more local primary school children report final nov 2011
TRANSCRIPT
-
8/3/2019 More Local Primary School Children Report Final Nov 2011
1/6
-
8/3/2019 More Local Primary School Children Report Final Nov 2011
2/6
MORE LOCAL PRIMARY SCHOOL CHILDREN - FEWER
SECONDARY SCHOOL OPTIONS
HSC SCHOOLS DATA COLLECTION REPORT NOVEMBER 2011
The numbers to warrant a high school for Coburg were already here back in 2006 (SpatialVision report for DEECD 2010).
However High School for Coburg (HSC)s data collection work in 2009 showed a wave ofincreased numbers coming through local primary schools. We have now updated that earlierwork with data and projections obtained from schools and the DEECD and our new resultsshow the wave of children is increasing.
The need for an open entry state secondary to be reinstated in Coburg is here now.
HSC will continue to lobby for local state secondary school provision planning for thedemonstrated increasing number of local primary school children to begin immediately
MORE PRIMARY SCHOOL CHILDREN
SCHOOLS DATA COLLECTION 2011- KEY RESULTS:
Over 100% morechildren in Prep than Grade 6 in local primary schools in 2012.(Not counting Coburg West PS which is already at capacity for all year levels)
The number of children enrolled in Prep at twelve local schools will increase by53%in the four yearsfrom 2008 to 2012.* (This is a conservative figure as two of the
schools Preston West and Coburg West are capped and therefore cannot take anymore children)
The increase in local Preps from 2008 to 2012 will be 245 to a total of 705 children. Total enrolments at twelve local state primary schools will increase by 30%from
2009 to 2013- an increase of 888 in four years. (the two capped schools included).*
There are projected to be 3894 children enrolled at local primary schools in 2013.[* See graphs]
FEWER SECONDARY SCHOOL OPTIONS
Concurrent with the increase in primary school enrolments and a baby boom has been adecrease in the number of secondary school options and access. Since 2004:
Moreland City College closed 2004http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/08/03/1091476489884.html?from=storylhs
St Josephs Catholic Boys secondary closed 2009
Lakeside Secondary College closed 2010 http://northcote-leader.whereilive.com.au/news/story/trashed/
Thornbury High School will be capping Year 7 enrolments in 2012
Northland High will become a Senior High in 2012
Northcote High School is considering ways to further restrict access as they cope withextreme enrolment demand
http://www.nhs.vic.edu.au/content/docs/newsletter/newsletter1114b%20web.pdf Moonee Ponds Central School currently looking at removing Years 7 and 8 provision.
http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/08/03/1091476489884.html?from=storylhshttp://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/08/03/1091476489884.html?from=storylhshttp://northcote-leader.whereilive.com.au/news/story/trashed/http://northcote-leader.whereilive.com.au/news/story/trashed/http://www.nhs.vic.edu.au/content/docs/newsletter/newsletter1114b%20web.pdfhttp://www.nhs.vic.edu.au/content/docs/newsletter/newsletter1114b%20web.pdfhttp://www.nhs.vic.edu.au/content/docs/newsletter/newsletter1114b%20web.pdfhttp://northcote-leader.whereilive.com.au/news/story/trashed/http://northcote-leader.whereilive.com.au/news/story/trashed/http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/08/03/1091476489884.html?from=storylhs -
8/3/2019 More Local Primary School Children Report Final Nov 2011
3/6
THE DEECD SPATIAL VISION REPORT 2010 SHOWS THE NEED
In 2010 Spatial Vision were commissioned by the DEECD to do a review of secondary
provision within the Coburg area. The two stated objectives were 1) Describe the extent andnature of the changing demographic composition and 2) Review the potential for anadditional government secondary school (Review Methodology, 15th June-Spatial Vision)
Key sections of the DEECD Spatial Vision Report 2010 may be read atwww.highschoolforcoburg.org under Data DEECD Report-Coburg Core Area, Areas ofMost Growth and Network Capacity Analysis.
In 2006 there were over 5,000 secondary school aged persons in the Coburg CoreArea (page 71). This area - Coburg SLA plus West Preston would, according to HSC,be the catchment for a high school in Coburg
The Coburg Core Area would account for 1.8 to 10 times more average long term
demand for state secondary than surrounding secondary school catchments (page 80) The report showed a significant secondary provision shortfall which is most prominent in
the areas with most expected growth in numbers and least secondary school options(page 60)
THE BABY BOOM ENSURES THE NEED WILL BE SUSTAINED:
Moreland has experienced a 30% birthrate increase since the year 2000.Darebinhas had similarly big increases in birth notifications. (See graphs on the last page ofthis report)
Back in 2008 a national ABC story on Australias Baby Boom focused on Moreland -http://www.abc.net.au/rn/backgroundbriefing/stories/2008/2192548.htm Moreland is traditionally working class and multicultural, and has fast become a populardestination for young families, wanting to buy a home within five to ten kilometres of thecity. This municipality is at the forefront of the baby boom;it's had the biggest increasein birth numbers of any inner city area in Victoria
In early 2011 Moreland Council included this article Baby Boom Hits Moreland in theInside Morelandpublication -http://www.moreland.vic.gov.au/about-council/news-media/inside-moreland/inside-moreland-summer-2011/inside-moreland-2011-baby-boom.html?s=1001
METHODOLOGY
Data obtained from:
Phoning schools.
DEECD commissioned Spatial Vision Report 2010
DEECD
.
www.highschoolforcoburg.org
http://www.facebook.com/highschoolforcoburg
http://www.highschoolforcoburg.org/http://www.abc.net.au/rn/backgroundbriefing/stories/2008/2192548.htmhttp://www.moreland.vic.gov.au/about-council/news-media/inside-moreland/inside-moreland-summer-2011/inside-moreland-2011-baby-boom.html?s=1001http://www.moreland.vic.gov.au/about-council/news-media/inside-moreland/inside-moreland-summer-2011/inside-moreland-2011-baby-boom.html?s=1001http://www.moreland.vic.gov.au/about-council/news-media/inside-moreland/inside-moreland-summer-2011/inside-moreland-2011-baby-boom.html?s=1001http://www.moreland.vic.gov.au/about-council/news-media/inside-moreland/inside-moreland-summer-2011/inside-moreland-2011-baby-boom.html?s=1001http://www.highschoolforcoburg.org/http://www.facebook.com/highschoolforcoburghttp://www.facebook.com/highschoolforcoburghttp://www.facebook.com/highschoolforcoburghttp://www.facebook.com/highschoolforcoburghttp://www.highschoolforcoburg.org/http://www.moreland.vic.gov.au/about-council/news-media/inside-moreland/inside-moreland-summer-2011/inside-moreland-2011-baby-boom.html?s=1001http://www.moreland.vic.gov.au/about-council/news-media/inside-moreland/inside-moreland-summer-2011/inside-moreland-2011-baby-boom.html?s=1001http://www.moreland.vic.gov.au/about-council/news-media/inside-moreland/inside-moreland-summer-2011/inside-moreland-2011-baby-boom.html?s=1001http://www.abc.net.au/rn/backgroundbriefing/stories/2008/2192548.htmhttp://www.highschoolforcoburg.org/ -
8/3/2019 More Local Primary School Children Report Final Nov 2011
4/6
603
642
705
570
610
650
690
Studentnumbers
HIGH SCHOOL FOR COBURG
Local State School Prep Enrolments 2008 to 2012Data taken from the followIng local schools:
Bell
Brunswick East
Brunswick North West
Coburg
Coburg West*
Coburg NorthNewlands
Moreland
Pascoe Vale
Pascoe Vale North
Preston West*
Reservoir West
*capped enrolments
NOTES:
1. Overall growth in prep numbers 2008-12
for these schools = 53%
460
538
450
490
530
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2. * = School with capped enrolments
3. No figures for 2013 included
due to fluctuations in data
-
8/3/2019 More Local Primary School Children Report Final Nov 2011
5/6
3682
3894
3500
3600
3700
3800
3900
4000HIGH SCHOOL FOR COBURG
Local State School Total Enrolments 2009 - 2013Data taken from the followIng local schools:
Bell
Brunswick East
Brunswick North West
Coburg
Coburg West*
Coburg North
Moreland
Newlands
Pascoe Vale
Pascoe vale North
Preston West*
Reservoir West
NOTES:
3006
3212
3350
2900
3000
3100
3200
3300
3400
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
1. Overall growth in total numbers 2009-13
for these schools = 30%
2. Figures for 2013 are projections
3. * = School with capped enrolments
-
8/3/2019 More Local Primary School Children Report Final Nov 2011
6/6