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Page 1: NATIONAL FARMER SURVEY REPORT · 2020-05-18 · Many farmers have instead pivoted to online sales and home delivery. 35.3% of farms reported a decrease in revenue in March and April

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NATIONAL FARMER SURVEY REPORT

Page 2: NATIONAL FARMER SURVEY REPORT · 2020-05-18 · Many farmers have instead pivoted to online sales and home delivery. 35.3% of farms reported a decrease in revenue in March and April

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Nearly 1/3 of small, independent farmers surveyed are potentially facing bankruptcy in 2020

We asked farmers to imagine the following scenario:

August sales to restaurants are down 50% or more over last year and August sales at farmer’s markets are down 50% or more (due to social distancing.)

Under these circumstances, do you think this would potentially force you to close down your operation by the end of 2020?

30% responded yes.

NATIONAL FARMER SURVEY REPORT

May 14, 2020

MAP OF OUTREACH

Page 3: NATIONAL FARMER SURVEY REPORT · 2020-05-18 · Many farmers have instead pivoted to online sales and home delivery. 35.3% of farms reported a decrease in revenue in March and April

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0

50

100

150

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Vegeta

bles

Fruit

Grain

Livesto

ck/P

oultr

y

Dairy/C

hees

e

Flower

s

Peren

nials

# o

f re

spon

dent

s

Operation Type

0

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Less t

han 1

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11-5

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51-1

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101-

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Great

er th

an 1

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# o

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Acres in Production

OPERATION TYPE & ACRES IN PRODUCTION

NATIONAL FARMER SURVEY REPORT

May 14, 2020

Page 4: NATIONAL FARMER SURVEY REPORT · 2020-05-18 · Many farmers have instead pivoted to online sales and home delivery. 35.3% of farms reported a decrease in revenue in March and April

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AGE

18-24: 3.2%

25-34: 34.9%

35-44: 26.2%

45-54: 10.8%

55-64: 17%

65-74: 4.8%

75-84: 1.1%

85-94: 0.2%

Prefer not to answer: 1.6%

DEMOGRAPHICS

GENDER

Female: 58.9%

Male: 38.2%

Non-binary: 1.1%

Prefer not to answer: 1.6%

RACE

African American/Black: 2.6%

Asian: 2.2%

Hispanic/Latinx: 4.1%

Middle Eastern: 0.8%

American Indian/Alaskan Native: 0.6%

White: 83.6%

Prefer not to answer: 2.8%

FARMING METHOD

Conventional: 12.1%

Certified organic: 22.5%

Practicing organic/regenerative/other: 65.3%

LOCATION

Rural: 67.7%

Suburban: 19.9%

Urban: 12.3%

NATIONAL FARMER SURVEY REPORT

May 14, 2020

Page 5: NATIONAL FARMER SURVEY REPORT · 2020-05-18 · Many farmers have instead pivoted to online sales and home delivery. 35.3% of farms reported a decrease in revenue in March and April

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In the past 8 weeks, sales to restaurants and at farmers markets have dramatically dropped off. Many farmers have instead pivoted to online sales and home delivery.

35.3% of farms reported a decrease in revenue in March and April 2020 compared to that time in 2019. Among these respondents, revenue decreased by an average of 51.3% compared to that time in 2019.

If sales continue to be suppressed by peak season, 36.9% of farms reported that they expect to have excess product that they will be unable to sell. Of these farms, 54.1% do not have adequate access to cold storage or means of value adding or preservation.

REVENUE / SALES SHIFT

-100%

-50%

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

250%

300%

Res

taur

ants

Who

lesa

le t

o re

tail

Who

lesa

le in

stit

utio

n

Foo

d P

roce

ssor

Co-

op/G

roce

ry S

tore

Farm

ers

Mar

kets

CS

A

On-

site

Far

m S

tore

Onl

ine

Hom

e D

eliv

ery

U-P

ick

Eve

nt V

enue

s

Indi

vidu

al E

vent

Clie

nts

Oth

er, p

leas

e sp

ecif

y

2019 Product Dist. 2020 Product Dist. YoY Change

NATIONAL FARMER SURVEY REPORT

May 14, 2020

Page 6: NATIONAL FARMER SURVEY REPORT · 2020-05-18 · Many farmers have instead pivoted to online sales and home delivery. 35.3% of farms reported a decrease in revenue in March and April

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32.2% of farms report that they have struggled to cover their expenses due to COVID-19 related effects.

Of those farms,

- 28.5% are cutting payroll

- 40% are responding by taking on new debt

- 16.4% are postponing bill payments

- 40% are selling off capital

- 5% are reducing employee benefits 37.9% have applied for government support (PPP, EIDL). 58.5% have not received funds. Respondents listed the following reasons for not receiving funds: lack of understanding of how to apply, sole proprietorship, lack of internet access, and the employment of seasonal immigrant H-2A labor.

28.1% have already taken on debt because of COVID-19 related effects, and 32.7% expect to take on additional debt this year because of the pandemic. Of those who expect to take on additional debt, the amount of debt ranges from 15-30% of gross annual income. Much of this debt has come from PPP or other government loans.

DEBT

NATIONAL FARMER SURVEY REPORT

May 14, 2020

Page 7: NATIONAL FARMER SURVEY REPORT · 2020-05-18 · Many farmers have instead pivoted to online sales and home delivery. 35.3% of farms reported a decrease in revenue in March and April

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Work-force: Local labor: 52.6%Self employed/family: 39.4% Seasonal H-2A or other non-U.S. residents: 7.9%

47.2% expect to employ fewer workers this season. On average, these farms expect to have approximately 50% of their normal workforce.

Respondents listed the following reasons for cutting labor:

- 28.2% lower expected demand or different product sales (e.g., less labor intensive products for restaurants)

- 58% lack of funds to support payroll

- 7.5% lack of local labor

- 5.3% issues with immigration/visa

For those who listed lack of funds, the average amount needed to cover costs was between 20-40% of gross annual revenue.

With their current labor force 24.4% of respondents say they will not be able to keep up with season preparation (seeding, pruning), and as a result, 26.6% expect to harvest decreased volume of product by peak season.

From March 15th to now, of the farms that have increased direct-to-consumer sales, 68.9% reported that their new model is more labor intensive or requires higher overhead costs (e.g. packaging/processing for retail).

66.9% of respondents report that they and their employees are working more hours than this time last year.

Despite the significant changes to their businesses since the onset of COVID-19, 81.5% have not increased prices to account for higher labor requirements or overhead.

We asked, “If conditions continue through the peak season do you predict that your business will close?” 30% of farms predict that they will or potentially will close by the end of the year.

MARGINS & LABOR

NATIONAL FARMER SURVEY REPORT

May 14, 2020