monday, may 31 - university of leicester · physiologically structured population models...

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Monday, may 31

Registration and coffee: 08:00:00-09:30:00

Yoh Iwasa: 09:30:00-10:30:00

• Evolution of masting -- synchronized and intermittent reproduction of trees. Yoh Iwasa, Yuuya Tachiki, Akiko Satake

Biomathematics with emphasis on ecoepidemiology and spatio-temporal pattern formation (E.Venturino, H. Malchow, and S.Petrovskii): 10:45:00-12:50:00

1. Modelling of the population dynamics taking into account child care. Vladas Skakauskas, Sarunas Repsys

2. Vegetation patterns in semi-arid environments. Jonathan Sherratt

3. The architecture of predator-prey food webs increases complexity and stability. Iraziet Charret, Karen Luz-Burgoa, Jose Nogales, Lucas Faria, Crysttian Paixao

4. Patterns of patchy spread in models of bioinvasions and biocontrol. Andrey Morozov

5. The role of shared disease in ecological invasions. Andy White, Sally Bell, Jonathan Sherratt, Mike Boots

Physiologically Structured Population Models (O.Diekmann): 10:45:00-12:50:00

1. Equations with infinite delay as models for physiologically structured populations, Mats Gyllenberg.

2. Scale-invariant model of marine population dynamics. Jose Capitan, Gustav Delius

3. Bifurcation theory, adaptive dynamics and DEB-structured populations of iteroparous species. Bob Kooi, Jaap van der Meer

4. Analysis of the Fitness for an Aggregation-Fragmentation Equation and Consequences in the Modeling of Prion Proliferation. Vincent Calvez, Marie Doumic Jauffret, Pierre Gabriel

5. A method for global stability analysis of multigroup epidemic models. Toshikazu Kuniya

Fish Population Dynamics : 10:45:00-12:50:00

1. Basic Reproduction Ratio for a Fishery Model in a Patchy Environment, Auger Pierre, Moussaoui Ali, Sallet Gauthier

2. Linking plankton dynamics and fish recruitment in a stochastic environment. Jenny Burrow, Jonathan Pitchford

3. Modelling the dynamics of an exploited atlantic salmon population for management advice: a bayesian hierarchical approach. Guillaume Dauphin, Colin Adams, Patrick Boylan, Etienne Prevost

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4. Hopf bifurcations in the marine size spectrum generated by fishing, Eric Benoit, Marie-Joelle Rochet

5. A Stage Structured Fishery Model with Reserve Area and Pulsed Harvesting. Mini Ghosh

Control : 10:45:00-12:50:00

1. Optimal control for population dynamics of incomplete data. Abdennebi Omrane, Birgit Jacob

2. Insensitizing controls for a linear population dynamics model

Oumar Traore, Jean Velin

3. Optimal Control of Chikungunya Disease: Larvae Reduction, Treatment and Prevention. Djamila Moulay, M.A. Aziz-Alaoui

4. Optimal foraging in Leslie-Gower predator-prey models with alternative food. Mickael Teixeira Alves, Ludovic Mailleret, Frederic Grognard

5. Opportunism as optimal foraging strategy. Jozsef Garay, Ferenc Szigeti, Tomas Cabello Cabello, Ramon Carreno

Cancer : 10:45:00-12:50:00

1. Montebello: a metapopulation based model of carcinogenesis. David Tuck, Willard Miranker, Jose Costa

2. Migration and clustering of brain tumor cells: theory and experiment. Evgeniy Khain, Casey Schneider-Mizell, Michal Nowicki, Antonio Chiocca, Sean Lawler, Leonard Sander

3. Modelisation de la croissance metastatique sous controle angiogenique : analyse mathematique et numerique. Sebastien Benzekry

4. Sur la modele de Kirshner-Panetta en immunothÃ©rapie du cancer. Alexei Tsygvintsev

Lunch : 12:50:00-14:00:00

Maia Martcheva : 14:00:00-15:00:00

• Avian Influenza: Modeling and Implications for Control

Modelisation, Bioeconomy and fisheries management (R.Mchich, N.Raissi and P. Auger): 15:10:00-16:00:00

1. The Optimal Exploitation of a Model for Commercial Fishing. Chakib Jerry, Nadia Raissi

2. Application of an aggregation method to the management of moroccan fisheries. Mchich Rachid, AUGER Pierre, RAISSI Nadia

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1. Two-strain competition in sylvatic transmission of T. cruzi. Christopher Kribs Zaleta, Anuj Mubayi, Thomas Seaquist

2. Spatial patterns and extinction threshold in forest dynamics with height structure. Josep-Luis Garcia-Domingo, Joan Saldana


1. P. Getto

Epidemiology : 15:10:00-16:00:00

1. Modelling pathogen spread over genetically and spatially heterogeneous landscape. Natalia Sapoukhina, Charles-Eric Durel, Bruno Le Cam

2. An compartimental model of HBV with vertical transmission. Fall Abdoul Aziz, Sallet Gauthier, Iggidr Aderrahman

Cellular Population : 15:10:00-16:00:00

1. The role of stochasticity in modelling retinal angiogenesis. Vincenzo Capasso, Daniela Morale, Giuseppe Facchetti

2. Gene Expression Time Delays and Turing Pattern Formation. Seirin Lee, Eamonn Gaffney

Coffee break : 16:00:00-16:30:00


1. Asymptotic dynamics of a population density under selection-mutation. Guy Barles, Sepideh Mirrahimi, Benoit Perthame

2. Dynamics of immune cell division and differentiation. Shinji Nakaoka, Kazuyuki Aihara

3. A continuous size structured model applied to zooplankton community. Jonathan Rault, Eric Benoit, Pieter Vaandromme

4. Hopf bifurcation in structured population dynamics models. Zhihua Liu

5. Effective population sizes and the canonical equation of adaptive dynamics J.A.J. (Hans) Metz


1. Time to extinction of infectious diseases through bellman-harris branching processes. Miguel Gonzalez, Rodrigo Martinez

2. Cellular automata for ecoepidemic models. Luca Ferreri, Ezio Venturino

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3. Pattern formation, long-term transients, and the Turing-Hopf bifurcation in a space- and time-discrete predator-prey system. Luiz Alberto Diaz Rodrigues, Diomar Cristina Mistro, Sergei Petrovskii

4. Stochastic metapopulation modeling of influenza dynamic: conditions of succesfull invasion of the novel a/h1n1 subtype. Elisabeta Vergu, Sebastien Ballesteros, Anton Camacho, Bernard Cazelles

5. Effect of vector dispersal and migration on sylvatic transmission of Trypanosoma cruzi. Britnee Crawford, Christopher Kribs Zaleta

Modelisation, Bioeconomy and fisheries management (R.Mchich, N.Raissi and P. Auger): 16:30:00-18:35:00

1. A viability analysis for an explicit inshore-offshore model. Mounir Jerry, Nadia Raissi, Alain Rapaport

2. Viability analysis of a multi-fishery based on continuous fishing effort. Chata Sanogo, Nadia Raissi, Slimane Ben Miled

3. Singular infinite horizon calculus of variations:non uniqueness of the optimal management of a fishery. Eladio Ocana, Pierre Cartigny

Epidemiology 16:30:00-18:35:00

1. The impact of vaccine side effects on the lifetime of immunization programmes. Piero Manfredi, Alberto d'Onofrio, Piero Poletti

2. Exclusion from forced eco-epidemiological systems. Jonathan Greenman, Andrew Hoyle

3. An agent-based model on vector-borne diseases: the rift valley fiever case in ferlo (senegal). Bah Alassane, Ndiaye Papa Ibrahima, Kebe Cheikh M. Fadel, Ndione Jacques AndrÃ©, Gaye Amadou Thierno, Ndiaye Samba

4. Bluetongue spread and vaccination strategies in cattle herds. Maud Charron, Michel Langlais, Henri Seegers, Pauline Ezanno

5. Modelling virus variants and invasion. Joanne Mann, Mick Roberts

Cellular Population : 16:30:00-18:35:00

1. Effect of diffusion fluxes on protective properties of antibodies. Alex Skvortsov, Peter Gray

2. Hybrid modeling of cell populating dynamics. Nikolai Bessonov, Polina Kurbatova, Vitaly Volpert

3. Analysis of the blood production structured model with delay feedback. Pawel J. Mitkowski, Wojciech Mitkowski

4. Germline Selection and Epistasis: a model for Linkage Disequilibrium across chromosomes

Aatish Bhatia, Kshitij Wagh, Gyan Bhanot

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5. Multiscale Modelling of Red Blood Cell Production: Intracellular Regulation Pathways and Structured Population Dynamics. Fabien Crauste

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Tuesday, june 1

Mick Roberts: 08:00:00-09:00:00

• Next generation matrices and the type reproduction number: beyond r0 M.G. Roberts

Andrea Pugliese: 09:00:00-10:00:00

Coffee break and poster session: 10:10:00-10:40:00

1. Controlling a trophic chain to equilibrium. Inmaculada Lopez, Manuel Gomez, Sandor Molnar, Zoltan Varga

2. Modeling adaptation in metapopulations. Ilkka Hanski, Tommi Mononen, Otso Ovaskainen

3. Individual behavior in a structured population: reduction of a discrete system coupling hawk-dove tactics and demography. Marcos Marva, Rafael Bravo de la Parra, Pierre Auger, Miguel-Angel Zavala

4. Searching for the most cost-effective strategy of controlling epidemics. Katarzyna Oles, Adam Kleczkowski

5. Diploidy and the selective advantage for sexual reproduction in unicellular organisms. Maya Kleiman, Emmanuel Tannenbaum

6. A mathematical model for bacteriocin production regulated by quorum sensing. Roberta Regina Delboni, Hyun Mo Yang

7. Fuzzy modeling for predicting the risk of recurrence and progression of superficial bladder tumors. Laercio Vendite, Kenia Savergnini, Wagner Matheus

8. Mathematical modelling of infectious diseases considering age-structured contact rate. Cintia Soares, Hyun Mo Yang

Modern Developments in Mathematics of Infectious Diseases (F.Milner and M.Martcheva): 10:45:00-12:50:00

1. Modeling approach for the physiological tick life-cycle. Dania Sheaib, Nabil Nassif, Slimane Ben Miled

2. Analysis of a two-strain transmission model using computer algebra. M'hammed El Kahoui, Adamou Otto, Marie-Francoise Roy, Thierry Van Effelterre

3. On eigen's molecular quasispecies model and genotype dominance. Tanya Kostova, Carol Zhou

4. The evolution of host-parasite range. Andy White, Alex Best, Eva Kisdi, Janis Antonovics, Michael Brockhurst, Mike Boots

5. Size-structured population model with constant size and constant inflow of newborns.

Mohamed El-Doma

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Noise-induced effects in population dynamics (S.Petrovskii, H.Malchow and M.Sieber): 10:45:00-12:50:00

1. Noise induced phenomena in delayed ratio-dependent model - moment based stability analysis. Malay Banerjee

2. Noise Can Prevent Onset of Chaos in Spatiotemporal Population Dynamics. Sergei Petrovskii

3. Stochastic sensitivity function technique for analysis of the noise-induced phenomena in the population dynamics.

Lev Ryashko, Irina Bashkirtseva

4. Noise may suppress periodic travelling waves in oscillatory population models. Michael Sieber, Horst Malchow, Sergei V. Petrovskii

5. A mathematical model for a group wave emergence with waving behavior of ocypodid crab ilyoplax pusillus. Hiromi Seno, Koh Tsutamura

Modelling in immunology (R.Thiebaut) : 10:45:00-12:50:00

1. Modelling drug resistance in hiv type 1: assessing the impact of antiretroviral therapy. Silvia Martorano Raimundo, Ezio Venturino, Hyun Mo Yang

2. Parameters estimation in smith-martin model of cells division dynamics of ot1 and f5 t-cells Andrey Shuvaev, Daniel Commenges, Thea Hogan, Robin Callard, Ben Seddon, Andrew Yates, Rodolphe Thiebaut

3. Modelling CD8 T-cell Immune Response. Emmanuelle TERRY, Fabien CRAUSTE, Olivier GANDRILLON

4. Quantifying the effectiveness and in vivo relevance of the cd8+ t lymphocyte immune response. Ulrich Kadolsky, Aidan MacNamara, Marjet Elemans, Katerina Seich Al Basatena, Becca Asquith

5. Analysing immune cell migration. Rob De Boer, Joost Beltman, Stan Maree

Epidemiology : 10:45:00-12:50:00

1. Seasonal transmission, year round transmission and the evolution of influenza A. Ben Adams, Alice McHardy

2. Prediction an epidemic outbreak based on data streams from syndromic surveillance. Alex Skvortsov, Branko Ristic, Chris Woodruff

3. The basic reproduction number in periodic population models. Nicolas Bacaer

4. The evolution of host resistance with local interactions. Alex Best, Steve Webb, Andy White, Mike Boots

5. The evolution of parasitoid developmental timing. Christina Cobbold, Emily Hackett-Jones, Andrew White

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Population Dynamics : 10:45:00-12:50:00

1. Study the stability of some ratio dependant models using the optimal derivative. Chikhaoui Abdelhka, Benouaz Tayeb

2. Deterministic ecological model for simulating population dynamics in mesocosms. Catalina Ciric, Sandrine Charles, Philippe Ciffroy

3. Dynamics of age structured populations in random environments. Luis Sanz, Juan Antonio Alonso

4. Stability of scalar differential equation with distributed delays. Samuel Bernard

Lunch 13:00:00-14:30:00

Gabriela Gomes : 14:30:00-15:30:00

Modelling complex multi-strain dynamics in single and meta-populations. Application to influenza and other diseases: (S.Ballesteros, B.Cazelles and E.Vergu): 15:40:00-16:30:00

1. The derivation and application of dimensionless numbers for understanding and anticipating the shapes of viral phylogenies. Katia Koelle, Virginia Pasour, Oliver Ratmann, Jonathan Mattingly

2. Main determinants of human influenza phylodynamics. Sebastien Ballesteros, Anton Camacho, Elisabeta Vergu, Bernard Cazelles

Modern Developments in Mathematics of Infectious Diseases (F.Milner and M.Martcheva: 15:40:00-16:30:00

1. Stability and hopf bifurcation for a viral infection model with non-lytic immune response. Xinyu Song, Xia Wang

2. The basic reproduction number for infectious diseases in heterogeneous environments. Hisashi Inaba

Evolutionary Ecology : 15:40:00-16:30:00

1. Clone Selection in Resource-Dependent Competition Models. Irina Kareva, Faina Berezovskaya, Carlos Castillo-Chavez

2. A predator-prey model with allee efect and fast strategy evolution dynamics of predators using hawk and dove tactics. Jitka Kuphnova, Lenka Pribylova

Spatio temporal Population Dynamics : 15:40:00-16:30:00

1. Central manifold in the unstirred chemostat: how large diffusion leads to exclusion. Francois Castella, Sten Madec, Cedric Wolf, Myriam Borams, Yvan Lagadeuc

2. An Ecoepidemiological Model In Two Competing Species. Xiaoli LIU, Mats Gyllenberg, Ping Yan

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Mathematical Technics for Population Dynamics: 15:40:00-16:30:00

1. Global stability for epidemic models involving functional differential equations. Connell McCluskey

2. Existence of Positive Almost Periodic or Ergodic Solutions for Some Neutral Nonlinear Integral Equations. Ait Dads El Hadi, Cieutat Philippe, Lhachimi Lahcen

Coffee break, 16:30:00-17:00:00

Modern Developments in Mathematics of Infectious Diseases (F.Milner and M.Martcheva: 17:00:00-18:50:00

1. Evaluating Treatment of Hepatitis C for Hemolytic Anemia Management. Swati DebRoy

2. On the spatio-temporal disease dynamics in populations with discrete-time epidemics in one and two spatial dimensions. Karen Rios-Soto, Carlos Castillo-Chavez

3. Estimating the emergence of drug-resistant hiv in sub-saharan africa. David Gerberry, Sally Blower

4. Assessing the role of immune response in the direct progression and endogenous reactivation of tuberculosis. Hyun Yang

Modelling complex multi-strain dynamics in single and meta-populations. Application to influenza and other diseases: (S.Ballesteros, B.Cazelles & E.Vergu): 17:00:00-18:50:00

1. Age-dependent immune response and antigenic drift in influenza. Andrea Parisi, Ana Nunes, Gabriela Gomes

2. Modelling dynamics and evolution of influenza A (individually based approach). Pavlo Minayev, Neil Ferguson

3. Gradual vs punctuated antigenic drift for influenza evolution: a quantitative approach based on time-series analysis. Anton Camacho, Sebastien Ballesteros, Katia Koelle, Bernard Cazelles

4. Epidemiology of dengue fever: a model with temporary cross-immunity and possible secondary infection shows bifurcations and chaotic behaviour in wide parameter regions. Ma'ira Aguiar, Bob Kooi, Nico Stollenwerk

Evolutionary Ecology : 17:00:00-18:50:00

1. Evolution of body condition dependent dispersal. Margarete Utz, Eva Kisdi, Mats Gyllenberg

2. Evolutionary ecology, trade-offs and cyclic and chaotic population dynamics. Roger Bowers, Andy Hoyle, Andy White

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3. Antigenic variation of trypanosomes: from parasite genetics to within-host dynamics and evolution. Erida Gjini, Christina A. Cobbold, Daniel T. Haydon, J.D. Barry

4. On models of early biological evolution: Does the error threshold really exist. Georgiy Karev

Spatio-temporal Populations Dynamics : 17:00:00-18:50:00

1. Competition model on a finite domain. Franciane Azevedo, Roberto Kraenkel, Daniel Silva

2. Trimorphic specialist-generalist coexistence on two spatial resources. Ilmari Karonen

3. Epidemic spread in heterogeneous and competitive environment: a spatio-temporal model. Baba Issa Camara, Valerie Caffier, Frederique Didelot, Bruno Le Cam, Natalia Sapoukhina

4. Sharp interface limit of the Fisher-KPP equation. Alfaro Matthieu, Ducrot Arnaud

Mathematical Technics for Population Dynamics: 17:00:00-18:50:00

1. Global existence for an age-structured model with vertical transmission. Sihem Fekih -Rahou, Bedr Eddine Ainseba, Sidi Mohammed Bouguima

2. Two-stages population invasion speed and orthogonal polynomials. Mohammed Mesk, Tewfik Mahdjoub

3. Hopf Bifurcations in Predator-prey models. Manuel Falconi, Jaume Llibre

4. Ergodicity in practice. Robert Service

5. Center manifolds for partial functional differential equations and applictions. Ezzinbi Khalil

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Wednesday, june 2

Sylvie Méléard : 08:00:00-09:00:00

Fabio Milner and William Fitzgibbon: 09:00:00-10:00:00

Coffee break 10:00:00-10:30:00

Modeling of Cancer Growth and Treatment (E.Afenya): 10:30:00-12:35:00

1. Mathematical m odel: stem cells and tumor development. Neila Gualberto-Leite, Maria Gouvea, Carlos Moreira

2. Mathematical modeling of cancer immunotherapy using a vesicular stomatitis virus and an adenovirus. Raluca Eftimie, Jonathan L. Bramson, David J.D. Earn

3. Spatial patterns of solid tumours in avascular stage; modeling and mathematical analysis. Hermane Mambili-Mamboundou, Aziz Ouhinou

4. Perspectives on the current successes and challenges of cancer growth and treatment. Evans Afenya

5. Optimal control for the dynamics of chronic myeloid leukemia. Bedr'Eddine Ainseba, Chahrazed Benosman

Michel Langlais : 10:30:00-12:35:00

1. Generalists enemies can stop the spread of invasive species. Christelle Suppo, Chris Cosner, Ed Mccauley, Jereme Casas

2. Disease spread in predators: Modelling biological control of invasive cats to preserve endangered birds on oceanic islands. Frank Hilker, Nuno Oliveira

3. Population dynamics of marine parasites : Past, present and future of an interdisciplinary cooperation

Patrick Silan

4. Transmission dynamics of Toxoplasma gondii along the gradient of prey-to-predator ratio Emmanuelle Gilot-Fromont, Maud Lelu , Poulle M.L., Michel Langlais

5. Hassan Hbid

Control in Population Dynamics: 10:30:00-12:35:00

1. On the stabilization of reactional diffusion systems modelling a class of man-environment epidemics: A review. Sebastian Anita, Vincenzo Capasso

2. Biological vector control with the sterile insect technique for the chikungunya disease. Yves Dumont, Jean-Michel Tchuenche

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3. Optimal control of pathogens in multi-host systems. Andy Hoyle, J. Greenman

4. Global Stability Analysis of a System Modeling Cell Dynamics in Acute Myelogenous Leukemia. Hitay Ozbay, Catherine Bonnet, Houda Benjelloun, Jean Clairambault

5. Rotating spiral waves in ωλ − systems on circular domains Je-Chiang Tsai

Stochastic and deterministic population processes: from branching to the

transport equation and beyond (M.Kimmel) : 10:30:00-12:35:00

1. Stochastic and Deterministic Population Processes : From Branching to the Transport Equation and Beyond

Adam Bobrowski

2. Nearly critical branching processes escaping extinction through a sequence of mutations.

Serik Sagitov

3. Crump-Mode-Jagers processes with Poissonian mutations Amaury Lambert

4. Stochastic and Deterministic Population Processes: From Branching to the Transport Equation

Marek Kimmel


1. Numerical dynamics of nonlinear open marine populations models. Oscar Angulo, Juan C. Lopez-Marcos, Miguel A. Lopez-Marcos, Julia Martinez-Rodriguez

2. Numerical integration of a hierarchically size-structured population model. Oscar Angulo, Luis M. Abia, Juan Carlos Lopez-Marcos, Miguel Angel Lopez-Marcos

3. Study of the stability of a ratio-dependent eco-epidemiology model of the salton sea using the optimal derivative. Lassouani Fatiha, Benouaz Tayeb, Chikhaoui Abdelhak

4. Modelling of daphnid response to cadmium in aquatic microcosms. Elise Billoir, Helene Delhaye, Bernard Clement, Marie Laure Delignette-Muller, Sandrine Charles

5. A mathematical model of population dynamics with predator's behavioral change induced by prey's Batesian mimicry. Hiromi Seno, Takahiro Kohno

Epidemiology : 10:30:00-12:35:00

1. A method for constructing deterministic individual-based epidemic models on arbitrary contact networks. Kieran Sharkey

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2. Modelling Vector-borne Disease: West Nile Virus. Norberto Maidana, Hyun Yang

3. Bit-String Model of Dengue Fever Including Dynamic of Virus, Vector and Human Population. Iraziet Charret, Crysttian Paixao

4. Manipulation of host behaviour and vertical transmission have antagonistic effects on the spread of Toxoplasma gondii. Maud Lelu, Eve Perrin, Michel Langlais, Marie-Lazarine Poulle And Emmanuelle Gilot-Fromont

5. Spread of infectious diseases along the global air transportation network Julien Arino

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Thursday, june 3

Andre de Roos, 09:15:00-10:15:00 • Effects of ontogenetic asymmetry in energetics on size-structured communities

André de Roos and L. Persson

Coffee break : 10:15:00-10:45:00

Stochastic population dynamics and birth-death processes (Y.Louzoun) 10:45:00-12:50:00

1. WKB theory of stochastic epidemics in well-mixed populations. Baruch Meerson

2. Predator prey dynamics in a uniform medium lead to directed percolation and wave train propagation. Yoram Louzoun, Alexandra Agranovich

3. Semiconservative quasispecies equations for polysomic genomes: The general case. Eran Itan, Emmanuel Tannenbaum

4. Cycles from resonant amplification of demographic stochasticity. Alan McKane

5. Surnames and species, genera and genomes: the ultimate neutral model explains (almost) everything. Nadav Shnerb, David Kessler, Yosi Maruvka

Dynamics of structures in cell biology (S.Portet): 10:45:00-12:50:00

1. A computational model for the maturation of focal adhesions and stress fibres. Angelique Stephanou, Celine Franco, Tzvetelina Tzvetkova-Chevolleau

2. Population dynamics of cellular adhesion sites: the self-organisation of podosomes. Philippe Tracqui

3. On a Model for the Initiation of Cell Movement. Jan Fuhrmann, Angela Stevens

4. Modeling cell-cell adhesion with a cadherin based model. John Dallon, Elijah Newren, Marc Hansen

5. Modeling the assembly of intermediate filaments. Stephanie Portet

Ecology : 10:45:00-12:50:00

1. Mutations arising during invasions. Judith Miller

2. Sensivity of predator-prey dynamics to functional responses in a chemostat. Flora Cordoleani, Jean-Christophe Poggiale, David Nerini, Mathias Gauduchon

3. A hybrid model of woodpigeon population dynamics in Ireland Suzanne M. O'Regan, Denis Flynn, Thomas C. Kelly, Michael J. A. O'Callaghan, Alexei Pokrovskii, Dmitrii Rachinskii

4. ESS versus cooperative behaviour in a consumer-resource model. Andrei Akhmetzhanov, Frederic Grognard, Ludovic Mailleret, Pierre Bernhard

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Modern Developments in Mathematics of Infectious Diseases (F.Milner and M.Martcheva:10:45:00-12:50:00

1. A New Mathematical Model of Syphilis. Fabio Milner, Ruijun Zhao

2. Finite element approximation of a two-strain sis model with diffusion Necibe Tuncer and Maia Martcheva

3. Uniform persistence in discrete and continuous non-autonomous dynamical systems with an application to an epidemic model of an amphibian population. Paul Salceanu

4. A HIV/AIDS epidemic model with abstinence. Claver Bhunu, Steady Mushabasa, Winston Garira, Hristo Kojouharov, Jean Tchuenche

5. Optimal screening in structured SIR epidemics

Bedr’Eddine Ainseba, Mimmo Iannelli

New Trends in Epidemiological Modeling: 10:45:00-12:50:00

1. Modelling hospitalization, home-based care and individual withdrawal for people living with HIV/AIDS in high prevalence areas. Hermane Mambili-Mamboundou, Dorothy Senelani Hove-Musekwa, Farai Nyabadza

2. System Dynamics from Individual Interactions: A Process Algebra Approach to Epidemiology. Chris McCaig, Soufiene Benkirane, Rachel Norman, Carron Shankland

3. A model of frequency-dependent bias for the spread of opinions in a lattice. Jose Fontanari

4. Analysis of an Epidemic-Like Model for the Spread of Religion. Curtis Wesley

5. Modelling the dynamics of dengue real epidemics. Suani Pinho, Claudia Ferreira, Lourdes Esteva, Florisneide Barreto, Vanessa Silva, Maria Teixeira

Lunch : 13:00:00-14:30:00

Arnaud Ducrot : 14:30:00-15:30:00

Matrix Models for Structured Population Dynamics (D. O. Logofet, S.Charles) : 15:40:00-16:30:00

1. Identified progeny of unknown parents: matrix calibration via an extremal principle. Dmitrii Logofet

2. A temperature-dependent Leslie model to describe the dynamics of a bullhead (Cottus gobio) population. Janice Kielbassa, Marie Laure Delignette-Muller, Sandrine Charles

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Mathematical Models for Emerging Diseases and Emerging Countries (Y-H.Hsieh and H. de Arazoza): 15:40:00-16:30:00

1. 2009 pH1N1 Epidemic: Early Onset, Reproduction Numbers, and Turni. Ying-Hen Hsieh, D. Fisman, V. Lee, WY Lim, S. Ma, and J. Wu

2. Epidemiology of HIV in cuba. Modeling detection with varying parameters. Rachid Lounes, Hector de Arazoza, Andres Sanchez, Ying-Hen Hsieh

Epidemic models with household or network structure (A.Pugliese): 15:30:00-16:30:00

1. Epidemics and diffusion on complex networks. David Juher, Jordi Ripoll, Joan Saldana

2. Interplay between network topology and epidemic rates in the dynamics of epidemic networks. Tanya Kostova

Stochastic Population Dynamics : 15:40:00-16:30:00

1. The influence of dynamic noise on systems with co-existing attractors, including deterministically chaotic, in application to epidemiology and ecology. Nico Stollenwerk, Maira Aguiar

Ecology : 15:40:00-16:30:00

1. The coarse mesh problem in ecological monitoring. Natalia Petrovskaya

2. Adaptive dynamics of cooperation may prevent the coexistence of defectors and cooperators and even cause extinction. Kalle Parvinen

Coffee break : 16:30:00-17:00:00

Mathematical Models for Emerging Diseases and Emerging Countries (Y-H.Hsieh and H. de Arazoza): 17:00:00-19:05:00

1. Mathematical model to asses the control of mosquitoes by the Sterile Insect Technique. Lourdes Esteva, Roberto Carlos Thomas, Hyun Mo Yang

2. Age-dependent response to the influenza a (h1n1) 2009 virus infection. Hiroshi Nishiura

3. Multispecies Interactions in West Nile Virus. Gustavo Cruz-Pacheco, Lourdes Esteva, Cristobal Vargas

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4. Evolution of the mosquito population. During a dengue epidemic in havana. Hector de Arazoza, Rachid Lounes, Jorge Barrios, Esther Garcia, Miguel Atencia, Gonzalo Joya

5. Modelling the AH1N1 virus epidemic in Mexico City: The first predictions and analysis. Gustavo Cruz-Pacheco, Lourdes Esteva, Antonmaria Minzoni, Panayotes Panayotaros, Malaquias Cervantes, Luis Duran

Matrix Models for Structured Population Dynamics (D. O. Logofet, S.Charles) : 17:00:00-19:05:00

1. Coupling an age-structured population model for fish dynamics with hydrodynamic individual-based model for larval dispersal within a bayesian state-space modeling framework. Sebastien Rochette, Olivier Le Pape, Martin Huret, Etienne Rivot

2. Nonlinear matrix model for competition between two discrete-structured plant populations. Iya Belova

3. From individual to population level effects of toxicants in the tubicifid branchiura sowerbyi using threshold effect models in a bayesian framework. Elise Billoir, Sandrine Charles, Virginie Ducrot

4. A minimal discrete-time model for age-stage-structured populations of competing plants. Nikolay Zavalishin

Epidemic models with household or network structure (A.Pugliese): 17:00:00-19:05:00

1. Exact epidemic models on graphs using graph-automorphism driven lumping. Peter Simon, Michael Taylor, Istvan Kiss

2. Epidemics on random networks incorporating household structure. Frank Ball

3. Real-time growth rate for SIR epidemics in socially structured populations. Lorenzo Pellis, Neil Ferguson, Christophe Fraser

4. The spread of SIR epidemics in a population of overlapping groups. Frank Ball, David Sirl, Pieter Trapman

5. Individual behavior and epidemic dynamics. Emmanuelle Augeraud-Veron, Laurent coudeville

Stochastic Population Dynamics : 17:00:00-19:05:00

1. Stability of deterministic and stochastic non linear SIRS Epidemic Model. Adil Lahrouz, Hamid El Maroufy

2. The effect of landscape dynamics on ecological speciation. Robin Aguilae, Amaury Lambert, David Claessen

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3. Efficient simulation of stochastic reaction systems. Tobias Jahnke, Derya Altintan

4. Estimation of the emergence time of a multi-virulent mutant using birth and death process. Romain Bourget, Natalia Sapoukhina, Loic Chaumont

5. Optimization issues in stochastic animal growth models. Carlos A. Braumann, Patricia A. Filipe, Clara Carlos, Carlos J. Roquete

Ecology : 17:00:00-19:05:00

1. Non-diffusive migration models based on haldane principle. Michael Sadovsky

2. Intraguild predation and conservation of endangered seabirds. Modelling, theory and nonstandard approximations. Yves Dumont, James Russell

3. Stochastic animal movement models which generate angular distributions. William Reed

4. Optimizing metapopulation sustainability through a checkerboard strategy. Nadav Shnerb, Yossi Ben-Zion

5. On the evolution of magic traits and speciation. Tadeas Priklopil, Eva Kisdi

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Friday, june 4

Sanyi Tang : 08:00:00-09:00:00

• Community-based measures for mitigating the 2009 H1N1 pandemic in china. Sanyi Tang, Yanni Xiao, Youping Yang, Yicang Zhou, Jianhong Wu, Zhien Ma

From spatially explicit population models to mean-field dynamics (A.Morozov, J-C. Poggiale): 09:10:00-10:00:00

1. Emergence of holling type 3 functional response in ecosystems with spatial heterogeneity: plankton community as a case study. Andrey Morozov

2. Aggregation of variables in spatial predator prey models. Pierre Auger, Jean-Christophe Poggiale

Structured cells population dynamics models and related topics (J.Clairambault, P.Magal and G.Webb): 09:00:00-10:00:00

1. Analysis of a model for transfer phenomena in biological populations. Peter Hinow, Frank Le Foll, Pierre Magal, Glenn Webb

2. Tumor development: time delay and population dependent parameters. Mauricio Menezes, Maria Gouvea

Cellular Population Dynamics : 09:10:00-10:00:00

1. Within-host population dynamics of cell-mediated response against Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Eduardo Ibarguen-Mondragon, Lourdes Esteva

Epidemiology : 09:10:00-10:00:00

1. A demo-genetic approach to the evolution of pest resistance in toxic crops. Valerie Lemesle, Ludovic Mailleret

2. A SVEIR model with Imperfect Vaccine. Philippe Adda, Leontine Nkague Nkamba, Gauthier Sallet, Lorenzo Castelli

Spatio-temporal Populations Dynamic : 09:10:00-10:00:00

21. Modelling the lethargic crab disease by travelling waves. Ricardo Avila, Claudia Ferreira, Paulo Mancera

22. Modelling spatial and spatially averaged exploited food chains of a resource-consumer type. Nikolay Zavalishin

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Coffee break, 10:00:00-10:30:00


1. A non-local cell adhesion model in n-dimensional space with cell age. Janet Dyson, Stephen Gourley, Rosanna Villella-Bressan, Glenn Webb

2. Time-lapse live cell imaging and flow cytometry as data sources for modelling anticancer treatment. Paolo Ubezio, Monica Lupi, Valentina Colombo, Francesca Falcetta

3. A microscopic approach for bacterial chemotaxis. Vauchelet Nicolas, James Fancois

4. Modelling cell proliferation, circadian rhythm and pharmacokinetics-pharmacodynamics to optimise cancer treatments Jean Clairambault

5. Matlab : Advanced mathematical modeling methods for biological systems (Glucose-Insulin system and graph theory studies)

Ascension Vizinho-Coutry

From spatially explicit population models to mean-field dynamics (A.Morozov, J-C. Poggiale): 10:30:00-12:35:00

1. Statistical mechanics of population dynamics and animal movement. Sergei Petrovskii

2. Enrichment paradox induced by spatial heterogeneity in a phytoplankton - zooplankton system. Jean-Christophe Poggiale, Mathias Gauduchon, Pierre Auger

3. Novel exponents control the quasi-deterministic limit of the extinction transition. Nadav Shnerb, David Kessler

4. Approximate aggregation of non-autonomous two time scales spatially distributed system. Marcos Marva, Rafael Bravo de la Parra, Jean-Christophe Poggiale

5. Aggregation of variables in a time discrete model and application to a spatially explicit model. Tri Nguyen-Huu, Pierre Auger

Cellular Population Dynamics : 10:30:00-12:35:00

6. Estimate of viral productivity and infectivity in vitro. Shingo Iwami, Yasuhiro Takeuchi, Tatsuhiko Igarashi, Tomoyuki Miura

7. Modeling the MAPK Pathway in Starfish Oocytes. Ioana Policeanu, Semen Koksal, David Carroll

Plant Population Dynamics : 10:30:00-12:35:00

1. Savanna-Fire Model: Combined effects of tree-tree establishment competition and spatially explicit Jfire on the spatial pattern of trees in savannas. Flora Souza Bacelar, Justin Calabrese, Volker Grimm, Emilio Hernandez-Garcia

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2. Modeling and simulating a fungal disease epidemic over a heterogeneous plot. Jean Baptiste Burie, Agnes Calonnec, Maud Charron, Pierrick Legrand

3. Can a mathematical model be helpful to determine optimal control procedures for grapevine pest populations. Delphine Picart, Bedr’eddine Ainseba, Fabio Milner, Denis Thiery

4. Evolutionary insights from semi-discrete plant epidemic models. Frederic Hamelin, Magda Castel, Ludovic Mailleret

Spatio-temporal Population Dynamics 10:30:00-12:35:00

1. Competition and diffusive invasion in a variable environment. Horst Malchow, Michael Sieber

2. A spatio-temporal model to describe the spread of Salmonella within a laying flock. Pascal Zongo, Anne-France Viet, Pierre Magal, Catherine Beaumont

3. Spatio-temporal pattern formation in a Holling-Tanner model in presence of multiplicative-noise. Malay Banerjee

Lunch, 12:35:00-14:00:00

Nosocomial transmission of infections (C.Kribs Zaleta), 14:00:00-16:05:00

1. Modeling nosocomial transmission of rotavirus in pediatric hospital wards. Sandrine CHARLES, Christopher KRIBS-ZALETA

2. Cohorting and ward size effects in nosocomial rotavirus transmission. Christopher Kribs Zaleta, Sandrine Charles

3. Modeling antibiotic resistance epidemics in hospitals. Erika De Agata, Shigui Ruan, Glenn Webb, Pierre Magal

4. Investigating the impact of organizational factors on the nosocomial risk through agent-based modeling. Laura Temime, Pierre-Yves Boelle, Christian Brun-Buisson, Lidia Kardas, Lulla Opatowski, Didier Guillemot


1. Modelling adhesion in cell populations and its role in cancer invasion. Jonathan Sherratt, Kevin Painter, Nicola Armstrong

2. A multinomial model of tumor growth treated by radiotherapy. Pierre Vallois, T. Bastogne, R. Keinj

3. A Mathematical Model for the E_ects of HER2 Over-expression on Cell Cycle Progression in Breast Cancer Amina Eladdadi, David Isaacson

4. Mathematical models predicting fate decision in cancer stem cells and their

experimental validation O. U. Kirnasovsky, Y. Kogan, L. Tencer, G. Wasserman, H. Harrison, R. Lamb, R. B. Clarke, Z. Agur

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5. Spreading speeds and traveling waves for non-cooperative integro-difference systems. Haiyan Wang, Carlos Castillo-Chavez

Population density approach in neurosciences (J.Henry) : 14:00:00-16:05:00

1. Dynamic of neurons population K. Pakdaman, B. Perthame And Delphine Salort

2. Analysis of synchronization in a neural population by a population density approach A.Garenne, J. Henry and O. Tarniceriu

3. A Numerical solver for the population density function of neuronal network Grégory Dumont and Jacques Henry

4. A fokker-planck model for two interacting populations of neurons J.A. Carrillo, S. Cordier and S. Mancini

Epidemiology : 14:00:00-16:05:00

1. Two-host, two-vector Ro for bluetongue. Joanne Turner, Roger Bowers, Matthew Baylis

2. The impact of temperature on the evolution of virulence. Eduardo Massad, Luiz Lopez, Daniel Silva, Claudio Struchiner

3. Analysis of a two-patch model for the dynamical transmission of tuberculosis. Jean Jules Tewa, Samuel Bowong, Boulchard Mewoli, Jurgen Kurths

4. A competitive exclusion principle for SIS and SIR models with $n$ strains. Bichara Derdei, Abderrahman Iggidr, Gauthier Sallet

5. On a mathematical model of Typha proliferation : equilibria and stability. Mamadou Lamine Diagne, Papa Ibrahima Ndiaye, Tewfik Sari

Structures Population Dynamics : 14:00:00-16:05:00

1. Avian influenza. Maia Martcheva, Manojit Roy

2. Spatial dispersal and prolonged diapause in a patchy stochastic environment. Tewfik Mahdjoub, Sebastien Gourbiere, Frederic Menu

3. Density-Dependent Dispersal in a Structured Metapopulation Model. Mats Gyllenberg, Stefan Geritz, Petr Ondracek

4. Dynamics of prion proliferation, from biological experiments to mathematical models. Erwan Hingant, Jean-Pierre Liautard, Laurent Pujo-Menjouet


6. Evolution of dispersal in american pika metapopulations. Anne Seppanen, Kalle Parvinen, John Nagy

7. Food quality in producer-grazer models. Dirk Stiefs, George A. K. van Voorn, Bob W. Kooi, Ulrike Feudel, Thilo Gross

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8. Analysis of stability and hopf bifurcation in Leslie-Gower model with discrete delays. Anuraj Singh, Sunita Gakkhar, Sunita Gakkhar

Coffee break : 16:05:00-16:30:00

Mark Lewis : 16:30:00-17:30:00

• Population dynamics of stage-structured invaders. M.A Lewis And T.De Camino-Beck

monday, may 31 - university of leicester · physiologically structured population models...

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