multi-resolution emission inventory for china (meic) · 2018-02-05 · support climate and air...
TRANSCRIPT
Multi-resolution Emission Inventory for China (MEIC):Introduction and recent improvement
Liu YanTsinghua University
2017.04.19
Contents
● Introduction
What is MEIC?
How does it work?
● Review of spatial proxies
What are used in China?
● Recent improvements
High resolution inventories?
Introduction: Purpose of MEIC model
● Understand magnitudes, trends, and driving forces of anthropogenic emissions in China
● Speed up the development process and update inventories timely
● Provide an online emissions dataset to the community with constant methodology and underlying data
● Support climate and air quality modeling at different spatial resolution and time scale
Introduction: Emissions data in MEIC database
l Years: 1990-
l Spatial domain: Mainland China
l Categories/Sectors: ~800 anthropogenic sources, aggregated to four sectors (Power, Industry, Residential, Transportation)
l Species: SO2, NOx, CO, NMVOC, NH3, BC, OC, PM2.5, PM10, and CO2
l VOC speciation: ~600 individual species, lumped to five mechanisms (SAPRC99, SAPRC07, CB05, CBIV, and RADM2)
l Spatial resolution: user defined
Work in progress!
Introduction: Model Framework
ID1 ID2 ID3 ID4
ID1: sectorsID2: fuel/product
ID3: technologyID4: emission control
Temporal profiles
Spatial Proxies
Activity rates (A)
Tech. Splits (X)
Removal Efficiency (ƞ)
VOC profiles
Emission Factors (EF)
Emissions = A×X×EF× (1-ƞ)
Introduction: Emission estimation & Spatial proxies
Power
Industry
Residential
Transportation
Unit based
Province based
No need
Sectors Emission estimation Spatial proxies
Population
GDP
Road network
Vehiclenumbers
……
Point sources
Surface sources
Province
to county
County to
grid
OMI proved the decreases of SO2 over Central Eastern China after 2007
Emissions
OMI
Trend in NOx emissions from MEIC and NO2 columns from satellite
Emissions data processed and delivered through an online systemhttp://www.meicmodel.org
Review: Spatial proxies used in China● Review of the spatial proxies used in regional bottom-up emission
inventories covering China
• Population
(especially total
population) is
most widely used
proxies.
● Population density←→polluted factories distribution: opposite!
Beijing Zhangjiakou
Shijiazhuang Tangshan
Review: Spatial proxies used in China
● Spatial proxies used in MEIC
Review: Spatial proxies used in China
Recent Improvement: High resolution inventories● Emissions of main sub-sectors in industry sector are estimated
based on facility. More point sources!
Coke oven
Sintering machine Blast furnace Converter
Coal
Coke
Steel rolling
Coal fired boiler
Ore
Coke oven gas Blast furnace gas
Pig iron Crude steel
Power generation
Sinter/Pellet
Coke
Gas fired machine
Material/fuel Discharging point Intermediate product Final product
( ) ( )* * 1n
n
E A EF A EF η= × + × × −∏
( )2 1EF S sr= × × −
( )* * *2 1EF S sr= × × −
( )η= × × −∏, , , ,1
i k i i k i n kn
E A EF
( )22 1
SOEF S sr= × × −
( )1PM PMEF A ar f= × − ×
2.5BC PM BCEF EF f= ×
2.5OC PM OCEF EF f= ×
( ) ( )* * 1n
n
E A EF A EF η= × + × × −∏
Eg.Steel production process
Recent Improvement: High resolution inventories
Power: SO2 Power: NOX Steel: SO2
Cement: NOX Building material: PM2.5 Industry boiler: SO2
● Emissions of main sub-sectors in industry sector are estimated based on facility. More point sources!
Recent Improvement: High resolution inventories● Emissions of main sub-sectors in industry sector are estimated
based on facility. More point sources!
15
Emission estimation NOX emission spatial distribution(High resolution-regional)
MEIC: overestimate in urban, underestimate in rural
(a) MEIC (b) High-resolution
Recent Improvement: High resolution inventories● On-road emissions of transportation sector are estimated at county
level. Temperature HumidityAltitude
Eg. Environmental compensation factors matrix are built at countylevel, which can improve the spatial and temporal precision。
● On-road emissions of transportation sector are estimated at countylevel.
Spatial proxies
Emission factor
Activity at county level
Emission standards
Road network
Compensation factors
Recent Improvement: High resolution inventories
Recent Improvement: High-resolution inventories● Spatial proxies used in MEIC and our new high-resolution inventory
for Hebei province, 2013(HB-EI)
Recent Improvement: High-resolution inventories● Spatial correlations between gridded emissions of HB-EI and
various spatial proxies.
NL: nighttime light
TP: total population
UP: urban population
RP: rural population
RN: road network
Recent Improvement: High resolution inventories
● Evaluations against in situ measurements for atmosphericmodeling (CMAQ) using MEIC and HB-EI
Regional inventory High-resolution inventory
PM2.5 Observation
O3 Observation
PM2.5
O3
• Resolution: 36km(region
scale)→4km(city scale),
the simulation bias with
regional inventory
increases, but decreases
with high resolutioninventory.
• At 4km, using high
resolution inventory can
can shorten the PM2.5
simulation bias from31%
to -2%;O3 from -17% to -
9%。
Thanks for your attention!