mea operations review 15jan07 pertti johansson
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QUALCOMM PROPRIETARYWinning with 3G
Africa - Winning with 3G
May 07, 2007
Pertti Johansson
QUALCOMM PROPRIETARYWinning with 3G
QUALCOMM Incorporated
• Global leader in developing and delivering innovative digital wireless communications solutions based on CDMA and other advanced technologies.
• Partners with wireless operators, device manufacturers, independent software vendors, distribution suppliers and Fortune 1,000-class corporations to drive adoption of mobility solutions based on 3G CDMA and other digital technologies.
• Founded in 1985• FORTUNE 500 Company• Revenue of $7.53B in fiscal 2006• NASDAQ Symbol: QCOM• ~5,700 U.S. patents and patent applications of
CDMA and related technologies including WCDMA• Member of the S&P 500 Index• “100 Best Managed Companies” — Industry Week• “100 Best Companies to Work for in America” — FORTUNE
INNOVATION – EXECUTION – PARTNERSHIP
QUALCOMM PROPRIETARYWinning with 3GQUALCOMM Employing 11000+ professionals in 50+ countries
Standards
Optimisation Accelerated Services
Engineering Services
R&D Testing
ENGINEERING R&D OPTIMISATION STANDARDS SUPPORT PARTNERSHIPS
7200
QUALCOMM PROPRIETARYWinning with 3G
Aggressive Investment in a Complete Technology RoadmapCumulative R&D Expenditures More than $6.3B to Date
QUALCOMM Yearly R&D Expenditures
Standard royalty rate has not changed during this time
$0.3$0.4 $0.5
$0.5
$0.7
$1.0
$1.5
$0.0
$0.4
$0.8
$1.2
$1.6
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 20060%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%Yearly R&D Expenditure
R&D as a Percentage of Revenue
(Billions)
QUALCOMM PROPRIETARYWinning with 3G
Source: Signals Research Group, LLC, May 22, 2006
CDMA2000 1X/EV-DO devices will remain more affordable than WCDMA
WCDMA Handset ASP ForecastWCDMA Handset ASP Forecast CDMA2000 1X/EVCDMA2000 1X/EV--DO Handset ASP ForecastDO Handset ASP Forecast
US$50US$50 US$33US$33
Affordable telephonyand broadband data
devices
Affordable telephonyand broadband data
devices
US$100 by year end
QUALCOMM PROPRIETARYWinning with 3G
FEATURES
QSC Solution = 1 Chip
QSC6010 • Voice, SMS centric
• Integrated 1.3 MP camera
• 153 kbps data
• Dual band and SGPS
• Up to 3.0 MP Camera
Dual-Band
• 14.4 kbps, BREW support
• 2X Improvement in Talk Time
Multi-Band
• Improved capacity• Lower cost• Enhanced battery
life
Single-Band
QUALCOMM CDMA2000 Single-Chip Solutions Continue to Evolve
QSC6030
QSC6020
QSC6055
QSC6065
QSC1100
Boa
rd A
rea
• 15 customers to date with 35 designs in development• First commercial product available in mid-December
• 15 customers to date with 35 designs in development• First commercial product available in mid-December
QUALCOMM PROPRIETARYWinning with 3G
QUALCOMM Operator
Vendor
Technology RequirementsServices, Applications
Phones RequirementsTechnical Specifications
Business Terms & Conditions
Chipsets and SoftwareTechnical Specifications
Engineering Support
Qualcomm works closely with Operators to integrate
their requirements in its products
QUALCOMM PROPRIETARYWinning with 3G
Commercial 3G Operators Worldwide341 Commercial 3G CDMA Operators and Growing
Source: CDG, Wireless Intelligence & 3G Americas, 30April07
More than 470 Million 3G SubscribersCDMA2000 / EV-DO: 190 Commercial Operators
350 Million SubscribersWCDMA / HSDPA: 151 Commercial Operators
120 Million Subscribers
QUALCOMM PROPRIETARYWinning with 3G
Sub-Saharan Africa 3G Subscriber Base Growth
MEA 3G CDMA Subscribers (K)
3G CDMA Subs in Sub-Sahara Africa (K)
0
40,000
80,000
120,000
160,000
YE06 YE07 YE08 YE09 YE10 YE11
C2KWCDMAAll CDMA
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
YE06 YE07 YE08 YE09 YE10 YE11
CDMA 2000
WCDMA
All CDMA
QUALCOMM PROPRIETARYWinning with 3G
CDMA2000 in Africa
EthiopiaCDMA 450/800Launch 4Q04
Kenya (~4 operators)CDMA 450/800/1900Launch 2Q’05
Uganda (2 operators)CDMA 450/800Launch 2Q04
MauritiusCDMA 800Launch 4Q99
Nigeria (~ 8 operators)CDMA 450/800/1900 Launch Q1’98 (earliest)
AngolaCDMA 800Launch 4Q00
Planned
Current
GhanaCDMA 800Launch3Q05
BotswanaCDMA 800Launch 1Q07?
NamibiaCDMA 450/800Launch 4Q06
S. AfricaCDMA 800Planned 2Q 07
Tanzania (3 operators)CDMA 800Launch Apr 06 (earliest)
MozambiqueCDMA 450/800Launch 4Q06?
RwandaCDMA 800 1x;EV-DOLaunch 4Q05
CameroonCDMA 450/800Launch 4Q05
MadagascarCDMA 450Launch 3Q05
Cote D’IvoireCDMA 800Launch4Q05
MaliCDMA 800
Guinea-KonakryCDMA 800 Sudan
CDMA 800
DRCCDMA 800Planned 1Q07
ZambiaCDMA 450/800Planned 1Q07?
ComorosCDMA 800Launch 2Q’05?
MoroccoCDMA 800
AlgeriaCDMA 1900
EgyptCDMA 1900
QUALCOMM PROPRIETARYWinning with 3G
Mauritius –EmtelWCDMA 2.1 GHz
Planned
Current S. Africa - MTNWCDMA 2.1GHz
S. Africa - VodacomWCDMA -2.1GHz
SudanWCDMA 2.1 GHz
Tanzania – VodacomWCDMA 2.1 GHz
NigeriaWCDMA 2.1 GHz
WCDMA in Africa
Namibia - MTCWCDMA -2.1GHz
Kenya - SafaricomWCDMA 2.1 GHz
MoroccoWCDMA 2.1 GHz
BotswanaWCDMA 2.1 GHz
QUALCOMM PROPRIETARYWinning with 3G
Cost = “Greenfield” Network Operations Expenses + Depreciation on Capital
Source: The Economics of Wireless Data, http://www.qualcomm.com/main/whitepapers/WirelessMobileData.pdfAssumptions: On demand Traffic: a) 15% of traffic demand occurs at the busy hour, b) 7,600 kbps / sq km at busy hour, c) 5 MHz
Multicast Traffic: a) 2,000 subscribers / cell, b) 30 live streaming minutes / day at 128 kbps data rate, c) 1.25 MHz
Spectral efficiency affects cost Spectral efficiency affects cost
GPRS$0.42
EDGE0.11
1X$0.06
1xEV-DO$0.02
WCDMA$0.07
CDMA2000 Cost per Megabyte ComparisonCDMA2000 Cost per Megabyte ComparisonCDMA2000 networks support the affordable delivery of bitsCDMA2000 networks support the affordable delivery of bits
Affordable and evolutionary mobile broadband technologies areenabling the mass market adoption of mobile multimedia servicesAffordable and evolutionary mobile broadband technologies are
enabling the mass market adoption of mobile multimedia services
QUALCOMM PROPRIETARYWinning with 3G
Site Count Comparison By TechnologySite Count Comparison By Technology
CDMA2000 requires the least number of cell sites for rural markeCDMA2000 requires the least number of cell sites for rural marketstsAssumptions:1. Coverage area = 1,000 sq. km.2. Subscriber density = 31 Subs/sq. km3. Available spectrum = 5 MHz4. Average voice traffic per sub = 200 MoU/month5. Average data traffic per sub = 5 Mb/month6. Wireless penetration = 50%, Carrier market share = 25%7. Voice usage = 100%, Voice BH = 10%8. Data usage = 100%, Data BH = 12%9. Simultaneous Calls/Sector/Carrier: EV-DO = 44, 1X = 35, GSM/EDGE = 6, WCDMA/HSDPA = 60, WiMAX = 2510. Physical Layer FL data throughput (kbps): EV-DO = 1280, 1X = 350, GSM/EDGE = 86, WCDMA/HSDPA =
3600, WiMAX = 2300
27272424
7575
5353
175175
EV-DO/VoIP@ 800 MHz
1X@ 800 MHz
GSM/EDGE@900 MHz
WCDMA/HSDPA@2100 MHz
WiMAX@2500 MHz
Source: QUALCOMM, September 2006
QUALCOMM PROPRIETARYWinning with 3G
EVEV--DOrA*DOrA*
EVEV--DOr0DOr0
WCDMAWCDMA
Data Rate (Mbps)
CDMA is delivering broadband data CDMA is delivering broadband data –– future enhancements are ongoingfuture enhancements are ongoing
1X1X
GPRSGPRS
EDGEEDGE
WWAN Data Rate ComparisonWWAN Data Rate Comparison3G CDMA networks support the highest data throughput to an end3G CDMA networks support the highest data throughput to an end--useruser
50-90 kbps (1.25 MHz of BW)
20-40 kbps
70-100 kbps
0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1.0 1.5 1.75 2.0 2.51.25 2.25 2.75 3.0 3.25 3.5
64-250 kbps (5 MHz of BW)
600- 1,300 kbps (1.25 MHz of BW)
300- 700 kbps (1.25 MHz of BW)
400- 1,500 kbps (5 MHz of BW)HSDPA**HSDPA**
Peak Downlink Rate
Typical End-User Downlink Rate (commercial)
Typical End-User Downlink Rate (estimated)
Average Data Throughput per UserAverage Data Throughput per User
Notes: Peak and average (typical) end-user forward link data rates are shown. CDMA2000 1X, 1xEV-DO and 1xEV-DOrA data rates are achieved in a 1.25 MHz carrier bandwidth, WCDMA (Rel99), and HSDPA (Rel 5, Category 12) data rates are achieved in a 5 MHz carrier bandwidth. * 1xEV-DOrA data rates are achieved with an equalizer and dual-receive antennas.** HSDPA and data rates are device-dependant, with devices supporting up 7.2 Mbps. Peak data rates could increase to 10.2 Mbps and the standard supports 14.4 Mbps.
QUALCOMM PROPRIETARYWinning with 3G
CDMA2000 EV-DO Revision BAn IP-based IMT-2000 Standard
A multi-carrier wireless broadband convergence solution• Dynamic allocation of up to 15 1.25MHz carriers in 20 MHz of bandwidth• Simultaneous delivery of services, including: VoIP, broadband data, multimedia, etc.
Increases data throughput capacity by 20% over Revision A
Offers greater peak data rates in both directions:• Forward Link: Between 4.9 Mbps/carrier (1.25 MHz) and 73.5 Mbps/15 carriers (20 MHz)• Reverse Link: Between 1.8 Mbps/carrier (1.25 MHz) and 27 Mbps/15 carriers (20 MHz)
Complimentary to all CDMA2000 based technologies
Improved Battery Life
QUALCOMM PROPRIETARYWinning with 3G
Wireless is Changing Emerging Markets
• Voice Services Expect Low-Price Entry Level Phones– 2G Handsets, Primarily GSM, Dominate Emerging Markets,
But 2G Cannot Support Meaningful Data Services.– CDMA2000 VLE Handsets Now Below $40 in Africa, Below $30 in India.– CDMA2000 Handset Price Reductions Continuing Through 2011 and Beyond.
• Wireless Data Connectivity Available with CDMA2000 – 1B+ mobile data user by 2007 with Anytime, Anywhere Connectivity– Vast portions of the World will only have access to Wireless Internet
Many CDMA2000 Deployments Initially Aim for Voice Subscribers, But Have Their Capacity Overwhelming Used for Data!!
– Laptops getting embedded with mobile broadband modules– Portable Entertainment will be wirelessly connected, Including MP3.
• Wireless Data on Top of Voice Service Drives 3G Evolution.
QUALCOMM PROPRIETARYWinning with 3G 3G Offers a Wide Range of Services
All trademarks, names of other companies, logos, products and services are the property of their respective owners
QUALCOMM PROPRIETARYWinning with 3G
Source: Wireless Intelligence; Verizon Wireless; Sprint Nextel
8.4%
14.1%
Q3'05 Q3'06
14.3%
22.0%
Q2'05 Q2'06
CDMA ARPU
over $10, iDEN <$5
0%
5%
10%
15%
Q3'05 Q3'06
7.7%
10.9%
Q105 Q106
42% inc.
Data Increasing Operators RevenuesData as a Percent of Service Revenues
(Italy)
QUALCOMM PROPRIETARYWinning with 3G
Welcome & Have a Great Conference!
(ask lots of questions!!)