486Employ: Unemployed 28% (50) 15% (25) 14% (24) 34% (60) 9% (15) 174Employ: Other 16% (21) 18% (22) 13% (17) 44% (56) 9% (11) 128Military HH: Yes 30% (111) 18% (67) 12% (45) 36% (132) 2% (9) 364Military HH: No 25% (412) 18% (288) 12% (193) 42% (679) 3% (57) 1628RD/WT: Right Direction 56% (476) 30% (256) 6% (53) 5% (39) 3% (26) 850RD/WT: Wrong Track 4% (47) 9% (99) 16% (184) 68% (772) 4% (40) 1142Trump Job Approve 60% (523) 40% (355) — (0) — (0) — (0) 877Trump Job Disapprove — (0) — (0) 23% (238) 77% (811) — (0) 1049Trump Job Strongly Approve 100% (523) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve — (0) 100% (355) — (0) — (0) — (0) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove — (0) — (0) 100% (238) — (0) — (0) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (811) — (0) 811Favorable of Trump 59% (511) 35% (302) 3% (24) 2% (21) 1% (10) 867Unfavorable of Trump 1% (11) 3% (35) 20% (204) 75% (775) 1% (14) 1039



15

Table Q172



SomewhatApprove

SomewhatDisapprove

StronglyDisapprove


Registered Voters 26% (523) 18% (355) 12% (238) 41% (811) 3% (66) 1992Very Favorable of Trump 89% (480) 6% (32) 1% (5) 3% (18) 1% (5) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 9% (31) 82% (270) 6% (19) 1% (3) 1% (5) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 1% (3) 17% (32) 71% (134) 7% (13) 4% (8) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 1% (9) — (4) 8% (69) 90% (762) 1% (6) 850#1 Issue: Economy 29% (142) 22% (108) 15% (75) 30% (144) 4% (20) 489#1 Issue: Security 53% (189) 24% (85) 7% (24) 15% (53) 1% (5) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 11% (43) 14% (55) 12% (48) 60% (231) 2% (9) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 24% (82) 14% (48) 13% (43) 47% (160) 2% (6) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 14% (10) 23% (17) 12% (9) 48% (36) 3% (2) 75#1 Issue: Education 15% (18) 15% (17) 15% (17) 48% (56) 7% (8) 116#1 Issue: Energy 11% (12) 13% (15) 9% (10) 63% (71) 4% (4) 113#1 Issue: Other 22% (26) 8% (9) 9% (11) 50% (59) 11% (13) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 4% (32) 7% (59) 14% (110) 73% (593) 2% (16) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 60% (405) 27% (185) 6% (42) 6% (39) 1% (8) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 11% (9) 31% (24) 19% (15) 28% (22) 10% (8) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 3% (22) 5% (35) 13% (93) 77% (552) 2% (13) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 59% (422) 28% (203) 6% (43) 6% (42) 1% (8) 7182016 Vote: Other 10% (15) 24% (37) 21% (32) 40% (61) 6% (9) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 16% (62) 19% (78) 17% (69) 39% (156) 9% (35) 400Voted in 2014: Yes 29% (393) 18% (242) 11% (145) 41% (566) 2% (27) 1372Voted in 2014: No 21% (130) 18% (113) 15% (93) 40% (245) 6% (39) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 8% (65) 11% (92) 13% (110) 66% (545) 2% (19) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 54% (300) 28% (153) 8% (44) 10% (56) — (2) 5572012 Vote: Other 45% (35) 21% (16) 8% (7) 16% (13) 9% (7) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 23% (118) 18% (91) 14% (74) 38% (193) 7% (37) 5144-Region: Northeast 24% (84) 19% (68) 13% (48) 40% (141) 4% (14) 3554-Region: Midwest 24% (111) 19% (86) 11% (50) 43% (197) 3% (13) 4584-Region: South 30% (224) 17% (125) 12% (86) 38% (282) 4% (26) 7444-Region: West 24% (103) 17% (76) 12% (53) 44% (192) 3% (12) 435Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 3% (27) 6% (58) 14% (126) 75% (688) 2% (23) 922Party: Republican/Leans Republican 58% (469) 29% (231) 6% (52) 6% (50) 1% (8) 810


16

Morning ConsultTable Q172



SomewhatApprove

SomewhatDisapprove

StronglyDisapprove


Registered Voters 26% (523) 18% (355) 12% (238) 41% (811) 3% (66) 1992Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 5% (43) 6% (58) 15% (137) 73% (663) 1% (8) 908Vote in Republican primary or caucus 62% (422) 28% (191) 4% (27) 5% (36) 1% (5) 681Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 17% (14) 31% (26) 21% (17) 26% (22) 5% (4) 83Don’t know / No opinion 9% (15) 32% (51) 19% (31) 27% (42) 12% (20) 158Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



17

Table Q172NET

Table Q172NET: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

Demographic Total Approve Total DisapproveDon’t Know / No

Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 44% (877) 53% (1049) 3% (66) 1992Gender: Male 48% (449) 48% (450) 4% (34) 932Gender: Female 40% (428) 57% (599) 3% (32) 1060Age: 18-29 32% (106) 59% (195) 9% (31) 332Age: 30-44 39% (185) 57% (269) 4% (18) 471Age: 45-54 50% (160) 47% (149) 3% (11) 319Age: 55-64 54% (221) 45% (182) 1% (3) 406Age: 65+ 44% (206) 55% (254) 1% (3) 463Generation Z: 18-22 27% (35) 58% (77) 15% (20) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 38% (182) 57% (276) 5% (25) 484Generation X: Age 39-54 46% (232) 51% (260) 3% (14) 506Boomers: Age 55-73 49% (371) 50% (377) 1% (5) 753PID: Dem (no lean) 9% (70) 88% (675) 2% (19) 764PID: Ind (no lean) 38% (210) 55% (299) 7% (40) 549PID: Rep (no lean) 88% (598) 11% (75) 1% (7) 679PID/Gender: DemMen 11% (35) 87% (269) 2% (5) 309PID/Gender: DemWomen 8% (35) 89% (406) 3% (13) 454PID/Gender: Ind Men 43% (125) 49% (144) 8% (23) 293PID/Gender: Ind Women 33% (85) 61% (155) 6% (16) 256PID/Gender: Rep Men 88% (289) 11% (36) 1% (5) 330PID/Gender: Rep Women 88% (309) 11% (38) 1% (2) 349Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 11% (65) 87% (487) 2% (11) 562Ideo: Moderate (4) 34% (175) 64% (331) 2% (10) 516Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 77% (571) 22% (160) 1% (7) 738Educ: < College 46% (581) 49% (617) 4% (55) 1253Educ: Bachelors degree 41% (192) 58% (273) 1% (7) 471Educ: Post-grad 39% (105) 59% (159) 2% (5) 268Income: Under 50k 42% (439) 53% (549) 4% (46) 1033Income: 50k-100k 46% (302) 52% (345) 2% (13) 660Income: 100k+ 46% (137) 52% (155) 2% (7) 298Ethnicity: White 50% (804) 48% (774) 2% (33) 1611Ethnicity: Hispanic 38% (73) 58% (112) 4% (8) 193


18

Morning ConsultTable Q172NET



Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 44% (877) 53% (1049) 3% (66) 1992Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 14% (36) 76% (192) 10% (25) 253Ethnicity: Other 29% (37) 65% (83) 6% (8) 128All Christian 53% (519) 45% (442) 1% (14) 975All Non-Christian 26% (24) 73% (68) 1% (1) 94Atheist 18% (16) 80% (72) 1% (1) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 38% (317) 56% (467) 6% (50) 834Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 36% (42) 62% (71) 1% (1) 114Evangelical 58% (330) 38% (216) 3% (20) 566Non-Evangelical 45% (329) 53% (393) 2% (14) 736Community: Urban 34% (154) 61% (280) 5% (23) 457Community: Suburban 44% (436) 53% (520) 3% (27) 983Community: Rural 52% (287) 45% (248) 3% (16) 551Employ: Private Sector 44% (320) 53% (382) 2% (17) 718Employ: Government 42% (51) 54% (65) 4% (5) 122Employ: Self-Employed 48% (71) 50% (74) 2% (3) 148Employ: Homemaker 49% (64) 48% (61) 3% (4) 129Employ: Retired 48% (235) 51% (247) 1% (3) 486Employ: Unemployed 43% (75) 48% (84) 9% (15) 174Employ: Other 34% (43) 57% (73) 9% (11) 128Military HH: Yes 49% (178) 49% (177) 2% (9) 364Military HH: No 43% (700) 54% (872) 3% (57) 1628RD/WT: Right Direction 86% (732) 11% (93) 3% (26) 850RD/WT: Wrong Track 13% (145) 84% (956) 4% (40) 1142Trump Job Approve 100% (877) — (0) — (0) 877Trump Job Disapprove — (0) 100% (1049) — (0) 1049Trump Job Strongly Approve 100% (523) — (0) — (0) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 100% (355) — (0) — (0) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove — (0) 100% (238) — (0) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove — (0) 100% (811) — (0) 811Favorable of Trump 94% (813) 5% (45) 1% (10) 867Unfavorable of Trump 4% (46) 94% (979) 1% (14) 1039



19

Table Q172NET



Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 44% (877) 53% (1049) 3% (66) 1992Very Favorable of Trump 95% (511) 4% (23) 1% (5) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 92% (301) 7% (22) 1% (5) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 18% (34) 78% (147) 4% (8) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 1% (12) 98% (831) 1% (6) 850#1 Issue: Economy 51% (250) 45% (219) 4% (20) 489#1 Issue: Security 77% (274) 22% (77) 1% (5) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 26% (99) 72% (279) 2% (9) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 38% (130) 60% (203) 2% (6) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 37% (28) 60% (45) 3% (2) 75#1 Issue: Education 30% (35) 63% (73) 7% (8) 116#1 Issue: Energy 24% (27) 72% (81) 4% (4) 113#1 Issue: Other 29% (35) 60% (70) 11% (13) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 11% (91) 87% (703) 2% (16) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 87% (589) 12% (81) 1% (8) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 42% (33) 47% (37) 10% (8) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 8% (57) 90% (645) 2% (13) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 87% (626) 12% (85) 1% (8) 7182016 Vote: Other 33% (51) 61% (93) 6% (9) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 35% (140) 56% (225) 9% (35) 400Voted in 2014: Yes 46% (635) 52% (711) 2% (27) 1372Voted in 2014: No 39% (242) 55% (338) 6% (39) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 19% (157) 79% (655) 2% (19) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 82% (454) 18% (100) — (2) 5572012 Vote: Other 66% (52) 25% (19) 9% (7) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 41% (209) 52% (267) 7% (37) 5144-Region: Northeast 43% (152) 53% (189) 4% (14) 3554-Region: Midwest 43% (197) 54% (247) 3% (13) 4584-Region: South 47% (349) 49% (368) 4% (26) 7444-Region: West 41% (179) 56% (244) 3% (12) 435Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 9% (85) 88% (814) 2% (23) 922Party: Republican/Leans Republican 86% (700) 13% (102) 1% (8) 810


20

Morning ConsultTable Q172NET



Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 44% (877) 53% (1049) 3% (66) 1992Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 11% (101) 88% (799) 1% (8) 908Vote in Republican primary or caucus 90% (613) 9% (63) 1% (5) 681Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 49% (40) 47% (39) 5% (4) 83Don’t know / No opinion 42% (66) 46% (73) 12% (20) 158Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



21

Table P3

Table P3: Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such asU.S. Senate or Congress?

Demographic

EconomicIssues –like taxes,wages,jobs,

unemploy-ment, andspending

SecurityIssues –like

terrorism,foreign

policy, andbordersecurity

HealthCare Issues– like the2010 healthcare law,Medicaid,other

challenges

SeniorsIssues –like

Medicareand SocialSecurity

Women’sIssues –like birthcontrol,abortion,and equal

pay

EducationIssues – like

schoolstandards,class sizes,

school choice,and student

loans

Energy Issues– like carbonemissions,cost ofelectric-

ity/gasoline,or renewables Other: Total N

Registered Voters 25%(489) 18%(356) 19%(387) 17%(339) 4% (75) 6% (116) 6% (113) 6% (118) 1992Gender: Male 26%(240) 20%(186) 19%(176) 17%(158) 2% (18) 5% (46) 7% (63) 5% (45) 932Gender: Female 23%(249) 16%(169) 20% (211) 17%(180) 5% (58) 7% (70) 5% (50) 7% (73) 1060Age: 18-29 27% (91) 15% (51) 20% (65) 1% (4) 9% (30) 12% (41) 10% (34) 5% (16) 332Age: 30-44 34% (161) 14% (65) 23%(107) 4% (19) 5% (23) 10% (48) 6% (27) 4% (21) 471Age: 45-54 29% (91) 20% (65) 23% (73) 10% (32) 3% (10) 4% (12) 7% (23) 4% (13) 319Age: 55-64 22% (91) 18% (75) 21% (86) 24% (97) 2% (7) 2% (7) 4% (17) 7% (27) 406Age: 65+ 12% (55) 22%(100) 12% (55) 40%(187) 1% (6) 2% (8) 2% (11) 9% (41) 463Generation Z: 18-22 26% (35) 12% (16) 16% (22) 2% (2) 11% (14) 17% (22) 10% (13) 6% (8) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 31%(149) 14% (70) 22%(108) 3% (12) 6% (29) 11% (54) 7% (34) 5% (27) 484Generation X: Age 39-54 31%(159) 19% (95) 23% (116) 8% (40) 4% (19) 5% (25) 7% (37) 3% (15) 506Boomers: Age 55-73 18%(138) 19%(142) 17%(127) 31%(232) 1% (10) 2% (15) 4% (28) 8% (62) 753PID: Dem (no lean) 20%(150) 8% (61) 26%(197) 20%(154) 4% (34) 7% (50) 8% (62) 7% (56) 764PID: Ind (no lean) 27%(149) 14% (79) 21% (114) 12% (67) 5% (26) 7% (37) 6% (35) 8% (42) 549PID: Rep (no lean) 28%(190) 32%(216) 11% (75) 17% (118) 2% (16) 4% (29) 2% (16) 3% (20) 679PID/Gender: DemMen 22% (69) 8% (25) 27% (85) 22% (67) 2% (8) 5% (14) 9% (28) 4% (13) 309PID/Gender: DemWomen 18% (81) 8% (36) 25% (113) 19% (86) 6% (26) 8% (36) 7% (34) 9% (42) 454PID/Gender: Ind Men 28% (81) 15% (44) 18% (54) 13% (38) 2% (5) 7% (20) 9% (26) 8% (25) 293PID/Gender: Ind Women 26% (68) 13% (34) 24% (60) 11% (29) 8% (21) 7% (17) 4% (10) 7% (17) 256PID/Gender: Rep Men 27% (90) 35% (117) 11% (38) 16% (53) 2% (5) 3% (11) 3% (9) 2% (7) 330PID/Gender: Rep Women 29%(100) 28% (99) 11% (38) 19% (65) 3% (11) 5% (17) 2% (6) 4% (14) 349Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 19%(107) 7% (38) 28%(159) 16% (88) 5% (28) 8% (43) 10% (59) 7% (41) 562Ideo: Moderate (4) 24%(125) 13% (65) 24%(122) 21%(107) 3% (18) 7% (36) 5% (25) 4% (18) 516Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 29%(215) 30%(225) 12% (86) 16% (117) 2% (17) 3% (21) 2% (17) 5% (38) 738


22



Demographic




terrorism,foreign



challenges




pay




loans



Registered Voters 25%(489) 18%(356) 19%(387) 17%(339) 4% (75) 6% (116) 6% (113) 6% (118) 1992Educ: < College 23%(293) 19%(232) 16%(205) 20%(252) 4% (49) 6% (70) 5% (65) 7% (86) 1253Educ: Bachelors degree 29%(134) 15% (70) 26%(123) 12% (57) 3% (16) 5% (24) 7% (31) 4% (17) 471Educ: Post-grad 23% (61) 20% (53) 22% (59) 11% (30) 4% (10) 8% (22) 6% (17) 6% (16) 268Income: Under 50k 23%(239) 17%(172) 18%(184) 20% (211) 5% (47) 6% (63) 5% (55) 6% (64) 1033Income: 50k-100k 24%(160) 20% (131) 21%(136) 15% (101) 3% (19) 6% (38) 6% (37) 6% (38) 660Income: 100k+ 30% (90) 18% (53) 23% (67) 9% (27) 3% (10) 5% (15) 7% (21) 6% (16) 298Ethnicity: White 24%(385) 19%(312) 19%(304) 18%(288) 4% (58) 5% (82) 6% (92) 6% (91) 1611Ethnicity: Hispanic 33% (63) 16% (31) 22% (43) 7% (13) 3% (5) 12% (23) 3% (6) 4% (8) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 27% (69) 10% (25) 21% (52) 17% (44) 5% (12) 7% (18) 6% (14) 7% (19) 253Ethnicity: Other 27% (35) 15% (19) 24% (30) 5% (7) 4% (6) 13% (16) 5% (7) 7% (8) 128All Christian 23%(224) 21%(204) 18%(177) 21%(209) 3% (26) 5% (52) 3% (34) 5% (49) 975All Non-Christian 22% (20) 14% (13) 26% (24) 20% (19) 3% (3) 7% (6) 4% (4) 4% (4) 94Atheist 18% (16) 9% (8) 28% (25) 6% (5) 5% (5) 8% (7) 13% (12) 13% (12) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 27%(229) 16% (131) 19%(160) 13%(107) 5% (41) 6% (51) 8% (63) 6% (53) 834Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 23% (27) 15% (17) 26% (30) 16% (19) 4% (5) 7% (8) 4% (5) 4% (4) 114Evangelical 24%(138) 26%(145) 14% (80) 16% (92) 4% (21) 6% (32) 3% (15) 8% (44) 566Non-Evangelical 24%(174) 16% (121) 21%(158) 22%(160) 2% (18) 5% (38) 5% (38) 4% (30) 736Community: Urban 23%(106) 15% (70) 22% (99) 16% (75) 5% (23) 9% (40) 6% (27) 4% (18) 457Community: Suburban 26%(254) 18% (181) 20%(196) 16%(158) 3% (28) 5% (47) 6% (59) 6% (61) 983Community: Rural 23%(129) 19%(105) 17% (92) 19%(105) 4% (25) 5% (30) 5% (27) 7% (39) 551



23

Table P3


Demographic




terrorism,foreign



challenges




pay




loans



Registered Voters 25%(489) 18%(356) 19%(387) 17%(339) 4% (75) 6% (116) 6% (113) 6% (118) 1992Employ: Private Sector 31%(225) 17%(124) 23%(165) 10% (72) 4% (27) 5% (34) 5% (39) 4% (32) 718Employ: Government 33% (41) 16% (19) 16% (19) 7% (8) 5% (6) 12% (15) 6% (8) 5% (6) 122Employ: Self-Employed 27% (40) 19% (28) 24% (36) 11% (16) 3% (5) 3% (5) 9% (14) 3% (5) 148Employ: Homemaker 25% (32) 19% (24) 22% (28) 9% (11) 6% (8) 11% (14) 3% (4) 6% (8) 129Employ: Retired 12% (59) 22%(108) 13% (63) 38%(185) 1% (6) 2% (11) 4% (17) 8% (38) 486Employ: Unemployed 21% (36) 15% (27) 19% (32) 14% (25) 5% (9) 9% (15) 10% (17) 7% (13) 174Employ: Other 26% (34) 10% (13) 20% (26) 17% (21) 7% (8) 6% (8) 3% (4) 10% (13) 128Military HH: Yes 20% (72) 24% (88) 13% (46) 23% (83) 4% (14) 5% (18) 3% (10) 9% (32) 364Military HH: No 26%(417) 16%(267) 21%(341) 16%(255) 4% (61) 6% (98) 6%(103) 5% (86) 1628RD/WT: Right Direction 29%(249) 29%(250) 12% (99) 15%(129) 3% (25) 5% (39) 2% (21) 4% (37) 850RD/WT: Wrong Track 21%(239) 9%(105) 25%(288) 18%(210) 4% (50) 7% (77) 8% (92) 7% (81) 1142Trump Job Approve 28%(250) 31%(274) 11% (99) 15%(130) 3% (28) 4% (35) 3% (27) 4% (35) 877Trump Job Disapprove 21%(219) 7% (77) 27%(279) 19%(203) 4% (45) 7% (73) 8% (81) 7% (70) 1049Trump Job Strongly Approve 27%(142) 36%(189) 8% (43) 16% (82) 2% (10) 3% (18) 2% (12) 5% (26) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 30%(108) 24% (85) 16% (55) 14% (48) 5% (17) 5% (17) 4% (15) 3% (9) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 32% (75) 10% (24) 20% (48) 18% (43) 4% (9) 7% (17) 4% (10) 5% (11) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 18%(144) 7% (53) 28%(231) 20%(160) 4% (36) 7% (56) 9% (71) 7% (59) 811Favorable of Trump 29%(252) 32%(277) 12%(106) 15%(127) 3% (26) 3% (30) 2% (17) 4% (32) 867Unfavorable of Trump 21%(215) 7% (70) 26%(266) 20%(203) 4% (44) 8% (79) 9% (89) 7% (73) 1039Very Favorable of Trump 29%(155) 36%(196) 9% (46) 16% (85) 2% (11) 3% (15) 1% (8) 4% (23) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 30% (98) 25% (81) 18% (60) 13% (42) 5% (16) 4% (14) 3% (9) 3% (9) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 33% (62) 10% (19) 15% (29) 20% (37) 2% (4) 9% (17) 5% (10) 6% (11) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 18%(154) 6% (50) 28%(237) 20%(166) 5% (40) 7% (63) 9% (79) 7% (61) 850


24



Demographic




terrorism,foreign



challenges




pay




loans



Registered Voters 25%(489) 18%(356) 19%(387) 17%(339) 4% (75) 6% (116) 6% (113) 6% (118) 1992#1 Issue: Economy 100%(489) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 489#1 Issue: Security — (0) 100%(356) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 356#1 Issue: Health Care — (0) — (0) 100%(387) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security — (0) — (0) — (0) 100%(339) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (75) — (0) — (0) — (0) 75#1 Issue: Education — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (116) — (0) — (0) 116#1 Issue: Energy — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (113) — (0) 113#1 Issue: Other — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (118) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 19% (151) 7% (58) 29%(232) 20%(163) 4% (31) 6% (51) 8% (64) 7% (58) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 28%(193) 33%(222) 11% (73) 16%(109) 3% (17) 3% (23) 2% (14) 4% (28) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 30% (23) 18% (14) 8% (6) 13% (10) 9% (7) 4% (3) 10% (8) 9% (7) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 19%(139) 7% (52) 27%(194) 22%(154) 3% (24) 7% (49) 8% (57) 7% (48) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 28%(199) 31%(224) 12% (84) 17%(120) 3% (19) 3% (22) 3% (20) 4% (30) 7182016 Vote: Other 31% (47) 19% (28) 16% (24) 11% (16) 4% (6) 4% (7) 6% (9) 10% (15) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 26%(102) 13% (52) 21% (83) 12% (46) 6% (26) 10% (39) 7% (26) 6% (25) 400Voted in 2014: Yes 24%(335) 19%(255) 19%(259) 19%(267) 3% (40) 4% (58) 5% (74) 6% (84) 1372Voted in 2014: No 25%(154) 16% (101) 21%(128) 12% (71) 6% (35) 9% (58) 6% (38) 6% (34) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 21%(178) 9% (73) 27%(224) 20%(168) 3% (26) 6% (48) 7% (62) 6% (53) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 28%(157) 32%(179) 11% (63) 17% (97) 2% (14) 2% (12) 1% (8) 5% (27) 5572012 Vote: Other 34% (26) 24% (19) 8% (7) 13% (10) 2% (1) 6% (5) 5% (4) 8% (6) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 24%(125) 16% (84) 18% (93) 11% (57) 7% (35) 10% (52) 7% (38) 6% (30) 514



25

Table P3


Demographic




terrorism,foreign



challenges




pay




loans



Registered Voters 25%(489) 18%(356) 19%(387) 17%(339) 4% (75) 6% (116) 6% (113) 6% (118) 19924-Region: Northeast 26% (91) 19% (67) 18% (63) 19% (66) 3% (10) 5% (18) 5% (19) 6% (20) 3554-Region: Midwest 22% (99) 17% (77) 18% (84) 19% (87) 6% (27) 6% (27) 7% (30) 6% (27) 4584-Region: South 25%(184) 19%(144) 21%(155) 17%(126) 4% (28) 5% (37) 4% (30) 5% (40) 7444-Region: West 26% (115) 16% (68) 20% (85) 14% (60) 2% (10) 8% (33) 8% (34) 7% (31) 435Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 20%(186) 7% (63) 27%(252) 18%(168) 5% (44) 7% (67) 8% (76) 7% (67) 922Party: Republican/Leans Republican 28%(230) 32%(255) 11% (90) 16%(133) 2% (20) 4% (33) 2% (18) 4% (30) 810Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 21%(188) 8% (70) 27%(247) 19%(170) 4% (39) 7% (65) 8% (72) 6% (57) 908Vote in Republican primary or caucus 27%(185) 33%(223) 11% (73) 16% (111) 3% (18) 4% (24) 3% (21) 4% (26) 681Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 33% (27) 22% (18) 23% (19) 14% (11) 1% (1) 3% (3) 4% (4) — (0) 83Don’t know / No opinion 28% (45) 10% (16) 15% (24) 14% (22) 8% (12) 8% (13) 5% (9) 11% (17) 158Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


26

Morning ConsultTable POL1

Table POL1: How likely is it that you will vote in the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state?

DemographicAbsolutely

certain to vote Very likely About 50-50 Not too likely Not likely at all Total N

Registered Voters 69% (1384) 13% (262) 9% (184) 4% (71) 5% (91) 1992Gender: Male 67% (625) 14% (132) 9% (83) 4% (42) 5% (51) 932Gender: Female 72% (759) 12% (130) 10% (101) 3% (29) 4% (41) 1060Age: 18-29 55% (184) 19% (65) 14% (48) 5% (17) 6% (18) 332Age: 30-44 63% (299) 15% (69) 13% (60) 3% (13) 6% (30) 471Age: 45-54 68% (218) 15% (49) 8% (27) 3% (10) 5% (16) 319Age: 55-64 77% (311) 10% (40) 7% (29) 3% (14) 3% (12) 406Age: 65+ 80% (372) 9% (40) 4% (20) 4% (17) 3% (14) 463Generation Z: 18-22 52% (69) 19% (25) 12% (16) 7% (9) 10% (14) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 61% (295) 17% (81) 13% (65) 4% (19) 5% (24) 484Generation X: Age 39-54 66% (336) 15% (76) 11% (53) 3% (13) 5% (28) 506Boomers: Age 55-73 78% (586) 9% (69) 6% (46) 4% (27) 3% (25) 753PID: Dem (no lean) 76% (582) 12% (93) 8% (60) 2% (16) 2% (13) 764PID: Ind (no lean) 52% (287) 17% (91) 15% (82) 7% (38) 9% (51) 549PID: Rep (no lean) 76% (515) 11% (78) 6% (42) 2% (17) 4% (28) 679PID/Gender: DemMen 76% (236) 11% (34) 8% (24) 4% (11) 1% (3) 309PID/Gender: DemWomen 76% (345) 13% (59) 8% (36) 1% (4) 2% (9) 454PID/Gender: Ind Men 50% (146) 18% (54) 14% (41) 7% (22) 10% (30) 293PID/Gender: Ind Women 55% (141) 14% (37) 16% (41) 6% (17) 8% (21) 256PID/Gender: Rep Men 73% (243) 13% (44) 5% (17) 3% (9) 5% (18) 330PID/Gender: Rep Women 78% (272) 10% (34) 7% (24) 2% (8) 3% (10) 349Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 76% (427) 13% (72) 6% (35) 2% (13) 3% (15) 562Ideo: Moderate (4) 66% (342) 16% (82) 10% (54) 3% (16) 4% (21) 516Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 75% (553) 11% (78) 8% (56) 3% (23) 4% (28) 738Educ: < College 66% (827) 14% (171) 12% (147) 4% (51) 5% (57) 1253Educ: Bachelors degree 73% (342) 14% (64) 6% (29) 3% (15) 5% (21) 471Educ: Post-grad 80% (214) 10% (27) 3% (8) 2% (5) 5% (13) 268Income: Under 50k 64% (662) 16% (161) 12% (124) 4% (44) 4% (43) 1033Income: 50k-100k 73% (484) 11% (75) 7% (47) 3% (19) 5% (34) 660Income: 100k+ 80% (238) 9% (26) 4% (13) 2% (7) 5% (14) 298Ethnicity: White 71% (1150) 12% (198) 8% (128) 4% (62) 5% (73) 1611Ethnicity: Hispanic 67% (130) 14% (27) 11% (21) 3% (5) 5% (10) 193



27

Table POL1




Registered Voters 69% (1384) 13% (262) 9% (184) 4% (71) 5% (91) 1992Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 62% (157) 14% (36) 16% (40) 3% (7) 5% (13) 253Ethnicity: Other 60% (77) 22% (28) 12% (15) 2% (2) 5% (6) 128All Christian 76% (742) 11% (111) 6% (62) 3% (26) 3% (33) 975All Non-Christian 74% (69) 11% (10) 5% (5) 5% (5) 5% (5) 94Atheist 63% (57) 24% (21) 5% (4) 3% (3) 5% (4) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 62% (516) 14% (120) 13% (112) 5% (38) 6% (49) 834Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 76% (87) 11% (13) 5% (5) 4% (5) 4% (5) 114Evangelical 72% (407) 14% (80) 9% (49) 2% (11) 3% (17) 566Non-Evangelical 74% (542) 12% (85) 7% (53) 4% (28) 4% (28) 736Community: Urban 71% (324) 12% (53) 10% (45) 3% (14) 5% (21) 457Community: Suburban 71% (693) 13% (132) 8% (81) 3% (34) 4% (43) 983Community: Rural 66% (367) 14% (77) 10% (58) 4% (22) 5% (27) 551Employ: Private Sector 73% (521) 13% (95) 8% (58) 2% (15) 4% (29) 718Employ: Government 77% (94) 8% (10) 9% (11) 2% (2) 4% (5) 122Employ: Self-Employed 68% (101) 18% (26) 9% (13) 2% (3) 3% (4) 148Employ: Homemaker 63% (81) 18% (23) 8% (10) 3% (4) 8% (10) 129Employ: Retired 77% (374) 10% (48) 7% (35) 3% (16) 3% (13) 486Employ: Unemployed 49% (85) 15% (26) 21% (37) 5% (9) 10% (17) 174Employ: Other 60% (76) 12% (16) 11% (14) 9% (12) 7% (10) 128Military HH: Yes 73% (266) 12% (44) 7% (24) 4% (16) 4% (15) 364Military HH: No 69% (1118) 13% (218) 10% (160) 3% (55) 5% (76) 1628RD/WT: Right Direction 73% (617) 12% (99) 8% (70) 3% (29) 4% (34) 850RD/WT: Wrong Track 67% (767) 14% (163) 10% (114) 4% (41) 5% (57) 1142Trump Job Approve 73% (636) 13% (111) 8% (72) 3% (29) 3% (28) 877Trump Job Disapprove 70% (735) 14% (142) 9% (97) 3% (28) 4% (47) 1049Trump Job Strongly Approve 80% (421) 9% (45) 5% (28) 3% (13) 3% (16) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 61% (216) 19% (66) 13% (45) 4% (16) 4% (13) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 55% (131) 19% (45) 15% (35) 4% (11) 7% (16) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 74% (603) 12% (97) 8% (62) 2% (18) 4% (31) 811Favorable of Trump 74% (646) 12% (106) 7% (59) 3% (26) 4% (30) 867Unfavorable of Trump 69% (716) 14% (146) 9% (95) 3% (36) 5% (47) 1039


28





Registered Voters 69% (1384) 13% (262) 9% (184) 4% (71) 5% (91) 1992Very Favorable of Trump 80% (432) 9% (51) 5% (26) 2% (13) 3% (17) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 65% (213) 17% (55) 10% (34) 4% (13) 4% (13) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 50% (95) 22% (41) 13% (25) 7% (13) 8% (15) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 73% (622) 12% (105) 8% (70) 3% (22) 4% (32) 850#1 Issue: Economy 67% (327) 17% (81) 8% (37) 4% (18) 5% (26) 489#1 Issue: Security 73% (261) 10% (35) 9% (33) 4% (13) 4% (15) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 69% (268) 14% (55) 10% (40) 3% (11) 3% (13) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 74% (249) 11% (38) 8% (27) 3% (11) 4% (13) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 70% (53) 11% (8) 11% (9) 4% (3) 3% (2) 75#1 Issue: Education 66% (77) 13% (15) 11% (12) 4% (5) 6% (7) 116#1 Issue: Energy 68% (77) 12% (14) 12% (14) 3% (3) 4% (5) 113#1 Issue: Other 60% (71) 14% (16) 11% (13) 6% (8) 8% (10) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 80% (645) 12% (96) 4% (33) 2% (12) 3% (24) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 81% (552) 9% (58) 5% (32) 2% (12) 3% (23) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 50% (39) 17% (13) 22% (17) 10% (8) 1% (1) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 80% (572) 11% (78) 5% (38) 1% (11) 2% (17) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 79% (567) 10% (75) 5% (39) 2% (12) 4% (26) 7182016 Vote: Other 64% (98) 12% (18) 12% (19) 5% (8) 7% (11) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 37% (146) 23% (90) 22% (86) 10% (40) 9% (37) 400Voted in 2014: Yes 80% (1104) 9% (128) 5% (72) 2% (27) 3% (41) 1372Voted in 2014: No 45% (280) 22% (134) 18% (111) 7% (44) 8% (51) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 77% (643) 11% (92) 7% (57) 2% (17) 3% (22) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 80% (444) 8% (46) 5% (27) 3% (15) 4% (25) 5572012 Vote: Other 69% (53) 14% (11) 9% (7) 5% (4) 3% (2) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 46% (238) 21% (109) 17% (90) 7% (35) 8% (42) 5144-Region: Northeast 69% (246) 14% (51) 8% (29) 4% (16) 4% (14) 3554-Region: Midwest 66% (303) 14% (64) 11% (49) 5% (21) 5% (21) 4584-Region: South 69% (515) 13% (99) 9% (69) 3% (21) 5% (41) 7444-Region: West 74% (321) 11% (48) 9% (38) 3% (13) 4% (16) 435Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 74% (679) 13% (119) 8% (71) 3% (23) 3% (30) 922Party: Republican/Leans Republican 74% (603) 12% (97) 7% (56) 3% (22) 4% (31) 810



29

Table POL1




Registered Voters 69% (1384) 13% (262) 9% (184) 4% (71) 5% (91) 1992Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 80% (725) 13% (122) 7% (61) — (0) — (0) 908Vote in Republican primary or caucus 81% (551) 13% (87) 6% (43) — (0) — (0) 681Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 50% (41) 19% (16) 31% (25) — (0) — (0) 83Don’t know / No opinion 42% (66) 24% (37) 35% (55) — (0) — (0) 158Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


30


Table POL2: Now, thinking about the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state, would you vote in the Democratic primary or caucus, theRepublican primary or caucus, or are you not likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all?

Demographic

Vote inDemocratic

primary or caucusVote in Republicanprimary or caucus

Not likely to votein primary or

caucusDon’t know / No

opinion Total N

Registered Voters 50% (908) 37% (681) 5% (83) 9% (158) 1830Gender: Male 47% (396) 41% (342) 5% (44) 7% (58) 840Gender: Female 52% (512) 34% (339) 4% (38) 10% (100) 990Age: 18-29 56% (167) 24% (71) 5% (16) 14% (42) 296Age: 30-44 57% (245) 29% (126) 5% (22) 8% (35) 428Age: 45-54 43% (125) 44% (129) 5% (14) 9% (25) 293Age: 55-64 42% (160) 45% (172) 5% (17) 8% (30) 380Age: 65+ 49% (211) 42% (182) 3% (14) 6% (26) 432Generation Z: 18-22 50% (55) 24% (27) 5% (5) 22% (24) 111Millennial: Age 23-38 59% (260) 27% (119) 5% (20) 10% (42) 441Generation X: Age 39-54 48% (222) 39% (181) 6% (26) 8% (37) 466Boomers: Age 55-73 46% (324) 43% (303) 4% (27) 7% (48) 702PID: Dem (no lean) 93% (687) 2% (16) 1% (7) 3% (25) 735PID: Ind (no lean) 44% (201) 20% (93) 11% (51) 25% (115) 460PID: Rep (no lean) 3% (20) 90% (572) 4% (24) 3% (18) 634PID/Gender: DemMen 95% (280) 2% (5) — (1) 3% (9) 295PID/Gender: DemWomen 92% (407) 2% (11) 1% (6) 4% (16) 441PID/Gender: Ind Men 43% (103) 26% (63) 12% (29) 19% (47) 242PID/Gender: Ind Women 45% (98) 14% (30) 10% (23) 31% (68) 219PID/Gender: Rep Men 4% (13) 90% (274) 5% (15) 1% (2) 303PID/Gender: Rep Women 2% (7) 90% (298) 3% (10) 5% (16) 331Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 88% (472) 6% (32) 3% (17) 2% (13) 534Ideo: Moderate (4) 60% (286) 22% (106) 6% (27) 12% (59) 478Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 17% (115) 75% (513) 4% (29) 4% (31) 687Educ: < College 46% (524) 39% (450) 4% (49) 11% (123) 1145Educ: Bachelors degree 54% (237) 36% (156) 5% (21) 5% (20) 434Educ: Post-grad 59% (148) 30% (75) 5% (12) 6% (15) 250Income: Under 50k 51% (478) 36% (338) 3% (28) 11% (101) 946Income: 50k-100k 48% (292) 39% (236) 6% (39) 6% (39) 606Income: 100k+ 50% (138) 38% (106) 6% (16) 6% (17) 277



31

Table POL2


Demographic

Vote inDemocratic




opinion Total N

Registered Voters 50% (908) 37% (681) 5% (83) 9% (158) 1830Ethnicity: White 44% (652) 43% (637) 5% (73) 8% (115) 1476Ethnicity: Hispanic 58% (103) 28% (49) 6% (10) 9% (16) 178Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 78% (183) 8% (18) 2% (5) 12% (28) 233Ethnicity: Other 61% (74) 22% (26) 4% (5) 13% (16) 120All Christian 44% (404) 46% (416) 5% (43) 6% (51) 915All Non-Christian 71% (60) 21% (18) 3% (3) 5% (4) 85Atheist 74% (61) 11% (9) 4% (3) 11% (9) 82Agnostic/Nothing in particular 51% (382) 32% (237) 5% (34) 13% (94) 747Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 63% (66) 31% (33) 2% (3) 4% (4) 105Evangelical 36% (193) 53% (283) 3% (18) 8% (43) 537Non-Evangelical 52% (351) 36% (247) 5% (32) 8% (51) 680Community: Urban 61% (258) 27% (114) 4% (17) 8% (33) 422Community: Suburban 49% (448) 37% (339) 5% (47) 8% (73) 906Community: Rural 40% (202) 45% (228) 4% (19) 10% (53) 502Employ: Private Sector 53% (356) 36% (244) 5% (36) 6% (40) 675Employ: Government 57% (65) 30% (34) 5% (6) 8% (10) 114Employ: Self-Employed 53% (74) 39% (54) 4% (6) 5% (6) 141Employ: Homemaker 40% (46) 42% (48) 6% (7) 13% (14) 115Employ: Retired 44% (202) 44% (201) 4% (18) 8% (35) 456Employ: Unemployed 46% (67) 36% (53) 3% (5) 16% (23) 148Employ: Other 51% (55) 29% (31) 4% (4) 16% (17) 106Military HH: Yes 46% (154) 41% (138) 5% (15) 8% (26) 333Military HH: No 50% (754) 36% (543) 5% (68) 9% (132) 1496RD/WT: Right Direction 16% (126) 72% (563) 4% (33) 8% (64) 786RD/WT: Wrong Track 75% (782) 11% (118) 5% (50) 9% (94) 1043Trump Job Approve 12% (101) 75% (613) 5% (40) 8% (66) 820Trump Job Disapprove 82% (799) 6% (63) 4% (39) 7% (73) 974


32



Demographic

Vote inDemocratic




opinion Total N

Registered Voters 50% (908) 37% (681) 5% (83) 9% (158) 1830Trump Job Strongly Approve 9% (43) 85% (422) 3% (14) 3% (15) 494Trump Job Somewhat Approve 18% (58) 59% (191) 8% (26) 16% (51) 326Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 65% (137) 13% (27) 8% (17) 15% (31) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 87% (663) 5% (36) 3% (22) 6% (42) 762Favorable of Trump 12% (99) 76% (618) 5% (38) 7% (56) 811Unfavorable of Trump 83% (791) 6% (58) 4% (40) 7% (67) 957Very Favorable of Trump 7% (37) 86% (438) 3% (16) 4% (18) 509Somewhat Favorable of Trump 21% (62) 60% (180) 7% (22) 13% (38) 302Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 59% (94) 19% (31) 7% (12) 15% (24) 161Very Unfavorable of Trump 88% (697) 3% (27) 4% (28) 5% (43) 796#1 Issue: Economy 42% (188) 41% (185) 6% (27) 10% (45) 445#1 Issue: Security 21% (70) 68% (223) 6% (18) 5% (16) 328#1 Issue: Health Care 68% (247) 20% (73) 5% (19) 7% (24) 363#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 54% (170) 35% (111) 4% (11) 7% (22) 314#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 56% (39) 26% (18) 1% (1) 17% (12) 70#1 Issue: Education 62% (65) 23% (24) 2% (3) 12% (13) 104#1 Issue: Energy 69% (72) 20% (21) 3% (4) 8% (9) 105#1 Issue: Other 57% (57) 26% (26) — (0) 17% (17) 1012018 House Vote: Democrat 89% (691) 5% (37) 2% (17) 4% (29) 7742018 House Vote: Republican 7% (47) 84% (538) 5% (29) 4% (29) 6432018 House Vote: Someone else 24% (17) 6% (4) 6% (4) 63% (44) 692016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 90% (620) 3% (22) 3% (21) 3% (24) 6882016 Vote: Donald Trump 10% (67) 80% (542) 4% (30) 6% (42) 6802016 Vote: Other 51% (69) 20% (27) 7% (9) 23% (30) 1352016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 47% (151) 27% (87) 7% (23) 19% (62) 322Voted in 2014: Yes 50% (655) 40% (520) 4% (47) 6% (83) 1305Voted in 2014: No 48% (254) 31% (160) 7% (36) 14% (75) 525



33

Table POL2


Demographic

Vote inDemocratic




opinion Total N

Registered Voters 50% (908) 37% (681) 5% (83) 9% (158) 18302012 Vote: Barack Obama 80% (631) 11% (88) 3% (24) 6% (49) 7922012 Vote: Mitt Romney 11% (58) 77% (400) 6% (32) 5% (27) 5172012 Vote: Other 19% (13) 60% (43) 5% (3) 17% (12) 712012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 46% (202) 33% (145) 5% (23) 15% (67) 4364-Region: Northeast 50% (162) 36% (118) 5% (17) 9% (30) 3264-Region: Midwest 50% (206) 37% (152) 4% (17) 10% (40) 4164-Region: South 48% (326) 41% (282) 4% (27) 7% (48) 6824-Region: West 53% (214) 32% (129) 5% (22) 10% (40) 406Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 92% (800) 2% (20) 2% (13) 4% (36) 869Party: Republican/Leans Republican 6% (43) 85% (640) 5% (39) 5% (34) 756Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 100% (908) — (0) — (0) — (0) 908Vote in Republican primary or caucus — (0) 100% (681) — (0) — (0) 681Not likely to vote in primary or caucus — (0) — (0) 100% (83) — (0) 83Don’t know / No opinion — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (158) 158Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


34


Table POL3: Do you think the Republican party should nominate Donald Trump as the party’s candidate for president in 2020, or do you think theRepublican party should nominate a different candidate for president in 2020?

Demographic

StronglysupportTrump’s

nomination

SomewhatsupportTrump’s

nomination

Somewhatsupport adifferentcandidate’snomination

Stronglysupport adifferentcandidate’snomination

Don’t know /No opinion Total N

Registered Voters 79% (539) 13% (90) 3% (23) 3% (23) 1% (6) 681Gender: Male 79% (271) 13% (45) 4% (12) 4% (13) — (1) 342Gender: Female 79% (268) 13% (45) 3% (11) 3% (10) 2% (6) 339Age: 18-29 64% (46) 23% (16) 2% (1) 9% (6) 3% (2) 71Age: 30-44 72% (90) 21% (26) 6% (7) 1% (1) 1% (1) 126Age: 45-54 79% (103) 18% (23) 1% (1) 2% (3) — (0) 129Age: 55-64 85% (146) 8% (14) 5% (9) 2% (3) — (0) 172Age: 65+ 85% (154) 6% (10) 3% (5) 5% (10) 1% (3) 182Millennial: Age 23-38 69% (83) 23% (28) 5% (5) 2% (3) — (1) 119Generation X: Age 39-54 79% (142) 17% (31) 2% (3) 2% (3) 1% (1) 181Boomers: Age 55-73 85% (258) 7% (21) 4% (12) 4% (12) — (0) 303PID: Ind (no lean) 68% (63) 18% (17) 8% (7) 4% (4) 2% (1) 93PID: Rep (no lean) 82% (469) 12% (67) 3% (16) 3% (15) 1% (5) 572PID/Gender: Ind Men 70% (44) 16% (10) 8% (5) 5% (3) 1% (1) 63PID/Gender: Rep Men 82% (223) 12% (33) 3% (7) 4% (10) — (0) 274PID/Gender: Rep Women 82% (246) 11% (33) 3% (9) 2% (6) 2% (5) 298Ideo: Moderate (4) 68% (72) 20% (21) 4% (4) 7% (7) 1% (1) 106Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 82% (422) 11% (57) 3% (16) 3% (13) 1% (4) 513Educ: < College 84% (376) 11% (47) 2% (10) 3% (11) 1% (5) 450Educ: Bachelors degree 72% (112) 18% (28) 5% (8) 5% (8) 1% (1) 156Educ: Post-grad 67% (50) 20% (15) 9% (6) 4% (3) — (0) 75Income: Under 50k 78% (265) 14% (48) 3% (9) 3% (12) 1% (5) 338Income: 50k-100k 82% (194) 11% (27) 4% (9) 3% (6) — (1) 236Income: 100k+ 75% (80) 14% (15) 5% (6) 5% (5) 1% (1) 106Ethnicity: White 80% (510) 13% (83) 3% (21) 3% (16) 1% (6) 637All Christian 80% (331) 13% (55) 3% (14) 3% (12) 1% (4) 416Agnostic/Nothing in particular 80% (189) 13% (30) 4% (9) 3% (8) 1% (2) 237



35

Table POL3


Demographic


nomination


nomination




Registered Voters 79% (539) 13% (90) 3% (23) 3% (23) 1% (6) 681Evangelical 83% (234) 9% (25) 3% (9) 4% (10) 1% (4) 283Non-Evangelical 79% (194) 16% (40) 2% (6) 2% (6) 1% (1) 247Community: Urban 73% (84) 18% (21) 6% (7) 2% (3) 1% (1) 114Community: Suburban 79% (266) 13% (43) 4% (15) 4% (14) — (1) 339Community: Rural 83% (189) 12% (27) 1% (2) 3% (6) 2% (4) 228Employ: Private Sector 74% (180) 18% (45) 4% (10) 4% (9) — (1) 244Employ: Self-Employed 89% (49) 8% (4) 1% (1) 1% (1) — (0) 54Employ: Retired 87% (176) 5% (10) 3% (7) 3% (6) 1% (3) 201Employ: Unemployed 79% (42) 10% (5) 7% (3) 4% (2) 1% (1) 53Military HH: Yes 85% (117) 7% (10) 3% (4) 5% (6) 1% (1) 138Military HH: No 78% (422) 15% (80) 4% (20) 3% (16) 1% (5) 543RD/WT: Right Direction 88% (495) 10% (56) 1% (8) — (2) 1% (3) 563RD/WT: Wrong Track 37% (44) 29% (34) 13% (16) 18% (21) 3% (3) 118Trump Job Approve 85% (523) 13% (81) 1% (6) — (0) 1% (3) 613Trump Job Disapprove 24% (15) 13% (8) 24% (15) 36% (23) 4% (2) 63Trump Job Strongly Approve 98% (413) 2% (8) — (1) — (0) — (0) 422Trump Job Somewhat Approve 57% (110) 38% (73) 3% (5) — (0) 2% (3) 191Favorable of Trump 86% (534) 13% (78) 1% (4) — (1) — (1) 618Unfavorable of Trump 8% (5) 19% (11) 31% (18) 37% (21) 5% (3) 58Very Favorable of Trump 98% (430) 2% (7) — (0) — (1) — (1) 438Somewhat Favorable of Trump 58% (104) 40% (71) 2% (4) — (0) 1% (1) 180


36



Demographic


nomination


nomination




Registered Voters 79% (539) 13% (90) 3% (23) 3% (23) 1% (6) 681#1 Issue: Economy 82% (152) 15% (27) 2% (4) 1% (2) — (1) 185#1 Issue: Security 88% (197) 7% (15) 2% (3) 2% (4) 1% (3) 223#1 Issue: Health Care 59% (43) 28% (21) 5% (3) 7% (5) 1% (1) 73#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 78% (87) 11% (12) 7% (7) 3% (3) 1% (1) 1112018 House Vote: Republican 83% (444) 11% (58) 3% (16) 3% (15) 1% (5) 5382016 Vote: Donald Trump 85% (458) 11% (61) 2% (12) 1% (7) 1% (3) 5422016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 68% (59) 26% (22) 4% (4) 1% (1) 1% (1) 87Voted in 2014: Yes 79% (413) 12% (64) 4% (20) 4% (19) 1% (4) 520Voted in 2014: No 78% (125) 16% (26) 2% (4) 2% (4) 1% (2) 1602012 Vote: Barack Obama 61% (53) 21% (18) 9% (8) 8% (7) 2% (2) 882012 Vote: Mitt Romney 83% (332) 10% (42) 3% (11) 3% (11) 1% (3) 4002012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 78% (113) 17% (25) 2% (3) 3% (4) 1% (1) 1454-Region: Northeast 74% (87) 17% (20) 5% (6) 4% (4) — (0) 1184-Region: Midwest 77% (117) 12% (19) 3% (5) 6% (9) 2% (3) 1524-Region: South 83% (233) 9% (27) 4% (10) 3% (9) 1% (3) 2824-Region: West 79% (102) 19% (25) 2% (3) — (0) — (0) 129Party: Republican/Leans Republican 81% (521) 12% (78) 3% (19) 3% (17) 1% (6) 640Vote in Republican primary or caucus 79% (539) 13% (90) 3% (23) 3% (23) 1% (6) 681Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



37

Table POL4

Table POL4: If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you de nitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect DonaldTrump, probably vote for someone else or de nitely vote for someone else?

Demographic

De nitelyvote tore-electDonaldTrump

Probablyvote tore-electDonaldTrump

Probablyvote for

someone else

De nitelyvote for

someone elseWould not

voteDon’t know /No opinion Total N

Registered Voters 33% (666) 7% (146) 6% (115) 45% (895) 3% (52) 6% (118) 1992Gender: Male 37% (349) 8% (77) 6% (56) 40% (374) 3% (25) 5% (50) 932Gender: Female 30% (316) 7% (70) 6% (59) 49% (521) 2% (26) 6% (68) 1060Age: 18-29 20% (67) 7% (24) 7% (24) 51% (169) 4% (13) 10% (34) 332Age: 30-44 25% (117) 9% (41) 9% (41) 49% (230) 2% (11) 7% (31) 471Age: 45-54 38% (123) 10% (32) 2% (5) 41% (130) 3% (11) 6% (19) 319Age: 55-64 44% (181) 6% (26) 6% (24) 39% (159) 1% (4) 3% (13) 406Age: 65+ 38% (178) 5% (24) 4% (21) 45% (207) 3% (14) 4% (21) 463Generation Z: 18-22 16% (21) 7% (9) 9% (12) 49% (65) 3% (4) 16% (21) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 23% (113) 8% (41) 8% (37) 50% (243) 3% (15) 7% (35) 484Generation X: Age 39-54 34% (173) 9% (47) 4% (22) 44% (221) 3% (15) 6% (29) 506Boomers: Age 55-73 41% (309) 5% (41) 5% (41) 42% (319) 2% (16) 4% (28) 753PID: Dem (no lean) 4% (30) 1% (8) 6% (46) 83% (633) 2% (17) 4% (30) 764PID: Ind (no lean) 22% (119) 10% (55) 9% (48) 43% (236) 4% (24) 12% (67) 549PID: Rep (no lean) 76% (517) 12% (83) 3% (21) 4% (27) 2% (12) 3% (20) 679PID/Gender: DemMen 4% (13) 2% (6) 7% (22) 81% (250) 2% (6) 4% (13) 309PID/Gender: DemWomen 4% (17) — (2) 5% (25) 84% (383) 2% (10) 4% (17) 454PID/Gender: Ind Men 27% (79) 10% (29) 9% (27) 39% (114) 4% (13) 11% (31) 293PID/Gender: Ind Women 16% (40) 10% (26) 8% (21) 48% (122) 4% (11) 14% (36) 256PID/Gender: Rep Men 78% (257) 13% (42) 2% (8) 3% (11) 2% (7) 2% (6) 330PID/Gender: Rep Women 74% (260) 12% (42) 4% (13) 4% (16) 1% (5) 4% (14) 349Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 6% (35) 2% (11) 4% (25) 84% (471) 2% (12) 1% (7) 562Ideo: Moderate (4) 20% (101) 9% (46) 10% (51) 53% (272) 3% (13) 6% (32) 516Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 67% (495) 11% (81) 5% (34) 13% (96) 2% (13) 3% (19) 738Educ: < College 37% (458) 6% (73) 5% (63) 42% (525) 4% (45) 7% (89) 1253Educ: Bachelors degree 29% (137) 9% (40) 7% (31) 52% (243) 1% (5) 3% (15) 471Educ: Post-grad 26% (70) 12% (33) 8% (21) 47% (127) 1% (2) 5% (14) 268


38



Demographic



Probablyvote for

someone else

De nitelyvote for



Registered Voters 33% (666) 7% (146) 6% (115) 45% (895) 3% (52) 6% (118) 1992Income: Under 50k 32% (332) 7% (70) 4% (45) 46% (477) 4% (37) 7% (72) 1033Income: 50k-100k 35% (229) 7% (49) 7% (46) 44% (288) 2% (11) 6% (37) 660Income: 100k+ 35% (105) 9% (27) 8% (24) 44% (130) 1% (4) 3% (9) 298Ethnicity: White 39% (624) 8% (134) 6% (93) 41% (656) 2% (33) 4% (71) 1611Ethnicity: Hispanic 26% (51) 6% (12) 8% (15) 50% (97) 5% (10) 5% (9) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 9% (22) 1% (2) 3% (9) 68% (171) 6% (15) 14% (34) 253Ethnicity: Other 16% (20) 8% (10) 10% (13) 54% (69) 2% (3) 10% (13) 128All Christian 42% (407) 9% (90) 6% (58) 37% (365) 2% (16) 4% (39) 975All Non-Christian 16% (15) 10% (9) 4% (4) 66% (62) — (0) 4% (4) 94Atheist 8% (7) 3% (3) 5% (4) 77% (69) 2% (2) 5% (5) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 28% (236) 5% (45) 6% (48) 48% (400) 4% (34) 8% (70) 834Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 22% (26) 11% (13) 7% (8) 55% (63) — (0) 4% (5) 114Evangelical 49% (277) 8% (43) 5% (26) 31% (174) 2% (12) 6% (34) 566Non-Evangelical 33% (241) 9% (68) 6% (41) 46% (340) 2% (14) 4% (33) 736Community: Urban 24% (111) 6% (27) 7% (30) 55% (251) 3% (14) 5% (25) 457Community: Suburban 33% (326) 7% (73) 6% (59) 45% (447) 2% (23) 6% (56) 983Community: Rural 41% (229) 9% (47) 5% (26) 36% (198) 3% (15) 7% (37) 551Employ: Private Sector 32% (229) 8% (59) 6% (42) 47% (337) 2% (13) 5% (38) 718Employ: Government 31% (37) 11% (14) 6% (7) 47% (57) — (1) 5% (6) 122Employ: Self-Employed 40% (60) 6% (9) 6% (9) 44% (66) 2% (3) 2% (2) 148Employ: Homemaker 38% (49) 10% (13) 4% (6) 40% (52) 1% (2) 7% (8) 129Employ: Retired 42% (204) 5% (22) 4% (20) 42% (205) 2% (11) 5% (23) 486Employ: Unemployed 29% (50) 6% (10) 6% (11) 39% (67) 9% (15) 12% (21) 174Employ: Other 24% (30) 8% (10) 6% (8) 50% (64) 4% (5) 8% (11) 128Military HH: Yes 39% (141) 9% (32) 6% (22) 39% (143) 2% (6) 6% (22) 364Military HH: No 32% (525) 7% (115) 6% (93) 46% (753) 3% (46) 6% (96) 1628



39

Table POL4


Demographic



Probablyvote for

someone else

De nitelyvote for



Registered Voters 33% (666) 7% (146) 6% (115) 45% (895) 3% (52) 6% (118) 1992RD/WT: Right Direction 70% (598) 11% (93) 5% (39) 7% (59) 2% (14) 6% (48) 850RD/WT: Wrong Track 6% (67) 5% (54) 7% (76) 73% (836) 3% (38) 6% (70) 1142Trump Job Approve 73% (638) 15% (129) 4% (34) 3% (23) 1% (10) 5% (44) 877Trump Job Disapprove 3% (27) 1% (14) 7% (76) 82% (859) 3% (36) 4% (38) 1049Trump Job Strongly Approve 92% (483) 4% (19) 1% (5) 1% (5) 1% (4) 1% (6) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 44% (155) 31% (109) 8% (29) 5% (18) 2% (6) 11% (38) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 4% (9) 5% (12) 24% (57) 51% (122) 5% (13) 10% (25) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 2% (18) — (2) 2% (18) 91% (737) 3% (23) 2% (13) 811Favorable of Trump 76% (655) 14% (123) 4% (36) 2% (13) 1% (10) 3% (30) 867Unfavorable of Trump 1% (10) 2% (21) 7% (75) 83% (862) 3% (34) 4% (37) 1039Very Favorable of Trump 93% (503) 4% (20) 1% (4) — (2) 1% (3) 1% (8) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 46% (152) 31% (103) 10% (32) 3% (11) 2% (7) 7% (22) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 2% (4) 10% (18) 26% (49) 43% (82) 4% (7) 16% (30) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 1% (6) — (3) 3% (26) 92% (780) 3% (28) 1% (7) 850#1 Issue: Economy 40% (196) 10% (48) 6% (31) 36% (177) 2% (9) 6% (29) 489#1 Issue: Security 65% (231) 10% (37) 4% (14) 15% (52) 2% (7) 4% (14) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 14% (56) 7% (28) 8% (32) 64% (248) 2% (8) 4% (15) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 32% (107) 4% (13) 5% (18) 51% (172) 4% (12) 5% (16) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 20% (15) 11% (8) 6% (5) 52% (39) 5% (3) 6% (5) 75#1 Issue: Education 19% (22) 3% (4) 9% (10) 56% (65) 3% (3) 10% (12) 116#1 Issue: Energy 10% (12) 6% (7) 3% (3) 72% (81) 2% (2) 6% (7) 113#1 Issue: Other 23% (27) 2% (2) 2% (3) 51% (60) 6% (7) 17% (20) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 5% (43) 2% (18) 7% (58) 81% (653) 1% (11) 3% (27) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 75% (507) 13% (87) 4% (25) 5% (35) 1% (7) 2% (17) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 17% (13) 9% (7) 6% (5) 40% (31) 4% (3) 24% (19) 78


40



Demographic



Probablyvote for

someone else

De nitelyvote for



Registered Voters 33% (666) 7% (146) 6% (115) 45% (895) 3% (52) 6% (118) 19922016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 3% (21) 1% (10) 7% (49) 84% (605) 2% (13) 3% (18) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 76% (543) 13% (91) 3% (23) 5% (36) 1% (6) 3% (20) 7182016 Vote: Other 11% (17) 11% (17) 9% (14) 51% (79) 3% (5) 13% (20) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 20% (82) 7% (29) 7% (29) 44% (175) 7% (27) 15% (59) 400Voted in 2014: Yes 37% (502) 8% (105) 5% (72) 46% (627) 1% (18) 3% (47) 1372Voted in 2014: No 26% (163) 7% (42) 7% (43) 43% (268) 5% (33) 11% (70) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 10% (85) 4% (36) 6% (52) 74% (617) 1% (11) 4% (31) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 72% (399) 11% (60) 4% (20) 9% (52) 1% (8) 3% (18) 5572012 Vote: Other 51% (39) 13% (10) 6% (5) 21% (16) 2% (1) 8% (6) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 27% (137) 8% (40) 8% (39) 40% (204) 6% (32) 12% (63) 5144-Region: Northeast 32% (115) 9% (31) 6% (20) 44% (155) 2% (7) 8% (27) 3554-Region: Midwest 31% (141) 8% (35) 7% (34) 47% (215) 3% (13) 4% (19) 4584-Region: South 39% (288) 6% (45) 6% (42) 41% (307) 3% (20) 6% (42) 7444-Region: West 28% (122) 8% (35) 4% (19) 50% (218) 3% (11) 7% (30) 435Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 3% (32) 1% (10) 6% (57) 82% (760) 3% (26) 4% (37) 922Party: Republican/Leans Republican 73% (594) 13% (108) 4% (30) 5% (40) 2% (13) 3% (24) 810Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 5% (46) 2% (22) 7% (67) 82% (742) 2% (18) 1% (13) 908Vote in Republican primary or caucus 80% (541) 12% (80) 4% (24) 3% (22) — (3) 2% (11) 681Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 27% (22) 16% (13) 7% (6) 36% (30) 3% (3) 11% (9) 83Don’t know / No opinion 16% (25) 11% (18) 6% (9) 34% (54) — (0) 33% (52) 158Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



41

Table POL5

Table POL5: If the election for U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for?

DemographicDemocraticcandidate

Republicancandidate Would not vote

Don’t know / Noopinion Total N

Registered Voters 46% (923) 40% (789) 2% (37) 12% (242) 1992Gender: Male 43% (398) 44% (409) 2% (17) 12% (108) 932Gender: Female 50% (526) 36% (380) 2% (20) 13% (134) 1060Age: 18-29 54% (181) 25% (83) 5% (17) 16% (51) 332Age: 30-44 54% (255) 32% (149) 2% (8) 13% (59) 471Age: 45-54 38% (122) 47% (149) 1% (4) 14% (45) 319Age: 55-64 39% (159) 50% (205) 1% (6) 9% (36) 406Age: 65+ 45% (206) 44% (204) 1% (3) 11% (50) 463Generation Z: 18-22 47% (62) 25% (33) 5% (7) 23% (30) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 57% (274) 28% (135) 3% (15) 12% (59) 484Generation X: Age 39-54 44% (221) 42% (212) 1% (6) 13% (67) 506Boomers: Age 55-73 42% (318) 47% (353) 1% (7) 10% (74) 753PID: Dem (no lean) 91% (696) 3% (24) 1% (6) 5% (37) 764PID: Ind (no lean) 37% (206) 27% (146) 4% (24) 32% (174) 549PID: Rep (no lean) 3% (22) 91% (619) 1% (7) 5% (31) 679PID/Gender: DemMen 90% (280) 3% (11) — (1) 6% (19) 309PID/Gender: DemWomen 92% (417) 3% (14) 1% (6) 4% (18) 454PID/Gender: Ind Men 36% (105) 34% (100) 4% (12) 26% (76) 293PID/Gender: Ind Women 39% (101) 18% (46) 5% (12) 38% (98) 256PID/Gender: Rep Men 4% (14) 90% (298) 1% (5) 4% (13) 330PID/Gender: Rep Women 2% (8) 92% (321) 1% (2) 5% (18) 349Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 88% (497) 7% (39) 2% (10) 3% (17) 562Ideo: Moderate (4) 56% (286) 28% (143) 2% (10) 15% (76) 516Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 13% (93) 78% (574) 1% (5) 9% (66) 738Educ: < College 43% (533) 40% (507) 3% (35) 14% (178) 1253Educ: Bachelors degree 51% (242) 40% (188) 1% (2) 8% (38) 471Educ: Post-grad 55% (148) 35% (94) — (0) 10% (27) 268Income: Under 50k 47% (483) 37% (384) 2% (22) 14% (145) 1033Income: 50k-100k 45% (299) 42% (276) 2% (11) 11% (75) 660Income: 100k+ 48% (142) 43% (130) 1% (4) 8% (22) 298Ethnicity: White 41% (662) 46% (741) 2% (28) 11% (180) 1611Ethnicity: Hispanic 56% (107) 29% (56) 5% (10) 10% (19) 193


42






Registered Voters 46% (923) 40% (789) 2% (37) 12% (242) 1992Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 73% (185) 8% (19) 2% (6) 17% (43) 253Ethnicity: Other 60% (76) 23% (29) 2% (3) 15% (19) 128All Christian 40% (389) 49% (480) 1% (5) 10% (101) 975All Non-Christian 63% (59) 27% (26) — (0) 10% (9) 94Atheist 71% (63) 13% (12) 6% (5) 10% (9) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 49% (412) 33% (271) 3% (27) 15% (124) 834Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 54% (62) 37% (42) — (0) 9% (10) 114Evangelical 32% (182) 53% (301) 1% (7) 13% (76) 566Non-Evangelical 48% (353) 41% (300) 1% (8) 10% (75) 736Community: Urban 59% (268) 30% (137) 3% (14) 8% (39) 457Community: Suburban 46% (453) 41% (399) 1% (12) 12% (119) 983Community: Rural 37% (203) 46% (252) 2% (12) 15% (84) 551Employ: Private Sector 49% (353) 40% (287) 1% (11) 9% (68) 718Employ: Government 51% (62) 33% (40) — (0) 15% (19) 122Employ: Self-Employed 50% (74) 42% (62) 1% (2) 7% (11) 148Employ: Homemaker 39% (51) 45% (58) 1% (2) 14% (18) 129Employ: Retired 42% (204) 47% (227) 1% (3) 11% (51) 486Employ: Unemployed 39% (68) 36% (63) 4% (8) 21% (36) 174Employ: Other 49% (62) 27% (34) 6% (7) 19% (24) 128Military HH: Yes 42% (153) 45% (163) 2% (8) 11% (39) 364Military HH: No 47% (770) 38% (626) 2% (29) 12% (203) 1628RD/WT: Right Direction 12% (102) 76% (647) 2% (16) 10% (86) 850RD/WT: Wrong Track 72% (822) 12% (143) 2% (21) 14% (156) 1142Trump Job Approve 8% (68) 81% (710) 2% (14) 10% (86) 877Trump Job Disapprove 80% (841) 7% (74) 2% (17) 11% (117) 1049Trump Job Strongly Approve 4% (19) 91% (476) 1% (6) 4% (21) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 14% (49) 66% (234) 2% (7) 18% (64) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 57% (136) 16% (39) 4% (9) 23% (54) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 87% (706) 4% (35) 1% (8) 8% (63) 811Favorable of Trump 7% (63) 83% (716) 2% (14) 9% (74) 867Unfavorable of Trump 80% (836) 6% (66) 2% (22) 11% (115) 1039



43

Table POL5





Registered Voters 46% (923) 40% (789) 2% (37) 12% (242) 1992Very Favorable of Trump 3% (17) 92% (495) 1% (6) 4% (21) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 14% (46) 68% (222) 2% (8) 16% (53) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 49% (93) 20% (39) 4% (8) 26% (50) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 87% (743) 3% (28) 2% (14) 8% (65) 850#1 Issue: Economy 38% (186) 47% (227) 2% (11) 13% (65) 489#1 Issue: Security 17% (61) 72% (257) 2% (8) 8% (30) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 67% (261) 22% (86) 1% (2) 10% (38) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 51% (172) 38% (128) 1% (3) 11% (36) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 53% (40) 27% (20) 2% (1) 19% (14) 75#1 Issue: Education 59% (68) 22% (26) 5% (5) 15% (17) 116#1 Issue: Energy 70% (79) 15% (17) 2% (3) 12% (14) 113#1 Issue: Other 48% (57) 24% (28) 3% (4) 24% (29) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 89% (722) 4% (29) — (4) 7% (55) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 2% (16) 91% (614) — (3) 7% (46) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 16% (12) 15% (12) 2% (1) 67% (52) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 89% (636) 5% (33) — (1) 6% (45) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 6% (45) 84% (606) 1% (7) 8% (60) 7182016 Vote: Other 40% (61) 27% (42) 1% (1) 32% (49) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 45% (180) 27% (106) 7% (28) 21% (86) 400Voted in 2014: Yes 47% (650) 43% (590) — (5) 9% (127) 1372Voted in 2014: No 44% (273) 32% (199) 5% (32) 19% (115) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 77% (641) 14% (118) — (3) 8% (70) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 9% (49) 82% (458) — (2) 9% (48) 5572012 Vote: Other 15% (12) 53% (41) — (0) 32% (25) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 42% (217) 33% (168) 6% (32) 19% (96) 5144-Region: Northeast 46% (164) 40% (143) 2% (6) 12% (43) 3554-Region: Midwest 48% (220) 37% (171) 3% (13) 12% (53) 4584-Region: South 44% (329) 42% (313) 2% (14) 12% (87) 7444-Region: West 48% (210) 37% (162) 1% (5) 14% (59) 435Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 90% (827) 3% (30) 1% (10) 6% (55) 922Party: Republican/Leans Republican 4% (33) 88% (713) 1% (10) 7% (55) 810


44






Registered Voters 46% (923) 40% (789) 2% (37) 12% (242) 1992Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 90% (819) 6% (50) — (0) 4% (39) 908Vote in Republican primary or caucus 3% (18) 93% (632) — (1) 4% (30) 681Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 28% (23) 38% (32) 7% (6) 27% (22) 83Don’t know / No opinion 15% (24) 18% (28) 3% (5) 64% (102) 158Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



45

Table POL6_1

Table POL6_1: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following?Former New York CIty Mayor Michael Bloomberg dropping out of the Democratic presidential race and endorsing former Vice President Joe Biden

Demographic A lot Some Not Much Nothing at all Total N

Registered Voters 39% (786) 36% (722) 13% (255) 11% (229) 1992Gender: Male 41% (385) 36% (338) 12% (107) 11% (102) 932Gender: Female 38% (401) 36% (384) 14% (147) 12% (127) 1060Age: 18-29 32% (105) 31% (103) 16% (54) 21% (70) 332Age: 30-44 35% (163) 34% (162) 17% (80) 14% (66) 471Age: 45-54 37% (117) 38% (122) 12% (38) 13% (43) 319Age: 55-64 41% (166) 41% (168) 11% (47) 6% (26) 406Age: 65+ 51% (236) 36% (167) 8% (37) 5% (23) 463Generation Z: 18-22 32% (43) 25% (33) 18% (24) 25% (34) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 33% (159) 34% (166) 16% (76) 17% (84) 484Generation X: Age 39-54 36% (183) 37% (189) 14% (72) 12% (62) 506Boomers: Age 55-73 46% (345) 38% (288) 10% (77) 6% (43) 753PID: Dem (no lean) 46% (350) 35% (264) 11% (85) 9% (65) 764PID: Ind (no lean) 33% (182) 40% (218) 14% (75) 13% (74) 549PID: Rep (no lean) 37% (254) 35% (241) 14% (95) 13% (90) 679PID/Gender: DemMen 45% (140) 36% (112) 11% (33) 8% (25) 309PID/Gender: DemWomen 46% (211) 33% (152) 11% (52) 9% (40) 454PID/Gender: Ind Men 38% (112) 39% (114) 10% (30) 13% (37) 293PID/Gender: Ind Women 27% (70) 41% (104) 18% (45) 14% (37) 256PID/Gender: Rep Men 40% (133) 34% (113) 14% (45) 12% (39) 330PID/Gender: Rep Women 35% (121) 37% (128) 14% (50) 14% (50) 349Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 47% (264) 39% (218) 9% (48) 6% (32) 562Ideo: Moderate (4) 38% (196) 33% (169) 16% (83) 13% (67) 516Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 40% (293) 39% (290) 12% (88) 9% (67) 738Educ: < College 35% (440) 36% (446) 14% (172) 16% (195) 1253Educ: Bachelors degree 45% (210) 37% (176) 12% (58) 6% (27) 471Educ: Post-grad 51% (136) 37% (100) 9% (24) 3% (7) 268Income: Under 50k 35% (359) 36% (373) 14% (140) 16% (161) 1033Income: 50k-100k 43% (285) 37% (247) 12% (81) 7% (48) 660Income: 100k+ 48% (142) 35% (103) 11% (34) 6% (19) 298Ethnicity: White 40% (647) 38% (604) 12% (190) 11% (170) 1611Ethnicity: Hispanic 40% (78) 36% (69) 9% (18) 14% (28) 193


46

Morning ConsultTable POL6_1



Registered Voters 39% (786) 36% (722) 13% (255) 11% (229) 1992Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 37% (93) 30% (75) 18% (46) 15% (39) 253Ethnicity: Other 37% (47) 33% (43) 15% (19) 15% (20) 128All Christian 42% (407) 40% (387) 12% (114) 7% (67) 975All Non-Christian 58% (55) 29% (27) 8% (8) 5% (5) 94Atheist 53% (47) 32% (29) 8% (8) 6% (6) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 33% (277) 33% (279) 15% (126) 18% (152) 834Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 56% (64) 29% (33) 10% (12) 5% (6) 114Evangelical 34% (192) 39% (223) 13% (72) 14% (78) 566Non-Evangelical 44% (325) 37% (273) 13% (92) 6% (46) 736Community: Urban 41% (188) 35% (161) 12% (56) 11% (52) 457Community: Suburban 42% (416) 36% (354) 11% (107) 11% (107) 983Community: Rural 33% (182) 38% (207) 17% (92) 13% (69) 551Employ: Private Sector 43% (307) 36% (257) 13% (96) 8% (58) 718Employ: Government 39% (48) 38% (47) 17% (21) 5% (6) 122Employ: Self-Employed 40% (60) 37% (54) 14% (21) 9% (13) 148Employ: Homemaker 27% (35) 38% (49) 16% (20) 19% (25) 129Employ: Retired 46% (225) 39% (187) 7% (33) 8% (41) 486Employ: Unemployed 24% (42) 36% (63) 18% (32) 22% (37) 174Employ: Other 29% (37) 31% (40) 17% (21) 23% (29) 128Military HH: Yes 41% (150) 39% (143) 11% (41) 8% (30) 364Military HH: No 39% (636) 36% (580) 13% (214) 12% (199) 1628RD/WT: Right Direction 38% (323) 36% (308) 12% (105) 13% (115) 850RD/WT: Wrong Track 41% (464) 36% (415) 13% (149) 10% (114) 1142Trump Job Approve 37% (325) 37% (323) 13% (116) 13% (113) 877Trump Job Disapprove 43% (450) 36% (378) 12% (130) 9% (91) 1049Trump Job Strongly Approve 43% (223) 34% (179) 10% (52) 13% (69) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 29% (102) 41% (145) 18% (64) 12% (44) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 30% (71) 40% (96) 18% (43) 11% (27) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 47% (379) 35% (282) 11% (87) 8% (64) 811Favorable of Trump 39% (341) 37% (319) 12% (107) 12% (100) 867Unfavorable of Trump 42% (438) 37% (382) 12% (129) 9% (90) 1039



47

Table POL6_1



Registered Voters 39% (786) 36% (722) 13% (255) 11% (229) 1992Very Favorable of Trump 44% (237) 33% (177) 10% (53) 13% (71) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 32% (104) 43% (141) 16% (54) 9% (29) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 25% (47) 41% (78) 17% (33) 17% (32) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 46% (391) 36% (304) 11% (97) 7% (59) 850#1 Issue: Economy 41% (198) 35% (173) 12% (57) 12% (60) 489#1 Issue: Security 39% (138) 37% (132) 12% (42) 12% (44) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 40% (154) 36% (138) 15% (57) 10% (38) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 42% (141) 39% (132) 12% (42) 7% (24) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 34% (26) 39% (29) 13% (10) 13% (10) 75#1 Issue: Education 37% (43) 30% (34) 13% (16) 19% (23) 116#1 Issue: Energy 42% (47) 35% (39) 11% (12) 12% (14) 113#1 Issue: Other 33% (39) 37% (44) 15% (18) 14% (17) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 47% (377) 37% (297) 10% (83) 6% (53) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 40% (270) 38% (257) 12% (80) 10% (71) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 27% (21) 35% (27) 17% (13) 21% (16) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 48% (341) 37% (262) 10% (75) 5% (38) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 40% (286) 37% (267) 11% (78) 12% (87) 7182016 Vote: Other 38% (58) 43% (66) 14% (22) 5% (8) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 25% (102) 31% (124) 20% (78) 24% (96) 400Voted in 2014: Yes 44% (610) 37% (514) 10% (143) 8% (106) 1372Voted in 2014: No 29% (177) 34% (208) 18% (112) 20% (123) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 46% (379) 36% (297) 11% (90) 8% (65) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 39% (214) 40% (225) 12% (64) 9% (53) 5572012 Vote: Other 46% (36) 39% (30) 10% (8) 5% (4) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 29% (151) 33% (167) 17% (89) 21% (107) 5144-Region: Northeast 46% (163) 38% (134) 10% (34) 7% (24) 3554-Region: Midwest 40% (183) 33% (152) 13% (62) 13% (62) 4584-Region: South 38% (286) 36% (270) 15% (108) 11% (80) 7444-Region: West 36% (155) 38% (167) 12% (51) 14% (63) 435Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 45% (417) 34% (318) 11% (103) 9% (84) 922Party: Republican/Leans Republican 38% (309) 36% (294) 14% (109) 12% (97) 810


48




Registered Voters 39% (786) 36% (722) 13% (255) 11% (229) 1992Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 47% (425) 37% (337) 10% (92) 6% (53) 908Vote in Republican primary or caucus 40% (269) 35% (237) 14% (97) 12% (78) 681Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 34% (29) 47% (39) 11% (9) 8% (6) 83Don’t know / No opinion 19% (30) 34% (54) 22% (35) 25% (39) 158Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



49

Table POL6_2

Table POL6_2: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following?Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) dropping out of the Democratic presidential race




50







51

Table POL6_2





52







53

Table POL6_3

Table POL6_3: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following?The Federal Reserve making an emergency measure to cut interest rates by 0.5%




54







55

Table POL6_3





56







57

Table POL6_4

Table POL6_4: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following?Congress passing roughly $8 billion in emergency spending for the response to coronavirus




58







59

Table POL6_4





60







61

Table POL6_5

Table POL6_5: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following?A shooting at the Miller Coors factor in Milwaukee, Wis., that left 6 dead including the gunman




62







63

Table POL6_5





64







65

Table POL7_1

Table POL7_1: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues?The economy

Demographic Joe Biden Bernie SandersDon’t know / No

opinion Total N

Registered Voters 40% (788) 20% (389) 41% (816) 1992Gender: Male 41% (384) 19% (175) 40% (372) 932Gender: Female 38% (403) 20% (213) 42% (443) 1060Age: 18-29 27% (91) 39% (128) 34% (113) 332Age: 30-44 39% (182) 26% (124) 35% (165) 471Age: 45-54 41% (130) 15% (49) 44% (140) 319Age: 55-64 42% (169) 13% (54) 45% (184) 406Age: 65+ 47% (216) 7% (33) 46% (214) 463Generation Z: 18-22 31% (41) 29% (38) 41% (54) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 33% (159) 34% (165) 33% (160) 484Generation X: Age 39-54 40% (204) 19% (98) 40% (204) 506Boomers: Age 55-73 44% (330) 11% (79) 46% (344) 753PID: Dem (no lean) 54% (415) 27% (208) 18% (141) 764PID: Ind (no lean) 36% (198) 21% (113) 43% (238) 549PID: Rep (no lean) 26% (175) 10% (67) 64% (437) 679PID/Gender: DemMen 57% (177) 26% (80) 17% (52) 309PID/Gender: DemWomen 52% (238) 28% (128) 19% (88) 454PID/Gender: Ind Men 37% (107) 22% (64) 41% (121) 293PID/Gender: Ind Women 35% (91) 19% (49) 45% (116) 256PID/Gender: Rep Men 30% (100) 9% (31) 60% (199) 330PID/Gender: Rep Women 21% (75) 10% (36) 68% (238) 349Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 49% (274) 35% (195) 17% (93) 562Ideo: Moderate (4) 50% (256) 17% (89) 33% (171) 516Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 30% (224) 11% (83) 58% (431) 738Educ: < College 33% (415) 20% (245) 47% (593) 1253Educ: Bachelors degree 48% (225) 20% (96) 32% (150) 471Educ: Post-grad 55% (148) 18% (47) 27% (73) 268Income: Under 50k 34% (352) 21% (217) 45% (465) 1033Income: 50k-100k 44% (289) 19% (125) 37% (246) 660Income: 100k+ 49% (147) 16% (47) 35% (104) 298Ethnicity: White 39% (629) 18% (284) 43% (698) 1611


66




opinion Total N

Registered Voters 40% (788) 20% (389) 41% (816) 1992Ethnicity: Hispanic 35% (68) 33% (63) 32% (62) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 43% (109) 27% (68) 30% (75) 253Ethnicity: Other 39% (50) 28% (36) 33% (42) 128All Christian 47% (459) 11% (111) 42% (405) 975All Non-Christian 50% (47) 24% (22) 26% (24) 94Atheist 29% (26) 44% (40) 26% (23) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 31% (255) 26% (216) 43% (363) 834Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 49% (56) 20% (22) 31% (36) 114Evangelical 36% (204) 15% (86) 49% (276) 566Non-Evangelical 45% (335) 16% (115) 39% (286) 736Community: Urban 38% (173) 28% (128) 34% (156) 457Community: Suburban 43% (424) 17% (168) 40% (391) 983Community: Rural 35% (191) 17% (93) 49% (268) 551Employ: Private Sector 42% (301) 21% (149) 37% (268) 718Employ: Government 46% (56) 19% (23) 35% (42) 122Employ: Self-Employed 32% (47) 32% (48) 36% (53) 148Employ: Homemaker 36% (46) 22% (29) 42% (54) 129Employ: Retired 44% (213) 9% (46) 47% (226) 486Employ: Unemployed 35% (60) 19% (33) 47% (81) 174Employ: Other 23% (29) 31% (39) 46% (59) 128Military HH: Yes 39% (142) 15% (54) 46% (168) 364Military HH: No 40% (646) 21% (334) 40% (648) 1628RD/WT: Right Direction 27% (227) 12% (99) 62% (524) 850RD/WT: Wrong Track 49% (561) 25% (289) 26% (292) 1142Trump Job Approve 26% (232) 11% (96) 63% (549) 877Trump Job Disapprove 52% (547) 27% (284) 21% (218) 1049Trump Job Strongly Approve 19% (99) 10% (53) 71% (370) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 37% (132) 12% (43) 51% (179) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 51% (121) 20% (47) 29% (69) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 52% (426) 29% (237) 18% (148) 811



67

Table POL7_1



opinion Total N

Registered Voters 40% (788) 20% (389) 41% (816) 1992Favorable of Trump 27% (231) 11% (92) 63% (544) 867Unfavorable of Trump 53% (548) 27% (279) 20% (212) 1039Very Favorable of Trump 19% (103) 10% (52) 71% (384) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 39% (128) 12% (40) 49% (160) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 45% (85) 16% (30) 39% (74) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 54% (463) 29% (249) 16% (138) 850#1 Issue: Economy 39% (191) 18% (87) 43% (210) 489#1 Issue: Security 28% (99) 11% (39) 61% (218) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 45% (174) 27% (105) 28% (108) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 46% (154) 10% (35) 44% (149) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 42% (31) 25% (19) 33% (25) 75#1 Issue: Education 40% (47) 35% (40) 25% (29) 116#1 Issue: Energy 46% (52) 37% (42) 17% (20) 113#1 Issue: Other 34% (41) 17% (20) 48% (57) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 58% (466) 25% (206) 17% (138) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 28% (187) 9% (61) 63% (430) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 19% (15) 17% (13) 64% (50) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 60% (427) 26% (183) 15% (106) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 27% (196) 9% (64) 64% (458) 7182016 Vote: Other 36% (55) 24% (37) 40% (61) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 27% (108) 26% (103) 47% (189) 400Voted in 2014: Yes 44% (600) 18% (241) 39% (532) 1372Voted in 2014: No 30% (188) 24% (148) 46% (284) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 55% (461) 25% (210) 19% (160) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 30% (166) 6% (32) 64% (358) 5572012 Vote: Other 23% (18) 17% (13) 61% (47) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 27% (139) 26% (132) 47% (242) 514


68




opinion Total N

Registered Voters 40% (788) 20% (389) 41% (816) 19924-Region: Northeast 45% (161) 17% (60) 38% (134) 3554-Region: Midwest 35% (161) 22% (100) 43% (196) 4584-Region: South 41% (305) 18% (132) 41% (307) 7444-Region: West 37% (161) 22% (96) 41% (178) 435Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 53% (491) 29% (265) 18% (166) 922Party: Republican/Leans Republican 27% (216) 10% (84) 63% (509) 810Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 55% (503) 30% (274) 14% (130) 908Vote in Republican primary or caucus 25% (173) 9% (60) 66% (447) 681Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 40% (33) 18% (15) 41% (34) 83Don’t know / No opinion 22% (34) 9% (15) 69% (109) 158Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



69

Table POL7_2

Table POL7_2: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues?Jobs


opinion Total N



70




opinion Total N




71

Table POL7_2



opinion Total N



72




opinion Total N




73

Table POL7_3

Table POL7_3: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues?Health care


opinion Total N



74




opinion Total N




75

Table POL7_3



opinion Total N



76




opinion Total N




77

Table POL7_4

Table POL7_4: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues?Immigration


opinion Total N



78




opinion Total N




79

Table POL7_4



opinion Total N



80




opinion Total N




81

Table POL7_5

Table POL7_5: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues?The environment


opinion Total N



82




opinion Total N




83

Table POL7_5



opinion Total N



84




opinion Total N




85

Table POL7_6

Table POL7_6: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues?Energy


opinion Total N



86




opinion Total N




87

Table POL7_6



opinion Total N



88




opinion Total N




89

Table POL7_7

Table POL7_7: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues?Education


opinion Total N



90




opinion Total N




91

Table POL7_7



opinion Total N



92




opinion Total N




93

Table POL7_8

Table POL7_8: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues?National security


opinion Total N



94




opinion Total N




95

Table POL7_8



opinion Total N



96




opinion Total N




97

Table POL7_9

Table POL7_9: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues?Sexual harassment and misconduct in the workplace


opinion Total N



98




opinion Total N




99

Table POL7_9



opinion Total N



100




opinion Total N




101

Table POL7_10

Table POL7_10: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues?Gun policy


opinion Total N



102




opinion Total N




103

Table POL7_10



opinion Total N



104




opinion Total N




105

Table POL7_11

Table POL7_11: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues?Protecting Medicare and Social Security


opinion Total N



106




opinion Total N




107

Table POL7_11



opinion Total N



108




opinion Total N




109

Table POL7_12

Table POL7_12: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues?Trade policy


opinion Total N



110




opinion Total N




111

Table POL7_12



opinion Total N



112




opinion Total N




113

Table POL7_13

Table POL7_13: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues?Foreign policy


opinion Total N



114




opinion Total N




115

Table POL7_13



opinion Total N



116




opinion Total N




117

Table POL8_1

Table POL8_1: Regardless of who you plan to vote for, which candidate would be best for…The future of the country


opinion Total N



118




opinion Total N




119

Table POL8_1



opinion Total N



120




opinion Total N




121

Table POL8_2

Table POL8_2: Regardless of who you plan to vote for, which candidate would be best for…The future for the Democratic Party


opinion Total N



122




opinion Total N




123

Table POL8_2



opinion Total N



124




opinion Total N




125

Table POL8_3

Table POL8_3: Regardless of who you plan to vote for, which candidate would be best for…Beating Donald Trump


opinion Total N



126




opinion Total N




127

Table POL8_3



opinion Total N



128




opinion Total N




129

Table POL8_4

Table POL8_4: Regardless of who you plan to vote for, which candidate would be best for…Debating Donald Trump


opinion Total N



130




opinion Total N




131

Table POL8_4



opinion Total N



132




opinion Total N




133

Table POL8_5

Table POL8_5: Regardless of who you plan to vote for, which candidate would be best for…Motivating young voters


opinion Total N



134




opinion Total N




135

Table POL8_5



opinion Total N



136




opinion Total N




137

Table POL8_6

Table POL8_6: Regardless of who you plan to vote for, which candidate would be best for…Motivating voters of color


opinion Total N



138




opinion Total N




139

Table POL8_6



opinion Total N



140




opinion Total N




141

Table POL8_7

Table POL8_7: Regardless of who you plan to vote for, which candidate would be best for…Motivating new voters


opinion Total N



142




opinion Total N




143

Table POL8_7



opinion Total N



144




opinion Total N




145

Table POL8_8

Table POL8_8: Regardless of who you plan to vote for, which candidate would be best for…Solving America’s biggest problems


opinion Total N



146




opinion Total N




147

Table POL8_8



opinion Total N



148




opinion Total N




149

Table POL8_9

Table POL8_9: Regardless of who you plan to vote for, which candidate would be best for…Leadership during a crisis


opinion Total N



150




opinion Total N




151

Table POL8_9



opinion Total N



152




opinion Total N




153

Table POL8_10

Table POL8_10: Regardless of who you plan to vote for, which candidate would be best for…Uniting the country


opinion Total N



154




opinion Total N




155

Table POL8_10



opinion Total N



156




opinion Total N




157

Table POL9_1

Table POL9_1: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidate to win against President Trump in the 2020 general electionif they are…A female candidate

Demographic Very difficultSomewhatdifficult Somewhat easy Very easy


Registered Voters 32% (633) 33% (650) 12% (243) 7% (133) 17% (333) 1992Gender: Male 30% (279) 32% (301) 13% (119) 7% (65) 18% (169) 932Gender: Female 33% (354) 33% (350) 12% (123) 6% (67) 16% (165) 1060Age: 18-29 32% (105) 25% (82) 13% (42) 9% (31) 22% (72) 332Age: 30-44 33% (158) 31% (147) 14% (65) 7% (32) 15% (70) 471Age: 45-54 29% (93) 29% (92) 13% (42) 9% (28) 20% (65) 319Age: 55-64 30% (120) 38% (155) 11% (45) 6% (24) 15% (61) 406Age: 65+ 34% (157) 38% (174) 11% (49) 4% (17) 14% (65) 463Generation Z: 18-22 30% (39) 25% (33) 15% (20) 8% (10) 22% (29) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 31% (150) 29% (142) 12% (59) 9% (41) 19% (91) 484Generation X: Age 39-54 33% (166) 29% (145) 14% (69) 8% (40) 17% (87) 506Boomers: Age 55-73 32% (244) 37% (278) 10% (78) 5% (40) 15% (114) 753PID: Dem (no lean) 27% (209) 36% (271) 15% (115) 10% (77) 12% (91) 764PID: Ind (no lean) 24% (130) 33% (179) 14% (76) 7% (39) 23% (125) 549PID: Rep (no lean) 43% (293) 29% (200) 8% (52) 2% (17) 17% (117) 679PID/Gender: DemMen 20% (62) 33% (103) 20% (61) 11% (33) 17% (52) 309PID/Gender: DemWomen 32% (147) 37% (169) 12% (54) 10% (44) 9% (39) 454PID/Gender: Ind Men 25% (73) 33% (98) 13% (37) 7% (22) 22% (63) 293PID/Gender: Ind Women 23% (58) 32% (81) 15% (38) 7% (17) 24% (62) 256PID/Gender: Rep Men 44% (144) 30% (101) 6% (21) 3% (11) 16% (54) 330PID/Gender: Rep Women 43% (149) 28% (99) 9% (31) 2% (6) 18% (63) 349Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 28% (157) 37% (210) 16% (92) 9% (49) 10% (54) 562Ideo: Moderate (4) 28% (145) 33% (172) 16% (80) 8% (41) 15% (77) 516Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 39% (291) 32% (237) 7% (54) 4% (31) 17% (125) 738Educ: < College 33% (416) 30% (378) 11% (140) 6% (80) 19% (238) 1253Educ: Bachelors degree 32% (152) 35% (165) 14% (64) 6% (30) 13% (61) 471Educ: Post-grad 24% (65) 40% (108) 14% (39) 9% (23) 13% (34) 268Income: Under 50k 34% (347) 29% (303) 10% (108) 8% (79) 19% (196) 1033Income: 50k-100k 31% (207) 34% (227) 13% (88) 6% (42) 15% (96) 660Income: 100k+ 26% (79) 40% (121) 15% (46) 4% (11) 14% (42) 298


158





Registered Voters 32% (633) 33% (650) 12% (243) 7% (133) 17% (333) 1992Ethnicity: White 32% (515) 34% (555) 12% (189) 6% (94) 16% (258) 1611Ethnicity: Hispanic 26% (50) 32% (62) 17% (32) 10% (20) 15% (30) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 32% (80) 23% (58) 13% (33) 11% (29) 21% (53) 253Ethnicity: Other 30% (38) 29% (38) 16% (20) 7% (9) 18% (23) 128All Christian 33% (321) 36% (350) 11% (109) 6% (57) 14% (137) 975All Non-Christian 31% (29) 28% (26) 17% (16) 12% (11) 13% (12) 94Atheist 30% (27) 39% (35) 17% (15) 4% (4) 10% (9) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 31% (256) 29% (239) 12% (103) 7% (61) 21% (175) 834Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 32% (37) 32% (37) 14% (16) 10% (11) 12% (14) 114Evangelical 38% (214) 30% (171) 9% (49) 6% (35) 17% (97) 566Non-Evangelical 30% (223) 35% (258) 14% (106) 5% (40) 15% (109) 736Community: Urban 32% (149) 28% (130) 12% (54) 8% (36) 19% (89) 457Community: Suburban 30% (294) 36% (357) 13% (123) 6% (63) 15% (146) 983Community: Rural 35% (191) 30% (163) 12% (65) 6% (34) 18% (98) 551Employ: Private Sector 31% (222) 35% (249) 12% (89) 8% (58) 14% (101) 718Employ: Government 30% (37) 33% (40) 12% (14) 7% (9) 18% (22) 122Employ: Self-Employed 33% (49) 22% (32) 21% (31) 8% (12) 16% (24) 148Employ: Homemaker 34% (44) 27% (35) 12% (15) 5% (6) 22% (29) 129Employ: Retired 34% (163) 37% (178) 11% (55) 5% (22) 14% (68) 486Employ: Unemployed 28% (49) 28% (48) 10% (17) 7% (12) 27% (47) 174Employ: Other 33% (42) 30% (38) 10% (13) 5% (7) 22% (28) 128Military HH: Yes 34% (124) 31% (113) 13% (47) 6% (23) 16% (57) 364Military HH: No 31% (509) 33% (537) 12% (196) 7% (109) 17% (277) 1628RD/WT: Right Direction 40% (339) 26% (224) 10% (82) 5% (41) 19% (165) 850RD/WT: Wrong Track 26% (294) 37% (426) 14% (161) 8% (92) 15% (168) 1142Trump Job Approve 41% (359) 29% (252) 9% (78) 3% (26) 18% (161) 877Trump Job Disapprove 26% (269) 37% (390) 15% (157) 10% (102) 12% (130) 1049



159

Table POL9_1




Registered Voters 32% (633) 33% (650) 12% (243) 7% (133) 17% (333) 1992Trump Job Strongly Approve 51% (268) 22% (118) 8% (41) 3% (17) 15% (79) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 26% (92) 38% (135) 11% (37) 3% (9) 23% (82) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 23% (54) 37% (88) 16% (38) 6% (14) 19% (45) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 27% (215) 37% (302) 15% (119) 11% (89) 11% (85) 811Favorable of Trump 41% (357) 29% (251) 9% (82) 3% (27) 17% (149) 867Unfavorable of Trump 26% (265) 37% (387) 15% (157) 10% (102) 12% (129) 1039Very Favorable of Trump 52% (281) 25% (132) 7% (38) 3% (14) 14% (73) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 23% (76) 36% (119) 13% (44) 4% (13) 23% (76) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 22% (41) 37% (70) 15% (28) 3% (6) 24% (45) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 26% (224) 37% (317) 15% (129) 11% (96) 10% (83) 850#1 Issue: Economy 36% (175) 31% (151) 11% (52) 5% (25) 17% (85) 489#1 Issue: Security 39% (138) 28% (100) 11% (41) 5% (17) 17% (61) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 23% (90) 40% (153) 13% (50) 9% (35) 15% (59) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 30% (102) 34% (116) 12% (40) 7% (25) 16% (55) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 44% (33) 27% (20) 7% (5) 9% (7) 13% (10) 75#1 Issue: Education 32% (37) 25% (28) 14% (16) 5% (6) 24% (28) 116#1 Issue: Energy 25% (28) 39% (44) 22% (25) 6% (7) 7% (8) 113#1 Issue: Other 24% (29) 32% (38) 11% (13) 9% (11) 24% (28) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 24% (198) 37% (298) 17% (136) 11% (87) 11% (91) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 42% (288) 31% (210) 8% (54) 2% (15) 16% (111) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 14% (11) 32% (25) 18% (14) 7% (6) 29% (22) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 24% (171) 37% (267) 15% (110) 13% (90) 11% (77) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 43% (307) 32% (226) 9% (62) 2% (14) 15% (109) 7182016 Vote: Other 25% (38) 34% (52) 14% (21) 4% (6) 24% (37) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 29% (117) 25% (102) 12% (49) 6% (23) 27% (109) 400Voted in 2014: Yes 31% (429) 35% (477) 13% (178) 7% (95) 14% (193) 1372Voted in 2014: No 33% (204) 28% (173) 10% (64) 6% (38) 23% (141) 620


160





Registered Voters 32% (633) 33% (650) 12% (243) 7% (133) 17% (333) 19922012 Vote: Barack Obama 26% (212) 36% (301) 16% (132) 10% (87) 12% (100) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 40% (225) 32% (180) 8% (43) 2% (11) 18% (98) 5572012 Vote: Other 34% (26) 32% (25) 10% (8) 4% (3) 20% (16) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 32% (167) 27% (139) 12% (59) 6% (32) 23% (118) 5144-Region: Northeast 34% (121) 32% (112) 13% (45) 7% (25) 15% (53) 3554-Region: Midwest 31% (144) 32% (147) 12% (56) 7% (31) 17% (80) 4584-Region: South 36% (265) 29% (212) 11% (81) 7% (52) 18% (134) 7444-Region: West 24% (104) 41% (178) 14% (61) 6% (25) 15% (67) 435Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 27% (247) 35% (325) 15% (140) 10% (93) 13% (116) 922Party: Republican/Leans Republican 42% (339) 31% (247) 8% (65) 3% (24) 17% (135) 810Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 27% (244) 37% (333) 16% (148) 11% (99) 9% (84) 908Vote in Republican primary or caucus 45% (304) 30% (207) 8% (55) 3% (19) 14% (96) 681Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 30% (25) 35% (29) 12% (10) 4% (3) 19% (16) 83Don’t know / No opinion 15% (24) 25% (39) 12% (19) 4% (6) 44% (70) 158Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



161

Table POL9_2

Table POL9_2: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidate to win against President Trump in the 2020 general electionif they are…A male candidate





162








163

Table POL9_2






164








165

Table POL9_3

Table POL9_3: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidate to win against President Trump in the 2020 general electionif they are…A white candidate





166








167

Table POL9_3






168








169

Table POL9_4

Table POL9_4: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidate to win against President Trump in the 2020 general electionif they are…A candidate of color





170








171

Table POL9_4






172








173

Table POL9_5

Table POL9_5: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidate to win against President Trump in the 2020 general electionif they are…A candidate younger than 50





174








175

Table POL9_5






176








177

Table POL9_6

Table POL9_6: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidate to win against President Trump in the 2020 general electionif they are…A candidate older than 70





178








179

Table POL9_6






180








181

Table POL9_7

Table POL9_7: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidate to win against President Trump in the 2020 general electionif they are…A businessperson





182








183

Table POL9_7






184








185

Table POL9_8

Table POL9_8: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidate to win against President Trump in the 2020 general electionif they are…A gay or lesbian candidate





186








187

Table POL9_8






188








189

Table POL9_9

Table POL9_9: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidate to win against President Trump in the 2020 general electionif they are…A moderate candidate





190








191

Table POL9_9






192








193

Table POL9_10

Table POL9_10: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidate to win against President Trump in the 2020 generalelection if they are…A socialist candidate





194








195

Table POL9_10






196








197

Table POL9_11

Table POL9_11: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidate to win against President Trump in the 2020 generalelection if they are…A democratic socialist candidate





198








199

Table POL9_11






200








201

Table POL9_12

Table POL9_12: How easy or difficult do you believe it would be for a Democratic candidate to win against President Trump in the 2020 generalelection if they are…A liberal candidate





202








203

Table POL9_12






204








205

Table POL10

Table POL10: Without any additional research, which of the following candidates do you believe is the oldest?

Demographic Joe Biden Bernie Sanders Donald TrumpDon’t know / No

opinion Total N



206




opinion Total N




207

Table POL10



opinion Total N



208




opinion Total N




209

Table POL11_1

Table POL11_1: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the following make you more or less likely to support a candidate, orwould it make no difference either way?The candidate supported or executed policies that lead to higher incarceration rates

DemographicMuch more

likelySomewhatmore likely

Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely

Makes nodifferenceeither way


Registered Voters 7% (142) 15% (304) 20% (398) 23% (449) 22% (444) 13% (254) 1992Gender: Male 8% (78) 16% (149) 21% (200) 21% (199) 23% (215) 10% (91) 932Gender: Female 6% (64) 15% (156) 19% (198) 24% (250) 22% (229) 15% (162) 1060Age: 18-29 4% (14) 11% (37) 20% (66) 28% (94) 14% (48) 22% (74) 332Age: 30-44 6% (28) 12% (57) 21% (98) 30% (140) 17% (80) 14% (68) 471Age: 45-54 8% (26) 16% (50) 19% (60) 15% (47) 29% (92) 14% (45) 319Age: 55-64 10% (42) 19% (76) 19% (79) 17% (70) 24% (97) 10% (42) 406Age: 65+ 7% (32) 18% (85) 21% (96) 21% (98) 27% (127) 6% (26) 463Generation Z: 18-22 5% (7) 5% (6) 18% (24) 27% (36) 14% (19) 30% (40) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 4% (21) 12% (60) 22% (104) 30% (144) 15% (72) 17% (82) 484Generation X: Age 39-54 8% (40) 15% (77) 19% (95) 20% (101) 25% (129) 13% (64) 506Boomers: Age 55-73 9% (66) 18% (137) 20% (151) 19% (145) 26% (196) 8% (59) 753PID: Dem (no lean) 5% (41) 11% (83) 24% (186) 31% (236) 18% (136) 11% (81) 764PID: Ind (no lean) 4% (23) 15% (82) 18% (99) 20% (108) 27% (147) 16% (91) 549PID: Rep (no lean) 11% (78) 21% (139) 17% (113) 16% (106) 24% (161) 12% (82) 679PID/Gender: DemMen 6% (18) 10% (32) 27% (83) 29% (90) 19% (59) 9% (28) 309PID/Gender: DemWomen 5% (23) 11% (51) 23% (104) 32% (146) 17% (78) 12% (53) 454PID/Gender: Ind Men 5% (15) 15% (43) 22% (65) 20% (59) 26% (78) 11% (33) 293PID/Gender: Ind Women 3% (9) 15% (39) 13% (34) 19% (49) 27% (69) 22% (57) 256PID/Gender: Rep Men 14% (46) 22% (73) 16% (52) 15% (50) 24% (79) 9% (30) 330PID/Gender: Rep Women 9% (32) 19% (66) 17% (60) 16% (56) 24% (83) 15% (52) 349Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 5% (31) 10% (56) 25% (140) 35% (198) 17% (95) 8% (43) 562Ideo: Moderate (4) 5% (25) 14% (70) 23% (119) 21% (110) 23% (119) 14% (73) 516Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 11% (81) 23% (167) 16% (120) 15% (113) 26% (190) 9% (68) 738Educ: < College 7% (92) 15% (191) 18% (221) 23% (285) 22% (272) 15% (192) 1253Educ: Bachelors degree 6% (30) 16% (73) 25% (116) 22% (104) 22% (106) 9% (42) 471Educ: Post-grad 8% (20) 15% (40) 23% (61) 23% (60) 25% (67) 7% (20) 268


210





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely



Registered Voters 7% (142) 15% (304) 20% (398) 23% (449) 22% (444) 13% (254) 1992Income: Under 50k 8% (82) 14% (145) 18% (186) 26% (268) 20% (206) 14% (147) 1033Income: 50k-100k 7% (44) 17% (111) 22% (145) 19% (124) 24% (160) 12% (76) 660Income: 100k+ 5% (16) 16% (49) 22% (67) 19% (58) 26% (79) 10% (31) 298Ethnicity: White 7% (121) 16% (258) 20% (326) 20% (330) 24% (382) 12% (194) 1611Ethnicity: Hispanic 9% (17) 15% (29) 24% (47) 24% (47) 11% (22) 16% (30) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 5% (12) 11% (28) 17% (44) 37% (94) 12% (31) 17% (44) 253Ethnicity: Other 7% (9) 14% (18) 22% (28) 20% (26) 25% (32) 12% (15) 128All Christian 9% (86) 18% (173) 21% (203) 18% (171) 25% (241) 10% (100) 975All Non-Christian 5% (5) 14% (14) 24% (23) 23% (22) 23% (22) 10% (10) 94Atheist 1% (1) 11% (9) 20% (18) 34% (31) 24% (22) 9% (8) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 6% (50) 13% (108) 19% (155) 27% (226) 19% (160) 16% (136) 834Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 5% (6) 16% (18) 25% (28) 20% (22) 22% (25) 13% (15) 114Evangelical 10% (59) 18% (105) 15% (86) 16% (92) 24% (138) 15% (87) 566Non-Evangelical 7% (51) 15% (107) 23% (169) 24% (173) 23% (167) 9% (68) 736Community: Urban 7% (34) 13% (59) 22% (102) 27% (123) 16% (73) 15% (67) 457Community: Suburban 6% (62) 16% (157) 21% (208) 22% (221) 24% (231) 11% (104) 983Community: Rural 8% (47) 16% (88) 16% (88) 19% (105) 25% (140) 15% (84) 551Employ: Private Sector 8% (58) 16% (115) 21% (152) 23% (163) 21% (148) 11% (82) 718Employ: Government 9% (11) 13% (15) 21% (26) 21% (26) 22% (27) 14% (16) 122Employ: Self-Employed 6% (9) 16% (24) 18% (27) 26% (39) 24% (36) 8% (13) 148Employ: Homemaker 4% (5) 21% (27) 17% (22) 24% (31) 16% (21) 18% (23) 129Employ: Retired 8% (37) 17% (83) 21% (102) 19% (91) 27% (131) 8% (41) 486Employ: Unemployed 6% (11) 8% (14) 16% (28) 25% (43) 28% (49) 17% (29) 174Employ: Other 7% (9) 16% (20) 17% (21) 22% (28) 16% (20) 22% (28) 128Military HH: Yes 7% (25) 17% (60) 22% (81) 20% (73) 22% (81) 12% (43) 364Military HH: No 7% (117) 15% (244) 19% (317) 23% (376) 22% (363) 13% (211) 1628RD/WT: Right Direction 11% (97) 18% (154) 17% (145) 15% (131) 25% (212) 13% (111) 850RD/WT: Wrong Track 4% (45) 13% (151) 22% (253) 28% (318) 20% (232) 12% (143) 1142



211

Table POL11_1




Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely



Registered Voters 7% (142) 15% (304) 20% (398) 23% (449) 22% (444) 13% (254) 1992Trump Job Approve 11% (97) 20% (179) 17% (146) 15% (133) 24% (211) 13% (111) 877Trump Job Disapprove 4% (43) 12% (123) 24% (249) 29% (309) 20% (213) 11% (112) 1049Trump Job Strongly Approve 14% (71) 19% (101) 16% (83) 17% (90) 24% (123) 10% (54) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 7% (26) 22% (78) 18% (63) 12% (43) 25% (88) 16% (57) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 4% (10) 13% (30) 26% (61) 18% (43) 27% (64) 12% (28) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 4% (33) 11% (92) 23% (188) 33% (266) 18% (149) 10% (83) 811Favorable of Trump 11% (96) 21% (184) 17% (144) 15% (134) 24% (204) 12% (105) 867Unfavorable of Trump 4% (43) 11% (116) 24% (248) 30% (309) 21% (213) 11% (110) 1039Very Favorable of Trump 14% (77) 20% (107) 15% (81) 18% (94) 24% (127) 10% (53) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 6% (19) 24% (77) 19% (63) 12% (40) 24% (77) 16% (52) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 7% (13) 13% (25) 21% (40) 16% (30) 28% (54) 15% (29) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 4% (30) 11% (91) 25% (209) 33% (279) 19% (159) 10% (81) 850#1 Issue: Economy 6% (31) 16% (80) 19% (93) 22% (108) 25% (120) 11% (56) 489#1 Issue: Security 13% (45) 21% (76) 14% (49) 16% (56) 24% (86) 12% (44) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 4% (15) 13% (49) 23% (88) 25% (98) 21% (83) 14% (54) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 8% (28) 16% (55) 21% (71) 22% (75) 23% (78) 10% (33) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 3% (2) 13% (10) 25% (19) 23% (17) 12% (9) 25% (18) 75#1 Issue: Education 7% (9) 8% (10) 21% (24) 28% (32) 13% (15) 23% (26) 116#1 Issue: Energy 5% (6) 9% (11) 27% (31) 36% (40) 17% (19) 5% (6) 113#1 Issue: Other 6% (7) 12% (14) 20% (24) 19% (23) 29% (34) 13% (16) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 5% (39) 12% (96) 25% (201) 30% (242) 20% (161) 9% (71) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 11% (77) 22% (150) 17% (118) 14% (94) 25% (171) 10% (68) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 5% (4) 15% (12) 9% (7) 16% (12) 28% (22) 27% (21) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 5% (33) 11% (81) 26% (187) 31% (219) 19% (138) 8% (58) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 10% (74) 24% (170) 16% (117) 13% (97) 26% (189) 10% (71) 7182016 Vote: Other 4% (6) 12% (19) 14% (22) 25% (39) 29% (45) 15% (23) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 7% (29) 8% (33) 18% (72) 24% (94) 18% (71) 25% (101) 400


212





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely



Registered Voters 7% (142) 15% (304) 20% (398) 23% (449) 22% (444) 13% (254) 1992Voted in 2014: Yes 8% (108) 17% (231) 20% (281) 22% (299) 24% (331) 9% (122) 1372Voted in 2014: No 6% (35) 12% (73) 19% (117) 24% (150) 18% (113) 21% (132) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 5% (43) 11% (93) 25% (205) 29% (239) 22% (179) 9% (74) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 11% (61) 25% (140) 14% (79) 13% (72) 27% (152) 10% (53) 5572012 Vote: Other 11% (8) 17% (13) 16% (12) 24% (19) 22% (17) 10% (8) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 6% (30) 11% (58) 19% (99) 23% (118) 18% (91) 23% (117) 5144-Region: Northeast 7% (24) 15% (55) 24% (87) 21% (73) 23% (82) 10% (35) 3554-Region: Midwest 6% (28) 15% (69) 19% (85) 25% (113) 22% (102) 13% (60) 4584-Region: South 8% (60) 17% (127) 19% (144) 21% (159) 22% (163) 12% (91) 7444-Region: West 7% (30) 12% (54) 19% (82) 24% (104) 22% (97) 15% (67) 435Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 5% (44) 10% (94) 24% (224) 31% (288) 19% (175) 10% (96) 922Party: Republican/Leans Republican 11% (88) 21% (172) 17% (136) 15% (121) 24% (198) 12% (95) 810Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 5% (47) 12% (110) 25% (227) 31% (281) 18% (167) 8% (75) 908Vote in Republican primary or caucus 12% (79) 20% (137) 17% (116) 16% (108) 25% (171) 10% (70) 681Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 3% (2) 22% (18) 22% (18) 19% (16) 29% (24) 5% (4) 83Don’t know / No opinion 3% (5) 12% (19) 8% (13) 10% (16) 29% (46) 37% (58) 158Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



213

Table POL11_2

Table POL11_2: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the following make you more or less likely to support a candidate, orwould it make no difference either way?The candidate had supported the Iraq War



Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely





214





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely






215

Table POL11_2




Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely





216





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely






217

Table POL11_3

Table POL11_3: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the following make you more or less likely to support a candidate, orwould it make no difference either way?The candidate had a history of mistreating women



Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely



Registered Voters 3% (52) 4% (74) 16% (314) 58% (1163) 11% (226) 8% (162) 1992Gender: Male 3% (32) 5% (43) 17% (162) 54% (505) 13% (120) 7% (70) 932Gender: Female 2% (20) 3% (31) 14% (152) 62% (658) 10% (106) 9% (92) 1060Age: 18-29 5% (16) 7% (24) 13% (44) 50% (166) 10% (35) 14% (48) 332Age: 30-44 2% (10) 6% (27) 13% (61) 59% (278) 10% (48) 10% (47) 471Age: 45-54 2% (7) 2% (6) 17% (56) 56% (180) 14% (45) 8% (25) 319Age: 55-64 4% (17) 3% (11) 18% (75) 56% (227) 13% (54) 5% (22) 406Age: 65+ — (2) 1% (6) 17% (79) 67% (312) 10% (44) 4% (20) 463Generation Z: 18-22 6% (9) 6% (7) 14% (18) 43% (58) 11% (15) 20% (26) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 3% (13) 7% (33) 13% (64) 56% (271) 11% (52) 10% (50) 484Generation X: Age 39-54 2% (11) 3% (17) 15% (78) 58% (295) 12% (61) 9% (44) 506Boomers: Age 55-73 2% (19) 2% (14) 17% (132) 61% (459) 12% (91) 5% (40) 753PID: Dem (no lean) 3% (20) 4% (33) 12% (88) 69% (531) 7% (52) 5% (40) 764PID: Ind (no lean) 2% (13) 2% (12) 15% (81) 58% (319) 12% (65) 11% (59) 549PID: Rep (no lean) 3% (19) 4% (30) 21% (145) 46% (313) 16% (109) 9% (63) 679PID/Gender: DemMen 4% (13) 6% (18) 13% (39) 62% (192) 9% (28) 6% (20) 309PID/Gender: DemWomen 2% (7) 3% (16) 11% (49) 74% (338) 5% (24) 4% (20) 454PID/Gender: Ind Men 2% (6) 2% (5) 19% (55) 56% (165) 13% (38) 9% (25) 293PID/Gender: Ind Women 3% (8) 3% (6) 11% (27) 60% (154) 11% (27) 13% (34) 256PID/Gender: Rep Men 4% (14) 6% (21) 21% (69) 45% (148) 17% (55) 7% (25) 330PID/Gender: Rep Women 2% (5) 3% (9) 22% (76) 47% (166) 16% (55) 11% (39) 349Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 2% (14) 4% (24) 11% (62) 75% (424) 5% (26) 2% (12) 562Ideo: Moderate (4) 3% (14) 5% (23) 18% (92) 58% (298) 12% (61) 6% (28) 516Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 2% (17) 3% (25) 20% (148) 50% (371) 16% (116) 8% (61) 738Educ: < College 3% (42) 4% (49) 14% (179) 56% (705) 12% (148) 10% (130) 1253Educ: Bachelors degree 1% (4) 4% (19) 16% (75) 64% (300) 11% (50) 5% (23) 471Educ: Post-grad 2% (6) 2% (7) 23% (61) 59% (159) 10% (28) 3% (9) 268


218





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely



Registered Voters 3% (52) 4% (74) 16% (314) 58% (1163) 11% (226) 8% (162) 1992Income: Under 50k 3% (33) 5% (48) 14% (143) 58% (597) 11% (116) 9% (96) 1033Income: 50k-100k 3% (17) 3% (17) 17% (110) 60% (396) 11% (70) 8% (51) 660Income: 100k+ 1% (2) 3% (10) 21% (62) 57% (170) 13% (40) 5% (16) 298Ethnicity: White 2% (37) 3% (51) 16% (252) 60% (968) 11% (185) 7% (118) 1611Ethnicity: Hispanic 4% (8) 5% (10) 18% (34) 54% (103) 12% (23) 8% (15) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 4% (11) 7% (19) 14% (34) 51% (128) 10% (25) 14% (35) 253Ethnicity: Other 3% (4) 4% (5) 22% (28) 52% (67) 12% (16) 7% (9) 128All Christian 2% (21) 3% (31) 19% (181) 59% (571) 11% (110) 6% (60) 975All Non-Christian 2% (2) 5% (5) 13% (12) 58% (54) 14% (14) 7% (7) 94Atheist — (0) 5% (5) 12% (10) 74% (66) 6% (5) 4% (3) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 3% (29) 4% (34) 13% (110) 57% (472) 12% (97) 11% (92) 834Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 2% (2) 4% (5) 17% (19) 56% (65) 13% (15) 8% (9) 114Evangelical 3% (18) 5% (28) 17% (99) 53% (302) 11% (64) 10% (55) 566Non-Evangelical 2% (14) 2% (16) 17% (124) 62% (455) 11% (82) 6% (45) 736Community: Urban 5% (22) 5% (21) 14% (65) 58% (266) 9% (40) 10% (44) 457Community: Suburban 1% (12) 4% (38) 17% (167) 61% (596) 11% (105) 7% (65) 983Community: Rural 3% (18) 3% (16) 15% (83) 55% (301) 15% (81) 10% (53) 551Employ: Private Sector 3% (18) 4% (29) 15% (106) 62% (442) 10% (72) 7% (50) 718Employ: Government 1% (2) 6% (7) 18% (22) 52% (63) 13% (16) 9% (11) 122Employ: Self-Employed 6% (9) 7% (10) 17% (25) 49% (73) 15% (22) 6% (9) 148Employ: Homemaker 2% (3) 3% (4) 19% (25) 59% (76) 7% (9) 10% (13) 129Employ: Retired 1% (6) 2% (8) 18% (89) 62% (299) 11% (51) 7% (32) 486Employ: Unemployed 2% (4) 6% (10) 11% (20) 51% (89) 18% (31) 11% (20) 174Employ: Other 6% (8) 2% (2) 14% (18) 55% (71) 13% (17) 10% (13) 128Military HH: Yes 2% (7) 4% (14) 14% (52) 61% (224) 10% (37) 8% (31) 364Military HH: No 3% (45) 4% (61) 16% (262) 58% (939) 12% (189) 8% (131) 1628RD/WT: Right Direction 3% (28) 5% (39) 18% (157) 46% (395) 17% (142) 11% (90) 850RD/WT: Wrong Track 2% (24) 3% (35) 14% (158) 67% (768) 7% (84) 6% (73) 1142



219

Table POL11_3




Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely



Registered Voters 3% (52) 4% (74) 16% (314) 58% (1163) 11% (226) 8% (162) 1992Trump Job Approve 3% (28) 5% (42) 20% (174) 46% (407) 17% (146) 9% (81) 877Trump Job Disapprove 2% (22) 3% (30) 13% (136) 70% (739) 7% (69) 5% (54) 1049Trump Job Strongly Approve 3% (18) 5% (28) 19% (102) 43% (226) 19% (99) 10% (50) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 3% (10) 4% (14) 20% (72) 51% (182) 13% (47) 9% (30) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 3% (6) 2% (5) 18% (43) 63% (150) 10% (23) 5% (12) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 2% (16) 3% (25) 12% (93) 73% (589) 6% (45) 5% (42) 811Favorable of Trump 3% (29) 5% (41) 20% (177) 46% (400) 17% (144) 9% (75) 867Unfavorable of Trump 2% (21) 3% (29) 13% (134) 71% (741) 6% (66) 5% (49) 1039Very Favorable of Trump 4% (21) 5% (26) 19% (101) 44% (238) 19% (105) 9% (48) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 2% (8) 4% (15) 23% (77) 49% (162) 12% (40) 8% (27) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 2% (3) 1% (3) 19% (36) 63% (119) 8% (15) 7% (14) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 2% (18) 3% (26) 11% (97) 73% (622) 6% (51) 4% (35) 850#1 Issue: Economy 3% (14) 3% (14) 20% (96) 53% (259) 13% (65) 8% (40) 489#1 Issue: Security 2% (7) 4% (16) 18% (64) 52% (183) 15% (52) 9% (33) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 3% (10) 4% (15) 12% (48) 64% (248) 10% (40) 7% (26) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 2% (7) 4% (12) 16% (55) 61% (207) 10% (35) 7% (23) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 8% (6) 2% (2) 18% (13) 62% (46) 2% (2) 8% (6) 75#1 Issue: Education 5% (6) 4% (4) 14% (16) 56% (65) 8% (10) 13% (15) 116#1 Issue: Energy — (0) 5% (6) 12% (13) 76% (85) 4% (4) 4% (4) 113#1 Issue: Other 2% (2) 4% (5) 7% (9) 58% (69) 15% (18) 13% (16) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 3% (21) 4% (29) 14% (111) 70% (564) 7% (53) 4% (31) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 2% (16) 4% (28) 21% (146) 48% (323) 17% (117) 7% (48) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 3% (2) 2% (1) 8% (6) 60% (47) 12% (9) 16% (12) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 3% (19) 4% (27) 14% (98) 70% (504) 6% (42) 4% (27) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 2% (16) 4% (27) 21% (148) 48% (342) 18% (129) 8% (57) 7182016 Vote: Other 1% (2) 2% (2) 15% (23) 69% (106) 9% (14) 4% (6) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 4% (15) 5% (18) 11% (43) 53% (211) 10% (41) 18% (70) 400


220





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely



Registered Voters 3% (52) 4% (74) 16% (314) 58% (1163) 11% (226) 8% (162) 1992Voted in 2014: Yes 2% (30) 3% (48) 17% (233) 60% (827) 11% (156) 6% (78) 1372Voted in 2014: No 3% (22) 4% (27) 13% (81) 54% (336) 11% (70) 14% (84) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 3% (23) 3% (25) 14% (113) 68% (568) 8% (63) 5% (38) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 2% (10) 4% (20) 21% (114) 51% (285) 16% (89) 7% (39) 5572012 Vote: Other 2% (1) 2% (1) 14% (11) 52% (40) 23% (18) 9% (7) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 3% (17) 6% (28) 15% (75) 51% (264) 10% (53) 15% (77) 5144-Region: Northeast 1% (4) 3% (12) 18% (63) 57% (203) 13% (47) 8% (27) 3554-Region: Midwest 3% (13) 3% (15) 14% (62) 62% (282) 11% (51) 8% (35) 4584-Region: South 3% (26) 5% (37) 15% (110) 57% (426) 11% (79) 9% (66) 7444-Region: West 2% (10) 2% (10) 18% (80) 58% (253) 11% (49) 8% (34) 435Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 3% (23) 4% (34) 12% (109) 70% (644) 7% (65) 5% (46) 922Party: Republican/Leans Republican 3% (20) 4% (34) 21% (172) 47% (377) 16% (132) 9% (75) 810Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 3% (25) 4% (37) 13% (122) 71% (644) 6% (57) 2% (23) 908Vote in Republican primary or caucus 3% (18) 4% (29) 21% (141) 47% (321) 17% (116) 8% (56) 681Not likely to vote in primary or caucus — (0) 1% (1) 18% (15) 69% (57) 9% (7) 3% (3) 83Don’t know / No opinion 4% (6) 3% (5) 11% (17) 43% (68) 14% (22) 25% (40) 158Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



221

Table POL11_4

Table POL11_4: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the following make you more or less likely to support a candidate, orwould it make no difference either way?The candidate had mishandled allegations of sexual assault



Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely





222





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely






223

Table POL11_4




Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely



Registered Voters 2% (42) 4% (78) 22% (448) 47% (940) 15% (308) 9% (177) 1992Trump Job Approve 2% (18) 4% (38) 24% (212) 39% (343) 20% (174) 10% (91) 877Trump Job Disapprove 2% (21) 4% (37) 22% (230) 56% (584) 11% (118) 6% (59) 1049Trump Job Strongly Approve 3% (13) 4% (19) 23% (121) 38% (196) 23% (118) 11% (55) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 1% (5) 5% (18) 26% (91) 42% (147) 16% (56) 10% (36) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 2% (4) 7% (16) 23% (55) 48% (114) 15% (35) 6% (13) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 2% (17) 3% (21) 22% (175) 58% (469) 10% (83) 6% (46) 811Favorable of Trump 2% (19) 5% (43) 24% (206) 39% (342) 21% (179) 9% (79) 867Unfavorable of Trump 2% (21) 3% (29) 23% (235) 57% (590) 10% (107) 6% (58) 1039Very Favorable of Trump 3% (15) 4% (19) 23% (125) 37% (201) 23% (125) 10% (54) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 1% (4) 7% (24) 25% (81) 43% (141) 17% (54) 7% (24) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 1% (3) 3% (6) 28% (54) 46% (87) 13% (24) 8% (16) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 2% (18) 3% (23) 21% (182) 59% (502) 10% (83) 5% (42) 850#1 Issue: Economy 2% (8) 5% (23) 23% (112) 45% (221) 17% (81) 9% (44) 489#1 Issue: Security 2% (6) 6% (20) 23% (83) 42% (148) 21% (73) 7% (25) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 2% (7) 4% (17) 20% (79) 49% (191) 14% (53) 10% (40) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 3% (9) 2% (8) 28% (95) 45% (152) 15% (52) 7% (22) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 7% (5) 2% (2) 15% (11) 61% (46) 4% (3) 11% (8) 75#1 Issue: Education 4% (4) 4% (4) 11% (12) 59% (68) 12% (14) 11% (12) 116#1 Issue: Energy 2% (2) 4% (5) 24% (27) 55% (62) 8% (9) 7% (7) 113#1 Issue: Other — (0) — (0) 24% (28) 43% (51) 19% (22) 15% (17) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 2% (17) 5% (44) 23% (185) 54% (437) 11% (89) 5% (38) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 2% (14) 3% (19) 25% (171) 41% (277) 21% (145) 8% (51) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 3% (2) — (0) 14% (10) 52% (40) 15% (12) 17% (13) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 2% (16) 6% (40) 23% (164) 54% (385) 12% (84) 4% (28) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 2% (14) 3% (21) 25% (178) 40% (288) 22% (155) 9% (62) 7182016 Vote: Other 1% (2) 1% (1) 22% (33) 56% (86) 16% (24) 4% (6) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 3% (10) 4% (16) 17% (69) 45% (181) 11% (44) 20% (80) 400


224





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely



Registered Voters 2% (42) 4% (78) 22% (448) 47% (940) 15% (308) 9% (177) 1992Voted in 2014: Yes 2% (27) 4% (57) 24% (324) 48% (660) 16% (225) 6% (77) 1372Voted in 2014: No 2% (15) 3% (20) 20% (123) 45% (279) 13% (82) 16% (100) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 3% (21) 5% (38) 23% (191) 52% (431) 13% (106) 5% (44) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 1% (8) 3% (15) 24% (133) 44% (243) 21% (120) 7% (38) 5572012 Vote: Other 2% (1) — (0) 20% (16) 44% (34) 25% (19) 9% (7) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 2% (12) 5% (24) 20% (105) 44% (228) 12% (59) 17% (87) 5144-Region: Northeast 1% (4) 7% (25) 21% (75) 47% (168) 14% (50) 9% (33) 3554-Region: Midwest 2% (9) 4% (20) 20% (92) 52% (240) 15% (69) 6% (28) 4584-Region: South 3% (20) 3% (24) 24% (178) 45% (334) 15% (112) 10% (75) 7444-Region: West 2% (9) 2% (9) 24% (102) 45% (197) 18% (77) 9% (41) 435Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 3% (24) 4% (39) 22% (207) 55% (503) 11% (97) 6% (52) 922Party: Republican/Leans Republican 2% (13) 4% (29) 23% (189) 40% (325) 21% (170) 10% (83) 810Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 3% (23) 5% (45) 23% (209) 55% (504) 11% (99) 3% (29) 908Vote in Republican primary or caucus 2% (13) 3% (23) 24% (162) 41% (280) 21% (140) 9% (62) 681Not likely to vote in primary or caucus — (0) 4% (3) 24% (20) 52% (43) 13% (11) 7% (6) 83Don’t know / No opinion 2% (4) 2% (3) 13% (21) 38% (60) 18% (28) 26% (42) 158Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



225

Table POL11_5

Table POL11_5: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the following make you more or less likely to support a candidate, orwould it make no difference either way?The candidate had taken donations fromWall Street



Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely





226





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely






227

Table POL11_5




Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely



Registered Voters 3% (51) 4% (81) 19% (371) 27% (529) 36% (712) 12% (246) 1992Trump Job Approve 4% (32) 5% (42) 16% (137) 22% (194) 41% (361) 13% (111) 877Trump Job Disapprove 2% (17) 4% (38) 22% (233) 31% (324) 32% (331) 10% (106) 1049Trump Job Strongly Approve 5% (25) 5% (24) 12% (63) 23% (120) 43% (223) 13% (68) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 2% (7) 5% (18) 21% (74) 21% (74) 39% (139) 12% (42) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 2% (4) 5% (12) 25% (59) 25% (59) 34% (80) 10% (24) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 2% (13) 3% (26) 21% (174) 33% (266) 31% (251) 10% (82) 811Favorable of Trump 4% (35) 5% (44) 15% (134) 21% (184) 42% (366) 12% (104) 867Unfavorable of Trump 1% (15) 3% (35) 22% (232) 32% (335) 31% (325) 9% (98) 1039Very Favorable of Trump 5% (29) 6% (31) 12% (62) 23% (124) 43% (230) 12% (63) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 2% (6) 4% (14) 22% (72) 18% (60) 41% (135) 12% (41) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 1% (1) 3% (6) 27% (51) 28% (53) 30% (57) 12% (22) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 2% (14) 3% (29) 21% (181) 33% (283) 32% (268) 9% (76) 850#1 Issue: Economy 2% (10) 5% (22) 20% (96) 27% (131) 35% (170) 12% (60) 489#1 Issue: Security 4% (13) 5% (16) 15% (52) 21% (73) 45% (160) 11% (41) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 2% (6) 4% (17) 18% (71) 28% (110) 34% (132) 13% (51) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 2% (7) 3% (11) 19% (65) 30% (100) 37% (124) 10% (32) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 3% (3) 3% (2) 16% (12) 33% (25) 22% (16) 23% (17) 75#1 Issue: Education 6% (7) 4% (5) 20% (23) 29% (34) 22% (26) 19% (22) 116#1 Issue: Energy 5% (5) 4% (4) 26% (29) 30% (34) 28% (31) 8% (9) 113#1 Issue: Other 1% (1) 3% (4) 19% (23) 20% (24) 44% (52) 12% (14) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 2% (19) 5% (39) 22% (180) 30% (240) 33% (267) 8% (64) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 3% (17) 5% (31) 16% (106) 24% (163) 43% (293) 10% (69) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 3% (2) — (0) 11% (8) 36% (28) 24% (19) 27% (21) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 2% (16) 5% (36) 22% (154) 29% (206) 34% (244) 8% (60) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 3% (21) 4% (30) 16% (116) 22% (160) 44% (315) 11% (76) 7182016 Vote: Other 1% (2) 1% (1) 20% (31) 32% (49) 37% (57) 8% (13) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 3% (13) 3% (14) 17% (68) 29% (114) 24% (95) 24% (97) 400


228





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely



Registered Voters 3% (51) 4% (81) 19% (371) 27% (529) 36% (712) 12% (246) 1992Voted in 2014: Yes 2% (32) 5% (62) 19% (258) 27% (373) 38% (527) 9% (120) 1372Voted in 2014: No 3% (19) 3% (19) 18% (113) 25% (157) 30% (185) 20% (126) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 2% (19) 5% (42) 19% (161) 31% (254) 33% (276) 10% (79) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 2% (14) 3% (16) 17% (94) 23% (129) 46% (257) 8% (47) 5572012 Vote: Other 2% (1) 4% (3) 22% (17) 20% (15) 47% (36) 7% (5) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 3% (17) 4% (18) 19% (99) 25% (128) 27% (138) 22% (114) 5144-Region: Northeast 3% (10) 4% (16) 17% (61) 29% (102) 38% (134) 9% (33) 3554-Region: Midwest 2% (10) 4% (19) 23% (103) 28% (129) 31% (144) 11% (52) 4584-Region: South 3% (22) 5% (36) 18% (132) 25% (183) 36% (265) 14% (106) 7444-Region: West 2% (10) 2% (10) 17% (75) 26% (115) 39% (170) 13% (56) 435Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 2% (22) 5% (44) 23% (212) 31% (283) 30% (277) 9% (84) 922Party: Republican/Leans Republican 3% (25) 4% (34) 15% (121) 23% (184) 43% (345) 12% (100) 810Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 3% (25) 5% (46) 22% (200) 32% (290) 31% (281) 7% (66) 908Vote in Republican primary or caucus 3% (18) 5% (32) 15% (105) 23% (160) 43% (292) 11% (75) 681Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 2% (2) — (0) 24% (20) 34% (28) 36% (30) 4% (3) 83Don’t know / No opinion 1% (2) 1% (2) 16% (25) 17% (27) 29% (46) 35% (56) 158Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



229

Table POL11_6

Table POL11_6: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the following make you more or less likely to support a candidate, orwould it make no difference either way?The candidate considered opposing President Obama in 2012



Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely





230





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely






231

Table POL11_6




Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely





232





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely






233

Table POL11_7

Table POL11_7: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the following make you more or less likely to support a candidate, orwould it make no difference either way?The candidate had a history of embracing authoritarian socialist movements



Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely





234





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely






235

Table POL11_7




Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely





236





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely



Registered Voters 3% (59) 8% (153) 16% (322) 45% (903) 15% (295) 13% (261) 1992Voted in 2014: Yes 3% (46) 7% (102) 16% (223) 51% (700) 13% (183) 9% (119) 1372Voted in 2014: No 2% (13) 8% (51) 16% (99) 33% (203) 18% (112) 23% (142) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 4% (31) 9% (78) 21% (176) 37% (310) 18% (148) 11% (87) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 3% (17) 4% (22) 9% (49) 69% (384) 8% (46) 7% (38) 5572012 Vote: Other — (0) 6% (5) 12% (10) 68% (53) 9% (7) 5% (4) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 2% (11) 9% (48) 17% (86) 29% (150) 17% (90) 25% (130) 5144-Region: Northeast 3% (10) 8% (27) 17% (62) 48% (169) 14% (51) 10% (36) 3554-Region: Midwest 2% (10) 7% (34) 17% (77) 42% (194) 16% (75) 15% (67) 4584-Region: South 4% (26) 8% (61) 15% (110) 46% (340) 14% (105) 14% (102) 7444-Region: West 3% (12) 7% (31) 17% (73) 46% (200) 14% (63) 13% (56) 435Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 3% (29) 10% (91) 23% (214) 34% (311) 18% (163) 12% (113) 922Party: Republican/Leans Republican 3% (26) 5% (44) 10% (77) 62% (501) 10% (80) 10% (82) 810Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 3% (26) 10% (95) 24% (219) 36% (324) 17% (154) 10% (91) 908Vote in Republican primary or caucus 4% (29) 5% (36) 9% (62) 62% (422) 11% (74) 8% (58) 681Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 1% (1) 13% (10) 6% (5) 59% (49) 12% (10) 9% (7) 83Don’t know / No opinion 2% (2) 4% (6) 9% (14) 29% (46) 20% (32) 36% (57) 158Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



237

Table POL11_8

Table POL11_8: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the following make you more or less likely to support a candidate, orwould it make no difference either way?The candidate had a history of changing positions on policy and political issues



Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely





238





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely






239

Table POL11_8




Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely





240





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely






241

Table POL11_9

Table POL11_9: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the following make you more or less likely to support a candidate, orwould it make no difference either way?The candidate supported a Medicare-for-all health system, where all Americans would get their health insurance from the government, over preservingand improving the Affordable Care Act.



Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely





242





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely



Registered Voters 19% (377) 18% (355) 14% (283) 28% (562) 11% (225) 10% (191) 1992Income: Under 50k 23% (238) 17% (175) 13% (134) 25% (255) 12% (120) 11% (112) 1033Income: 50k-100k 16% (103) 18% (121) 16% (108) 30% (198) 10% (69) 9% (62) 660Income: 100k+ 12% (36) 20% (59) 14% (41) 36% (109) 12% (36) 6% (18) 298Ethnicity: White 17% (278) 18% (283) 14% (225) 32% (508) 11% (182) 8% (136) 1611Ethnicity: Hispanic 26% (50) 19% (38) 18% (35) 20% (38) 7% (14) 9% (17) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 27% (67) 18% (46) 16% (41) 11% (29) 11% (28) 17% (42) 253Ethnicity: Other 24% (31) 20% (26) 14% (18) 20% (25) 11% (15) 11% (13) 128All Christian 13% (124) 17% (167) 16% (152) 37% (357) 11% (109) 7% (65) 975All Non-Christian 18% (17) 19% (18) 17% (16) 25% (24) 13% (12) 7% (7) 94Atheist 35% (31) 24% (22) 15% (14) 14% (13) 5% (5) 6% (5) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 25% (204) 18% (148) 12% (101) 20% (168) 12% (99) 14% (113) 834Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 16% (18) 17% (20) 19% (21) 28% (32) 12% (13) 9% (10) 114Evangelical 17% (94) 13% (75) 13% (73) 35% (196) 11% (64) 11% (64) 566Non-Evangelical 18% (129) 19% (143) 15% (110) 31% (225) 11% (78) 7% (51) 736Community: Urban 25% (115) 21% (97) 16% (72) 17% (76) 9% (42) 12% (55) 457Community: Suburban 17% (172) 17% (165) 14% (141) 33% (323) 11% (105) 8% (77) 983Community: Rural 16% (90) 17% (92) 13% (70) 30% (163) 14% (78) 11% (59) 551Employ: Private Sector 21% (149) 20% (145) 14% (98) 27% (195) 10% (69) 9% (62) 718Employ: Government 17% (21) 19% (23) 16% (19) 28% (34) 10% (12) 10% (13) 122Employ: Self-Employed 23% (35) 17% (25) 18% (27) 24% (36) 10% (14) 8% (11) 148Employ: Homemaker 14% (19) 19% (24) 15% (20) 27% (35) 14% (18) 10% (13) 129Employ: Retired 13% (61) 14% (66) 17% (81) 40% (194) 12% (60) 5% (24) 486Employ: Unemployed 20% (35) 18% (31) 10% (18) 20% (35) 18% (31) 14% (25) 174Employ: Other 27% (35) 18% (23) 10% (12) 15% (19) 9% (12) 20% (26) 128Military HH: Yes 17% (62) 14% (50) 15% (56) 35% (126) 11% (40) 8% (29) 364Military HH: No 19% (315) 19% (305) 14% (227) 27% (435) 11% (184) 10% (162) 1628



243

Table POL11_9




Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely



Registered Voters 19% (377) 18% (355) 14% (283) 28% (562) 11% (225) 10% (191) 1992RD/WT: Right Direction 11% (92) 10% (89) 13% (108) 45% (382) 11% (96) 10% (84) 850RD/WT: Wrong Track 25% (285) 23% (266) 15% (175) 16% (180) 11% (129) 9% (107) 1142Trump Job Approve 10% (89) 11% (92) 13% (111) 47% (412) 11% (95) 9% (78) 877Trump Job Disapprove 27% (283) 24% (252) 16% (166) 14% (145) 11% (117) 8% (86) 1049Trump Job Strongly Approve 10% (54) 8% (42) 9% (47) 55% (289) 10% (50) 8% (40) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 10% (36) 14% (51) 18% (63) 35% (123) 13% (44) 11% (38) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 18% (43) 24% (56) 16% (39) 19% (46) 14% (33) 9% (21) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 30% (240) 24% (196) 16% (127) 12% (99) 10% (84) 8% (65) 811Favorable of Trump 10% (88) 10% (90) 12% (108) 49% (421) 11% (92) 8% (69) 867Unfavorable of Trump 28% (286) 24% (254) 16% (168) 13% (132) 11% (117) 8% (82) 1039Very Favorable of Trump 11% (58) 7% (40) 9% (50) 55% (299) 11% (57) 7% (35) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 9% (30) 15% (50) 18% (58) 37% (122) 11% (34) 10% (34) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 18% (33) 22% (41) 17% (33) 17% (32) 15% (29) 11% (20) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 30% (252) 25% (212) 16% (135) 12% (100) 10% (88) 7% (62) 850#1 Issue: Economy 16% (76) 18% (90) 12% (61) 33% (163) 11% (51) 10% (48) 489#1 Issue: Security 10% (37) 12% (42) 10% (37) 47% (168) 12% (43) 8% (29) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 27% (103) 22% (86) 16% (61) 16% (60) 11% (41) 9% (35) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 17% (58) 16% (55) 19% (63) 29% (98) 11% (38) 8% (27) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 30% (22) 20% (15) 12% (9) 20% (15) 6% (4) 12% (9) 75#1 Issue: Education 27% (32) 14% (16) 17% (20) 14% (16) 9% (11) 19% (22) 116#1 Issue: Energy 25% (28) 32% (36) 17% (19) 13% (14) 9% (10) 5% (6) 113#1 Issue: Other 17% (20) 14% (17) 11% (13) 23% (27) 22% (26) 13% (15) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 25% (199) 25% (202) 19% (155) 14% (111) 11% (92) 6% (52) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 8% (55) 9% (63) 11% (78) 55% (372) 10% (69) 6% (42) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 15% (11) 20% (16) 11% (8) 16% (13) 13% (10) 25% (19) 78


244





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely



Registered Voters 19% (377) 18% (355) 14% (283) 28% (562) 11% (225) 10% (191) 19922016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 26% (188) 25% (177) 19% (133) 13% (91) 11% (80) 6% (46) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 9% (61) 10% (75) 13% (95) 51% (364) 11% (78) 6% (44) 7182016 Vote: Other 16% (25) 17% (27) 9% (14) 31% (48) 15% (23) 11% (17) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 26% (102) 18% (74) 10% (40) 15% (58) 11% (44) 20% (81) 400Voted in 2014: Yes 16% (226) 17% (236) 17% (228) 32% (444) 11% (156) 6% (83) 1372Voted in 2014: No 24% (151) 19% (119) 9% (56) 19% (117) 11% (69) 17% (108) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 26% (213) 23% (190) 18% (151) 14% (118) 12% (101) 7% (57) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 6% (36) 10% (54) 13% (72) 56% (309) 11% (61) 5% (25) 5572012 Vote: Other 8% (6) 11% (8) 8% (6) 55% (43) 8% (6) 10% (8) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 24% (121) 20% (102) 10% (50) 17% (89) 10% (53) 19% (99) 5144-Region: Northeast 18% (65) 18% (63) 15% (53) 29% (103) 12% (41) 9% (31) 3554-Region: Midwest 23% (104) 18% (81) 13% (61) 26% (121) 12% (55) 8% (35) 4584-Region: South 17% (129) 17% (128) 15% (108) 30% (226) 11% (82) 10% (71) 7444-Region: West 18% (79) 19% (83) 14% (60) 26% (113) 11% (46) 13% (54) 435Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 28% (261) 25% (233) 17% (157) 11% (101) 11% (101) 7% (68) 922Party: Republican/Leans Republican 10% (78) 9% (74) 13% (103) 50% (403) 10% (82) 9% (69) 810Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 29% (263) 26% (232) 17% (158) 13% (116) 10% (93) 5% (46) 908Vote in Republican primary or caucus 10% (68) 9% (59) 12% (84) 51% (347) 11% (74) 7% (48) 681Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 15% (12) 16% (13) 16% (14) 41% (34) 8% (7) 4% (3) 83Don’t know / No opinion 12% (19) 14% (23) 7% (11) 17% (27) 16% (25) 33% (53) 158Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



245

Table POL11_10

Table POL11_10: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the following make you more or less likely to support a candidate, orwould it make no difference either way?The candidate supported policies that took a hard line against illegal immigration



Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely





246





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely






247

Table POL11_10




Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely





248





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely






249

Table POL11_11

Table POL11_11: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the following make you more or less likely to support a candidate, orwould it make no difference either way?The candidate supported more immigrants coming into the country



Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely





250





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely






251

Table POL11_11




Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely





252





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely






253

Table POL11_12

Table POL11_12: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the following make you more or less likely to support a candidate, orwould it make no difference either way?The candidate supported getting rid of Immigration and Customs Enforcement, also known as ICE



Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely





254





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely






255

Table POL11_12




Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely





256





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely






257

Table POL11_13

Table POL11_13: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the following make you more or less likely to support a candidate, orwould it make no difference either way?The candidate supports the Second Amendment



Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely





258





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely






259

Table POL11_13




Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely





260





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely






261

Table POL11_14

Table POL11_14: When thinking about the presidential election, would each of the following make you more or less likely to support a candidate, orwould it make no difference either way?The candidate supports stricter gun control



Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely





262





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely






263

Table POL11_14




Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely





264





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely






265

Table POL12_1

Table POL12_1: Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?Because the country has become so divided, it’s important that we have a leader who unites us instead of one who represents my preferred policypositions and values.

Demographic Strongly agreeSomewhatagree

Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




266




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





267

Table POL12_1



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree


Registered Voters 38% (753) 32% (629) 12% (242) 7% (136) 12% (231) 1992Trump Job Strongly Approve 29% (154) 27% (142) 17% (90) 16% (82) 10% (54) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 26% (93) 41% (144) 14% (49) 5% (17) 15% (52) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 40% (96) 39% (93) 10% (23) 2% (4) 9% (22) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 49% (398) 29% (238) 9% (76) 4% (32) 8% (67) 811Favorable of Trump 29% (250) 32% (281) 15% (132) 12% (105) 11% (99) 867Unfavorable of Trump 47% (484) 32% (338) 10% (100) 3% (28) 9% (89) 1039Very Favorable of Trump 30% (163) 26% (138) 16% (87) 17% (89) 11% (62) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 26% (86) 44% (143) 14% (45) 5% (16) 11% (37) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 35% (66) 40% (76) 10% (20) 1% (2) 14% (26) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 49% (418) 31% (262) 9% (81) 3% (26) 7% (63) 850#1 Issue: Economy 32% (156) 35% (173) 15% (73) 6% (29) 12% (58) 489#1 Issue: Security 31% (110) 29% (102) 13% (46) 14% (51) 13% (47) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 40% (157) 35% (135) 10% (38) 5% (18) 11% (41) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 45% (152) 30% (103) 11% (38) 4% (15) 9% (31) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 39% (29) 27% (21) 10% (8) 6% (4) 18% (13) 75#1 Issue: Education 55% (64) 22% (25) 8% (10) — (0) 15% (17) 116#1 Issue: Energy 42% (47) 35% (39) 10% (11) 7% (8) 7% (7) 113#1 Issue: Other 32% (38) 27% (32) 17% (20) 10% (12) 14% (17) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 49% (400) 32% (258) 9% (74) 3% (28) 6% (50) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 27% (183) 32% (215) 17% (115) 13% (85) 12% (81) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 19% (15) 40% (31) 17% (13) 3% (3) 20% (16) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 51% (364) 30% (218) 9% (63) 3% (23) 7% (47) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 26% (189) 33% (239) 17% (122) 13% (91) 11% (77) 7182016 Vote: Other 30% (45) 38% (58) 13% (20) 6% (10) 13% (20) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 38% (151) 28% (114) 9% (37) 3% (12) 21% (86) 400Voted in 2014: Yes 38% (525) 32% (439) 13% (174) 8% (113) 9% (121) 1372Voted in 2014: No 37% (228) 31% (190) 11% (68) 4% (23) 18% (110) 620


268




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





269

Table POL12_2

Table POL12_2: Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?Because the stakes are so high, I’d rather have a leader whose policy positions and values exactly match my own, even if that means the country is moredivided.


Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




270




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





271

Table POL12_2



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




272




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





273

Table POL13_1

Table POL13_1: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, do you believe each of the following candidates received toomuch media coverage, too little media coverage, or the right amount of media coverage?Joe Biden

DemographicToo much media

coverageToo little media

coverageThe right amountof media coverage

Don’t Know / NoOpinion Total N

Registered Voters 36% (715) 11% (215) 36% (723) 17% (339) 1992Gender: Male 37% (346) 11% (99) 35% (328) 17% (160) 932Gender: Female 35% (369) 11% (116) 37% (395) 17% (180) 1060Age: 18-29 33% (109) 13% (43) 29% (98) 25% (83) 332Age: 30-44 32% (151) 11% (52) 39% (183) 18% (84) 471Age: 45-54 39% (123) 10% (33) 29% (91) 23% (72) 319Age: 55-64 39% (159) 12% (47) 37% (150) 12% (49) 406Age: 65+ 37% (172) 9% (40) 43% (201) 11% (51) 463Generation Z: 18-22 31% (41) 15% (20) 22% (30) 32% (42) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 32% (153) 12% (56) 38% (181) 19% (93) 484Generation X: Age 39-54 37% (188) 10% (53) 32% (161) 21% (104) 506Boomers: Age 55-73 38% (285) 10% (79) 40% (302) 12% (87) 753PID: Dem (no lean) 22% (164) 15% (111) 50% (383) 14% (104) 764PID: Ind (no lean) 35% (193) 10% (55) 34% (187) 21% (113) 549PID: Rep (no lean) 53% (357) 7% (48) 22% (153) 18% (122) 679PID/Gender: DemMen 19% (60) 16% (51) 50% (154) 15% (45) 309PID/Gender: DemWomen 23% (105) 13% (61) 51% (230) 13% (59) 454PID/Gender: Ind Men 41% (119) 7% (19) 32% (95) 20% (60) 293PID/Gender: Ind Women 29% (75) 14% (36) 36% (92) 21% (54) 256PID/Gender: Rep Men 51% (168) 9% (29) 24% (79) 17% (55) 330PID/Gender: Rep Women 54% (189) 6% (19) 21% (74) 19% (67) 349Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 28% (157) 11% (63) 51% (289) 10% (54) 562Ideo: Moderate (4) 27% (138) 16% (82) 39% (203) 18% (92) 516Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 51% (379) 8% (58) 26% (189) 15% (112) 738Educ: < College 36% (455) 11% (138) 33% (410) 20% (250) 1253Educ: Bachelors degree 36% (170) 10% (47) 42% (198) 12% (55) 471Educ: Post-grad 33% (89) 11% (30) 43% (115) 13% (34) 268Income: Under 50k 35% (362) 12% (121) 33% (344) 20% (207) 1033Income: 50k-100k 38% (248) 8% (56) 40% (266) 14% (91) 660Income: 100k+ 35% (105) 13% (39) 38% (113) 14% (42) 298


274










275

Table POL13_1






Registered Voters 36% (715) 11% (215) 36% (723) 17% (339) 1992Trump Job Strongly Approve 59% (307) 6% (34) 18% (96) 16% (86) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 39% (139) 9% (33) 33% (117) 19% (66) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 25% (60) 14% (33) 43% (102) 18% (42) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 25% (202) 14% (115) 49% (394) 12% (101) 811Favorable of Trump 52% (451) 7% (63) 24% (208) 17% (145) 867Unfavorable of Trump 24% (251) 14% (148) 48% (503) 13% (138) 1039Very Favorable of Trump 59% (316) 6% (33) 19% (103) 16% (87) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 41% (135) 9% (31) 32% (105) 18% (58) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 22% (42) 12% (23) 44% (84) 22% (41) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 25% (209) 15% (125) 49% (419) 11% (97) 850#1 Issue: Economy 42% (203) 10% (49) 31% (154) 17% (82) 489#1 Issue: Security 51% (181) 8% (30) 25% (90) 15% (55) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 27% (104) 11% (44) 43% (166) 19% (73) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 33% (113) 13% (45) 43% (146) 10% (34) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 33% (25) 10% (8) 33% (25) 23% (18) 75#1 Issue: Education 21% (25) 17% (20) 36% (42) 26% (30) 116#1 Issue: Energy 23% (26) 13% (15) 49% (55) 15% (16) 113#1 Issue: Other 31% (37) 4% (5) 38% (45) 26% (31) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 24% (193) 14% (111) 52% (418) 11% (88) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 52% (355) 8% (55) 23% (158) 16% (111) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 40% (31) 8% (6) 29% (22) 23% (18) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 22% (154) 16% (113) 51% (364) 12% (84) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 51% (369) 7% (51) 26% (186) 16% (112) 7182016 Vote: Other 48% (74) 6% (9) 33% (50) 13% (20) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 29% (117) 10% (42) 30% (120) 30% (122) 400Voted in 2014: Yes 37% (504) 11% (148) 39% (535) 14% (186) 1372Voted in 2014: No 34% (211) 11% (67) 30% (188) 25% (153) 620


276







Registered Voters 36% (715) 11% (215) 36% (723) 17% (339) 19922012 Vote: Barack Obama 25% (207) 13% (112) 49% (408) 12% (104) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 52% (290) 6% (33) 27% (153) 15% (81) 5572012 Vote: Other 62% (48) 11% (8) 12% (9) 15% (12) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 32% (164) 12% (62) 29% (147) 27% (140) 5144-Region: Northeast 32% (112) 14% (51) 36% (129) 18% (63) 3554-Region: Midwest 39% (176) 11% (49) 36% (166) 15% (67) 4584-Region: South 34% (253) 11% (80) 36% (269) 19% (141) 7444-Region: West 40% (174) 8% (35) 36% (159) 16% (68) 435Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 23% (216) 14% (127) 50% (458) 13% (121) 922Party: Republican/Leans Republican 52% (421) 8% (64) 23% (183) 17% (141) 810Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 26% (238) 14% (125) 50% (452) 10% (93) 908Vote in Republican primary or caucus 53% (361) 8% (51) 23% (155) 17% (113) 681Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 33% (27) 11% (9) 39% (32) 17% (14) 83Don’t know / No opinion 23% (37) 10% (16) 28% (44) 39% (61) 158Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



277

Table POL13_2

Table POL13_2: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, do you believe each of the following candidates received toomuch media coverage, too little media coverage, or the right amount of media coverage?Tulsi Gabbard







278










279

Table POL13_2








280










281

Table POL13_3

Table POL13_3: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, do you believe each of the following candidates received toomuch media coverage, too little media coverage, or the right amount of media coverage?Bernie Sanders







282










283

Table POL13_3








284










285

Table POL13_4

Table POL13_4: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, do you believe each of the following candidates received toomuch media coverage, too little media coverage, or the right amount of media coverage?Elizabeth Warren







286










287

Table POL13_4








288










289

Table POL13_5

Table POL13_5: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, do you believe each of the following candidates received toomuch media coverage, too little media coverage, or the right amount of media coverage?Michael Bloomberg







290










291

Table POL13_5








292










293

Table POL13_6

Table POL13_6: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, do you believe each of the following candidates received toomuch media coverage, too little media coverage, or the right amount of media coverage?Amy Klobuchar







294










295

Table POL13_6








296










297

Table POL13_7

Table POL13_7: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, do you believe each of the following candidates received toomuch media coverage, too little media coverage, or the right amount of media coverage?Pete Buttigieg







298










299

Table POL13_7








300










301

Table POL13_8

Table POL13_8: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, do you believe each of the following candidates received toomuch media coverage, too little media coverage, or the right amount of media coverage?Tom Steyer







302










303

Table POL13_8








304










305

Table POL13_9

Table POL13_9: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, do you believe each of the following candidates received toomuch media coverage, too little media coverage, or the right amount of media coverage?Deval Patrick







306










307

Table POL13_9








308










309

Table POL13_10

Table POL13_10: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, do you believe each of the following candidates received toomuch media coverage, too little media coverage, or the right amount of media coverage?Andrew Yang







310










311

Table POL13_10








312










313

Table POL13_11

Table POL13_11: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, do you believe each of the following candidates received toomuch media coverage, too little media coverage, or the right amount of media coverage?Michael Bennet







314










315

Table POL13_11








316










317

Table POL13_12

Table POL13_12: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, do you believe each of the following candidates received toomuch media coverage, too little media coverage, or the right amount of media coverage?John Delaney







318










319

Table POL13_12








320










321

Table POL13_13

Table POL13_13: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, do you believe each of the following candidates received toomuch media coverage, too little media coverage, or the right amount of media coverage?Cory Booker







322










323

Table POL13_13








324










325

Table POL13_14

Table POL13_14: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, do you believe each of the following candidates received toomuch media coverage, too little media coverage, or the right amount of media coverage?Marianne Williamson







326







Registered Voters 8% (161) 23% (451) 13% (253) 57% (1126) 1992Ethnicity: White 9% (141) 22% (348) 13% (214) 56% (908) 1611Ethnicity: Hispanic 8% (15) 25% (48) 15% (28) 52% (101) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 5% (13) 27% (69) 7% (17) 61% (153) 253Ethnicity: Other 6% (7) 27% (34) 17% (21) 51% (65) 128All Christian 9% (85) 23% (227) 13% (122) 55% (540) 975All Non-Christian 11% (10) 25% (23) 18% (17) 47% (44) 94Atheist 15% (13) 26% (23) 19% (17) 40% (36) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 6% (53) 21% (178) 12% (96) 61% (506) 834Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 10% (12) 23% (26) 17% (20) 49% (56) 114Evangelical 8% (45) 21% (120) 11% (63) 60% (338) 566Non-Evangelical 8% (62) 25% (182) 11% (82) 56% (410) 736Community: Urban 8% (37) 22% (102) 14% (62) 56% (257) 457Community: Suburban 8% (82) 23% (228) 14% (133) 55% (540) 983Community: Rural 8% (43) 22% (121) 11% (58) 60% (329) 551Employ: Private Sector 9% (64) 25% (178) 14% (99) 53% (377) 718Employ: Government 8% (9) 26% (32) 10% (12) 56% (68) 122Employ: Self-Employed 9% (13) 25% (36) 15% (22) 52% (77) 148Employ: Homemaker 6% (7) 18% (24) 15% (19) 61% (79) 129Employ: Retired 9% (45) 23% (111) 14% (66) 54% (264) 486Employ: Unemployed 3% (5) 18% (31) 11% (19) 68% (119) 174Employ: Other 6% (7) 21% (27) — (0) 73% (93) 128Military HH: Yes 7% (24) 24% (88) 11% (38) 59% (214) 364Military HH: No 8% (137) 22% (363) 13% (215) 56% (913) 1628RD/WT: Right Direction 9% (77) 19% (165) 13% (108) 59% (500) 850RD/WT: Wrong Track 7% (84) 25% (286) 13% (145) 55% (627) 1142Trump Job Approve 10% (84) 18% (160) 13% (117) 59% (517) 877Trump Job Disapprove 7% (76) 27% (284) 12% (131) 53% (558) 1049



327

Table POL13_14








328










329

Table POL13_15

Table POL13_15: Thinking back on the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee, do you believe each of the following candidates received toomuch media coverage, too little media coverage, or the right amount of media coverage?Julian Castro







330










331

Table POL13_15








332










333

Table POL14_1

Table POL14_1: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each of the following was…Joe Biden

Demographic Mostly positive Neutral Mostly negativeDon’t Know / No

Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 40% (796) 25% (499) 18% (349) 17% (347) 1992Gender: Male 44% (411) 25% (233) 15% (142) 16% (146) 932Gender: Female 36% (385) 25% (266) 20% (207) 19% (201) 1060Age: 18-29 32% (106) 26% (88) 18% (59) 24% (79) 332Age: 30-44 40% (189) 28% (133) 16% (77) 15% (72) 471Age: 45-54 30% (95) 24% (77) 21% (66) 25% (81) 319Age: 55-64 42% (170) 24% (99) 21% (84) 13% (53) 406Age: 65+ 51% (236) 22% (101) 14% (63) 13% (63) 463Generation Z: 18-22 30% (40) 24% (31) 15% (20) 31% (41) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 36% (176) 28% (138) 18% (85) 18% (85) 484Generation X: Age 39-54 35% (175) 26% (129) 19% (97) 21% (105) 506Boomers: Age 55-73 45% (341) 24% (179) 18% (135) 13% (98) 753PID: Dem (no lean) 48% (370) 27% (209) 12% (95) 12% (90) 764PID: Ind (no lean) 36% (199) 27% (148) 16% (90) 20% (112) 549PID: Rep (no lean) 33% (227) 21% (143) 24% (165) 21% (145) 679PID/Gender: DemMen 50% (155) 27% (83) 11% (35) 12% (36) 309PID/Gender: DemWomen 47% (215) 28% (126) 13% (60) 12% (53) 454PID/Gender: Ind Men 41% (121) 27% (80) 13% (38) 18% (53) 293PID/Gender: Ind Women 30% (78) 27% (68) 20% (51) 23% (59) 256PID/Gender: Rep Men 41% (134) 21% (70) 21% (69) 17% (57) 330PID/Gender: Rep Women 27% (93) 21% (73) 27% (96) 25% (88) 349Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 47% (266) 31% (172) 14% (81) 8% (43) 562Ideo: Moderate (4) 41% (212) 28% (142) 17% (89) 14% (73) 516Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 39% (285) 21% (153) 22% (160) 19% (140) 738Educ: < College 37% (468) 24% (307) 18% (222) 20% (256) 1253Educ: Bachelors degree 43% (204) 26% (124) 18% (87) 12% (57) 471Educ: Post-grad 46% (124) 26% (69) 15% (40) 13% (35) 268Income: Under 50k 37% (385) 24% (252) 17% (180) 21% (216) 1033Income: 50k-100k 44% (293) 26% (171) 16% (109) 13% (88) 660Income: 100k+ 40% (119) 26% (77) 20% (60) 14% (43) 298Ethnicity: White 39% (632) 25% (400) 19% (299) 17% (280) 1611


334




Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 40% (796) 25% (499) 18% (349) 17% (347) 1992Ethnicity: Hispanic 46% (90) 27% (51) 16% (31) 11% (21) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 48% (121) 22% (55) 11% (27) 20% (50) 253Ethnicity: Other 34% (43) 34% (44) 19% (24) 13% (17) 128All Christian 43% (423) 25% (244) 17% (166) 15% (142) 975All Non-Christian 44% (42) 33% (31) 14% (13) 9% (8) 94Atheist 33% (29) 40% (35) 18% (16) 10% (9) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 36% (302) 23% (189) 19% (154) 23% (188) 834Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 45% (51) 32% (36) 13% (15) 10% (12) 114Evangelical 36% (205) 24% (136) 19% (106) 21% (119) 566Non-Evangelical 45% (333) 24% (179) 16% (121) 14% (104) 736Community: Urban 43% (195) 26% (120) 17% (76) 15% (67) 457Community: Suburban 42% (410) 25% (246) 17% (171) 16% (156) 983Community: Rural 35% (192) 24% (134) 19% (102) 22% (124) 551Employ: Private Sector 40% (291) 27% (197) 18% (128) 14% (102) 718Employ: Government 44% (54) 26% (32) 11% (14) 19% (23) 122Employ: Self-Employed 43% (64) 21% (31) 18% (27) 18% (26) 148Employ: Homemaker 31% (40) 25% (33) 22% (28) 22% (29) 129Employ: Retired 46% (222) 23% (112) 17% (80) 15% (72) 486Employ: Unemployed 32% (56) 24% (42) 16% (29) 27% (47) 174Employ: Other 29% (37) 23% (29) 23% (30) 25% (32) 128Military HH: Yes 46% (166) 23% (83) 14% (50) 18% (65) 364Military HH: No 39% (630) 26% (416) 18% (299) 17% (283) 1628RD/WT: Right Direction 35% (299) 24% (205) 20% (168) 21% (178) 850RD/WT: Wrong Track 44% (497) 26% (294) 16% (181) 15% (169) 1142Trump Job Approve 34% (300) 24% (208) 22% (194) 20% (176) 877Trump Job Disapprove 46% (485) 26% (277) 14% (152) 13% (135) 1049Trump Job Strongly Approve 34% (176) 19% (98) 27% (143) 20% (105) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 35% (123) 31% (109) 14% (50) 20% (71) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 46% (110) 25% (59) 14% (34) 14% (34) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 46% (375) 27% (218) 14% (117) 13% (102) 811



335

Table POL14_1



Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 40% (796) 25% (499) 18% (349) 17% (347) 1992Favorable of Trump 36% (311) 23% (202) 22% (190) 19% (165) 867Unfavorable of Trump 46% (478) 27% (280) 15% (153) 12% (129) 1039Very Favorable of Trump 35% (186) 19% (100) 28% (149) 19% (104) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 38% (125) 31% (102) 13% (41) 18% (60) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 40% (77) 28% (53) 12% (23) 20% (37) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 47% (402) 27% (227) 15% (130) 11% (92) 850#1 Issue: Economy 37% (182) 23% (112) 22% (107) 18% (88) 489#1 Issue: Security 37% (130) 26% (91) 20% (72) 17% (62) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 42% (162) 29% (112) 15% (60) 14% (53) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 49% (165) 19% (65) 18% (60) 15% (49) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 38% (28) 29% (22) 15% (12) 18% (13) 75#1 Issue: Education 36% (42) 32% (37) 10% (11) 22% (26) 116#1 Issue: Energy 45% (50) 27% (30) 13% (15) 16% (17) 113#1 Issue: Other 31% (36) 26% (30) 12% (14) 32% (38) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 48% (391) 28% (228) 14% (115) 9% (76) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 37% (250) 24% (160) 20% (139) 19% (129) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 29% (22) 29% (22) 14% (11) 28% (22) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 49% (349) 28% (199) 13% (94) 10% (74) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 37% (267) 23% (162) 21% (153) 19% (137) 7182016 Vote: Other 38% (58) 29% (45) 18% (28) 15% (23) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 30% (122) 23% (92) 18% (74) 28% (112) 400Voted in 2014: Yes 43% (588) 26% (358) 17% (233) 14% (194) 1372Voted in 2014: No 34% (208) 23% (142) 19% (116) 25% (153) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 45% (376) 29% (238) 15% (121) 12% (97) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 39% (217) 22% (122) 21% (117) 18% (101) 5572012 Vote: Other 35% (27) 26% (20) 23% (18) 17% (13) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 34% (174) 23% (117) 18% (92) 26% (131) 514


336




Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 40% (796) 25% (499) 18% (349) 17% (347) 19924-Region: Northeast 42% (149) 27% (95) 17% (59) 15% (52) 3554-Region: Midwest 38% (175) 24% (111) 21% (95) 17% (76) 4584-Region: South 42% (310) 24% (176) 17% (124) 18% (134) 7444-Region: West 37% (162) 27% (117) 16% (72) 19% (84) 435Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 47% (437) 28% (257) 13% (124) 11% (104) 922Party: Republican/Leans Republican 35% (282) 22% (179) 23% (183) 20% (165) 810Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 49% (449) 29% (261) 13% (121) 8% (77) 908Vote in Republican primary or caucus 35% (236) 22% (153) 23% (155) 20% (136) 681Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 36% (29) 19% (16) 26% (21) 19% (16) 83Don’t know / No opinion 24% (38) 24% (38) 12% (20) 39% (62) 158Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



337

Table POL14_2

Table POL14_2: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each of the following was…Tulsi Gabbard


Opinion Total N



338




Opinion Total N




339

Table POL14_2



Opinion Total N



340




Opinion Total N




341

Table POL14_3

Table POL14_3: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each of the following was…Bernie Sanders


Opinion Total N



342




Opinion Total N




343

Table POL14_3



Opinion Total N



344




Opinion Total N




345

Table POL14_4

Table POL14_4: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each of the following was…Elizabeth Warren


Opinion Total N



346




Opinion Total N




347

Table POL14_4



Opinion Total N



348




Opinion Total N




349

Table POL14_5

Table POL14_5: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each of the following was…Michael Bloomberg


Opinion Total N



350




Opinion Total N




351

Table POL14_5



Opinion Total N



352




Opinion Total N




353

Table POL14_6

Table POL14_6: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each of the following was…Amy Klobuchar


Opinion Total N



354




Opinion Total N




355

Table POL14_6



Opinion Total N



356




Opinion Total N




357

Table POL14_7

Table POL14_7: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each of the following was…Pete Buttigieg


Opinion Total N



358




Opinion Total N




359

Table POL14_7



Opinion Total N



360




Opinion Total N




361

Table POL14_8

Table POL14_8: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each of the following was…Tom Steyer


Opinion Total N



362




Opinion Total N




363

Table POL14_8



Opinion Total N



364




Opinion Total N




365

Table POL14_9

Table POL14_9: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each of the following was…Deval Patrick


Opinion Total N



366




Opinion Total N




367

Table POL14_9



Opinion Total N



368




Opinion Total N




369

Table POL14_10

Table POL14_10: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each of the following was…Andrew Yang


Opinion Total N



370




Opinion Total N




371

Table POL14_10



Opinion Total N



372




Opinion Total N




373

Table POL14_11

Table POL14_11: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each of the following was…Michael Bennet


Opinion Total N



374




Opinion Total N




375

Table POL14_11



Opinion Total N



376




Opinion Total N




377

Table POL14_12

Table POL14_12: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each of the following was…John Delaney


Opinion Total N



378




Opinion Total N




379

Table POL14_12



Opinion Total N



380




Opinion Total N




381

Table POL14_13

Table POL14_13: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each of the following was…Cory Booker


Opinion Total N



382




Opinion Total N




383

Table POL14_13



Opinion Total N



384




Opinion Total N




385

Table POL14_14

Table POL14_14: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each of the following was…Marianne Williamson


Opinion Total N



386




Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 7% (145) 24% (469) 12% (234) 57% (1144) 1992Ethnicity: Hispanic 10% (20) 23% (44) 15% (29) 52% (99) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 11% (27) 28% (71) 9% (23) 52% (132) 253Ethnicity: Other 9% (12) 22% (28) 16% (20) 53% (68) 128All Christian 8% (78) 25% (248) 11% (105) 56% (544) 975All Non-Christian 7% (7) 27% (25) 21% (20) 45% (42) 94Atheist — (0) 23% (21) 21% (19) 55% (49) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 7% (60) 21% (175) 11% (90) 61% (509) 834Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 8% (9) 25% (28) 20% (23) 47% (54) 114Evangelical 8% (43) 23% (131) 9% (50) 60% (341) 566Non-Evangelical 8% (58) 24% (177) 11% (82) 57% (419) 736Community: Urban 8% (37) 24% (110) 12% (57) 55% (253) 457Community: Suburban 7% (70) 23% (228) 13% (125) 57% (560) 983Community: Rural 7% (37) 24% (131) 10% (53) 60% (331) 551Employ: Private Sector 8% (58) 23% (167) 13% (97) 55% (397) 718Employ: Government 10% (13) 25% (30) 6% (7) 59% (72) 122Employ: Self-Employed 8% (12) 25% (37) 13% (20) 54% (79) 148Employ: Homemaker 6% (8) 21% (27) 12% (16) 61% (78) 129Employ: Retired 7% (34) 26% (128) 13% (62) 54% (262) 486Employ: Unemployed 7% (12) 24% (41) 10% (17) 59% (103) 174Employ: Other 4% (5) 14% (18) 6% (7) 76% (97) 128Military HH: Yes 7% (26) 25% (92) 11% (39) 57% (207) 364Military HH: No 7% (118) 23% (377) 12% (196) 58% (937) 1628RD/WT: Right Direction 10% (81) 25% (209) 10% (87) 56% (474) 850RD/WT: Wrong Track 6% (64) 23% (260) 13% (148) 59% (671) 1142Trump Job Approve 9% (79) 23% (201) 11% (93) 57% (504) 877Trump Job Disapprove 6% (61) 25% (259) 13% (140) 56% (589) 1049Trump Job Strongly Approve 11% (58) 24% (126) 13% (69) 52% (270) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 6% (21) 21% (76) 7% (24) 66% (234) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 8% (19) 28% (66) 7% (17) 57% (136) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 5% (42) 24% (193) 15% (123) 56% (454) 811



387

Table POL14_14



Opinion Total N



388




Opinion Total N




389

Table POL14_15

Table POL14_15: And generally speaking would you say that the media coverage of each of the following was…Julian Castro


Opinion Total N



390




Opinion Total N




391

Table POL14_15



Opinion Total N



392




Opinion Total N




393

Table POLx_1

Table POLx_1: Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark ’Heard Of, No Opinion.’ Ifyou have not heard of the person, please mark ’Never Heard Of.’Mitch McConnell

Demographic Total Favorable Total UnfavorableHeard Of, NoOpinion Never Heard Of Total N

Registered Voters 25% (505) 44% (874) 20% (389) 11% (224) 1992Gender: Male 32% (297) 47% (435) 13% (124) 8% (76) 932Gender: Female 20% (208) 41% (439) 25% (265) 14% (148) 1060Age: 18-29 13% (43) 36% (118) 24% (79) 28% (92) 332Age: 30-44 17% (81) 45% (211) 24% (113) 14% (66) 471Age: 45-54 27% (87) 40% (129) 21% (67) 11% (37) 319Age: 55-64 33% (133) 47% (192) 15% (60) 5% (21) 406Age: 65+ 35% (161) 48% (225) 15% (69) 2% (8) 463Generation Z: 18-22 9% (12) 24% (31) 30% (40) 37% (49) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 16% (79) 44% (212) 23% (112) 17% (80) 484Generation X: Age 39-54 23% (118) 42% (215) 21% (107) 13% (66) 506Boomers: Age 55-73 33% (248) 49% (371) 14% (109) 3% (26) 753PID: Dem (no lean) 9% (71) 63% (477) 18% (139) 10% (76) 764PID: Ind (no lean) 18% (98) 46% (250) 21% (114) 16% (87) 549PID: Rep (no lean) 49% (336) 22% (146) 20% (136) 9% (61) 679PID/Gender: DemMen 10% (31) 71% (221) 10% (32) 8% (26) 309PID/Gender: DemWomen 9% (40) 56% (257) 23% (106) 11% (51) 454PID/Gender: Ind Men 23% (67) 50% (146) 15% (45) 12% (34) 293PID/Gender: Ind Women 12% (30) 41% (104) 27% (69) 21% (53) 256PID/Gender: Rep Men 60% (199) 21% (68) 14% (47) 5% (16) 330PID/Gender: Rep Women 39% (137) 22% (78) 26% (90) 13% (44) 349Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 8% (45) 70% (395) 13% (75) 8% (47) 562Ideo: Moderate (4) 21% (109) 48% (245) 22% (114) 9% (47) 516Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 46% (341) 27% (197) 18% (133) 9% (67) 738Educ: < College 25% (311) 38% (481) 24% (295) 13% (166) 1253Educ: Bachelors degree 25% (117) 54% (256) 12% (58) 8% (39) 471Educ: Post-grad 28% (76) 51% (137) 13% (36) 7% (19) 268


394

Morning ConsultTable POLx_1



Registered Voters 25% (505) 44% (874) 20% (389) 11% (224) 1992Income: Under 50k 23% (242) 39% (405) 24% (248) 13% (137) 1033Income: 50k-100k 28% (182) 49% (322) 15% (96) 9% (60) 660Income: 100k+ 27% (81) 49% (147) 15% (44) 9% (27) 298Ethnicity: White 27% (443) 44% (701) 19% (311) 10% (156) 1611Ethnicity: Hispanic 19% (36) 43% (82) 24% (46) 15% (29) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 18% (45) 42% (107) 22% (55) 18% (45) 253Ethnicity: Other 13% (17) 51% (66) 17% (22) 18% (23) 128All Christian 34% (328) 42% (413) 16% (155) 8% (79) 975All Non-Christian 24% (22) 55% (52) 13% (12) 8% (8) 94Atheist 6% (5) 74% (66) 11% (10) 9% (8) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 18% (150) 41% (343) 25% (212) 15% (129) 834Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 25% (29) 47% (54) 11% (12) 17% (19) 114Evangelical 34% (190) 31% (175) 23% (129) 13% (72) 566Non-Evangelical 28% (209) 48% (350) 17% (123) 7% (54) 736Community: Urban 19% (88) 46% (209) 22% (100) 13% (61) 457Community: Suburban 26% (253) 46% (450) 18% (173) 11% (107) 983Community: Rural 30% (164) 39% (215) 21% (116) 10% (56) 551Employ: Private Sector 25% (180) 46% (328) 21% (148) 9% (63) 718Employ: Government 25% (30) 40% (48) 19% (23) 16% (20) 122Employ: Self-Employed 22% (33) 51% (76) 16% (24) 10% (15) 148Employ: Homemaker 14% (18) 45% (58) 24% (30) 17% (22) 129Employ: Retired 37% (179) 47% (229) 13% (63) 3% (14) 486Employ: Unemployed 21% (37) 36% (63) 22% (38) 20% (36) 174Employ: Other 17% (22) 30% (38) 32% (40) 22% (28) 128Military HH: Yes 32% (117) 42% (154) 15% (56) 10% (36) 364Military HH: No 24% (388) 44% (720) 20% (333) 12% (188) 1628RD/WT: Right Direction 48% (410) 22% (188) 20% (166) 10% (86) 850RD/WT: Wrong Track 8% (95) 60% (686) 20% (223) 12% (138) 1142



395

Table POLx_1



Registered Voters 25% (505) 44% (874) 20% (389) 11% (224) 1992Trump Job Approve 48% (418) 23% (200) 19% (168) 10% (91) 877Trump Job Disapprove 8% (85) 64% (668) 18% (191) 10% (105) 1049Trump Job Strongly Approve 59% (307) 20% (107) 14% (75) 7% (35) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 31% (111) 26% (93) 26% (94) 16% (57) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 13% (32) 48% (113) 26% (62) 13% (30) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 7% (53) 68% (555) 16% (128) 9% (75) 811Favorable of Trump 50% (433) 22% (188) 18% (160) 10% (86) 867Unfavorable of Trump 7% (71) 65% (672) 19% (192) 10% (105) 1039Very Favorable of Trump 58% (314) 19% (100) 17% (90) 6% (35) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 36% (119) 27% (87) 21% (70) 16% (51) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 13% (24) 44% (83) 29% (55) 14% (27) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 5% (46) 69% (588) 16% (138) 9% (77) 850#1 Issue: Economy 29% (143) 36% (177) 23% (111) 12% (57) 489#1 Issue: Security 47% (166) 25% (90) 18% (63) 10% (36) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 13% (52) 57% (222) 17% (67) 12% (46) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 23% (78) 55% (187) 17% (58) 5% (16) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 16% (12) 40% (30) 19% (14) 25% (19) 75#1 Issue: Education 18% (21) 36% (42) 28% (33) 17% (20) 116#1 Issue: Energy 11% (12) 62% (70) 15% (17) 12% (14) 113#1 Issue: Other 17% (20) 48% (57) 21% (24) 14% (16) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 10% (81) 67% (545) 15% (121) 8% (63) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 52% (355) 24% (161) 17% (118) 7% (45) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 14% (11) 41% (31) 18% (14) 28% (21) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 9% (66) 69% (493) 15% (104) 7% (52) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 50% (362) 25% (182) 16% (117) 8% (57) 7182016 Vote: Other 19% (29) 51% (77) 21% (32) 10% (15) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 12% (46) 30% (118) 34% (136) 25% (100) 400


396




Registered Voters 25% (505) 44% (874) 20% (389) 11% (224) 1992Voted in 2014: Yes 29% (402) 49% (669) 15% (202) 7% (98) 1372Voted in 2014: No 17% (103) 33% (205) 30% (186) 20% (126) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 11% (95) 64% (534) 15% (128) 9% (74) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 50% (277) 27% (151) 16% (91) 7% (38) 5572012 Vote: Other 40% (31) 39% (30) 17% (13) 4% (3) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 19% (99) 29% (151) 30% (154) 21% (110) 5144-Region: Northeast 29% (104) 42% (150) 16% (58) 12% (43) 3554-Region: Midwest 24% (110) 43% (199) 21% (98) 11% (51) 4584-Region: South 29% (214) 43% (320) 18% (136) 10% (74) 7444-Region: West 18% (77) 47% (205) 22% (97) 13% (56) 435Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 9% (81) 63% (582) 18% (164) 10% (94) 922Party: Republican/Leans Republican 48% (391) 24% (194) 19% (154) 9% (71) 810Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 10% (91) 65% (587) 17% (150) 9% (80) 908Vote in Republican primary or caucus 49% (337) 24% (161) 18% (125) 9% (58) 681Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 29% (24) 41% (34) 18% (15) 12% (10) 83Don’t know / No opinion 13% (20) 29% (45) 35% (55) 24% (38) 158Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



397

Table POLx_2

Table POLx_2: Favorability forNancy Pelosi


Registered Voters 33% (658) 54% (1082) 9% (181) 4% (71) 1992Gender: Male 32% (297) 57% (534) 7% (70) 3% (32) 932Gender: Female 34% (361) 52% (548) 10% (111) 4% (40) 1060Age: 18-29 29% (98) 40% (132) 17% (58) 14% (45) 332Age: 30-44 35% (165) 50% (238) 11% (51) 4% (17) 471Age: 45-54 30% (95) 59% (189) 9% (30) 2% (6) 319Age: 55-64 29% (119) 64% (259) 6% (26) 1% (2) 406Age: 65+ 39% (181) 57% (265) 4% (16) — (1) 463Generation Z: 18-22 23% (31) 33% (44) 23% (31) 20% (26) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 35% (168) 47% (227) 12% (59) 6% (30) 484Generation X: Age 39-54 31% (159) 57% (287) 10% (49) 2% (12) 506Boomers: Age 55-73 34% (255) 61% (459) 5% (37) — (2) 753PID: Dem (no lean) 64% (489) 22% (171) 10% (73) 4% (30) 764PID: Ind (no lean) 25% (138) 57% (310) 13% (70) 6% (30) 549PID: Rep (no lean) 5% (31) 88% (600) 6% (37) 2% (11) 679PID/Gender: DemMen 68% (210) 21% (65) 7% (22) 4% (12) 309PID/Gender: DemWomen 61% (279) 23% (106) 11% (52) 4% (18) 454PID/Gender: Ind Men 25% (73) 60% (174) 10% (30) 5% (16) 293PID/Gender: Ind Women 25% (65) 53% (136) 16% (40) 6% (15) 256PID/Gender: Rep Men 4% (14) 89% (294) 5% (18) 1% (4) 330PID/Gender: Rep Women 5% (17) 88% (306) 6% (19) 2% (7) 349Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 66% (372) 24% (133) 8% (45) 2% (12) 562Ideo: Moderate (4) 37% (193) 50% (257) 9% (49) 3% (17) 516Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 9% (67) 84% (621) 5% (39) 2% (11) 738Educ: < College 30% (371) 55% (691) 11% (133) 5% (58) 1253Educ: Bachelors degree 37% (174) 54% (255) 7% (33) 2% (9) 471Educ: Post-grad 42% (113) 51% (136) 5% (14) 1% (4) 268Income: Under 50k 33% (336) 51% (531) 11% (113) 5% (53) 1033Income: 50k-100k 33% (217) 58% (383) 7% (48) 2% (12) 660Income: 100k+ 35% (105) 56% (169) 6% (19) 2% (6) 298Ethnicity: White 29% (469) 61% (981) 8% (128) 2% (33) 1611


398




Registered Voters 33% (658) 54% (1082) 9% (181) 4% (71) 1992Ethnicity: Hispanic 40% (78) 45% (87) 9% (17) 6% (11) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 54% (136) 17% (44) 16% (41) 12% (31) 253Ethnicity: Other 41% (53) 44% (57) 9% (12) 6% (7) 128All Christian 30% (294) 62% (605) 6% (62) 1% (14) 975All Non-Christian 50% (47) 39% (37) 10% (9) 1% (1) 94Atheist 51% (46) 37% (33) 8% (7) 4% (4) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 33% (271) 49% (408) 12% (102) 6% (53) 834Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 42% (47) 49% (56) 9% (10) 1% (1) 114Evangelical 23% (130) 66% (373) 9% (50) 2% (13) 566Non-Evangelical 36% (262) 55% (406) 7% (49) 3% (20) 736Community: Urban 42% (194) 42% (192) 13% (59) 3% (12) 457Community: Suburban 32% (315) 56% (553) 8% (76) 4% (39) 983Community: Rural 27% (149) 61% (337) 8% (46) 4% (20) 551Employ: Private Sector 34% (246) 55% (392) 10% (69) 2% (11) 718Employ: Government 33% (41) 52% (63) 11% (14) 4% (4) 122Employ: Self-Employed 35% (51) 52% (77) 8% (12) 5% (8) 148Employ: Homemaker 25% (32) 61% (78) 9% (11) 5% (7) 129Employ: Retired 37% (179) 59% (288) 4% (18) — (1) 486Employ: Unemployed 29% (50) 49% (85) 11% (19) 12% (21) 174Employ: Other 29% (37) 46% (59) 20% (25) 5% (6) 128Military HH: Yes 34% (124) 57% (208) 7% (24) 2% (9) 364Military HH: No 33% (534) 54% (874) 10% (157) 4% (63) 1628RD/WT: Right Direction 10% (88) 79% (672) 8% (68) 3% (22) 850RD/WT: Wrong Track 50% (570) 36% (410) 10% (113) 4% (49) 1142Trump Job Approve 7% (64) 85% (743) 6% (53) 2% (17) 877Trump Job Disapprove 56% (593) 31% (322) 9% (99) 3% (35) 1049Trump Job Strongly Approve 5% (28) 89% (466) 4% (20) 2% (8) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 10% (36) 78% (277) 9% (33) 2% (9) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 30% (72) 52% (122) 13% (32) 5% (11) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 64% (520) 25% (200) 8% (68) 3% (23) 811



399

Table POLx_2



Registered Voters 33% (658) 54% (1082) 9% (181) 4% (71) 1992Favorable of Trump 8% (66) 85% (741) 5% (46) 2% (14) 867Unfavorable of Trump 56% (580) 31% (327) 9% (97) 3% (35) 1039Very Favorable of Trump 5% (28) 89% (477) 5% (26) 1% (7) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 12% (38) 80% (264) 6% (20) 2% (6) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 24% (45) 58% (110) 13% (25) 5% (9) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 63% (535) 25% (217) 9% (72) 3% (26) 850#1 Issue: Economy 23% (113) 62% (302) 11% (56) 4% (18) 489#1 Issue: Security 14% (48) 78% (278) 5% (17) 4% (13) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 47% (182) 39% (153) 9% (35) 5% (18) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 43% (144) 50% (168) 6% (21) 2% (6) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 33% (25) 40% (30) 18% (14) 9% (7) 75#1 Issue: Education 35% (40) 53% (61) 9% (11) 3% (3) 116#1 Issue: Energy 55% (62) 28% (32) 15% (17) 2% (2) 113#1 Issue: Other 37% (44) 49% (58) 9% (11) 5% (5) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 63% (514) 27% (217) 6% (52) 3% (27) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 4% (28) 90% (611) 5% (33) 1% (7) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 15% (12) 58% (45) 19% (15) 8% (6) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 70% (498) 21% (149) 7% (48) 3% (20) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 4% (27) 91% (650) 4% (32) 1% (9) 7182016 Vote: Other 21% (33) 70% (107) 7% (11) 1% (2) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 25% (98) 43% (172) 22% (89) 10% (40) 400Voted in 2014: Yes 36% (491) 57% (784) 5% (72) 2% (25) 1372Voted in 2014: No 27% (167) 48% (297) 18% (109) 8% (47) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 57% (473) 33% (278) 7% (59) 3% (22) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 7% (39) 88% (491) 4% (24) 1% (3) 5572012 Vote: Other 10% (8) 85% (66) 5% (4) — (0) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 26% (134) 47% (240) 18% (94) 9% (46) 514


400







401

Table POLx_3

Table POLx_3: Favorability forCharles Schumer




402







403

Table POLx_3





404







405

Table POLx_4

Table POLx_4: Favorability forMike Pence


Registered Voters 40% (789) 44% (881) 13% (255) 3% (67) 1992Gender: Male 45% (424) 43% (405) 8% (70) 4% (33) 932Gender: Female 35% (366) 45% (475) 17% (184) 3% (34) 1060Age: 18-29 19% (63) 51% (169) 19% (61) 12% (39) 332Age: 30-44 32% (151) 48% (227) 16% (73) 4% (19) 471Age: 45-54 44% (140) 41% (132) 14% (44) 1% (2) 319Age: 55-64 51% (208) 38% (155) 9% (38) 1% (5) 406Age: 65+ 49% (226) 43% (198) 8% (38) — (2) 463Generation Z: 18-22 13% (17) 44% (59) 23% (30) 20% (27) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 28% (134) 51% (247) 15% (75) 6% (28) 484Generation X: Age 39-54 40% (204) 44% (222) 15% (74) 1% (6) 506Boomers: Age 55-73 49% (373) 41% (310) 9% (65) 1% (5) 753PID: Dem (no lean) 12% (93) 73% (561) 10% (80) 4% (31) 764PID: Ind (no lean) 32% (173) 44% (241) 19% (107) 5% (27) 549PID: Rep (no lean) 77% (524) 12% (79) 10% (68) 1% (9) 679PID/Gender: DemMen 11% (35) 77% (237) 9% (27) 3% (11) 309PID/Gender: DemWomen 13% (58) 71% (324) 12% (52) 4% (20) 454PID/Gender: Ind Men 39% (113) 44% (129) 11% (33) 6% (18) 293PID/Gender: Ind Women 23% (60) 44% (113) 29% (74) 4% (10) 256PID/Gender: Rep Men 84% (276) 12% (39) 3% (10) 2% (5) 330PID/Gender: Rep Women 71% (248) 11% (39) 17% (58) 1% (4) 349Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 11% (60) 80% (448) 6% (35) 3% (19) 562Ideo: Moderate (4) 32% (163) 50% (258) 16% (81) 3% (14) 516Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 73% (539) 17% (124) 10% (71) 1% (4) 738Educ: < College 40% (502) 39% (492) 16% (203) 4% (56) 1253Educ: Bachelors degree 38% (180) 52% (247) 8% (37) 1% (7) 471Educ: Post-grad 40% (108) 53% (141) 5% (15) 2% (4) 268Income: Under 50k 36% (373) 44% (451) 16% (161) 5% (49) 1033Income: 50k-100k 43% (281) 44% (287) 12% (78) 2% (14) 660Income: 100k+ 45% (135) 48% (142) 6% (17) 1% (4) 298Ethnicity: White 44% (713) 42% (671) 12% (197) 2% (30) 1611


406







407

Table POLx_4



Registered Voters 40% (789) 44% (881) 13% (255) 3% (67) 1992Favorable of Trump 78% (675) 10% (87) 10% (90) 2% (16) 867Unfavorable of Trump 10% (109) 76% (786) 11% (117) 3% (27) 1039Very Favorable of Trump 83% (449) 8% (46) 7% (38) 1% (6) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 69% (225) 13% (42) 16% (52) 3% (10) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 28% (53) 44% (84) 24% (46) 3% (6) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 7% (56) 83% (702) 8% (71) 2% (21) 850#1 Issue: Economy 44% (217) 38% (183) 15% (71) 3% (17) 489#1 Issue: Security 69% (245) 19% (66) 11% (39) 2% (5) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 24% (94) 61% (237) 10% (40) 4% (16) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 41% (140) 46% (156) 11% (36) 2% (6) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 24% (18) 51% (39) 16% (12) 9% (6) 75#1 Issue: Education 24% (28) 51% (59) 19% (22) 7% (8) 116#1 Issue: Energy 15% (17) 72% (81) 11% (12) 2% (2) 113#1 Issue: Other 25% (30) 50% (59) 19% (22) 6% (7) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 14% (114) 75% (605) 8% (64) 3% (26) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 79% (533) 11% (74) 9% (64) 1% (7) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 16% (13) 52% (40) 29% (23) 2% (2) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 12% (88) 76% (545) 9% (64) 3% (19) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 77% (555) 12% (88) 9% (66) 1% (10) 7182016 Vote: Other 32% (49) 54% (83) 13% (20) 1% (1) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 24% (96) 41% (163) 26% (103) 9% (38) 400Voted in 2014: Yes 43% (596) 45% (616) 10% (138) 2% (23) 1372Voted in 2014: No 31% (194) 43% (264) 19% (117) 7% (44) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 18% (151) 69% (570) 11% (88) 3% (24) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 78% (434) 13% (75) 8% (44) 1% (3) 5572012 Vote: Other 61% (47) 25% (19) 15% (11) — (0) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 30% (154) 41% (211) 21% (109) 8% (40) 514


408







409

Table POLx_5

Table POLx_5: Favorability forDonald Trump


Registered Voters 44% (867) 52% (1039) 3% (69) 1% (17) 1992Gender: Male 48% (444) 47% (442) 4% (35) 1% (11) 932Gender: Female 40% (423) 56% (598) 3% (34) 1% (6) 1060Age: 18-29 29% (97) 61% (201) 7% (23) 3% (11) 332Age: 30-44 38% (177) 58% (275) 3% (14) 1% (4) 471Age: 45-54 51% (164) 43% (136) 6% (18) — (1) 319Age: 55-64 54% (219) 44% (181) 1% (5) — (1) 406Age: 65+ 45% (209) 53% (246) 2% (8) — (0) 463Generation Z: 18-22 25% (33) 61% (82) 8% (10) 6% (8) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 35% (168) 59% (284) 5% (25) 1% (7) 484Generation X: Age 39-54 47% (238) 49% (247) 4% (20) — (1) 506Boomers: Age 55-73 49% (370) 49% (372) 1% (11) — (1) 753PID: Dem (no lean) 9% (66) 87% (666) 3% (23) 1% (9) 764PID: Ind (no lean) 36% (198) 55% (305) 7% (39) 1% (8) 549PID: Rep (no lean) 89% (603) 10% (69) 1% (7) — (0) 679PID/Gender: DemMen 10% (31) 84% (260) 4% (13) 2% (6) 309PID/Gender: DemWomen 8% (36) 89% (406) 2% (10) 1% (3) 454PID/Gender: Ind Men 40% (117) 52% (152) 6% (18) 2% (5) 293PID/Gender: Ind Women 31% (80) 60% (153) 8% (21) 1% (3) 256PID/Gender: Rep Men 90% (297) 9% (29) 1% (4) — (0) 330PID/Gender: Rep Women 88% (307) 11% (39) 1% (3) — (0) 349Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 11% (59) 87% (491) 2% (11) — (1) 562Ideo: Moderate (4) 33% (172) 63% (327) 3% (14) — (3) 516Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 78% (578) 20% (145) 2% (12) — (3) 738Educ: < College 46% (573) 49% (608) 5% (60) 1% (12) 1253Educ: Bachelors degree 40% (186) 59% (279) 1% (4) — (2) 471Educ: Post-grad 40% (107) 57% (153) 2% (5) 1% (3) 268Income: Under 50k 41% (428) 52% (539) 5% (56) 1% (10) 1033Income: 50k-100k 47% (308) 51% (338) 1% (9) 1% (4) 660Income: 100k+ 44% (132) 54% (162) 1% (3) 1% (2) 298Ethnicity: White 49% (797) 48% (777) 2% (32) — (5) 1611


410




Registered Voters 44% (867) 52% (1039) 3% (69) 1% (17) 1992Ethnicity: Hispanic 40% (77) 57% (109) 3% (7) — (0) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 12% (31) 72% (182) 12% (29) 4% (10) 253Ethnicity: Other 31% (39) 62% (80) 6% (8) 1% (2) 128All Christian 53% (517) 45% (436) 2% (19) — (2) 975All Non-Christian 27% (25) 69% (65) 4% (3) — (0) 94Atheist 14% (12) 81% (72) 4% (4) 1% (1) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 37% (312) 56% (466) 5% (43) 2% (14) 834Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 37% (43) 60% (68) 3% (3) — (0) 114Evangelical 58% (327) 36% (205) 6% (31) — (3) 566Non-Evangelical 45% (328) 53% (393) 2% (12) — (3) 736Community: Urban 34% (157) 61% (279) 4% (18) 1% (4) 457Community: Suburban 43% (424) 53% (521) 3% (30) 1% (9) 983Community: Rural 52% (286) 44% (240) 4% (21) 1% (5) 551Employ: Private Sector 44% (314) 53% (381) 3% (21) — (3) 718Employ: Government 46% (56) 52% (63) 3% (3) — (0) 122Employ: Self-Employed 46% (68) 50% (74) 4% (5) 1% (1) 148Employ: Homemaker 48% (62) 48% (62) 2% (3) 2% (3) 129Employ: Retired 48% (234) 50% (243) 2% (8) — (0) 486Employ: Unemployed 43% (75) 45% (78) 10% (17) 3% (5) 174Employ: Other 36% (45) 57% (73) 5% (7) 2% (3) 128Military HH: Yes 50% (181) 47% (173) 3% (9) — (1) 364Military HH: No 42% (686) 53% (867) 4% (60) 1% (15) 1628RD/WT: Right Direction 86% (728) 10% (89) 3% (28) 1% (6) 850RD/WT: Wrong Track 12% (139) 83% (951) 4% (41) 1% (11) 1142Trump Job Approve 93% (813) 5% (46) 2% (15) — (3) 877Trump Job Disapprove 4% (45) 93% (979) 2% (23) — (3) 1049Trump Job Strongly Approve 98% (511) 2% (11) — (0) — (1) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 85% (302) 10% (35) 4% (15) 1% (2) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 10% (24) 86% (204) 3% (8) 1% (2) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 3% (21) 96% (775) 2% (14) — (1) 811



411

Table POLx_5



Registered Voters 44% (867) 52% (1039) 3% (69) 1% (17) 1992Favorable of Trump 100% (867) — (0) — (0) — (0) 867Unfavorable of Trump — (0) 100% (1039) — (0) — (0) 1039Very Favorable of Trump 100% (539) — (0) — (0) — (0) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 100% (328) — (0) — (0) — (0) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump — (0) 100% (190) — (0) — (0) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump — (0) 100% (850) — (0) — (0) 850#1 Issue: Economy 52% (252) 44% (215) 4% (20) — (1) 489#1 Issue: Security 78% (277) 20% (70) 2% (8) — (1) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 27% (106) 69% (266) 3% (10) 1% (5) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 38% (127) 60% (203) 2% (6) 1% (2) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 35% (26) 58% (44) 6% (5) — (0) 75#1 Issue: Education 26% (30) 68% (79) 5% (5) 2% (2) 116#1 Issue: Energy 15% (17) 79% (89) 5% (6) 1% (1) 113#1 Issue: Other 27% (32) 62% (73) 8% (9) 4% (4) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 11% (92) 86% (695) 2% (17) 1% (6) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 88% (599) 11% (72) 1% (7) — (1) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 33% (26) 52% (41) 14% (11) — (0) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 8% (57) 89% (639) 2% (15) 1% (4) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 88% (634) 11% (75) 1% (7) — (2) 7182016 Vote: Other 30% (46) 64% (98) 6% (10) — (0) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 32% (128) 56% (225) 9% (36) 3% (10) 400Voted in 2014: Yes 46% (631) 51% (704) 2% (33) — (4) 1372Voted in 2014: No 38% (236) 54% (335) 6% (36) 2% (13) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 17% (145) 79% (661) 3% (22) — (4) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 83% (461) 16% (92) 1% (3) — (1) 5572012 Vote: Other 66% (52) 25% (19) 9% (7) — (0) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 40% (206) 50% (260) 7% (36) 2% (12) 514


412




Registered Voters 44% (867) 52% (1039) 3% (69) 1% (17) 19924-Region: Northeast 43% (154) 53% (188) 3% (11) 1% (2) 3554-Region: Midwest 41% (190) 55% (251) 3% (13) 1% (3) 4584-Region: South 48% (355) 48% (354) 4% (28) 1% (7) 7444-Region: West 39% (168) 57% (246) 4% (17) 1% (4) 435Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 8% (77) 87% (806) 3% (28) 1% (11) 922Party: Republican/Leans Republican 87% (705) 12% (94) 1% (10) — (1) 810Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 11% (99) 87% (791) 2% (15) — (3) 908Vote in Republican primary or caucus 91% (618) 9% (58) 1% (5) — (0) 681Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 46% (38) 49% (40) 5% (4) 1% (1) 83Don’t know / No opinion 36% (56) 43% (67) 21% (34) 1% (1) 158Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



413

Table POLx_6

Table POLx_6: Favorability forRepublicans in Congress


Registered Voters 39% (778) 51% (1008) 8% (153) 3% (53) 1992Gender: Male 42% (394) 50% (465) 5% (47) 3% (26) 932Gender: Female 36% (384) 51% (543) 10% (105) 3% (27) 1060Age: 18-29 23% (77) 54% (178) 14% (48) 9% (29) 332Age: 30-44 34% (158) 53% (250) 10% (48) 3% (15) 471Age: 45-54 46% (147) 45% (144) 7% (22) 2% (7) 319Age: 55-64 50% (202) 45% (185) 4% (18) — (1) 406Age: 65+ 42% (194) 54% (252) 4% (17) — (1) 463Generation Z: 18-22 22% (29) 46% (61) 18% (24) 15% (19) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 28% (134) 56% (269) 12% (60) 4% (20) 484Generation X: Age 39-54 43% (219) 48% (242) 7% (34) 2% (12) 506Boomers: Age 55-73 45% (341) 51% (381) 4% (30) — (1) 753PID: Dem (no lean) 8% (61) 83% (630) 7% (56) 2% (16) 764PID: Ind (no lean) 25% (137) 56% (306) 14% (77) 5% (29) 549PID: Rep (no lean) 85% (579) 11% (72) 3% (20) 1% (8) 679PID/Gender: DemMen 9% (27) 83% (257) 5% (15) 3% (10) 309PID/Gender: DemWomen 7% (34) 82% (373) 9% (41) 1% (7) 454PID/Gender: Ind Men 28% (81) 57% (168) 9% (27) 6% (17) 293PID/Gender: Ind Women 22% (56) 54% (138) 20% (51) 5% (12) 256PID/Gender: Rep Men 86% (285) 12% (39) 2% (6) — (0) 330PID/Gender: Rep Women 84% (294) 9% (33) 4% (14) 2% (8) 349Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 10% (57) 85% (478) 4% (25) 1% (3) 562Ideo: Moderate (4) 30% (155) 58% (298) 10% (54) 2% (9) 516Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 72% (531) 23% (172) 4% (26) 1% (9) 738Educ: < College 41% (518) 45% (569) 10% (121) 4% (46) 1253Educ: Bachelors degree 35% (165) 60% (281) 5% (21) 1% (4) 471Educ: Post-grad 36% (95) 59% (158) 4% (11) 1% (4) 268Income: Under 50k 37% (382) 49% (510) 10% (105) 4% (36) 1033Income: 50k-100k 41% (268) 52% (343) 6% (38) 2% (11) 660Income: 100k+ 43% (128) 52% (155) 3% (10) 2% (6) 298Ethnicity: White 44% (711) 48% (768) 7% (108) 1% (24) 1611


414




Registered Voters 39% (778) 51% (1008) 8% (153) 3% (53) 1992Ethnicity: Hispanic 30% (58) 59% (114) 10% (19) 2% (3) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 17% (42) 62% (156) 13% (32) 9% (23) 253Ethnicity: Other 20% (25) 66% (85) 10% (12) 5% (6) 128All Christian 49% (477) 45% (435) 6% (54) 1% (9) 975All Non-Christian 27% (26) 67% (63) 5% (5) 1% (1) 94Atheist 11% (10) 81% (73) 5% (4) 3% (3) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 32% (266) 53% (439) 11% (90) 5% (40) 834Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 32% (36) 62% (70) 6% (6) 1% (1) 114Evangelical 54% (306) 34% (195) 8% (48) 3% (17) 566Non-Evangelical 41% (299) 52% (382) 6% (46) 1% (9) 736Community: Urban 30% (137) 59% (272) 9% (40) 2% (9) 457Community: Suburban 39% (385) 51% (506) 7% (68) 2% (24) 983Community: Rural 46% (256) 42% (231) 8% (45) 4% (19) 551Employ: Private Sector 41% (291) 51% (369) 7% (47) 2% (11) 718Employ: Government 36% (43) 53% (64) 7% (9) 5% (5) 122Employ: Self-Employed 41% (61) 52% (77) 6% (9) 1% (1) 148Employ: Homemaker 43% (55) 44% (57) 9% (11) 5% (6) 129Employ: Retired 45% (218) 51% (250) 4% (18) — (0) 486Employ: Unemployed 37% (65) 40% (71) 15% (27) 7% (12) 174Employ: Other 27% (34) 53% (68) 14% (17) 6% (8) 128Military HH: Yes 44% (161) 48% (175) 6% (22) 2% (6) 364Military HH: No 38% (616) 51% (833) 8% (131) 3% (47) 1628RD/WT: Right Direction 75% (635) 16% (134) 7% (57) 3% (23) 850RD/WT: Wrong Track 12% (142) 77% (874) 8% (96) 3% (30) 1142Trump Job Approve 78% (681) 15% (133) 5% (46) 2% (17) 877Trump Job Disapprove 9% (92) 82% (861) 8% (81) 1% (15) 1049Trump Job Strongly Approve 90% (468) 9% (45) 1% (6) 1% (4) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 60% (213) 25% (88) 11% (40) 4% (14) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 21% (49) 65% (154) 13% (31) 1% (3) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 5% (43) 87% (707) 6% (49) 1% (12) 811



415

Table POLx_6



Registered Voters 39% (778) 51% (1008) 8% (153) 3% (53) 1992Favorable of Trump 81% (703) 13% (113) 5% (39) 1% (12) 867Unfavorable of Trump 7% (74) 84% (878) 7% (74) 1% (13) 1039Very Favorable of Trump 90% (487) 7% (39) 2% (8) 1% (4) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 66% (216) 22% (73) 9% (31) 2% (8) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 21% (40) 62% (117) 14% (26) 4% (7) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 4% (34) 90% (761) 6% (48) 1% (6) 850#1 Issue: Economy 44% (217) 44% (213) 9% (46) 3% (12) 489#1 Issue: Security 69% (245) 24% (84) 5% (19) 2% (7) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 23% (87) 67% (258) 8% (29) 3% (13) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 39% (132) 55% (187) 5% (17) 1% (2) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 22% (16) 62% (46) 15% (11) 2% (1) 75#1 Issue: Education 27% (31) 58% (68) 13% (15) 3% (3) 116#1 Issue: Energy 17% (19) 70% (79) 7% (8) 6% (7) 113#1 Issue: Other 25% (30) 61% (73) 7% (8) 7% (8) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 9% (77) 84% (677) 5% (43) 2% (13) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 82% (557) 15% (99) 3% (20) — (3) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 11% (8) 56% (44) 25% (20) 8% (6) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 9% (65) 83% (594) 6% (46) 1% (10) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 79% (570) 16% (115) 3% (24) 1% (9) 7182016 Vote: Other 22% (34) 70% (107) 8% (13) — (0) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 27% (108) 47% (190) 17% (70) 8% (33) 400Voted in 2014: Yes 42% (575) 52% (713) 5% (67) 1% (17) 1372Voted in 2014: No 33% (203) 48% (295) 14% (86) 6% (36) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 16% (137) 75% (626) 6% (52) 2% (16) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 77% (426) 20% (113) 3% (15) — (2) 5572012 Vote: Other 51% (40) 38% (30) 10% (8) — (0) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 33% (171) 45% (232) 15% (77) 7% (34) 514


416







417

Table POLx_7

Table POLx_7: Favorability forDemocrats in Congress


Registered Voters 41% (810) 49% (976) 7% (148) 3% (57) 1992Gender: Male 36% (336) 56% (521) 5% (45) 3% (31) 932Gender: Female 45% (474) 43% (456) 10% (103) 3% (27) 1060Age: 18-29 45% (150) 32% (108) 13% (44) 9% (30) 332Age: 30-44 44% (209) 42% (199) 10% (45) 4% (17) 471Age: 45-54 36% (116) 54% (172) 8% (25) 2% (8) 319Age: 55-64 36% (147) 60% (243) 3% (14) 1% (3) 406Age: 65+ 41% (188) 55% (255) 4% (21) — (0) 463Generation Z: 18-22 42% (56) 26% (35) 19% (25) 13% (17) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 45% (219) 39% (189) 10% (50) 5% (24) 484Generation X: Age 39-54 40% (200) 50% (254) 8% (38) 3% (14) 506Boomers: Age 55-73 38% (286) 58% (437) 4% (28) — (3) 753PID: Dem (no lean) 81% (617) 12% (95) 5% (37) 2% (15) 764PID: Ind (no lean) 28% (152) 53% (289) 14% (77) 6% (30) 549PID: Rep (no lean) 6% (41) 87% (592) 5% (34) 2% (12) 679PID/Gender: DemMen 80% (247) 13% (42) 3% (11) 3% (10) 309PID/Gender: DemWomen 81% (370) 12% (53) 6% (26) 1% (5) 454PID/Gender: Ind Men 25% (73) 60% (176) 9% (26) 6% (18) 293PID/Gender: Ind Women 31% (80) 44% (113) 20% (51) 5% (13) 256PID/Gender: Rep Men 5% (16) 92% (302) 3% (9) 1% (2) 330PID/Gender: Rep Women 7% (25) 83% (290) 7% (25) 3% (10) 349Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 79% (444) 17% (96) 3% (18) 1% (5) 562Ideo: Moderate (4) 46% (235) 43% (222) 9% (46) 2% (12) 516Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 11% (82) 82% (607) 5% (34) 2% (15) 738Educ: < College 38% (477) 49% (618) 9% (114) 4% (45) 1253Educ: Bachelors degree 43% (203) 50% (237) 5% (24) 2% (7) 471Educ: Post-grad 49% (130) 45% (121) 4% (11) 2% (5) 268Income: Under 50k 42% (437) 45% (463) 9% (95) 4% (38) 1033Income: 50k-100k 38% (249) 55% (364) 6% (38) 2% (10) 660Income: 100k+ 42% (124) 50% (150) 5% (16) 3% (9) 298Ethnicity: White 36% (578) 56% (897) 7% (106) 2% (30) 1611


418




Registered Voters 41% (810) 49% (976) 7% (148) 3% (57) 1992Ethnicity: Hispanic 50% (96) 41% (80) 6% (12) 3% (5) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 65% (164) 15% (37) 12% (30) 8% (21) 253Ethnicity: Other 53% (67) 33% (42) 9% (12) 5% (7) 128All Christian 36% (349) 58% (564) 5% (51) 1% (11) 975All Non-Christian 62% (58) 29% (27) 7% (6) 3% (3) 94Atheist 63% (56) 29% (26) 4% (4) 4% (3) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 42% (347) 43% (359) 10% (87) 5% (41) 834Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 53% (60) 40% (45) 5% (6) 2% (3) 114Evangelical 28% (160) 60% (338) 9% (53) 3% (14) 566Non-Evangelical 44% (321) 50% (368) 5% (36) 1% (11) 736Community: Urban 51% (235) 39% (176) 7% (34) 3% (12) 457Community: Suburban 39% (387) 52% (507) 6% (63) 3% (27) 983Community: Rural 34% (189) 53% (293) 9% (51) 3% (18) 551Employ: Private Sector 41% (294) 50% (360) 7% (49) 2% (16) 718Employ: Government 39% (48) 47% (58) 10% (12) 3% (4) 122Employ: Self-Employed 43% (64) 50% (73) 7% (10) — (1) 148Employ: Homemaker 35% (45) 52% (67) 7% (9) 5% (7) 129Employ: Retired 40% (196) 56% (272) 4% (18) — (0) 486Employ: Unemployed 35% (60) 44% (77) 11% (20) 10% (17) 174Employ: Other 47% (60) 35% (45) 13% (16) 5% (7) 128Military HH: Yes 37% (133) 54% (196) 8% (28) 2% (7) 364Military HH: No 42% (677) 48% (780) 7% (120) 3% (51) 1628RD/WT: Right Direction 13% (110) 76% (647) 8% (65) 3% (28) 850RD/WT: Wrong Track 61% (700) 29% (329) 7% (84) 3% (30) 1142Trump Job Approve 10% (91) 82% (715) 5% (47) 3% (24) 877Trump Job Disapprove 68% (709) 24% (253) 7% (75) 1% (12) 1049Trump Job Strongly Approve 6% (29) 91% (474) 2% (13) 1% (7) 523Trump Job Somewhat Approve 17% (62) 68% (241) 10% (34) 5% (17) 355Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 41% (98) 44% (105) 14% (32) 1% (2) 238Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 75% (611) 18% (148) 5% (43) 1% (10) 811



419

Table POLx_7



Registered Voters 41% (810) 49% (976) 7% (148) 3% (57) 1992Favorable of Trump 10% (84) 83% (724) 5% (41) 2% (19) 867Unfavorable of Trump 69% (713) 24% (246) 7% (69) 1% (12) 1039Very Favorable of Trump 5% (29) 90% (488) 3% (15) 1% (8) 539Somewhat Favorable of Trump 17% (55) 72% (236) 8% (26) 3% (11) 328Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 35% (67) 48% (91) 14% (27) 3% (5) 190Very Unfavorable of Trump 76% (646) 18% (154) 5% (42) 1% (7) 850#1 Issue: Economy 33% (161) 56% (273) 8% (41) 3% (13) 489#1 Issue: Security 16% (57) 75% (267) 6% (23) 2% (9) 356#1 Issue: Health Care 55% (214) 35% (134) 7% (26) 3% (12) 387#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 47% (158) 47% (158) 5% (18) 1% (5) 339#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 54% (41) 28% (21) 17% (13) 2% (1) 75#1 Issue: Education 49% (56) 37% (43) 12% (14) 3% (3) 116#1 Issue: Energy 64% (72) 24% (28) 4% (5) 7% (8) 113#1 Issue: Other 43% (51) 44% (52) 7% (8) 6% (7) 1182018 House Vote: Democrat 76% (614) 19% (150) 4% (31) 2% (15) 8102018 House Vote: Republican 5% (36) 89% (602) 5% (33) 1% (7) 6782018 House Vote: Someone else 11% (9) 53% (41) 28% (22) 8% (6) 782016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 79% (564) 14% (104) 5% (39) 1% (9) 7162016 Vote: Donald Trump 6% (44) 88% (631) 4% (27) 2% (16) 7182016 Vote: Other 29% (44) 61% (93) 10% (16) — (0) 1532016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 39% (155) 37% (146) 17% (67) 8% (32) 400Voted in 2014: Yes 41% (568) 52% (713) 5% (71) 1% (21) 1372Voted in 2014: No 39% (243) 42% (263) 12% (77) 6% (37) 6202012 Vote: Barack Obama 67% (555) 26% (218) 5% (42) 2% (17) 8312012 Vote: Mitt Romney 7% (40) 87% (487) 4% (22) 1% (8) 5572012 Vote: Other 10% (8) 80% (63) 9% (7) — (0) 782012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 39% (201) 39% (203) 15% (77) 6% (33) 514


420







421

Table POLx_9

Table POLx_9: Favorability forKevin McCarthy




422







423

Table POLx_9





424






National Tracking Poll #200325, March, 2020Respondent Demographics Summary

Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent DemographicsDemographic Group Frequency Percentage

xdemAll Registered Voters 1992 100%

xdemGender Gender: Male 932 47%Gender: Female 1060 53%

N 1992

age5 Age: 18-29 332 17%Age: 30-44 471 24%Age: 45-54 319 16%Age: 55-64 406 20%Age: 65+ 463 23%

N 1992

demAgeGeneration Generation Z: 18-22 133 7%Millennial: Age 23-38 484 24%

Generation X: Age 39-54 506 25%Boomers: Age 55-73 753 38%

N 1876

xpid3 PID: Dem (no lean) 764 38%PID: Ind (no lean) 549 28%PID: Rep (no lean) 679 34%

N 1992

xpidGender PID/Gender: DemMen 309 16%PID/Gender: DemWomen 454 23%

PID/Gender: Ind Men 293 15%PID/Gender: Ind Women 256 13%

PID/Gender: Rep Men 330 17%PID/Gender: Rep Women 349 18%

N 1992

xdemIdeo3 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 562 28%Ideo: Moderate (4) 516 26%

Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 738 37%N 1816

xeduc3 Educ: < College 1253 63%Educ: Bachelors degree 471 24%

Educ: Post-grad 268 13%N 1992


425

Morning ConsultRespondent Demographics Summary


xdemInc3 Income: Under 50k 1033 52%Income: 50k-100k 660 33%

Income: 100k+ 298 15%N 1992

xdemWhite Ethnicity: White 1611 81%

xdemHispBin Ethnicity: Hispanic 193 10%

demBlackBin Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 253 13%

demRaceOther Ethnicity: Other 128 6%

xdemReligion All Christian 975 49%All Non-Christian 94 5%

Atheist 89 4%Agnostic/Nothing in particular 834 42%

N 1992

xdemReligOther Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 114 6%

xdemEvang Evangelical 566 28%Non-Evangelical 736 37%

N 1302

xdemUsr Community: Urban 457 23%Community: Suburban 983 49%

Community: Rural 551 28%N 1992

xdemEmploy Employ: Private Sector 718 36%Employ: Government 122 6%

Employ: Self-Employed 148 7%Employ: Homemaker 129 6%

Employ: Retired 486 24%Employ: Unemployed 174 9%

Employ: Other 128 6%N 1904

xdemMilHH1 Military HH: Yes 364 18%Military HH: No 1628 82%

N 1992

xnr1 RD/WT: Right Direction 850 43%RD/WT: Wrong Track 1142 57%

N 1992


426

National Tracking Poll #200325, March, 2020Respondent Demographics Summary


Trump_Approve Trump Job Approve 877 44%Trump Job Disapprove 1049 53%

N 1926

Trump_Approve2 Trump Job Strongly Approve 523 26%Trump Job Somewhat Approve 355 18%

Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 238 12%Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 811 41%

N 1926

Trump_Fav Favorable of Trump 867 44%Unfavorable of Trump 1039 52%

N 1907

Trump_Fav_FULL Very Favorable of Trump 539 27%Somewhat Favorable of Trump 328 16%

Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 190 10%Very Unfavorable of Trump 850 43%

N 1907

xnr3 #1 Issue: Economy 489 25%#1 Issue: Security 356 18%

#1 Issue: Health Care 387 19%#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 339 17%

#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 75 4%#1 Issue: Education 116 6%

#1 Issue: Energy 113 6%#1 Issue: Other 118 6%

N 1992

xsubVote18O 2018 House Vote: Democrat 810 41%2018 House Vote: Republican 678 34%

2018 House Vote: Someone else 78 4%N 1566

xsubVote16O 2016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 716 36%2016 Vote: Donald Trump 718 36%

2016 Vote: Other 153 8%2016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 400 20%

N 1987

xsubVote14O Voted in 2014: Yes 1372 69%Voted in 2014: No 620 31%

N 1992


427

Morning ConsultRespondent Demographics Summary


xsubVote12O 2012 Vote: Barack Obama 831 42%2012 Vote: Mitt Romney 557 28%

2012 Vote: Other 78 4%2012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 514 26%

N 1980

xreg4 4-Region: Northeast 355 18%4-Region: Midwest 458 23%

4-Region: South 744 37%4-Region: West 435 22%

N 1992

xdemPidLean Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 922 46%Party: Republican/Leans Republican 810 41%

N 1731

POLdem2 Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 908 46%Vote in Republican primary or caucus 681 34%Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 83 4%

Don’t know / No opinion 158 8%N 1830

Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calcu-lated with demographic post-stratification weights applied.

428

National Tracking Poll #200325, March, 2020 429

nationaltrackingpoll#200325 march06-08,2020 ......en 2 ( 11 ) 5( 24) 12 ( 57 ) 77( 350) 3( 13 ) 454...

Documents