modelling concentrating solar power with thermal energy ... · nrel is a national laboratory of the...
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NREL is a national laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, operated by the Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC.
Modelling Concentrating Solar Power with Thermal Energy Storage for
Integration Studies
Marissa Hummon
3rd International Solar Power Integration Workshop October 20-22, 2013 London, UK NREL/PR-6A20-60629
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Executive Summary Concentrating solar power with thermal energy storage (CSP-TES) can provide multiple benefits to the grid, including low marginal cost energy and the ability to levelize load, provide operating reserves, and provide firm capacity. It is challenging to properly value the integration of CSP because of the complicated nature of this technology. Unlike completely dispatchable fossil sources, CSP is a limited energy resource, depending on the hourly and daily supply of solar energy. To optimize the use of this limited energy, CSP-TES must be implemented in a production cost model with multiple decision variables for the operation of the CSP-TES plant. We develop and implement a CSP-TES plant in a production cost model that accurately characterizes the three main components of the plant: solar field, storage tank, and power block. We show the effect of various modelling simplifications on the value of CSP, including: scheduled versus optimized dispatch from the storage tank and energy-only operation versus co-optimization with ancillary services. Corresponding paper:
Hummon, M., Jorgenson, J., Denholm, P., Mehos, M., “Modelling Concentrating Solar Power with Thermal Energy Storage for Integration Studies”, 3rd International Solar Power Integration Workshop, London, UK, October 20-22, 2013. (NREL CP-6A20-60365).
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Motivation
SEGS Solar Power Plant Photo via Shutterstock
PV currently has lower installation costs. CSP with thermal energy storage offers services to the grid that increase its value. Modeling CSP in grid operations helps us estimate the value of CSP.
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Outline
• Production Cost Modeling – An Integration Study Tool
• Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) o Components: solar field, thermal energy storage (TES),
and power block o Operation of CSP-TES
• CSP-TES modelling framework o Fixed dispatch o Optimize storage and dispatch o Allow CSP-TES to provide ancillary services
• Results
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Production Cost Modeling
Objective: Balance generation and load, every hour, at least cost
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Production Cost Modeling
Objective: Balance generation and load, every hour, at least cost • PV and Wind Generation are variable and uncertain (similar to Load) • Generation from Hydro is often constrained by other competing uses, for
example recreational use of reservoirs or fish habitat
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Production Cost Modeling
Objective: Balance generation and load, every hour, at least cost • Storage and CSP-TES are low marginal cost generation and are dispatched
during peak prices
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Production Cost Modeling
Objective: Balance generation and load, every hour, at least cost • Coal generation is the next least cost source of generation. Coal generation
is committed for multiple days at a time.
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Production Cost Modeling
Objective: Balance generation and load, every hour, at least cost • Natural-gas fired power plants have the least constraint on on/off decisions;
higher marginal operating cost that can recover startup costs within 2-8 hours
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Wide variety of electricity generation systems
The costs and benefits of integrating a new technology will change between systems; being able to model new technologies reduces the barriers to integration.
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Concentrating Solar Power Plant
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Concentrating Solar Power Solar Energy
Solar Field
Steam Turbine
Generator
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Concentrating Solar Power with Thermal Energy Storage Solar Energy
Solar Field
Storage Tank
Steam Turbine
Generator
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Another Optimization Problem:
Relative sizes of the CSP-TES components.
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Solar Energy (Electrical Equivalent)
Credit: Jeffrey R. S. Brownson
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Dispatch of CSP-TES
Credit: Jeffrey R. S. Brownson
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Dispatch of CSP-TES
Credit: Jeffrey R. S. Brownson
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Concentrating Solar Power Direct Normal Irradiance
Solar Field
Storage Tank
Steam Turbine
Generator
System Advisor Model to convert DNI to electrical equivalent of solar field thermal output
Empirical CSP studies provide quantities for thermal losses: starting up the steam turbine, thermal decay in storage, heat exchanger
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SAM: Electrical equivalent for solar field
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Colorado Test System
System peak: 14 GW Installed Capacity: ~ 18 GW Annual simulation, hourly resolution, 48-hour optimization horizon, 24-hour rolling optimization
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Scenarios CSP-TES
Max Cap: 300 MW Solar multiple (SM) = 2.2
Storage = 6 hours
Low Flex High Flex
Operation Property High Flex
Minimum Generation Point 45 MW
Ramp Rate 30 MW/min
Minimum up/down time 1 hour
Number of starts per day Unconstrained
Start-up energy 60 MWh
Start-up cost $3,000
Variable O&M $1.1/MWh
Operation Property Low Flex
Minimum Generation Point 75 MW
Ramp Rate 12 MW/min
Minimum up/down time 6 hours
Number of starts per day 1
Start-up energy 180 MWh
Start-up cost $30,000
Variable O&M $3/MWh
Pre-scheduled Optimal Co-optimized
Solar Field energy is scheduled for storage/dispatch (outside of PLEXOS)
Solar Field energy is optimally scheduled by PLEXOS
Solar Field energy and power block capacity is co-optimized for energy and reserves
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Performance of CSP-TES
Pre-scheduled dispatch is not a terrible estimate Optimal dispatch and co-optimized dispatch improve the use of CSP-TES from the system perspective: overnight operation and evening peak.
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CSP-TES Schedule Effects Displaced Generation
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Displaced Generation and Fuel
• CSP-TES displaces gas-fired generation (higher marginal cost than coal without emission penalties)
• Optimal CSP dispatch increases displacement of gas-fired CTs • Co-optimized CSP-TES has a complex affect on system
operation
CSP-TES with High Flexibility Operation
Base Case Pre-scheduled Dispatch Optimal Dispatch
Co-optimized Dispatch and Reserve
Provision Generator Class [GWh] Increase from Base Case [GWh / %] Coal 46089 -65 / -0.1 -31 / -0.1 125 / 0.3 Combined Cycle (CC) 14791 -802 / -5.4 -760 / -5.1 -960 / -6.5 Gas Turbine/Gas Steam 1035 -146 / -14 -232 / -22.2 -225 / -21.6 Other 95 -1 / -0.9 -1 / -0.9 -6 / -6.2 Hydro 3792 0 / 0 0 / 0 0 / 0 Pumped Hydro Storage 1040 11 / 1.1 -2 / -0.2 -103 / -9.9 Wind 10705 0 / 0 0 / 0 0 / 0 PV 1834 0 / 0 0 / 0 0 / 0 CSP 0 1017 / - 1021 / - 1018 / -
Fuel Class [MMBTU] Increase from Base Case [MMBTU/ %] Coal Offtake 487589 -772 / -0.2 -390 / -0.1 1310 / 0.3 Gas Offtake 126771 -7871 / -6.2 -8749 / -6.9 -10659 / -8.4
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Change in Production Costs
• Most of the production cost savings is displaced fuel. • Optimal dispatch of CSP-TES results in fewer starts. • Co-optimized CSP-TES avoids regulation bid costs by displacing
slightly higher bid cost of combined cycle units, $6/MWh, with the CSP-TES bid cost of $4/MWh.
CSP-TES with High Flexibility Operation
Base Case Pre-scheduled Dispatch Optimal Dispatch
Co-optimized Dispatch and
Reserve Provision [M$] change from base case [M$ / %]
Fuel Cost 1210 -34 / -2.8 -37 / -3.1 -43 / -3.5 VO&M Cost 152 0 / 0 -1 / -0.7 -1 / -0.6 Start & Shutdown Cost 59 0 / 0.3 -2 / -4.2 -1 / -1.3 Regulation Bid Cost 5 0 / -0.1 0 / 1.2 -1 / -15.4 Total Generation Cost 1426 -34 / -2.4 -41 / -2.9 -45 / -3.2
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Co-optimized CSP-TES provides Reserves
CSP-TES provides 17% (10%) of the annual reserve requirement in the high (low) flexibility scenario, split equally between regulation and contingency reserves. Regulation is energy neutral over 25 minutes; Contingencies are estimated to be drawn once every 2-3 days for 10-20 minutes. CSP-TES is ramp rate constrained is responding to ancillary service requests.
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Co-optimized CSP-TES Optimal CSP-TES Dispatch Co-optimized CSP-TES Dispatch
And Reserve Provision
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Reserve Prices CSP-TES reduces the marginal price of regulation and contingency reserves.
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Production Cost Savings
Production cost savings ranges from 2-3% of the total production cost. It is attributed to:
~75% due to energy from CSP-TES ~15% due to optimally dispatching the CSP-TES energy ~10% due to provisioning reserves from CSP-TES spinning capacity
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Conclusions
• Most of the value of CSP is in displacing high-cost fuels; which is captured in fixed-dispatch modeling.
• Further 25% increase in system value when CSP is modeled with separate storage & generation components and co-optimized for energy and operating reserves.
• Co-optimization yields complicated results; the effect and value of CSP-TES on new systems can be be captured more accurately with more detailed modeling.
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Thank You
Questions?
Team: Marissa Hummon Jennie Jorgenson
Paul Denholm Mark Mehos
Contact: [email protected]