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01 IRDR Conference 2011

Message

On behalf of the IRDR Science Committee it is with great pleasure that we welcome you to the Integrated

Research on Disaster Risk (IRDR) Conference 2011 “Disaster Risk: Integrating Science & Practice” in Beijing.

The Conference was conceived to respond to two fundamental questions:

Why, despite advances in the natural and social science of hazards and disasters, do losses continue to

increase?

To what extent is the world-wide growth in disaster losses a symptom and indicator of unsustainable

development?

In addition, this event should help answer the following questions with regard to disaster risk reduction:

Are we focusing on the most important problems?

Are we digging deep enough to uncover the root causes of disasters?

Are decision-makers in governments, private sector, NGOs, and other stakeholder organizations actually

making decisions based on our findings?

This event will focus on characterization of hazards, vulnerability, and risk; understanding decision-making

in complex and changing risk contexts; and reducing risk and curbing losses through knowledge-based

actions. It will stress the importance of developing resilient societies through disaster risk reduction, based on

the guidance provided by the Hyogo Framework for Action (2005-2015): Building the Resilience of Nations

and Communities to Disasters. A key outcome of this event is to help identify key research initiatives and

ways to promote disaster risk reduction based on good science.

The IRDR aims at promoting and facilitating integrated research that includes all relevant aspects of disasters,

with particular interest in social sciences to understand better the formation of social vulnerability that often

is at the root of disasters. It also aims at promoting and facilitating policy-oriented research and team efforts

among the academic community and government policy-makers.

We trust with your contribution the Conference and its follow-up will help advance the IRDR in these two

directions.

We look forward to your active participation and your contribution in moving this forward to make the world

a safer place for all as a pre-requisite for a sustainable development.

Sálvano Briceño I R D R S c i e n c e C o m m i t t e e C h a i r (Incoming)

Gordon McBeanIRDR Science Committee Chair

02

On behalf of China Association for Science and Technology

(CAST), it is my pleasure to welcome you to the IRDR Conference

2011, which will take place in Beijing, China, from October 31 to

November 2, 2011.

China is a country severely suffered from natural disasters, which

come in large varieties, extensive geographic coverage, and high

frequency and great social damage. Therefore, we attach great

importance to the role of scientific research in natural disaster

prevention and mitigation and expect broad international

cooperation in this regard to not only benefit China in disaster

fighting, but also to make contribution to the world as well. Bearing

these in mind, we feel grateful to ICSU, ISSC and UN-ISDR, for giving

us the opportunity and honor to host Integrated Research on

Disaster Risk International Programme Office in China.

It is our pleasure to jointly sponsor this conference, the first

important international event of IRDR. I hope that the conference

will provide a platform for worldwide experts and scientists to

exchange in the field of disaster risk and hence from which to

launch trans-disciplinary research alliances aimed at in-depth,

practical disaster risk reduction studies.

I look forward to seeing you at the event in Beijing.

Sincerely,

Prof. Zhang Qin Executive Secretary China Association for Science and Technology (CAST)

02 | 03 IRDR Conference 2011

The IRDR International Programme Office would like to welcome you

to Beijing and the IRDR Conference t2011. We have designed this

conference to afford the opportunity to develop integrated partnership

and discuss the various complexities of using science to make our

communities more sustainable. Please take advantage of the breaks to

meet and discuss with your fellow researchers, practitioners and policy

makers on the important issue surrounding disaster risk reduction.

These dynamic interactions make the conference a platform to launch

trans-disciplinary research alliances aimed at in-depth, practical disaster

risk reduction studies.

We would like to thank all our partners at the Chinese Association of

Science and Technology (CAST), Chinese tAcademy of Sciences (CAS),

Center for Earth Observation and Digital Earth (CEODE), International

Council of Science (ICSU), International Social Science Council (ISSC),

and United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction

(ISDR) for their support for this event. Thanks also to IRDR JAPAN, IRDR

CHINA, United Nations University, CODATA, Monsoon Asia Integrated

Regional Study (MAIRS), and World Weather Research Program (WWRP)

for convening session or events during the conference. We appreciate

IRDR New Zealand, Earth Observatory of Singapore, and Academy of

Science in Taipei for sending the IRDR IPO staff for the Conference.

We wish you all a productive conference as we work to bring an

integrated, trans-disciplinary approach to tdisaster risk reduction

and work to shift the focus from response/recovery to prevention/

mitigation.

Dr. Jane E. Rovins, CEM Executive Director Integrated Research on Disaster Risk IPO

Message

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Sunday, October 30

08:30 to 17:30 Registration

Schedule

Monday, October 31

09:00 to 12:00 Morning Sessions

09:00 to 10:15 Opening Ceremony (Hall #2) IntroductionbyGordonMcBEAN

QideHAN,CASTPresident China

MargaretaWAHLSTRÖM,UnitedNationsSecretaryGeneral’s SpecialRepresentativeforDisasterRiskReduction(video) Sweden

YuanTsehLEE,ICSUPresident China:Taipei

HeideHACKMANN,ISSCExecutiveDirector France

ClosingbyGordonMcBEAN

10:15 to 10:45 Coffee and Tea Break

10:45 to 12:00 Keynote 1 Integrated Disaster Risk (Hall #2) IntroductionbyHowardMOORE

Knowledge Production Across Fields, Sectors and National Borders: The Implications and Challenges of Integrated Research Speaker:HeideHACKMANN France

IntroductionbyHowardMOORE

Disaster Risk: From Research to Practice – A Summary of the IRDR Programme Speaker:JaneROVINS China/USA

ClosingbyHowardMOORE

12:00 to 13:30 Lunch

13:30 to 18:35 Afternoon Sessions

13:30 to 15:15 Keynote 2 Cases for Integrated Research (Hall #2)

IntroductionbySálvanoBRICEŇO

Towards Reconstruction after The Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami YoshiakiKAWATA Japan

Emerging Risks: The Case for Integrated Research RandolohKENT UK

ClosingbySálvanoBRICEŇO


15:45 to 18:35 Keynote 3 Reading International Events in the IRDR Perspective (Hall #2)

IntroductionbyAllanLAVELL

Reading International Events in the IRDR Perspective – Hazards and Politics JohnHANDMER Australia

Recent Progress of Disaster Risk Research and Mitigation in China HuadongGUO China

Living with Drought: Challenges and Solutions WadidERIAN Egypt

Discussion/ClosingbyAllanLAVELL

19:00 Welcoming Banquet

Tuesday, November 1



08:30 to 10:00 Keynote 4 Integrated Disasters and the Role of Science (Hall #2)

IntroductionbyGordonMcBEAN

Reducing Haiti’s Vulnerability to Hazards – the Role of Science MMeMichaëlleJEAN,UNESCOSpecialEnvoyforHaitiand FormerGovernorGeneralofCanada Canada

Formation of the Disastrous Asian Summer Monsoon Onset Vortex GuoxiongWU,OrdinarymemberofICSUExecutiveBoard, ChairmanofScienceSteeringGroupofNationalKeyScience ResearchProgramonGlobalChange China

ClosingbyGordonMcBEAN

10:00 to 10:30 Plenary 1 Characterization of Hazards, Vulnerability and Risk (Hall #2)

IntroductionbyOmarDaríoCARDONA

Characterization of Hazards, Vulnerability and Risk Speaker:SusanCUTTER USA

ClosingbyOmarDaríoCARDONA


11:00 to 12:15 Plenary 2 Understanding Decision-Making in Complex and Changing Risk Contexts (Hall #2)

IntroductionbyDjillaliBENOUAR

Speaker:AllanLAVELL CostaRica

Plenary 3 Reducing Risk and Curbing Losses through Knowledge-Based Actions (Hall #2)


Speaker:AndrewMASKREY Switzerland

ClosingbyDjillaliBENOUAR

12:15 to 13:30 Lunch


13:30 to 15:15 Breakouts A1 - Identifying Hazards and Vulnerabilities Leading to Risks (Hall 2B)

IntroductionbyFerruccioFERRIGNI

Paradigms of Vulnerability Revisited: Examples from European Mountain Regions SvenFUCHS Austria

Use of Quantitative Risk Assessment in Landslide Risk Management KenHO HonkKong

Holistic Evaluation of the Disaster Risk in Urban Areas Using Indicators LilianaCARREŇO Mexico

Seismic Risk Reduction in Algeria MohamedFARSI Algeria

Discussion/ClosingbyFerruccioFERRIGNI

13:30 to 15:15 B1 - Improving the Quality of Decision-Making Practice - Japanese Earthquake (Hall 2A)

IntroductionbyKuniyoshiTAKEUCHI

Meta and Longitudinal Analyses of High Death Rates of Some Particular Municiparities in GEJET TadashiNAKASU Japan

Scenario Analysis of Mega Earthquake and Tsunami in Central Japan NaokiFUJIWARA Japan

Practical Utilization of Maps to Construct Common Operational Pictures in Disaster Response - A Case Study of Eastern Japan Earthquake in 2011 TakashiFURUYA Japan

Design of Standardized Management System of Victims Master Database for Effective Victims' Life Reconstruction MunenariINOGUCHI Japan Discussion/ClosingbyKuniyoshiTAKEUCHI

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13:30 to 15:15 C1 - Vulnerability Assessments (Hall 2C)

IntroductionbyJoernBIRKMANN

Key Challenges for Vulnerability and Risk Assessment in the Light of Recent Disasters JakobRHYNER Germany

Various Approaches of Vulnerability Assessments JoernBIRKMANN Germany

Vulnerability Assessment in the Context of Disasters and Resettlement Processes NisharaFERNANDO SriLanka

Review and Up-date of the Disaster Risk Management Indicators Program for the Americas OmarDaríoCARDONA Columbia

Discussion/ClosingbyJoernBIRKMANN

13:30 to 15:15 D1 - Capacity Building for Integrated Research (#307)


Periperi U ChrisORACH Uganda

Mission and Operation of the IRDR International Centre of Excellence Chao-HanLIU China:Taipei

Adaptation to Climate Change in Asian Coastal Cities (IRDR ICoE project) RolandJ.FUCHS USA

Centre for Natural Disaster Science (CNDS) – A Swedish Initiative to Improve Security and Disaster Management SvenHALLDIN Sweden

Discussion/ClosingbyDjillaliBENOUAR

13:30 to 15:15 E1 - Monsoon Asia Integrated Regional Study (MAIRS - #310)

IntroductionbyAiliKUN

The Impact of Climate Change/Variability in Urbanization Areas of Thailand: Case of Extreme Events for Chilling Cold Weather in Upper and Very Heavy Rainfall in Lower Parts, Thailand SomchaiBAIMOUNG Thailand

Introduction of MAIRS Megacity Study AiliKUN China

Patterns of pH, Temperature and Salinity in the Straits of Malacca and the South China Sea with Possible Relation to Riverine Run-Offs in the Region AnisahLeeABDULLAH Malaysia

Impact of Urban Heat Island Effect on the Precipitation over Complex Geographic Environment in Northern Taiwan Chuan-YaoLIN China:Taipei

Discussion/ClosingbyAiliKUN


15:45 to 17:30 Breakouts A2 - Forensic Investigations of Disasters (FORIN) Working Group (Hall 2B)

IntroductionbyAllanLAVELL

FORIN Template AllanLAVELL CostaRica

FORIN or Far-out? Exploring Multiple Drivers of Disaster Risks in Africa DjillaliBENOUAR Algeria

Return on Experience for Enhanced Integrated Prevention - REX-INTEGRATED-PREVENTION TorstenSCHLURMANN Germany

Critical Cause Analysis of Delayed Evacuation in the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami JunkoSAGARA Japan

Discussion/ClosingbyAllanLAVELL

15:45 to 17:30 B2 - Understanding Decision-Making in the Context of Environmental Hazards (Hall 2C)

IntroductionbyDavidJOHNSTON

Schedule


The Establishment of Health Vulnerability Assessment Methods in the Context of Climate Change and its Application on Heat Wave Events in Guangdong Province QiZHU China

Examining the Feasibility of Informal Settlement Flood Early Warning Systems: Focus on the Urban Flood-Risk Experience in Kosovo and Masiphumelele Residents, Cape Town South Africa FrancisJ.SOLOMON SouthAfrica

Spatial Strategies and Practices to Address Hydrometeorological Phenomena in the City of Campeche, Mexico JimenaCUEVASPORTILLA Mexico

Asian River Deltas experiencing slow-onset Hazards: Vulnerability, Resilience and Adaptation to Environmental Degradation and Climate Change ClaudiaKUENZER Germany

Discussion/ClosingbyDavidJOHNSTON

15:45 to 17:30 C2 - Integrated Disaster Data in Support of Integrated Disaster Research (Hall 2A)

IntroductionbyRobertCHEN

Importance of High Quality Data for Calibration and Verification of Hazard and Risk Models FarrokhNADIM Norway

OpenISDM: An Open Framework for Disaster Information Systems Jan-MingHO China:Taipei

GEO Grid Disaster Response Task Force Activity for the 2011 Tohoku, Japan Earthquake KokiIWAO Japan

Progress and Challenges in Integrating Disaster-Related Data and Information RobertCHEN USA

Discussion/ClosingbyRobertCHEN

15:45 to 17:30 D2 - Integration of Politicians and Disaster Risk Research (#307)

IntroductionbySálvanoBRICEŇO

The Hyogo Framework for Action AbdouSANÉ Senegal

Integration of Politicians and Disaster Risk Research ByarugabaAlexBAKUNDA Uganda

Politics and Disaster Risk Reduction – Connecting the Dots SaberHossainCHOWDHURY Bangladesh

Politics and Disaster Risk Reduction SaumuraTIOULONG Cambodia

Discussion/ClosingbySálvanoBRICEŇO

15:45 to 17:30 E2 - Monsoon Asia Integrated Regional Study (MAIRS - #310)

IntroductionbyAiliKUN

The Relation between Land Cover and the Urban Heat Island Using Geoinformatics Applications KanchanaNAKHAPAKORN Thailand

Probability Distribution of Minimum/Maximum Temperature and Response to Urbanization over China During the Last 50 years TianbaoZHAO China

The Severe Drought in the Yangtze River Basin in the Spring of 2011 JieWEI China

An Economic Assessment Method for the Impact of Climate Change JiemingCHOU China Multi-Model Projection of Asian Climate Change ShuyuWANG China

Discussion/ClosingbyAiliKUN

17:30 to 18:00 Young Scientists Posters (Poster Session Area)

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Schedule

17:30 to 19:00 SC IRDR NC, ICoE Round Table (Invite Only) IRDR-China

19:00 Dinner (Invite Only)

Wednesday, November 2


08:30 to 10:15 Breakouts A3 - Dynamic Modeling of Risk (Hall 2B)

IntroductionbyOmarDaríoCARDONA

The Global Earthquake Model (GEM) RuiPINHO Italy

Risk and Impact Modeling Tools for Weather Related Hazards JoanneC.ROBBINS UK

Mapping and Understanding Global Disaster Risk and Trends: the GAR Analysis PascalPEDUZZI Switzerland

CAPRA - Comprehensive Approach to Probabilistic Risk Assessment: International Initiative for Disaster Risk Management Effectiveness LuisE.YAMÍN Colombia

Discussion/ClosingbyOmarDaríoCARDONA

08:30 to 10:15 B3 - Risk Interpretation and Action (RIA) Working Group (#307)

IntroductionbyRichardEISER

RIA Report DickEISER UK

Judgments of Earthquake Risk Before and After the Canterbury Earthquake: Do they Relate to Preparedness? JohnMcCLURE NewZealand

Building and Losing Public Trust in Disaster Risk Management MathewWHITE UK

Discussion/ClosingbyRichardEISER

08:30 to 10:15 C3 - Long Term Disaster Data Archiving and Sharing for Scientific Research (Hall 2A)

IntroductionbyGuoqingLI

Data Management in Natural Disaster Mitigation GuoqingLI China

WGISS report on space based disaster data activities PakornAPAPHANT Thailand

Open Knowledge and Data Environment for Disaster Mitigation for Developing Countires ChuangLIU China

Cyber technical opportunity for Global disaster management CarolSONG China

Discussion/ClosingbyGuoqingLI

08:30 to 10:15 D3 - Poverty, Economics and Disasters (Hall 2C)

IntroductionbyChamhuriSIWAR

Poverty, Vulnerability, and Resilience EvansJADOTTE Haiti

Disaster Risk Insurance in Iran and Building Insurance Risk Index MohsenGHAFORY-ASHTIANY Iran

Modelling the Economic Effects of Disaster Risk in Nepal StefanHOCHRAINER Austria

The Role of Insurance PaulKOVACS Canada

Discussion/ClosingbyChamhuriSIWAR


10:45 to 12:30 Breakouts A4 - Forecasting Hazards (Hall 2B)

IntroductionbyRaymondCHAN


Long- and Short-Range Forecasting of Volcanic Eruptions AntoniusRATDOMOPURBO Singapore

Forecasting and Warning of Tropical Cyclones in China JingXU China

Building an Enhanced Drought Early Warning System: Contributions and Collaborations toward a Global Drought Early Warning System MarkSVOBODA USA

Landslide Forecasting and its Role in Risk Reduction NickROBERTS Canada

Discussion/ClosingbyRaymondCHAN

10:45 to 12:30 B4 - Identifying Relevant Decision-Making Systems and their Interactions (Hall 2C)

IntroductionbyAnthonyOLIVER-SMITH

Community Preparedness for Natural Hazards: Cross Cultural and Cultural Perspectives DouglasPATON Australia

Climate Capacity as an Indicator for Adaptation Planning JiahuaPAN China

The Role of Multidisciplinary Research and Collaboration for Improving the Resilience of Communities to Natural Hazards DavidJOHNSTON NewZealand

Integrating Knowledge and Actions in Making Decision for Disaster Risk Reduction: A Road Map JeanChristopheGAILLARD NewZealand

Discussion/ClosingbyAnthonyOLIVER-SMITH

10:45 to 12:30 C4 - Effective Approaches to Risk Reduction (#307)

IntroductionbyMariaPATEK Landslide Risk Management in Hong Kong RaymondCHAN HongKong

Natural Hazard Risk Assessment in the Australasian Region: Informing Disaster Risk Reduction and Building Community Resilience JohnSCHNEIDER Australia

Cost-Benefit Probabilistic Ratio of Seismic Retrofitting MiguelMORA Colombia

Design and Implementation of Seismic Risk Insurance to Cover Low-Income Homeowners by Cross-Subsidy Strategy MabelMARULANDA Spain

Discussion/ClosingbyMariaPATEK

10:45 to 12:30 D4 - Disaster Loss Data (DATA) Working Group (Hall 2A)

IntroductionbyAngelikaWIRTZ

The Need of Loss Data AngelikaWIRTZ Germany

Global Loss Databases, Methodologies, Uncertainties ReginaBELOW Belgium

National and Local Databases: Implementation in Decision Making Processes CarlosVILLACIS Ecuador

Usage of National Disaster Loss Data in the Global Assessment Report JulioSERJE Switzerland

Discussion/ClosingbyAngelikaWIRTZ

12:30 to 13:30 Lunch


13:30 to 15:15 Breakouts A5 - Assessment of Integrated Research on Disaster Risk (AIRDR) Working Group (Hall 2B)

IntroductionbySusanCUTTER

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Schedule

What is AIRDR? SusanCUTTER USA

Global Assessment Report AndrewMASKREY Switzerland

Discussion/ClosingbySusanCUTTER

13:30 to 15:15 B5 - Disaster Risk and Climate Change Adaptation (Hall 2A)

IntroductionbyDavidJOHNSTON

Climate Change and Migration - Evidence and Policy in Northern China YanZHENG China

Applications of PRECIS for Assessing Extreme Climate Events ChangguiWANG UK

IPCC/SREX GordonMCBEAN Canada

How Climate-related Disasters Exacerbate Poverty? YinlongXU China

Discussion/ClosingbyDavidJOHNSTON

13:30 to 15:15 C5 - Young Scientists (# 307)

IntroductionbyRichardEISER

Science in the Context of Advice: Volcanic Risk Assessments on Montserrat AmyR.DONOVAN UK

The Case of Istanbul: Are Decision Makers Actually Make Their Decisions Based on the Findings of Scientific Community? FundaATUN Turkey

Spatial and Sectorial Impact Analysis on Farm and Rural Non- farm Organizations following the 4 September 2010 Darfield Earthquake, New Zealand ZachWHITMAN USA/NewZealand

Drought and Disaster in Central America: Perceptive and Scientific Misinterpretations and the Search for Root Causes in Ongoing Territorial Processes AlonsoBRENES CostaRica

Using MODIS NDVI Time Series to Identify Landslides in Vegetated Regions WentaoYANG China

Discussion/ClosingbyRichardEISER

13:30 to 15:15 D5 - Barriers and Bridges (Hall 2C)

IntroductionbyAnthonyOLIVER-SMITH

Extreme Seismic Hazard and Disasters: From Basic Science to Preventive Disaster Management AlikISMAIL-ZADEH Russia/Germany

Barriers in the Science-Policy-Practice Interface: Toward a Knowledge-Action-System in Global Environmental Change Research Jo-TingHUANG China:Taipei

Urban Risks and Disaster Planning: A Different Perspective SamuelR.WINNINGHAM USA

Empirical Relationships Between Development and Disaster ChristopherM.LAVELL CostaRica

Discussion/ClosingbyAnthonyOLIVER-SMITH


16:00 to 17:00 Plenary 4 Summary of Conference Outcomes, Moving Forward (Hall #2)

IntroductionbyJaneROVINS

Speaker:SálvanoBRICEŇO Venezuela

Panel Discussion (P4) Discussion/Closing by Jane ROVINS


General Information

Registration Desk

The registration desk will open in the following hours:09:00-17:30 October 3008:00-19:00 October 3108:00-19:00 November 108:00-18:00 November 2

Location of Meeting Rooms

The keynote and plenary sessions will be held in Convention Hall No. 2, 2/F, at Beijing International Convention Center (BICC); breakout sessions will be held in Convention Hall No. 2 on 2/F and meeting rooms on 3/F, at BICC.

Badges

Participants and registered accompanying persons are advised to wear their badges during all events.

Poster

All posters will be put up in front of Convention Hall No. 2, 2/F. The setup time is 14:00-20:00, October 30. The posters should be dismounted after 17:00, November 2. The conference will not be responsible for the loss of posters not removed after that time.

Internet Connections

Wireless internet access will be provided in the conference area. Please connect to CMCC-GJHY for it.

PPT Preview and Upload

All speakers are advised to test and upload their PPT document one day before presentations in Secretariat Room 2-B, 2F..Working hours:09:00-17:30 October 3008:00-19:00 October 3108:00-19:00 November 108:00-18:00 November 2

Notice for Speakers

Please meet your session chairs 15 minutes before the session starts.Keep your presentation within the allowed time.

Working Lunch

The registration fee includes working lunches from October 31 to November 2 in Banquet Hall in Beijing Continental Grand Hotel next to BICC.

Banking and Postal Service

There is a bank in BICC basement where participants can exchange foreign currency. A post office can be found to the east of Crown Plaza Beijing Parkview Wuzhou Hotel.

Restaurants and Shopping

There are many restaurants of different culinary styles around the conference venue. Within walking distance are the North Star Plaza and North Star Shopping Center, where shopping of daily necessities can be done. Opening hours: 10:00-22:00

Getting Around

Taxi cabs can be found in front of BICC and Beijing Continental Grand Hotel. On the street, you can call an empty cab waving your arm. As most taxi drivers speak no English it is advisable to have the name of your destination written in Chinese on a small piece of paper and show it to taxi drivers. In addition, please always bring along the address of your hotel for your return.

Taxis are metered, please pay the taxi fare shown on the meter when you get off. The machine will also print out receipts automatically for you. It costs two yuan/km within the first 15 kilometer and three yuan/km for additional kilometers.

Personal Safety

Beijing is safe, but you still have to keep an eye on your passport and the valuables, especially when in crowded areas. In case of loss of passport, contact the local police at 110 and the embassy of your country as well.

First Aid and Medical Service

The telephone number for the first aid is 120 or 999. Several hospitals in Beijing are staffed with English speaking doctors.

Smoking

Smoking is not allowed at the conference venue – Beijing International Convention Center.

Disclaimer

The conference does not accept any liability for injuries/losses of whatever incurred during the conference, nor for loss or damage of luggage and/or personal belongings.

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| 15 IRDR Conference 2011

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