mba student investment management fund · 2020. 1. 7. · portfolio snapshot 15 company ticker...
TRANSCRIPT
MBA Student Investment Management Fund
Semi-Annual Presentation
December 2, 2016
2
Introductions
3
• Objective• Strategy• Implementation• Portfolio
• Construction• Snapshot• Composition
• Next Steps
Overview
4
Objective
• Maximize the learning experience.
• Practical application of academic theories.
• Comprehension of tradeoffs in implementing a quantitative strategy.
5
StrategyInvestment
Strategy
Quantitative
Profitability MomentumIdiosyncratic
RiskEvent-Based
Insider Trading
Dividend Yield
Fundamental
6
Strategy - Research
“Decoding Inside Information” – Journal of Finance 2010
Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski
• Types of inside trades• Routine: buying and selling in the same calendar month for past 3 years • Opportunistic: buying and selling in no discernable pattern
• Predicative power of opportunistic trades• Average monthly returns from a portfolio of opportunistic buys:
• Value-weighted: 72bp • Equal-weighted: 158bp
7
Strategy – Insider Trading
December 2013 December 2014 December 2015
X = Routine TraderY = Opportunistic Trader
Su M T W Th F Sa
X
Y
Su M T W Th F Sa
X
Su M T W Th F Sa
Y
X
Y
8
Implementation - Process
Phase 1: Establish
Routine/Opportunistic Trading Data Set
Phase 2: Weekly Dataset
Historical Data SQL
Weekly Data SQL
Opportunistic Trades
1114 Companies
UniverseScrape for
3 years
SEC Form 4
Data
1114 Companies
UniverseScrape for
1 week
SEC Form 4
Data
9
Implementation - Universe
Screening Criteria
Active U.S. Equities
Common Stock, No ETF’s, & No ADR’s
Remove Utilities & S&P 500
Market cap ≥ $1.2 Billion
30 Day Average Volume > 50,000
Number of Securities
16,931
1,114
10
Implementation - Technical
Scraper Code
EDGAR
Form 4
Output
Excel
11
Implementation - Technical
CSV Output
Python Code
12
Implementation - Technical
Database tools Challenges
• Lack of coding experience
• Internet interruptions
• Data quality• Footnotes• Compensation
based transactions
SQL Code
13
Implementation - Seeding
t-1 t-2 t-3 t-4 t-5
Avg 3 6 9 11 14
Stdev 2 3 5 6 7
Max 9 16 21 27 32
Min 1 2 3 4 5
Data Collection Time Period
#Opportunistic Trades by #Days Preceding Designated Trade Day
Day of Week Effect
Day Average
Monday 19%
Tuesday 13%
Wednesday 22%
Thursday 16%
Friday 27%
Saturday 2%
Sunday 1%
Portfolio Construction
5 Tranches with approximately 2.5% per position
14
Tranche Nov 21 Nov 28 Dec 5 Dec 12 Dec 19 Dec 26 Jan 2 Jan 9 Jan 16 Jan 23 Jan 30
1 7
2 4
3
4
5
1
2
Portfolio Snapshot
15
Company TickerInitial
Weight
Applied Industrial Technologies AIT 2.5%
Community Bank System, Inc. CBU 2.5%
Donaldson Company, Inc. DCI 2.5%
Innospec, Inc. IOSP 2.5%
Mercury General Corp. MCY 2.5%
Renasant Corp. RNST 2.5%
Square Inc. SQ 2.5%
Tranche 1 – November 21
Company TickerInitial
Weight
First Hawaiian Inc. FHB 2.5%
Avon Products Inc. AVP 2.5%
Canadian Pacific Railway
Limited
CP 2.5%
Healthcare Services Group,
Inc.
HCSG 2.5%
Tranche 2 – November 28
Portfolio Composition - Sector
16
*As of 28nd November
13%
3%
3%
19%
13%15%
17%
5%
7%
1%
4%
IWM1%
71%
2%
10%
10%
3% 3%
SIM Fund*
13%
8%
7%
15%
14%
11%
20%
3%4%
2% 3%
IWV
Cash IWV Consumer Discretionary Consumer StaplesEnergy Financials Health Care IndustrialsInformation Technology Materials Real Estate TelecommunicationsUtilities
Next Steps
1. Continue to seed portfolio
2. Rebalancing the portfolio
3. Holding & attribution analysis
4. Refine and improve trade signal
17
18
Appendix A
*Source: Decoding Inside Information
Table IV: Portfolio Returns to Routine and Opportunistic Trades
Appendix B: Portfolio Composition - Weight
19
*As of 28nd November
2%
47%51%
IWM1%
71%
5%
18%
5%
SIM Fund*
71%Cash IWV Large Mid Cap Small Cap
14%
76%
6%4%
IWV