megatrends by hp: shaping our future

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Page 1: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

1

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect Twitter andrewbolwell

Things are changing so fast that would you have believedhellip

2

Source BBC 2015 httpwwwbbccomnewsbusiness-34773940

3

India sent a spacecraft to Mars for less money than it took Hollywood to make the movie Gravity

Source Wall Street Journal 2014 httpblogswsjcomindiarealtime20140923how-india-mounted-the-worlds-cheapest-mission-to-mars

4

It took Uber a mere four years to hit $10 Billion in gross revenue

Source httpwwwbusinessinsidercomuber-revenue-san-francisco-2015-1

5

And Artificial Intelligence took just 42 hours to solve the 100-year-old mystery of how flatworms regenerate body parts

Source Science journal PLOS Michael Levin and Daniel Lobo 2015 httpjournalsplosorgploscompbiolarticleid=101371journalpcbi1004295

6

Over the next 15 years we will experience more change than in all of human history to date

So how do we as engineers marketers designers innovators and executives stay ahead of that change and help chart our own course

7

At HP we believe major socio-economic demographic and technological trends occurring across the globe will have a sustained transformative impact on the world in the years ahead - on businesses societies economies cultures and our personal lives

8

9

Source httpwwwworldometersinfoworld-population

10

By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth

Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries

11

And this growing population is moving to cities

Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering

12

97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home

By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

13

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every

single day14

So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of

Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-

breaking-all-the-trends15

For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems

Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs

16

Source McKinsey 2012

The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines

httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization

17

PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18

bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19

20

To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40

trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro

effect on economic growth and restructuring

Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)

Sources

bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment

bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf

21

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 2: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Things are changing so fast that would you have believedhellip

2

Source BBC 2015 httpwwwbbccomnewsbusiness-34773940

3

India sent a spacecraft to Mars for less money than it took Hollywood to make the movie Gravity

Source Wall Street Journal 2014 httpblogswsjcomindiarealtime20140923how-india-mounted-the-worlds-cheapest-mission-to-mars

4

It took Uber a mere four years to hit $10 Billion in gross revenue

Source httpwwwbusinessinsidercomuber-revenue-san-francisco-2015-1

5

And Artificial Intelligence took just 42 hours to solve the 100-year-old mystery of how flatworms regenerate body parts

Source Science journal PLOS Michael Levin and Daniel Lobo 2015 httpjournalsplosorgploscompbiolarticleid=101371journalpcbi1004295

6

Over the next 15 years we will experience more change than in all of human history to date

So how do we as engineers marketers designers innovators and executives stay ahead of that change and help chart our own course

7

At HP we believe major socio-economic demographic and technological trends occurring across the globe will have a sustained transformative impact on the world in the years ahead - on businesses societies economies cultures and our personal lives

8

9

Source httpwwwworldometersinfoworld-population

10

By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth

Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries

11

And this growing population is moving to cities

Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering

12

97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home

By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

13

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every

single day14

So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of

Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-

breaking-all-the-trends15

For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems

Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs

16

Source McKinsey 2012

The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines

httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization

17

PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18

bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19

20

To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40

trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro

effect on economic growth and restructuring

Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)

Sources

bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment

bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf

21

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 3: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Source BBC 2015 httpwwwbbccomnewsbusiness-34773940

3

India sent a spacecraft to Mars for less money than it took Hollywood to make the movie Gravity

Source Wall Street Journal 2014 httpblogswsjcomindiarealtime20140923how-india-mounted-the-worlds-cheapest-mission-to-mars

4

It took Uber a mere four years to hit $10 Billion in gross revenue

Source httpwwwbusinessinsidercomuber-revenue-san-francisco-2015-1

5

And Artificial Intelligence took just 42 hours to solve the 100-year-old mystery of how flatworms regenerate body parts

Source Science journal PLOS Michael Levin and Daniel Lobo 2015 httpjournalsplosorgploscompbiolarticleid=101371journalpcbi1004295

6

Over the next 15 years we will experience more change than in all of human history to date

So how do we as engineers marketers designers innovators and executives stay ahead of that change and help chart our own course

7

At HP we believe major socio-economic demographic and technological trends occurring across the globe will have a sustained transformative impact on the world in the years ahead - on businesses societies economies cultures and our personal lives

8

9

Source httpwwwworldometersinfoworld-population

10

By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth

Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries

11

And this growing population is moving to cities

Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering

12

97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home

By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

13

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every

single day14

So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of

Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-

breaking-all-the-trends15

For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems

Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs

16

Source McKinsey 2012

The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines

httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization

17

PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18

bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19

20

To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40

trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro

effect on economic growth and restructuring

Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)

Sources

bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment

bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf

21

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 4: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

India sent a spacecraft to Mars for less money than it took Hollywood to make the movie Gravity

Source Wall Street Journal 2014 httpblogswsjcomindiarealtime20140923how-india-mounted-the-worlds-cheapest-mission-to-mars

4

It took Uber a mere four years to hit $10 Billion in gross revenue

Source httpwwwbusinessinsidercomuber-revenue-san-francisco-2015-1

5

And Artificial Intelligence took just 42 hours to solve the 100-year-old mystery of how flatworms regenerate body parts

Source Science journal PLOS Michael Levin and Daniel Lobo 2015 httpjournalsplosorgploscompbiolarticleid=101371journalpcbi1004295

6

Over the next 15 years we will experience more change than in all of human history to date

So how do we as engineers marketers designers innovators and executives stay ahead of that change and help chart our own course

7

At HP we believe major socio-economic demographic and technological trends occurring across the globe will have a sustained transformative impact on the world in the years ahead - on businesses societies economies cultures and our personal lives

8

9

Source httpwwwworldometersinfoworld-population

10

By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth

Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries

11

And this growing population is moving to cities

Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering

12

97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home

By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

13

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every

single day14

So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of

Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-

breaking-all-the-trends15

For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems

Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs

16

Source McKinsey 2012

The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines

httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization

17

PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18

bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19

20

To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40

trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro

effect on economic growth and restructuring

Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)

Sources

bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment

bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf

21

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 5: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

It took Uber a mere four years to hit $10 Billion in gross revenue

Source httpwwwbusinessinsidercomuber-revenue-san-francisco-2015-1

5

And Artificial Intelligence took just 42 hours to solve the 100-year-old mystery of how flatworms regenerate body parts

Source Science journal PLOS Michael Levin and Daniel Lobo 2015 httpjournalsplosorgploscompbiolarticleid=101371journalpcbi1004295

6

Over the next 15 years we will experience more change than in all of human history to date

So how do we as engineers marketers designers innovators and executives stay ahead of that change and help chart our own course

7

At HP we believe major socio-economic demographic and technological trends occurring across the globe will have a sustained transformative impact on the world in the years ahead - on businesses societies economies cultures and our personal lives

8

9

Source httpwwwworldometersinfoworld-population

10

By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth

Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries

11

And this growing population is moving to cities

Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering

12

97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home

By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

13

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every

single day14

So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of

Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-

breaking-all-the-trends15

For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems

Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs

16

Source McKinsey 2012

The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines

httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization

17

PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18

bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19

20

To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40

trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro

effect on economic growth and restructuring

Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)

Sources

bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment

bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf

21

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 6: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

And Artificial Intelligence took just 42 hours to solve the 100-year-old mystery of how flatworms regenerate body parts

Source Science journal PLOS Michael Levin and Daniel Lobo 2015 httpjournalsplosorgploscompbiolarticleid=101371journalpcbi1004295

6

Over the next 15 years we will experience more change than in all of human history to date

So how do we as engineers marketers designers innovators and executives stay ahead of that change and help chart our own course

7

At HP we believe major socio-economic demographic and technological trends occurring across the globe will have a sustained transformative impact on the world in the years ahead - on businesses societies economies cultures and our personal lives

8

9

Source httpwwwworldometersinfoworld-population

10

By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth

Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries

11

And this growing population is moving to cities

Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering

12

97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home

By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

13

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every

single day14

So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of

Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-

breaking-all-the-trends15

For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems

Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs

16

Source McKinsey 2012

The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines

httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization

17

PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18

bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19

20

To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40

trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro

effect on economic growth and restructuring

Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)

Sources

bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment

bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf

21

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 7: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Over the next 15 years we will experience more change than in all of human history to date

So how do we as engineers marketers designers innovators and executives stay ahead of that change and help chart our own course

7

At HP we believe major socio-economic demographic and technological trends occurring across the globe will have a sustained transformative impact on the world in the years ahead - on businesses societies economies cultures and our personal lives

8

9

Source httpwwwworldometersinfoworld-population

10

By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth

Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries

11

And this growing population is moving to cities

Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering

12

97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home

By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

13

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every

single day14

So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of

Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-

breaking-all-the-trends15

For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems

Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs

16

Source McKinsey 2012

The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines

httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization

17

PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18

bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19

20

To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40

trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro

effect on economic growth and restructuring

Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)

Sources

bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment

bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf

21

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 8: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

At HP we believe major socio-economic demographic and technological trends occurring across the globe will have a sustained transformative impact on the world in the years ahead - on businesses societies economies cultures and our personal lives

8

9

Source httpwwwworldometersinfoworld-population

10

By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth

Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries

11

And this growing population is moving to cities

Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering

12

97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home

By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

13

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every

single day14

So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of

Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-

breaking-all-the-trends15

For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems

Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs

16

Source McKinsey 2012

The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines

httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization

17

PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18

bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19

20

To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40

trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro

effect on economic growth and restructuring

Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)

Sources

bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment

bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf

21

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 9: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

9

Source httpwwwworldometersinfoworld-population

10

By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth

Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries

11

And this growing population is moving to cities

Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering

12

97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home

By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

13

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every

single day14

So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of

Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-

breaking-all-the-trends15

For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems

Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs

16

Source McKinsey 2012

The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines

httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization

17

PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18

bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19

20

To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40

trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro

effect on economic growth and restructuring

Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)

Sources

bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment

bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf

21

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 10: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Source httpwwwworldometersinfoworld-population

10

By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth

Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries

11

And this growing population is moving to cities

Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering

12

97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home

By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

13

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every

single day14

So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of

Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-

breaking-all-the-trends15

For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems

Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs

16

Source McKinsey 2012

The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines

httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization

17

PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18

bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19

20

To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40

trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro

effect on economic growth and restructuring

Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)

Sources

bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment

bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf

21

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 11: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

By 2030 there will be 85 billion people walking the earth

Source httpwwwunorgsustainabledevelopmentblog201507un-projects-world-population-to-reach-8-5-billion-by-2030-driven-by-growth-in-developing-countries

11

And this growing population is moving to cities

Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering

12

97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home

By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

13

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every

single day14

So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of

Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-

breaking-all-the-trends15

For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems

Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs

16

Source McKinsey 2012

The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines

httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization

17

PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18

bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19

20

To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40

trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro

effect on economic growth and restructuring

Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)

Sources

bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment

bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf

21

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 12: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

And this growing population is moving to cities

Now this is nothing new people have been moving to cities for centuries motivated by the promise of a better life - the standard of living in cities is about 2-3 times better than rural life - but because of the rapidly rising population the sheer volume and pace of urbanization is going to be staggering

12

97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home

By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

13

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every

single day14

So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of

Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-

breaking-all-the-trends15

For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems

Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs

16

Source McKinsey 2012

The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines

httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization

17

PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18

bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19

20

To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40

trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro

effect on economic growth and restructuring

Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)

Sources

bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment

bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf

21

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 13: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

97 of that population growth will be in emerging economies and most of these people will choose to call cities their home

By 20255B people will live in cities 25B of them in Asia mostly China and India

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

13

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every

single day14

So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of

Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-

breaking-all-the-trends15

For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems

Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs

16

Source McKinsey 2012

The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines

httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization

17

PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18

bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19

20

To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40

trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro

effect on economic growth and restructuring

Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)

Sources

bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment

bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf

21

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 14: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Source United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdf

And as people move to cities our cities will get larger and wersquoll have more of them including megacities in places many of us have never heard of today bull Between now and 2030 an additional 16 million people become urban every 10 days bull And as more people flow into cities cities are becoming bigger and we will have more of thembull In 1990 there were only 10 cities with more than 10 million people but by 2030 we will have 41 such megacitiesbull Meanwhile the area of urbanized land could triple globally from 2000 to 2030 This is equivalent to adding an area bigger than Manhattan every

single day14

So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of

Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-

breaking-all-the-trends15

For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems

Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs

16

Source McKinsey 2012

The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines

httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization

17

PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18

bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19

20

To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40

trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro

effect on economic growth and restructuring

Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)

Sources

bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment

bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf

21

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 15: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

So the next obvious question is where will these megacities be By 2030 11 of the top 15 cities in the world will be in Asia 9 of them in India and China And because big cities drive economic growth it is estimated that by 2025 50 of global GDP growth will come from 440 cities in emerging markets 95 of which many of us have never heard of

Sources bull United Nations 2014 httpsesaunorgunpdwupPublicationsFilesWUP2014-Highlightspdfbull McKinseyampCompany 2015 httpwwwmckinseycombusiness-functionsstrategy-and-corporate-financeour-insightsthe-four-global-forces-

breaking-all-the-trends15

For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems

Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs

16

Source McKinsey 2012

The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines

httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization

17

PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18

bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19

20

To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40

trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro

effect on economic growth and restructuring

Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)

Sources

bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment

bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf

21

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 16: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

For example in 2010 Tianjin in China had the GDP of Stockholm about $130B But by 2025 will have the GDP of Sweden about $630B So city economies are becoming as big as country economies and standalone markets unto themselves many with their own unique culture language and ecosystems

Source No Ordinary Disruption the four global forces breaking all the trends Richard Dobbs

16

Source McKinsey 2012

The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines

httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization

17

PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18

bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19

20

To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40

trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro

effect on economic growth and restructuring

Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)

Sources

bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment

bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf

21

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 17: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Source McKinsey 2012

The more people that flow into cities the more businesses they attract which in turn creates more jobs which in turn attracts more people So cities become economic growth engines

httpwwwfloatingpathcom20130508per-capita-gdp-rises-with-urbanization

17

PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18

bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19

20

To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40

trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro

effect on economic growth and restructuring

Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)

Sources

bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment

bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf

21

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 18: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

PPP An economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currencys purchasing powerConsuming class is defined as people with daily disposable income above $10 at purchasing power parity (PPP) Population below consuming class defined as individuals with disposable income below $10 at PPPMiddle class refers to households that have an annual disposal income between $5000 and $10000 Global Middle Class = 39 billion peopleSource Homi Kharas McKinsey Roland Berger 2014 -httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_cities_and_the_rise_of_the_consuming_class 18

bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19

20

To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40

trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro

effect on economic growth and restructuring

Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)

Sources

bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment

bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf

21

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 19: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

bull httpswwwtheinformationcomHow-Sharing-Economy-Threatens-the-TraditionalEconomy (chart on sharing economy vs traditional economy)bull httpwwwbusinessinsidercomits-official-music-streaming-is-finally-bigger-than-downloads-2015-5bull httpmattermarkcomon-demand-economybull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20150202instacart-workers_n_6548822htmlbull httpwwwforbescomsitesellenhuet20141217uber-says-its-doing-1-million-rides-per-day-140-million-in-last-yearbull httpscorpfoncomsitesdefaultfilesfilelibrarypr_fon_15_million_alex_ceopdfbull httprecodenet20150527airbnb-is-approaching-one-milllion-guests-per-nightbull httpswwwlendingclubcominfostatisticsactionbull httpwwwweblessonscomstorageimages81c305d716b3fbb5209e62314ae42cf0jpgbull httpwwwweb-strategistcomblogcategorysharing-economybull httpwwwpwccomen_USustechnologypublicationsassetspwc-consumer-intelligence-series-the-sharing-economypdf 19

20

To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40

trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro

effect on economic growth and restructuring

Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)

Sources

bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment

bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf

21

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 20: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

20

To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40

trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro

effect on economic growth and restructuring

Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)

Sources

bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment

bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf

21

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 21: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

To meet urban demand China needs tobull Pave 50 billion square meters of roads bull 170 mass-transit needs to be builtbull 40 billion square meters of floor space will be built ndash in five million buildingsbull 50000 of these could be skyscrapers ndash equivalent to 10x New York Citybull Accommodate 390 million farmers by 2030 - cost of 51 trillion yuan (US$83 tr)bull Over the next 10 years 390 mil farmers moving into the cities will produce 40

trillion yuan (US$ 65 trillion) in investmentbull Therefore if the policy is implemented properly urbanization will have a macro

effect on economic growth and restructuring

Electric power consumption was calculated by measuring consumption per capita against a baseline consumption (15000 kWh)

Sources

bull httpglobalbeyondbullsandbearscom20121019infrastructure-investment

bull httpwwweycomPublicationvwLUAssetsInfrastructure_2013$FILEInfrastructure_2013pdf

21

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 22: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Sources

bull httpwwwbidnessetccom46609-google-inc-sidewalk-labs-to-convert-nyc-phone-booths-into-free-wifi-station

bull httpgazettereviewcom201506details-on-googles-sidewalk-labs-project

22

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 23: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Sourcesbull Roland Berger Euromonitor EU Commission Oxford Economics 2014bull httpwwwupicomTop_NewsWorld-News20150323UN-Only-60-percent-of-worlds-water-demand-to-be-met-in-20304151427120845

(water demand increase by 2050)bull httpwwwupicomScience_News20090319Researcher-predicts-2030-foodwater-crisisUPI-56291237512075st_rec=56291237512075

(water demand increase by 2030)bull httpwwwagrobasfcomagrAP-Internetencontentcompetenceshealth_and_natureindex (arable land per person decline from 2005 ndash 2030)bull httpwwwdailykoscomstory201503201372113-U-N-Warns-Of-40-Fresh-Water-Shortfall-By-2030 (freshwater shortfall by 2030) 23

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 24: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Source Roland Berger 2014

24

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 25: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Sources

bull Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Greenbiz US EIA 2013

bull httpwwwpopscicomarticlesciencehow-world-wastes-food-infographic

bull httpblogscfrorgdevelopment-channel20141030reducing-food-loss-and-waste-to-feed-the-worlds-nine-billion-people-in-2050

25

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 26: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

On a small island off the coast of Denmark a group of potato farmers have turned into power brokers owning the wind turbines that have made their island a net energy producer In less than ten years Samsoslash went from producing 11 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person per year one of the highest carbon emissions per capita in Europe to just 44 tonnes (the US is at 176) and proved that running on 100 percent renewable electricity is possible

Sourcesbull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomstefanie-penn-spearsamso-worlds-first-100-re_b_5303237htmlbull httpswwwpinterestcompin136585801169652511bull httpcleantechnicacom20131029introducing-samso-100-wind-powered-island

26

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 27: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Sources

bull httpwwwifsecglobalcommap-safe-city-projects-around-world

bull Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business Society and Cultures (2014 Edition) Frost amp Sullivan

bull httpwwwgreenbizcomblog20110929market-smart-city-technology-reach-16b-year-2020

27

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 28: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

28

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 29: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Sourcesbull UN World Population Prospects - 2015 Revisionbull Fertility rate Gapminder (httpwwwgapminderorgdatadocumentationgd008)bull Life Expectancy Earth Policy Institute from United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects The 2010 Revision electronic databasebull No Ordinary Disruptionbull Changing population data from World Bank Databank

httpdatabankworldbankorgdatareportsaspxsource=Health20Nutrition20and20Population20Statistics20Population20estimates20and20projections 29

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 30: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

By 2030 wersquoll have twice as many people over the age of 65 nearly 1B people The number of countries that are superaged meaning that more than 20 of their population over 65 increase from 5 countries today to 31 countries in 2030 China for example currently has 26 of its population over 55 years old By 2030 this will increase to 43

Sourcesbull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping

Governmentsrdquo

bull httpwwweconomicshelporgblog8950societyimpact-ageing-population-economy

bull Moodyrsquos Investor Service (httpmoneycnncom20140821newseconomyaging-countries-moodys)

bull Median Age UN Population Divisionbull httpwwwprborgPublicationsArticles2011agingpopulationclocksa

spx30

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 31: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Changing demographics also mean a shrinking and aging labor force Germany for example will lose nearly half itrsquos workforce by 2060 putting its economy at risk As a result the government there is currently spending $265B on family subsidies to try and get more people to have more babies The labor force is also getting older with workers over 55 years old growing by more than 50 compared to today In developed countries which are aging faster than developing countries more than 30 of their workforce will be older than 55 by the year 2030 All of this means that companies will need to seriously look at their HR policies to attract and retain older talent to meet their workforce requirements

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute Analysisbull UN Population Data httpesaunorgunpdwppunpppanel_indicatorshtm 31

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 32: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Less workers means less GDP growth which puts a strain on economies and increases the reliance on immigration to make up the difference But many countries have difficulty attracting migrants for example Nordic countries Japan and Russia to name a few As mentioned earlier for countries with declining populations and high emigration rates the economic results could be disastrous Moreover the number of people retiring is growing more than twice the rate of people entering the workforce so there are fewer workers to pay for retires putting pressure on global pension funds social security and healthcare As a result most countries are planning to increase the pension age with the UK targeting a pension age of 70

Sourcesbull IMF 2015 (httpwwwssagovlegislationtestimony_051804html)bull KPMG ldquoFuture State 2030 The Global Megatrends Shaping Governmentsrdquo 32

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 33: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

bull httpwwwimmersionactivecomresourcessize-wealth-spending-50-consumersbull httpseceuropaeuresearchinnovation-unionpdfactive-healthy-ageingexec_silverecopdfbull httpwwwftcomintlcmss208bff556-52c7-11e4-a236-00144feab7dehtmlslide0bull httpwwwftcomintlcmss0de6a5630-1d78-11e4-8b03-00144feabdc0htmlslide0bull httpsilvergroupasiawp-contentuploads201112BCG-Global-Aging-Dec-11pdfbull UN Population Division httpwwwunorgesapopulationpublicationsworldageing19502050pdf80chapteriipdfbull httpslongitudesupscomlabor-in-the-age-of-

robotsutm_content=buffer35e7bamputm_medium=socialamputm_source=twittercomamputm_campaign=bufferbull httpwwwbloombergcomnewsarticles2013-09-17aging-boomers-befuddle-marketers-eying-15-trillion-prize 33

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 34: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Sources bull Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey 415 (BLS begins counting Civilian Labor Force at age 16 Millennials defined as those born

between 1980 and 2000 In 2015 they are ages 15-35)bull httpswwwwhitehousegovsitesdefaultfilesdocsmillennials_reportpdfbull httpwwwbusiness2communitycomtrends-news27-stunning-millennial-stats-future-employees-leaders-consumers-parents-

01048696WRAGmrTlgfKth3LI99bull httphrcloudcom6-millennial-retention-strategies-to-adopt-in-2015bull httpswwwbcgperspectivescomcontentarticlesmarketing_center_consumer_customer_insight_how_millennials_changing_marketing_forever

(BCG defines Millennials as aged between 18 and 34) 34

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 35: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Sources

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-2944590Barclays-launch-new-apprenticeship-scheme-wannabe-bankers-50s-need-applyhtml

bull httpwwwcnbccom20150427should-you-worry-about-the-graying-workforcehtml

bull httpwwwfedcaporgsitesdefaultfilesfedcap_solution_series_leveraging_the_older_workforce_as_a_competitive_advantagepdf

35

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 36: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Analysis US Bureau of Labor Statistics

bull World Robotics Report 200820092010 ldquoRobotic Nationrdquo by Marshall Brain IEEE Spectrum

bull Huffington Post article httpwwwhuffingtonpostcom20130123middle-class-jobs-machines_n_2532639html

bull httpwwwusnewscomnewsarticles20130708report-economy-will-face-shortage-of-5-million-workers-in-2020

bull httpwwwgizmagcomhalf-of-us-jobs-computerized2914236

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 37: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Automation of Knowledge Work Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

Sourcesbull McKinsey Global Institute ldquoDisruptive Technologies Advances that will transform life business and the global economyrdquobull No Ordinary Disruption (Page 160)bull httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2691607one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025htmlbull httpebreviacomoxford-study-cleverly-uses-automation-to-predict-the-effects-of-automation-in-the-workplacebull httpwhich-50comblog2013june15140-million-full-time-jobs-created-or-destroyed-by-knowledge-work-automation-in-the-coming-age-of-

the-machine-part-iv-of-our-mckinsey-study-reviewVbfmEflViko 37

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 38: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

38

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 39: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Sourcesbull No Ordinary Disruption bull Mary Meeker State of the Internet 2015bull httpunctadorgenPublicationsLibraryditctab2014d2_enpdfbull Institute of International Finance Financial Globalization Maximizing Benefits Containing Risks (Dec 1st 2014)bull httpwwwinternetlivestatscominternet-usersbull httpblogeuromonitorcom201504half-the-worlds-population-will-be-online-by-2030html ndash 53 of population in 2030bull 2030 Internet and Mobile Usage (50 and 75 of population respectively)

httpwwwkpmgcomIDenIssuesAndInsightsArticlesPublicationsDocumentsFuture-State-2030pdf 39

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 40: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Sources

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull Future of World Trade Top 25 Sea and Air Freight Routes in 2030 (httpeconomicspwccom)

40

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 41: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

bull McKinsey Global Institute Global Flows in a Digital Age How trade finance people and data connect the world economy (April 2014)

bull httpwwwshapewayscomblogarchives19636-have-a-3d-printer-join-shapeways-global-partner-networkhtml

bull httpwwwindependentcouknewsbusinessnewstransferwise-valued-at-1bn-by-top-silicon-valley-venture-capital-fund-10002618html

bull httptechcrunchcom20130611its-official-google-buys-waze-giving-a-social-data-boost-to-its-location-and-mapping-business

bull httpnewsroomubercom201412the-ride-aheadbull httpwwwbizjournalscomsanfranciscomorning_call201505uber-valuation-

50-billion-facebook-startuphtmlbull httpgadgetsndtvcominternetnewsdropbox-sees-growth-from-200-million-to-

300-million-users-in-6-months-532671bull httpqzcom329735airbnb-will-soon-be-booking-more-rooms-than-the-worlds-

largest-hotel-chainsbull httpwwwnytimescom20150512businessairbnb-grows-to-a-million-rooms-

and-hotel-rivals-are-quiet-for-nowhtml_r=0bull httpwwwmacstoriesnetnewsinstagrams-rise-to-30-million-users-visualizedbull httpswwwcbinsightscombloginternet-startups-vc-2014bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 41

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 42: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Sources

bull httpwwwidccomgetdocjspcontainerId=prUS25872215

bull httpwdtechnewblogspotcom201507xiaomi-led-chinese-smartphone-market-inhtml

bull httpswwwtechinasiacomletv-xiaomi-performing-chinas-flatscreen-tv-market

bull Canalys - Xiaomi makes inroad to payment July 2015

bull httpgraphicswsjcombillion-dollar-club 42

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 43: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Sources

bull No Ordinary Disruption

bull httpwwwmckinseycominsightsurbanizationurban_world_the_shifting_global_business_landscape

43

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 44: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Sourcesbull httpseekingalphacomarticle2651195-increasing-churn-rate-in-the-s-and-p-500-whats-the-lifespan-of-your-stockbull httpmarketingtochinacomthe-whole-story-of-baidubull httpwwwftcomintlcmss094296020-1eef-11e4-9d7d-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz3h9TXvSEKbull httparticleseconomictimesindiatimescom2010-09-09news27625426_1_emerging-market-msci-world-index-market-valuebull httprisecapitalcom5-trillion-opportunityhtmlbull httpthenextwebcomin20140710taking-on-uber-in-india-how-ola-cabs-is-thinking-local-to-battle-a-giantbull httptechcrunchcom20150415ola-series-e-400-millionbull httpwwwzdnetcomarticleolacabs-steamrolls-uber-with-acquisition-of-taxiforsure 44

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 45: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Sourcesbull Quartz httpqzcom448564these-companies-have-burned-tens-of-billions-of-dollars-trying-to-chase-the-iphonebull httpwwwforbescomsitespetercohan20140714by-disrupting-disruption-netflix-reveals-new-investing-strategybull httpwwwforbescomsiteslarrymagid20120725netflix-stumbles-but-streaming-is-here-to-staybull httpblogsreuterscomfelix-salmon20130613why-netflix-is-producing-original-contentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesavidan20130820the-death-of-scale-is-kodaks-failure-an-omen-of-things-to-come-for-corporate-americabull httpwwwforbescomsitesspleverage20130820eastman-kodak-wins-approval-of-bankruptcy-reorganization-planbull httpfortunecom20111011how-not-to-get-netflixed

45

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 46: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

46

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 47: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Joaquiacuten 23-year-old Brazilian Graphic Designer He recently started his own freelance business out of college blending his love of design photography and videography Joaquiacuten lives in a small apartment in an up and coming urban complex by the seaport and uses the shared co-working space as his office He loves the global metropolitan feel of Satildeo Paulo and spends his weekends donating his services to various charities (Generation Z Mobile Worker)

47

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 48: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Chen 35-year-old Diabetic Aerospace Executive living in Tianjin one of the fastest growing cities in Asia She works for a global corporation with team members and suppliers across the globe A busy executive she struggles to keep up with friends and family and stay on top of her health (Emerging MarketsNew Cities)

48

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 49: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Francois 68-year-old Landscape Designer and Freelance Building Manager in US Having worked for the same design firm for the past 31 years he enjoys having the flexibility to work on other projects and travel part of the year

49

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 50: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Amira 43-year-old Heart Surgeon Mother of two living in Mumbai An active environmentalist in her community and remote attending and professor for John Hopkins Hospital (ParentingHealthcare Worker)

50

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 51: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Joaquiacuten gets out of bed and heads to the kitchen where coffee is already brewing and toast popping up As he leaves the room his platform bed rises into itrsquos ceiling holding space revealing a sunken in living room space

51

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 52: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Self Driving Car Picks up Chen in front of her apartment building to take her to a client meeting across town She participates in a video call with her South African supplier Mbali Her mobile phone activates real-time translation so they can easily communicate

52

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 53: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Francois steps into the bathroom his shower turns on to his temperature and water pressure preferences the shampoo bottle calculates it will be empty in 3 days and places and order for a new bottle to be delivered tomorrow

53

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 54: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Amirarsquos watch pulses her son Donaldrsquos moisture-sensor diaper lets her know he needs to be changed

54

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 55: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Joaquiacuten enters the shared workspace in his building complex and settles in at his mobile worker desk in the for the day Joaquin uses his smart phone as his computer and docks with a built in display and keyboard Building sensors automatically configures his workstation chair lights desktop picture and applications bar to his preferences His client is charged by the hour for his office time

55

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 56: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Chen scanrsquos bracelet at client offices to gain access Client is notified of her arrival

56

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 57: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Francois tends to crops on the 14th floor of the FarmScraper

57

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 58: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Amira settles into her home office to find a warm cup of green tea brewing (Mina her virtual assistant noticed she had a rough nights sleep) With a touch of a button her side board table converts into an office desk

58

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 59: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Joaquiacuten grabs a pizza at the 3D Printing food vending machine

59

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 60: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Chenrsquos robot pet sitter takes her dog Maggie for a walk Her refrigerator places a grocery delivery order with her favorite local market cross checking ingredients for sugar levels

60

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 61: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Francois is talked through fixing a faulty building air conditioner by the maintenance center across country via a pair of smart glasses

61

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 62: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Amira parks her bike under the Solar Farm as she stops to grab lunch to go on her way to the hospital for afternoon rounds

62

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 63: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Surrounded by projected conference rooms around the globe Joaquin is 3D presenting his new design for the hover board launch campaign including a building print wrap

63

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 64: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Chen is notified that her new manufacturing partner for the 4D printed self assembling space craft has arrived Romi her Virtual Assistant provides information about all coming attendees and she walks to the front desk to greet everyone

64

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 65: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Francoisrsquos Robot assistant pauses from moving landscaping supplies to remind Francois to take his medication

65

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 66: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Amira is using haptic holography to examine with her hands a deteriorating heart valve from one of her patients scans as he students look on remotely

66

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 67: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Joaquiacutenrsquos watch suggest a new walking route to dinner to avoid pollution and traffic noise

67

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 68: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Chen takes a water ferry to a neighboring City Island to have dinner with friends The diabetes monitoring device in Chenrsquos ear notifies her of low blood sugar

68

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 69: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

As Francois leaves the building lights turn off behind him and thermostat is lowered for the evening

69

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 70: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Amirrsquos oldest child Lea is getting math help from their home robot Her home network suggests and displays easy 30-minute dinner recipes

70

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 71: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Joaquin sits in his living room video conferencing with his sister in Singapore and his parents in Porto Alegre

71

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 72: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Chenrsquos receives a notification on her TV shersquos left secure documents on a cloud drive open on her computer system the office security monitoring system has closed the document on her behalf and shut down her computer

72

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 73: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Francois 3D prints a new tooth brush before getting ready for bed His electronic closet is cueing up an outfit for tomorrow with temperature expected to drop and a chance of rain

73

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 74: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

As Amira is reading she notices a photo pop through her condorsquos printer slot Mig her virtual assistant surprises her with a sweet photo of a Lea playing with the family dog after school

74

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 75: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

With the accelerated pace of change comes the equally accelerated rate of innovation

75

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 76: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Every 10 years processing power per $ will increase by a thousand 20 years by a million 30 years by a billionhellip

Sourcesbull httpwwwsingularitycomchartspage70htmlbull httpswww2deloittecomcontentdamDeloitteuyDocumentspublic-sectorDeloitte_ES_Sector-Publico_From-exponential-technologies-to-

exponential-innovationpdfbull httpwwwmstechcomnh-it-blogphpshow=171bull httpwwwdigitaltrendscomcool-techget-your-head-into-the-cloud-humans-will-be-artifically-intelligent-by-2030-ray-kurzweil-predicts 76

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 77: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Source Simon Wardley

77

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 78: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Source httpdupressdeloittecomdup-us-enindustrytechnologyfrom-exponential-technologies-to-exponential-innovationhtml

Technology components are constantly maturing and becoming more accessible paving the way for new advancements

78

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 79: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Source HP CTO Office 2015

We believe the most rapid innovationwill occur in four key technologyareas thatwe refer to asbull HyperMobilitybull 3D Transformationbull Internet of ALL Thingsbull SmartMachines

At HP we look at the Megatrends and the technology trends that will help us adapt to them through the lens of our Blended Reality vision We continually explore how our physical and digital realities relate and fuse with each other so that businesses and individuals can keep reinventing the way they shape and experience the world around them

79

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 80: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

80

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 81: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Source httpwwwcomputerworldcomarticle2910324mobile-wirelessikea-releases-its-line-of-wireless-charging-furniturehtml

81

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 82: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Source httpwwwwiredcouknewsarchive2014-0520wireless-power-microdevices

82

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 83: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Source httpwwwforbescomsiteswilliampentland20130811korea-constructs-road-that-wirelessly-charges-moving-electric-buses

83

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 84: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

84

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 85: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

bull httpwwwwiredcom201411artificial-intelligence-emotionsbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomfacebook-experimentbull httpwwwforbescomsitesdailymuse20140804the-facebook-experiment-

what-it-means-for-youbull httpwwwcsumbedu~dinghistory470_670_fall_2013homeworkhwk1_AI_Ap

plicationshtmlbull httpwwwthe-vital-edgecomartificial-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwlivesciencecom50158-chappie-real-life-artificial-intelligencehtmlbull httpmotherboardvicecomblogemotionally-intelligent-machines-are-closer-

than-everbull httpwwwslatecomarticlestechnologyfuture_tense201504ex_machina_can

_robots_artificial_intelligence_have_emotionshtmlbull httpwwweconomistcomnewsbriefing21650526-artificial-intelligence-scares-

peopleexcessively-so-rise-machinesbull httpswwwlinkedincompulse20140908204636-610780-nyc-week-of-open-

machine-learningbull httpwwwzmesciencecommedicinecancer-algorithm-enlitic-30062015bull httpwwwtechrepubliccomarticle5-ai-startups-to-watch-in-2015 85

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 86: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

httpnewsofficemitedu2014with-emotion-tracking-software-affectiva-attracts-clients-mood-aware-internet-0731

86

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 87: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

httpwwwbusinessinsidercomthis-robot-passed-a-self-awareness-test-that-only-humans-could-handle-until-now-2015-7

87

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

bull httpswwwnewscientistcomblogsnstv201205self-propelled-micro-submarine-cleans-up-motor-oilhtml

bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 88: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Pepper most likely was built on a branch of artificial intelligence called machine learning where training data is labelled and fed into an algorithm which uses statistics to ldquorecognizerdquo the content of the photographs videos etc Pepper is (also) connected to the cloud feeding data from its sensors to server clusters where the lionrsquos share of processing will take place This should allow their emotion recognition algorithms to improve over time as repeated use provides fresh training examples If rather than optimizing profit they are using Pepper as a means towards perfecting emotion recognition than this may be part of a larger play to gain superior intellectual property

Sourcesbull httpwwwextremetechcomextreme208666-its-happening-pepper-robot-gains-emotional-intelligencebull httpwwwpcworldcomarticle29385921000-pepper-robots-sell-out-in-a-minute-on-launch-dayhtml 88

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bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

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90

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91

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92

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93

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94

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bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

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96

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97

Sources

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bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

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101

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bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

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103

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104

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105

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106

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107

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108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 89: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Sources

bull httpwwwwashingtonpostcomnewsmorning-mixwp20150407study-suggests-chemical-used-in-bp-oil-spill-cleanup-capable-of-injuring-people-and-wildlife

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bull httpwwwbbccomnewsscience-environment-30875102

89

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90

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91

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bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

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93

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94

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bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

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bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

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101

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bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

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103

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104

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105

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106

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107

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108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 90: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

httpsingularityhubcom20150108can-dna-nanobots-successfully-treat-cancer-patient-first-human-trial-soon

90

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

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bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

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bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

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106

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107

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108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 91: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

httpwwwextremetechcomextreme188908-darpas-tiny-implants-will-hook-directly-into-your-nervous-system-treat-diseases-and-depression-without-medication

91

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bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

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bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

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bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

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bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 92: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Sources

bull httpswwwkickstartercomprojectspuzzleboxpuzzlebox-orbit-brain-controlled-helicopter

bull httpwwwtechliciouscomblogmattel-mindflex-gives-brain-waves-a-workout

92

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 93: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

httpwwwpopscicomtechnologyarticle2012-12brain-machine-interface-breakthroughs-enable-most-lifelike-mind-controlled-prosthetic-arm

93

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

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bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

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bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

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bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

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104

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105

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106

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107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 94: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

httpwwwlivesciencecom47708-human-brain-link-sends-thoughtshtml

94

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bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

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96

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97

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bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

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bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

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bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

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104

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105

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106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 95: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Sources

bull httpicrowdnewswirecom20150604gloveone-feel-virtual-reality-what-if-you-could-feel-virtual-reality-gloveone-lets-you-use-both-hands-to-sense-interact-with-virtual-objects-on-screenvr-glasses

bull httpx-techampoliticians-are-scoring-millions-of-voters-by-using-hologram-tech

bull httpwwwdailymailcouknewsarticle-3038317The-world-s-HOLOGRAM-protest-Thousands-join-virtual-march-Spain-against-law-banning-demonstrations-outside-government-buildingshtml

bull httpwwwbristolacuknews2014decemberhaptic-shapes-using-ultrasoundhtml 95

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96

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97

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bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

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bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

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bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

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103

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104

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105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 96: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

httpwwwcbsnewscomnews3d-holograms-help-israeli-heart-surgeons

96

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

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bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

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bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

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bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

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103

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104

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105

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106

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107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 97: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

httpwwwinmancom20150205haptic-holograms-bring-texture-to-3d-home-tours

97

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bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

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bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

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bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

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104

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105

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106

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107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 98: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Sources

bull httpwwwforbescomsitesleoking20140715google-smart-contact-lens-focuses-on-healthcare-billions

bull httphealthusnewscomhealth-newshealth-wellnessarticles20140508making-the-most-of-your-fitbit

bull httpbloggetnarrativecom201306this-week-in-lifelogging-3

bull httpwwwgeneticliteracyprojectorg20150625creating-superwoman-and-man-who-will-benefit-from-coming-age-of-human-enhancement

98

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

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bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

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bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 99: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Researchers in Germany have unveiled the Alpha IMS retinal prosthesis a device that completely redefines the state of the art of implanted bionic devices The first round of clinical trials were a huge success with eight out of nine patients reporting that they can now detect mouth shapes (smiles frowns) small objects such as telephones and cutlery signs on doors and mdash most importantly mdash whether a glass of wine is red or white

Source httpwwwextremetechcomextreme149106-the-first-real-high-resolution-user-configurable-bionic-eye

99

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

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bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 100: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Two super-thin electrode arrays each covered in 32 recessed electrodes will run directly from the device into the skull where they will stimulate and record the activity of the neurons in the entorhinal cortex and hippocampus areas of the brain associated with memory Because memory is stored across many neurons the concept for the wireless implant is to monitor the electrical activity between neurons and if a connection starts to weaken the device will compensate with its own current

Source httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha10886a-wireless-implant-to-fight-memory-loss-16984118

100

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

101

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bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 101: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Sources

bull httpwwwpopularmechanicscomsciencehealtha16236artificial-neuron

bull httpwwwalphrcombioscience1001053functioning-artificial-neuron-created-in-sweden

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bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 102: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Sources

bull httpwwwtelegraphcouknewsscience11003909Genomics-is-not-overhyped-it-really-can-change-medicinehtml

bull httpwwwmedicalnewstodaycomarticles297844php

bull httpnewsuchicagoeduarticle20150813landmark-sequencing-octopus-genome-shows-basis-intelligence-camouflage

bull httpnewsxinhuanetcomenglish2015-0813c_134513151htm

bull httpwwwhuffingtonpostcomdr-david-samadiconquering-cancer-personalized-medicine-is-the-future_b_7585544html 102

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 103: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Source httpwwwtheguardiancomscience2015aug13yeast-cells-genetically-modified-to-create-morphine-like-painkiller

103

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 104: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Source httpwwwindependentcouknewssciencecrispr-breakthrough-announced-in-technique-of-editing-dna-to-fight-off-deadly-illnesses-10420050html

104

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 105: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Source httpwwwtechnologyreviewcomnews540116gene-editing-startup-raises-120-million-to-apply-crispr-to-medicine

105

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 106: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

httpwwwselfassemblylabnet

106

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 107: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

httpwwwkurzweilainet4-d-printing-objects-that-morph-based-on-stimuli-like-water-and-heat

107

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 108: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

httpbostinnostreetwiseco20150421mit-self-assembly-lab-produces-self-assembling-table

108

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 109: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

Additional Resourcesbull Megatrends video httpbitlymegatrends_ssbull Megatrends article httpbitlymegatrends_HPijbull Megatrends presentation httpbitlymegatrends_presbull Megatrends LinkedIn httpswwwlinkedincompulsemegatrends-rapid-urbanization-andrew-bolwelltrk=prof-postbull HP CTO YouTube channel httpswwwyoutubecomchannelUCv707gj2KW7EaDEABI9QRjA

Interested in learning more or discussing Megatrends Letrsquos connect httpwwwtwittercomandrewbolwell 109

110

Page 110: Megatrends by HP: Shaping Our Future

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