national farmer survey report · 2020-05-18 · many farmers have instead pivoted to online sales...
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NATIONAL FARMER SURVEY REPORT
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Nearly 1/3 of small, independent farmers surveyed are potentially facing bankruptcy in 2020
We asked farmers to imagine the following scenario:
August sales to restaurants are down 50% or more over last year and August sales at farmer’s markets are down 50% or more (due to social distancing.)
Under these circumstances, do you think this would potentially force you to close down your operation by the end of 2020?
30% responded yes.
NATIONAL FARMER SURVEY REPORT
May 14, 2020
MAP OF OUTREACH
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Acres in Production
OPERATION TYPE & ACRES IN PRODUCTION
NATIONAL FARMER SURVEY REPORT
May 14, 2020
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AGE
18-24: 3.2%
25-34: 34.9%
35-44: 26.2%
45-54: 10.8%
55-64: 17%
65-74: 4.8%
75-84: 1.1%
85-94: 0.2%
Prefer not to answer: 1.6%
DEMOGRAPHICS
GENDER
Female: 58.9%
Male: 38.2%
Non-binary: 1.1%
Prefer not to answer: 1.6%
RACE
African American/Black: 2.6%
Asian: 2.2%
Hispanic/Latinx: 4.1%
Middle Eastern: 0.8%
American Indian/Alaskan Native: 0.6%
White: 83.6%
Prefer not to answer: 2.8%
FARMING METHOD
Conventional: 12.1%
Certified organic: 22.5%
Practicing organic/regenerative/other: 65.3%
LOCATION
Rural: 67.7%
Suburban: 19.9%
Urban: 12.3%
NATIONAL FARMER SURVEY REPORT
May 14, 2020
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In the past 8 weeks, sales to restaurants and at farmers markets have dramatically dropped off. Many farmers have instead pivoted to online sales and home delivery.
35.3% of farms reported a decrease in revenue in March and April 2020 compared to that time in 2019. Among these respondents, revenue decreased by an average of 51.3% compared to that time in 2019.
If sales continue to be suppressed by peak season, 36.9% of farms reported that they expect to have excess product that they will be unable to sell. Of these farms, 54.1% do not have adequate access to cold storage or means of value adding or preservation.
REVENUE / SALES SHIFT
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2019 Product Dist. 2020 Product Dist. YoY Change
NATIONAL FARMER SURVEY REPORT
May 14, 2020
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32.2% of farms report that they have struggled to cover their expenses due to COVID-19 related effects.
Of those farms,
- 28.5% are cutting payroll
- 40% are responding by taking on new debt
- 16.4% are postponing bill payments
- 40% are selling off capital
- 5% are reducing employee benefits 37.9% have applied for government support (PPP, EIDL). 58.5% have not received funds. Respondents listed the following reasons for not receiving funds: lack of understanding of how to apply, sole proprietorship, lack of internet access, and the employment of seasonal immigrant H-2A labor.
28.1% have already taken on debt because of COVID-19 related effects, and 32.7% expect to take on additional debt this year because of the pandemic. Of those who expect to take on additional debt, the amount of debt ranges from 15-30% of gross annual income. Much of this debt has come from PPP or other government loans.
DEBT
NATIONAL FARMER SURVEY REPORT
May 14, 2020
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Work-force: Local labor: 52.6%Self employed/family: 39.4% Seasonal H-2A or other non-U.S. residents: 7.9%
47.2% expect to employ fewer workers this season. On average, these farms expect to have approximately 50% of their normal workforce.
Respondents listed the following reasons for cutting labor:
- 28.2% lower expected demand or different product sales (e.g., less labor intensive products for restaurants)
- 58% lack of funds to support payroll
- 7.5% lack of local labor
- 5.3% issues with immigration/visa
For those who listed lack of funds, the average amount needed to cover costs was between 20-40% of gross annual revenue.
With their current labor force 24.4% of respondents say they will not be able to keep up with season preparation (seeding, pruning), and as a result, 26.6% expect to harvest decreased volume of product by peak season.
From March 15th to now, of the farms that have increased direct-to-consumer sales, 68.9% reported that their new model is more labor intensive or requires higher overhead costs (e.g. packaging/processing for retail).
66.9% of respondents report that they and their employees are working more hours than this time last year.
Despite the significant changes to their businesses since the onset of COVID-19, 81.5% have not increased prices to account for higher labor requirements or overhead.
We asked, “If conditions continue through the peak season do you predict that your business will close?” 30% of farms predict that they will or potentially will close by the end of the year.
MARGINS & LABOR
NATIONAL FARMER SURVEY REPORT
May 14, 2020