Measuring Post-Secondary Access and Outcomes of Recent High

School Graduates with Disabilities

Prepared by:

Paul E. HarringtonCenter for Labor Markets and Policy

Drexel UniversityPhiladelphia PA

Origins of This Research

• Institute for Human Centered Design concerns that there was little understanding of the nature of post-secondary outcomes of high school graduates with disabilities

i. Little longitudinal research on outcomes for high school graduates

National Longitudinal Survey

High School and Beyond Study provide only limited insights into students with disabilities

ii. National Longitudinal Transition Study of the National Center for Special Education Research

Only tracks outcomes for students with disability

Data Sources

1. High School Information: Total of 23 cooperating school districts provided information on graduation seniors Demographic characteristics

Low income measure

School behavior measure

Disability Status and Characteristics

Data Sources (cont.)

2. National Student Clearinghouse: Centralized data on post-secondary enrollment organized for student loan verification

Based on semester/term reports submitted by nation’s colleges and universities

Covers about 92% of undergraduate enrollment in the nation

Provides measures of Initial enrollment Retention Transfer Graduation

Findings from the Logistic Regression Analysis of the Probability of College Attendance Among High School

Graduates from Seven Vocational Technical High Schools,Classes of 2004, 2005, & 2006

Percent Effect on the Probability of Enrolling in College

Variables Model I Model II Model III

Male -8.4*** -8.4*** -8.5***

Female Reference group

Non-Hispanic, Black 29.0*** 28.8*** 28.1***

Hispanic 10.4*** 10.3*** 10.8***

Non-Hispanic, other race -1.4 -1.4 -0.3

Non-Hispanic, White Reference group

Eligible for free school lunch -10.0*** -10.0*** -7.9***

Eligible for subsidized school lunch -11.9*** -11.8*** -9.7***

Not eligible for school lunch subsidy Reference group

Non-native English speaker -7.8** -7.6** -7.8**

Native English speaker Reference group

Senior year attendance rate (percentage points) 1.1*** 1.1*** 1.1***

Truant -7.3 -7.4 -7.6

Suspended -0.7 -0.5 -0.7

Agriculture & related sciences -3.9 -4.6 -3.8

Communications technologies/technicians 1.0 1.3 0.8

Computer and information sciences 5.0 5.2 4.8

Personal & culinary services -12.3*** -12.1*** -12.5***

Engineering technologies/technicians 7.0* 7.2* 6.6*

Family & consumer sciences/human sciences 2.8 3.2 3.1

Construction trades -32.0*** -31.8*** -31.9***

Mechanic & repair technologies/technicians -32.7*** -32.4*** -32.8***

Precision production -25.5*** -25.3*** -25.5***

Visual & performing arts -2.5 -2.4 -3.3

Health professions & related clinical sciences 4.3 4.6 4.9

Findings from the Logistic Regression Analysis of the Probability of College Attendance Among High School

Graduates from Seven Vocational Technical High Schools,Classes of 2004, 2005, & 2006 (Cont.)

Percent Effect on the Probability of Enrolling in College

Business, management, marketing Reference group

With disability -10.2*** - -11.7***

With disability-Full inclusion - -7.0*** -

With disability-Partial inclusion - -15.4*** -

No disability-educationally disadvantaged - - -8.5***

No disability Ref. Group Ref. Group -

No disability-not economically disadvantaged - - Ref. Group

Constant 16.7*** 16.5*** 17.8***

Findings from the Logistic Regression Analysis of the Probability of One-Year College Retention Rate Among College Enrolled High School Graduates from Seven Vocational Technical High

Schools, Classes of 2004, 2005, & 2006

Percent Effect on the Probability of One-Year College Retention

Variables Model I Model II Model IIIMale -2.7 -2.7 -2.7Female Reference groupNon-Hispanic, Black 11.7** 11.4* 11.8**Hispanic -6.0 -6.0 -6.0Non-Hispanic, other race -12.2** -12.6** -12.3**Non-Hispanic, White Reference groupEligible for free school lunch -9.6*** -9.7*** -9.7***Eligible for subsidized school lunch -10.8** -10.9** -10.9**Not eligible for school lunch subsidy Reference groupNon-native English speaker 10.3** 10.3** 10.3**Native English speaker Reference groupSenior year attendance rate (percentage points) 1.3*** 1.4*** 1.4***Truant -3.5 -3.6 -3.5Suspended -9.6*** -9.5*** -9.5***Two-year public college -22.8*** -22.5*** -22.8***Two-year private college -4.7 -3.7 -4.7Four-year public college 3.3 3.4 3.3Four-year private college Reference groupWith disability 3.2 - 3.3With disability-Full inclusion - 7.9** -With disability-Partial inclusion - -5.5 -No disability-educationally disadvantaged - - 0.5No disability Ref. Group Ref. Group -No disability-not economically disadvantaged - - Ref. GroupConstant 26.5*** 26.4*** 26.5***