marketing to the prehistoric mind ebook
TRANSCRIPT
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MARKETINGTOTHEPREHISTORICMIND
HowTheHotNewScienceofBehavioural
EconomicsCanHelpYouIncreaseYourSales
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TableofContents
1. A b o u t t h i s b oo k :The Theory That Won a Nobel Prize
2. The Pos i t i ve Nega t i ve Asym m et ry Ef fec t : What Vince Vaughn, Bill Clinton and Gordon Ramsay Can Teach You About
Marketing
3. Loss Avers ion & Fram ing E f fec ts :When a Glass Half Empty Is More Persuasive Than a Glass Half Full
4. Risk Avers ion : If That's True of Entrepreneurs, Think What Your Average Customer Is Like?
5. The Endow m ent Ef fec t : When a Bird In Hand Is Worth 14 In The Bush
6. Stat us Quo B ias :What an Outdated Piece of Legislation Can Teach You About The Psychology of
Buying
7. From Desc r i p t i on t o Presc r i p t i on :Using These Systematic Biases To Increase Your Sales
8. Rela ted Sa les & Marke t i ng A r t i c l es9. References
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1.Aboutthisbook:TheTheoryThatWonaNobelPrize
Whatyouhaveinfrontofyouisacondensedandsuccinctsummaryofdecadesofresearch
inthefieldsofpsychologyandbehaviouraleconomics.Specifically,itisbasedonDaniel
KahnemanandAmosTverskysProspectTheoryofdecisionmaking.Thetheoryhasbeenso
insightfulandinfluentialinthedomainofdecisionmakingthatKahnemanwasawardedthe2002NobelMemorialPrizeinEconomicsforhisworkonprospecttheory.
Despitethetheorysvalueandapplicationtothefieldofsalesandmarketing,ithaslargely
remainedconfinedtotheworldofacademia.Inplaceswhereithasenteredtheworldof
businessithasbeenlimitedtobigbusiness,asonlythosewithlargebudgetscanaffordto
spendtensandthousandsofdollarsinhiringexpertsknowledgeableandtrainedinthe
applicationoftheprinciples.90%ofmarketershaveneverevenheardof,letalonestudied,
anyoftheprinciplesofProspectTheory.Manyhaveaccidentallystumbleduponthem
throughtrialanderrorbutveryfewunderstandwhytheseeffectsactuallyexistorhowto
maximizetheir
power.
Accordingly,thisebookseekstorevealandapplythoseprinciplestotheworldofsalesand
marketing.Thelessonscontainedinthisebookareapplicabletoeverybusiness.Regardless
oftheindustryyouareinorthedemographicsofyourmarket,theseprinciplesapplyto
yourbusinessastheyapplytoallhumandecisionmakingacrosscultures,gendersandage
groups.Allyourequireistheimaginationtoapplytheminyourbusiness.
Ifyouhavethepatiencetolearntheseprinciplesandthemotivationtoapplytheminyour
business,youwillgainaninstantcompetitiveedgeoveryourcompetitors.
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2.TheNegativepositiveAsymmetryEffect:
WhatVinceVaughn,BillClintonandGordonRamsayCanTeachYouAbout
Marketing
InSeptember2005,VinceVaughn,thefamousHollywoodactorwhostarredinthehit
moviesWeddingCrashersandAnchorman,decidedtotakeagroupoffourcomediansona
thirtyday
comedy
tour
around
America.
They
were
to
travel
some
6000
miles
through
the
heartlandofAmericavisitingthirtycitiesinthirtydays.TheideawastobringanAgrade
comedyshowtotheremotepartsofAmerica.
ItseemslikeyouhavetogotoNewYorkorVegasorCaliforniaorLosAngelestoseea
showlikethis,explainedVaughninaradiointerview.Ireallywanttobringagreatlive
comedyshowtopeoplesbackyardsandgivethemachancetoseeitintheirowntown.
Moreover,itwasachancetoshowcasethenextgenerationofcomicsandhelpthemobtain
somevisibilityandexperience.Ihopethattheycomeoutofthisstrongerinwhotheyare,
more
knowing
of
themselves.
Thats
the
biggest
thing
with
entertaining,
is
to
know
yourself
andbehonestaboutwhoyouaresaidVaughn.Anothercommentatoradded,Thirtydays
fromtoday,thesepeoplewillbedifferentpeoplewhentheyfinish.
Indeed,theyweredifferent.Thecomicsenduredagreatdealoverthenonstop30daytour,
cuttheirteethonsometoughaudiences,andlearntsomekeylessonsthatwouldserve
themforyearstocome.Intheprocessoflearningtheselessonstheyalsoleftsomeforusto
learn.Inparticularthereisonelessonthatisquiterelevanttostudentsofthehuman
psyche.
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Severalnightsintothetour,JohnCaparulo,oneofthefeaturedcomics,isonstage
performinghissetwhensomethingunexpectedhappens.Aspartofhissetheasksthe
audienceaquestion.
Anybodyeverworkinafastfoodplace?"
Anaudiencememberyellsoutaresponse.Althoughitisnotclearwhatthatpersonhassaid,
Caparuloisclearlyupsetbythecomment.Hesuddenlyslipsintoabadmood.Hegets
defensiveandverballyattackstheunidentifiedaudiencemember.
"Istheresomeshityouneedtoworkoutdog?Whatthef***?Whoisthisdrunkat9?
Yet,evenafterventinghisfrustration,heisunabletoshakeoffthenegativeremark.So
frustrated,infact,thatheabandonshissetandwalksoffthestage.
Ashestormsoutbackstage,shakinghisheadandswearingtohimself,oneofhisfellow
comicsinquires
about
the
situation.
Carapulo
tries
to
explain
what
happened,
but
is
so
frustratedbythesituationthatheisunabletoarticulatetheproblem.
Whatthef***man?Iwasjustdoingmythingandsomeguyinthebackisjust,gothis
f******.
Hiscolleaguetriesagaintoelicitsomeinformation.
"What'shedoing?"asksthefellowcomic.
EventuallyCarapulo
gathers
himself
and
explains
that,
when
he
asked
the
question,
one
of
theaudiencemembersyelledout"f***me",asiftosaythisisaboringshow.Theremark
upsetCarapuloandputhimoffhisgame.Andhoweverhardhetried,hecouldnotseepast
it.
LaterhediscussesthefiascowithVaughnwho,aswellasbeingthemanagerforthetour,is
alsoamentortotheseyoungcomics.VaughnreassuresCarapuloandoffershimadviceon
howtodealwithsuchsituations.ItisilluminatingtoseewhatVaughnadvisesCarapulofor
itshowsVaughnslackofunderstandingoftherootoftheproblem.
Whenpeople
want
to
engage
you
when
theyre
coming
from
an
angry
place,
it
usually
has
moretodowiththemthananythingtodowithyou,especiallyinasetwhenyouhave
everyoneintheaudienceapplaudingandlaughingandallthatstuff.Whylistentothatone
voice?Whynotlistentoalltheothervoices?"
Atfirsttheadvicemakesperfectsense.Whenpeoplearenegativeinsuchcircumstancesit
usuallyhastodowiththem.Theguyprobablycamedrunktotheshowwithaviewtoblow
offsomesteam.Hencearationalpersonwouldnotconcentrateonthatonevoiceand
wouldinsteadlistentoalltheother,morepositive,voices.
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YettheadviceisuselessbecauseitaddsnothingnewtoCarapuloscurrentunderstanding.
Carapuloalreadyacknowledgesthathisreactionwasirrationalandillogical.Ashehimself
said,thereare1301peopleinthereand1300peoplelovewhatIdo.Andthatoneguyisa
f******douche.Youknow,Iforsomereasonfixateonthatoneguy.
Hencethe
advice
doesn't
add
anything
new
or
substantial
to
Carapulo's
understanding
of
hisproblem.That'snottosaytheadvicewasfutile.Itcertainlyhadsomevalue.Butitwas
onlyeffectiveinsofarastheprocessoflisteningtoCarapuloandconsolinghimmadehim
feelsupported.Asfortheactualcontentoftheadvice,itmissedthemarkcompletely.If
anything,itprobablymadeCarapuloquestionhissanity.Itcertainlymakesanoutsider
questionhismentalhealth.WasCarapuloanirrationalindividual?Washeaweak
individual?Ifotherpeoplewouldreactdifferently,thenwhycouldn'thecontrolhis
emotion?Whycouldntheblockoutthenegativevoice?Whatwaswrongwithhim?
Yetforthosewhounderstandthephenomenonbehindhisabsurdreaction,theonlything
Carapulois
suffering
from
is
aserious
case
of
being
human,
aproblem
we
all
share.
What
CarapuloexperiencedthatnightwastheforceofwhatpsychologistscallthePositive
NegativeAsymmetryEffect.Yousee,wearefarmoreaffectedbynegativeexperiencesthan
wearebypositiveexperiences.Allelsebeingequal,negativeeventscommandgreater
attention,elicitadeeperemotionalreaction,andaremorememorablethanpositiveevents.
Moreover,theprincipleholdsacrossawiderangeofdomains,innonhumansaswellas
humans,andwithonlyafewnotedexceptions.
ClassicExperimentsonthePositiveNegativeAsymmetryEffect
Inone
survey,
researchers
asked
hundreds
of
undergraduate
psychology
students
to
list
the
numberofheroicactssomeonemustperform,eachattherisktohisorherownlife,tobe
forgivenformurderingoneperson.Themediananswerwas25.Thedamageoftheone
negativeactvastlyoutweighedtherebuildingeffortofthepositiveacts.
Inanotherexperimentparticipantswereaskedtoimagineeitherlosingorgainingacertain
amountofmoney.Whattheexperimenterswantedtoknowwaswhetherweexperienced
gainsandlossesinthesameway.Turnedoutwedidnt.Theresearchersfoundthedistress
oflosingmoneytobegreaterthanthejoyofgainingtheamountofmoney.Inotherwords,
losing$100andfinding$100isnotthesamething.Thepainoflosing$100faroutweighs
thehedonistic
value
of
gaining
$100.
Most
people
agreed
that
it
would
take
again
of
$200
tobalanceoutthepainoflosing$100.
WhattheHinduCasteSystemandthe1685NegroCodeHaveinCommon
Thisprincipleofnegativitybiasplaysoutonavastsocialscaleforover800,000,000Hindus
inIndiaeveryday,wherethecastesystemstillpermeatesthroughasignificantpartofthe
society.H.N.C.Stevenson,whostudiedthetopicingreatdepthintheearly1950s,noted
thatpeopleofhighercasteareeasilycontaminatedandloweredinstatusthroughcontact
withalowercasteperson.Thecontaminationcanoccuraseasilyasbyeatingfoodprepared
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byalowercasteindividualorbysharingautensilwithalowercasteindividual.Whatwas
mostinterestingwasthattheoppositedoesnotapply.Whenanindividualofalowercaste
comesincontactwithahighercasteindividual,heneitherpurifiesnorachieveshigher
status.Thusitseasytopolluteandhardtopurify.
Thisis
not
just
an
eastern
phenomenon.
In
the
1685
Code
Noir,
better
known
as
the
Negro
Code,onedropofblackbloodwasenoughtocontaminateanindividualandrenderthem
blemished.Yetnoamountofwhitebloodwasenoughtopurifysomeone,aswasevidenced
bythefactthatnomixedraceindividualwasnaturalisedaswhite.Incontrast,wherebeing
blackhasnowbecomebeneficial,insituationswhereaffirmativeactionapplies,thereisno
suchthingastheonedroprule.Aconsiderablystrongerconnectionisrequiredtobenefit
fromtheprivileges.
WhatBillClintonCanTeachYouaboutHumanMemory
Similarly,in
politics
it
has
been
shown
that
short
term
economic
downturns
reduce
the
supportfortheincumbentparty,whereasshorttermeconomicboomshavevirtuallyno
impact.
Onthesubjectofpolitics,considerthefamousAmericanpresidentBillClinton.Duringhis
presidencyhemanagedseveralsignificantvictories.Hetookthelargestbudgetdeficitand
turneditintothelargestbudgetsurplusinAmericanhistory.Hereformedwelfareand
achievedthelowestteenbirthratein60years.Hereducedthetariffsthatpreventedfree
tradeandpassedstrictlawstoprotecttheenvironment.
Evenmore
stunning
were
his
diplomatic
and
military
initiatives,
which
brought
peace
to
Haiti,theBalkans,and,albeitforashorttime,theMiddleEast.Notonlywerehis
interventionsclearcutvictories,theywereachievedwithminimallossofUSpersonnel.
However,despitethisimpressivelistofachievements,theissueforwhichheismost
rememberedandrecognisedishisillicitaffairwithMonicaLewinsky.Hisscandalousaffair
withtheyoungWhiteHouseemployeewasfarmorememorableandsalientthananyofhis
othercontributions.Butwhywasthisthecase?Whydidntpeoplerememberhispositive
contributions?Partofthereasonisthatnegativeeventsaremorememorablethanpositive
events.
Inarevealing
experiment,
researchers
asked
people
to
recall
arecent
and
important
emotionaleventthattheyhadeithertoldsomeoneaboutorkeptsecret.Theresearchers
welcomedbothpositiveandnegativeexperiences.Naturallybothwerereported.However
inasurprisingtwist,farmorebadexperienceswerereportedthangoodexperiences.The
recallrateforbadexperienceswassohighthatitexceededthepositiveexperiencesbyfour
toone.Theresearchersconcludedthateventsinvolvingbademotionsaremorememorable
thaneventsinvolvinggoodemotions.Inlightofthesefindings,itsnowonderthatthe
LewinskyscandalcontinuestoovershadowClintonscontributionsanddominatesthe
publicsmindasthemostmemorableissueoftheClintonera.
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TheRationallyIrrationalSpecies
Animportantpointtonoteaboutthepositivenegativeasymmetryeffectisthatthisisnota
culturalphenomenon.Wearenotnecessarilytaughttoreactthisway.Insteadweare
biologicallyprogrammedtofeelthepowerofbadmorethanthepowerofgood.Butwhy
wouldevolution
select
such
atrait?
What
is
there
to
be
gained
from
being
excessively
fearfulofloss?Whatisthepositivetoourobsessionwiththenegative?Theansweris
survival.Evolutionselectedthistraitbecauseitmadeindividualsmoreadaptabletothe
challengesoflifeandaidedthemintheirstruggleforsurvival.
Buthowdoesthisirrationalandillogicalbiasimproveourchancesofsurvival?Well, as
someleadingscientistsexplainedinarecentarticle,BadIsStrongerThanGood,publishedin
ReviewofGeneralPsychology:apersonwhoignoresthepossibilityofapositiveoutcome
maylaterexperiencesignificantregretathavingmissedanopportunityforpleasureor
advancement,butnothingdirectlyterribleislikelytoresult.Incontrast,apersonwho
ignoresdanger
(the
possibility
of
abad
outcome)
even
once,
may
end
up
maimed
or
dead.
Survivalrequiresurgentattentiontopossiblebadoutcomes,butitislessurgentwithregard
togoodones.Hence,itwouldbeadaptivetobepsychologicallydesignedtorespondtobad
morestronglythangood.
TheFinalVerdictonCarapulosReaction
Accordingly,Carapulowasneitherweaknorirrational,asitmayhaveappearedfroma
strictlylogicalandrationalperspective.Hewasjustexperiencingtheemotionalimpactof
thenegativepositiveasymmetryeffect.Itwashisbiologicalpredispositiontonoticeand
dwellon
the
negative
that
prevented
him
from
blocking
out
the
negative
remark.
To
put
it
anotherway,itwasnthisfaultthathecouldnthelpbutpayattentiontothatonenegative
person,evenwhentherewereotherpositivepeoplepresentatthesametime.
Theironyofitallisthattheguywhoyelledoutf***me,neverevensaidthat.Oneof
Caparulosfellowcomicswhowasinthecrowdatthetime andwitnessedthewholeevent,
latertoldCaparulothattheguyhadactuallysaidf***Yeh.HenceCaparulohadlosthis
coolfornoreason.However,themistakedidntgotowaste.Yearslater,somethousandsof
kilometresawayinacompletelydifferentcontext,thatslighthiccuphashelpedrevealan
importantprincipleofhumanpsychologythatbadexperiencesarestrongerthangood
experiences.
LessonNumberOne
Asalespersononcesaid,Ifyougivebadservice,peoplewilltelltenotherpeople.
Fortunatelytheoppositeisalsotrue.
Unfortunately,andwithallduerespect,itisnt.Amoreaccurateassessmentis,Ifyougive
badservice,peoplewilltelltenotherpeople.Ifyougivegoodservice,atbesttheywilltell
five.Why?Becausebadnewsismorebuzzworthythangoodnews.Thatswhyits
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importanttoensurethatunhappycustomersareattendedtoandtakencareof.Else,it
couldreallydamageyourbusiness.
Thismaysoundobviousbutyou'dbesurprisedhowmanybusinessesgetitwrong.Takethe
caseofthefamouschefandbusinessmanGordonRamsay,forexample.
GordonF******Ramsay
Afterthesuccessofhisfirstrestaurant,Aubergine,Ramsaybecamedismissiveofcustomer
complaints.Asheputit,"IntheAuberginedays,Ihadbecomeanarrogantlittlefucker,and
wheneveraletterofcomplaintarrived,itwentstraightinthebinasanappropriate
testimonytothewriter'scredentials.WhenwestartedatRoyalHospitalRoad,thetradition
carriedon."
Itwasn't
until
one
of
his
advisors
educated
him
on
the
damage
unhappy
customers
can
causethathechangedhisways.
"Itseemednormalenough,untilonedayChrisfoundoutandcamestormingintothe
restauranttopointoutacoupleofhometruths...hewentonabouthowonestonethrown
inthepondcausesripplesfromthecentretotheedgesandyoucan'tstopthem,andhow
importantwordslikehumility,feedback,reputationandwordofmouthareifwewanttobe
seriousrestauranteurs."
"Andwhatpissedmeoff,ofcourse,wasthathewasbangonthebutton."
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3.LossAversion&FramingEffects:
WhenaGlassHalfEmptyIsMorePersuasiveThanaGlassHalfFull
Imaginethe
following
scenario:
Supposethatyouarethemayorofasmalltownwithapopulationof600.Thetownisfacing
anoutbreakofadeadlyvirusthatislikelytokillmany.Youarepresentedwithtwodifferent
solutions.Thefirstwillsaveaguaranteed200people.Thesecondprogramwillsaveall600
withonethirdsprobability.Whichonewouldyouchoose?
Ifyouarelikemostpeople,youwouldhavechosenthefirstprogram.Youwouldtakeasure
thingoverariskygamble.
Now
imagine
the
following
scenario:
Supposethatyouarethemayorofasmalltownwithapopulationof600.Thetownisfacing
anoutbreakofadeadlyvirusthatislikelytokillmany.Youarepresentedwithtwodifferent
solutions.Thefirstwillallow400peopletodie.Thesecondwillletall600livewithone
thirdsprobability.Whichonewouldyouchoose?
Thistimeyouprobablywentwiththesecondprogram.Yetboth scenariosareexactlythe
same.Savingaguaranteed200peopleoutof600isthesameaslosingaguaranteed400
peopleoutof600.Sowhythereversalinchoice?Isitbecauseyouarenotanexpert
medicalpractitionerandtrainedinevaluatingmedicalprograms?
No,becausewhenthequestionwasputtoalargesampleofphysicians,theytoo
overwhelminglychosethefirstprograminscenarioone(72%)andthenreversedtheir
choicetothesecondprograminscenario2(78%).
FramingEffects:WhyaGlassHalfEmptyisMorePersuasivethanaGlassHalfFull
Thedifferenceisinwhatpsychologistscallframing.Sincebadexperiencesarestrongerthan
goodexperiences,lossesarefeltmorestronglythangains.AstheNobelPrizewinning
psychologistswhofirstdiscoveredthiseffect,AmosTverskyandDanielKahneman,famously
putit,lossesloomlargerthangains.
Thismeanspeoplearemoremotivatedtoavoidalossthantoseekagain.Thusinthe
exampleabove,themedicalpractitionersweremorelikelytaketheriskygamblewhenit
wasframedintermsofavoidingalossof400people,thanwhenitwasframedintermsof
savingthelivesof400people.
Whatthismeansforyouasamarketerorasalespersonisthatifyouwanttopersuade
someonetodosomething,tellthemnotwhattheywillgainbutwhattheywilllose.
Considertheexperimentundertakenbythepsychologists,YoavGanzachandNiliKarsahiof
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theHebrewUniversityofJerusalem,Israel.
Collaboratingwithanationalcreditcardcompany,theyrandomlyselectedtwohundredand
fortysixcreditcardholderswhohadnotusedtheircardsforthepreviousthreemonths.
Thentheysentthemallamessageintheformofaphonecallfollowedbyaletter
highlightingthe
benefits
of
using
their
credit
cards
over
cash
or
cheque.
TheCatchWas
Theonlycatchwas,notallthecustomersreceivedthesamemessage.
Halfthecustomersreceivedanegativelyframedmessage(thelossofnotusingtheircredit
card)whiletheotherhalfreceivedapositivelyframedmessage(thebenefitofusingtheir
creditcard).
Thecustomers
in
the
negative
framing
condition
received
the
following
message:
"...Iunderstand.Itisworthwhileforyoutoknowthatthereare
manydisadvantagesinusingcashinsteadofZionCard.Oneis
thatinusingcashthereisadangerthatmoneywillbelostor
stolen;butifsomeoneusedyourcard,weareresponsible,and
themoneywillbereturnedtoyou.Thismeansthatpayingby
cashisnotonlylessconvenient,butalsomuchlesssecure.(Emphasisadded)
Incomparisonthoseinthepositiveframingconditionreceivedthefollowingmessage:
"...Iunderstand.Itisworthwhileforyoutoknowthatthereare
manyadvantagesinusingZionCardinsteadofcash.Oneisthat
inusingZionCardthereisnodangerthatmoneywillbelost
orstolen;thatisifsomeoneusedyourcard,weareresponsible,
andthemoneywillbereturnedtoyou.Thismeansthatpaying
byZionCardisnotonlymoreconvenient,butalsomuchmoresecure.(Emphasis
added)
Similarlytheywerealsoinformedofotherreasonsforusingthecreditcardbutwith
differentframing:
LossFramed GainFramed
Additionaldisadvantagesinusingcash
Nofreecreditforuptoonemonth.
Nocontinuoustrackingofyour
expenses.
Inconvenienceindailyuse.
AdditionaladvantagesinusingZionCard
Freecreditforuptoonemonth.
Continuoustrackingofyourexpenses.
Convenienceindailyuse.
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Asyoucanseeboththemessageswerethesame.Theonlydifferencewasinthewaythey
wereframed.Whattheexperimenterswantedtoseewaswhetherframingamessagein
termsofalossoragainwouldhaveanimpactonthenumberofcustomerswhowould
subsequentlystartusingtheircreditcard.
Theresults
were
clear
cut
and
decisive.
Loss
framing
had
astronger
effect
on
customer
behaviour.Itwasntasmalldifferenceeither;thosewhohadreceivedthelossframed
messagedoubledtheiruseofthecreditcardcomparedtothosewhohadreceiveda
positivelyframedmessage.Also,whenquestionedsixmonthslater,66%ofthecustomersin
thenegativeframingconditionrecalledthemessagecomparedtoa43%recallratefor
thoseinthepositivelyframedcondition.Sometimesitpaystopitchtheglassashalfempty.
Cautionshouldbeexercisedininterpretingtheseresults.Whilelossframingismore
persuasivethangainframinginmostcases,thereareexceptions.Forexample,prevention
sellsbetterusinggainframedmessages.Inastudyonskincancerprevention,forexample,
theresearchers
found
that
apositively
framed
message
(Regular
use
of
sunscreen
can
protectyouagainstthesunsharmfulrays)wasmoreeffectiveatpersuadingpeopleto
requestsunscreen(71%)comparedtoalossframedmessage(Ifyoudontusesunscreen
productsregularly,youwontbeprotectedagainstthesunsharmfulrays)whichonly
managedacompliancerateof46%.
Theonlywayaroundthisproblemistesting.Youshouldtestthemessageonasmallscale
beforegoingallout.
Withthatsaid,lossframinghasarobusteffectandcanleadtosignificantlyhigher
complianceas
is
evidenced
by
the
credit
card
study.
UsingLossAversionandFramingEffectsinCopywriting
Entrepreneurs/copywriters/marketers/salespeoplegenerallytendtowriteaboutwhatis
tobegainedbybuying.Butasbadexperiencesarestronger,thereismuchtobegainedby
alsopointingoutwhatcanbeavoidedbybuyingaproductorservice.
Forexample,inadditionto:
Buythatdreamhouse. Havemoreenergytoplaywithyourkids. Fitintothatbikini. Freecreditforuptoonemonth.
Alsopointout:
Escapethedrudgeryofmortgagepayments. Avoidtheembarrassmentofnotbeingabletorunaroundwithyourkids. Avoidnotfittingintothatbikini. Nofreecreditforuptoonemonth.
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Sotakealookatyoursalesletters/webpagesandifyounoticethattheyareprimarily
focusedonmovingtowardspleasure,thenrewritethemtoincorporatewhatyourproduct
allowsthecustomertoescapefrom.
LossAversioninAutoresponders
Youcanalsoincorporatethisintoyourautorespondermessagesequence.Ratherthan
having10messagesfocusedonmovingtowardspleasure lookinggreatinabikini,or
buyingthatMercedesyouvehadyoureyeon youcanalsohaveseveralmessagespushing
theavoidpainbuttonescapetheembarrassmentofnotfittingintoyourclothes,escape
thejobthatyouhate.
Thatwayyou(a)havemoremessagesforyourautoresponder(especiallyusefulforpeople
whofindithardtocomeupwithcontent)and(b)hitavarietyofuseremotionbuttonsand
tapintoalltheusermotivations,thusmaximisingyourchancesofmakingasale.
Likethecreditcardusersandthemedicalpractitioners,youmayfindthatyourcustomers
tooaremorepersuadedandmotivatedbywhattheycanlosethanbywhattheycangain.
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4.RiskAversion:
IfThat'sTrueofEntrepreneurs,ThinkWhatYourAverageCustomerIsLike?
Anotherimplication
of
negative
experiences
being
stronger
than
positive
experiences
is
in
thefieldofrisktaking.Notsurprisingly,peopledontliketakingrisks.Whatissurprisingis
justhowriskaversemostpeopleactuallyare.
InanexperimentondecisionmakingthepsychologistLolaLopespresentedparticipants
withtwotypesoflotteryticketsbothofferingprizesbetween$0and$200.Thefirstlottery
haditsoddsevenlysplitacrossallamounts,meaningtheparticipantshadanequalchance
ofwinning$0,$50,$100,$150and$200.Thesecond,incontrast,concentratedtheodds
nearthemiddle,offeringahighchanceofwinningasumaround$100butwithlittlechance
ofwinningahighprizelike$200oralowprizelike$0.
Logicallytherewasnorightorwronganswer.Onelotterywasntsuperiortotheother
becauseifyouhadaveragedthedollaramountsinboththelotteriesyouwouldhaveended
upwithanaverageof$100.Thiswasjustaswellbecauseitwasntatestonthe
participantsdecisionmakingability.No,itwasatestontheparticipantsdecisionmaking
tendency.Lopeswantedtoseewhethermostpeoplewerepotentialseekingorwhether
theywere,whatshecalls,securityminded.
TheProverbialCoinNotOneofLogicButof
Sinceboththelotterieswerethesame,Lopesshouldhaveendedupwithparticipants
choosingatrandomleadinghalftooptforthehighriskhighrewardoptionandhalftoopt
forthelowrisklowrewardoption.Excepttheproverbialcointheparticipantstossed
wasntoneoflogicbutofemotion,which,aswehaveseen,isanythingbutimpartialor
symmetrical.Withbadbeingstrongerthangood,theparticipantsoverwhelminglychosethe
lowrisk,lowpayoutoption.Asoneoftheparticipantsputit,[theevenlysplitlottery
offered]toomanychancesofgettingalowerprize.Thestatementisinsightfulasitshows
thatpeoplearenotaseuphoricaboutgainingastheyareworriedaboutlosing.
Also,itwasntjustthattheparticipantsinLopessexperimentwerewallflowersorpansies.
Evenpeoplewhoaretheepitomeofrisktakingandpotentialseekingarentasriskseeking
aspopularmythologywouldhaveyoubelieve.Recently,sociologistsHongweiXuofStanfordUniversity,USA,andMartinRuefofPrincetonUniversity,USA,askedanationally
representativepopulationofbuddingentrepreneurstochoosefromthreepotential
ventures.Ventureonehadapayoffof$5millionwitha20%successrate,venturetwohad
a$2millionpayoffwitha50%chanceofsuccessandoptionthreehada$1.25millionpay
offwitha80%successrate.
Ifentrepreneurswerereallyriskseekingmissilesasthepopularimagesofbusinessmoguls
suggest,thentheyshouldhaveoverwhelminglychosenthehighrisk,highpayoffventure.
Exceptthatsnotwhattheresearchersfound.Theentrepreneursoverwhelminglywentwith
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thesurething(venturethree).Andifentrepreneurs,theembodimentofriskseeking,are
riskaverse,thenwhatdoesthatsayaboutyouraveragecustomer?
WhatRiskAversionMeansForYourBusiness
Whatall
this
means
for
your
business
is
this:
when
acustomer
is
making
abuying
decision,
heorsheismorefocusedonwhattheymightloseiftheyendupmakingabadbuy,orthe
purchaseotherwisefailstomeetexpectation,thanwhatistobegainedbyit.Most
salespeoplewillbefamiliarwiththisintheformofIneedtothinkaboutit,whichreally
justmeansthatthepotentialgainofmakingthepurchasedoesntyetoutweightheriskofa
potentialloss.
Forexample,whenpurchasingajacket,acustomeristhinkingmoreabouttheriskofbuying
thatjacket WhatifIseeanotheroneIlikemoreatadifferentstore?Whatifitsnolonger
infashion?WhatifIdontlikethecolourafterawhile?Whatifitdoesntgowithmyother
outfits?What
if
Ineed
the
money
for
something
else?
HowOneSimpleDeviceCanHelpYouOvercomeRiskAversionandDoubleYour
Sales
Yourjobasamarketerthenistofigureoutawaytoreducetheriskinherentinpurchasing
yourproduct.Thesimplestwaytodothisistoimplementalittledevicecalledaguarantee.
Guaranteesrelievetheriskandstressofpurchasingalemonoranotherwiseillsuited
product.
Intraditional
offline
businesses
guarantees
dont
always
work.
Not
because
they
dont
motivatepeopletobuybutbecausetoooftentheymotivatepeoplewhohavenoreal
intentiononbuyingtrialtheproduct.Thismakesthetacticprohibitiveasthecostsof
refundingoutstripstheextrabusinessbroughtinbytheguarantees.
SupposeyourunapayTVcompanyforexample.Ifyouofferaonemonthtrialatno
obligation,thenyouwillgeneratemorebusiness,nodoubtaboutit,upto23timesas
much.Butthecostofacquiringandsigningupthatcustomer(payingfortheadverts,the
salespeopletopresentandselltheproductandtheadministrativestafftosignthemupon
thebooks)andofhavingtosendanelectriciantoinstalltheequipment(technicianstime
andcost
of
equipment)
may
cost
you
over
$500
hundred.
Then
theres
the
cost
of
processingtherefunditself(removingtheequipmentandreconcilingtheiraccount).
Thus,unlessyoucanretainmostofthenewcustomersyouwillnotbenefitfromtheextra
businessgeneratedbytheguarantee(unlessyoucanfindasecondarywaytomonetizethe
customers,e.g.adverts).Soyouhavetotestitwithasmallsampleofcustomerstoseeifthe
extrabusinessgeneratedbytheuseofguaranteeswilloutstripthecostofpeoplewhotry
butdonteventuallybuy.
Withthatsaid,inmostcasesguaranteesworkwonders.Especiallyifyoudonthaveawell
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knownandtrustedbrandyouneedtoimplementsomeformofaguarantee.Onewayto
decreasecustomerattritionandexploitationofguaranteesistoincorporatecommitment
intotheguarantee.Askthemtopayfortheirfirstmonth.Anyformofmonetaryinvestment
willquicklyseparatethebuyersfromthepuretrailers. Henceratherthangivingthemafree
installation,freefirstmonthand1monthtrial,youmightofferthemfreeinstallationbut
theystill
might
have
to
pay
for
their
first
month.
This
way
only
the
people
who
genuinely
haveaninterestinbuyingtakeyouupontheoffer.Thosewhosimplywantedtotrailit
becauseitwasfreewillnotbewillingtopayforthefirstmonthandwillthereforefilter
themselvesout.
Theonlyplacewhereyoushouldhavenoqualificationsorfiltersorrequirecommitment
withguaranteesisonline.Whenitcomestodigitalcontentitcostsnexttonothingto
replicate.Thereyoushoulddefinitelygowithanoobligationtrial.Itwillallowyour
customerstotrailyourproductsatzerorisk,whileallowingyoutogeneratefarmore
businessesthanyouwouldwithouttheguarantee.
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5.TheEndowmentEffect:
WhenaBirdInHandIsWorth14InTheBush
One
sunny
day
in
1994,
Dan
Ariely,
a
famous
economist,
was
walking
through
the
campus
groundsofDukeUniversitywhenhestumbledontothemostincredibleofscenes.ItwasK
Ville,Duke'sannualstudentcampoutwherebasketballfanspitchtentsoutsidethe
universitystadiuminabidtowinticketstotheDukebasketballgames.YouseeDukehasa
smallbasketballstadiumwithonlyalimitednumberofseats.Soinordertoseparatethedie
hardfansfromtherestandallocatethescarcetickets,anintricateritualhasdevelopedover
theyears.
Aspiringfansformgroupsofeighttotenandpitchtentsonthegrassyareaoutsidethe
basketballstadium.Itisfirstcome,firstenter.Thosewhopitchfirstgetspotsclosesttothe
stadium'sentrancewiththelatecomersprogressivelygettingfurtheraway.Atrandom
timesanairhornissounded,atwhichpointatleastonememberfromeachtentmustcheck
inwiththeauthorities.Ifatentfailstodosowithin5minutes,theyaremovedtotheback
oftheline.Thiscontinuesformostofthespringsemesterbeforeintensifyinginthelast48
hoursbeforeagame.Inthefinal48hourstheairhornblaresatallhoursoftheday,and
sometimesevenofthenight.Also,itnolongerremainsagroupcheckin.Itbecomeseach
fanforhimselfwithindividualfanshavingtoxcheckinpersonallywhenevertheairhornis
sounded.
Yetafterallthatwork,thestudentsatthestartofthelinestilldon'tgetaticket.Instead
theygointoadrawtowinthetickets.Thisrandomisationnotonlymakesthewhole
situationalittle
crazy
but
also
experimentation
worthy.
Think
about
how
closely
the
ritual
resemblesadesignedexperiment.Recruitagroupofparticipants,saystudentsatDuke,
promisethemthesameexperience,saythebasketballgame,makethemworkequallyhard
towintheprize,saythepainfulcampout,and thenusearandomisationprocess,saythe
lottery,tosplitthemintotwogroups,sayticketwinnersandticketlosers.Itisthekindof
thingasocialscientistwoulddesign.Andhereitwasoccurringallonitsown,withoutany
researchgrants,withoutanyonetryingtocreateartificialfanclubs,justwaitingfor
someonetocomealongandasktherightquestion.
ThatswhyArielywasfascinatedthatdaybecausehehadtherightquestionforthe
accidentalreal
life
experiment.
That
question
was
this:
"Would
the
students
who
had
won
tickets whohadownershipoftickets valuethoseticketsmorethanthestudentswhohad
notwonthemeventhoughtheyhadallworked'equally'hardtoobtainthem?"Thatis,if
youaskedoneofthewinnerstoselltheirticketandaskedoneoftheloserstobuythat
ticket,wouldtheyagreeontheprice?
Now,accordingtoconventionaleconomictheory,thequestionisntevenworthasking.Why
wouldthewinnersandlosersvaluetheticketsdifferently?Ifboththepartieswere
promisedthesameconditions,expectedthesameexperienceandworkedequallyhardfor
thesameprize,whythenwouldtherebeadiscrepancybetweenwhatasellerwouldbe
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willingtoselltheticketatandwhatabuyerwouldbewillingtopayforit.Ofcoursethey
wouldvalueitthesame.Itsjustcommonsense.
Ariely,however,didn'tseeitthatway.Inwhatmusthaveannoyedtheheckoutofclassical
economists,Arielyarguedthesellerswouldvaluetheticketsmorethanthebuyers.Yousee,
Arielysnot
just
any
old
economist.
Hes
from
the
insurgent
school
of
economics
called
behaviouraleconomics.Formostpart,behaviouraleconomistsarenotmuchliked,letalone
admired.Why?Becausetheykeepinsistingthathumansareirrational,oratleastnotas
rationalastraditionaleconomistsbelievethemtobe.Theyarguethatthehumanpsycheis
plaguedwithsystematicglitchesthatblurjudgmentandcolourthedecisionmakingprocess.
Whatsmorethesebiasesare,toacertaindegree,predictable.AsArielyputsit,peopleare
predictablyirrational.Thisisproblematicforclassicaleconomicsbecausemostneoclassical
economictheoryisbasedontheassumptionthatpeoplearerational,thatweknowwhatis
inourbestinterests.Soit'sfrustratingforeconomistswhenbehaviouraleconomistslike
Arielycomearoundarguingotherwise.
HealthNutsorOwnershipJunkies?
Hisrebelliousness,however,didhavesomescientificbasis.Inthiscase,hisinsistencewas
basedonastudydonebyJackKnetsch.Knetschrecruitedagroupofpeopleandgaveeach
participantanewcoffeemugbrandedwiththeiruniversitylogo.Thenheofferedeach
participantachancetotradetheirmugforapound(450grams)ofappetizingSwiss
chocolate.Whathewantedtoseewashowmanywouldmakethetrade.
Atrifling11%decidedtoaccepttheoffer.Theother89%decidedtoholdontotheir
belovedmugs.
Now
this
in
itself
doesnt
tell
us
much.
All
you
can
draw
from
this
is
that
the
participantswereeithercoffeecuploversorabunchofhealthnutswhodespisedjunkfood.
Whereitgetsinterestingisinthesecondpartoftheexperiment.Inphasetwo,the
experimentersagainroundedupagroupofparticipantsandrepeatedtheexperiment.Only
thistime,theyswitchedthegifts.Wheretheyhadpreviouslygiventhemcoffeemugs,they
nowgavetheparticipants Swisschocolate.Wheretheyhadbeenofferedatradefortheir
mugs,theywerenowofferedatradefortheirchocolate.Thechocolatewasexactlythe
same.Themugswereexactlythesame.Allthathadchangedwaswhattheparticipants
weregivenupfront,bydefault.Thistimetheresultsdidntjustchange,theyreversed.90%
ofthe
participants
decided
to
keep
the
chocolate
with
ameasly
10%
making
the
trade
for
thepreviouslybelovedmug.Knetschconcludedthatpeoplevaluewhattheyhavemore
thanwhatothers,nonownersofthegood,valueit.
Theproblemwithlaboratoryexperiments,however,isthattheyoftendonttranslateinto
practice.Thingsdontalwaysworkthatwayinreallife.Asthejokegoesthedifference
betweenscientifictheoryandrealityislikethedifferencebetweenreadingthemenuand
eatingdinner.ThatspreciselywhythesituationatDukeexcitedAriely.Itwasorganic.It
wasreallife.Ifhecouldprovehishypothesisthere,hecouldmakeastrongcaseforhisidea.
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Tofindout,Arielyandhiscolleaguedecidedtophonethewinnersandlosersandtrytoset
upsomedeals."OurfirstcallwastoWilliam,asenior,majoringinchemistry",recallsAriely.
Williamwasoneofthelosers.Afterreachingthefrontoftheline,he'dmissedoutonthe
lotteryandthusthetickets.
'"Hi,William,"
Isaid.
"I
understand
you
didn't
get
one
of
the
tickets
for
the
final
four."
"That'sright."
"Wemaybeabletosellyouaticket."
"Cool."
"Howmuchwouldyoubewillingtopayforone?"
"Howabout
ahundred
dollars?"
he
replied.
"Toolow,"Ilaughed."You'llhavetogohigher."
"Ahundredfifty?"heoffered.
"Youhavetodobetter,"Iinsisted."What'sthehighestpriceyou'llpay?"
Williamthoughtforamoment."Ahundredseventyfive."
"That'sit?"
"That'sit.Notapennymore."
"Ok,you'reonthelist.I'llletyouknow."
AndonebyoneArielyandhiscolleaguecalledsome100studentswho'deitherwonorlost
toseeiftheycouldmanageadeal.Theirefforts,however,wereinvain.
WhenaBirdInHandisWorthFourteenintheBush
Notonepersonwaswillingtoselltheirticketatapriceabuyerwaswillingtopay.Losers,
onaverage,werewillingtopayaround$170foraticket.Thewinners,ontheotherhand,
demanded,onaverage,acrazy$2,400togiveuptheirtickets.Whatwasgoingonhere?
Oneminuteeveryonevaluedtheticketsthesameandthenexttheysuddenlysplitintonon
ownerswhothoughttheexperiencetobeworth$175andownerswhothoughtitwas
worthsome14timesmoreat$2,400.
Theanswercomesdowntowhatbehaviouraleconomistsandpsychologistscallthe
EndowmentEffect.Yousee,whenyouownsomething,youstarttovalueitalotmorethan
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its'true'worth.Thatis,youvalueitalotmorethanpeoplewhodon'townit.Thewinners
valuedtheticketsmorethanthelosersbecausetheyhadclaimedownershipofthetickets.
Exactlywhythisissoisacomplexquestionbutitdoeshavealottodowithlossaversion.
Sincewehaveanirrationalfearofloss,whensomethingbecomesourownwestarttovalue
itmore
because
parting
with
it
then
starts
to
be
viewed
as
aloss,
which
we
just
cant
stand.
MarketingLessonfromaPetStore
Petstoresusetheendowmenteffecttogreateffect.Whenareluctantparentisunwillingto
committopurchasingapuppy,oranyotheranimalforthatmatter,thesalesassistant
simplysaysItellyouwhat,takethepuppyhomefortheweekend,andifyoufinditisnta
rightfitforyourfamily,bringitbackandwellrefundyourmoney.Noquestionsasked.Not
surprisingly,thecustomertakesthepuppyhome,thechildandfamilybondwiththepuppy
overtheweekend,andbeforeyouknowit,theycantrememberevernothavingthepuppy.
Partof
the
reason
the
technique
works
well
is
due
to
the
emotional
bonding
the
family
or
childundergowiththepuppy.Butjustaspowerfulisthetechniquesabilitytotriggerthe
endowmenteffectandgivethecustomerasenseofownership,becauseasArielys
experimentshows,onceweownsomethingwestarttovalueitmorethanwewouldifwe
didntownit.
Applyingthattoyourbusiness,canyougivesomethingawayfortrial?Whetheritsrugs,
vacuumcleaners,treadmills,coffeemakersorsoftwareprograms,bygivingsomethingaway
foratrialperiodyouwilltriggertheendowmenteffectandmakethechanceofasaleor
purchasemoreprobable.
ConfessionsofaFerrariCarSalesmanandtheArtofInstillingVirtualOwnership
Ifthephenomenonoftheendowmenteffectisn'tstrangeenoughalready,thenconsider
this.Fortheeffecttotakehold,theownershipdoesn'tevenhavetobereal.Sheer
perceptionofownershipcansufficeintriggeringtheeffect.Thatis,merelygettingsomeone
toimaginetheyownsomethingcanmakethemvalueitmore.
Soundssimpleenough,buthowexactlydoyouachieveit?MaybeChrisRoutledgecanhelp.
Routledgeisacarsalesman.Buthesnotjustanyoldcarsalesman;heisoneofLondons
best.You
have
to
be
if
you
want
to
sell
top
of
the
line
classic
cars
like
The
Ferrari
250
GTO
or
the1953JaguarXK120Dropheadcoupe.Withthesebeautiespricedathundredsand
thousandsandevenmillionsofdollars,Routledgehastoknowhissellinggameinsideoutin
ordertogetthebestprice.
Sowhatcanamanwhosellsrarevintagecarsthatcostmorethanmostpeopleshousestell
youaboutselling,andmoreimportantly,aboutinstillingvirtualownership?Well,firstthere
istheusualbuttimelessadviceontheimportanceofsalesdiscovery,offindingoutyour
prospectswantsanddesires.Theresnopointinsellingthecustomersomethingthey
dontwant,saysRoutledge.ButthemostrevealingpieceofadviceRoutledge givesyouis
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oninstillingvirtualownership.Unlikethepetstores,hedoesntlettheprospecttakethecar
homefortheweekendandletthembondwithituntiltheycantrememberwhatitwaslike
livingwithoutit.Thoughhedoessomethingverysimilar heletstheprospecttakethecar
foratestdrive.
Iusually
save
the
test
drive
till
the
end
of
the
process,
says
Routledge,
but
if
Iknow
the
carisreallyreallyhot,Iputthecustomerinitinthebeginning.Astheprospectdrives
aroundinthecarfeelingitspowerunderneaththeirfeetandenjoyingtheenviouslooks
frompeoplelookingoninawe,hecanthelpbutfeelasenseofownership.Oncethat
powerful,albeitimaginary,senseofownershipisinstilled,itsprettyhardtowalkawayfrom
thecar.AsRoutledgeputsit,Thattestdriveoftendoesmyjobforme.
Atfirsttheideasoundsabsurd.Itsoundsallairyfairy.Butthereisscientificevidenceto
provethatthephenomenonexists.Considertheexperimentbyacoupleofmarketing
researchers,JoanPeckandSuzzaneBShu,attheUniversityofWisconsin,USA.
Theyrecruitedagroupofover200participantsandhadthemtouchandholdaslinkyanda
mugforaminute.Excepttheydidntgetalltheparticipantstodoso,askingsometosimply
standthereanddonothingfortheminute.
Thentheyhadtheparticipantsfilloutaquestionnaireaskingthemtoassesshowmuch,ona
scalefrom1to7,IfeellikethisismySlinky/Mug,Ifeelaveryhighdegreeofpersonal
ownershipoftheSlinky/Mug,andIfeellikeIownthisSlinky/Mug.
Theresearchersfoundthatthosewhodphysicallyinteractedandtouchedtheproductsfelt
agreater
sense
of
ownership
(3.36)
than
those
who
hadnt
(2.75).
Thus,Routledgehadlearntsomethingabouthumanpsychologythatmostpeoplewillnever
realiseintheirlifetime.Whetheritsa$250,000Ferrari,a$250phoneora$25tshirt,
lettingpeopletouch,tryandholdaproductmagnifiesdesireandcreatesasenseof
ownership.Asthefamousconsumerbehaviourscientist,PacoUnderhill,explains,
Possessionisanemotionalandspiritualprocess,notatechnicalone.Itbeginsintheeyes
andtheninthetouch.Oncethethingisinyourhand,oronyourback,orinyourmouth,you
canbesaidtohavebeguntheprocessoftakingit.Payingforitisameretechnicality.
Howto
Use
the
Endowment
Effect
to
Increase
Sales
Thelessonthenisclearyourjobistofigureoutawaytoletprospectsandcustomers
experienceyourproducts.Theeasieryoumakeittosee,touch,tasteandexperienceyour
productthemorequicklyitwillchangeownershipfromyoutothecustomer,whichinturn
willincreaseyourchancesoftechnicallysellingthatproductandthereforeincreasingyour
sales.
TrialPeriods
Canyougiveyourcustomersaproducttotryforaday,weekoramonthforfree?
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Howaboutofferinga30daymoneybackguarantee,noquestionsasked?
VirtualOwnership
Canyouchangeyourshopfrontlayouttoallowcustomerstomoreeasilytouchandfeel
yourproducts?Canyouallowthemtotakeyourproductforatestdrive?
Stories
Canyoutellwickedtalesthatgetthecustomerstoimaginewhatitwouldlikeusingyour
productsorservices?See:GettingCustomersto'ImagineThis'WithoutAskingThemto
'ImagineThis'
http://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-storieshttp://www.ageofmarketing.com/selling-with-stories -
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6.StatusQuoBias:
WhatanOldOutdatedPieceofLegislationCanTeachYouAboutThe
PsychologyofBuying
Intheearly1990stheUSstatesofNewJerseyandPennsylvaniaintroducedtortsreformsto
helptheircitizensmakebetterchoicesinautomotiveinsurance.Indoingso,they
inadvertentlysetupanexperimentthathelpedrevealasystematicglitchintheway
consumersthink,decide,andbuy.
Aspartofthenewchangesthestatesofferedtheircitizenstwooptionsfortheirautomotive
insuranceanexpensiveoneandacheapone.Theexpensiveonegavefullrightstosue,
whilethecheaperoneonlyprovidedthecitizenswitharestrictedsetofrightstosue.
InNew
Jersey
75%
of
the
citizens
chose
the
expensive
option,
with
only
amere
25%
opting
forthecheapoption.Thisinitselfwasntremarkable.Atbestallthistoldanyonewasthat
peoplearentalwaysafterthecheapestoption.Whatmadethesefiguressignificantwas
howtheydifferedfromthoseofthestateofPennsylvania.ThePennsylvaniancitizens,in
contrast,overwhelminglychosethecheaperoption.Amassive80%ofcustomerschosethe
cheaperoption,withonly20%ofpeoplejoiningtheirNewJerseyfriendsinchoosingthe
moreexpensiveoption.
Thequestionofcoursewaswhy?Whydidtheygetsuchbipolarresults?Werethe
Pennsylvanianslesseducatedorinformedontheimportanceofhavingfullsuingrights?Or
were
the
citizens
of
Pennsylvania
just
plain
old
cheap?
Theanswer,astonishingly,turnedouttobemuchmorebanalthanthat.Thestark
differenceinconsumerchoicedidnotresultfrombettereducationordifferencesinsocio
economicstatusoranyotherkeydifferenceinmarketdemographics.Ratheritstemmed
fromthewaythechoiceswerepresentedinthetwostates.InNewJersey,theexpensive
optionwasthedefaultoption,whileinPennsylvaniathecheaperoptionwasthedefault.
Mostcitizens,foronereasonoranother,justwentwiththedefaultoption.
TheAustriansandtheGermans
Asimilareffecthasbeendiscoveredintherealmoforgandonation.InAustria99%of
peopleareregisteredasorgandonors.ComparethattoGermanywhereonly12%are
registeredfororgandonation.Againwhythehugedifferenceinthesefigures?AreAustrians
morealtruisticthanGermans?Dotheyholddifferentvalueswhenitcomestoorgan
donation?
Nope.Whataccountsforthisdifferenceissimplythewaythechoicesarepresentedinthe
twonations.InAustria,organdonationisthedefaultoption.Youhavetooptoutofthe
donorregisterifyoudontwishtodonate.InGermanyitsthereverse,youhavetooptinif
youwanttobeadonor.Thissimplechangeinchoicepresentationisthecauseofthe
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significantlydifferentresultsbetweenthetwonations.
Thistendencytostickwiththedefaultoptioniswhatpsychologistsandbehavioural
economistscalltheStatusQuoBias.Itisasystematicglitchinhumandecisionmakingthat
canleadto,asevidencedbytheorgandonationstatistics,significantuptakesofaparticular
idea,option
or
product.
It
is
so
inbuilt,
in
fact,
that
even
being
aware
of
ones
predisposition
tostickwiththedefaultoption,peoplestillcanthelpavoiditslure.
AtellingexampleisthatoftheAmericanscholarCassSunstein.Sunsteinhasstudiedhuman
biasesinjudgmentanddecisionmakingandisoneoftheleadingexpertsinthefield.Hehas
alsowrittenabook(Nudge,coauthoredwithRichardThaler),onhowthesebiaseswork,
howtofightthem,andhowtousethemtoimprovesociety.Yet,asSunsteinscolleague,
RichardThaler,pointsout,Sunsteinhimselfisntsignificantlybetteratresistingthepowerof
thestatusquobias.
Manyyears
ago
American
Express
wrote
Sunstein
acheerful
letter
telling
him
that
he
could
receive,forfree,threemonthsubscriptionstofivemagazinesofhischoice,tellsThalerof
hiscolleaguessituation.Freesubscriptionsseemedlikeabargain,evenifthemagazines
rarelygetread,soSunsteinhappilymadehischoice.
WhatSunsteindidntknow,however,wasthathewouldhavetoactivelycancelhis
subscription.Otherwisehewouldcontinuetoreceivethemagazines,andmoreimportantly,
havetopaynormalpriceforthem.Soforaboutadecade,hehascontinuedtosubscribeto
magazinesthatherarelyeverreads(hekeepsintendingtocancelthosesubscriptions,but
somehownevergetsaroundtoit).
WhytheStatusQuoBiasissoPowerful
Thatcharminglittleanecdoteisagreatexampleofthepowerofthestatusquobias.But
whyarepeoplesopredisposedtostickingwiththedefaultoption?Theanswerseemstobe
acombinationofmultiplefactorsandeffects.Firstlypeoplearelossaverse,meaningpeople
dontliketolosethingsthattheyalreadyhave.CombinethiswiththeEndowmentEffect,
thephenomenonthatoncesomeoneownssomethingtheystarttovalueitmore,andyou
haveindividualsnotwantingtogiveupwhattheystartedwith,evenwhenwhatthey
startedwithwasntactivelychosen.
Third,itrequiresefforttodosomething,likeoptoutofasubscription,andthatseffortthat
manyofuswontexpenduntilweabsolutelyhaveto. Inotherwordspeopleprocrastinate.
Finally,asThalerandSunsteinhighlight,Inmanycontextsdefaultshavesomeextra
nudgingpowerbecause,rightlyorwrongly,thedefaultoptioncomeswithanimplicit
endorsementfromthedefaultsetter,beittheemployer,government,orTVscheduler.
Fortheworldofsalesandmarketing,thisisapowerfulconcept.Ifconsumershavea
tendencytostickwiththedefaultoption,thenyoucansignificantlyincreasetheuptakeofa
productorservicebysimplymakingit,thatsright,thedefaultoption.Magazinepublishers,
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asSunsteinsanecdotedemonstratessowonderfully,havecertainlycapitalizedonthe
phenomenon.Buttheyarenotalone.
Gymsandfitnesscentershavealsostartedtoincorporatethisstrategyintotheirplansand
packages.Mostgymsknowthatthecustomerswillpowerandneedtochangearetransient
statesof
mind.
According
to
one
source,
90%
of
people
who
join
agym
will
stop
going
withinthefirst90days.However,thecostofacquiringacustomerisincrediblyhighfor
mostgyms,andfrankly,threemonthsofsubscriptionissimplynotprofitable.Sohowdo
yougetthemostoutofeachcustomer?
Simple:byimplementinganautomaticpaymentssystemintheformofaDirectDebitPlan.
Whenthecustomerssignup,theyarechargedautomaticallyeverymonthtotheirbank
accountorcreditcarduntiltheyactivelycanceltheirplan.Mostpeople,duetothestatus
quobias,keepputtingitoff,andthegymgetsanextrafewmonthsworthofsubscriptions
outofthecustomers.Nowsupposetheysqueezeanextratwomonthsoutofeach
customer.At
$60
amonth
thats
roughly
an
extra
$120
per
customer.
Multiply
that
by
some
200hundredcustomersandthatonesmallchangeresultsinsomethinglike$240,000in
extrarevenuesmostofwhichisprofit.
Thestrategyworksespeciallywellforbusinessesthatdorepeatbusinessorsella
subscriptionbasedproduct.Magazines,bookclubs,gyms,cosmeticcompanies,fruitto
yourdoorbusinesses,payTVvendors,internetserviceproviders,andphonecompaniesare
justsomeofthesebusinesses.Byincorporatingautomaticpaymentplans,optout
subscriptions,andautomaticrenewalsofexpiredservices,anysubscriptionbasedbusiness
cansignificantlyaddtoitsbottomline.Andifyoudonthaveasubscriptionbusiness,thenit
maybe
worth
looking
into
setting
one
up.
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7.FromDescriptiontoPrescription:
UsingTheseSystematicBiasestoIncreaseYourSales
Hereisasummaryofallthetechniquesdiscussedinthechaptersbefore.
Lesson1:LimitandControltheBadNews
Asbadisstrongerthangood,acustomerismorelikelytotellothersaboutabadexperience
thanagoodone.Andasbadexperiencesaremorememorableandfeltmorestrongly,the
personhearingthenewswillalsobemoreaffectedbyit.
Thismeansyoushouldattendtounhappycustomersquicklyandeffectivelyinorderto
reducethedamagethattheymaycause.
Lesson2:UseNegativeFraming
Inadditiontopointingoutwhatistobegainedbybuyingyourproductorservice,you
shouldalsohighlightwhatistobeavoidedbyusingyourproductorservice.
Forexample,inadditionto:
Buythatdreamhouse. Havemoreenergytoplaywithyourkids. Fitintothatbikini. Freecreditforuptoonemonth.
Alsopointout:
Escapethedrudgeryofmortgagepayments. Avoidtheembarrassmentofnotbeingabletorunaroundwithyourkids. Avoidnotfittingintothatbikini. Nofreecreditforuptoonemonth.
Thatwayyouarenotonlypushingtheseekpleasurebuttonsofyourcustomers,butalso
theavoidpainbuttons.Sincepeoplearemoremotivatedtoavoidpainthanseekpleasure,
thiswillmakeyourmessagemorepersuasive.
Lesson3:ReduceRisk
Mostpeoplearenotaseuphoricaboutgainingastheyareworriedaboutlosing.Thus,when
acustomerismakingabuyingdecision,heorsheismorefocusedonwhattheymightloseif
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theyendupmakingabadbuy,orthepurchaseotherwisefailstomeetexpectation,than
whatistobegainedbyit.
Yourjobasamarketerthenistofigureoutawaytoreducetheriskinherentinpurchasing
yourproduct.Oneofthemostpowerfulwaystodothisistoimplementaguarantee.Havea
30day
money
back
guarantee
no
questions
asked,
for
example.
Lesson4:InstillVirtualOwnership
Peoplevaluewhattheyownmorethanwhattheydontown.Andtheeasieryoumakeitto
see,touch,tasteandexperienceyourproductthemorequicklyitwillchangeownership
fromyoutothecustomer,whichinturnwillincreaseyourchancesoftechnicallysellingthat
productandthereforeincreasingyoursales.
3WaystoInstillingVirtualOwnership
1. TrialPeriodsCanyougiveyourcustomersaproducttotryforaday,weekoramonthforfree?
Howaboutofferinga30daymoneybackguarantee,noquestionsasked?
2. PromoteCustomerProductInteractionCanyouchangeyourshopfrontlayouttoallowcustomerstomoreeasilytouchand
feelyourproducts?
3. StoriesCanyoutellwickedtalesthatgetthecustomerstoimaginewhatitwouldlikeusing
yourproductsorservices?SeeGettingCustomersto'ImagineThis'withoutAsking
ThemtoImagineThis.
Lesson5:UsethePowerofDefaults
Setyourmostdesirableoptionsasdefaults(leftoptionofimagebelow).Ifyoudontwantto
betooassumptive,usearecommendedtag(rightoptionofimagebelow).
Example:
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8.RelatedArticles
Ifyouenjoyedthisebookthenyouwillalsoenjoythefollowingarticles:
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ThePhotocopierEffect:TheSecrettoMakingYourClaimsInstantlyMoreCredible
Leventhal'sTetanusExperiments:DoesFearPersuadeorParalyse?
GettingCustomersto'ImagineThis'WithoutAskingThemto'ImagineThis'
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9.References
Chapter1AboutThisBook
Kahneman,D.,&Tversky,A.(1979).ProspectTheory:AnAnalysisofDecisionunderRisk.
Econometrica,XLVII,
263
291.
Chapter2 ThePositiveNegativeAsymmetryEffect
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Chapter5 TheEndowmentEffect
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USA:HarperCollinsPublishers.
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Aversion,andStatusQuoBias.JournalofEconomicPerspectives,5,1,pp.193206
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Happiness(UpdEd.).USA:guin(NonClassics).
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(2010).
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