multi-year growth plan - dassault systèmes...the company’s current outlook for 2014 takes into...
TRANSCRIPT
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3D
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ystè
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4
Multi-Year Growth Plan
Thibault DE TERSANT
Senior EVP, CFO
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Statements herein that are not historical facts but express expectations or objectives for the future, including but not limited to statements
regarding the Company’s non-IFRS financial performance objectives, are forward-looking statements.
Such forward-looking statements are based on Dassault Systèmes management's current views and assumptions and involve known and
unknown risks and uncertainties. Actual results or performances may differ materially from those in such statements due to a range of
factors. The Company’s current outlook for 2014 takes into consideration, among other things, an uncertain macroeconomic outlook, but if
global economic and business conditions further deteriorate, the Company’s business results may not develop as currently anticipated and
may drop below their earlier levels for an extended period of time. Furthermore, due to factors affecting sales of the Company’s products
and services as described above, there may be a substantial time lag between an improvement in global economic and business
conditions and an upswing in the Company’s business results.
In preparing such forward-looking statements, the Company has in particular assumed an average US dollar to euro exchange rate of
US$1.40 per €1.00 for the second quarter and US$1.37 per €1.00 for the full year as well as an average Japanese yen to euro exchange
rate of JPY140 to €1.00 for the 2014 second quarter and full year; with respect to its 2019 EPS objective the Company has assumed an
average US dollar to euro exchange rate of US$1.37, an average Japanese yen to euro exchange rate of JPY140 to €1.00 as well as a
continuation of current exchange rates for other major currencies in which the Company transacts business; however, currency values
fluctuate, and the Company’s results of operations may be significantly affected by changes in exchange rates.
The Company’s actual results or performance may also be materially negatively affected by numerous risks and uncertainties, as described
in the “Risk Factors” section of the 2013 Document de Référence, filed with the AMF on March 28, 2014, and also available on the
Company’s website www.3ds.com.
Forward Looking Information
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Readers are cautioned that the non-IFRS information presented in this press release is subject to inherent limitations. It is not based on
any comprehensive set of accounting rules or principles and should not be considered as a substitute for IFRS measurements. Also, the
Company’s non-IFRS financial information may not be comparable to similarly titled non-IFRS measures used by other companies.
Further specific limitations for individual non-IFRS measures, and the reasons for presenting non-IFRS financial information, are set forth
in the Company’s annual report for the year ended December 31, 2013 included in the Company’s 2013 Document de Référence filed
with the AMF on March 28, 2014.
When the Company believes it would be helpful for understanding trends in its business, the Company provides percentage increases or
decreases in its revenue (in both IFRS as well as non-IFRS) to eliminate the effect of changes in currency values, particularly the
U.S. dollar and the Japanese yen, relative to the euro. When information is expressed herein "in constant currencies", the results of the
"prior" period have first been recalculated using the average exchange rates in the current period, and then compared with the results of
the comparable period in the current period.
With respect to its 2009-2014 EPS objective, revenue and earnings per share calculations in constant currencies are based upon taking
the estimated results for 2014 and recalculating them using the key exchange rate assumptions initially outlined when the Company
established its 2009-2014 growth plan.
Non-IFRS Information
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1 5-Year Look Back
2 Growth Strategy
3 2014-2019 Plan
Agenda
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2009-2013: Software Revenue Growth non-IFRS
* 09-13 DS Organic Software Revenue ex FX: +9%
0
1,000
2,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
in €m
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2009-2013: Outpacing Competitors & Peers Growth*
0.90
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
1.50
1.60
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
3DS
SAP
ADSK
PTC
* Total Revenue in USD
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DS Leader of the PLM Market
2011-13 Market Share (PLM Software)
DS: clear market leader with ~30%
market share
DS: +2 pts gain in market share from
2011 to 2013
Software PLM market sized at $10.9bn
Software PLM market including CAD,
Product Data Management,
Simulation, Digital Manufacturing
Source Dassault Systèmes and industry analysts
* Including LMS acquisition
28%
17%
11%10%
30%
19%
10%9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
DS Siemens* PTC Autodesk
2011
2013
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Now Addressing $26bn Market (Baseline)
PLM
Software
3DEXPERIENCE
Software
~$11bn
CAD, Product Data Management, Simulation,
Digital Manufacturing
~$6bn
No
w A
dd
ress
ing
:
$26
bn
~$9 bn
Service
~$6bn
$ 20
bn
3DEXPERIENCE
Scientific Innovation Lifecycle Management,
Manufacturing Execution System, Digital
Marketing, Mining, System Engineering, Civil
Engineering
$32
bn
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2009-2013: Operating Margin Evolution non-IFRS
25.0%
28.6%
30.4%
31.6% 31.5%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
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2014 Guidance Consistent with 2009-2014 Plan
€m
Revenue EPS
€
1.86
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
2009 2014Initial Plan
2014Guidance
USD 1.25* 1.37
JPY 115* 140.2
3.45-3.50
More than
2X 1,253
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
2009 2014Initial Plan
2014Guidance
2,280
- 2,300
On track to deliver EPS CAGR of ~13%
(~15% excluding FX impact)
2,410-2,430 @ 2010 plan rates* 3.75-3.80 @ 2010 plan rates*
2,300-2,500 3.70-4.00
* Key exchange rate assumptions initially outlined when the Company established its 2009-2014 growth plan
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1 5-Year Look Back
2 Growth Strategy
3 2014-2019 Plan
Agenda
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3DEXPERIENCE Platform: A Revolution Multi-discipline approach
Business platform searching, integrating and dash boarding all relevant data
Breakthrough in ease of collaboration
Simple provisioning of DS applications
Powering Industry Solution Experiences
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2014-2019: Multiple Growth Drivers to Support
Revenue Growth
1. Users Expansion in Core Industries
2. Adoption of V6 Architecture within the Installed Base
3. Diversification in New Industries
4. Diversification in High Growth Countries
5. Cloud + Mobile
6. Acquisitions
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Users Expansion in Core Industries* People from all disciplines to work together:
expand to new collaborative professional users
and to digital marketing
Bring intelligence to big data:
expand with Data as a Service,
predictive analytics and search-based
applications
Improve real world thru experience: expand
to shop floor workers & quality engineers -
expand simulation users
« 3D » EXPERIENCE everything:
expand with 2D to 3D migration and with
systems engineering
*Aerospace & Defense, Industrial Equipment, Transport & Mobility
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2014-2019: Multiple Growth Drivers to Support
Revenue Growth
1. Users Expansion in Core Industries
2. Adoption of V6 Architecture within the Installed Base
3. Diversification in New Industries
4. Diversification in High Growth Countries
5. Cloud + Mobile
6. Acquisitions
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2,200
3,200
4,200
5,200
2014 E 2015 E 2016 E 2017 E 2018 E 2019 E
Adoption of V6 Architecture within the Installed Base
Benefiting from migration potential in DS installed base
10% license fee upgrade
Price of Maintenance up 10% with improved service
Maintenance rate increase applied to 10% license fee upgrade
And expanding disciplines coverage and collaboration
Contribution to
DS revenue:
~2 pts of growth
DS
est
imat
ed r
even
ue (
€m)
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2014-2019: Multiple Growth Drivers to Support
Revenue Growth
1. Users Expansion in Core Industries
2. Adoption of V6 Architecture within the Installed Base
3. Diversification in New Industries
4. Diversification in High Growth Countries
5. Cloud + Mobile
6. Acquisitions
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7.48.9
11.2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2013 2015 E 2018 E
New Industries Addressable Market
New Industries* Addressable Market
Tot
al A
ddre
ssab
le M
arke
t – D
S E
stim
ates
Sof
twar
e on
ly (
$bn)
* Architecture Engineering & Construction, Consumer Goods & Retail, Consumer Packaged Goods & Retail, Energy Process & Utilities,
Finance Business Services, High-Tech, Life Sciences, Natural Resources, Marine & Offshore
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% New Industries* in DS Software Revenue
* Architecture Engineering & Construction, Consumer Goods & Retail, Consumer Packaged Goods & Retail, Energy Process & Utilities,
Finance Business Services, High-Tech, Life Sciences, Natural Resources, Marine & Offshore
20%
2009
25%
2013
>30%
2019 E
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2014-2019: Multiple Growth Drivers to Support
Revenue Growth
1. Users Expansion in Core Industries
2. Adoption of V6 Architecture within the Installed Base
3. Diversification in New Industries
4. Diversification in High Growth Countries
5. Cloud + Mobile
6. Acquisitions
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High Growth Countries* Diversification
* China, India, Korea, LATAM, Russia
12%
% High Growth Countries in 2013 Total Revenue
2009-13 Total CAGR : above ~15 % ex FX
with potential going forward driven by new product development in those countries
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2014-2019: Multiple Growth Drivers to Support
Revenue Growth
1. Users Expansion in Core Industries
2. Adoption of V6 Architecture within the Installed Base
3. Diversification in New Industries
4. Diversification in High Growth Countries
5. Cloud + Mobile
6. Acquisitions
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Expanding Addressable Market with Cloud + Mobile
Accessing with Cloud+ Mobile smaller enterprises & new industries
and expanding addressable market by ~15%
Half of new business with Cloud is expected to be incremental to
perpetual license business
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Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Purchase
Software Revenue
Flows 120 20 20 20 20 200
Rental Software
Revenue Flows 53.3 53.3 53.3 53.3 53.3 266.7
Cloud
Subscription * 58.7 58.7 58.7 58.7 58.7 293.5
Taking an Example: Upfront: 100
Yearly Maintenance Fee: 20
Rentals: a Positive Shift Longer-Term
160
160
176
Yearly Rental Fee: (100+3x20) / 3
* Cloud subscription embeds 10% additional fee to cover
Middleware, Hardware & Administration
Break-even after 3 years
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2014 E 2015 E 2016 E 2017 E 2018 E 2019 E
Total Cloud Revenue (€m) Negative Impact on Revenue (€m)
Cloud Contributing Positively to 2014-2019 Revenue
Positive contribution to revenue
(net contribution to 2014-19 revenue: ~1 point)
Assuming:
~50% cannibalization
~10% churn for cloud
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2014-2019: Multiple Growth Drivers to Support
Revenue Growth
1. Users Expansion in Core Industries
2. Adoption of V6 Architecture within the Installed Base
3. Diversification in New Industries
4. Diversification in High Growth Countries
5. Cloud + Mobile
6. Acquisitions
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Acquisitions Supporting Addressable Market Expansion
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Main Acquisitions since 2009*
* Excluding IBM PLM acquisition related to go-to market strategy and very
small technology acquisitions
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2014-2019: Multiple Growth Drivers to Support
Revenue Growth Users Expansion in Core Industries Adoption of V6 Architecture
within the Installed Base
Diversification in New Industries
Diversification in High Growth Countries
Cloud + Mobile
Acquisitions
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2014-2019: Revenue Growth
0
1,000
2,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
* Software Revenue
in €m
Keeping similar path of revenue
growth from 2014 to 2019
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1 5-Year Look Back
2 Growth Strategy
3 2014-2019 Plan
Agenda
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2014-2019: Dassault Systèmes to Double EPS* non-IFRS
€ 3.45-3.50
€ 7.00
2014 Guidance 2019
*Assuming the following currency rates: - €/US$: 1.37
- €/JPY: 140
EPS objective of:
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