matrix revolution, a shared land, a common destiny
DESCRIPTION
Grammenos Mastrojeni. Tema III: Gobernanza Multinivel del Desarrollo Económico Local: articulación local-nacional. Mesa 5: La sostenibilidad ambiental y la gestión de los recursos naturalesTRANSCRIPT
MATRIX REVOLUTION
A shared land, a common destiny
3 PARTS
• A common land: everyone is important
• If we do not protect the environment…
• If we do protect the environment
Anticipating conclusions…
• If we do NOT protect our planet
CONFLICTS, GENERAL DISRUPTION OF
SOCIAL COESION AND SOCIAL
WELFARE
If we DO protect the environment…
Even if we do not aim at it…
Increased PEACE, SECURITY and
GLOBAL JUSTICE
Or…THE MATRIX…
THE BUTTERFLY EFFECT
• Alan Turing,
STILL… THE SAME
BUTTERFLY
EARTH, a GLOBAL CLOSED
SYSTEM
The struggle between
CHAOS
and
BALANCE
BALANCE…
WHO CARES?
NO BOUNDARIES…
GEOGRAPHIC GLOBALITY
GAIA’S MATRIX: no isolated sector
SYSTEMIC GLOBALITY
Environment
Peace H. Rights
Development
LAND
PART 2 – CATASTROPHY
THRESHOLD
GAIA’S MATRIX PREDICTIONS,
In case we do not change our course
Lessons learnt from a century of
horrors
And the true nature of peace…
Let’s just take an example…
CLIMATE CHANGE
Not only climate…
Small and alien… yet still
important
Even smaller… but essential
Ocean acidification and the Permo-Triassic mass extinction
M. O. Clarkson et al. A rapid injection of massive amounts of carbon into the atmosphere acidified the oceans, causing mass extinction
Some figures…
The daily over-intake of energy of planet
Earth due to man-made green house
effect equals…
400.000 HIROSHIMA BOMS PER
DAY… 356 days a year
Calculated by J. HANSEN in 2012
= 0,60 watt per square metre
3 numbers about global warming…
Ongoing warming
0,78°C / 0,85°C = 400 ppm
Conventional Security Threshold
2° C = +/- 550 ppm
Worst Case Scenario
5,8° C
In other words…
Positive feed-back cycles and
tipping points
• Permafrost
• Gulfstream
• Ice sheets
• Albedo…
• Lightening
And much more!
It’s now, and it’s real…
Non linear impacts
WARMING
CONSEQUENCES
THE HIMALAYA SCENARIO
Millions on the move…
The Doomsday Clock
• Regulated 23 times since 1948
• 2 minutes closer to midnight in 2007
January 23, 2015: 3 minutes to midnight!
Once more: it’s now and it’s
real…
Arab «springs»?
Researchers Link Syrian Conflict to a Drought Made Worse by
Climate Change
By HENRY FOUNTAINMARCH 2, 2015
“A new report suggests
extreme drought in Syria was
most likely a factor in the
violent uprising that began
there in 2011…”
A threat in a distant future?
2030: THE PERFECT STORM…
- Hitting the poor first
- Refugees…
- Arctic
- Water
- Agricoltural lands
And much more…
PART 3
The planet of wonders
What if we protect the
environment?
What’s good for you is good for
your planet
Healthy diet Env. impact
A planetary game of balances…
LAND AND SOIL RECOVERY
DO WE HAVE SOLUTIONS?
• GEO – ENGINEERING?
• NEW TECHNOLOGIES?
A reasonable cost (Sir. Stern), a
solution at hand..
Socolow’s and Pacala’s STABILIZATION
WEDGES
Why don’t we make the right
choice?
• Illusion of sustainability sector by sector/
global unsustainability
• Common threat, noone’s challenge
• Structure of market economy
Marrying economy and politics…
• Politics (pigouvian taxes, technology
transfers, cap and trade, etc.) perceived
as an interference over the market
• The market dominates politics so…
LET US MAKE ENVIRONMENT A VISIBLE
GAIN FOR THE MARKET!
GREEN ECONOMY AND A NEW
WAY TO MEASURE WEALTH
WELL BEYOND GROSS NATIONAL
PRODUCT
• UNDP’s HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX
• Amartya SEN
• NEW NATIONAL WEALTH
MEASUREMENTS (WORLD BANK)
MANKIND AT THE CROSSROADS
A question of scale:
Initiatives consistent with the dimensions of
the climate change problem imply
humanizing economy and a significative
redistribution of wealth
A MORE SOCIALLY JUST PLANET
CONCLUSIONENVIRONMENT: OUR BEST GUARANTEE OF
PEACE, DIGNITY AND JUSTICE