mo*lezing joachim spangenberg: een groene economie binnen de grenzen van onze planeet
DESCRIPTION
Op woensdag 10 oktober 2012 vond in de Beursschouwburg in Brussel een boeiende MO*lezing plaats met als titel ‘Een groene economie binnen de grenzen van onze planeet’. Sprekers waren de internationaal gerenommeerde milieu-experts Jacqueline McGlade en Joachim Spangenberg. Dit is de presentatie van Joachim Spangenberg.TRANSCRIPT
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Beyond the Green EconomyBeyond the Green EconomyPathways Towards a Sustainable FuturePathways Towards a Sustainable Future
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg
Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research UFZ, Dept. Community Ecology, Halle, Germany
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
Presentation at the Presentation at the MO*LectureMO*Lecture
“A Green Economy within the Limits of Our Planet“A Green Economy within the Limits of Our Planet””BeursschouwburgBeursschouwburg, , BrussselsBrusssels, , October10October10thth 20122012
Ecology, Halle, Germany
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Where do we come from?Where do we come from?
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
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Western consumption patterns conquer the world
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
Ex-novation is not in sight.
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Inhabitants with a per capita income above 200 US $/day consume most resources
Inhabitants with a per capita income below 1 US $ a day (total: 3.5 billion) suffer from
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
below 1 US $ a day (total: 3.5 billion) suffer from energy and resource poverty. It will not change as long as purchasing power decides access
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Where do we go toWhere do we go to??For instance:For instance:
the Climate Challenge the Climate Challenge
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
the Climate Challenge the Climate Challenge
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Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
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Harbour Harbour citiescities will will bebe atat riskrisk
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
Concepcion, Chile
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Rice paddies and gardens Rice paddies and gardens are flooded from typhoons…are flooded from typhoons…
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
Luzon 2009
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… or from high river water… or from high river water
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
Mekong Delta, Vietnam 2011
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Low Low freshwaterfreshwater supplysupply forforhouseholdshouseholds, , industryindustry and and cattlecattle
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
Agra, India
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For instance:For instance:Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services
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Ecosystem Ecosystem servicesservices::ForestForest biodiversitybiodiversity
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
safeguardssafeguardsfreshwaterfreshwater supplysupply
Doi Inthanon, Thailand
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Ecosystem services: Coastalprotectionby
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
bymangoveforests(Red river delta, Vietnam)
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Cultural ecosystemservices:
Symbols, values and identity
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
identity
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What could we do?What could we do?The Green Economy PolicyThe Green Economy Policy
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
The Green Economy PolicyThe Green Economy Policy
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Is this the solution?Is this the solution?
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
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Promises:
Resourceefficiency meansless demand, lesssupply conflicts,
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
supply conflicts, similar services, less waste and pollution, and often more jobs
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ReducingReducing thethe climate climate intensityintensityof of productsproducts. . CircularCircular economyeconomythroughthrough recyclingrecycling??
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
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250%
300%
Reducing production impacts: increasingmaterial productivity 1980-2005
Industrial countries Developing countries
MP=$ GDP / t DMC
3175
141
MP=$ GDP / t DMC250%
300%
MP=$ GDP / t DMC
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
Source: M. Fischer-Kowalski, socialecology, Vienna
50%
100%
150%
200%
EU 15 USA Japan
3175
1486
1258
50%
100%
150%
200%
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
Brazil China India
271
109
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Innovative environmental Innovative environmental
technologies technologies combining combining
emission reduction and emission reduction and
recycling are needed recycling are needed
but not really new but not really new
and insufficient.and insufficient.
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
E.g.: Metal dust recovery system, enforced by regional kings „to avoid damage to neighbouring fields and grazing grounds”.
Source: Agricola, G. (1556). De re metallica
and insufficient.and insufficient.
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HoweverHowever• We are on an emission trajectory towards 4 to 6°C
global warming, and no political will to
change that is detectable on a global scale.
• Technical improvements may be able to half
resource consumption per unit of GDP.
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
resource consumption per unit of GDP.
• With a growth rate of 3%, this gain - even if fully
realised - is overcompensated by 2040 (and
with lower growth rates, current public debt
reductions plans run into additional
problems).
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Resource efficiency is a necessary, but Resource efficiency is a necessary, but not a sufficient policy strategynot a sufficient policy strategy
What we need is absolute decoupling of economic development and resource consumption, not a relative one with increasing emissions and waste generation.
�Rebound effect: The money saved through efficiency (win-win solutions) is spent, consuming resources
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
(win-win solutions) is spent, consuming resources and compensating (part of) the efficiency gains.
�Jevons‘ Paradox: Efficiency decreases the relative cost of a resource, generating incentives to use more of it, and it stimulates growth and thus resource use.
∑ Conclusion: Efficiency without skimming off (part of) the gains will lead to perverseoutcomes.
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A Green Economy is less than A Green Economy is less than Sustainable DevelopmentSustainable Development
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
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reaching the MDGs (a frequent illusion),
but it offers opportunities to overcome the
failures of past market radicalism (too much
was dismantled trusting self-regulation)
A regulation example: feed-in tariffs
A Green Economy is not per seA Green Economy is not per se
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
A regulation example: feed-in tariffs
- strengthen local participation;
- allow for community & coop - ownership;
- has mobilised billions of private capital for
restoring and protecting
the public goods
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What should we do?What should we do?Sustainability PolicySustainability Policy
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
Sustainability PolicySustainability Policy
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““Sustainable Sustainable development is development is development development that that meets the needs of the meets the needs of the present without present without compromising the compromising the ability of future ability of future generations to meet generations to meet
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
generations to meet generations to meet their own needs. Itheir own needs. It t contains within it two contains within it two key conceptskey concepts two key two key concepts: …concepts: …
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(definition cont.)1. The concept of “needs”,
in particular the essential
needs of the world’s poor, to
which overriding priority
should be given, and
2. The idea of limitations
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
2. The idea of limitations
imposed by the state of
technology and social
organisation on the
environment’s ability to meet
present and future needs.”(WCED 1987, (WCED 1987, p.43p.43))
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According to thisdefinition, at Rio+20
Sustainability was not on the agenda
Rio `92: Sustainable
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
Sustainable Development
Joburg `02: Sustainable Growth
Rio `12:Sustained Growth
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A really long way to goA really long way to go• from low tech low resource societies • via low tech high consumption and high tech
high resources • to high tech low resource societies
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
Local resources for local use support income & jobs
but not world market & high tech production.
Re-domesticate he money, keep it local not national
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“Before we “Before we come to a come to a hasty hasty decision, decision, in in particular particular
Recognise the urgency !Recognise the urgency !
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
particular particular the growth the growth impact of impact of such such policies policies has to be has to be assessed.” assessed.”
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Sustainable Sustainable developmentdevelopmentaffectsaffects all all systemssystems levelslevels
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
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ItIt requiresrequires a a newnew developmentdevelopment
model model ((asas thethe European/US model European/US model hashas failedfailed))
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
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Sustainability Sustainability requiresrequiresconvergentconvergent developmentdevelopment
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
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… have achieved affluence, causing all the
environmental problems mentioned.
… are now in the transition from an
15% of the world population…15% of the world population…
60% of the world population…60% of the world population…
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
… are now in the transition from an
agricultural to an industrial sciety.
CatchingCatching upup isis nono solutionsolution, but an , but an illusionillusion. .
OurOur consumptionconsumption patternspatternscannotcannot bebe generalisedgeneralised
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… to certain activities, in order to allow
replenishing of natural resources or
naturalcapital, justice and social equality.
The alternative is collapse (e.g. fisheries),
A really A really Green Economy Green Economy requires limitations ... requires limitations ...
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
The alternative is collapse (e.g. fisheries),
and with it a complete loss of jobs.
ToTo bebe reallyreally inclusiveinclusive,,it needs to include redistribution of wealth,
not only of income, reduce polarisation
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… involves the emergence not only of a new
economy, but also of a new society. We
should shape it consciously,
with justice a key orientation: with limits to
growth, (re-)distribution becomes central.
A A Great Transition…Great Transition…
5 P’s on/off the agenda5 P’s on/off the agenda
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
Peace – what happened to the peace dividend?
Power – where has empowerment gone (Ag.21)?
Planet – Resource efficiency is not enough
People – social cohesion is crumbling
Prospertity – for all, all profit for the few?
5 P’s on/off the agenda5 P’s on/off the agenda
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ThankThank youyouforfor youryour
attentionattention
Dr. Joachim H. Spangenberg, Biodiversity and SPAC, Belgrade 9.10. 07
attentionattentionForFor thethe presentationpresentationand and otherother paperspapers seesee
http://seri.academia.edu/JoachimHSpangenberghttp://seri.academia.edu/JoachimHSpangenberg