mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations heleen verhage, freudenthal...

32
Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001.

Post on 19-Dec-2015

212 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of

statistical representations

Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute

PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001.

Page 2: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Mathematical literacy (OECD/PISA):

"Mathematics literacy is an individual’s capacity to identify and understand the role that mathematics plays in the world, to make well-founded mathematical judgements and to engage in mathematics, in ways that meet the needs of that individual’s current and future life as a constructive, concerned and reflective citizen."

Page 3: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Planetary orbits, 10th or 11th century

Page 4: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

William Playfair (1759-1823)

Inventor of:

Line graph

Bar graph

Pie chartExamples of time series and multivariate analysis

Page 5: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Playfair: Trade balance of England,

Page 6: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Playfair: import and export in Scotland, 1786

Page 7: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Playfair: timeseries (250 years: 1565-1821) of price of wheat and wages of

labour

Page 8: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Playfair: area of countries (circles), population (left line seg.) and tax revenu (right line seg.).An example of ‘multivariate analysis’

Page 9: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Tufte:

Graphical excellence begins with telling the truth about the data.

Page 10: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

USA population piramids, 1874

Page 11: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Charles Minard (1781-1870)

New techniques:

Use of area as a measure

Use of maps

Page 12: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Minard: carrying traffic by train, area proportional with revenues.

Page 13: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

1. Tell the story of this graph2. How many variables in the graph?

Page 14: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Minard: French army on its way to Moscow

Page 15: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Florence Nightingal

e(1820-1910)

Page 16: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Nightingale: original version of the coxcomb graph (1858)

Page 17: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Source: Scientifi

c America

n

Page 18: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Textbook: ‘Getal & Ruimte”

Page 19: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Nightingale: bar graphs to compare conditions in the army with civilian life

Page 20: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Florence Nightingale in later life

Page 21: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

“There are three kinds of lies:

lies, damned lies and statistics”

(Benjamin Disraeli (1804-1881))

Page 22: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

College enrollment

Tufte: “the worsest graph ever made…”

Page 23: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Tufte:

The number of information-carrying dimensions depicted should not exceed the number of dimensions in the data.

Page 24: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

example of lie factor (source: Tufte)

Page 25: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Taken from

textbook

Page 26: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Between saying

and doing…

Page 27: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Selling of

icecream

Page 28: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Manic-Depressive Illness

Page 29: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Timeline of Robert Schumann

Page 30: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Graphical excellence is that which gives to the viewer:

- the greatest number of ideas - in the shortest time - with the least ink - in the smallest space

Page 31: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Relevant literature:

•Darrell Huff (1954). How to lie with statistics. Reprinted in Penguin and Pelican books.

•Edward R. Tufte (1983). The visual Display of Quantitive Information. Cheshire: graphics Press.

•M.J. Moroney: facts from figures. First published in 1951.

•Howard Wainer (1997). Visual revealations. New York: Copernicus-Springer

Page 32: Mathematics for all: sense and nonsense of statistical representations Heleen Verhage, Freudenthal Institute PME25 Summer Institute, 18-20 July 2001

Relevant websites:

•http://hotspur.psych.yorku.ca/SCS/Gallery/

•http://www-history.mcs.st-and.ac.uk/history/

•http://www.florence-nightingale.co.uk

•http://www.fi.uu.nl/wiskrant/artikelen/hist_grafieken

•http://www.usatoday.com/snapshot/news/snapndex.htm