Modern Trends in Modern Trends in Information TechnologyInformation TechnologyDr. Lloyd Brooks, ProfessorDr. Lloyd Brooks, ProfessorManagement Information SystemsManagement Information SystemsThe University of MemphisThe University of Memphis

Information and Economic Growth ConferenceInformation and Economic Growth ConferenceMoscow, RussiaMoscow, RussiaNovember 2006November 2006

Trends Shaping the FutureTrends Shaping the Future

World’s Population Doubles in 40 YearsWorld’s Population Doubles in 40 Years Developed Countries Population Living LongerDeveloped Countries Population Living Longer Undeveloped Countries Faster Birth RateUndeveloped Countries Faster Birth Rate Global Economy More IntegratedGlobal Economy More Integrated Economy and Society Dominated by Technology Economy and Society Dominated by Technology

ApplicationsApplications Pace of Technology Development Increasing at Pace of Technology Development Increasing at

a Faster Ratea Faster Rate Source: World Future SocietySource: World Future Society

Largest Population Growth in Largest Population Growth in Undeveloped CountriesUndeveloped Countries

Palestinian Territory – 217%Palestinian Territory – 217% Niger – 205%Niger – 205% Yemen – 168%Yemen – 168% Angola – 162%Angola – 162% Republic of the Congo – 161%Republic of the Congo – 161% Uganda – 133%Uganda – 133%

Developed and Industrialized Countries to See Developed and Industrialized Countries to See Declines in Population Due to Low Fertility RatesDeclines in Population Due to Low Fertility Rates

Source: World Future SocietySource: World Future Society

Search Engine TrendSearch Engine Trend

Google Number 1 – Started in 1998Google Number 1 – Started in 1998 Yahoo/AOL Searches Routed to GoogleYahoo/AOL Searches Routed to Google 88% of All Searches Use Google88% of All Searches Use Google 200 Million Searches Per Day200 Million Searches Per Day 6 Billion Pages Stored on the Web6 Billion Pages Stored on the Web Microsoft Announced a Challenge to Microsoft Announced a Challenge to

Google to be Initiated in 2007Google to be Initiated in 2007

Speed and Power GrowthSpeed and Power Growth

Processing SpeedProcessing Speed 2 times every 18 months2 times every 18 months

Storage SpaceStorage Space 2 times ever 9 months2 times ever 9 months

Fiber OpticsFiber Optics 2 times every 6 months2 times every 6 months

Internet TrafficInternet Traffic 2 times every 12 months2 times every 12 months

Source: U. S. News and World Report

Wireless Phones to IncreaseWireless Phones to Increase

125 million cell phone subscribers in India, 125 million cell phone subscribers in India, or three times the number of landlines in or three times the number of landlines in the country. By 2010, half of the nation's the country. By 2010, half of the nation's 1.1 billion people will be connected by cell 1.1 billion people will be connected by cell phone. (phone. (The Washington Post The Washington Post NewspaperNewspaperOctober 2006October 2006) )

Privacy – A Thing of the PastPrivacy – A Thing of the Past

Sensor networks, robots and biological Sensor networks, robots and biological chips would leave network management, chips would leave network management, health care and many health care and many household tasks to household tasks to machines. Every machines. Every moment of yourmoment of your life would be life would be preserved on video. preserved on video.

Computers More PrevalentComputers More Prevalent

Today's PDAs (personal digital assistants) Today's PDAs (personal digital assistants) make early supercomputers look like stone make early supercomputers look like stone knives and bear skins. knives and bear skins. Fifteen years ago, Fifteen years ago, e-mail was not e-mail was not indispensable.indispensable.

Internet StatisticsInternet Statistics $2.6 Billion to Clean Up Code Red Virus$2.6 Billion to Clean Up Code Red Virus 7.9 Million Personal Visits From Work Per 7.9 Million Personal Visits From Work Per

MonthMonth Online Gaming Growing to $14 Billion by Online Gaming Growing to $14 Billion by

20082008 60.7 % of Workers Use Web for Personal 60.7 % of Workers Use Web for Personal

UseUse 32 % Bought a Holiday Gift Online32 % Bought a Holiday Gift Online

Based on USA StatisticsBased on USA Statistics

Internet StatisticsInternet Statistics

““Sex” is the Number 1 Search TermSex” is the Number 1 Search Term Workers Spend 21 Hours at Work and 9.5 Workers Spend 21 Hours at Work and 9.5

Hours at Work on Internet Each WeekHours at Work on Internet Each Week 32.6 % of Workers Have No Objective 32.6 % of Workers Have No Objective

While Surfing the InternetWhile Surfing the Internet 31 % of Employers Restrict Internet Use31 % of Employers Restrict Internet Use 82 % of Businesses Believe Internet Use 82 % of Businesses Believe Internet Use

Should Be Monitored (Should Be Monitored (Business Week Business Week Magazine 2006Magazine 2006))

IT TrendsIT Trends

Security technologies, including biometrics Security technologies, including biometrics ““Intelligent" machines and robots that Intelligent" machines and robots that

respond to human needs and patternsrespond to human needs and patterns

Source: Harvard Business School Source: Harvard Business School

Cyberposium Cyberposium

Source: [http://www.ict.tuwien.ac.at/skripten/Penzhorn] article by Dr. W. Z. Penzhorn

Biometrics Market Share

Global Positioning SystemsGlobal Positioning Systems

Direct Auto DrivingDirect Auto Driving Integrated into Cell PhoneIntegrated into Cell Phone

Keep Up With ChildrenKeep Up With Children Keep Up With SpouseKeep Up With Spouse

Disney PhoneDisney Phoneis Available Now is Available Now

Keyboard of the FutureKeyboard of the Future Half the size of your average deck of cardsHalf the size of your average deck of cards Sits wirelessly on any flat surfaceSits wirelessly on any flat surface Projects a red standard QUERTY-layout keyboard on Projects a red standard QUERTY-layout keyboard on

any flat opaque surface. Watches” your fingers hit the any flat opaque surface. Watches” your fingers hit the key locations it has projected, and then sends the key locations it has projected, and then sends the keystrokes through to your PDA or PC keystrokes through to your PDA or PC

Available Now

Hands-Free Remote ControlHands-Free Remote Control

“Increase Volume”

“Change to Channel 3”

“Record”

Remembers Favorite ChannelsRemembers 54 Different Voice Commands Recognizes 4 Voices

Bill Gates Introduces the Tablet PCBill Gates Introduces the Tablet PC

May change the way that notes are taken

Future Movie WatchingFuture Movie Watching

Connects (wireless) to any video source – PC, DVD, TV and so forth

Uses two AA batteries and sells for $499 – Available Now

Energy ManagementEnergy Management

Check HVAC system remotelyCheck HVAC system remotely Wireless plumbing leak remote detectionWireless plumbing leak remote detection PDA to remotely check home temperaturePDA to remotely check home temperature PDA to review what is taking place in the PDA to review what is taking place in the

home – spying on the nanny or at-home home – spying on the nanny or at-home wifewife Source: International Data CorporationSource: International Data Corporation

Smart AppliancesSmart Appliances

Microwave with 400 recipesMicrowave with 400 recipes Refrigerator that recognizes sour milkRefrigerator that recognizes sour milk Alarm clock communicates with coffee makerAlarm clock communicates with coffee maker

Source: MicrosoftSource: Microsoft Network Network

Moore’s LawMoore’s Law

In 1965, when Intel was developing the In 1965, when Intel was developing the first microprocessor, company cofounder first microprocessor, company cofounder Gordon Moore predicted that the number Gordon Moore predicted that the number of transistors on a microprocessor would of transistors on a microprocessor would double approximately every 18 monthsdouble approximately every 18 months. . To date, Moore's law has proven To date, Moore's law has proven remarkably accurate. In 2003, Moore remarkably accurate. In 2003, Moore predicted that his law will last until at least predicted that his law will last until at least 2013. Speed to exceed 98 GHz by 2013.2013. Speed to exceed 98 GHz by 2013.

IT TrendsIT Trends

USA Government may add taxes on USA Government may add taxes on Internet trade. Current moratorium to Internet trade. Current moratorium to expire. Look for possible E-Tax system by expire. Look for possible E-Tax system by 2008.2008.

Phones 2013Phones 2013

Phones will be low-powered, lightweight, ear-Phones will be low-powered, lightweight, ear-mounted, and equipped with one follow-you mounted, and equipped with one follow-you phone number. It will connect to the Net via phone number. It will connect to the Net via the PDA.the PDA.

Writing Pens 2013Writing Pens 2013

As you write with your pen, it captures your As you write with your pen, it captures your scrawled messages and beams them to scrawled messages and beams them to your PDA or your tube rollup monitor.your PDA or your tube rollup monitor.

PDA 2013PDA 2013

The PDAThe PDA of the future will connect to the of the future will connect to the Net and replace money, keys, credit cards, Net and replace money, keys, credit cards, and remotes.and remotes.

PDA Agent ID 2013PDA Agent ID 2013

By using new scanning technology that verifies the By using new scanning technology that verifies the user's thumb-print, the PDA will open doors to cars, user's thumb-print, the PDA will open doors to cars, homes, and offices. It will secure access to your homes, and offices. It will secure access to your personal databases, such as online medical records, personal databases, such as online medical records, and guarantee their privacy.and guarantee their privacy.

Laptop 2013Laptop 2013

The laptop with voice recognition will make The laptop with voice recognition will make keyboards obsolete and a rollout LCD screen keyboards obsolete and a rollout LCD screen permits the monitor to scroll.permits the monitor to scroll.

Computers 2013Computers 2013

Computer displays and TV monitors are Computer displays and TV monitors are replaced by one lightweight, flat LCD panel that replaced by one lightweight, flat LCD panel that can be placed on a desk or hung on a wall. Your can be placed on a desk or hung on a wall. Your PDA pulls up your personal desktop PDA pulls up your personal desktop configuration for work or for play. configuration for work or for play.

Medical Diagnosis 2013Medical Diagnosis 2013

A camera and LCD screen analyze skin A camera and LCD screen analyze skin color and provide a real-time link to doctors. color and provide a real-time link to doctors. "Point-at-what-hurts" interaction aids "Point-at-what-hurts" interaction aids diagnosis. The device lets you monitor your diagnosis. The device lets you monitor your parents' health, too parents' health, too

E-Map 2013E-Map 2013

Electronic ink and GPS combine to provide a Electronic ink and GPS combine to provide a lightweight moving map that displays your exact lightweight moving map that displays your exact location in all terrains.location in all terrains.

Seating 2013Seating 2013 Chairs will be made of a gel that conforms to Chairs will be made of a gel that conforms to

your body shape and will be matched to human your body shape and will be matched to human tissue to provide a subtle massaging.tissue to provide a subtle massaging.

People will be able toPeople will be able to heat and cool their heat and cool their chair and change its chair and change its configurations for configurations for perching, lounging, perching, lounging, and sitting.and sitting.

Connectivity 2013Connectivity 2013

Most electrical appliances connected to Most electrical appliances connected to Web - machine to machine Web - machine to machine communication.communication.

Washing machine Washing machine using too muchusing too much water—message water—message sent electronically sent electronically to Maytag that a to Maytag that arepair is needed.repair is needed.

Cable 2013Cable 2013

Television will contain a hard disk to Television will contain a hard disk to record shows—1 terabyte of space to record shows—1 terabyte of space to store hundreds of hours of high-definition store hundreds of hours of high-definition programming.programming.

Shows can be seen when you want to see Shows can be seen when you want to see them—not just when they are transmitted.them—not just when they are transmitted.

Entertainment sold as a pay-per-view fee Entertainment sold as a pay-per-view fee or as a monthly subscription.or as a monthly subscription.

Identification 2013Identification 2013

Radio-frequency identification tags (RFID) Radio-frequency identification tags (RFID) to keep track of inventory and payment. to keep track of inventory and payment. RFID chips are the size of a grain of rice RFID chips are the size of a grain of rice and will sell for one cent.and will sell for one cent.

People will bag the products and a RFID People will bag the products and a RFID will total the products and deduct from will total the products and deduct from your RFID credit card in your wallet.your RFID credit card in your wallet.

RFID will mark the beginning of the end for RFID will mark the beginning of the end for paper cash money.paper cash money.

Communications 2013Communications 2013

Reliable speech recognition will allow Reliable speech recognition will allow computers, phones, and household computers, phones, and household appliances to understand spoken appliances to understand spoken commands.commands.

Commands such Commands such as “Car, how faras “Car, how far to the next gas to the next gas station?” will be station?” will be common.common.

Questions and CommentsQuestions and Comments