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National Bank of Greece: Covered Bond
Issuance
October 2017
1
This document is being provided to you for information purposes only and on the basis of your acceptance of this disclaimer. No representation or
warranty, express or implied, is or will be made in relation to, and no responsibility is or will be accepted by National Bank of Greece (the Group) as to
the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this presentation and nothing in this presentation shall be deemed to constitute such a
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Although the statements of fact and certain industry, market and competitive data in this presentation have been obtained from and are based upon
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and estimates included in this presentation are subject to change without notice. The Group is under no obligation to update or keep current the
information contained herein.
In addition, certain of these data come from the Group’s own internal research and estimates based on knowledge and experience of management in
the market in which it operates. Such research and estimates and their underlying methodology have not been verified by any independent source
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The information presented herein is an advertisement and does not comprise a prospectus for the purposes of EU Directive 2003/71/EC, as amended,
(the Prospectus Directive). The information herein has not been reviewed or approved by any rating agency, government entity, regulatory body or
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Certain statements in this presentation constitute forward-looking statements. Such forward looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties
that may cause actual results to differ materially. These risks and uncertainties include, among other factors, changing economic, financial, business
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should be construed as a profit forecast and no representation is made that any of these statement or forecasts will come to pass. Persons receiving
this presentation should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements and are advised to make their own independent analysis and
determination with respect to the forecast periods, which reflect the Group’s view only as of the date hereof.
Legal Disclaimer
Important Notice – Forward Looking Information
Table of Contents
1 NBG Overview and Financial Highlights
2 Funding and Capital
3 Asset Quality
4 NBG Mortgage Business
5 NBG Covered Bond Programme II and New Issuance
6 Greece Macro Update
7 Appendix
NBG Overview and Financial Highlights
1
4
NBG at a glance
Premium brand of choice in Greece
Lowest gross NPEs and highest coverage levels among
peers
More than 90% of the restructuring plan already
completed
Over 170 years of history
Leader in low-cost savings deposits and mortgages
1st Greek Bank to repay state aid
Uniquely positioned to tap the Greek recovery potential Best in class liquidity position with clear path to
ELA elimination
Overview and Financial Highlights
5
Strong digital channels
1Based on C.A.P.I. tracking study during the period April-June 20152Banks’ financials statements, Banks’ investor presentations
NBG holds a leading position in Greece
Overview and Financial Highlights
Deeply rooted customer relationships2Reputational excellence in Greece: “premium brand of choice”
Bank of reference in Greece for over 170 years
33%28%
22%17%
NBG Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3
33%
26%22%
19%
NBG Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3
Best Reputation (Survey) (1) Most Trustworthy (Survey)(1)
31,5%30,3%
21,2%
17,0%
NBG Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3
Core deposit market share (2Q17)(2)
Total deposits/
branch€74,6m €59,8m €56,6m €54,2m
14,7m 17,6m
Electronic transactions
28,9m
870K
1,123K
1,340K1,474K
2014 2015 2016 1H17
€25,0bn €25,8bn
€40,3bn
€48,4bn
2014 2015 2016 1H17*
33,2m
E-banking users
The first Greek Bank to have repaid State aid2
: outstanding
: repaid
Outstanding Outstanding Outstanding Outstanding
Pillar I (State Preference
Shares)
Pillar II
(State Guaranteed
Bonds)
Pillar III
(Greek Government
Bonds)
CoCos not issued not issued
*1H annualized
Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3
6
Source: NBG H1 Financials
Hellenic Financial Stability Fund 40,4%
Domestic retail
6,5%
Domestic
institutionals
2,4%
Domestic
legal entities
1,0%
Internationall Institutionals 49,4%
Other 0,4%
Domestic investors: 10,9%
NBG Shareholder structure as at September 2017
Overview and Financial Highlights
7
Efficiency Improvement
Funding Cost Improvement
1. 2Q15 figures include the NBG Insurance
2. Down due to restructuring impact
3. Excludes the NBG Insurance, agreed to be sold in 2H17
4. Expected inflows in the 2 years following the imposition of capital controls at c.€3-4b, actual experienced at €0,9b
NBG has delivered most of medium term targets envisaged in the 2015 capital raise
Overview and Financial Highlights
Cost of risk evolution
Business Mix Optimization & Income growth
Greece
2Q15 2Q17 Δ
Time deposits repricing (bps) 185 89 -96
Reduction of ELA (€ b) 17,6 3,8 -13,8
Elimination of Pillar bonds (€ b) 8,7 0,0 -8,7
Deposit inflows (€ b)4 3-4 0,9
Greece
2Q151 2Q173 Δ
Gross Corporate loans / Total
loans (%)39,7 40,1 +40bps ●
Lending yield2 (bps) 411 393 -18 ●
Net Interest Income (€ m) 379 379 +0 ●
Net Interest Margin (bps) 249 309 +60
Fee Income / Assets (bps) 30 33 +3
Greece
2Q151 2Q173 Δ
# of employees (in 000s) 12,4 9,8 -2,6
Employee wage bill (€ m, ann.) 664 528 -136
Cost-to-Core income (%) 62 49 -14ppts
Greece
FY14A FY16A 2Q17A
CoR (bps) 270 212 257
P&L charge (€ m, annualized) 1,000 683 796
8
All major strategic objectives since the 2015 recapitalization have been completed – medium
term targets are attainable
Completed divestments in line with
the restructuring plan
Increased NPE and NPL coverage to
the highest levels among peers
Set the basis for OPEX reduction
Optimized collateral and liquidity
management
Significantly improved financial
performance across key metrics
Exceeded NPE and NPL reduction
targets
Repaid all outstanding State-aid
2016
1H.17 Group PPI increases by +19%
yoy
1H.17 Group OpEx declines by 9%
yoy
1H.17 Group PAT breaks even*
Continued to exceed NPE reduction
targets
Consistently maintaining NPE
coverage levels to the area of 55%
Completed 95% of the divestment
plan, ongoing divestments expected
to enhance further capital and
liquidity position
Clear path towards ELA exposure
elimination in the short to medium
term
€0,7b new loan disbursements to
corporates during 1H.17
H1 2017
Consistently delivering on all strategic objectives
Q4 2015
Recapitalization following the
AQR results
Restructuring plan approval by
European Commission
Revised strategy and changed
leadership
Overview and Financial Highlights
*pro forma for the NBG Insurance sale
Medium term targets are
attainable
Improve asset quality
Normalize liquidity position
H2 2017 - 2019
Enhance core income growth
Increase exposures in commercial
lending, benefiting NII and NIM
through mix improvement
Capitalize on leading position to
increase transaction fees
Utilize high coverage and capital
levels to work through NPEs
Achieve all asset quality KPIs agreed
with SSM
Disengage from ELA funding
Return to primary wholesale funding
markets activity
Capitalize on leading franchise
position to attract any deposit inflows
a
b
c
9
€ m 1H17 1H16 YoY 2Q17 1Q17 QoQ
NII 815 835 -2% 405 410 -1%
Net Fees & Commissions 119 72 +66% 59 60 -2%
Core Income 934 907 +3% 464 470 -1%
Trading & other income (74) (69) +7% (73) (1) >100%
Income 860 838 +3% 391 469 -17%
Operating Expenses (463) (505) -8% (232) (231) +0%
Core PPI 471 402 +17% 232 239 -3%
PPI 397 333 +19% 159 238 -33%
Provisions (433) (326) +33% (200) (233) -14%
Operating Profit (37) 6 n/m (41) 5 n/m
Other impairments (7) (44) -85% (1) (6) -92%
PBT (43) (37) +16% (42) (1) >100%
Taxes (17) (5) >100% (10) (7) +49%
PAT (cont. ops) (60) (42) +43% (52) (8) >100%
PAT (discont. ops) (67) (2 912) -98% (97) 30 n/m
Minorities (16) (21) -22% (7) (9) -22%
NIC1 144 - n/m 144 - n/m
PAT 0 (2 975) n/m (13) 13 n/m
P&L Highlights
1. NIC: pro forma capital gain from the sale of NBG Insurance
1H17 Group PPI increases by +19% yoy in 1H 2017
Group P&L
Driven by domestic operations, 1H17 group core PPI reaches
€471m, up by 17% yoy reflecting:
– Increasing group core income (+3% yoy)
– Lower group OpEx (-8% yoy)
More specifically:
– NII down by 2% yoy, reflects 1H17 continuing deleverage of the
loan portfolio in light of 1H uncertainty in the domestic market
– Net fee growth reflects significant improvements in the Bank’s
liquidity profile, allowing for the elimination of state aid related
funding costs, resulting in net fee increase of 66% relative to
1H16
– OpEx reduction (-8,3% yoy at the group level), is driven by
domestic personnel costs (-12,6% yoy), reflecting the success of
the 2016 VES involving c10% of domestic FTEs
– Credit risk charges reduce by 14% qoq to 243bps, keeping
coverage ratio constant despite write offs
– 1H17 Group PAT breaks even
UBB sale CET1 impact, partially offset by impairments on Romania
and Serbia reflecting agreements to sell below book (-38bps)
Apart from the NBG Insurance capital impact, the RWA
deconsolidation impact of BROM, Vojvo and SABA (-€1,8b),
expected in 2H17, will boost capital
Overview and Financial Highlights
10
56%
54% 54%
48%49%
2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17
Domestic OpEx evolution (€ m)
Group OpEx by category (€ m)
1H17 personnel costs decline 13% yoy, leading cost to core income below 50%
Headcount evolution (‘000)
Domestic cost-to-core income evolution
Greece Group
1H17 1H16 yoy 1H17 1H16 yoy
Personnel 263 301 -12,6% 286 323 -11,6%
G&As 115 118 -2,3% 130 134 -3,0%
Depreciation 45 45 -0,7% 47 48 -1,0%
Total 423 464 -8,8% 463 505 -8,3%
151 154 147 131 132
86 82 8879 81
237 237 235210 213
2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17
15,012,2 12,0
9,9 9,9 9,8
10,1
7,9 7,8
1,9 1,9 1,9
25,1
20,1 19,8
11,8 11,8 11,7
FY09 1 FY14 FY15 FY16 1Q17 2Q17
G&A &
other
Staff
SEE &
Other
Greece
1. Excludes NBG Insurance, UBB, BROM & Vojvo employees
111
Overview and Financial Highlights
11
Remaining NPE reduction at €5,1b (€ b)
NPE operational targets for 2017 are attainable Parent NPE reduction targets (SSM perimeter) (€ b)
21,5
-3,3
-5,1 13,1
FY15 Done Remaining FY19
• Operational targets submitted to the SSM contain a reduction of
NPLs and NPEs by €7,4b and €8,5b over the period 2016-2019,
equal to a reduction of c.50% and 40% respectively
• Upon achieving these targets in 2019, NBG will have reduced its
NPL and NPE ratios by c.15ppts, with NPE coverage around the
50% mark
• Already achieved reduction by €3,3b, overshoots the 2017 target
by €0,7b, providing operating flexibility
15,2 15,3 15,0 15,0
14,0 13,9
13,6 12,6
7,7
6,4 0,0 6-0,9 5,6
-1,04,7
-0,9 4,7-0,2 4,6
-0,3 -0,1
5,0
21,5 21,5
20,6
19,618,7 18,5 18,2 18,1
13,1
-8,5
NPLs
NPEs
NPE reduction target
Total targeted:
-€8,5b
near FY.17 target due
to €0,7b buffer
NPEs decline for a 5th quarter in a row adding up to a total reduction of €3,3b since end 2015
Overview and Financial Highlights
12
NPE performance significantly ahead of target, liquidity continues to improve substantially,
divestments on track
Liquidity, Asset Quality & Capital Highlights Key Ratios - Group
1H17 1Q17 FY16
Liquidity
Loans-to-Deposits ratio 86% 87% 87%
ELA exposure (€ b) 3,8 5,6 5,6
Profitability
NIM (bps) 306 302 288
Cost-to-Core income 49% 48% 55%
Asset quality
NPE ratio 45,0%3 44,9% 44,9%
NPE coverage ratio 55,7% 56,0% 55,9%
Cost of Risk (bps) 260 278 248
Capital
CET1 phased-in 16,5%1 16,0%2 16,3%2
CET1 ratio CRD IV FL 16,3%1 15,8%2 15,8%2
RWAs (€ b) 39,01 41,32 41,12
1. Excludes the impact from the agreed sales of SABA, NBG Insurance, BROM and Vodjvodjanska
2. Excludes the impact from the agreed sales of UBB, Interlease & SABA
3. Excluding the deleveraging impact, NPE ratio in 2Q is 67bps lower qoq
Domestic NPE stock reduction continues for a 5th consecutive quarter
– NPE reduction continues in 2Q17, with the stock reduced by €0,3b, reflecting zero
gross formation and fully provided write offs
– Net NPE reduction achieved since end-2015 stands at €3,3b
– Excluding write offs, NPE reduction results place NBG €0,7b ahead of the 2Q 2017
SSM target
– Domestic NPE and NPL coverage remains at sector leading levels (56% and 75%),
combining with the lowest NPL and NPE levels among domestic banks
ELA elimination in sight
– ELA exposure continues on a downward trend, reaching €2,6b in August
– The agreed transactions of NBG Insurance, Banca Romanesca and Vodvodjanska will
provide an additional €1,7b of liquidity
– Execution of remaining capital actions and other initiatives, expected during the
next few months, will permit NBG to fully disengage from ELA
– Superior liquidity position and lowest funding cost among local peers, imply NBG is
best positioned to satisfy demand for corporate credit, expected to pick up in 2H17
CET1 ratio at 16,5%1 or 16,3%1 on a CRD IV FL basis
– Group RWAs at €39,0b1 of which €34,8b in Greece (phased in)
– Agreed capital actions will complete in 2H.17 boosting capital
– Equity of remaining SEE assets to be divested at €0,5b, RWAs at €2,4b
Overview and Financial Highlights
Funding and Capital
2
14
Peer group analysis: liquidity position (Group)
1. Excl. EFSF & ESM bonds
2. Estimated based on latest available funding balances & yields
3. Peer average data excluding NBG, based on latest available data
Best in class liquidity and lowest cost of funding place NBG at an advantageous position to
satisfy demand for credit from healthy corporates
Funding and Capital
NBG domestic deposit flows per quarter (€ b)
-2,2
-4,8-3,6
0,3 0,8
-0,9
0,0 0,3 0,9
-0,8
0,2 0,5
4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Qtd
-€10,6 b +€1,3 b
Peer Group: Domestic funding cost2
0,46%
0,59%0,67% 0,66%
NBG Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3
91% 91% 89%86% 87% 85%
141% 138%134%
130% 130% 128%
1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17
Peer domestic
L/D ratio3
NBG Greece
L/D ratio
provides
upside for
selective
credit
growth
Domestic L/D ratio evolution
2,6
8,5 9,19,9
NBG Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3
4% 17%15%13%ELA/
Assets1
15
10,0 10,012,5 11,8
8,9 8,2 6,74,6 4,6 4,4 4,2
17,615,6 11,5
11,0
6,1 5,1
5,6 5,6 3,8 3,1 2,6
0,9
4,03,8 4,7
5,24,4
4,23,5
27,625,6
24 23,7
1917,1 17
15,4
12,811,7
10,3
Total Eurosystem exposure reduced by c. €20,8b and ELA reduced by c. €15b on the back of
the divestment plan, interbank funding and deleveraging
Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17
ECB
ELA
Interbank
Eurosystem and Interbank funding evolution (all amounts in €b and cash equivalents)
Waiver
Reinstatement
Pillars
cancellation
Collateral
optimization Interbank funding
-4,0b Eurosystem
exposure Sinepia
+0,3b cash
Correlated assets
repos
-1,2b Eurosystem
exposure
Jun-17Sep-15Jun-15
Increase of
correlated assets
repos
Jul -17
2,6
3,2
17,6
3,0
2,1
2,0
1,61,1
1,10,5 0,8 0,4 0,1 -0,9
ELA June 2015
Divestment
plan Net Loans
Net Intragroup
Funding
Net Interbank
Repos
(Correlated) Net Deposits
Net Bond
Redemptions
Waiver
Reinstatement Net Cash Recapitalisation Cash Collateral Other
Covered Bond
Maturity
ELA August
2017
ELA reduction – Key items (all amounts in €b and cash equivalents)
Aug -17
Funding and Capital
16
2,6
0,4
0,75
0,5
0,65
0,28
ELA Exposure: Aug-17 Divestment plan proceeds Covered Bond issuance ELA pro-forma exposure,
FY 2017
Ongoing initiatives can provide for ELA disengagement in early 2018; further capital markets
access will be based on a medium term strategy
Ongoing initiatives that can be completed in 2017
All amounts in €b and cash equivalents
- Announced and agreed divestments are expected
to enhance bank liquidity position by c. €1.7b.
- A covered bond issuance can pave the way for
ELA disengagement in early 2018
- Further actions can provide for a convincing ELA
exit
NBG Insurance
Vojvodanska
BROM
1,7
Funding and Capital
- Signal NBG’s return to the capital
markets with a bail-in exempt
instrument
- Disengage from ELA
- Expand investor base
- Establish pricing benchmark
- Build-up capital structure with
cheapest alternative
- Fill MREL bucket
- Provide buffer to senior debt
- Rebuild senior curves
- Increase reliance on capital
markets funding
- Widen investor base and increase
liquidity on the secondary market
Covered bond issuance Subordinated and Senior Issuances
2018Q32017 2019
Medium term strategy for capital markets access
17
17,8 17,7 18,0 17,8 17,9
6,8 7,2 7,6 7,0 7,2
11,1 11,1 11,3 11,3 11,1
35,7 36,036,8 36,1 36,2
2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17
Time
Sight &
other
Savings
+0,4% qoq
Greek deposit yields (bps)
20 2018 17 17
113
103
95
89 89
5147
4441 40
2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17
Time deposit yields stabilize, reflecting a bottoming out of the front-book spread; front-back
book gap narrowing, along with ELA reduction, to support NII in 2H17
Funding and Capital
Greek deposits evolution (€ b)
Time
Total
New production
yield
at 70 bps
69% 69% 69% 69% 69% Core deposits/total
2Q17 Mkt share
36%, +1,2 ppts yoy
Core
18
CET 1 ratio
Acceleration of divestiture plan enhances capital and liquidity substantially and underlines
NBG’s commitment to the successful implementation of the restructuring plan
Funding and Capital
Divestments: latest developments
NBG Insurance closing expected in H2.17; impact of: c110bps in
capital and c€770m in liquidity
– Following the transaction NBG retains a 25% stake along with
an exclusive bancassurance agreement
UBB and Interlease highly capital accretive and liquidity enhancing
transactions completed
Banca Romaneasca, Vojvodjanska, NBG Leasing (Serbia) and SABA
to close in H2.17, RWA deconsolidation impact of c80bps in capital,
offsetting the 2Q 38bps negative impact arising from agreeing to
sell at a discount to book; liquidity impact of c€1b
Excluding completed and agreed transactions, equity of remaining
SEE assets to be divested stands at €0,5b; RWAs at €2,4b
16,0% 16,5%
8,75%
16,3%
1Q17 2Q17 2017 SREP CRD IV fully
loaded
RWAs (€ b) 41,3 39,0 39,0
CET1:
€6,4bCET1:
€6,5b
DTC: €4,8b
CET1:
8,75%
OCR:
12,25%
CET1:
€6,6b
-€1,8b ΔRWAs qoq
from the sale of
UBB/Interlease
Asset Quality
3
20
Peer Group1: NPE & Coverage (Group)
6,67,3
9,0
5,8
-3,8
-7,3-6,9
-6,0
NBG Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3
1. Latest available data, Banks’ financials and investor presentations
Asset quality
NBG stands out in asset quality compared to peer group
Peer Group1: 90dpd & Coverage (Group) Peer Group1: net NPLs vs TBV (Group)
Coverage
ratio
90dpd
ratio
TBV less
net NPLs
(€b)
TBV (€b)
Unprovided
NPLs (€b)
74% 68% 69%
65%
34%
37% 38%
35%
NBG Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3
56%45%
48%
51%
45%
52%54%
44%
NBG Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3
Coverage
ratio
NPE ratio
€2,8b -€0,0b €2,1b -€0,2b
21
Domestic NPE stock evolution (€ b)
Domestic NPE stock movement (€ b)Domestic NPE stock per category – 2Q17 (€ b)
5,6
2,3 2,2
3,8
1,4
0,3 0,3
2,7
7,0
2,6 2,5
6,5
Mortgages Consumer SBL Corporate
FNPE & other
impaired
90dpd
22,0
-0,6-0,3
21,1
-0,7-0,2
20,1
-0,2-0,7
19,2+0,05
-0,2
19,0
-0,01 -0,3
18,7
15,1 15,3 14,4 14,3 13,9
5,9 4,84,8 4,7 4,8
21,120,1
19,2 19,0 18,7
2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17
FNPEs & other
impaired
90dpd
Asset quality
47,9% 46,4% 45,1% 45,1% 45,2%NPE ratio
13,9
18,7
+16bps
reported basis
-67bps qoq
excluding
deleveraging
impact
Zero net NPE formation in 2Q and fully provided write offs, keep the NPE stock on a declining
trend
22
Domestic NPE ratios and coverage per segment
Domestic 90dpd ratios per segment
43%
93% 78%
111% 75,4% 74,2%
34%
51%
62%
23%
33,7% 33,8%
Mortgages Consumer SBL Corporate Total GRE Group
34%
82% 68%
65% 56,2% 55,7%
42%
58%
71%
39%45,2% 45,0%
Mortgages Consumer SBL Corporate Total GRE Group
1. Bank level
Asset quality
Domestic forborne stock breakdown (€ b)
Domestic 90dpd – NPE bridge (€ b)
13,9
3,3 0,8 0,618,7
90dpd FNPE <30 FNPE 31-90 Other impaired NPEs
FNPE<30 dpd
3,3
FNPE 31-90dpd
0,8
FNPE >90dpd
3,2
FPE 2,9
Cash
coverage
Cash
coverage
14% 47% 48% 25% 25%Provisions/
Gross loans
10,2
Collateral
coverage176% 9% 52% 53% 55%
SEE & other:
90dpd ratio: 35%
Coverage: 55%
SEE & other:
NPE ratio: 42%
Coverage: 46%
Lowest 90dpd and NPE ratios in Greece combined with the highest cash coverage
23
Corporate NPL Management
Special Assets Unit (“SAU”) is a centralised unit with end-to-end responsibility for the
management of corporate NPLs with:
− Vertically integrated management to ensure single point accountability and efficient
decision making
− Dedicated SAU RMs and separate Credit Committees
− Clear prioritisation strategy based on ageing, size, collateralisation levels and legal
status
− Internally developed tools to prioritise alternative strategies and assess debtors’
viability
− Short-term and longer-term target setting and RM productivity monitored monthly
− Certain corporate exposures are managed by the business unit
Overview of Portfolio
Retail Collections Unit
Retail Collections Unit (“RCU”) is an independent unit focused on management of
retail NPLs and collections
− Centralised unit with end-to-end responsibility
− Strategy differentiated by customer segmentation: collecting in early buckets,
restructuring subsequently, legal actions according to selection criteria, and
settlements for >360dpd
− New restructuring products designed to ensure solution sustainability based on
PTI and on client’s disposable income after subtracting reasonable living
expenses
− Tight performance monitoring of internal collection center and external
agents and lawyers through comprehensive KPIs
− Champion/challenger tactics frequently employed to test new segment strategies
based on cohort attributes (profession, income, dpd, collateral)
Retail Balance (€b) Treatment Clients (‘000) FTE
Mortgages 9,1 Collections 85 256
Consumer 2,8 Restructuring 41 129
Micro-SBL 1,2 Legal/ 216 365
Settlements
Total 13,1 342 750
Branches (execution) 807
Various support functions 133
c. 2,000 FTEs deployed in
collections and NPL
management
(1) SME: small & medium enterprises
(2) SBL: small business loans
Asset quality
Corporate Balance (€b)of which
(denounced)#Clients FTEs
Large Corporates & Shipping 2,4 0,6 499 27
SMEs 2,5 1,3 4,067 71
SBL 1,1 0,5 6,759 72
of which
Denounced (Admin.) n.a n.a. (5,596) 66
Legal, Control & Operational 64
Total 6,0 11,325 300
(1)
(3) Denounced: legal procedures have been initiated.
(4) Clients with all contracts denounced
(3) & (4)
(2)
Large scale Special Asset (Corporate) and Retail Collection Units
NBG Mortgage Business
4
25 NBG Mortgage Business
Business Banking & Retail Loans Division is managing the mortgage portfolio
Underwriting
Center C
Business Banking & Retail
Loans
Mortgage Portfolio
Analysis
Reporting/ MIS
Portfolio
analysis
Target setting
& monitoring
Budget
preparation &
monitoring
Analytics
Operational Support
Credit Policy review
Quality control
(post approval
review)
Systems support
Compliance issues
management
Compliance,
Operational Risk
and Environmental
policy management
Product Development
Proposal for new
product development
Product pricing
Preparation of circulars
Participation in the
preparation of legal
contracts
Product
parameterization (IRIS)
Internet and intranet
material support
After-sales support
Unit/ Helpdesk
Handling
customers’
requests and
complaints
Branches after
sales support
Network’s
compliance with
internal audit
findings
Litigation support
includes approvals
Quality Control team
Reception, validation, processing and underwriting of new loan
applications including mortgages, consumer loans & credit cards
Processing of restructuring / rescheduling applications
Fraud checks
Credit cards’ physical file review
Underwriting
Center AUnderwriting
Center B
Underwriting
Center D
Head of Approval
Center
Head of Mortgage
Loans
Source: National Bank of Greece
26
…in co-operation with other bank units – duties clearly segregated through the cycle
credit
• defines overall credit policy
• sets credit limit authorities
• sanctions larger exposures
• reviews and authorizes new
products in accordance with the
credit policy
risk
designs, develops and monitors all
credit decision engines incl.:
• origination rating
• behavioral rating
• LGD rating model
• risk based pricing
risk appetite definition
business unit
product design
product factory
underwriting
portfolio management
branch network
retail collections
customer facing units
legal / technical support
centralized services
campaign management
sales & customer service
application origination
disbursement
collections
restructuring
legal actions
NBG Mortgage Business
Source: National Bank of Greece
27
All products are discrete, well defined and monitored independently
• Commitment through borrower’s higher equity
participation (max LTV: 75%)
• Stricter assessment of borrower’s repayment
capacity
• New originations always require principal
repayment
• Risk-based pricing
• Maturities offered take into account the financing
purpose and the size of the loan
All products are discrete, well defined and monitored independently
New originations
The Bank offers a wide range of mortgage products:
• Lending purposes:
1. purchase, construction, completion, extension or repair of residential premises
2. purchase of land for building
• Interest rates: floating or fixed to floating (introductory for 3 or 5 years)
Floating rate mortgages are indexed based on three month Euribor, plus a spread depending
predominately on the customer’s credit profile and loan characteristics (i.e. LTV and PTI ratios, loan
purpose, score)
• Collaterals: loans are secured by a 1st lien mortgage over the subject property or other acceptable
collateral
• Duration: up to 30 years and 15 years in case of repairs or improvements, subject to an individual’s
age
Financing products’ overview
Discontinued products
The Bank has discontinued the following products: (a) guaranteed / subsidized; (b) transfers
from other banks
NBG Mortgage Business
Source: National Bank of Greece
28
Corrective measures have been taken as a response to the crisis
90+ dpd %
disbursements to
new customers
measures
2011
Stricter
underwriting
criteria
Discontinued
products with
high default
rages
1st generation
restructuring
products
2010 2012
Further
tightening of
underwriting
criteria
3rd generation
restructuring
products
2013 2014
2nd
generation
restructuring
products
Further
tightening of
underwriting
criteria
Approval
authority
levels
decreased
4th generation
restructuring
products
which take
into
consideration
the financial
situation of
the customer
New
originations
considering
the total
relationship
of the
customer
with the
Bank
outstanding
balances
2015 2016
Adjustment to
legislative
framework of
Code of
Conduct
5th generation
restructuring
products
Review of new
origination
products
offered, for
better
monitoring1,42
0,300,05 0,03 0,04 0,06 0,05 0,01
New
approval
authority
levels
all amounts in € b
2017
Reorganization of
Retail Lending to
increase efficiency
and synergies
New application
system embedding
risk-based pricing
20,519,7
18,9 18,718 17,4
16,7 16,5
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Q1
Source: National Bank of Greece
10%15%
24%27% 30% 34% 34% 34%
New Origination
2012-1Q2017
WA Payment to
Income of 25%
WA LTV 56%
NPL ratio 0,6%
NBG Mortgage Business
29
Mortgage loans are approved under a strict set of criteria and controls
Additional checks / Comments
credit scoring includes the assessment of
customers' demographics and relationship with
the bank
Key metric Approval Criteria
verification of income through electronic
tax system
assessment of collateral's quality and compulsory
borrower’s self participation in advance
Rating based on the weighted behavior of score of
customers' different loan products
specific high risk customer categories are always
rejected
customers with restructured products
score card
PTI
LTV
Tiresias score
customer behaviour
<35%1
credit bureau scoring based on financial
behaviour of borrowers
up to 75%
based on bespoke scorecard
Internal risk based customer segmentation
1 – officially 40%, however effectively 35%- taking into consideration customer’s depository or investment relationship within the Bank
risk based pricing considering LTV, PTI, application score &
financing purpose
embedded in the application system
NBG Mortgage Business
Source: National Bank of Greece
30
Clear system of credit authority levels for all mortgage approvalsap
pro
valau
tho
rity
approval level
2,000Retail Credit Risk Head &
Mortgages Division Head
2,000+Group CCO & Retail GM
50Level 1
750Credit Centre Head & Retail
Credit Risk representative
100Level 2
total exposure (€k)
• new approval authority levels effective from March
2017
• greater involvement of the Credit Division in the
approval process
• credit threshold lowered from 750k to 300k (Retail
Credit Risk involvement necessary above this limit)
200Level 3
Level 4 300
NBG Mortgage Business
Source: National Bank of Greece
31
Underwriting is done centrally, driven by product type and a number of controls are in place
both pre and post disbursement
customer
applicationdata collection
& input
Processing Center
disbursement
2-stage evaluation of loan applications respecting 4-eye principle and approval limits; checks embedded in supporting IT systems
Branch branch
fin
al
deci
sio
nUnderwriting Team
new originations
evaluation
Credit Decision
approval authority levels based on:
1. applicants’ total exposure in NBG retail products
2. requested amount
in accordance with the credit authorities
matrix
underwriting system built-in controls
mortgage division controls
pre
-dis
bu
rsem
en
t
credit division controls
internal audit controls
po
st-d
isb
urs
em
en
t
control description control description
• automated controls built in the application
workflow system on application score, PTI,
LTV, credit authorization limits
• daily post approval pre-disbursement on
a 2% random sample; audit & evaluation
of processing & underwriting procedure
• monitoring of the credit evaluation process to
ensure Group Credit Policy alignment,
reviewing of loan files sample
• independent and objective audit activity,
providing advisory work, ensuring the
implementation of policies and regulation
centralized loan administration
• mortgage, legal, property value
validation, confirmation of credit pre-
approvalSarbanes-Oxley 404
• yearly self assessment and certification of
procedures and controls which are
publicly disclosed
NBG Mortgage Business
Source: National Bank of Greece
32
Robust models are used for underwriting and monitoring of the mortgage portfolio
Mortgages PD
models (2)
Behavioral
scorecards (3)
Description Factors
• statistical model, automatically run on a monthly basis
• 2 sub-models, one for Young and one for Mature accounts
• used in capital adequacy and provisioning
• assesses all accounts since date activation
• maturity
• delinquent amount
• initial Loan amount
• delinquency patterns
• product type
• application score
• statistical models, automatically run on a monthly basis
• 3 different models, for Current, Cycle 1 and Cycle 2 accounts
• models examine account behavioral patterns in the 12-months
most recent history
• models predict probability of 60+ “Identify them early” approach
• used in customer rating
• MoB
• delinquency patterns
• maturity
Application
scorecard
• statistical model, automatically run when a new loan application
is assessed
• model predicts probability of 90+ in the next 18 months
• applicant demographics (age,
marital status, education)
• occupation
• income
• loan characteristics(term, purpose)
• Credit Bureau information
NBG Mortgage Business
Source: National Bank of Greece
33
Centralized delinquency management under Retail Collections (“RC”) from 1+dpd
Retail
Collections Head
External law offices
Branch network:
personnel dedicated to RC
Retail Collections
Operations
Retail Collections
Strategy and Support
Deputy CEO
Business
Requirement
Analysis
State Guarantee
& Subsidized
Loan
Management
Restructuring &
Debt Settlement
Management
Legal
ManagementAdministration
Internal Retail
Collections
Management
Strategic
Planning
Operations
Support
Retail
Collections
Agencies
Management
Auction
Administration
External collection
agencies
Delinquent Retail
Underwritting
366
175
115
830
248 15 72 19 815 18 58 29 25
15249
568Number of
FTEs 1100Number of
other personnel
Collections strategy and portfolio segmentation
Budgeting/ forecasting, target setting and legal processes support
Performance monitoring and reporting
Process reengineering and IT system requirements
Individual insolvency borrowers management (L.3869)
BoG Code of Conduct management
Loan restructuring and debt settlement special issues management and approvals
External agencies invoicing
Claim payments stemming from State guarantees
Management and training of internal collection center teams
Monitoring and management of external collection agencies
Customer complaints management
Legal case assignment
External law offices management
Administration of auction procedures
General administration
Strategy and Support main responsibilities Operations main responsibilities
290
Number of
external
resources
NBG Mortgage Business
Source: National Bank of Greece
34
Three main remedial actions are utilized to manage delinquent assets
Legal EnforcementRestructuringForborne1
Not Forborne
180Days past due 120
Collections Restructuring
270
Legal Enforcement
Collections is the first step for all delinquent accounts and the preferred remedial action in order to minimize the inflow of accounts in the NPEs.
Restructuring is the next step for
delinquent accounts. By the use of an
algorithm, a viable restructuring
solution is calculated based on the
client’s capacity to repay.
Legal enforcement is the last
remedial action. By utilizing legal
actions, NBG aims to maximize
recoveries through collateral
enforcement, increase collateral
coverage through forced prenotation,
incentivize uncooperative customers
and address risks related to moral
hazard.
1 2 3
11
Collections
NBG Mortgage Business
Source: National Bank of Greece
1. Forborne: Exposures for which forbearance measures have been extended according to EBA ITS technical standards on Forbearance and Non-Performing Exposures
35
Clear target setting and restructuring schemes implemented to pursue collections
Debt Collections Agencies (“DCAs”)
Internal Collection Center (“ICC”)
StageHeadcount
3 DCAs with
a total
headcount
of 175 FTEs
104 FTEs
Early
Collections:
11-60dpd
Late Collections:
60-120dpd for
Forborne or 60-
180dpd for not
Forborne
Target
Roll rate1
Roll rate1 Exits from
90+dpd through
cash collections for
buckets 4-6
Collections Restructuring
Headcount
830 FTEs dedicated to
restructuring efforts
92 FTEs
Target
collection rate2 and
restructuring rate3
Exits from 90+dpd
through cash
collections or
restructuring
1. For example, the roll rate from bucket 1 (i.e. 1-30dpd) to bucket 2 (i.e. 30-60dpd) is defined as the portion of balances that were in bucket 1 at the beginning of the assignment which migrated to bucket 2
at the end of the assignment, i.e. in the next billing; more simply, it is the percentage of clients paying less than one instalment within a month
2. Collection rate is defined as cash collections within a month over balance assigned at the beginning of the month
3. Restructuring rate is defined as restructurings disbursed within a month over balance assigned at the beginning of the month
Branches
Internal Collection Center (“ICC”)
NBG Mortgage Business
Source: National Bank of Greece
36 NBG Mortgage Business
Legal enforcement process leading to collateral liquidation
Extrajudicial letter Payment order Forced prenotation Seizure Auction
Desc
rip
tio
n
Legally force pre-
notation on
property as claim
on consumer
loans
Court payment
order is a
prerequisite
Selection criteria
consider overall
balance owed,
real estate
property value,
LTV and
privileged claims
Seize real estate
property
A payment order
is a prerequisite
May accept
down payment
from client to
suspend auction
Set minimum
bid (may repeat
auction if not
met)
Specific timeline
of the repetition
of the auctions
Receipt of Auction
Proceeds
The ranking of
claims is served
to the Bank
within 2-3
months and the
hearing in court
of any
objections is
determined in 2
months
Issue
extrajudicial
letter and
serve it to
customer by
bailiff
Apply for Court
payment order
Issue payment
order through
Court and serve it
to customer by
bailiff
<1 month 6 months <1 month 7-8 months* 2-8 months*
* Timeline estimation based on recent legislation changes, without taking into account potential operational effects (e.g. e-auctions introduction)
Speed up for 2017:
140 properties seized up to Jun.17 out of ~1000
that expected to be done for this year
Source: National Bank of Greece
NBG Covered Bond Programme II and
New Issuance
5
38
Rationale and investment highlights for a new Covered Bond issuance by National Bank of
Greece
Covered Bond Programme II and New Issuance
Rationale
Investment Highlights
Reintroduction to the capital markets with a bail-in exempt instrument
Signal of a mid-term commitment to the capital markets as part of a wider funding strategy
Disengagement from the Emergency Liquidity Assistance (ELA), providing for a clear credit differential compared to
peers
Reestablishment of pricing benchmarks that can be used for further debt instruments in the future
Expansion of investor base
Higher rating compared to sovereign bonds albeit currently capped at the country ceiling
Rating upside due to the conditional pass through structure
Resistant to market volatility
Bonds structured in accordance with the criteria of the exception set for the participation under CBBP3 of Greek
non-investment grade covered bonds
Potential participation of Official Institutions
25% contractual OC commitment
Source: National Bank of Greece
39
1 Loans with a higher LTV ratio may be included in the cover pool, but they are taken into account for the calculation of the statutory tests only up to the amount indicated by the LTV cap.
The Greek Covered Bonds Framework: Overview
Key areas Description
Cover Assets Residential Mortgages ≤ 80% LTV 1
Commercial Mortgages ≤ 60% LTV 1
Shipping Loans ≤ 60% LTV 1
Residential and commercial mortgage loans may only be included in the cover pool if the property subject to the mortgage is situated in Greece
Derivatives may also be included in the cover pool to the extent that they are used exclusively to hedge interest rate, FX or liquidity risk.
The valuation of properties must be performed at or below the market value and must be repeated every year in relation to commercial properties and every three years in relation to
residential properties.
Mandatory overcollateralization 5% OC
Banks Requirements • Aggregate regulatory capital of at least 500 million Euros and a capital adequacy ratio of at least 9%.
• Banks need to meet minimum risk management and internal control requirements including suitable policies and procedures for the issuance of covered bonds, organizational
requirements, IT infrastructure and a policy for the reduction and management of risks deriving from covered bond issuance
Statutory Tests (a) The nominal value of the covered bonds including accrued interest may not exceed at any point in time 95% of the nominal value of the cover assets including accrued interest;
(b) The net present value of obligations to holders of covered bonds and other creditors secured by the cover pool may not exceed the net present value of the cover assets
including the derivatives used for hedging (assuming a parallel movement of the yield curves by 200 basis points).
(c) The amount of interest payable to holders of covered bonds for the next 12 months must not exceed the amount of interest expected to be received from the cover assets over
the same period.
Cover pool monitor The compliance with statutory tests, mentioned above, is audited by independent auditors. Such audit reports, as well as the quarterly compliance reports by the issuer are submitted to the
Bank of Greece.
Reporting duties of the issuer Disclosure requirements to the BoG: (a) results of annual AUP by the independent auditor; (b) Detailed data of the cover pool assets along with the revaluation of the real estate
Segregation of cover assets The cover assets are segregated from the remaining estate of the credit institution through a pledge constituted by operation of law (statutory pledge). The relevant legislation creates an
absolute priority of holders of covered bonds and other secured parties over the cover pool. The statutory pledge supersedes the general privileges in favour of certain preferred claims
(such as claims of employees, the Greek state and social security organizations).
Bankruptcy remoteness The covered bonds are not affected by the commencement of any insolvency proceedings against the issuer and covered bonds do not automatically accelerate upon insolvency of the
credit institution. In case of insolvency of the issuer, the Bank of Greece may appoint an administrator if the trustee does not do so.
Set-off risk the claims constituting cover assets are not subject to set-off.
Residual Recourse The relevant legislation provides for dual recourse both to the cover pool as secured creditors and to the remaining assets of the credit institution ranking as unsecured and
unsubordinated creditors.
Covered Bond Programme II and New Issuance
Source: National Bank of Greece
40
Sources: National Bank of Greece, EBA-Op-2016-23
Greek framework fully complies with 12/15 EBA recommendations
EBA recommendations Description Greek Framework
Dual RecourseFull alignment reflects that the dual recourse is considered a sine qua non of the concept of a
covered bond as defined in Article 52(4) of the UCITS Directive.
Fully aligned
Segregation of the cover assets Segregation of the cover assets by way of their registration in the Pledge Registry Fully aligned
Bankruptcy remoteness of the covered bondRemoteness of the covered bond from the bankruptcy of the issuer and a preferential claim of the
covered bond investors on cover assets.
Fully aligned
Administration of the covered bond programme post the
issuer’s insolvency or resolution
Upon the issuer’s insolvency or resolution, the covered bond programme is managed in an
independent manner and in the preferential interests of the covered bond investor.
Fully aligned
Composition of cover pools Cover pools should consist exclusively of one primary asset class; limited to EEA jurisdictions Partially aligned
LTV limits Maximum LTV parameters to determine the percentage portion of the loan that contributes to the
requirement for coverage of liabilities of the covered bond programme (soft LTV limits).
Fully aligned
LTV measurement and frequency of revaluationThe value of the property securing a particular loan must be updated on at least a yearly basis Fully aligned
Coverage principles and overcollateralisationThe liabilities of the covered bond programme are sufficiently covered by cover assets Fully aligned
Use of derivativesDerivative instruments are allowed in covered bond programmes exclusively for risk hedging
purposes
Fully aligned
Liquidity buffer Means of liquid assets are available at all times to cover the cumulative net outflows of the covered
bond programme over a certain time frame
Partially aligned
Stress testing Stress test exercises on the calculation of the coverage requirement Partially aligned
Appointment of the cover pool monitorAt the establishment of a given covered bond programme, a cover pool monitor is appointed Fully aligned
Supervision of the covered bond issuer Clear and sufficiently detailed illustration of the duties and powers of the competent authority
regarding the ongoing supervision of covered bond issuers
Fully aligned
Duties and powers of the national authority in a scenario of the
issuer’s insolvency
Existence of a sufficiently detailed description of what the duties and powers of the competent
authority in a scenario of the issuer’s insolvency.
Fully aligned
Scope of disclosure Issuers should disclose aggregate data on the credit risk, market risk and liquidity risk characteristics
of cover assets and covered bonds
Fully aligned
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Covered Bond Programme II and New Issuance
41
1 Decision of the European Central Bank of 15 October 2014 on the implementation of the third covered bond purchase programme (ECB/2014/40) (2014/828/EU)
Key features NBG Covered Bond Programme II
Issuer National Bank of Greece S.A.
Originator National Bank of Greece S.A.
Servicer National Bank of Greece S.A.
Programme size €15 billion
Currency EUR
Format Conditional pass-through
Issuer rating RD/Caa2/CCC+ (Fitch/Moody’s/S&P)
Ratings B/B3 (Fitch/Moody’s)
Country Ceilings B/B3 (Fitch/Moody’s)
Collateral Prime Greek residential mortgage loans
Contractual minimum OC level 25%
Legal minimum OC level 5%
Asset Monitor Ernst & Young
Back-Up Servicer Alpha Bank A.E.
CBPP3 eligibility – Issuer’s assessment NBG Covered Bond Programme II
General Criteria 1
1) Covered bonds eligible for monetary policy operations in line with section 6.2.1 of Annex I to Guideline ECB/2011/14;
2) and in addition, fulfil the conditions for their acceptance as own-used collateral as laid out in section 6.2.3.2. (fifth paragraph) of Annex I to
Guideline ECB/2011/14;
3) and are issued by credit institutions incorporated in the euro area
For covered bonds which currently do not achieve the CQS3 rating in Greece and Cyprus 1
1) Programmes rated at country ceiling
2) Monthly reporting of pool and asset characteristics
3) Minimum committed OC of 25%
4) Currency hedges or at least 95% of assets are in euro
5) Claims must be against debtors domiciled in the euro area
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
Key features of NBG’s Covered Bond Programme II
Covered Bond Programme II and New IssuanceSource: National Bank of Greece
42
Fitch: Assessment of NBG Covered Bond Programme II
Rating Inputs
Issuer Default Rating (IDR)
Potential notching above Long-Term
Issuer Default Rating for Greek CB
Issuers
Fitch
Restricted Default (RD)
Summary of Rating Agency Considerations
Potential Uplift
Effective Uplift
IDR + [8-10]1
IDR + 2
Source: Fitch reports
Sovereign Rating
CeilingB
NBG’s Viability Rating (VR) is “ccc” – upgraded by Fitch from “f” with other Greek
issuers on 19th June 2017 reflecting banks’ improved liquidity and expectations
for reduction in political risk and strengthening of depositor and investor
confidence following the completion of the second review of Greece’s third
economic adjustment programme
The starting point in the ratings process is the “ccc” VR. Fitch then considers the
available protection to investors, mainly in the form of OC, and assesses whether
it is sufficient to compensate for credit and interest-rate risk at the respective
instrument rating
There is up to 2 notches uplift over the IDR assigned to programmes in
jurisdictions with advanced resolution frameworks where CBs and secured debt
are exempt from bail-in (applicable in Greece)
Payment Continuity Uplift (PCU) of up to 8 notches if there are satisfactory
liquidity protection mechanisms in place for payments on CBs to be met timely in
case of enforcement of recourse against the cover pool
Fitch has assigned the Programme an IDR uplift of 2 notches and a PCU of 8
notches but this is not a driver of the rating as the “B” assigned to NBG
Programme II is capped by the Greek Country Ceiling
The “B-” assigned to Greek CB programmes is at the Greek Country Ceiling
Recovery prospects driven by the maximum asset percentage (which is a
minimum 25% contractual overcollateralization for NBG Programme II)
There have been no missed payments on interest or principal that have become
due on Greek covered bonds, which continue to be performing obligations of the
Issuers
Provisions to take into account BRRD Yes, IDR + 2 possible
1 Payment continuity uplift ranges from 6 to 8 notches depending on the programme
Viability Rating (VR) ccc
Hellenic Republic Rating B-
Covered Bond Programme II and New Issuance
OC consistent with current rating 0%
43
Moody’s: Assessment of NBG Covered Bond Programme II
Moody’s utilizes its standard two-step process to determine the ratings of NBG Covered Bond Programme II: expected loss analysis and a timely payment indicator (TPI)
On 27th June 2017 Moody’s upgraded the ratings of the NBG Covered Bond Programme II to B3
This follows (a) the upgrade by Moody’s of Greece’s long-term issuer rating to Caa2 from Caa3 on 23rd June 2017 and a change in outlook to “Positive” from “Stable”; this
action reflected the successful conclusion of the second review under Greece’s adjustment programme, improved fiscal prospects and early signs of economic stabilization;
and (b) the upgrade of NBG’s baseline credit assessment to Caa2 with a positive outlook.
Following the upgrade of the sovereign rating of the Hellenic Republic, the country ceiling for structured finance transactions was increased to B3
The CB anchor for the NBG Programme II is the CR Assessment plus one notch (i.e. Caa1), with a current TPI assessment of ‘Probable’ and leeway of ‘limited or none – this
means the minimum CRA required to support the current B3 rating is the current level of Caa2(cr)
Given the linkage to the sovereign rating, additional upgrades in Greece’s sovereign rating may result in an upgrade in the ratings of covered bond programmes, provided
there is enough overcollateralization available to cover credit risk, in line with the current TPI assessment of “Probable”.
Illustrative Greek Covered Bond Programme Rating
Rating Rationale
Source: Moody’s
Covered Bond Programme II and New Issuance
CRA RatingCB Anchor TPI Country Ceiling
(Greece)Max. CB Rating
Min. CRA Needed
for B3Uplift for BRRD Region Outcome TPI Assessment Outcome
Caa2(cr) BRRD Region YES +1 notch Probable +0 notches B3 B3 Caa2(cr)
44
NBG Covered Bond Programme II: Why a Conditional pass-through structure
The Conditional Pass-Through structure ensures an orderly wind-down of the Cover Pool and avoids the risk of a fire sale
and crystallization of losses for the investors
The Covered Bonds are bullet obligations of NBG. Non-payment of the bullet obligation will result in a payment default for
NBG, triggering cross-default provisions for other liabilities and an Issuer-Event under the Programme.
Following an Issuer Event, the Pass-Through repayment mechanism is activated:
– All cash flows received by the Replacement Servicer in respect of the Cover Pool can be used to pay down the relevant
outstanding Pass Through Covered Bonds
– Every six months an attempt will be made to sell (a randomly selected part of) the Cover Pool
– The sale can only proceed if the price achieved is at least equal to the Adjusted Required Redemption Amount
– During the Pass-Through phase, the OC is expected to increase as a result of the pay down of the outstanding
Covered Bonds, and a sale of the Cover Pool becomes more likely
NBG Covered Bond
Programme II Conditional Pass
Through Features
Hard bullet
Soft-bullet
Conditional pass-through
Extension of typically up to 1 year
Extension as per the Extended Final Maturity Date
Firesale
Firesale
Through sales of cover pool assets and natural amortization
Orderly wind-down
Source: National Bank of Greece
Comparison of Covered Bond structures
Covered Bond Programme II and New Issuance
45
Enhanced rating stability and rating upside
– by reducing refinancing risk—major source of agency concern—structure significantly reduces downgrade probability of bonds and increases rating
upside compared to soft bullet and hard bullet structures
Regulator friendly
– avoids “must sell at all costs” at time of system wide stress
– avoids risk of crystallising losses
– complies with EBA recommendations on conditional pass throughs
Extension optionality has been eliminated
– Any non-payment on the final maturity date is a payment default for NBG, triggering cross-default provisions
Time subordination is mitigated…
– a Pass-Through bond can only liquidate “fair share” of cover pool, according to its notional as a proportion of the total notional outstanding (pro-rata)
– 25% contractually committed over-collateralisation protects against losses in the pool
– Breach of the Enhanced Amortization Test1 makes all bonds Pass Through
– the method of sale of assets ensures credit-enhancement for the remaining series is not eroded
… but respects original maturity dates…
– no cross-acceleration between bonds of different maturities
… maximizes probability of rapid payment in full
– by combination of natural pay-down of assets and sale of assets
… protects against any payment interruption
– Though a 12-month interest payments reserve, deposited in the offshore Transaction Account
1. Enhanced Amortization Test: whether the Euro Equivalent of the aggregate Principal Amount Outstanding of the Covered Bonds together with senior expenses that rank senior or pari passu with amounts due on the
Covered Bonds are not greater than or equal to 80% of the Nominal Value of the Cover Pool
NBG Covered Bond Programme II – Structural Features
Covered Bond Programme II and New Issuance
Source: National Bank of Greece
NBG Covered Bond
Programme II Conditional Pass
Through Structural
Considerations
46
NBG Covered Bond Programme II – Key Events
Covered Bond Programme II and New Issuance
Source: National Bank of Greece
– An Issuer Event is Triggered Means: (a) NBG stops payment of part or all of its debts; (b) NBG having resolved to enter into voluntary liquidation,
other than in respect of reconstruction, merger or amalgamation as approved in writing by the Trustee; (c) NBG
admits in writing its inability to pay or meet its debts; (d) NBG is forced to enter into liquidation pursuant to Greek
law, other than in respect of reconstruction, merger or amalgamation as approved in writing by the Trustee; (e) a
creditors' collective enforcement procedure is commenced against NBG (including such procedure under the Greek
Banking Legislation of the Hellenic Republic) and is not discharged or temporarily revoked (for so long as such
temporary revocation remains in effect or otherwise becomes permanent) within 30 days; (f) the appointment of any
administrator, liquidator or administrative or other receiver of NBG or all or a substantial part of its property or
assets; and (g) any action or step is taken which has a similar effect to the foregoing
Issuer Insolvency
Event
Means: (a) an Issuer Insolvency Event; (b) the Issuer fails to pay any principal or interest in respect of any Series
of Covered Bonds within a period of seven Athens Business Days from the due date; (c) the Issuer fails to pay the
Final Redemption Amount in respect of any Series of Covered Bonds on the Final Maturity Date (notwithstanding
that the relevant Series of Covered Bonds has an Extended Final Maturity Date); (d) default is made by the Issuer
in the performance or observance of any obligation, condition or provision binding on it and any other
Transaction Document to which the Issuer is a party; (e) any present or future Indebtedness in respect of moneys
borrowed or raised in an amount of €10,000,000 or more (other than Indebtedness under this Programme) of
the Issuer becomes due and payable prior to the stated maturity; (f) there is a breach of a Statutory Test on an
Applicable Calculation Date and such breach is not remedied within two Athens Business Days
– no further Covered Bonds will be issued
– the Servicer will procure that any and all payments under the Cover Pool
Assets are sent to the Transaction Account within 3 days of receipt
– all collections of principal and interest on the Cover Pool Assets will be
dedicated exclusively to the payment of interest and repayment of
principal on the Covered Bonds and to the fulfilment of the obligations of
the Issuer vis-à-vis the Secured Creditors in accordance with the Post-
Issuer Event Priority of Payments
– if NBG is the Servicer, its appointment as Servicer will be terminated and
a new servicer will be appointed pursuant to the terms of the Servicing
and Cash Management Deed and the Secondary Covered Bond
Legislation
Issuer Event
1
2
– then the Trustee shall serve a notice (a “Notice of Default”) on the Issuer.
Following the service of a Notice of Default, the Covered Bonds of all
Series shall become immediately due and payable.
If, following an Issuer Event, any of the following events occurs:
– on the Extended Final Maturity Date in respect of any Series of Pass-Through Covered Bonds there is a
failure to pay any amount of principal due on such Pass-Through Covered
– on any Interest Payment Date, a default in the payment of the amount of interest due on any Series of
Pass-Through Covered Bonds and any other Series of Covered Bonds occurs
– a breach of the Amortization Test
Cover Pool Event of Default
3
47
Statutory tests that are performed by the Servicer and validated by the Asset Monitor, prior
to the occurrence of an Issuer Event
Nominal Value Test
Applicable: Prior to the occurrence of an Issuer Event
Frequency: On each Calculation Date
Description: the Servicer shall determine on each
Calculation Date whether the Principal Amount
Outstanding of all Series of Covered Bonds, together with
all accrued interest thereon, is not greater than 80.0 per
cent. (the “Asset Percentage”) of the Nominal Value of the
Cover Pool (the “Nominal Value Test”).
The Nominal Value of the Cover pool is equal to:
A + B + C + D - Z
A = the “Adjusted Outstanding Principal Balance” of each Loan
in the Cover Pool as at the relevant Calculation Date, which shall
be the Euro Equivalent of the latest valuation relating to that
Loan multiplied by 0.80. For the purposes of this calculation, if
the relevant Loan is in arrears of more than 90 days, the
Adjusted Outstanding Principal Balance shall be deemed zero.
B = all interest accrued on Loans (other than Loans in arrears of
more than 90 days) comprised in the Cover Pool.
C = outstanding principal balance of, together with the accrued
interest thereon, the Marketable Assets
D = the aggregate amount standing to the credit of the
Transaction Account.
Z = the weighted average remaining maturity of all Covered
Bonds (expressed in years) then outstanding multiplied by the
Euro Equivalent of the aggregate Principal Amount Outstanding
of the Covered Bonds multiplied by the Negative Carry Factor.
Net Present Value Test
Applicable: Prior to the occurrence of an Issuer Event
Frequency: On each Calculation Date
Description: the Servicer shall determine on each Calculation
Date whether the Net Present Value of liabilities under the
Covered Bonds then outstanding is less than or equal to the
Net Present Value of the Cover Pool.
The Servicer must ensure that the Net Present Value Test is
satisfied assuming a parallel shift of the yield curve by 200
basis points.
The Net Present Value is equal to:
A + B + C + D
A = Net present value of Loans comprised in the Cover Pool, in
accordance to their Adjusted Outstanding Principal Balance
B = net present value of Marketable Assets, which are to be included
for the purpose of valuation in accordance with paragraph 16 of the
Secondary Covered Bond Legislation.
C = net present value of any Interest Rate Swap, any FX Swap and
any Covered Bond Swap.
D = the aggregate amount standing to the credit of the Transaction
Account (and the net present value of the Authorised Investments
and Marketable Assets acquired from amounts standing to the credit
of the Transaction Account) (provided that amount is less than or
equal to 15 per cent. of the nominal value of the Covered Bonds plus
accrued interest).
Interest Cover Test
Applicable: Prior to the occurrence of an Issuer Event
Frequency: On each Calculation Date
Description: the Servicer shall determine on each Calculation
Date whether the amount of interest due on all Series of
Covered Bonds does not exceed the amount of interest
expected to be received in respect of the assets comprised in
the Cover Pool and the Marketable Assets which are to be
included, in each case during the period of twelve months
from such Calculation Date and the Hedging Agreements (if
included, at the discretion of the Issuer) must be included for
assessing compliance with this test (the “Interest Cover Test”).
In calculating the interest expected to be received in respect
of assets comprised in the Cover Pool, the Servicer shall only
take into account any interest expected to be received on the
Loans, assuming for such purposes that the Loan has an
outstanding principal balance in an amount equal to Adjusted
Outstanding Principal Balance
1 2 3
Source: National Bank of Greece
Issuer Event
Breach
Covered Bond Programme II and New Issuance
48
After the occurrence of an Issuer Event, the Replacement Servicer will perform the
Amortization and Enhanced Amortization Tests
Amortization Test
Applicable: After the occurrence of an Issuer Event
Frequency: On each Calculation Date
the Servicer shall determine whether the Nominal
Value (as described in the Nominal Value Test) will
be in an amount at least equal to the Euro
Equivalent of the aggregate Principal Amount
Outstanding of the Covered Bonds together with
senior expenses that rank in priority or pari passu
with amounts due on the Covered Bonds as
calculated on the relevant Calculation Date (the
“Amortization Test”).
Cover Pool Event of Default
Breach
Enhanced Amortization Test
Applicable: After the occurrence of an Issuer Event
Frequency: On each Calculation Date
the Servicer shall determine whether the Euro
Equivalent of the aggregate Principal Amount
Outstanding of the Covered Bonds together with
senior expenses that rank senior or pari passu with
amounts due on the Covered Bonds are not
greater than or equal to 80% of the Nominal Value
(as described in the Nominal Value Test) of the
Cover Pool (the “Enhanced Amortization Test”)
All outstanding series of Covered Bonds
become Pass Through Covered Bonds
Breach
1 2
Covered Bond Programme II and New Issuance
Source: National Bank of Greece
49
Illustration of repayment mechanism following an Issuer Event
Back-up Servicer appoints a
Portfolio Manager to sell the
cover pool assets
The Portfolio Manager attempts
to sell assets every 6 months
No sale below the ARRA1 will be
permitted
All cash-flows received by the
cover pool are transferred to an
offshore Transaction Account
within three days
Servicer makes monthly
payments according to the Post-
Issuer Event Priority of Payments
using all the funds in the
Transaction Account
Timely payment of principal and interest by the Issuer Issue Date
Final Maturity Date
Extended Final Maturity Date
exte
nsi
on
peri
od
ori
gin
al
ten
or
Full Redemption of Principal Issuer Event
Yes
Payment on principal and interest due subject to availability
of funds
Sufficient proceeds=Yes Sufficient proceeds=No
Full Redemption of pass-
through bonds
Amortization Test Affected Series becomes a pass-through bond
Amortization of
Cover Pool
Sale of Selected Loans not
less than ARRA
First Refinance Date
Pass-Through Covered Bonds
Cover Pool Event of Default
6 M
on
ths
No
Enhanced Amortization Test
(25% OC)All Series Become Pass-
Through Covered Bonds
Any non payment by the
Issuer is a payment default
Trigger of cross default
provisions for the Issuer
Post Issuer Event tests
Covered Bond Programme II and New Issuance
Fail
Fail
Back-up Servicer is
appointed
Source: National Bank of Greece
1 Adjusted Required Redemption Amount (ARRA): the Euro Equivalent of the Required Redemption Amount plus reasonable costs & expenses associated with sale of assets and of the Portfolio Manager in relation to the sale of
assets plus the Series Share of Expenses
50
Source: National Bank of Greece
Cover pool selection was based on a set of objective eligibility criteria
Cover pool eligibility
criteria
Covered Bond Programme II and New Issuance
Borrowers are private individuals
Loans governed by Greek Law and denominated in Euro
Loans secured by a valid and enforceable first ranking Mortgage
and/or Pre-Notation over property located in Greece
The Property which secures the Loan has been reassessed, either
through a physical valuation or a Prop Index Valuation, at least once in
the last 12 months
Not an interest only Loan
Not a Subsidized Loan or a Loan made to employees of the Issuer
Cover pool additional
characteristics
Loans have been originated by NBG
Loans have not been subject to restructuring
Loans original tenor of up to 30 years
Loans current LTV<=80%
Borrowers’ internal credit scores based on the Issuer’s behavioral
models have been taken into account
1 2
3 4
47.091
55.135
47.346
Number of
Borrowers
Number of
Loanparts
Number of
Properties
Origina
l LTV
(w.a.);
54,76%
Current LTV (w.a.);
44,76%
Original tenor (w.a. / years); 21,97
Remaining tenor (w.a. / years); 11,763.488
1.476
Original
Balance (m)
Current
Balance (m)
51
0,1
9%
1,1
9%
0,8
8%
0,6
9%
1,0
1%
1,2
1%
1,1
8%
0,5
1%
0,8
6%
4,0
8% 8,6
8%
8,8
4%
10,5
8%
60.0
9%
<0.5
0.5
-1.0
1.0
-1.5
1.5
-2.0
2.0
-2.5
2.5
-3.0
3.0
-4.0
4.0
-5.0
5.0
-6.0
6.0
-7.0
7.0
-8.0
8.0
-9.0
9.0
-10.0
>10.0
% of Outstanding Notional Amount
0,2
3%
0,4
6%
1,5
8%
2,7
2% 5
,61%
10,0
2%
16,7
3%
13,8
8%
13,2
7%
8,8
0%
10,2
2%
6,4
5%
2,7
5%
0,5
3%
0,7
4%
1,5
1%
2,0
6%
1,9
0%
0,5
0%
19
88
-199
9
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
Source: Covered Bond Programme II August 2017 Monthly Investor Report
Cover Pool characteristics (1/3)
All amounts in EURO Current
Reporting Date 31-08-2017
Portfolio Cut-off Date 31-08-2017
Original Principal Balance (m) 3.488
Current Principal Balance (m) 1.476
Number of Borrowers 47.091
Number of Loanparts 55.135
Number of Properties 47.346
Average Principal Balance (borrower) 31.336
Average Principal Balance (parts) 26.764
Coupon: Weighted Average (%) 2,4
Weighted Average Original Loan to Value (%) 54,76
Weighted Average Loan to Indexed Value (%) 44,76
Seasoning (years): Weighted Average 10,25
Original Maturity (years): Weighted Average 21,97
Remaining Tenor (years): Weighted Average 11,76
Origination Year
Summary of Cover Pool
Maturity Year
Seasoning (in Years)
0,0
0% 1
,21%
2,6
2%
4,6
4%
5,2
5% 6,0
2%
4,7
1%
5,1
0% 6
,02%
4,8
9%
4,4
9%
4,4
2% 5
,49%
5,6
8%
4,3
7%
3,6
6%
3,3
8%
5,2
8% 6,4
6%
4,0
4%
2,7
8%
1,8
5%
2,3
8%
5,2
6%
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040+
% of Outstanding Notional Amount % of Outstanding Notional Amount
W. A. Seasoning: 10,25yrs
W. A. Remaining tenor: 11,76yrs
Covered Bond Programme II and New Issuance
52
Source: Covered Bond Programme II August 2017 Monthly Investor Report
Cover Pool characteristics (2/3)
Original Loan to Value (in %)
Loan to Indexed Value (in %)
Outstanding Notional Amount (€)
Geography
24,7
9%
17,3
9%
16,9
5%
15,4
0%
17,4
5%
8,0
2%
<40.0
0%
40.0
1%
- 50.0
0%
50.0
1%
- 60.0
0%
60.0
1%
- 70.0
0%
70.0
1%
- 80.0
0%
>80.0
1%
% of Outstanding Notional Amount% of Outstanding Notional Amount
% of Outstanding Notional Amount% of Outstanding Notional Amount
41,6
0%
15,8
4%
15,7
1%
14,2
3%
12,4
6%
0,1
6%
≤40.0
0%
40.0
1%
-50.0
0%
50.0
1%
-60.0
0%
60.0
1%
-70.0
0%
70.0
1%
-80.0
0%
>80.0
0%
47.1
1%
7,3
4%
3,0
2%
2,5
5%
2,2
9%
1,8
2%
1,8
1%
1,6
4%
1,6
3%
1,5
0%
29.2
9%
Att
ica
Th
ess
alo
nik
i
Do
dekan
isa
Ach
aia
Lari
sa
Kykla
des
Ioan
nin
a
Mag
nesi
a
Hera
klio
n
Ch
an
ia
Oth
ers
W. A. Loan to Index Value: 44,76%
W. A. Original Loan to Value: 54,76%
21,4
8% 31,0
5%
19,9
8%
10,2
2%
5,6
1%
3,4
4%
2,0
3%
1,3
4%
1,0
2%
0,8
5%
2,9
8%
<25,0
00
25,0
00-
50,0
00
50,0
00-
75,0
00
75,0
00-
100,0
00
100,0
00-
125,0
00
125,0
00-
150,0
00
150,0
00-
175,0
00
175,0
00-
200,0
00
200,0
00-
225,0
00
225,0
00-2
50,0
00
>250,0
00
Average Principal Balance (Borrower): €31,336
Covered Bond Programme II and New Issuance
53
Monthly
100,00%
69.1
1%
8,9
3%
6,8
7%
4,4
5%
1,8
3%
4,3
0%
1,0
5%
2,4
3%
0,2
7%
0,7
1%
0,0
5%
0,0
0%
0.0
%-2
.5%
2.5
%-2
.99%
3%
-3.4
9%
3.5
%-3
.99%
4%
-4.4
9%
4.5
%-4
.99%
5%
-5.4
9%
5.5
%-5
.99%
6%
-6.4
9%
6.5
%-6
.99%
7%
-7.4
9%
≥7.5
%
Performing (0-30
Days Past Due)
99,57%
31-60 Days Past
Due
0,35%
61-90 Days Past
Due
0,07%
91+ Days Past
Due
0,00%
Source: Covered Bond Programme II August 2017 Monthly Investor Report
Cover Pool characteristics (3/3)
Loan Coupon (in %)
Delinquencies
Interest Payment Type and Mortgage Payment Frequency
Property Description and Loan Purpose
% of Outstanding Notional Amount% of Outstanding Notional Amount
% of Outstanding Notional Amount
Residential (Flat
/ Appartment)
89,40%
Residential
(House,
Detached, or
Semi-detached)
9,78%
Other
0,88%
Buy Primary
47,81%
Rennovating
29,08%
Buy Secondary
20,79%
Other
2,32%
Loan PurposeProperty Description
% of Outstanding Notional Amount
Standard
Amortising
98,2%
Other
1,8%
Product Type
W. A. Coupon: 2,35%
ECB Linked
56,46%
EURIBOR 3M
Linked
29,32%
EURIBOR 1M
Linked
6,11%
Fixed
4,67%
Originator Rate
3,44%
Mortgage Payment FrequencyInterest Payment Type
Covered Bond Programme II and New Issuance
54
NBG recent track record in placing secured funding: 1st Greek SME Securitization in 9 years
Summary Terms & Conditions Capital Structure
Issuer: Sinepia D.A.C.
Originator: National Bank of Greece S.A.
Pricing Date: 1st August 2016
Interest Payments: Quarterly fixed rate
Repayment Type: Sequential pass through
Revolving Period: Static Portfolio
Listing: GEM (Irish Stock Exchange)
ClassIssue Amount
(€)
O/S
(€)C/E Rating (F/S) Coupon Final Maturity Status
A1 150m 35,6m 50,01% B-sf / BB(sf) 3mE + 185bps 18th Jul 2035 Pre-Placed
A2 35m 8,3m 50,01% B-sf / BB(sf) 3mE + 185bps 18th Jul 2035 Pre-Placed
A3 50m 11,9m 50,01% B-sf / BB(sf) 3mE + 185bps 18th Jul 2035 Pre-Placed
A4 88,8m 21m 50,01% B-sf / BB(sf) 3mE + 185bps 18th Jul 2035• 89% Placed
(12/2016)
• 11% Retained
M 259,1m 259,1m 10,01% NR 3mE + 300bps 18th Jul 2035 Retained
Z 64,9m 64,9m 0,00% NR 3mE + 500bps 18th Jul 2035 Retained
NOTEHOLDERS
(EBRD, EIB, EIF,
NBG)
SHARE TRUSTEE TMF
Management (Ireland)
Limited
CASH
MANAGER
HSBC Bank Plc
SERVICER
National Bank
of Greece S.A.
SUBORDINAT
ED LOAN
PROVIDER
National Bank
of Greece S.A.
TRUSTEE
HSBC Corporate Trustee
Company (UK) Limited
BORROWERS
OF
PORTFOLIO
ISSUER
SINEPIA
D.A.C
ReceivablesSale of Portfolio
Purchase Price
SELLER
National
Bank of
Greece S.A.
Principal & Interest
Proceeds
Transaction Structure
• Greece’s 1st EUR648m Greek SME CLO since 2007, originated by
the National Bank of Greece (NBG) and the 1st Greek
securitisation, subscribed by Supranationals
• Up to EUR300m of the CLO privately placed with the
supranational investors, EBRD, EIB and EIF, whilst the remaining
balance retained by NBG
• The transaction facilitated NBG’s funding strategy to re-tap
private liquidity towards reducing Eurosystem reliance, as well as
that of Supranationals to deploy European structural funds in
Greece
• The underlying portfolio was fully originated by NBG in Greece
and consisted of 2,840 loans allocated to 1,726 local SMEs. The
portfolio spanned primarily across 3 core industries:
Manufacturing (33,81%), Wholesale & Retail trade (30,42%) and
Hospitality (9,61%)
• The transaction signified the re-opening of Greece’s Structured
Finance, signalling a first easing step of market conditions, to
gradually accommodate Greek Banks’ funding needs
Transaction Highlights
Covered Bond Programme II and New Issuance
Source: National Bank of GreeceBack-up
Servicer
Eurobank S.A.
Greece Macro Update
6
56
Sources: EL.STAT., Greek MinFin, Eurostat, EU Commission, Compliance Report 2nd Review
-16
-12
-8
-4
0
4
-16
-12
-8
-4
0
4
200
9
201
0
201
1
201
2
201
3
201
4
201
5
201
6
201
7f
201
8f
201
9f
202
0f
202
1f
Gen. Gov. total balance
Gen. Gov. primary balance
Primary balance (Programme target)
% of GDP
Restoration of fiscal credibility and the completion of the 2nd review of the economic support
programme, reduce country risk, improve liquidity and set the stage for recovery
Gen. Government: Total and primary balance (as % of GDP) State Budget Primary balance (as % of GDP)
-9
-7
-5
-3
-1
1
3
-9
-7
-5
-3
-1
1
3
Jan
Feb
Mar
Ap
r
May Jun
Jul
Au
g
Sep
Oct
No
v
De
c
2009 2010 2012 2013
2014 2015 2016 2017
% GDP
surplus
deficit
excluding SMP &
ANFA revenue
Greece Macro Update
GDP growth (y-o-y and q-o-q) Gen. Government: Revenue and primary expenditure
20
22
24
26
28
30
20
22
24
26
28
30
Aug
-11
Dec-11
Apr-
12
Aug
-12
Dec-12
Apr-
13
Aug
-13
Dec-13
Apr-
14
Aug
-14
Dec-14
Apr-
15
Aug
-15
Dec-15
Apr-
16
Aug
-16
Dec-16
Apr-
17
Aug
-17
Gen. Government net revenue Gen. Government primary expenditure
as % of GDP, 12 m m.a.
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
Q2:2
012
Q4:2
012
Q2:2
013
Q4:2
013
Q2:2
014
Q4:2
014
Q2:2
015
Q4:2
015
Q2:2
016
Q4:2
016
Q2:2
017
GDP (q-o-q, s.a., right axis) GDP growth (y-o-y, s.a., left axis)
%
+0.8% y-o-yin Q2:2017
57
Sources: EL.STAT., Bank of Greece, EU Commission
60
65
70
75
-16
-12
-8
-4
0
4
8
12
Aug
-10
Dec-10
Apr-
11
Aug
-11
Dec-11
Apr-
12
Aug
-12
Dec-12
Apr-
13
Aug
-13
Dec-13
Apr-
14
Aug
-14
Dec-14
Apr-
15
Aug
-15
Dec-15
Apr-
16
Aug
-16
Dec-16
Apr-
17
Aug
-17
Capacity utilization (right axis)
Manufacturing production (y-o-y, 3m m.a., left axis)
% index
-12-8-4048121620
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
Apr-
15
May-
15
Jun
-15
Jul-
15
Aug
-15
Sep
-15
Oct
-15
No
v-15
Dec-
15
Jan-1
6Feb
-16
Mar-
16
Apr-
16
May-
16
Jun
-16
Jul-
16
Aug
-16
Sep
-16
Oct
-16
No
v-16
Dec-
16
Jan-1
7Feb
-17
Mar-
17
Apr-
17
May-
17
Jun
-17
Jul-
17
Transportation (y-o-y, 3m m.a., left axis)
Other services (y-o-y, 3m m.a., left axis)
Tourism receipts (y-o-y, 3m m.a., right axis)
Exports of goods (excl. oil, y-o-y, 3m m.a., right axis)
Capital
controls
y-o-y
-85
-75
-65
-55
-45
-35
-25
-15
-5
5
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
Oct
-12
Dec-
12
Feb
-13
Apr-
13
Jun
-13
Aug
-13
Oct
-13
Dec-
13
Feb
-14
Apr-
14
Jun
-14
Aug
-14
Oct
-14
Dec-
14
Feb
-15
Apr-
15
Jun
-15
Aug
-15
Oct
-15
Dec-
15
Feb
-16
Apr-
16
Jun
-16
Aug
-16
Oct
-16
Dec-
16
Feb
-17
Apr-
17
Jun
-17
Aug
-17
Industrial (left axis) Services (left axis)
Retail (left axis) Construction (right axis)
Index
Greece: Business confidence indicators
Healthy, export-oriented business activity gains momentum supporting employment creation
Manufacturing production and capacity utilization
Goods and services exports (y-o-y)
Unemployment rate and employment growth
0
5
10
15
20
25
-10
-6
-2
2
6
Jun
-09
Feb
-10
Oct
-10
Jun
-11
Feb
-12
Oct
-12
Jun
-13
Feb
-14
Oct
-14
Jun
-15
Feb
-16
Oct
-16
Jun
-17
Employment growth (left axis) Unemployment rate (right axis)
%y-o-y
Greece Macro Update
58
Unincorporated business & household income
Household disposable income picks up, house prices show signs of stabilization and Greece’s
sovereign credit rating has been upgraded in Q3:2017, along with a successful 5y GGB
issuance in July 2017
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
Q1:2
009
Q3:2
009
Q1:2
010
Q3:2
010
Q1:2
011
Q3:2
011
Q1:2
012
Q3:2
012
Q1:2
013
Q3:2
013
Q1:2
014
Q3:2
014
Q1:2
015
Q3:2
015
Q1:2
016
Q3:2
016
Q1:2
017
Household disposable income (gross, current prices, y-o-y, 2q m.a.)
Income from small business/unincorporated activity (mixed income, gross,
current prices, y-o-y, 2q m.a.)
y-o-y
-16
-12
-8
-4
0
4
-16
-12
-8
-4
0
4
H1
:2009
H2
:2009
H1
:2010
H2
:2010
H1
:2011
H2
:2011
H1
:2012
H2
:2012
H1
:2013
H2
:2013
H1
:2014
H2
:2014
H1
:2015
H2
:2015
H1
:2016
H2
:2016
Q1:2
017
Q2:2
017
Office prices (Athens, y-o-y) Retail prices (Athens, y-o-y)
House prices (total, y-o-y)
y-o-y
-1.2%
Sources: Bank of Greece, Eurostat, Bloomberg
Greek Sovereign, corporate bond yields & stock market Greece’s sovereign ratings
Real estate prices (y-o-y)
Greece Macro Update
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
Ma
r-10
Au
g-1
0
Jan
-11
Jun
-11
No
v-1
1
Ap
r-1
2
Sep
-12
Feb
-13
Jul-
13
De
c-13
Ma
y-1
4
Oct
-14
Ma
r-15
Au
g-1
5
Jan
-16
Jun
-16
No
v-1
6
Ap
r-1
7
Sep
-17
Fitch Moody's S&P
index value: 21 corresponds to AAA and 0 to selective default status
Latest
Outlook
B- Caa2 B-
positive positivepositive
2
5
8
11
14
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
May-15
Jun
-15
Jul-
15
Aug
-15
Sep
-15
Oct-
15
No
v-15
Dec-15
Jan-1
6Feb
-16
Mar-
16
Apr-
16
May-16
Jun
-16
Jul-
16
Aug
-16
Sep
-16
Oct-
16
No
v-16
Dec-16
Jan-1
7Feb
-17
Mar-
17
Apr-
17
May-17
Jun
-17
Jul-
17
Aug
-17
Sep
-17
FTSE/ATHEX Large Cap (left axis)
10yr Greek Government bond yield (right axis)
Greek non-financial corp. bond yield (BoG Composite Index, right axis)
index %
Capital
controls &
3rd MoU
Appendix
7
60
A gradual relaxation of the capital controls framework has been effected
• 100% of cash deposited after 22.07.16 can be withdrawn
• €840 equivalent per fortnight per customer (applicable up to
31.08.2017)
• €1.800 equivalent per month per customer (applicable from
1.09.2017)
• Allowed for existing (as of 11.03.16) customers
• Subject to specific criteria, e.g. primary payroll account, for new
customers
• Private individuals can transfer up to €1,000 per month
• Allowed
• Allowed
• Allowed
• Proceeds can be re-invested
• Prohibited when changing to foreign custodian
• Allowed
• < €350k approval at bank level
• Weekly limit for bank-level committee at €112mn
• > €350k approval by the Banking Transactions Approval
Committee
Cash
withdrawal
limit
New account
opening
• Allowed for existing (as of 11.03.16) customers
• Prohibited for new customers
Additional
account
beneficiary
• 100% of incoming funds can be re-transferred abroad
• 10% of incoming funds received before 22.07.16 can be withdrawn
• 30% of incoming funds received between 22.07.16 and 31.08.17
can be withdrawn
• 50% of incoming funds received after 01.09.2017 can be withdrawn
Transfers from
abroad
Outgoing wire
transfers
abroad
Time deposit
break
Purchase of
Greek mutual
funds
Greek capital
market
instruments
Foreign
investments
liquidation
Change of
Custodian Bank
Trade related
payments
Early loan
repayment
Appendix
61
Balance Sheet | Group
€ m 2Q17 1Q17 4Q16 3Q16 2Q16
Cash & Reserves 1 231 1 218 1 182 1 187 1 268
Interbank placements 2 032 1 975 2 087 2 554 2 554
Securities 15 369 16 679 18 530 19 921 21 100
Loans (Gross) 43 749 44 482 45 046 45 837 46 499
Provisions (10 968) (11 176) (11 301) (11 867) (12 034)
Goodwill & intangibles 123 115 117 113 115
Tangible assets 1 085 1 114 1 111 1 107 1 109
DTA 4 917 4 918 4 918 4 917 4 918
Other assets 6 654 6 772 7 458 8 305 8 285
Assets held for sale 5 681 9 459 9 382 9 669 10 101
Total assets 69 873 75 557 78 531 81 742 83 917
Interbank liabilities 13 945 16 522 18 167 17 753 20 191
Due to customers 38 324 38 132 38 924 38 071 37 776
Debt securities 523 550 663 1 508 1 264
Other liabilities 5 564 5 862 6 322 7 419 7 510
Hybrids - - - - -
Liabilities held for sale 4 095 6 889 6 870 6 857 7 410
Minorities 660 689 680 708 701
Equity 6 762 6 913 6 909 9 426 9 064
Total liabilities and
equity69 873 75 557 78 531 81 742 83 917
Appendix
Balance Sheet and Group P&L
€ m 2Q17 1Q17 4Q16 3Q16 2Q16
NII 405 410 406 417 414
Net fees 59 60 56 51 45
Core Income 464 470 462 468 459
Trading & other income1 (73) (1) 104 (27) (55)
Income 391 469 566 441 404
Operating Expenses (232) (231) (255) (257) (257)
Core Pre-Provision Income 232 239 208 211 201
Pre-Provision Income 159 238 311 184 146
Provisions (200) (233) (210) (161) (190)
Operating Profit (41) 5 101 23 (43)
Other impairments (1) (6) (28) (15) (12)
PBT (42) (1) 74 8 (55)
Taxes (10) (7) (9) (6) (3)
PAT (cont. ops) (52) (8) 65 2 (57)
PAT (discount. ops) (97) 30 7 21 (2 994)
Minorities (7) (9) 1 (7) (10)
NIC2 144 - - - -
PAT3 (13) 13 73 16 (3 062)
1. 4Q16 includes €150m gain from the sale of Astir Pallas, 2. NIC: pro forma capital gain from the sale of NBG Insurance, 3. Group attributable income includes a loss of €3,095m in 2Q16 which reflects the recycling of losses recognized
in other comprehensive income in previous periods and relates mainly to foreign currency translation differences from the translation of Finansbank’s assets and liabilities in Euro, in accordance with IFRS. This loss has already been
recognized in the Group’s equity and CET1 capital in prior periods, therefore has no impact on the Group’s equity and CET1 capital
P&L | Group
62
Evolution of RWAs (€ b)
1as at 1H2017
RWA Evolution | Asset-liability mix1
Asset mix (€ b) Liability mix (€ b)
Other,
13,5
DTA, 4,9
SEE & Other net
loans, 2,0
Domestic net loans;
30,8
EFSF/ESM
bonds; 5,1
Securities;
10,3
Interbank
placements; 2,0Cash; 1,2
69,9
Assets
Total equity and
minorities; 6,8
Other Liabilities;
10,3
Debt securities;
0,5
SEE & Other
deposits; 2,1
Time & Other;
11,1
Current & Sight;
7,2
Savings; 17,9
ELA, 3,8
ECB, 4,6
Interbank liabilities,
5,6
69,9
Liabilities
Domestic
deposits 36.0
61,8
-20,7
41,1
-2,1
39,0
-5,6
RWAs
2015
RWAs
2016
RWAs
1H17
Planned
Divestments
-€1,8b ΔRWAs qoq
from the sale of
UBB/Interlease
Appendix
63
Name Abbreviation Definition
Common Equity / Book Value BVEquity attributable to NBG shareholders less minorities (non-controlling interests) and contingent convertible
securities (CoCos)
Core Equity Tier 1 Ratio CET1 ratio CET1 capital, as defined by Regulation No 575/2013 and based on the transitional rules over RWAs
Core Equity Tier 1 Ratio Fully Loaded CET1 ratio, CRD IV FL CET1 capital as defined by Regulation No 575/2013, without the application of the transitional rules over RWAs
Core Income CI Net Interest Income (“NII”) + Net fee and commission income + Earned premia net of claims and commissions
Core Operating Result (Profit / (Loss)) - Core income less operating expenses and provisions (credit provisions and other impairment charges)
Core Operating Margin - Core operating profit / (loss) annualized over average net loans
Core Pre-Provision Income Core PPI Core Income less operating expenses, before provisions (credit provisions and other impairment charges)
Core Pre-Provision Margin Core PPI margin Core PPI annualized over average net loans
Cost of Risk / Provisioning Rate CoR Credit provisions of the period annualized over average net loans
Cost-to-Core Income Ratio C:CI Operating expenses over core Income
Cost-to-Income Ratio C:I Operating expenses over total income
Deposit Yields - Annualized interest expense on deposits over deposit balances
Forborne -Exposures for which forbearance measures have been extended according to EBA ITS technical standards on
Forbearance and Non-Performing Exposures
Forborne Non-Performing Exposures FNPEsExposures with forbearance measures that meet the criteria to be considered as non performing according to EBA
ITS technical standards on Forbearance and Non-Performing Exposures
Forborne Performing Exposures FPEs
Exposures with forbearance measures that do not meet the criteria to be considered as non performing according
to EBA ITS technical standards on Forbearance and Non-Performing Exposures and forborne exposures under
probation period
Funding cost - The blended cost of deposits, ECB refinancing, repo transactions and ELA funding
Gross Loans -Loans and advances to customers before allowance for impairment, excluding the loan to the Greek State of
€6.2bn
Loan Yield - Annualized loan interest income over gross performing loan balances
Loans-to-Deposits Ratio L:D Net loans over total deposits, period end
Definition of financial data & ratios used
Appendix
64
Name Abbreviation Definition
Net Interest Margin NIM NII annualized over average interest earning assets
Net Loans - Loans and advances to customers, excluding the loan to the Greek State of €6.0bn
Net Profit / (Loss) - Profit / (loss) for the period attributable to NBG equity shareholders
Non-Performing Exposures NPEs
Non-performing exposures are defined according to EBA ITS technical standards on Forbearance and Non-
Performing Exposures as exposures that satisfy either or both of the following criteria:
a) Material exposures which are more than 90 days past due
b) The debtor is assessed as unlikely to pay its credit obligations in full without realization of collateral, regardless
of the existence of any past due amount or of the number of days past due.
Non-Performing Exposures Coverage Ratio NPE coverage Stock of provisions (allowance for impairment for loans and advances to customers) over non-performing
exposures, period end
Non-Performing Exposures Ratio NPE ratio Non-performing exposures over gross loans, period end
Non-Performing Loans NPLs Loans and advances to customers in arrears for 90 days or more
90 Days Past Due Coverage Ratio 90dpd coverage Stock of provisions over loans and advances to customers in arrears for 90 days or more, period end
90 Days Past Due Formation 90dpd formationNet increase / (decrease) of loans and advances to customers in arrears for 90 days or more, before write-offs
and after restructurings
90 Days Past Due Ratio 90dpd ratio Loans and advances to customers in arrears for 90 days or more over gross loans, period end
Operating Expenses OpEx, costsPersonnel expenses + General, administrative and other operating expenses (“G&As”) + Depreciation and
amortization on investment property, property & equipment and software & other intangible assets
Operating Profit / (Loss) - Total income less operating expenses and provisions (credit provisions and other impairment charges)
Pre-Provision Income PPI Total income less operating expenses, before provisions (credit provisions and other impairment charges)
Profit / (loss) after tax PAT (cont. ops) Profit / (loss) for the period from continuing operations
Risk Weighted Assets RWAsAssets and off-balance-sheet exposures, weighted according to risk factors based on Regulation (EU) No
575/2013
Tangible Equity / Book Value TBV Common equity less goodwill & intangibles (goodwill, software and other intangible assets)
Total deposits - Due to customers
Definition of financial data & ratios used (continued)
Appendix
Contact details
Vassilis Kotsiras
Head of Structured Finance and Funding Solutions
+30 210 3328 583
Apostolos Mantzaris
Deputy Head of Structured Finance and Funding Solutions
+30 210 332 8517
This presentation is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. No part of
this presentation may be construed as constituting investment advice or recommendation to enter into any transaction. No representation or warranty is given with
respect to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this presentation, and no claim is made that any future to transact any securities will
conform to any terms that may be contained herein. Before entering into any transaction, investors should determine any economic risks and benefits, as well as
any legal, tax, accounting consequences of doing so, as well as their ability to assume such risks, without reliance on the information contained in this presentation.
Greg Papagrigoris
Head of Investor Relations
+30 210 334 2310
Maria Kanellopoulou
Investor Relations
+30 210 334 1537
Ilias Katsikalis
Investor Relations
+30 210 334 1401
For full information on the debt issuance please consult the prospectus
Lizhen Xu
Structured Finance and Funding Solutions
+30 210 332 8573