modeling issues with in-delta agricultural uses

13
Figure IV.2-6. DSM2 results on the source water and salinity (“volumetric and constituent fingerprints) for the period November 2004 to February 2005. Reproduced from DWR (2005).

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Figure IV.2-6. DSM2 results on the source water and salinity (“volumetric and constituent fingerprints) for the period November 2004 to February 2005. Reproduced from DWR (2005). Modeling Issues with In-Delta Agricultural Uses. Drainage salinity Drainage volume Net depletion. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Modeling Issues with  In-Delta Agricultural Uses

Figure IV.2-6. DSM2 results on the source water and salinity (“volumetric and constituent fingerprints) for the period November 2004 to February 2005. Reproduced from DWR (2005).

Page 2: Modeling Issues with  In-Delta Agricultural Uses

Modeling Issues with In-Delta

Agricultural Uses

• Drainage salinity

• Drainage volume

• Net depletion

Page 3: Modeling Issues with  In-Delta Agricultural Uses

Data available at http://wdl.water.ca.gov/wq-gst/

Figure IV.2-1. Approximate sampling locations of agricultural drainage salinity by DWR's Municipal Water Quality Investigation Program, data collected between 1986 and 1997.

B Bacon Island

Bo Bouldin Island

Br Brannan Island

B Bacon Island

E Empire Tract

G Grand Island

H Holland Tract

J Jersey Island

K King Island

M Mandeville Island

O Orwood Tract

P Palm Tract

Pe Pescadero

R Rindge Tract

S Staten Island

T Tyler Island

U Upper Jones Tract

V Venice Island

W Woodward Island

Wb Webber Tract

Page 4: Modeling Issues with  In-Delta Agricultural Uses

0

250

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750

1,000

1,250

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10/2/87 10/1/88 10/1/89 10/1/90 10/2/91 10/1/92 10/1/93 10/1/94

Tot

al D

isso

lved

Sol

ids

in m

g/L

Kings Island Bacon Island Mandeville Island

Pescadero Empire Tract PP Upper Jones Tract PP#2

Rindge Tract Woodward Island Bulletin 123-67

Data collected by the Municipal Water Quality Investigation Program of the California Department of Water Resources.

Figure IV.2-2. Agricultural drainage salinity in south and southeast Delta. Drainage salinity at different pump stations on the same island (e.g. Kings Island) could be significantly different.

Page 5: Modeling Issues with  In-Delta Agricultural Uses

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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Calendar Month

Tot

al D

isso

lved

Sol

ids

in m

g/L

South and southeast West and Central North

South and Southeast West and Central North

Recent data collected by the Municipal Water Quality Investigation Program of the California Department of Water Resources.

Monthly average of recent measurements:Bulletin 123-67:

Figure IV.2-5. Model input and recent measurements of agricultural drainage salinity in the Delta.

Page 6: Modeling Issues with  In-Delta Agricultural Uses

Observations

Wide scatter of drainage salinity:

• between islands• between years• between months

Model input could be significantly different from field measurements

Source tracking could be a solution

Page 7: Modeling Issues with  In-Delta Agricultural Uses

Issues• Drainage salinity

• Drainage volume

• Net depletion

Page 8: Modeling Issues with  In-Delta Agricultural Uses

Jung, M. And Q. Tran. 1998. Delta island drainage volume estimates, 1954-1955 versus 1995-1996. Report to DWR, MWQI Program.

Page 9: Modeling Issues with  In-Delta Agricultural Uses

Jung, M. And Q. Tran. 1998. Delta island drainage volume estimates, 1954-1955 versus 1995-1996. Report to DWR, MWQI Program.

Page 10: Modeling Issues with  In-Delta Agricultural Uses

Jung, M. And Q. Tran. 1998. Delta island drainage volume estimates, 1954-1955 versus 1995-1996. Report to DWR, MWQI Program.

Page 11: Modeling Issues with  In-Delta Agricultural Uses

Issues• Drainage salinity

• Drainage volume

• Net depletion

Page 12: Modeling Issues with  In-Delta Agricultural Uses

Delta Salinity at different Delta outflowsG-Model estimates for constant outflows

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000

Delta Outflow (cfs)

Ch

lori

de (

mg/

L)

0

4

8

12

16

20

24

28

32

Rock Slough (Cl) Martinez (EC) Chipps (EC) Jersey (EC)

EC

(mS

/cm)

Salinity changes through adjacent minor grid points show the potential impacts of a 200 cfs decrease in Delta outflow.

Page 13: Modeling Issues with  In-Delta Agricultural Uses

ObservationsDrainage salinity• Highly variable (season, island, year)• Higher salinity assumed in model

Drainage volume• Large difference in 2 field estimates

Net depletion• Uncertainty of even a few hundred cfs could

lead to large difference in simulated salinity