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MAURIZIO COTTA - LUCA VERZICHELLI IL SISTEMA POLITICO ITALIANO CHAPTER 4 Elections, political cultures and electoral behavior

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The PR during the First Republic Chamber of Deputies  PR with party list  32 large electoral districts  No formal threshold, and a very low real threshold  Allocation of the rests on a national basis  Multiple preferential voting Senate of the Republic  Uninominal colleges with a 65% threshold for direct election  Basically, PR corrected by the limited dimension of the Upper House and by the lack of a national second- tier allocation

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Page 1: MAURIZIO COTTA - LUCA VERZICHELLI IL SISTEMA POLITICO ITALIANO CHAPTER 4 Elections, political cultures and electoral behavior

MAURIZIO COTTA - LUCA VERZICHELLIIL SISTEMA POLITICO ITALIANO

CHAPTER 4

Elections, political cultures and electoral behavior

Page 2: MAURIZIO COTTA - LUCA VERZICHELLI IL SISTEMA POLITICO ITALIANO CHAPTER 4 Elections, political cultures and electoral behavior

Topics of this chapter

The changing “electoral regimes”The Italian voterThe political sub-cultures

Page 3: MAURIZIO COTTA - LUCA VERZICHELLI IL SISTEMA POLITICO ITALIANO CHAPTER 4 Elections, political cultures and electoral behavior

The PR during the First Republic

Chamber of Deputies PR with party list 32 large electoral districts No formal threshold, and a very low real

threshold Allocation of the rests on a national basis Multiple preferential voting

Senate of the Republic Uninominal colleges with a 65% threshold for

direct election Basically, PR corrected by the limited dimension

of the Upper House and by the lack of a national second-tier allocation

Page 4: MAURIZIO COTTA - LUCA VERZICHELLI IL SISTEMA POLITICO ITALIANO CHAPTER 4 Elections, political cultures and electoral behavior

First Republic, Chamber of

Deputies, the electoral districts

Page 5: MAURIZIO COTTA - LUCA VERZICHELLI IL SISTEMA POLITICO ITALIANO CHAPTER 4 Elections, political cultures and electoral behavior

Consequences brought about by the PR

Multiparty systemFractionalized parliamentsCoalition governmentsIntraparty competition and factionalismCentralized candidate selection

Page 6: MAURIZIO COTTA - LUCA VERZICHELLI IL SISTEMA POLITICO ITALIANO CHAPTER 4 Elections, political cultures and electoral behavior

Second Republic, the 1993 electoral reform (Mattarellum, 1994-1996-2001)

A related mixed-member system, with: ¾ of the seats allocated by plurality ¼ of the seats allocated by PR, with closed list and a

4% threshold Double ballot for the Chamber, single ballot for the

Senate

Page 7: MAURIZIO COTTA - LUCA VERZICHELLI IL SISTEMA POLITICO ITALIANO CHAPTER 4 Elections, political cultures and electoral behavior

Consequences brought about by the Mattarellum

Unrelenting multiparty system(Pre)electoral coalitionsBipolarism

Page 8: MAURIZIO COTTA - LUCA VERZICHELLI IL SISTEMA POLITICO ITALIANO CHAPTER 4 Elections, political cultures and electoral behavior

Second Republic, Chamber of

Deputies, electoral districts

Page 9: MAURIZIO COTTA - LUCA VERZICHELLI IL SISTEMA POLITICO ITALIANO CHAPTER 4 Elections, political cultures and electoral behavior

Second Republic, the 2005 electoral reform (Porcellum, 2006-2008-2013)

Mixed system characterized by: PR with closed list Electoral thresholds different for the two Houses, and

changing for parties and coalitions Majority reward for the winner

at national level for the Chamber of Deputies at regional level for the Senate

Page 10: MAURIZIO COTTA - LUCA VERZICHELLI IL SISTEMA POLITICO ITALIANO CHAPTER 4 Elections, political cultures and electoral behavior

Porcellum, 2006-2013: the ballot (2013)

Page 12: MAURIZIO COTTA - LUCA VERZICHELLI IL SISTEMA POLITICO ITALIANO CHAPTER 4 Elections, political cultures and electoral behavior

Voter-party relationships during the First Republic

Three different kinds of electoral behavior Belonging, identified voter Opinion voter Exchange voter

Characteristics of the electoral arena Stability Consistent choices in all elections (included

second-order)

Page 13: MAURIZIO COTTA - LUCA VERZICHELLI IL SISTEMA POLITICO ITALIANO CHAPTER 4 Elections, political cultures and electoral behavior

Voters’ behavior during the Second Republic

Growing individual mobility and systemic volatility

Personal voting based on leaders’ evaluationStrategic and divided voting

Page 14: MAURIZIO COTTA - LUCA VERZICHELLI IL SISTEMA POLITICO ITALIANO CHAPTER 4 Elections, political cultures and electoral behavior

Referenda in Italy, 1974-2005

Page 15: MAURIZIO COTTA - LUCA VERZICHELLI IL SISTEMA POLITICO ITALIANO CHAPTER 4 Elections, political cultures and electoral behavior

Referendum turnout in Italy, 1974-2005

Page 16: MAURIZIO COTTA - LUCA VERZICHELLI IL SISTEMA POLITICO ITALIANO CHAPTER 4 Elections, political cultures and electoral behavior

The First RepublicA political

map

Page 17: MAURIZIO COTTA - LUCA VERZICHELLI IL SISTEMA POLITICO ITALIANO CHAPTER 4 Elections, political cultures and electoral behavior

The Second RepublicA political map