morning call june 16 2010

8/9/2019 Morning Call June 16 2010

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Stone Street AdvisorsMorning Call 6/16/2010

ChiBondKing [email protected]

See Important Disclosures on page 4

Morning Focus

A lot of macroeconomic headlines hitting the tape in Europe overnight, along with a lot of data beginning at 8:30AM this morning

so I will get right to the point: European sovereign spreads relative to Bund widened overnight, Spain 10s +13 to 223.5, Portugal

10s +18 to 305.7, Greek 10s +30 to 695, Irish 10s stable at 292. Bonds catching a bid overnight, however as we approach the US

session that demand has tapered off with some positive econ news out of the UK. Asian indices ended higher across the board,with the exception of China, which remains closed: Australia: 4559 +1.20pct, Nikkei 225 10067 +1.81pct, Hang Seng 20062

+0.05pct.

Notable Overnight Headlines

Asia

NZ consumer confidence rises in Q2 survey (Reuters)

Japan offers 5.098 trillion Yen in Treasury discount bills (Reuters)

South Korea c.bank sells 2-year MSBs at 3.77 pct (Reuters)

S Korea Official: Risky To Begin Exit Strategy Too Early (DJ)

S.Korea PM warns of inflation pressure in 2nd half of year (Reuters)

S Korea Fin Min: Should Still Maintain Expansionary Macro Policies (DJ)

South Korea April Leading Index Rises 0.2% On Month Vs. 0.3% Increase In March - Conference Board

JGBs slip as Nikkei hits 1-mth high; 20-yr sale eyed (Reuters)

Australia's RBA: Injects A$1.76B Vs System Deficit A$1.56B (DJ)

Macquarie Leaves 2012, 2013 Crude Oil Forecasts Unchanged (DJ)

Foreign Ownership In Indonesia Govt Bonds IDR148.13T Mon Vs IDR147.28T Fri (DJ)

Australia Q1 Dwelling Starts Jump 34.7% On Year

China easing rules for private-equity funds (MARKETWATCH)

BOJ: Severity In Employment, Income Situation Easing (DJ)

Europe

ECB: Banks Used EUR77.168 Bln In Overnight Deposit Facility, Total Of Settled Covered Bond Buys Reaches EUR57.467B

(DJ)

EU, IMF, US mull 250 bln euro credit line for Spain-report

Turkey Central Bank Sells TRY1 Billion In Repo

ECB's Gonzalez-Paramo warns banks face funding headache (Reuters)

U.K. May Consumer Confidence Slumps To 65 From 75 In April

UK gets 2.53 cover at 2017 linker mini-tender (Reuters)

Fitch sees euro zone breakup as "remote risk" (Reuters)

Spanish/German bond spread at euro lifetime high (Reuters)

UK Cameron: Must Keep Control Of Inflation (DJ)U.K. May jobless claims fall 30,900 (MARKETWATCH)

France announces hike in retirement age to 62 (MARKETWATCH)

Sweden says nearing budget balance, borrowing to fall (Reuters)

Austria Q1 Jobless Rate At 4.7%, Austria May CPI Up 1.9% On Year

Euro-zone May annual CPI up unrevised 1.6% (MARKETWATCH)

Eurozone May Core CPI Up 0.8% On Year, Consensus 0.8% Rise

Italy May CPI Incl Tobacco Up 0.1% On Month, 1.4% On Year

EU, IMF eye 250bn credit line for Spain: report (MARKETWATCH)

Spain April Business Start-Ups Up 14.6% On Year


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US Pre Open

Economic News

3-mnth euro Libor hits new 6-month high (Reuters)

07:16ET Mortgage Loan Application Volume Rose 17.7% In Week (MBA)

Chile Central Bank Increases Rate For 1st Time In Two Years (DJ)

Chile lifts key interest rate to 1% (MARKETWATCH)

ABC News Consumer Comfort Index Falls To -45 As Of June 13 From -43 As Of June 6

U.S. House approves small business tax relief (MARKETWATCH)

Equities

BAC, BP - BofA Tells Traders Not To Do Oil Deals With BP More Than 1 Year Out (Reuters)

RIG - Fitch Lowers Transocean Outlook To Negative On Oil Spill Cleanup Worries (DJ)

BP - BP CDS spreads soar, hit all-time high (MARKETWATCH)

WYNN- WSJ: Wynn Reduces Some Staff, But Restores Others to Full Time (DJ)

APOL, CECO: US to go after deceptive colleges, delays job rule (Reuters)

Interesting Morning Reading

Eli Radke on Simple Trading Advice:http://mytradingnet.com/blog/2010/06/15/want-simple-trading-advice-do-not-use/

Joe Weisenthal on BP (ed. Note: Insomnia Edition):http://www.businessinsider.com/meanwhile-this-is-happening-right-

now-2010-6John Carney, CNBC on Banking Reform:http://www.cnbc.com/id/37708061Macro Man: An Englishmans Home Is His Retirement Policy:http://macro-man.blogspot.com/2010/06/englishmans-

home-is-his-

retirement.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+MacroMan+%28Macro+Man

%29

David Blanchflower (Bloomberg) Unemployment Hurts More Than Inflation:

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601039&sid=aHU3sPFwC56c

Notable Bond Market/Economic Events

Bond Auctions (1PM ET)

o NoneUpcoming Bond Auctions (This Week)

o None. See you next week.Economic Releases For Today

o 8:30AM ET Building Permits, cons. 630k

PPI, cons. -0.5pct Core PPI, cons. +0.1pct Housing Starts, cons. 650k

o 9:15AM ET Capacity Utilization, cons. 74.6pct Industrial Production, cons. 0.9pct

o 10:30AM ET Crude Inventories, cons. -1.5m

o 5:45PM ETBernanke Speaks, BOE Mervyn King Speaks
http://mytradingnet.com/blog/2010/06/15/want-simple-trading-advice-do-not-use/http://mytradingnet.com/blog/2010/06/15/want-simple-trading-advice-do-not-use/http://mytradingnet.com/blog/2010/06/15/want-simple-trading-advice-do-not-use/http://www.businessinsider.com/meanwhile-this-is-happening-right-now-2010-6http://www.businessinsider.com/meanwhile-this-is-happening-right-now-2010-6http://www.businessinsider.com/meanwhile-this-is-happening-right-now-2010-6http://www.businessinsider.com/meanwhile-this-is-happening-right-now-2010-6http://www.cnbc.com/id/37708061http://www.cnbc.com/id/37708061http://www.cnbc.com/id/37708061http://macro-man.blogspot.com/2010/06/englishmans-home-is-his-retirement.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+MacroMan+%28Macro+Man%29http://macro-man.blogspot.com/2010/06/englishmans-home-is-his-retirement.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+MacroMan+%28Macro+Man%29http://macro-man.blogspot.com/2010/06/englishmans-home-is-his-retirement.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+MacroMan+%28Macro+Man%29http://macro-man.blogspot.com/2010/06/englishmans-home-is-his-retirement.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+MacroMan+%28Macro+Man%29http://macro-man.blogspot.com/2010/06/englishmans-home-is-his-retirement.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+MacroMan+%28Macro+Man%29http://macro-man.blogspot.com/2010/06/englishmans-home-is-his-retirement.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+MacroMan+%28Macro+Man%29http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601039&sid=aHU3sPFwC56chttp://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601039&sid=aHU3sPFwC56chttp://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601039&sid=aHU3sPFwC56chttp://macro-man.blogspot.com/2010/06/englishmans-home-is-his-retirement.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+MacroMan+%28Macro+Man%29http://macro-man.blogspot.com/2010/06/englishmans-home-is-his-retirement.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+MacroMan+%28Macro+Man%29http://macro-man.blogspot.com/2010/06/englishmans-home-is-his-retirement.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+MacroMan+%28Macro+Man%29http://macro-man.blogspot.com/2010/06/englishmans-home-is-his-retirement.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+MacroMan+%28Macro+Man%29http://www.cnbc.com/id/37708061http://www.businessinsider.com/meanwhile-this-is-happening-right-now-2010-6http://www.businessinsider.com/meanwhile-this-is-happening-right-now-2010-6http://mytradingnet.com/blog/2010/06/15/want-simple-trading-advice-do-not-use/


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Market Summary 7AM

Futures Currencies Fixed Income

Symbol Last Chg Symbol Last Chg Symbol Last Symbol Last

DOW 10298 -34 EURUSD 1.228 -0.0052 2s5s 133.00 US2Y .74

SP500 1104.5 -4.75 GBPUSD 1.4802 -0.0008 2s10s 255.00 US5Y 2.07

NSDQ 1886.5 -6.75 EURJPY 112.33 -0.43 2s30s 346.00 US7Y 2.74

ZB 123'05 +0'14 USDCAD 1.0285 0.0026 5s10s 122.00 US10Y 3.29

ZN 120'010 +0'045 USDJPY 91.52 0.04 5s30s 213.00 US30Y 4.20

ZF 116'295 +0'027 NZDUSD 0.6972 0.0009 10s30s 91.00 UK5Y 2.22

ZT 109'035 +0'015 UK10Y 3.51

CLN0 76.47 -0.47 UK30Y 4.29


4/4

Stone Street AdvisorsMorning Call 6/16/2010

ChiBondKing [email protected]

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morning call june 16 2010

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