millennials, xers and boomers: how to capitalize on where and when they shop online
TRANSCRIPT
Online Holiday ShoppingGenerations are more similar than we think
2
digital technologies challenge the relevancy of demographic marketing
sophisticated ad targeting technology easily identifies intended audiences
powerful personalized recommendation engines drive additional sales
3
and yet we still think generationally…
4
…as we should.
MillennialsAge 18-34Born 1981-1997
Generation XAge 35-50Born 1965-1980
Silent GenerationAge 70+Born 1945 or earlier
Baby BoomersAge 51-69Born 1946-1964
5
millennials are posed to reshape the economy…the boomers are no longer the biggest generation in the US millennials will be the dominant force shaping the marketplace for decades to come
6
Under 25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ $-
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
Avg Annual Income
Avg Annual Spend
…but GenX and Baby Boomers still drive spending todayspending power will come with age for the millennials In the meantime, genX and boomers have the spending power
Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Feb 2015
Combined Average Annual Income andSpend of GenX and Baby Boomers
7
data is everywhereyet actionablemarket-level, ecommerce datais elusive
8
the right ecommerce data is in ereceipts
receipt discovery field extraction
data science
order datemerchantmerchant categoryitem descriptionitem priceunitsshipping & handling pricesales taxmethod of paymentshipperorigin warehouse/DCshipment transit pointsorder dateship-from warehouse datedelivery date
agegender
household incomeethnicity
occupationzip code
PII available for blind matches
9
let’s be honest(this is how we typically view online shopping by
generation)
VS
10
baby boomers dominate holiday spend
35%
30%
8%
28%
Baby Boomer Generation X silent Millenial
share of holiday sales by generation
Source: Slice Intelligence. 11/1/14 – 12/31/14. n=1,126,541
11
genX spent most per person in2014 holiday season
Millennial
GenX
Baby Boomer
Silent
$- $200 $400 $600
$414
$516
$497
$488
- 4 8 12
9.9
11.1
10.3
10.8
$0 $25 $50
$41.78
$46.55
$48.27
$45.01
1 2 3
2.7
2.8
2.7
2.6
average merchants shoppedaverage order sizepurchase frequencyspend per person
Source: Slice Intelligence. 11/1/14 – 12/31/14. n=1,126,541
12
the online holiday shopping season breaks intofour segments
$-
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
time aligned daily holiday season sales 2013 and 2014
2013 2014
sale
s by
day
(in m
illion
s)
Black Friday
Manic MondayCyber MondayNovember 1 December 23
Source: Slice Intelligence. 11/1/13 – 12/23/13, 11/1/14 – 12/23/14. n=1,270,367
Pre-Sea-son
Peak Season
Late Peak
Last Minute
13
we all shop at similar times during the season
Pre Season Peak Late Peak Last Minute0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%32%
23%
26%
19%
31%
22%
27%
20%
32%
21%
28%
20%
33%
22%
27%
19% MillennialGen XBaby BoomerSilent
perc
ent o
f hol
iday
sale
s
11/1/14 – 11/26/14 11/27/14 – 12/1/14 12/2/14 – 12/14/14 12/15/14 – 12/31/14
Source: Slice Intelligence. 11/1/14 – 12/31/14. n=1,126,541
14
no one likes shipping fees
Silent
Baby Boomer
GenX
Millennial
87%
86%
87%
86%
% of holiday orders w/ free shipping
Source: Slice Intelligence. 11/1/14 – 12/31/14. n=1,126,541
15
pure play retailers dominate online sales, with big box retailers leading in brick and mortar
15%
10%
10%64%
composition of holiday sales by store type
Big BoxDept StoreMall StorePure Play
top 10 Big Box retailers on-line
1. Best Buy2. Walmart3. Target4. Home Depot5. Costco6. Old Navy7. Toys R Us8. Lowe’s9. Staples10. Sam’s Club
Source: Slice Intelligence. 11/1/14 – 12/31/14. n=1,126,541
16
baby boomers and genX account for 68% of big box retailers’ online holiday sales
Baby Boomer36%
GenX32%
Silent7%
Millennial25%
big box online holiday sales by generation
Source: Slice Intelligence. 11/1/14 – 12/31/14. n=1,126,541
17
what are the similarities and differences between category and merchant preferences by generation?
which categories generate the most
dollars during the holiday season?
which categories see the greatest increases during
the holiday season?
which merchants generate the most
dollars during the holiday season?
which merchants are uniquely appealing to
each generation during the holiday season?
18
online holiday category and merchant preferences are more similar than different across generations
top categories based on holiday sales
“pop” categories during holidays
#1 electronics
#2 apparel
#3 home & kitchen
#1 photos and paper products
#2 toys and games
#3 gift cards
19
millennial unique habits
millenials are where new models first pop
key takeaways• mobile-first merchants• Emerging• subscription
key themes
unique categories shopped unique merchants shopped
health & beauty
home improvement
baby products
tickets and events
20
genX unique habits
genXers are stretched for time over the holidays
key takeaways• Kids• Full-service groceries
key themes
unique categories shopped unique merchants shopped
electronics
sports and outdoors
photo and paper products
21
baby boomer unique habits
boomers haven’t really changed their shopping habits with the advent of online – they’ve just moved channels
key takeaways• catalog/Mall merchants• pets• traditional gift categories• tv shopping merchants• app-based gaming
key themes
unique categories shopped unique merchants shopped
apparel
flowers and gifts
22
while not all buy online, those that do spend as much as any other generation – and men account for the majority of spending
key takeaways• neutraceuticals• traditional gift categories• off price/off brand
key themes
unique categories shopped unique merchants shopped
movies and tv
appliances
gift cards
flowers and gifts
silent generation unique habits
23
we have found evidence that personalization algos. might act differently if overlaid with generation data
Boomer apparel brand affinities among Nike buyers Millennial apparel brand
affinities among Nike buyers
key takeaways
25
key takeaway #1finding
there are more similarities than differences between generations’ online shopping habits.
implication
merchants and brands must not solely look at online as the channel where they cultivate younger shoppers.older shoppers are just as likely to be driving sales today.
26
key takeaway #2finding
emerging ‘mobile first’ and subscription businesses are driven by millennials.
implication
brands seeking to cultivate younger shoppers should build and support mobile first and subscription businesses. those in that space today should seek to diversify to older audiences, particularly time starved genXers
27
key takeaway #3finding
millennials generate the lowest average order sizes of all generations.
implication
merchants that aspire to attract younger shoppers would benefit from lower minimum free shipping and handling thresholds.
28
key takeaway #4finding
boomers and silents dominate sales of traditional holiday gift shopping categories such as gift cards and flowers.
implication
merchants in traditional gift shopping categories would uniquely benefit from age-based ad targeting.
29
key takeaway #5finding
genX online holiday shopping behaviors reflect their scarcity of time.
implication
for those that uniquely sell to GenXers, focus on time saving features and functionality:• click and collect• gift suggestions• gift wrappingholiday is a good time to acquire full service grocery customers
30
• questions on this presentation? [email protected]• want the slides? [email protected]• want to learn about our offerings? [email protected]• check out our blog - http://intelligence.slice.com/blog/
thank you
31
Questions?
APPENDIX
33
Which generation accounts for the largest share of purchases during the holiday season?
a) Millenial Generation (18-34)b) Generation X (35-50)c) Baby Boomers (51-69)d) Silent Generation (70+)
Audience Question #1
34
Which generation spends the least, per buyer, during the holiday season?
a) Millenial Generation (18-34)b) Generation X (35-50)c) Baby Boomers (51-69)d) Silent Generation (70+)
Audience Question #2
35
Category Rank (Holiday $)
Millennial Generation X Booomers Silents Total
Electronics & Accessories 1 101 109 102 104 103 Apparel & Acessories 2 107 105 115 106 109 Home & Kitchen 3 102 100 106 106 105 Health & Beauty 4 92 84 83 80 88 Software & Mobile Apps 5 64 62 62 63 63 Home Improvement 6 102 83 90 98 94 Shoes 7 100 99 103 101 102 Grocery & Gourmet Food 8 77 71 75 74 74 Books 9 72 77 75 78 74 Toys & Games 10 252 286 243 270 252 Jewelry & Watches 11 127 120 126 116 119 Sports & Outdoors 12 104 118 106 111 110 Automotive 13 95 90 96 82 94 Movies & TV 14 94 87 88 97 89 Baby Products 15 69 54 63 61 61 Office Products 16 140 144 110 127 120 Music 17 74 72 74 64 68 Appliances 18 83 83 79 110 87 Pet Supplies 19 76 68 70 67 73 Gift Cards 20 166 79 226 238 152 Photos & Paper Products 21 420 502 453 460 472 Online Services 22 54 44 64 48 55 Flowers & Gifts 23 28 37 53 68 41 Tickets & Events 24 66 33 24 36 39
Holiday Index v. Rest of Year*Holiday Opportunity Matrix
* (Category Share of Dollars Nov 1 2014 – Dec 31 2014 / Category Share of Dollars Jan 1 2014 – Oct 31 2014) * 100