meghan hoyer: "will the silver tsunami send medicare into the red?" 12.17.15
TRANSCRIPT
Seniors are sicker
"If they were just
as healthy, we'd be
in trouble, from
demographics
alone. But the
problem is, they're
not.”- Dana King, a family physician
and researcher at West
Virginia University
USA TODAY Methodology
Used multiple chronic condition prevalence and utilization/spending data, along with the overall CMS county-level geographic variation PUF
Took percentage of Medicare FFS chronic condition population over 65 and calculated the actual numbers of people affected, imputing values where data was suppressed
Multiplied those numbers with data on per-patient spending on chronic condition population, by county
Compared total spending on chronic condition population to the total spent on Medicare FFS in each county
Two-thirds of traditional
Medicare beneficiaries older
than 65 have multiple chronic
conditions, according to a USA
TODAY analysis of county-
level Medicare data. More than
4 million — about 15% — have
at least six long-term ailments.
Those sickest seniors account
for more than 41% of the $324
billion spent on traditional
Medicare.
Our Findings
Find your county’s rates
Why is it so expensive?
Gerard Anderson, a professor at Johns Hopkins
University's Bloomberg School of Public Health,
says elderly individuals living with at least five
chronic conditions typically see 13 different
physicians and fill 50 prescriptions annually.
Not just a Medicare problem
Cigna looked at 200,000 customers in employer-sponsored plans between 2012 and 2014 and found that people with chronic conditions had much higher health care expenses.
Overall, chronic conditions contributed to nearly half of all medical expenses in 2013, the study said.
Medicare’s solution
CMS began offering a $40 monthly care management fee to primary-care practitioners who spend time coordinating complex-care cases, starting in January 2015.
"That might go a little ways, but it's probably not enough for most doctors. We almost have to
create a whole new profession here — the care coordinators — and then we have to figure out a
way to pay for it.”
- Gerard Anderson
Adding the Real
Used the data to find a place in the US where this is already a major issue
Finding people with multiple chronic conditions:
- Called local support organizations
- Checked online sites (meetups, Facebook groups)
Finding solutions:
- Checked in with local doctors and health care networks
- Local groups on aging