micro case comp presentation group 20
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KBT Devices: Pull the PlugCindy Hur, Maya Poncelet, Jonah Ragsdale, Eric Ren
ZS Associates Case Competition Presentation 11/20/15
The Agenda for Today
About UsSurgiNet and beyond
OptionsAcquisitions and solutions
Goals and AssumptionsThe parameters
The MarketRight for KBT?
The ProblemSolvable?
The SurgiNet Plan
Unreasonable AssumptionsAccurate forecast?
Sales & RepsThe issue of time
The SolutionSurgi’n forward
The NumbersThe final projections
Does the acquisition of KBT Devices and ClearPATH solve the needs of SurgiNet Medical? Can we reasonably assume our goals will be met? If not what are our alternatives? We will seek to answer these questions through
careful examination of both companies and the industry.
What We DoSurgiNet is one of the leading
providers of product services, and education for the surgical – both open
and laparoscopic – treatment of urological diseases and conditions.
• Provides 32% of Ford Medical Systems revenue• Average annual revenue growth of 9%• Global revenue of $356 million in 2014 (6% growth from previous year)• 85 established sales representatives
SurgiNetA division of Ford Medical Systems
03 Low Morale
04 Quality Issues
01 Slugish Growth• 6% growth lower than 9% average• Strong pressure from competitors
02 Dry R&D Pipeline
• Executive leaving for competitor• New Management from parent company
• No new product developement• Funding issues?
• New product faced quality issues• Recalled few batches, negative publicity
The ProblemsAn explanation
Acquire the fast growing ClearPATH device, revamp
sales, increase revenue
Develope new product, utilize existing networks for additional
sales, increase revenue
Acquire KBT Devices Internal Solutions
What are the Options?Solving SurgiNet Issues
Ultimate GoalWhile a number of strategic and fiscal factors are considered by corporate when making funding decisions, it seeks a 15% return on investment within the first three years on most investments
Key Assumptions• If current funding allows for acquisition, the same funds can be applied to R&D• Acquisition of KBT Devices would require a separate and individual team of sales reps• KBT Devices is not limited in its growth in sales of the ClearPATH product
What We Must ProvideThe solution we provide will increase the current revenue of SurgiNet, increasing currently slow revenue growth back to an annual 9% growth or greater
Goals and AssumptionsThe parameters of our solution
Market Share: SurgiNet
ChangesIncreasing competition, revenue growthslowing, margins declining
Current ProductsOffer a versatile and diverse product portfolio
Product ChallengesReleased recent product, quality issuesensued, received bad publicity
GrowthAverage revenue growth of 9% in past
years
Market ShareCurrently control 60% + of ureteral
catheter & stent markets
RelationshipsSales reps have positive relationship with
surgeons using current products
Understanding the environment we are in will guide our decision whether or not to buy KBT Devices, or find our own solution
Potential for growth
Market Share: KBT Devices
Sustainability25% growth; Converts 40-60% but loses20% of accounts annually
Market PotentialCan achieve a 10% market share in US and greater
Dominant BuyerCleveland Clinic (trocar market leader)adopted ClearPATH
GrowthLaunched ClearPATH 13 months after beginning R&D: Already strong results
Market ShareOn contract with over 70% of surgical
facilities in the the US
RelationshipsGenerated good relationships and
publicity in laparoscopic industry
Is ClearPATH a sustainable product in a reliable market?
A solid start
Size
The US trocar market is estimated to be $280 million and $330 million
worldwide. The US constitutes 85%
making it the focus for sales and development
Growth
The market for laparoscopic continues
to grow. Less pain, shorter recovery, and
reduced costs are results of innovation
and competition
Competition
Endoscopix holds 66% of the US market
share. Their size (225 reps) makes it hard to compete with. Access Labs holds another 25% of US market
share
Clinical
Trocars are minimally invasive but are fickle in nature. Their use is rarely the same from
patient to patient which makes them difficult to
master and control
ClearPATH
ClearPATH utilizes recyclable & reusable design making it more
cost effective for hospitals. However its
materials make it harder for doctors to
use
Trocar Market: OverallWho has the advantage?
The market is relatively small and crowded, but the right product has potential to steal valuable market share
Will acquiring KBT devices tap into a large enough market of $280 million? How much more traction will ClearPATHgenerate if SurgiNet acquires KBT? How difficult will it be to convince surgeons to adopt a new, more complex device?
Market Share BreakdownWho’s in control
KBT Devices – 1%
Endoscopix – 66%
Access Labs – 25%
AB Medical – 4%
Other – 4%
01 Clinical SellingSelling clinical value of the product (effectiveness, safety, ease of use, compatibility)
02 Economic SellingSelling the economic value of the product (lower upfront cost, reducing other costs for the overall treatment)
03 ContractingContract writing with the hospital regarding sale of product (pricing, condition for service, training, liability, etc.)
04 Case CoverageKeep in touch with hospital and physicians (resolve issues, train and educate, inform of new products, observe procedures)
05 Administrative SupportEnsuring the hospital has sufficient inventory, fixing insurance reimbursement issues, etc.
06 Technical SupportAddress technical problems and bringing appropriate resources
Six Activities of Selling100% time consumption
01 Clinical SellingPhysicians are cautious for products new to the market or that command a small share of the market
02 Economic SellingClearPATH provides high value at a low cost and is recyclable, further reducing costs
03 ContractingIf a hospital is affiliated with a GPO or IDN and is under contract, new negotiations are unnecessary. However, there are openings
04 Case CoverageTrocars are low risk in general, but due to the complex materials and recyclability, ClearPATH requires higher case coverage
05 Administrative SupportClearPATH has no additional impact on administrative support
06 Technical SupportClearPATH is more complex in nature which could lead to increased technical support over the average trocar
ClearPATH CompatibilityA Cost-Benefit Analysis
Selling Non-Customer Admin.
SALES
Customer AdministrationTravelDriving, flying etc.
Face to face interactions that are performed to
maintain or increase sales
Expense reports, call reports, special projects, internal coordination
Preparing proposals, contracts, coordinating customer meetings, handling defective products, etc.
SurgiNet Rep Time AllocationA Full Schedule
SurgiNet has 85 sales representatives on staff
Assumption: SurgiNet reps are utilizing 100% of time selling SurgiNet
products
15-25%
40-55%
15-25%
4-8%
Market
New Hospitals
New Reps
Time Consuming
Conversion Time
Small Hospitals
New Product
New Place
ClearPATH’s focus on small hospitals isn’t conducive to saving time as new larger
customers will require longer conversion time
ClearPATH and TimeMoving in the Opposite Direction
Medium-LargeMega Hospitals
12% 49% 23% 4%
ASCCommunity
Total Conversion Efforts
48 Days 18 Days 6 Days 4.5 Days
Ongoing Account Maintenance (Monthly Average)
16 Hours 4 Hours 2 Hours 2 Hours
Hospital BreakdownTime and Effort in the Market
Current Reps:• Will current SurgiNet sales representatives be able to handle ClearPATH?
• No, sales representatives are too busy selling current SurgiNet products
Staff:• Do we need to hire a separate team to handle sales? If so, how many additional sales
reps do we need?• Yes, projections claim an additional team of 28 sales representatives selling ClearPATH only
Costs:• Are the high costs of a sales representative worth the returns in sales?
• Annual costs of $225,000 - $250,000
Important AnswersConsequences of Acquisition
2014 SurgiNet US Revenue
Revenue per sales rep (159.5/85)
Anticipated reps in 2016
Lost opportunity(1.88*28)
159.5m* 1.88m 28 52.64m
Unreasonable Assumption 1: 100% of Time on ClearPATHUsing Current Sales Representatives
Using existing SurgiNet sales reps for ClearPATH causes huge loss in opportunity
*Assuming no other revenue outside of representatives
April 2016 May 2016 June 2016 July 2016
Sales Reps 13 18 24 26
Costs 257,291.67(13*237,500/12)
356,250(18*237,500/12)
475,000(24*237,500/12)
514,583.33(26*237,500/12)
Expected Revenue 353,483 412,425 527,430 620,635
Gross Profit (96,191.33) (56,175) (52,430) (106,051.67)
Unreasonable Assumption 1: 100% of Time on ClearPATHHiring New Sales Representatives
Cost of a fully-loaded sales rep: $225,000 - $250,000 (Avg. $237,500)
StrengthsContracts
WeaknessCustomers
WeaknessUnsteady Sales
SALES
ClearPATH sales have increased 25% over the past twelve months
Growth has not been consistent. ClearPATH tends to lose about 20% of sales annually
On contract with over 70% of surgical facilities in the US
KBT focuses on smaller customers. Needs to target medium and large
hospitals to be effective
Assumption 2: Expectation of 2% Sales GrowthA risky assumption?
StrengthsPast Sales
CUSTOMERS
Cleveland ClinicConversion of one of the premier U.S. teaching hospitals
Westside Hospital SystemA nationally-renowned OB/GYN hospital
Surgery Center of San AntonioConversion of one of the leading bariatric centers in the US
Doctors’ Surgery CenterAnother leading bariatric center
Cleveland, OH
Portland, OR
San Antonio, TX
Philadelphia, PA
Major AdoptersBut is it enough?
With 70% still on contract but only a 1% market share, do these facilities suffice?
20%15%
10%
2016 2017 2018
Acquisition ForecastProper Formulation
• The original forecasting model does not include the
loss of 20% of accounts
• Creating the new acquisition model builds in the loss
of accounts in decreasing scale (assuming
acquisition makes sales more efficient)
• Assumes 50% of accounts are converted annually
(Average of 40-60% conversion)
• Gross margin is 74%
• Assumption: Each sales rep costs $225,000
annually (low end)
• Assumption: Each account assumes 6 surgeons
using 35 trocars a month
Percentage Loss of Accounts in New Model
Three Year ProfitAcquisition Valuation
Three Year Profit
$21,049,643.83
Max Acquisition Price
$18,304,038.11
Corporate (Ford Medical) requires a 15% return on investment within 3 year when making funding decisions. Based on the three year profits after acquiring KBT Devices, SurgiNet
can pay no more than $18.3 million for ClearPATH in order to achieve a 15% return.
24
5
2016 2017 2018
KBT Devices ValuationUnderestimating Worth
• Due to the dominance of ClearPATH with smaller
market customers, we estimate revenue based on
lower but increasing numbers of surgeons per
account (as larger hospitals are contracted)
• Assumption: KBT convert 40% of accounts (low end)
• Gross margin is 74%
• Assumption: Each sales rep costs $250,000
annually (high end)
• Assumption: KBT has 28 sales reps on staff through
3 year period (matching acquisition model)
• KBT Devices has contracts with over 70% ofsurgical facilities in the US
Number of Surgeons Per Account
Three Year ProfitKBT Valuation
Three Year Profit
$27,246,105.60
The Market Value for KBT Devices based on profits over 3 years is higher than SurgiNet can afford to produce a 15% return on its investment
Comparison Report SampleWrite here your great subtitle
The differences in profits are due to the issues we have previously discussed: Unreasonable acquisition assumptions, difference in target hospitals, and time efficiencies of sales reps. An
acquisition of KBT Devices would require at minimum their market value of $27.2 million (excluding the premium most acquisitions demand). Thus we will not acquire KBT Devices as
it would not achieve our goal and cause a loss of revenue.
Max Acquisition Price
$18,304,038.11
KBT Devices Market Value
$27,246,105.60
Money Assumption
If SurgiNet has the funds to acquire a company, then SurgiNet
has the funds to invest in R&D
Current Success
SurgiNet holds 60% of its current market and has established
relationships at target market hospitals
ClearPATH
Just because ClearPATH isn’t right for our market, doesn’t mean that a
trocar isn’t right for our market
Internal Solutions?Things to Keep in Mind
SurgiNet Trocars
• Invest up to $18.3 million into R&D of effective but price sensitive trocar
• Higher a few additional sales reps, but not near as many, and without 100% time allocation to the new product
• Why?• Simple trocars are a low risk
product which requires very little case coverage, the biggest time consumer of a sales rep
• Current reps will utilize current successful accounts to market new product with physicians trust already established
• Market research shows hospitals are price sensitive, meaning a lost cost product could steal away significant market share
The SolutionEntering the Market
The trocar market has potential, but ClearPATH isn’t the solution SurgiNet needs
Current time usage doesn’t allow for the attention ClearPATH would require. Profitable projections are unreasonable due to time constraint
Acquiring KBT Devices would lead to an inability to produce a 15% return (or a positive return) due to KBT’s high market value
Development of a price sensitive trocar internally provides greater return than acquisition
In SummaryConclusion