monthly market detail - february 2017files.constantcontact.com/5d2c4c3b401/f4fc3729-eca8-4871... ·...

Produced by Florida REALTORS® with data provided by Florida's multiple listing services. Statistics for each month compiled from MLS feeds on the 15th day of the following month.

Data released on Wednesday, March 22, 2017. Data revised on Monday, January 16, 2017. Next data release is Friday, April 21, 2017.

280.8%

3 -33.3%

Percent Change

Year-over-Year

50.0%

14 -57.1%

Closed Sales

3

26 Days

4 -25.0%

23 21.7%

6.3 33.3%

February 2017

Median Percent of Original

List Price Received

Median Time to Contract

99 Days

2

Median Time to Sale

New Pending Sales

New Listings

Month

6

Pending Inventory 3

Inventory (Active Listings) 28

Months Supply of Inventory 8.4

Summary Statistics

Closed Sales

Paid in Cash

98.4%

February 2017

$157,000Median Sale Price

Average Sale Price

Dollar Volume

February 2016Percent Change

Year-over-Year

2 2 0.0%

3 2 50.0%

$137,500 14.2%

$470,001 $275,000 70.9%

$156,667 $137,500 13.9%

97.8% 0.6%

68 Days 4 Days 1600.0%

October 2016 3

September 2016 2

August 2016 4

February 2016 2

July 2016 1

June 2016 4

Economists' note : Closed Sales are one of the simplest—yet most

important—indicators for the residential real estate market. When

comparing Closed Sales across markets of different sizes, we

recommend comparing the percent changes in sales rather than the

number of sales. Closed Sales (and many other market metrics) are

affected by seasonal cycles, so actual trends are more accurately

represented by year-over-year changes (i.e. comparing a month's

sales to the amount of sales in the same month in the previous year),

rather than changes from one month to the next. -50.0%

May 2016 8

April 2016 8

100.0%

60.0%

-85.7%

-25.0%

0.0%

-75.0%

0.0%

100.0%

March 2016 1

January 2017 2 -66.7%

100.0%

-33.3%

December 2016 2

November 2016 2

J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F

Monthly Market Detail - February 2017

DeSoto CountyTownhouses and Condos

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2013 2014 2015 2016

Closed SalesThe number of sales transactions which closed during the month



Month Cash SalesPercent Change

Year-over-Year

February 2017 2 0.0%

January 2017 2 -33.3%

December 2016 2 100.0%

November 2016 1 -50.0%

Economists' note : Cash Sales can be a useful indicator of the extent

to which investors are participating in the market. Why? Investors

are far more likely to have the funds to purchase a home available up

front, whereas the typical homebuyer requires a mortgage or some

other form of financing. There are, of course, many possible

exceptions, so this statistic should be interpreted with care.

October 2016 2 -50.0%

September 2016 1 0.0%

August 2016 4 N/A

July 2016 0 -100.0%

June 2016 3 -25.0%

May 2016 3 50.0%

April 2016 7 250.0%

March 2016 0 -100.0%

February 2016 2 -50.0%

MonthPercent of Closed

Sales Paid in Cash

Percent Change

Year-over-Year

February 2017 66.7% -33.3%

January 2017 100.0% 100.0%

December 2016 100.0% 0.0%

November 2016 50.0% -25.0%

Economists' note : This statistic is simply another way of viewing

Cash Sales. The remaining percentages of Closed Sales (i.e. those not

paid fully in cash) each month involved some sort of financing, such

as mortgages, owner/seller financing, assumed loans, etc.

October 2016 66.7% -33.3%

September 2016 50.0% 0.0%

August 2016 100.0% N/A

July 2016 0.0% -100.0%

June 2016 75.0% -25.0%

May 2016 37.5% -25.0%

April 2016 87.5% 118.8%

March 2016 0.0% -100.0%

February 2016 100.0% 0.0%



0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

Pct

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Cas

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2

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sMonthly Market Detail - February 2017

2013 2014 2015 2016


Cash SalesThe number of Closed Sales during the month in which buyers exclusively paid in cash

2013 2014 2015 2016

Cash Sales as a Percentage of Closed SalesThe percentage of Closed Sales during the month which were Cash Sales



Month Median Sale PricePercent Change

Year-over-Year

February 2017 $157,000 14.2%

July 2016 $80,000 -26.6%

January 2017 $157,450 53.6%

December 2016 $83,000 6.4%

September 2016 $134,350 -37.5%

August 2016 $119,000 50.6%

November 2016 $126,250 -4.0%

October 2016 $87,000 -39.5%

June 2016 $87,500 -13.3%

May 2016 $128,250 -4.3%

April 2016 $139,950 33.3%

March 2016 $116,000 7.4%

February 2016 $137,500 12.7%

Month Average Sale PricePercent Change

Year-over-Year

February 2017 $156,667 13.9%

January 2017 $157,450 34.1%

December 2016 $83,000 6.4%

November 2016 $126,250 -2.5%

July 2016 $80,000 -27.8%

June 2016 $94,750 -28.9%

-29.7%

September 2016 $134,350 -37.5%

August 2016 $120,250 52.2%

Economists' note : Median Sale Price is our preferred summary

statistic for price activity because, unlike Average Sale Price, Median

Sale Price is not sensitive to high sale prices for small numbers of

homes that may not be characteristic of the market area. Keep in

mind that median price trends over time are not always solely caused

by changes in the general value of local real estate. Median sale price

only reflects the values of the homes that sold each month, and the

mix of the types of homes that sell can change over time.

Economists' note : Usually, we prefer Median Sale Price over

Average Sale Price as a summary statistic for home prices. However,

Average Sale Price does have its uses—particularly when it is

analyzed alongside the Median Sale Price. For one, the relative

difference between the two statistics can provide some insight into

the market for higher-end homes in an area.March 2016 $116,000 3.7%

February 2016 $137,500 -0.5%

May 2016 $123,756 -6.4%

April 2016 $130,363 18.3%

October 2016 $99,500



$0K

$50K

$100K

$150K

$200K

$250K

Ave

rage

Sal

e

Pri

ce

$0K

$50K

$100K

$150K

$200K

$250K

Me

dia

n S

ale

Pri

ceMonthly Market Detail - February 2017

2013 2014 2015 2016


Median Sale PriceThe median sale price reported for the month (i.e. 50% of sales were above and 50% of sales were below)

2013 2014 2015 2016

Average Sale PriceThe average sale price reported for the month (i.e. total sales in dollars divided by the number of sales)



Month Dollar VolumePercent Change

Year-over-Year

February 2017 $470,001 70.9%

January 2017 $314,900 -55.3%

December 2016 $166,000 112.8%

November 2016 $252,500 -35.0%

Economists' note : Dollar Volume is simply the sum of all sale prices

in a given time period, and can quickly be calculated by multiplying

Closed Sales by Average Sale Price. It is a strong indicator of the

health of the real estate industry in a market, and is of particular

interest to real estate professionals, investors, analysts, and

government agencies. Potential home sellers and home buyers, on

the other hand, will likely be better served by paying attention to

trends in the two components of Dollar Volume (i.e. sales and prices)

individually.

October 2016 $298,500 -47.3%

September 2016 $268,700 -37.5%

August 2016 $481,000 204.4%

July 2016 $80,000 -82.0%

June 2016 $379,000 -28.9%

May 2016 $990,048 87.2%

April 2016 $1.0 Million 89.3%

March 2016 $116,000 -85.2%

February 2016 $275,000 -50.2%

MonthMed. Pct. of Orig. List

Price Received

Percent Change

Year-over-Year

February 2017 98.4% 0.6%

January 2017 92.4% -4.4%

December 2016 96.5% -1.1%

November 2016 95.7% 0.7%

July 2016 90.4% -3.8%

June 2016 97.6% 4.2%

September 2016 91.4% -3.7%

August 2016 93.2% -2.8%

Economists' note : The Median Percent of Original List Price

Received is useful as an indicator of market recovery, since it

typically rises as buyers realize that the market may be moving away

from them and they need to match the selling price (or better it) in

order to get a contract on the house. This is usually the last measure

to indicate a market has shifted from down to up, so it is what we

would call a lagging indicator. March 2016 94.4% -1.2%

February 2016 97.8% -0.3%

May 2016 96.1% -2.7%

April 2016 94.6% -2.3%

October 2016 94.6% 4.0%



0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

Me

d. P

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rig.

Li

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R

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$0

$200,000

$400,000

$600,000

$800,000

$1 M

$1 M

Do

llar

Vo

lum

eMonthly Market Detail - February 2017

2013 2014 2015 2016


Dollar VolumeThe sum of the sale prices for all sales which closed during the month

2013 2014 2015 2016

Median Percent of Original List Price ReceivedThe median of the sale price (as a percentage of the original list price) across all properties selling during the month



MonthMedian Time to

Contract

Percent Change

Year-over-Year

February 2017 68 Days 1600.0%

January 2017 105 Days 854.5%

December 2016 12 Days -7.7%

November 2016 113 Days 653.3%

Economists' note : Like Time to Sale, Time to Contract is a measure

of the length of the home selling process calculated for sales which

closed during the month. The difference is that Time to Contract

measures the number of days between the initial listing of a property

and the signing of the contract which eventually led to the closing of

the sale. When the gap between Median Time to Contract and Median

Time to Sale grows, it is usually a sign of longer closing times and/or

declining numbers of cash sales.

October 2016 12 Days -79.3%

September 2016 105 Days -0.9%

August 2016 58 Days -18.3%

July 2016 100 Days 138.1%

June 2016 24 Days -45.5%

May 2016 35 Days 75.0%

April 2016 39 Days 11.4%

March 2016 4 Days -89.5%

February 2016 4 Days -87.5%

Month Median Time to SalePercent Change

Year-over-Year

February 2017 99 Days 280.8%

January 2017 145 Days 145.8%

December 2016 40 Days -7.0%

November 2016 154 Days 85.5%

Economists' note : Time to Sale is a measure of the length of the

home selling process, calculated as the number of days between the

initial listing of a property and the closing of the sale. Median Time

to Sale is the amount of time the "middle" property selling this month

was on the market. That is, 50% of homes selling this month took

less time to sell, and 50% of homes took more time to sell. Median

Time to Sale gives a more accurate picture than Average Time to Sale,

which can be skewed upward by small numbers of properties taking

an abnormally long time to sell.

October 2016 39 Days -55.2%

September 2016 161 Days -3.0%

August 2016 89 Days -17.6%

July 2016 145 Days 110.1%

June 2016 77 Days 14.9%

May 2016 88 Days 44.3%

April 2016 71 Days -7.8%

March 2016 48 Days -25.0%

February 2016 26 Days -53.6%


J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F0

100

200

300

400

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50

100

150

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250

300

Me

dia

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tMonthly Market Detail - February 2017

2013 2014 2015 2016


Median Time to ContractThe median number of days between the listing date and contract date for all Closed Sales during the month

2013 2014 2015 2016

Median Time to SaleThe median number of days between the listing date and closing date for all Closed Sales during the month



Month New Pending SalesPercent Change

Year-over-Year

February 2017 2 -33.3%

July 2016 2 -33.3%

January 2017 3 -40.0%

December 2016 3 0.0%

September 2016 4 33.3%

August 2016 1 0.0%

November 2016 2 -33.3%

October 2016 2 -33.3%

June 2016 2 -75.0%

May 2016 2 -50.0%

April 2016 8 166.7%

March 2016 9 200.0%

February 2016 3 -57.1%

Month New ListingsPercent Change

Year-over-Year

February 2017 6 -57.1%

January 2017 8 -20.0%

December 2016 3 0.0%

November 2016 6 20.0%

July 2016 0 -100.0%

June 2016 2 -33.3%

100.0%

September 2016 5 150.0%

August 2016 5 150.0%

Economists' note : New Listings tend to rise in delayed response to

increasing prices, so they are often seen as a lagging indicator of

market health. As prices rise, potential sellers raise their estimations

of value—and in the most recent cycle, rising prices have freed up

many potential sellers who were previously underwater on their

mortgages. Note that in our calculations, we take care to not include

properties that were recently taken off the market and quickly

relisted, since these are not really new listings.

Economists' note : Because of the typical length of time it takes for a

sale to close, economists consider Pending Sales to be a decent

indicator of potential future Closed Sales. It is important to bear in

mind, however, that not all Pending Sales will be closed successfully.

So, the effectiveness of Pending Sales as a future indicator of Closed

Sales is susceptible to changes in market conditions such as the

availability of financing for homebuyers and the inventory of

distressed properties for sale.

March 2016 6 0.0%

February 2016 14 250.0%

May 2016 3 -50.0%

April 2016 6 -14.3%

October 2016 4



0

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15

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sMonthly Market Detail - February 2017

2013 2014 2015 2016


New Pending SalesThe number of listed properties that went under contract during the month

2013 2014 2015 2016

New ListingsThe number of properties put onto the market during the month



February 2016 6.3 250.0%

April 2016 5.3 47.2%

March 2016 6.6 187.0%

June 2016 4.0 53.8%

May 2016 4.5 4.7%

August 2016 4.1 51.9%

July 2016 3.1 40.9%

October 2016 4.5 200.0%

September 2016 4.1 115.8%

December 2016 5.0 150.0%

November 2016 5.7 185.0%

February 2017 8.4 33.3%

January 2017 7.4 138.7%

February 2016 23 283.3%

Month Months SupplyPercent Change

Year-over-Year

April 2016 18 50.0%

March 2016 21 162.5%

June 2016 15 66.7%

May 2016 17 21.4%

August 2016 15 50.0%

July 2016 11 37.5%

150.0%

October 2016 16 166.7%

September 2016 15 114.3%Economists' note : There are a number of ways to define and

calculate Inventory. Our method is to simply count the number of

active listings on the last day of the month, and hold this number to

compare with the same month the following year. Inventory rises

when New Listings are outpacing the number of listings that go off-

market (regardless of whether they actually sell). Likewise, it falls

when New Listings aren't keeping up with the rate at which homes

are going off-market.

Economists' note : MSI is a useful indicator of market conditions.

The benchmark for a balanced market (favoring neither buyer nor

seller) is 5.5 months of inventory. Anything higher is traditionally a

buyers' market, and anything lower is a sellers' market. There is no

single accepted way of calculating MSI. A common method is to

divide current Inventory by the most recent month's Closed Sales

count, but this count is a usually poor predictor of future Closed Sales

due to seasonal cycles. To eliminate seasonal effects, we use the 12-

month average of monthly Closed Sales instead.

Month InventoryPercent Change

Year-over-Year

February 2017 28 21.7%

January 2017 24 100.0%

December 2016 18 157.1%

November 2016 20



0.0

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Inve

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ryMonthly Market Detail - February 2017

2013 2014 2015 2016


Inventory (Active Listings)The number of property listings active at the end of the month

2013 2014 2015 2016

Months Supply of InventoryAn estimate of the number of months it will take to deplete the current Inventory given recent sales rates



$600,000 - $999,999 (No Sales) N/A

$1,000,000 or more (No Sales) N/A

Economists' note : Like Time to Sale, Time to Contract is a measure

of the length of the home selling process calculated for sales which

closed during the month. The difference is that Time to Contract

measures the number of days between the initial listing of a property

and the signing of the contract which eventually led to the closing of

the sale. When the gap between Median Time to Contract and Median

Time to Sale grows, it is usually a sign of longer closing times and/or

declining numbers of cash sales.

$150,000 - $199,999 37 Days 640.0%

$200,000 - $249,999 (No Sales) N/A

$250,000 - $299,999

$400,000 - $599,999 (No Sales) N/A

(No Sales) N/A

$300,000 - $399,999 (No Sales) N/A

Economists' note: Closed Sales are one of the simplest—yet most

important—indicators for the residential real estate market. When

comparing Closed Sales across markets of different sizes, we

recommend comparing the percent changes in sales rather than the

number of sales. Closed Sales (and many other market metrics) are

affected by seasonal cycles, so actual trends are more accurately

represented by year-over-year changes (i.e. comparing a month's

sales to the amount of sales in the same month in the previous year),

rather than changes from one month to the next.

Sale PriceMedian Time to

Contract

Percent Change

Year-over-Year

Less than $50,000 (No Sales) N/A

$1,000,000 or more 0 N/A

$250,000 - $299,999 0 N/A

$300,000 - $399,999 0 N/A

$50,000 - $99,999 (No Sales) N/A

$100,000 - $149,999

$400,000 - $599,999 0 N/A

$600,000 - $999,999 0 N/A

342 Days N/A

$150,000 - $199,999 2 100.0%

$200,000 - $249,999 0 N/A

$100,000 - $149,999 1 N/A

Sale Price Closed SalesPercent Change

Year-over-Year

Less than $50,000 0 N/A

$50,000 - $99,999 0 -100.0%

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Less than$50,000

$50,000 -$99,999

$100,000 -$149,999

$150,000 -$199,999

$200,000 -$249,999

$250,000 -$299,999

$300,000 -$399,999

$400,000 -$599,999

$600,000 -$999,999

$1,000,000 ormore

Me

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February 2016 February 2017

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

0

1

2

3

4

5

Less than$50,000

$50,000 -$99,999

$100,000 -$149,999

$150,000 -$199,999

$200,000 -$249,999

$250,000 -$299,999

$300,000 -$399,999

$400,000 -$599,999

$600,000 -$999,999

$1,000,000 ormore

Clo

sed

Sal

es


0

1

2

3

4

5



Closed Sales by Sale PriceThe number of sales transactions which closed during the month

Median Time to Contract by Sale PriceThe median number of days between the listing date and contract date for all Closed Sales during the month



$600,000 - $999,999 0 N/A

$1,000,000 or more 1 N/A

Economists' note : There are a number of ways to define and

calculate Inventory. Our method is to simply count the number of

active listings on the last day of the month, and hold this number to

compare with the same month the following year. Inventory rises

when New Listings are outpacing the number of listings that go off-

market (regardless of whether they actually sell). Likewise, it falls

when New Listings aren't keeping up with the rate at which homes

are going off-market.

$150,000 - $199,999 5 0.0%

$200,000 - $249,999 7 133.3%

$250,000 - $299,999 2 -50.0%

$300,000 - $399,999 0 N/A

$400,000 - $599,999 0 N/A

$50,000 - $99,999 6 50.0%

$100,000 - $149,999 7 0.0%

Current Listing Price InventoryPercent Change

Year-over-Year


$600,000 - $999,999 0 N/A

$1,000,000 or more 0 N/A

Economists' note: New Listings tend to rise in delayed response to

increasing prices, so they are often seen as a lagging indicator of

market health. As prices rise, potential sellers raise their estimations

of value—and in the most recent cycle, rising prices have freed up

many potential sellers who were previously underwater on their

mortgages. Note that in our calculations, we take care to not include

properties that were recently taken off the market and quickly

relisted, since these are not really new listings.

$150,000 - $199,999 4 300.0%

$200,000 - $249,999 1 N/A

$250,000 - $299,999 0 -100.0%

$300,000 - $399,999 0 N/A

$400,000 - $599,999 0 N/A

$50,000 - $99,999 0 -100.0%

$100,000 - $149,999 1 -80.0%

Initial Listing Price New ListingsPercent Change

Year-over-Year


0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Less than$50,000

$50,000 -$99,999

$100,000 -$149,999

$150,000 -$199,999

$200,000 -$249,999

$250,000 -$299,999

$300,000 -$399,999

$400,000 -$599,999

$600,000 -$999,999

$1,000,000 ormore

Ne

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isti

ngs


0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Less than$50,000

$50,000 -$99,999

$100,000 -$149,999

$150,000 -$199,999

$200,000 -$249,999

$250,000 -$299,999

$300,000 -$399,999

$400,000 -$599,999

$600,000 -$999,999

$1,000,000 ormore

Inve

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1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7



New Listings by Initial Listing PriceThe number of properties put onto the market during the month

Inventory by Current Listing PriceThe number of property listings active at the end of the month

Closed Sales

Median Sale Price

Closed Sales

Median Sale Price

Closed Sales

Median Sale Price



Short Sale

0 0 N/A

(No Sales) (No Sales) N/A

Foreclosure/REO

0 0 N/A

(No Sales) (No Sales) N/A

February 2017 February 2016Percent Change

Year-over-Year

Traditional

3 2 50.0%

$157,000 $137,500 14.2%

$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

Me

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100%

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Traditional Foreclosure/REO Short Sale

2013 2014 2015 2016



Monthly Distressed Market - February 2017


2013 2014 2015 2016

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