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    Perspectives

    Has MRD monitoring superseded other prognostic factors in adult ALL?

    Monika Bruggemann,1 Thorsten Raff,1 and Michael Kneba1

    1Department of Hematology, University Hospital Schleswig-Holstein, Campus Kiel, Kiel, Germany

    Significant improvements have been

    made in the treatment of acute lympho-

    blastic leukemia (ALL) during the past

    2 decades, and measurement of submi-

    croscopic (minimal) levels of residual dis-

    ease (MRD) is increasingly used to moni-

    tor treatment efficacy. For a better

    comparability of MRD data, there are on-

    going efforts to standardize MRD quantifi-

    cation using real-time quantitative PCR of

    clonal immunoglobulin and T-cell recep-

    tor gene rearrangements, real-time

    quantitative-based detection of fusion

    gene transcripts or breakpoints, and mul-

    tiparameter flow cytometric immunophe-

    notyping. Several studies have demon-

    strated that MRD assessment in childhood

    and adultALL significantly correlates with

    clinical outcome. MRD detection is par-

    ticularly useful for evaluation of treat-

    ment response, but also for early assess-

    ment of an impending relapse. Therefore,

    MRD has gained a prominent position in

    many ALL treatment studies as a tool for

    tailoring therapy with growing evidence

    that MRD supersedes most conventional

    stratification criteria at least for Ph-

    negative ALL. Most study protocols on

    adult ALL follow a 2-step approach with a

    first classic pretherapeutic and a second

    MRD-based risk stratification. Here we

    discuss whether and how MRD is ready to

    be used as main decisive marker and

    whether pretherapeutic factors and MRD

    are really competing or complementary

    tools to individualize treatment. (Blood.

    2012;120(23):4470-4481)

    Introduction

    Treatment outcome in acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) pa-

    tients depends on a combination of multiple factors, such as

    properties of the leukemic cells (eg, proliferative capacity, suscep-

    tibility to drugs, and other escape mechanisms), host factors

    (eg, general fitness and concomitant diseases, treatment compli-

    ance, host pharmacodynamics and pharmacogenetics), and treat-

    ment given to eradicate the disease. Many of intrinsic leukemia cell

    and host factors have already been elucidated with immunologic

    and molecular methods and are ongoing translated into providing

    prognostic information (Table 1). Based on retrospective analyses

    of large cohorts of patients, conventional pretherapeutic risk

    criteria, including age, elevated white blood cell count at diagnosis,

    adverse immunophenotypic features, and cytogenetic as well as

    molecular aberrations provide the basis for upfront risk stratifica-

    tion in current treatment protocols. It has to be acknowledged,

    however, that these advances in our understanding of ALL biology

    in the past have only to a limited extent been accompanied by

    improved survival of adult ALL patients with relapse still being the

    main clinical problem. The source of these relapses is the persis-

    tence of minimal residual disease (MRD) that is undetectable by

    standard diagnostic techniques. Several studies have shown that

    detection of MRD in childhood and adult ALL is an independent

    risk parameter of high clinical relevance, both in de novo and

    relapsed ALL as well as in ALL patients undergoing stem cell

    transplantation (SCT).1-14 Consequently, an increasing number oftreatment protocols use MRD as a tool for treatment stratification.

    In addition, postremission MRD monitoring is also used to predict

    an impending relapse and to start preemptive salvage treatment in

    time. Therefore, MRD is not only a prognostic factor but chal-

    lenges the traditional concept of defining remission and relapse.

    Prerequisite for application of MRD for treatment tailoring is an

    adequate, sensitive, and standardized MRD methodology. The

    focus of this Perspective is therefore to highlight pros and cons of

    the different MRD techniques, to present the published experience

    of MRD analysis and MRD-guided treatment in adult ALL, and to

    discuss the value of MRD in different clinical settings compared

    with other prognostic factors.

    Does methodology of MRD detection matter?Pros and cons of different techniques

    MRD assessment relies on the identification of specific molecularor immunophenotypic markers on the leukemia cells. Flow cytom-

    etry (FCM) is applied to detect combinations of cell markers that

    are present on the leukemic but not on normal bone marrow cells.

    PCR is used to detect leukemia-specific fusion transcripts

    (eg, BCR-ABL) or clone specific immunoglobulin (Ig) or T-cell

    receptor (TCR) genes.

    Each of these techniques has its own strengths and limitations,

    which are summarized in Table 2 and are described in more detail

    within the next 3 sections.

    Multiparameter flow cytometry

    MRD measurement by FCM is based on the detection of leukemia-

    associated immunophenotypes that can be used to distinguish themfrom normal hematopoietic cells. Leukemia-associated immunophe-

    notypes usually describe a subpopulation of cells of a given lineage

    at a particular differentiation stage with aberrant molecular expres-

    sion patterns, asynchrony, and/or profound overexpression or

    underexpression of molecules.15 Therefore, unlike molecular meth-

    ods, FCM needs the identification of a cluster of events for

    definition of MRD positivity. Using 4-color flow cytometry,

    Submitted June 9, 2012; accepted September 6, 2012. Prepublished online as

    BloodFirst Edition paper, October 2, 2012; DOI 10.1182/blood-2012-06-379040.

    2012 by The American Society of Hematology

    4470 BLOOD, 29 NOVEMBER 2012 VOLUME 120, NUMBER 23

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    leukemia-associated immunophenotypes can be identified in 90%

    of B-precursor and 95% of all T-ALL patients reaching detection

    limits of 103-104.5,16-22

    The major advantage of FCM is its rapidity, which allows

    reporting of quantitative results within 1 day. This is specifically

    useful when MRD results are needed quickly to guide therapy. In

    addition, FCM allows the simultaneous assessment of cell qualities

    requisite for emerging targeted therapies in ALL.23,24 A potential

    pitfall of the method results from similarities between leukemic

    lymphoblasts and nonmalignant lymphoid precursors in various

    phases of regeneration or chemotherapy-induced alterations that

    may lead to false positivity.18,25 In addition, phenotypic shifts

    frequently occur in leukemic cells during induction among others

    because of steroid-induced gene expression modulation.23-28 In

    times of targeted therapies (eg, anti-CD19, anti-CD20, anti-CD22,

    or anti-CD33 treatment), also completely unknown marker shifts

    may occur potentially influencing detectability of residual leuke-

    mic cells. Therefore, interpretation of MRD FCM data requires a

    deep understanding of the expression patterns of benign hemato-

    gones and leukemic cells within different treatment phases andshould be restricted to reference laboratories, even if FCM is

    broadly available in many hematolgoy centers.16

    In addition, careful standardization of experimental setup and

    interpretation is needed to obtain comparable MRD results in

    multicenter studies, which is one topic of international study

    groups.29-33 Additional efforts focus on improving the method and

    its sensitivity through usage of more colors ( 8), inclusion of new

    markers, possibly more specific for leukemic cells, and develop-

    ment of new software for fast and easy automated data analysis.

    PCR analysis of Ig and TCR gene rearrangements

    Ig and TCR gene rearrangements represent fingerprint-like DNA

    regions of individual lymphoid cells and its descendants, making

    them attractive targets for clone specific PCR. Prerequisite is the

    molecular characterization of leukemia-specific Ig/TCR gene rear-

    rangements for each individual patient, which is possible for the

    majority ( 95%) of B- and T-lineage ALL. Quantification of these

    target genes is nowadays performed with quantitative real-time

    quantitative (RQ)PCR that allows for a higher degree of automa-tion and sample throughput without the need of post-PCR manipu-

    lation of samples.34-37 Similarly to rearranged immune genes, also

    some leukemia specific translocations (in particular MLL rearrange-

    ments) can be used as targets for DNA-based quantitative RQ-PCR

    analysis after the rearrangement break point at the DNA level has

    been characterized.38,39 Sensitivity is determined exactly for each

    assay and generally reaches 1:104-1:105, which is 0.5-1.0 log

    higher than for published FCM-based MRD assays.19,21,40

    Right from the start, DNA-based MRD diagnostics has been

    highly standardized through the efforts of the EuroMRD Group.

    Guidelines are published for determination of linearity, sensitiv-

    ity, specificity, and reproducibility for each clone-specific

    assay.36 Usage of DNA as analytical sample allows long

    shipping times, sample storage, and retrospective cumulative

    PCR analyses of sample batches. Nevertheless, there are some

    caveats, including clonal evolution of Ig/TCR genes, which may

    lead to false negativity. It is therefore recommended to use at

    least 2 independent targets. On the other hand, false-positive

    MRD results cannot be completely excluded as massive regen-

    eration of normal lymphoid progenitors might lead to low levels

    of nonspecific amplification.41,42 In addition, the method needs

    the time-consuming initial characterization of the leukemic

    Ig/TCR rearrangements with a panel of different PCR and

    sequencing reactions. However, recent advances in sequencing

    technology (next-generation sequencing) will probably acceler-

    ate this process in the near future and even add a new molecular

    technology for MRD assessment.43

    Table 1. Pretherapeutic factors associated with outcome in adult ALL81-83

    Factor Category Prognostic impact Potential impact on targeted therapy

    Age Worse outcome with advancing age84,85

    White blood cell count at diagnosis B: 30 109/L (B) High WBC associated with poor prognosis84,85

    T: 100 109/L (T)

    Immunophenotype CD20 expression Conflicting data concerning prognosis74,75 Monoclonal antibodies

    T versus B Independent prognostic significance (T-ALL with

    better prognosis) mainly in early studies

    84,85

    Monoclonal antibodies

    Bispecific T-cell engager nelarabineCytogenetics t(9;22)/ BCR-ABL Poor prognosis86,87 TKI

    t(4;11)/MLL-AF4 Poor prognosis86,87

    t(8;14)

    Hypodiploidy*

    Near triploidy

    Complex karyotype

    t(1;19) Conflicting data concerning prognosis88,89

    High hyperdiploidy Better prognosis86

    del(9p)

    Specific molecular alterations JAKmutations Emerging significance of poor prognosis90 JAK inhibitors

    IKZFDeletions/sequence

    mutations

    Emerging significance of poor prognosis91,92

    CRLF2 overexpression Emerging significance (mainly childhood ALL) of

    poor prognosis92

    CRLF antibodies

    ERG/BAALC expression Conflicting data concerning prognosis93,94

    NOTCH1mutations Conflicting data concerning prognosis95,96 NOTCH1 targeting

    indicates not applicable; CRLF2, cytokine receptor-like factor 2; ERG, v-ets erythroblastosis virus E26 oncogene homolog (avian); BAALC, brain and acute leukemia,

    cytoplasmic; IKZF, IKAROS family zinc finger; JAK, Janus kinase; TKI, tyrosine kinase inhibitors; and WBC, white blood cell count.

    * 44 chromosomes/leukemic cell.

    5 abnormalities.

    50 chromosomes/leukemic cell.

    MRDAS MAIN PROGNOSTIC FACTOR INADULT ALL 4471BLOOD, 29 NOVEMBER 2012 VOLUME 120, NUMBER 23

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    Ta

    ble2.Featuresoftechniquescurrentlyem

    ployedforMRDdetectioninALL

    G

    eneralstatements

    Pros

    Cons

    Flo

    wcytometry

    Aberrantantigene

    expression

    ApplicableforalmostallALLpatients

    Immunophenotypicshiftsofleukemiccells

    Sensitivitydependsontechnology(numberofcolors)

    andoncellinput

    Availabilityofmethodologyinmanylaboratories

    Expandedandalteredprecursor-B-cellcompartmentduring

    regeneration

    Rapid

    Lowcellularityduring/afterinduction

    Quantitative

    Relativelyhighcosts(dependsoncellinp

    ut,numberof

    markers/colorsandulteriorcytometeru

    se)

    Additionalinformationonbenigncells

    Limitedsensitivity/applicabilityusing3-to

    4-colorflowcytometry

    Additionalinformationonmalignantcells

    6-colorflowcytometry:extensiveknow

    ledgeandexperiencefor

    sensitiveandstandardizedanalysisne

    eded

    Identificationandmonitoringoftreatmenttargetspossible

    Nosampleasservationandretrospective

    analysispossible(on-site

    availabilityofexpertoperatorsnecessa

    ry)

    Growings

    tandardization(mainlythroughoutEurope)

    DN

    A-basedRQ-PCR

    TargetsmainlyIga

    ndTCRgenerearrangementsbut

    alsoMLLgenerearrangementsorSIL-TAL-deletions

    ApplicableforalmostallALLpatients

    Time-consumingmarkercharacterization

    Highsens

    itivity

    Potentialinstabilityoftargets(clonalevolutionphenomena,therefore

    needforpreferably2targets/patient)

    Highdegr

    eeofstandardization

    Extensiveknowledgeandexperienceneeded

    Accepted

    anduniformlyuseddefinitionofquantitativerangea

    nd

    sensitiv

    ity

    Relativelyexpensive

    Well-establishedstratificationtoolinvariousclinicalprotocols

    Mostpublisheddataforevidence-basedtreatmentdecisions

    Stabilityo

    fDNA(multicentersetting,shipmenttime)

    Possibility

    ofsamplestorageandretrospective/batchanalysis

    Qu

    antitativeRT-PCRoffusion

    transcripts

    TargetsmainlyBC

    R-ABLtranscripts(35%ofadult

    B-cellprecursor

    ALL)

    Highsens

    itivity

    Usefulonlyinaminorityofpatients

    Unequivocallinkwithleukemic/preleukemicclone

    InstabilityofRNA

    Stabilityo

    ftargetduringcourseoftreatment

    UncertainquantitationbecauseofunknownnumberofRNA

    transcripts/cell(potentialdifferencesdu

    ringcourseoftreatment)

    Fast

    Falsepositivityresultingfromcross-conta

    mination

    Relatively

    cheap

    Standardizationnecessary

    4472 BR UGGEMANN et al BLOOD, 29 NOVEMBER 2012 VOLUME 120, NUMBER 23

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    PCR analysis of fusion transcripts

    Leukemia-specific gene fusions represent ideal targets for MRD

    detection because they are linked to the oncogenic process andare therefore highly specific. Only few translocations (mainly

    MLL rearrangements38 and SIL-TAL1 translocations) are ana-

    lyzed on DNA level, the broadest routine clinical use is the

    quantification of aberrant BCR-ABL mRNA transcripts in

    Philadelphia (Ph)positive ALL.

    Advantages of quantitative reverse transcriptase-PCR (RT-PCR)

    to evaluate fusion transcripts in Ph-positive ALL include the high

    sensitivity of up to 106 because of presence of multiple specific

    mRNA-transcripts per cell. Furthermore, these transcripts allow

    the usage of the same primer/probe-combinations for quantita-

    tive RT-PCR of many patients, thus keeping the costs for the

    individual analyses low. In addition, there is a broad experience

    in BCR-ABL PCR assays because it is widely used for MRD

    monitoring in CML. However, methodologies are not fully

    comparable for both entities (dominance of minor break-point

    transcript in Ph-positive ALL compared with major breakpoint

    cluster region in CML, differences in relevant MRD thresholds

    with higher sensitivities being required in Ph-positive ALL).

    A crucial point for BCR-ABL PCR is the sample quality, which

    is adversely influenced by long transport times resulting in

    degradation of RNA. In addition, lack of standardization of RNA

    extraction, cDNA synthesis, selection of housekeeping genes, and

    variation in the way quantitative RT-PCR analyses are carried out

    lead to substantial differences in results and carry the risk of false

    negativity. In addition, false positivity cannot be ruled out

    (eg, because of cross-contamination) and is observed in external

    quality controls even among experienced laboratories. There areongoing efforts to standardize methodology and interpretation to

    allow a better comparability of PCR results within different clinical

    trials.44

    Proposal for a uniform description of MRD results

    An important step toward a better comparability of MRD data are

    the standardized and uniform description of MRD results. Irrespec-

    tive of the methodology used a testing result may be (1) negative,

    (2) positive without being quantifiable because of the rarity of the

    event, and (3) positive at a quantifiable level (Figure 1).

    Concerning Ig/TCR-PCR, these results are defined by the

    EuroMRD Group based on the general performance, linearity,

    reproducibility, and background of the individual assay.36 In

    addition, for BCR-ABL and FCM MRD, there are ongoing

    international efforts to define generally accepted guidelines for

    standardized analysis and interpretation of results.30,33,44

    Based on these efforts, also a uniform MRD terminologyreferring to terms that are already established for cytomorphology

    with definitions of complete MRD response, MRD persistence, and

    MRD relapse seems feasible16 (Figure 1).

    MRD for assessment of remission and relapsecompared with other prognostic factors

    The 2 major applications of MRD in adult ALL are (1) the

    assessment of response to initial therapy for definition of MRD-

    based risk groups and (2) the subsequent monitoring of remission

    patients to detect MRD reoccurrence and allow a preemptive

    salvage treatment.

    MRD for initial remission assessment

    The most significant application of MRD for de novo ALL is the

    sensitive assessment of treatment efficacy in patients reaching a

    complete morphological remission, thereby refining initial risk

    stratification. Compared with childhood ALL with reports on

    several thousand patients,2,45 MRD in adult ALL has been studied

    less extensively. Nevertheless, also in adult ALL large studies have

    shown that initial MRD kinetics is highly predictive for outcome

    (Table 3).

    Ph-negative ALL. Several studies reported on the independent

    prognostic value of MRD in adult Ph-negative ALL performingeither Ig/TCR-quantitative RQ-PCR1,3,9,46,47 or FCM12,22,48 (Table

    3). Concordantly, different European study groups demonstrated

    that MRD persistence measured at different time points 1-6 months

    after initial diagnosis is associated with a poor prognosis.1,3,9,22,46-48

    Bruggemann et al3 and Vidriales et al22 additionally identified a

    small subset of patients with a very rapid tumor clearance

    (low-level/undetectable MRD after 2 weeks of therapy) and an

    excellent prognosis. The presently largest MRD study on adult

    ALL was recently published by Gokbuget et al and analyzed MRD

    in Ph-negative patients with standard risk (SR, n 434) and high

    risk (HR, n 146) features.46 A complete MRD response after

    induction 2 and/or consolidation 1 was associated with a compa-

    rable clinical benefit irrespective of pretherapeutic risk factors.

    MRD was the only parameter with significant prognostic impact in

    Figure 1. Proposals for definition of MRD terms in

    ALL.Data fr om Bruggemann et al16 with permission.

    MRDAS MAIN PROGNOSTIC FACTOR INADULT ALL 4473BLOOD, 29 NOVEMBER 2012 VOLUME 120, NUMBER 23

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    multivariate analysis. The biologic differences between SR and

    HR patients were reflected by the significant different propor-

    tion of patients reaching a complete MRD response between SR

    and HR patients with 20% point lower rates of MRD

    negativity in HR patients.

    Whether or not rare factors, such as t(4;11), may retain their

    prognostic significance is hard to state as these patients are diluted

    within the whole population. Cimino et al analyzed a limitednumber of adult MLL-AF4positive patients demonstrating the

    prognostic impact of MRD also for this rare biologic entity. 49

    Ph-positive ALL. In Ph-positive ALL, most published studies

    focus on detection and quantification of BCR-ABL transcripts. In

    the pre-tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) era, the level of MRD after

    induction and/or consolidation treatment turned out to be a

    powerful indicator of prognosis, although data differed concerning

    the discriminative value of different time points for MRD assess-

    ment10,50 (Table 3). Introduction of TKI substantially changed

    treatment outcome and MRD kinetics. In a study by Lee et al, MRD

    assessment after induction chemotherapy did not retain its prognos-

    tic significance when followed by imatinib treatment.51 Conversely,

    a reduction of BCR-ABL transcript levels of at least 3 log after the

    first 4-week imatinib therapy was identified as the most powerful

    predictor of a better disease free survival (DFS) and overall

    survival (OS) rate after SCT (4-year DFS 82.1% vs 41.7%,

    P .009; 4-year OS 82.3 vs 48.6, P .007). These findings

    indicate that poor response to chemotherapy may be compensated

    by subsequent administration of imatinib. Leguay et al presented

    data of the GRAAL AFR03 study that imatinib combined with

    high-dose chemotherapy improved molecular remission rate before

    transplantation and led to an improved outcome.52 In contrast,

    Yanada et al failed to establish an association between an early

    MRD response to imatinib combined chemotherapy and outcome

    and concluded that relapse risk may depend on factors unrelated to

    initial treatment response53 (eg, outgrowth of preexisting subclones

    with resistance mutations54

    ).

    Postremission MRD monitoring

    A second important application of MRD is postremission monitor-

    ing of patients reaching complete MRD response for early detec-

    tion of an impending relapse.

    Ph-negative ALL. Raff at al55 were the first to demonstrate

    within the German Multicenter ALL Study Group (GMALL) trials

    that molecular relapse defined as reconversion to quantifiable

    molecular MRD positivity was followed by a clinical relapse after a

    median time of 4.1 month in Ph-negative ALL. Remarkably,

    low-level, nonquantifiable MRD was not necessarily related to a

    subsequent relapse confirming this MRD value as a sort of gray

    area.16

    A recent update of the Raff et al study55

    by Gokbuget et al46

    confirmed the close correlation between conversion to quantifiable

    MRD positivity and subsequent relapse: in 34 patients with

    conversion to quantifiable MRD positivity (MRD relapse,

    n 13 during first year of treatment, n 21 subsequently), the

    probability of continuous complete remission (CCR) was 21%

    9% at 5 years. If patients with MRD-based SCT in first CR

    were excluded the probability of CCR was only 0% (5% 5%

    at 3 years).

    Ph-positive ALL. In Ph-positive ALL, several studies pub-

    lished already in the 1990s showed a significant relationship

    between conversion to MRD positivity and subsequent relapse in

    the pre-TKI era.10,56-59 Yanada et al confirmed these findings also

    for Ph-positive patients being treated with imatinib-combined

    chemotherapy.53 In a prospective study on 100 adult patients with

    Ph-positive ALL, 29 showed an MRD elevation in CR. Of these,

    12 of 13 who had not undergone allogeneic (allo) SCT experienced

    a relapse, whereas only 3 of 16 patients who underwent allo-SCT

    relapsed. The authors concluded that an increase in MRD is

    predictive of a subsequent relapse, but such patients can be

    successfully treated with allo-SCT.

    MRD-based treatment intervention

    Treatment stratification according to initial MRD response

    The objective of measuring MRD response to initial therapy is to

    adjust treatment with the ultimate goal to improve outcome of

    MRD-HR patients and to reduce toxicity in MRD-LR patients

    without worsening their prognosis.

    Several clinical trials on adult ALL implemented MRD into

    their treatment stratification16: The PETHEMAALL-AR-03 trial12,60

    focuses on HR Ph-negative ALL and passes on SCT in first

    complete remission in case of standard cytologic response ( 10%

    blasts in BM on day 14) and MRD 5 104 after early

    consolidation. In contrast, patients with a slow cytologic responseand/or MRD 5 104 after early consolidation receive allo-

    SCT further on. Preliminary results indicate that the prognosis of

    HR patients with adequate response to induction and adequate

    clearance of MRD is not worsened by avoiding allo-SCT. The

    combined MRD level after induction and consolidation therapy

    was the main prognostic factor for CR, DFS, and OS, although a

    part of MRD-LR patients received a MRD-based de-escalated

    therapy.

    Within the GMALL 07/03 trial, patients with persistent MRD

    104 after induction (day 71) and/or first consolidation (week

    16) were allocated to the MRD-HR group61 and qualified for

    allo-SCT. Gokbuget et al recently showed the first results of

    MRD-based treatment intensification in these patients: 120 of

    504 evaluated patients (24%) were allocated to the MRD-HR

    group (89 SR and 31 HR patients defined by conventional

    criteria).46 In 47% of these patients, SCT was realized in first

    CR, with the SCT rate being significantly higher in HR

    compared with SR patients (71% vs 39%, P .002). The

    probability of CCR after 5 years was significantly higher for

    patients receiving an MRD-directed SCT in first CR compared

    with those without SCT in first CR (66% 7% vs 12% 5%,

    P .0001). This also translated into a better OS at 5 years (54%

    8% vs 33% 7%, P .06).

    Bassan et al described an MRD-oriented therapy for all

    t(4;11)/t(9,22) ALL patients within the Northern Italy Leukemia

    Group.1 MRD-positive patients (defined as MRD 104 before

    induction-consolidation cycle 6 and MRD positivity before cycle8) were allocated to allogeneic or autologous SCT, whereas

    MRD-negative patients received standard maintenance regardless

    of classic risk factors. Four-year DFS was 76% in MRD-LR

    patients versus only 24% in the MRD-HR group despite of

    treatment intensification.

    The first phase 2 clinical study prospectively analyzing an

    MRD-based targeted therapy administered blinatumomab mono-

    therapy in patients with MRD failure or MRD reappearance

    (defined as quantifiable MRD 1 104 after end of first

    consolidation).62 Sixteen of 20 evaluable patients (15 patients with

    MRD failure, 5 patients with MRD relapse) became MRD negative

    after 1 cycle of blinatumomab treatment. Twelve of the 16 MRD

    responders had never achieved MRD negativity before. MRD

    negativity translated into an ongoing hematologic remission in all

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    16 MRD-negative patients within a median observation time of

    405 days (1-year relapse free survival probability 78%). One

    patient was censored because of withdrawal of informed consent

    during second treatment cycle, 8 of these patients consecutively

    underwent allo-SCT without any treatment related mortality, and

    7 patients did not receive any further consolidation treatment,

    indicating the possibility of an improved outcome with this

    MRD-guided treatment, even if data can only be compared withhistorical controls.

    Preemptive treatment in case of MRD recurrence

    MRD assessment is also used for preemptive treatment interven-

    tion in case of MRD recurrence. In the GMALL 07/03 trial, salvage

    treatment was intended to be started at time of reoccurrence of

    quantifiable MRD. In a recent publication,46 10 of 34 patients with

    MRD relapse underwent MRD triggered SCT in ongoing first CR.

    Three-year probability of CCR was 80% 18% compared with

    only 5% 5% in patients without transplantation. Other study

    groups also perform postremission MRD monitoring for selected

    patient subgroups, with some of them drawing clinical conse-

    quences in case of high-level MRD.16

    Besides SCT, also targetedtherapies are investigated to improve outcome in patients with an

    MRD relapse.

    In Ph-positive ALL, postremission MRD monitoring is mainly

    used to tailor treatment after SCT. Wassmann et al investigated the

    effect of imatinib to decrease the relapse probability in case of

    reconversion to MRD positivity after SCT.63 BCR-ABL transcripts

    became undetectable by both quantitative and nested RT-PCR in

    15 of 29 (52%) patients. This was associated with a sustained

    remission, whereas MRD persistence 6-10 weeks after start of

    imatinib treatment correlated with an almost certain relapse.

    Proposal for selection of sampling timepoints and methodology

    Optimal sampling time points and sampling frequency have to be

    defined according to the individual protocol depending on the

    treatment protocol and the stratification aim. In de novo Ph-

    negative ALL, postinduction MRD assessment (after 2-4 months of

    treatment) is considered to have the most important role for

    evaluation of initial treatment response and MRD-based risk-

    stratification. An MRD assessment during induction (after

    2 weeks of treatment) additionally identifies patients with a rapid

    tumor clearance and a particular good outcome. Concerning

    postremission monitoring of MRD for early relapse identification,

    the GMALL proposes 3-monthly intervals for a total of 3 years asthe majority of clinical relapses occur within this time64 and reconver-

    sion to MRD-positivity precedesa clinical relapse with a median time of

    4.1 months between first quantifiable MRD positivity and relapse.

    In Ph-positive ALL, the value of MRD for initial remission

    assessment is more limited in the era of TKI, whereas MRD

    assessment is frequently used for postremission monitoring. How-

    ever, compared with Ph-negative ALL, relapse kinetics seem to be

    more rapid with median time between MRD elevation and relapse

    of only 2-3 months with53 or without59 application of TKI.

    Therefore, sampling frequency is recommended to be higher than

    in Ph-negative ALL.

    Comparisons of MRD results obtained by different methodolo-

    gies show that different techniques cannot be considered fully

    interchangeable. The main difference between FCM and Ig/TCR-

    PCR seems to be sensitivity,19,21,40 with both methods quantifying

    single signals/leukemic cell. In contrast, BCR-ABL-PCR measures

    multiple transcripts/cell with copy numbers potentially varying

    during the course of treatment. As there is evidence of multilineage

    involvement of Ph-positive cells, target cells also may not be fully

    concordant to other MRD techniques. Therefore, choice of the

    MRD method in a particular protocol should be guided by the

    question to be answered, the experience gained in former MRDtrials, the available technical expertise, the logistics, and whether or

    not treatment intervention is planned according to MRD results.

    Can pretherapeutic risk assessment beskipped in adult ALL?

    The topic of this Perspective is to debate whether MRD superseded

    other risk factors. To answer this question, it is essential to

    illuminate the value of MRD within different clinical settings but

    also to discuss pretherapeutic factors that partly changed their

    meaning from prognostic to predictive classifiers.

    Classic risk factors versus MRD: the conventional concept of

    risk-oriented therapy

    During the past 3 decades, treatment of adult ALL patients

    composed an induction/consolidation chemotherapy followed ei-

    ther by additional consolidation cycles and maintenance treatment

    (partly supported by auto SCT) or allo-SCT. Although there was

    also a discussion on optimization of chemotherapy elements, the

    main therapeutic decision was whether or not to apply allo-SCT,

    which on the one hand leads to a reduced relapse rate but on the

    other hand is accompanied by severe side effects and a consider-

    able treatment-related mortality. Data exist for both treatment

    paradigms: Collaboration from the United Kingdom Medical

    Research Council and the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group

    demonstrated the superiority of allo-SCT at least in younger

    patients.65 On the other hand, pediatric-inspired chemotherapy

    regimens show favorable outcomes in adolescents restraining

    indication of allo-SCT.66-68 Most protocols struck a balance be-

    tween both approaches generally recommending SCT for patients

    with clinical risk factors and a high risk of postchemotherapy

    relapse. Risk assignment is conventionally based on indirect

    measures of leukemic burden and chemosensitivity, such as

    chromosome, molecular, and immunophenotypic analyses at diag-

    nosis (Table 1; Figure 2A). Compared with all these pretherapeutic

    factors, MRD directly measures chemosensitivity for individual

    patients and integrates different host-, leukemia-, and treatment-

    related components of treatment outcome.Indeed, most published data recognize MRD as most important

    independent prognostic factor in adult ALL that supersedes all

    other risk factors, at least for Ph-negative ALL. Prospective studies

    on MRD-oriented therapy also indicate that MRD-based treatment

    is safely possible, allo-SCT may be avoided in MRD-LR Ph-

    negative patients and seems to be particularly active in MRD-HR

    patients. In addition, MRD measurement helps to prevent the

    problem of stratifying patients with newly identified genetic risk

    factors that are too rare to allow a reasonable assignment to a

    special risk group.

    However, available MRD data presented here are not fully

    consistent. Optimal sampling time points and MRD thresholds

    seem to differ between ALL subgroups, in particular in Ph-positive

    compared with Ph-negative ALL. In addition, multivariate analyses

    MRDAS MAIN PROGNOSTIC FACTOR INADULT ALL 4477BLOOD, 29 NOVEMBER 2012 VOLUME 120, NUMBER 23

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    in published studies partially retain prognostic factors other than

    MRD as independent variables (interestingly, the old-fashioned

    factor elevated white blood cell count at diagnosis emerges

    repeatedly). As an additional restriction, as true also for all other

    prognostic factors, MRD assessment is not realizable in all patients

    because of technical limitations (eg, lack of identification of

    leukemia specific markers, missing follow-up samples). Depending

    on the minimum technical requirements, the MRD methodology,

    and the adherence to the protocol, MRD-based stratification using

    stringent criteria seems to be feasible in 80%-90% of patients.2,69

    It also must be admitted that no published study on adult ALL

    performed a randomized comparison between action and no action

    on MRD but only compared the results of MRD-based treatment to

    historical outcome data or to groups of patients that did not receive

    an MRD guided therapy for whatever reasons. Therefore, as

    already started in childhood ALL, also in adult ALL randomized

    trials have to be done to confirm these encouraging data. MRD

    excellently qualifies for such an approach because it not only serves

    as marker for initial treatment stratification but also allows for an

    ongoing monitoring (Figure 2B). Thereby MRD can serve as

    safety net enabling early reintensification in case of MRD-basedtreatment de-escalation.

    Targeted therapies: prognostic factors become predictive

    Increased understanding of molecular mechanisms of cancer and

    availability of drugs targeting them is changing the meaning of

    particular leukemic markers from solely prognostic toward predic-

    tive factors (Table 1). In adult ALL, BCR-ABL positivity can serve

    as a model for this transformation: Formerly, the detection of the Ph

    chromosome during diagnostic workup of adult ALL prognosti-

    cated an extremely poor outcome with remission rates being at least

    10% lower than in Ph-negative ALL and with a median survival of

    only 8 months.70 The sole curative option was an allo-SCT. but even in

    this setting Ph positivity formed the risk group with the poorest

    outcome, making Ph positivity a poorly tractable therapeutic prob-

    lem.71 However, things changed with the implementation of TKIs as a

    targeted therapy: CR rates improved and also evidence of a survival

    benefit emerges. Now BCR-ABL is not only a prognostic marker but

    also predicts response to TKI. In addition, this new therapeutic approach

    changes MRD kinetics in Ph-positive ALL. Whereas in the pre-TKI era

    studies suggested a good correlation between MRD and outcome, MRD

    data in the TKI setting are more conflicting, and optimal time-points and

    thresholds are still a matter of debate. A potential reason for the

    discrepancy between initial MRDresponse and outcomeis the existence

    of low-levelBCR-ABL kinase domain mutations before treatment.54,72,73

    Whereas the leukemic bulk may well respond to treatment the small-

    sized resistant subclone may be the origin of relapse potentially

    necessitating MRD analysis of subclones in the future.

    Even though many of new potential predictive markers are not

    ready to be used as treatment targets in clinical routine because of

    issues related to reproducibility, statistical significance, and practi-

    cal applications, the possibilities of targeted therapy are intriguing.

    However, when implementing new elements into treatment proto-

    cols, the sensitivity of leukemic cells to a particular drug is not

    known in advance. Traditional risk groups may well respond

    differently to targeted therapies than they do to classic chemo-

    therapy, potentially leading to unpredictable treatment responses in

    different subgroups of ALL. For instance, CD20 expression in

    B-lineage ALL, which is under debate to be an adverse prognostic

    factor,74,75 is increasingly targeted by protocols including ritux-

    imab. Data from the MD Anderson Cancer Center indicate that

    addition of rituximab to polychemotherapy alters MRD kinetics

    and significantly improves MRD response.76 However, the effect of

    the same rituximab dose seems to be different in SR compared with

    HR patients.77 Therefore, it is particularly important to evaluate

    treatment success separately within the different subgroups to

    identify sensitive subpopulations. Ignoring baseline risk factors

    means obscuring a possibly relevant treatment effect in distinct

    biologic subsets by diluting in the whole population. Therefore,

    Figure 2. Prospective therapeutic shifts according to conventional pretreatment stratification criteria and MRD. (A) Potential treatment decisions based on

    pretreatment factors. (B) Potential treatment decisions based on MRD. Cons indicates consolidation; DLI, donor lymphocyte infusion; and TD, treatment decision.

    4478 BR UGGEMANN et al BLOOD, 29 NOVEMBER 2012 VOLUME 120, NUMBER 23

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    assessment of pretherapeutic markers cannot be skipped in diagnos-

    tic workup of ALL, even if MRD is closely monitored as

    pretherapeutic and MRD markers increasingly become complemen-

    tary tools to tailor therapy.

    MRD as new primary end point

    In times of targeted and sequential therapies, definition of an

    adequate and discriminatory primary variable for judging treatment

    success and planning subsequent treatment steps becomes more

    and more important. OS, the classic gold standard for a primary end

    point, as reliable, objective, and easily determined parameter gets

    problematic in times of multimodal and sequential therapies,

    including SCT. The other endpoint, the CR rate, is less objective in

    particular in B-cell precursor ALL where the distinction between

    leukemic cells and hematogones is exceedingly difficult in bone

    marrow during recovery after chemotherapy or SCT. The value of

    CR assessment is also limited by the fact that current treatment

    protocols lead to CR rate of 90% in adult ALL. In contrast, MRD

    offers itself as an endpoint in this setting as it is a clinical parameter

    that integrates different leukemia, host, and treatment aspects into

    one highly sensitive parameter. As a prerequisite for a usage as

    primary endpoint, there has to be (1) a plausible biologic relation-

    ship between reduction of MRD and response of the disease to

    therapy, (2) the prognostic value of the surrogate for the clinical

    outcome has to be validated, and (3) the evidence from clinical

    trials has to exist that treatment effects on the surrogate correspond

    to effects on the clinical outcome.78 A necessary technical precondi-

    tion is the availability of a standardized technology for MRD

    measurement regarding both standardized analysis and interpreta-

    tion. This is currently primarily fulfilled for MRD assessment using

    DNA-based quantitative RQ-PCR analysis according to EuroMRD

    standards36 and related consensus definitions obtained at the second

    international symposium on MRD assessment.16

    Ten years ofinternational quality controls with 40 participating laboratories

    demonstrated the robustness of the system with intra- and inter-

    assay variability of less than half a log. In addition, FCM-based

    MRD quantification and quantitative RT-PCR of BCR-ABL tran-

    scripts are increasingly standardized within different international

    collaborations. These analyses have to be performed in accredited

    specialized laboratories as tests used in decision-making in clinical

    trials generally have to conform to the Organisation for Economic

    Co-Operation and Development (OECD) Guidelines on Good

    Laboratory Practice79 or the Clinical Laboratory Improvement

    Amendments.80 As shown in large-scale pediatric trials, this does

    not hamper a broad application to all eligible ALL patients.

    Although not yet generally accepted as a primary endpoint of

    clinical trials by the European Medicines Agency and the Food and

    Drug Administration, MRD measurement in combination with

    adaptive trial designs may overcome part of the current difficultiesin evaluating the efficiency of new agents in ALL.

    In conclusion, published data on MRD assessment in adult ALL

    have shown a strong correlation between MRD response and

    outcome as well as the prognostic value of MRD reappearance for

    hematologic relapse. In times of individualized targeted therapies,

    MRD will not substitute baseline risk factors but evaluate their

    impact within different treatment regimens and will help to

    optimize treatment sequence. In this context, MRD has also to be

    considered as quantitative and objective extension of established

    endpoints of hematologic remission and relapse more than a

    substitute of pretherapeutic risk factors.

    Acknowledgments

    The authors thank Nicola Gokbuget, Dieter Hoelzer, and the

    participants of the German Multicenter Study Group for adult ALL

    for their close collaboration in the MRD studies.

    This work was supported in part by the Wilhelm Sander Stiftung

    (2001-074.1 and 2001-074.2) and the Deutsche Krebshilfe

    (702657Ho2).

    Authorship

    Contribution: M.B. wrote the first draft of the manuscript; T.R.contributed to the writing and prepared figures; and M.B., T.R., and

    M.K. finalized the manuscript.

    Conflict-of-interest disclosure: The authors declare no compet-

    ing financial interests.

    Correspondence: Monik a Bruggemann, De partment of Hema-

    tology, University Hospital Schleswig-Holstein, Campus Kiel,

    C hemnitzs tr as se 33, D-24116 Kiel, Ger many; e-mail:

    [email protected].

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    online October 2, 2012originally publisheddoi:10.1182/blood-2012-06-379040

    2012 120: 4470-4481

    Monika Brggemann, Thorsten Raff and Michael KnebaHas MRD monitoring superseded other prognostic factors in adult ALL?

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