• MIMES • Dynamic Input Output Framework

for a full accounting matrix

Economic sector “Use”

Ecosystem “Use”

Economic

Sector“Make” Macro Economics Ecosystem Impacts

Ecosystem

“Make”Final Ecosystem Services Ecosystem Processes

Accounting Framework For Modeling Ecosystem Services

The “make” and “use” of disservices

• Air filtration by near-road vegetation

• Pest regulation by native biodiversity

• Temperature modulation by urban vegetation

• Water purification by natural land covers

“Make Dynamics” currently under development within EPA

The “Use Table”Ecosystem services demand of economic sectors

Agriculture Fisheries Manufacturing Households

Air Filtration Better air quality

Bio regulation Less crop loss Preferred fish stocks

Less Lyme disease

Temperature Modulation

Predictable climate Less Heat Stress

Water purification Uncontaminated Irrigation water

Less contamination

in fish

Better drinking water

Eco

syst

em s

erv

ice

s

Economic Sectors

The “Impact” TableEconomic sectors impact ecosystem service producers

(Databases in units of impact by units of production)

Open Water Developed Wetland Forest

Agriculture Phosphorus and Nitrogen Runoff

Tractor damage on

Roads

Drainage

Fisheries Stock depletion Waste production

Mining Pollution of upstream waters

Roads

Manufacturing Mercury Pollution Air quality Pollution

Households Phosphorus and Nitrogen Runoff

Externalities

Eco

no

mic

Se

cto

rs

Examples of potential Climate Change Adaption Scenarios

Agriculture Fisheries Forestry Manufacturing Households

Households “Buy local” Plant trees In the yard

Less packaging Life style changes

Industry Change in fishing gear

Selective Cutting

Develop energy efficient

production methods

Government Farm bill encourages environmental-friendly production methods

Ecosystem based mgmt.

Set aside natural areas

Establish cap and trade; other

regulations

The “Decision” Table for Scenario Development

Investment decisions towards capital in economic sectors

• Aim is not to predict one exact picture of the future, but to present several alternative future developments.

• Scenarios consider potential developments and turning points.

Scenario Modeling