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MODULE DELIVERED BY WGEO EXECUTIVE TRAINING COURSE ON SCALING UP TRANSITION TO A GREEN ECONOMY ON A PATH TOWARDS IMPLEMENTING THE UNITED NATIONS 2030 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT AGENDA FOSTERING GREEN INNOVATION MODULE “FI” 25-26 July 2019 Fortaleza, Brazil

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Page 1: MODULE DELIVERED BY WGEO EXECUTIVE TRAINING …americas.rmcge.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/...lakes, other shallow sources (up to 15 m depth) •Submersible pumps (both AC & DC)

MODULE DELIVERED BY WGEO EXECUTIVE TRAINING COURSE

ON SCALING UP TRANSITION TO

A GREEN ECONOMY ON A PATH TOWARDS IMPLEMENTING THE UNITED NATIONS

2030 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT AGENDA

FOSTERING GREEN INNOVATION MODULE “FI”

25-26 July 2019

Fortaleza, Brazil

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Ensure access to affordable, reliable,

sustainable and modern energy for all

Take urgent action to

combat climate change

GOAL 13

GOAL 7 Paris Declaration: Launched at

COP 21 as a India’s proposal

for a common platform for

cooperation among solar rich

countries lying fully or partially

between the Tropics of Cancer

and Capricorn.

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G O A L S

• L o w e r i n g c o s t o f f i n a n c i n g w h i l e s c a l i n g - u p v o l u m e s o f f i n a n c i n g

• B r i n g i n g r e l i a b l e a n d

a f f o r d a b l e s o l a r e n e r g y t o a l l

m o r e t h a n U S D 1 0 0 0 • M o b i l i z e

b i l l i o n o f i n v e s t m e n t s b y 2 0 3 0

G o v e r n a n c e

VISION & MISSION

• Assembly of the ISA; President-India;

Co-President-France

• Eight Committees of the ISA:

Standing Committee

Programmes; General and Legal;

and Finance Committee

Four Regional Committee- Asia and Pacific;

Latin America and the Caribbean; Africa;

and Europe and others

• 6 Taskforces and 2 Working Groups

• Corporate Partners

To provide a global platform for cooperation among solar resource rich to help achieve the common goals

of increasing the use of solar energy in a safe, convenient, affordable, equitable and sustainable manner.

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OUR PRESENCE

Population without access

to electricity

75 Signatory Countries

54 Countries Ratified

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• Solar Information Hub ; Aggregating solar projects in a central database for best practice

sharing among Member countries

• Solar Academy: A full-fledged Learning Management System allowing ISA and its

partners to create and host courses on solar technology

• ISA Communication Tools : Tools and methodologies to facilitate communication among

Member countries

• Solar Directory: An self-registration directory for the Solar Industry, NGOs, Research

Centers and Financing institutions

5

An online platform dedicated to the dissemination of

information, best-practices and knowledge on Solar Energy:

- To be completed by June 2019

- Launch in October 2019

- Supported by the European Union

INFOPEDIA

• Country counters : A dedicated space on the Online Platform for each Member Country

to present the most complete solar energy profile

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The goals of STAR-C include the following:

- To build a network of training / R&D /

standardization / Entrepreneurship STAR-

centers working on solar energy

- To develop and disseminate training programs

(online and in-personne) for all solar energy

stakeholders (technicians, master trainers,

project developers, engineers, policy makers,

etc), via STAR-Centers & Regional Solar

Academies (UNIDO centers for EE & RE)

- To provide testing and technical certification

capabilities to key STAR-centers

STAR-C

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STAR-C network

• 65 STAR-Cente rs (19

designated by countries)

• Support of industry

Foundations (Schneider

Electric Foundation, Tata

Trust, Philips Foundation, etc.)

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Table of contents

1. Why solar energy ?

2. Solar energy : For what purposes ?

3. How to start solar energy implementation ?

4. Organisational innovation

5. Financing

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WHY solar energy ?

1. Setting the context of solar energy

Potential

Costs

Markets

Sustainability

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A maximum ratio of 3 between « sun-rich » countries and « no-sun countries »

Solar energy is available everywhere

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900

1 050

1 125

1 275

1 425

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 500

1 700

1 900

[kWh/kWc]* [kWh/m²]

C

Moyenne de l’ensoleillement annuel en France (orientation et inclinaison optimum) en kWh/m² par an

A

B

D

E

A

B

C

D

E

Production

750

Irradiation

The energy output is proportional to the irradiation

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12

A technology with many potential materials and designs, all under progress

Four decades of gradual efficiency improvement, with still new candidates on the horizon :

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From the market side, silicon technologies are dominating all others

PV module production by technology

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The silicon technology value chain

From silicon to modules and systems

Silica Purified Silicon Ingot Wafer Cell Module

Various processes Cast or Cz Sawing

Systems

Silica is the second abundant material on earth, (28%) after oxygen (47%).

Around 900 000 tons of silicon are used by industry.

Mounting, wiring Surface treatment Lamination

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Costs of PV modules and PV electricity : an impressive decreasing trend

The PV module learning curve

The LCOE is now the cheapest one :

• 2c/kWh in sun-rich countries (Chile, UAE, etc.)

• Up to 5c/kWh in other countries (Germany)

Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE)

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The cheapest source of electricity in many

countries

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The cheapest source among renewables

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Current records : long-term contract prices

recently announced

Germany

43

€/MWh

UAE

22 €/MWh

India

31 €/MWh

Saudi Arabia

21 €/MWh

USA

21 €/MWh

Mexico

18

€/MWh

Chile

19 €/MWh

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System cost structure

On average, on-grid system cost is double the module cost

The system cost depends on :

• The type of system :

• On / off-grid,

• with ou without storage, etc.

• The size

• The location

• The type of integration

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LCOE Cost Structure

The importance of the cost of capital

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Sustainability : low carbon footprint and

efficient use of common materials

CO2 content :

• still in progress due to decreasing consumption of materials

• Already among the lowest power sources

Warranty periods : 25 to 35 years on most technologies

Lifetime : above

Recycleability : plants available

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Worldwide market

The largest growth among renewable, with an annual market of 100 GW

On the way to 1 TW installed capacity within 3 to 4 years

A potential of 30 to 60 TW

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808 1 092 1 438 1 965 3 050 4 547 6 092 8 503 14 726 22 606 39 603 70 973 100 298 135 758 172 994

221 067

292 440

386 107

480 356

419 246 202 388 388 388 412 479 535

765

1 269

1 710

2 573

3 845

4 502

4 753

4 853

4 956

5 469

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Inst

alled C

apaci

ty (in

MW

)

Solar PV Concentrated Solar Ppwer (CSP)

(Ref.: I0RENA)

Solar Growth Trajectory

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Achievement so far

2% of the worldwide

electricity mix in 2017

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This growth will carry on

According to the IEA, the strongest growth to come among renewables

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

140

2017 2020 2023

GW PV

2017 2020 2023 2023

Wind Hydropower

2017 2020 2023

Other renewables

Main case

forecast

2017 2020

Accelerated case forecast

additional growth Source: Renewables 2018

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First take aways

1. The cheapest form of electricity :

2. Progress will carry on : We are only at the dawn of the age of solar energy

• Available everywhere

• Decentralised

• Decarbonised & Sustainable

• Manageable using digital economy

• Capital intensive

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Solar Energy : for what purposes ?

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May 2016

5

Sola

r Applica

tions

1. Utility Scale Solar PV

2. Distribution level Grid Connected

3. Decentralized Applications

4. Heat Applications

• Solar Rooftop • Canal top solar

• Village electrification

• Solar Lighting • Solar pumps

• Solar water heaters • Solar cookers

• Process heat applications

• Solar Farms • Large solar projects • Floating solar

Overview of Solar Applications

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May 2016

“I have saved money with my solar lamps, I no longer buy kerosen, paraffin or dry cell batteries. I use the money for my children."

Access to energy : changing lives

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For Irrigation and Drinking Water applications

• Major components: PV module array of capacity ranging from 200 Wp to about 10 kWp, a DC/AC surface mounted/floating motor pump set/submersible pump set, electronics and an ‘on-off’ switch.

• Surface pumps (both AC & DC) are used with canals, open wells,

lakes, other shallow sources (up to 15 m depth)

• Submersible pumps (both AC & DC) with number of stages can be used to lift the water from the ground, from the depths up to 150 meters or more.

20

10

0

30

40

50

60

0 10 20 30 50 60 70 80

Head in

Mete

rs

40

Flow Litres per

minute

Deep Well

Pump Head

v/s Flow

Changing lives : Solar Pumps

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ss ess

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Specifications:

• Solar Panels: 4 – 8 kWp

• Inverter Rating: 6 – 12 kVA Hybrid

• Battery: Tubular gel, 3 – 4 hr at 60% Load

• Standard 20’ marine container, 6 m x 2.45 m

• Free Area= 8 sq. m.

• Walls/Roof: Insulated with PUF

Uses:

Doctor’s clinic • Health screening by para

medics • Cold storage of milk, vegetables and fish before

collection • Vaccination centre • Centre for disaster

management • Water purification systems

Containerized Solar Solution

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Solar Energy C

orporation of India

1 MW Canal Top SPV Power Project in

Karnataka

1, 10 MW Canal Top SPV Power Project in

Gujarat

Canal Top and Canal Bank Solar Power Projects

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• Rooftop PV is an arrangement to utilize the vacant roof space to generate electricity.

• The electricity generated can be utilized for self-consumption and/or grid feeding.

• Different types of inverters/PCUs are used for this purpose viz. Off-grid, Grid-tied and Hybrid.

PV Solar Array

Transmission

Network

Distribution

Network

Distribution

Transformer

Consumer

Meter Inverter (PCU)

Self

Consumption/

Grid Feed

Required Policy Framework

CONNECTIVITY NORMS

METERING POLICY

SOLAR TARIFF POLICY

Required Policy Framework

CONNECTIVITY NORMS

METERING POLICY

SOLAR TARIFF POLICY

Rooftop PV Arrangement

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400 kWp Plant : Chinnasawamy Stadium, Bangaluru

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648 MW Solar PV Power Plant in

Tamil Nadu, India

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Floating Solar PV

1 1 2 3 5 10 65

132

585

1097

1 2 2 5 55

87 453 512

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Capacit

y (M

W)

Cumulative Installed Capacity Yearly Installed Capacity

World’s largest 150 MW plant in China

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Solar energy and seawater

A desalination unit, without battery can produce few m3 up to hundred of 100m3 per day, or more when powered by hybrid energy sources.

Gaza Province, Mozambique : 30 m3 / day

Cape Province, South Africa : 100m3 per day

Abu Dhabi, UAE : 40m3 / day

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Synergetic approach : solar energy and agriculture

• No loss of agricultural land

• Greenhouses bring energy and food autonomy

Species still to be adapted

Akuo Energy

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Synergetic approach : solar energy and agriculture

Hail protection of orchards :

• Vineyards

• Apple trees

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Solar Energy and aquaculture

No additional land required for fish farming

Example in the Indian Ocean

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In slightly hilly areas, two reservoir tanks help in regulating fluctuating PV power.

s e

Power and water management

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Lanes in parking lots

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PV charging station, with storage and grid connection

1 m² supplies « 1 000 km / year* » One parking place allows 15 000 km / year*

Corsica Sole / Driveco

* : average in

France

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Transport applications

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Mobility services in

emerging countries

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ess

34km / sunny day

in Munich

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Within airports

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Future applications

Distributed PV share will gradually

increase

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Second take aways

1. An increasing variety of applications :

2. Modular and easily installed, with limited externalities.

3. All sectors are concerned : grid, buildings, transportation, industry, agriculture

Multifunctionality and integration are important key words towards local revenues optimisation and increased resilience

• Off-grid, for improving living conditions, and now for productive uses

• On-grid : from small-scale domestic use to large-scale power plants

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3. Policy Pathways

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How to act ?

How to start ?

How to speed up existing dissemination ?

How to optimise the benefits to the local economy ?

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Usual obstacles to the scaling up of solar energy

The lack of awareness, lack of local know-how, lack of finance, lack of quality project and equipment are common

Financing

• Risk mitigation

• Business models Lack of

awareness, scepticism,

lobbies

Local know-how

•Human resources

• Project management

•Quality

Local policy framework

• Energy policy

• Regulations

• Planning

• Information dissemination

Availability of equipment

R&D,

innovation, tech transfer

Perception of obstacles may be different, according to the various stakeholders

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Defining and disseminating targets

1. First step is a review of the needs

2. Second step is to define ambitious goals at the government / regional levels :

• Planification and priorities, in terms of share of renewables within the energy mix

• Short-, medium- & long-term objectives :

• by applications and technologies : off-grid rural electrification (residential kits, minigrids PV-genset), grid-connected applications

• among regions, cities, communities

3. Third step is to share this information among all ministries : energy, finance, economy, agriculture, health, education, industry, transportation, buildings, for them to take actions :

• Enabling environment, regulatory framework, financial incentives, etc.

• Demonstration projects, programmes, etc.

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Many studies available now regarding 100% RE scenarios

58

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Defining pathways : many policy options

(Ref.: IRENA)

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Policy Prescription for Promoting Solar

Solar power is procured at feed-in tariff. Feed-in tariffs

Mandatory RPO targets to create demand. Provision of REC for resource poor entities for compliance.

RPO and REC

Solar Power developers get a fixed sum per unit energy generated in addition to tariff. GBI

Accelerated Depreciation, Tax holidays, etc. Tax Benefits

Concessional duty on import of solar power equipment

Concessional Import duties

Capital grants from the govt. to make solar projects viable

Subsidies and VGF

Exemption from Open Access charges, Wheeling & Banking charges, UI charges etc.

Waiver on evacuation

charges

Solar plant is provided must-run status and exempted from the merit order dispatch.

Assured offtake

+ Net metering !

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Competitive bidding or reverse auctions : a powerful tool

• The least cost option

$30-45/MWh PV (India, Mexico, UAE,

Argentina)

$35-50/MWh onshore wind (India, Morocco,

Egypt, Turkey, Chili)

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Evolution of Solar Tariff: Indian Example

12.16

8.37 8.77 8.73

6.82

7.07

8.22

7.14

8.67

5.84

8.45

7.34

6.76 6.73

8.36 7.74

8.01 8.41

9.18

6.95

5.41

7.52 7.17 7.17

5.82 5.7

8.04

5.65

5.77

4.63

4.63

4.35

4.78

5

4.79 5.38

4.67

5.02

4.35

3.31

3.15

2.62

2.44

2

0

4

6

8

10

12

14

Tariffs (INR/kWh)

2016-17 2015-16 2014-15 2013-14 2010-12 2012-13 2017-18

INR 12.16 = US$ 0.187

INR 2.44 = US$ 0.0375

1 US$ = INR 65.0

INR 12.16 = US$ 0.174

INR 2.44 = US$ 0.035

1 US$ = INR 69.67

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Competitive bidding, or reverse auctions : a powerful tool

• The least cost option

• With specific criteria, to drive the process according to priorities and policies :

Criteria Objectives Examples

High efficiency modules Support innovation and industry Top-runner

programme in China

PV + Wind, PV + storage, specific

applications : Buildings, carports, etc.

Response to needs and priorities,

support innovation

Denmark, Germany,

France

Use of hazardous substances Environmental, health

CO2 content Climate France

Aesthetics Architecture France

Use of specific lands (damaged) Territorial planning France

Citizen participation into the investment Social acceptance France

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Policy Example: Indian National Solar Mission

Selection of projects through Competitive Bidding

Solar Park scheme by Government of India

Promotion of off-take of solar power

8% of electricity consumption excluding hydro power, mandated from solar energy by March 2022.

(Solar RPO)

Renewable Generation Obligation (RGO): New coal/lignite based thermal plants after specified date to

also establish/ procure/ purchase renewable capacity

Policy on the concept of “Polluter should pay”; levied cess on each tonne of coal purchased by generating

companies to create National Clean Energy Fund .

Regulatory Provisions

Exemption from the requirement of environmental clearance

Must-run status in merit order dispatch of power

Exemption for wheeling charges on Central Transmission Utility

Payment security mechanism

Development of Standard Bidding Guidelines

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Solar Parks: Concept and Approach

Solar Parks aim to achieve solar targets through

providing well characterized and properly infra-structured land provided with transmission and evacuation facilities, and

thereby minimizing the risk as well as the permitting process.

SOLAR PARKS are established jointly by Central and State governments.

Land area by the State Governments and support to setting up infrastructure by the Central Government (up to 30% of the project cost subject to INR 20 lakhs/MW).

Solar Park may hold several solar power plants each developed by separate or the same groups/promoters.

Filling up of Parks through solar projects under Government’s schemes; generated power could be procured by any of the States. Host State to buy at least 20% of the capacity of solar park.

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Energy access : specific business models

Upfront investment or third-party financing and then « Pay as you go » or « Pay as you grow » services :

• Lighting,

• Phone charging

• Cooling,

• Watering,

• Etc.

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Third take-aways

1. A large variety of policy options :

2. Whatever the selected option, guidelines are a must. The devil is into the details

3. The beginning of : • institutional and legal reforms

• major geopolitical changes

• On-grid applications : No standard recipe. Visibility is a must to reassure investors, flexibility also to follow the roll-out

• Off-grid applications : public / private initiatives to align

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4. Enabling activities

Capacity building

Project management

Quality assurance

Technology transfer

Socio-economic impacts

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Capacity building

Of all stakeholders, in a coherent manner, in order to increase :

• The number of programmes and projects,

• The local content,

• The overall quality, therefore the end-user satisfaction

Heads of states, gvt, ministries

Decision- makers, regulators

Businesses, corporates

Project managers

Suppliers, developers, installers

Trainers

Field technicians

Users

Empowering all

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Capacity building

The ISA’ STAR C programme is designed to address all of these activities

Bundling these activities on a regional level could speed up the learning process :

• Exchange of practices

• Reuse of existing training material

Strengthening local infrastructures

Training

(face to face &

e-learning)

Benchmarkin

g, testing

Customisatio

n, innovation

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Project management

Long-term objectives at the country level are necessary :

• To help in the alignment of all stakeholders within implementation programmes

• To make each project implementation easier

The project management should cover all the steps from the need survey to the long-term operation of the various systems, including recycleability and sustainability aspects

The goal of the procurement phase may be to require :

• The provision of equipment and systems,

• A service-oriented approach over a long period to ensure customer satisfaction

Initiation : need survey

Design, planning

Procurement

, installation Commissioni

ng Operation & maintenance

Evaluation Dismantling, refurbishme nt, recycling

Guidelines,

Standardized

tendering

documents

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Quality assurance

Quality is of utmost importance in order to avoid user dissatisfaction, poor image and increased overall costs (Buy « cheap stuff », buy twice).

It should be ensured at all stages of project implementation, with skilled project managers, acting with well-trained stakeholders :

Initiation : need survey

Design, planning

Procurement, installation

Commissioning Operation & maintenance

Evaluation Dismantling,

refurbishment, recycling

Local

consultants

Local engineers, to

address local requirements

Local technicians for

reactive solutions

Well-informed

end-users

Quality

standards Test & Control

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Technology transfer, local content

Tax policy has to be coherent.

Specific criteria and compliance to some standards in calls for tenders may help to address specific issues :

• Need high efficiency modules

• Non use of toxic materials, minimisation of the CO2 content, recycling, etc.

• Durability under specific climate conditions

Local content requirements may also be added :

• Training / employment of workforce for local assembly, installation, operation & maintenance, repair, etc.

• Use of local materials (foundations, supporting structures, wiring, etc.)

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Socio-economic impacts, in general

1.For all end-users, reduction of the electricity cost, for an improved purchase power

2. At the country level :

• Reduction of the balance of payment deficit, when fossil fuels are imported

• Job creation :

• Cell and module manufacturing (when available)

• Related to local content activities : supporting structures, wiring, module customisation, etc.

• Installation and maintenance

• On the long-term, access to the cheapest power supply to energy-intensive industries

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Socio-economic impacts: energy access

Changing lives by bringing light, water, telecommunications, and productive uses

Therefore reducing rural-urban migration and negative impacts of growing slum areas

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Job development

The Solar PV industry sector is currently the largest employer among renewables, especially in China and India.

almost 3.4 million jobs

up 9% from 2016 to 2017

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Which talents, for which positions ?

Installer

Insurance Technician Teacher / researcher Bank, financing

Design, sizing Construction O&M

Job development

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Our fourth take-aways

A holistic approach is required

Capacity building of all stakeholders is a must to ensure :

• The optimisation of the added value to the country

• Quality of the systems and services

• Job creation

It has to be made in a gradual and coherent manner

Avoid a « stop & go » approach and aim at long-term job creation

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5. Financing

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Anatomy of an RE tariff: risk perceptions determine costs of finance

81|

SOURCE: CEEW (2017)

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Risks identified by the market

• Offtake Risk (Delays or defaults in payments)

• Curtailment risk

• Foreign exchange risk

• Land acquisition and construction risk

• Policy uncertainty and change in law risk

82| Source: Authors

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Renewables are more capital intensive than other energy sources

83| Source: IEA; CEEW

• The upfront cost of solar projects is significantly higher than of thermal and gas

projects, even as per unit of electricity solar is now competitive with other sources of

power in most economies

• The large upfront capital requirements makes the total costs more vulnerable to risks

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The role of solar parks in addressing risks and attracting capital

45%

34%

21%

Share of projects at solar parks (2014-2017)

International IPPs Indian IPPs Indian State-owned Power Producers

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

2014 2015 2016 2017

Solar investments by international IPPs

Share in solar park projects Share in non-solar park projects

• Over half of solar PV projects sanctioned in India in 2017 were based on solar parks

• Share of solar parks in overall projects sanctioned in India rose from 38% in 2015 to

54% in 2017

84| Source: CEEW and IEA, Clean Energy Investment Trends Report, June 2018

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Ambitious targets and support policies have enabled bigger project sizes

-

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2014 2015 2016 2017

Comparison of solar park and non-solar park project size

Average non-solar park project size Average solar park project size

-

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

2014 2015 2016 2017

Average solar and wind project sizes

Average solar project size Average wind project size

• The tendering of larger capacities and an overall supportive policy framework has

helped drive an increase in average project size for both solar and wind energy

• Challenges in acquiring contiguous land with high solar/wind potential could limit

future growth in project sizes

85| Source: CEEW and IEA, Clean Energy Investment Trends Report, June 2018

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86|

Creditworthiness of offtakers strongly impacts investment

As per Ministry of Power’s Fifth Annual Integrated Rating for State DISCOMs, 2017

• Preference for creditworthy central offtakers for solar and wind projects

• Creditworthy state DISCOMS account for the majority of state offtakers

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2014 2015 2017

Share of solar projects by offtakers

Centre Centre & State

2016

State Third-Party

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2014 2015 2016 2017

Share of wind projects by offtakers

Cente State Third-Party

48%

13%

27%

Share of sanctioned projects with state distribution companies by utility grade

12%

A/A+ B+ B C/C+

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International Solar Alliance: A new kind of energy partnership

Recognizing that sustainable development, universal energy access, and energy security are critical to the

shared prosperity and future of our planet, and acknowledging that clean and renewable energy needs to be

made affordable for all, we do hereby declare our intention to support India’s proposal to launch an

international solar alliance as a common platform for cooperation among solar resource rich countries lying

fully or practically between the Tropics of Cancer and Capricorn.

87|

SOURCE: PTI; www.isolaraliiance.org

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Designing a silver bullet…

88| Source: CRMM Feasibility Study (2017)

Common Risk Mitigation Mechanism (CRMM)

• For mitigating non-project specific risks (currency, offtaker, and political risk)

www.opensolarcontracts.org

Now available for review :

• Power purchase agreement

• Implementation agreement

• O&M agreement

• Supply agreement

• Installation agreement

• Finance term sheet

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Solar energy & the green economy : Conclusions

Some take-aways regarding solar energy :

1. A major technology to address climate emergency by speeding up the transition off fossil fuels

2.Four decades of gradual and impressive improvement, allowing energy access or reaching grid parity everywhere. However solar energy is only at the beginning of a peaceful revolution, in which solar energy will be key to implement a green economy in most countries

3.A very hopeful future : once we know, once we realise, then we change, then we act.

We need finance, speed, scale and therefore skills for the required large-scale implementation, and that’s what ISA is dedicated to.

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