mortgage backed securities. history 1977 at salomon bros see liar’s poker by michael lewis basic...

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Mortgage Backed Securities

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Page 1: Mortgage Backed Securities. History 1977 at Salomon Bros see Liar’s Poker by Michael Lewis basic structure: pass-through

Mortgage Backed Securities

Page 2: Mortgage Backed Securities. History 1977 at Salomon Bros see Liar’s Poker by Michael Lewis basic structure: pass-through

History

• 1977 at Salomon Bros

• see Liar’s Poker by Michael Lewis

• basic structure: pass-through

Page 3: Mortgage Backed Securities. History 1977 at Salomon Bros see Liar’s Poker by Michael Lewis basic structure: pass-through

Prepayment Risk

• Homeowners have a call option.• They will exercise the option when interest rates

are low.• If interest rates are low, the bank (or owner of

the MBS) will have to reinvest the proceeds at a lower rate of interest.

• If interest rates are high, rates of prepayment decline and the bank (or owner of the MBS) don’t have the opportunity to reinvest at the higher rates.

Page 4: Mortgage Backed Securities. History 1977 at Salomon Bros see Liar’s Poker by Michael Lewis basic structure: pass-through

Recall fixed payment loans

Page 5: Mortgage Backed Securities. History 1977 at Salomon Bros see Liar’s Poker by Michael Lewis basic structure: pass-through

Principal Only Strip

Page 6: Mortgage Backed Securities. History 1977 at Salomon Bros see Liar’s Poker by Michael Lewis basic structure: pass-through

Interest Only Strip

Page 7: Mortgage Backed Securities. History 1977 at Salomon Bros see Liar’s Poker by Michael Lewis basic structure: pass-through

Duration

• Calculated by weighting the time period by the cashflows received.

• Principal only strip has a longer duration.

• The longer the duration the greater the interest rate risk.

Page 8: Mortgage Backed Securities. History 1977 at Salomon Bros see Liar’s Poker by Michael Lewis basic structure: pass-through

Convexity

• Degree of interest rate risk.

• If the price of the security is sensitive to changes in the yield the convexity is high.

Page 9: Mortgage Backed Securities. History 1977 at Salomon Bros see Liar’s Poker by Michael Lewis basic structure: pass-through

$1000 in 2 years

Page 10: Mortgage Backed Securities. History 1977 at Salomon Bros see Liar’s Poker by Michael Lewis basic structure: pass-through

$1000 in 20 years

Page 11: Mortgage Backed Securities. History 1977 at Salomon Bros see Liar’s Poker by Michael Lewis basic structure: pass-through

Negative Convexity

Usually debt instrument go up in value when interest rates fall.

But when interest rates fall prepayment rates rise which can cause MBS’s to lose value—especially IO strips.

Page 12: Mortgage Backed Securities. History 1977 at Salomon Bros see Liar’s Poker by Michael Lewis basic structure: pass-through

IO & PO Strips at Different Rates of Prepayment

Page 13: Mortgage Backed Securities. History 1977 at Salomon Bros see Liar’s Poker by Michael Lewis basic structure: pass-through
Page 14: Mortgage Backed Securities. History 1977 at Salomon Bros see Liar’s Poker by Michael Lewis basic structure: pass-through

IO-PO strip: some prepayment

Page 15: Mortgage Backed Securities. History 1977 at Salomon Bros see Liar’s Poker by Michael Lewis basic structure: pass-through

120t

$ IO stripin blue, PO stripin red

120t

$ PSA 400