mba fin - lecture 6a

Upload: nam-do-duy

Post on 07-Apr-2018

218 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/6/2019 Mba Fin - Lecture 6a

    1/8

    Academy of Finance MBA Program, Finance

    Lecture 6A

    Optimal Capital Structure

    Dividend Decision

    2

    Academy of Finance MBA Program, Finance

    Financing the business

    There only two ways to finance a company:

    Debt

    Make fixed payments in the future (interest and repayment of

    principal)

    Failure to make payments can mean losing control of the business

    Note: Current liabilities are a form of short-term working capital

    financing

    Equity

    Pay back whatever is left after debt obligations are met

  • 8/6/2019 Mba Fin - Lecture 6a

    2/8

    3

    Academy of Finance MBA Program, Finance

    Sources of Debt and Equity

    Debt

    For private businesses, it is usually bank loans

    For public companies, it can also be bond issues

    Equity

    For small businesses, it is the owners capital

    For larger businesses, it can be venture or privateequity capital (usually on a preferred basis)

    For publically traded firms, it is common stock

    4

    Academy of Finance MBA Program, Finance

    Costs and Benefits of Debt

    Costs

    Bankruptcy costhigher business riskrelates to higher cost

    Agency cost greaterseparation betweenstockholders andlenders relates to highercost

    Loss of financingflexibility when there isuncertainty about futurefinancing needs

    Benefits

    Tax benefit

    Adds discipline tomanagement

  • 8/6/2019 Mba Fin - Lecture 6a

    3/8

    5

    Academy of Finance MBA Program, Finance

    What is the optimal level of borrowing?

    Miller-Modigliani theorem

    Under ideal conditions, when there are no taxes, no

    agency costs, no threat of bankruptcy, and future

    financing needs are known:

    The value of a firm is independent of its capital structure

    A firms value will be determined by its projected cash flows

    Cost of capital will not change with leverage gains fromleverage will be offset by increases in the cost of equity

    6

    Academy of Finance MBA Program, Finance

    Financing hierarchy

    Managers value flexibility - External financing reducesflexibility more than internal financing

    Managers value control - Issuing new equity weakens control

    and new debt creates bond covenants

    Therefore, financing with retained earnings should be themost preferred choice for financing, followed by debt. Newequity is the least preferred choice

  • 8/6/2019 Mba Fin - Lecture 6a

    4/8

    7

    Academy of Finance MBA Program, Finance

    Survey results preference ranking for long-term finance

    Retained Earnings 5.61

    Straight Debt 4.88

    Convertible Debt 3.02

    External Common Equity 2.42

    Straight Preferred Stock 2.22

    Convertible Preferred 1.72

    SourceSource ScoreScore

    8

    Academy of Finance MBA Program, Finance

    What is the optimal capital structure?

    The following approaches can be considered:

    Minimize cost of capital

    Maximise the overall value of the firm

    Bring the firms capital in line with relevant peergroup

    The structure that best suits where the firm is in

    its lifecycle

  • 8/6/2019 Mba Fin - Lecture 6a

    5/8

    9

    Academy of Finance MBA Program, Finance

    Framework for getting to the optimal

    If actual debt ratio is greater than the optimal one:

    Is the firm under

    bankruptcy

    threat?

    Is the firm under

    bankruptcy

    threat?

    Reduce debt quickly:

    Debt/Equity swaps

    Sell assets to pay off

    debt

    Renegotiate with

    lenders

    Reduce debt quickly:

    Debt/Equity swaps

    Sell assets to pay off

    debt

    Renegotiate with

    lenders

    Does the firm

    have value-

    adding projects?

    Does the firm

    have value-

    adding projects?

    Pay off debt with

    new equity orretained earnings

    Reduce or eliminate

    dividends

    Pay off debt with

    new equity orretained earnings

    Reduce or eliminate

    dividends

    Finance good projects

    with new equity orretained earnings

    Finance good projects

    with new equity orretained earnings

    YES YES

    NO NO

    10

    Academy of Finance MBA Program, Finance

    Framework for getting to the optimal

    If actual debt ratio is lower than the optimal one:

    Is the firm a

    takeover target?

    Is the firm a

    takeover target?

    Increase leverage

    Quickly

    Equity/Debt swaps

    Borrow money and

    buy back shares

    Increase leverage

    Quickly

    Equity/Debt swaps

    Borrow money and

    buy back shares

    Does the firm

    have value-

    adding projects?

    Does the firm

    have value-

    adding projects?

    Pay dividends or buy

    back stock

    Pay dividends or buy

    back stockFinance good projects

    with debt

    Finance good projects

    with debt

    YES YES

    NO NO

  • 8/6/2019 Mba Fin - Lecture 6a

    6/8

    11

    Academy of Finance MBA Program, Finance

    Designing debt

    Optimal financing instrument would have all the tax

    advantages of debt while preserving the flexibility of equity

    C/F characteristicsC/F characteristics Debt characteristicsDebt characteristics

    Duration Set maturity

    Currency if inflows Set currency mix

    Sensitivity to uncertainty

    about future inflation

    Set fixed vs. floating Rate

    * More floating rate if CF moves with

    inflation, or if greater uncertainty aboutfuture

    Growth pattern Straight debt versus Convertible

    * Convertible if cash flows low now but

    with high growth later

    Cyclicality Option to match payments with C/F

    stream

    12

    Academy of Finance MBA Program, Finance

    Dividend decision

    Calculated on the basis of retained after-tax profits and near-term earnings prospects

    Better to consider expected free cash flows cash remainingafter expenses and after capital investment needs have been

    met

    Finance theory says that if the company has no positive-NPVprojects (projects with returns that exceed the hurdle rate),then excess funds should be returned to the owners in theform of dividends

    The reality is different

  • 8/6/2019 Mba Fin - Lecture 6a

    7/8

    13

    Academy of Finance MBA Program, Finance

    Why pay dividends?

    Some shareholders require dividends

    They are usually tax-neutral in terms of dividends vs.capital gains (i.e. Pension funds)

    Signalling theory paying dividends indicates to themarket that the firm is confident about future cashflows

    Wealth appropriation transfer of wealth fromlenders to owners (though lenders may not likethis)

    14

    Academy of Finance MBA Program, Finance

    Why not pay cash dividends?

    In order to retain flexibility Cash buffer in the event that future conditions are uncertain

    Investment flexibility, to be able to exercise built in options oncurrent investments

    For growth companies, it is expected that cash will beretained to finance growth, thus leading to higher capital gainbenefit of owning shares

    Management has a good track record of investing the firmscash in high-return projects

    Tax issues for shareholders

  • 8/6/2019 Mba Fin - Lecture 6a

    8/8

    15

    Academy of Finance MBA Program, Finance

    Cash versus share buy-back

    A buy-back is a one-time event

    Shareholders have no further expectation from

    the company

    Cash dividends create expectations for future

    dividend pay-outs

    16

    Academy of Finance MBA Program, Finance

    What does a dividend payment signal?

    That the company is profitable and expects to be

    profitable in the future, leaving it with excess cash

    Positive signal, share price increases

    OR, that the company has few positive NPV

    projects, thus returning cash to investors

    Negative signal, share price declines